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Effect of natural resources, renewable energy and economic development on CO2 emissions in BRICS countries

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Abstract

Economic development drives industrialization, which increased the value of the extracted natural resources. Excessive usage of natural resources, through agriculture, deforestation, and mining can affect the environment. In this regard, the present study investigates the effects of natural resources' abundance on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. The study uses annual panel data spanning from 1990 to 2015 in BRICS countries. The augmented mean group (AMG) panel algorithm, robust to crosssectional dependence and heterogeneity, infers the heterogeneous effect of natural resources on CO2 emissions among BRICS countries. Abundance of natural resources mitigates CO2 emission in Russia, but contributes to pollution in South Africa. In addition to this, natural resources help to form Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis in Brazil, China, Russia, and South Africa. Finally, causality analysis suggested feedback hypothesis between natural resources and CO2 emissions.

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... In SSA, the connections among environmental policy-technological progress-digitalisation, and the management of natural resources are receiving increased attention. There is a widespread recognition that uncontrolled economic expansion, urban development, and industrialization often lead to extensive extraction of natural resources in the pursuit of economic advancement (Danish et al., 2019). Empirical studies by Kim and Kim (2012), Kounetas and Tsekouras (2008) and Sadorsky (2010) examine the impact of technological innovation on carbon emissions, highlighting the importance of considering economic development levels and supporting infrastructure. ...
... Existing literature lacks comprehensive studies exploring the interplay between environmental regulation-technology-digitalization, and resource management in Africa. However, understanding how regulation-technology, and digitalization mediate the relationship between resource extraction and management can provide valuable insights into responsible sustainable practices, an area largely unexplored previously (Abid, 2017;Danish et al., 2019;Duodu et al., 2021). This inquiry aligns with the growing recognition of the role of digital technologies in facilitating data-driven approaches to environmental conservation and resource governance (Muhar et al., 2018;Sala, 2019). ...
... The contribution of the business regulatory environment (BRE) and policy for social inclusion (PSI) is more modest in resource-poor countries, with BRE contributing 1.5% and PSI contributing 1.4%. These findings are consistent with previous studies suggesting that while regulatory frameworks and social inclusion policies are important, their impact in resource-poor countries is often constrained by limited institutional capacity and governance challenges (Danish et al., 2019). Similarly, the contributions of voice and accountability (VA) and ICT goods exports (ICTGE) are relatively small, accounting for 0.4% and 0.8%, respectively. ...
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... The U.S. possesses vast renewable energy potential, with regions across the country offering optimal conditions for solar and wind energy production. Research by Danish et al., (2019) underscores the importance of utilizing these resources to reduce emissions from fossil fuels and create a more sustainable energy system. However, not all studies agree on the feasibility of fully harnessing these resources. ...
... In response, policymakers and researchers are actively engaged in crafting energy strategies that involve a gradual shift from existing energy sources to more environmentally friendly alternatives . This transition underscores a heightened commitment to securing long-term environmental sustainability (Danish et al. 2019). Several studies, according to (Fu et al. 2021;Usman et al. 2022), have emphasized the significance of renewable energy in achieving environmental objectives. ...
... Regarding the nexus between ecological quality, economic growth (EG) and natural resources (NR), several studies have been documented with mixed findings surfacing. For instance, Danish et al. (2019) conducted an exhaustive analysis of factors influencing CO 2 in BRICS nations. The authors used data covering the period from 1990 to 2015 by employing ARDL. ...
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... These energy sources hold the potential to generate energy more sustainably, lessen reliance on finite fossil fuel supplies, and lessen environmental effects (Abate, Nielsen, & Tveterås, 2016). While there is progress in incorporating renewable energy into conventional energy systems, there are still challenges to be addressed, including limited infrastructure and sporadic issues (Abate et al., 2016;Bahramimianrood, 2021). ...
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... The energy infrastructure becomes more resilient and adaptable when a variety of renewable sources are included (Bahramimianrood, 2021). Weather-related changes, seasonal variations, or unplanned outages in one source are unlikely to have a major effect on the supply of energy as a whole. ...
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... Unlike other regression procedures, this technique yields reliable and immaculate findings even when dealing with CSD. The method is capable of addressing missing values as well (Danish et al., 2019). The D-K standard error is also a useful method for dealing with heteroscedasticity or longitudinal and serial dependence within the paradigm of fixed effects (Danish et al., 2019). ...
... The method is capable of addressing missing values as well (Danish et al., 2019). The D-K standard error is also a useful method for dealing with heteroscedasticity or longitudinal and serial dependence within the paradigm of fixed effects (Danish et al., 2019). Moreover, it applies to both balanced and imbalanced panel data sets, allowing for a more extended period and more flexibility due to its use of a non-parametric method. ...
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... Unlike other regression procedures, this technique yields reliable and immaculate findings even when dealing with CSD. The method is capable of addressing missing values as well (Danish et al., 2019). The D-K standard error is also a useful method for dealing with heteroscedasticity or longitudinal and serial dependence within the paradigm of fixed effects (Danish et al., 2019). ...
... The method is capable of addressing missing values as well (Danish et al., 2019). The D-K standard error is also a useful method for dealing with heteroscedasticity or longitudinal and serial dependence within the paradigm of fixed effects (Danish et al., 2019). Moreover, it applies to both balanced and imbalanced panel data sets, allowing for a more extended period and more flexibility due to its use of a non-parametric method. ...
... However, this estimation method is applicable only if the variables in question are integrated of order I(0) or I(1). This approach is appropriate for both small and large samples [98,99]. For long-term and short-term estimations, this study utilizes the CS-ARDL estimator [100], which allows the long-term parameters to remain constant across individual groups of nations while accommodating short-term estimations, error variances, and intercept heterogeneity. ...
... This model is considered efficient and reliable if the long-term conditions are satisfied. Regardless of whether the series is I(1) or I(0), the CS-ARDL model has the advantage of providing both long-term and short-term estimates simultaneously [98]. ...
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... The study discovered a link between economic development and renewable energy. Baloch et al. [30] used an augmented mean group estimator to investigate the association between renewable energy, GDP growth, and CO2 emissions in the BRICS from 1990 to 2015. In contrast, the study revealed that with the exception of South Africa, renewable energy utilization resulted in lower CO2 emissions in all BRICS nations. ...
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... Renewable energy is more environment-friendly than other sources of energy. Our results are also supported by various existing literatures (Wang and Dong 2019;Danish et al., 2019;Dingru et al. 2021;Wang et al. 2022;Li et al. 2023). ...
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This study examined the impact of disaggregate and aggregate energy, economic development, urbanization and political institutional quality on environmental pollution using a time series data spanning from 1971 to 2017. The study employed response surface regressions, structural break cumulative sum (CUSUM) test based on recursive residuals and ordinary least squares (OLS) residuals for parameter stability en route to estimating the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) regression. The environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis is valid in South Africa with an extreme point of ZAR 56,114 which occurred in 2011. Evidence from the study reveals that political institutional quality plays a huge role in the social, governance and economic readiness to mitigate climate change and its impact. Structural adjustment in disaggregate and aggregate energy consumption, economic growth, and political institutional quality play a critical role in environmental quality. Fossil-fuel rich countries require diversification of the energy portfolio by incorporating renewable energy sources which will promote environmental sustainability and improve air quality while reducing their economy's vulnerability to price volatility. A paradigm shift from energy and carbon-intensive industries to a service-oriented economy will cause a structural economic change thus, aiding in the mitigation of climate change and its impacts.
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Closing the gap between economy activity and environmental quality is one of the solutions for reaching “sustainable development” inMalaysia. To do so, the cubic polynomial functional form of EKC is utilized by accommodating renewable energy into the base of the EKCmodel and validating its hypothesis between CO2emissions and GDP growth for the 1971–2015 period. The F-bounds, VECM Granger causality, CUSUM, and CUSUMSQ tests are utilized. The estimated results consistently show that the inverted N-shaped EKC hypothesis holds in Malaysia. Ceteris paribus, the CO2 emissions will be declined when the GDP reach RM2841.9 billion in 2030, which is beyond the sample period. The renewable energy has a negative significant effect on CO2 emissions, and the direction of causality is running from CO2 emissions to renewable energy. Also, the GDP growth will be the remedy for environmental pollution problems and that renewable energy is one of important elements to be considered for improving environmental quality. A tighter and concentrated environmental policy is needed to direct the environment– economic growth nexus toward a downward trend. Consequently, these results may help Malaysian policymakers to establish an energy policy that guarantees a balance between economic growth and environmental prosperity.
Article
Undoubtedly, the increasing rates of CO2 emissions contribute highly to climate change. Studies stress the importance of understanding the determinants of emissions, in order to implement appropriate policies. In the past, literature only looked at the effect of aggregate energy to emissions; while nowadays, with the increasing role of renewables, they aim at evaluating the impacts of renewable and non-renewable energies separately. Also, studies ignored possible cross-dependence among countries; concept particularly important for countries linked by trade or geographical position. Also, only lately, studies focused on developing economies. In this study, we aim to address these gaps of the literature by estimating the determinants (renewable and non-renewable energy, income and trade openness) of CO2 emissions for the ten biggest electricity generators in Sub-Saharan Africa for the period 1980 to 2011 by employing panel estimation techniques robust to cross dependence. A long-run relationship between the main variables is confirmed. Increases in non-renewable energy consumption intensify pollution while the opposite holds for renewable energy. With regards to direction of causal relationships, we observe a unidirectional causality running from emissions, income, trade and non-renewable energies towards renewable energies; from non-renewable energy to emissions; and from emissions and non-renewable energies to trade.
Article
This study explores the relationship between economic growth and CO2 emissions in the so-called European Union 5 (EU-5) countries (Germany, France, Italy, Spain, and the United Kingdom) for the 1985–2016 period. In doing so, we employ a carbon emission function to investigate the environmental Kuznets curve phenomenon, which describes a relationship between economic growth and environmental degradation. The empirical results confirm the existence of an N-shaped relationship between economic growth and CO2 emissions in the EU-5 countries. We incorporate additional variables such as renewable electricity consumption, trade openness, natural resource abundance, and energy innovation to augment the carbon emission function. Renewable electricity consumption, natural resources, and energy innovation improve environmental quality, while trade openness and the interaction between economic growth and renewable electricity consumption exert a positive impact on CO2 emissions. This study is novel in that it presents an interaction between economic growth and renewable electricity consumption. We also confirm the need for renewable energy regulations related to increasing renewable sources and promoting energy innovation to reduce the negative effects of energy and fossil energy resources on environmental degradation.
Article
In the modern era of globalization, information and communication technology (ICT) are considered key sectors that profoundly contribute to economic growth. Most of the economic activities, trade, and foreign direct investment are mainly dependent on modern sources of ICT. The objective of present research work is to investigate the dynamic relationship between ICT, foreign direct investment (FDI), economic growth incorporating trade and globalization for BRICS economies over 2000–2014 by employing OLS with fixed effects, the FMOLS, the DOLS and the group-mean estimator techniques robust to heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence. Empirical results of the study suggest the long-run elasticities between ICT and economic growth, which suggests that ICT positively contributes to economic growth. Findings from long-run output elasticities show that both FDI and globalization have a long-run effect on economic growth. Furthermore, bi-directional causality exists between GDP and FDI, globalization and economic growth, and trade and economic growth. Also, unidirectional causality is running from globalization to trade. Globalization and ICT also Granger causes each other. Sensitivity analysis is employed to check whether findings of the study are valid and reliable for policy recommendation. The outcome of our study suggests policy recommendations for improving ICT with the focus on economic growth, trade openness and facilitation of foreign investment in BRICS countries.
Article
Several studies have investigated the determinants of CO2 emission; however, prior research has been neglected to examine the emission of CO2 due to the trade of goods and services and royalty and licensing fees. To do so, the present work contributes to research stream by investigating the relationship between imported technology and environmental degradation within the time span of 1980–2011 in the case of China. Based on the Auto Regressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) model and Vector Error Correction (VECM) Granger causality approach we draw an inference that imported technologies mainly contributes to CO2 emission in the long run path for China. The long run causality results originates bi-directional causality between imported technology and CO2 emission. Moreover, in the long run, feedback hypothesis is also detected between energy consumption and CO2 emission.To ensure the stability of model and reliability of results for policy implication numerous significant tests are carried out. This study suggests that Government of China needs to expand input in R&D for higher technological strength and intellectual property rights management capacity, which will be favorable for the protection of the environment.
Article
This study aims to examine the volume of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions by lag of the emissions and by the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) countries from 1980 to 2011. Due to the heterogeneity of CO2 emission among the BRICS countries, we organized the countries into two groups. In Group 1 (Brazil and Russia), we identified that the main causes of the variation of CO2 emission in time t are the emission of CO2 in time t-1 and the annual GDP of the country. In Group 2 (China, India, and South Africa), the findings do not depend on the income level of individual countries, but only from the emission of CO2 in the lag period. Therefore, the main contribution of this study is that the environmental consequences of growing economic activity may be very mixed and must be examined on a case-by-case basis.
Article
The main contribution of this study is to test the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis at individual country analysis by the significance of renewable energy and non-renewable energy consumption in the context of Pakistan. A series of econometric techniques is used for the period of 1970-2012. The findings provide strong support for the presence of the EKC in the case of Pakistan. The results show that renewable energy plays a dominant role in reducing carbon dioxide emission and non-renewable energy consumption indeed the main culprit for promoting carbon dioxide emission. It is also observed that bi-directional causality exists not only between renewable energy consumption and CO2 emission but also non-renewable energy consumption and CO2 emission granger cause each other. Sensitivity analysis is performed to prove that model of this study is stable and findings of the study are valid and reliable for Policy implication. These findings suggest that Government needs to expand investment in renewable energy projects that might contribute to the efforts of climate mitigation.
Article
The aim of this research is to investigate the pollution haven hypothesis (PHH) in Ghana utilizing CO2 emission as an indicator of air pollution for the period of 1980-2012. Moreover, we utilized gross domestic product (GDP), GDP square, energy consumption, renewable energy consumption, fossil fuel energy consumption, foreign direct investment, institutional quality, urbanization and trade openness as its main determinants. To achieve the goals of this research, different time series models were established utilizing the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) method. In addition to the fact that structural breaks are introduced into the estimation process, we contribute to the existing literature by focussing on a country that typifies the current scenario of increasing emission and foreign direct investment in the developing countries. The outcome of this research revealed cointegration which indicates the existence of long run relationship between the variables. Moreover, GDP, foreign direct investment, urban population, financial development and international trade have positive impact on CO2 emission, while institutional quality decreases emissions in Ghana. This indicates that PHH does exist in Ghana. A number of policy recommendations were provided for Ghana according to the results obtained.
Article
The imperative to reduce CO2 emissions is stronger than ever and investment in renewable energy is one of the most viable options to reduce the carbon footprint. This article explores the dynamic causal relationship between CO2 emissions, renewable electricity consumption, non-renewable electricity consumption and economic growth in Algeria by using Autoregressive Distributed Lag Cointegration approach over the period 1980–2012. The empirical results confirm the existence of cointegration long-run relationship among the variables. We find that, in the long-run, economic growth and non-renewable electricity consumption have a detrimental effect on the environment quality, whereas renewable energy use has a beneficial environmental effect. Furthermore, in the short-run, results reveal unidirectional causality relationship running from GDP to NREC, supporting the conservation hypothesis, i.e. electricity consumption is dictated by economic growth. The results suggest broadly that renewable electricity consumption can help to enhance environmental quality in Algeria. But so far, renewable electricity generation has not reached a level that allows a significant contribution to energy-based carbon dioxide emissions reduction target.
Article
This study combines a panel cointegration analysis with a set of robustness tests to assess the short and long-run impacts of renewable energy on CO2 emissions, as well as the Kuznets Environmental Curve hypothesis for 25 selected african countries, over the period 1980-2012. The results provide no evidence of a total validation of EKC predictions. However, CO2 emissions are found to increase with income per capita. The overall estimations strongly reveal that renewable energy, with a negative effect on CO2 emissions, coupled with an increasing long-run effect, remains an efficient substitute for the conventional fossil-fuelled energy. Nonetheless, the impact of renewable energy is outweighed by primary energy consumption in both the short and long run, entailing more global synergy for outpacing the environmental challenges.
Article
We examine the reduced-form relationship between per capita income and various environmental indicators. Our study covers four types of indicators: urban air pollution, the state of the oxygen regime in river basins, fecal contamination of river basins, and contamination of river basins by heavy metals. We find no evidence that environmental quality deteriorates steadily with economic growth. Rather, for most indicators, economic growth brings an initial phase of deterioration followed by a subsequent phase of improvement. The turning points for the different pollutants vary, but in most cases they come before a country reaches a per capita income of $8000.
Article
This paper proposes a very simple test of Granger (1969) non-causality for heterogeneous panel data models. Our test statistic is based on the individual Wald statistics of Granger non causality averaged across the groups. First, this statistic is shown to converge sequentially to a standard normal distribution. Second, for a fixed T sample the semi-asymptotic distribution of the average statistic is characterized. A standardized statistic based on an approximation of the moments of Wald statistics is proposed. Monte Carlo experiments show that our panel standardized statistics provide very good small sample properties.
Article
In general, a reduction in trade barriers will affect the environment by expanding the scale of economic activity, by altering the composition of economic activity and by initiating a change in the techniques of production. We present empirical evidence to assess the relative magnitudes of these three effects as they apply to further trade liberalization in Mexico. We first use comparable measures of three air pollutants in a cross-section of urban areas located in 42 countries to study the relationship between air quality and economic growth. We find for two pollutants (sulphur dioxide and `smoke') that concentrations increase with per capita GDP at low levels of national income, but decrease with GDP growth at higher levels of income. We then study the determinants of the industry pattern of US imports from Mexico and of value added by Mexico's maquiladora sector. We investigate whether the size of pollution abatement costs in US industry influences the pattern of international trade and investment. Finally, we use the results from a computable general equilibrium model to study the likely compositional effect of a North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) on pollution in Mexico.
Accounting for Unobserved Heterogeneity in Panel Time Series Models
  • S R Bond
  • M Eberhardt
Bond, S.R., Eberhardt, M., 2013. Accounting for Unobserved Heterogeneity in Panel Time Series Models (Unpublished mimeo).
World Bank. World Dev
World Bank, 2017. Annual Report 2017 End Extreme Poverty • Boost Shared Prosperity. World Bank, 2018. World Bank. World Dev. Indic doi. http://databank.worldbank.org/ data/reports.aspx?Source=World%20Development%20Indicators#.