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Measuring Economic Reform Recommendations under the European Semester: ‘One Size Fits All’ or Tailoring to Member States?

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  • Ministry of Economic Affairs and Climate Action, Berlin

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In 2010 the European Semester was created to better coordinate fiscal and economic policies within Europe’s Economic and Monetary Union. The Semester aims to tackle economic imbalances by giving European Union (EU) member states country-specific recommendations (CSRs) regarding their public budgets as well as their wider economic and social policies with a view to enabling better policy coordination among Euro Area member states. In this article we develop a method to assess the way in which the CSRs have been addressing coordination and offer a systematic analysis of the way they have been formulated. We offer a way to code CSRs as well as one to analyse progress evaluations. Furthermore, we seek to use our results to address one of the reoccurring questions in the literature: whether the EU is pursuing a ‘one size fits all’ approach to economic policy making in the Euro Area? The findings indicate that different types of market economies and welfare states – different ‘varieties of capitalism’ – among the Euro Area members obtain different recommendations regarding different policy areas
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... In addition, this trend continued after the Juncker Commission, during which 'inclusive social and employment policy objectives figured even more prominently' in the AGS, and a stable proportion of CSRs continued to focus on social policy (Zeitlin and Vanhercke 2018: 163-164). Indeed, employment and wage policies are equally frequently addressed in CSRs and constitute the primary focus of the reforms promoted during the European Semester, just like budgetary policies (D'Erman, Haas, Schulz, et al. 2019). ...
... It seems that the disagreement over 'socialisation' arises partly from taking a macro (for example the overarching structure of the European Semester) or a micro (for example the CSRs, the actors) perspective. Studies with a macro perspective tend to find limited socialisation (for example de la Porte and Heins 2015; Dawson 2018;Copeland and Daly 2015), while research with a micro perspective is more likely to see a gradual development of socialisation (for example Zeitlin and Vanhercke 2018;2014;D'Erman, Haas, Schulz, et al. 2019;Bekker 2014), or at least to take a more balanced view (for example Haas, D'Erman, Schulz, et al. 2020). Moreover, some studies focus on output socialisation (for example Haas, D'Erman, Schulz, et al. 2020;D'Erman, Haas, Schulz, et al. 2019;Bekker 2014;Azzopardi-Muscat, Clemens, Stoner, et al. 2015); some studies primarily investigate procedural socialisation (for example de la Porte and Heins 2015; Copeland and Daly 2015); while other studies look into both of them (for example Zeitlin and Vanhercke 2018;2014;Copeland and Daly 2018). ...
... Studies with a macro perspective tend to find limited socialisation (for example de la Porte and Heins 2015; Dawson 2018;Copeland and Daly 2015), while research with a micro perspective is more likely to see a gradual development of socialisation (for example Zeitlin and Vanhercke 2018;2014;D'Erman, Haas, Schulz, et al. 2019;Bekker 2014), or at least to take a more balanced view (for example Haas, D'Erman, Schulz, et al. 2020). Moreover, some studies focus on output socialisation (for example Haas, D'Erman, Schulz, et al. 2020;D'Erman, Haas, Schulz, et al. 2019;Bekker 2014;Azzopardi-Muscat, Clemens, Stoner, et al. 2015); some studies primarily investigate procedural socialisation (for example de la Porte and Heins 2015; Copeland and Daly 2015); while other studies look into both of them (for example Zeitlin and Vanhercke 2018;2014;Copeland and Daly 2018). An investigation of both output and procedural socialisation seems to produce a more nuanced view. ...
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