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Efficient energy consumption and generation in smart grids with scheduling the appliances and forecasting the load
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Energy is the most needed commodity of the current era. Recently, the energy demand is far higher than the available energy. Moreover, generation and consumption of energy shows fluctuating behavior. By the incorporation of Demand Side Management (DSM) with the Smart Grid (SG) and forecasting the load results in the solution of this problem. Different techniques are utilized in SG to provide the optimum solution for scheduling of household appliances at Home Energy Management System (HEMS), which leads to minimize the cost of electricity and manage the load in residential areas, industrial and commercial areas. It also decreases in the waiting time of appliances and Peak to Average Ratio (PAR), which leads to maximize User Comfort (UC). Forecasting of electric load can decrease the fluctuation behavior between energy generation and consumption. In this thesis, we proposed six meta heuristic techniques for the scheduling of appliances in HEMS; Firefly Algorithm (FA), Bacterial foraging Algorithm (BFA), Earth Worm Optimization Algorithm (EWA), Genetic Algorithm (GA), Hybrid of Genetic and Bacterial foraging (HBG), and Harmony Search Algorithm (HSA). We also proposed a model for forecasting of electricity load, which consists of a two step process; feature engineering (feature selection and extraction) and classification. By combining Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and Decision Tree (DT) techniques, we proposed a hybrid feature selector to minimize the feature redundancy. Furthermore, Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) technique is applied for dimension reduction and improve feature selection. To forecast electric load, we applied Support Vector Machine (SVM) set tuned with three super parameters, i.e., kernel parameter, cost penalty and incentive loss function parameter. Electricity market data of New England Control Area Independent System Operator (ISO-NE) is taken as input in our proposed forecasting model. After extensive simulations, we achieved a reduction in PAR, electric cost and user comfort maximization through appliances scheduling using the optimization techniques. The BFA technique performs better than other techniques in terms of electricity cost and HBG beats other techniques in terms of PAR, while the HSA outperforms in terms of UC. Using the proposed forecasting model, weekly and monthly ahead forecasting experiments are conducted. Forecasting performance is assessed by using RMSE and MAPE. The error value of MAPE and RMSE is 1.682 and 12. SVM classifier shows better accuracy i.e. 98% in terms of load forecasting.
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Short-Term Electricity Load Forecasting (STELF) through Data Analytics (DA) is an emerging and active research area. Forecasting about electricity load and price provides future trends and patterns of consumption. There is a loss in generation and use of electricity. So, multiple strategies are used to solve the aforementioned problems. Day-ahead electricity price and load forecasting are beneficial for both suppliers and consumers. In this paper, Deep Learning (DL) and data mining techniques are used for electricity load and price forecasting. XG-Boost (XGB), Decision Tree (DT), Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) and Random Forest (RF) are used for feature selection and feature extraction. Enhanced Convolutional Neural Network (ECNN) and Enhanced Support Vector Regression (ESVR) are used as classifiers. Grid Search (GS) is used for tuning of the parameters of classifiers to increase their performance. The risk of over-fitting is mitigated by adding multiple layers in ECNN. Finally, the proposed models are compared with different benchmark schemes for stability analysis. The performance metrics MSE, RMSE, MAE, and MAPE are used to evaluate the performance of the proposed models. The experimental results show that the proposed models outperformed other benchmark schemes. ECNN performed well with threshold 0.08 for load forecasting. While ESVR performed better with threshold value 0.15 for price forecasting. ECNN achieved almost 2% better accuracy than CNN. Furthermore, ESVR achieved almost 1% better accuracy than the existing scheme (SVR).
The emergence of the Demand Response (DR) program optimizes the energy consumption pattern of customers and improves the efficacy of energy supply. The pricing infra-structure of the DR program is dynamic (time-based). It has rather complex features including marginal costs, demand and seasonal parameters. There is variation in DR price rate. Sometime prices go high (peak load) if the demand of electricity is more than the generation capacity. The main objective of DR is to encourage the consumer to shift the peak load and gets incentives in terms of cost reduction. However, prices remain the same for all the users even if they shift the peak load or not. In this work, Game Theory (GT)-based Time-of-Use (ToU) pricing model is presented to define the rates for on-peak and shoulder-peak hours. The price is defined for each user according to the utilize load. At first, the proposed model is examined using the ToU pricing scheme. Afterward, it is evaluated using existing day-ahead real-time pricing scheme. Moreover, shifting load from on-peak hours to off-peak hours may cause rebound peak in off-peak hours. To avert this issue, we analysis the impact of Salp Swam Algorithm (SSA) and Rainfall Algorithm (RFA) on user electricity bill and PAR after scheduling. The experimental results show the effectiveness of the proposed GT-based ToU pricing scheme. Furthermore, the RFA outperformed SSA.
Demand Response Management (DRM) is considered one of the crucial aspects of the smart grid as it helps to lessen the production cost of electricity and utility bills. DRM becomes a fascinating research area when numerous utility companies are involved and their announced prices reflect consumer’s behavior. This paper discusses a Stackelberg game plan between consumers and utility companies for efficient energy management. For this purpose, analytical consequences (unique solution) for the Stackelberg equilibrium are derived. Besides this, this paper presents a distributed algorithm which converges for consumers and utilities. Moreover, different power consumption activities on the basis of time series are becoming a basic need for load prediction in smart grid. Load forecasting is taken as the significant concerns in the power systems and energy management with growing technology. The better precision of load forecasting minimizes the operational costs and enhances the scheduling of the power system. The literature has discussed different techniques for demand load forecasting like neural networks, fuzzy methods, Naïve Bayes, and regression based techniques. This paper presents a novel knowledge based system for short-term load forecasting. The algorithms of Affinity Propagation and Binary Firefly Algorithm are integrated in knowledge based system. Besides, the proposed system has minimum operational time as compared to other techniques used in the paper. Moreover, the precision of the proposed model is improved by a different priority index to select similar days. The similarity in climate and date proximity are considered all together in this index. Furthermore, the whole system is distributed in sub-systems (regions) to measure the consequences of temperature. Additionally, the predicted load of the entire system is evaluated by the combination of all predicted outcomes from all regions. The paper employs the proposed knowledge based system on real time data. The proposed scheme is compared with Deep Belief Network and Fuzzy Local Linear Model Tree in terms of accuracy and operational cost. In addition, the presented system outperforms other techniques used in the paper and also decreases the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) on a yearly basis. Furthermore, the novel knowledge based system gives more efficient outcomes for demand load forecasting.
The emergence of the smart grid has empowered the consumers to manage the home energy in an efficient and effective manner. In this regard, home energy management (HEM) is a challenging task that requires efficient scheduling of smart appliances to optimize energy consumption. In this paper, we proposed a meta-heuristic based HEM system (HEMS) by incorporating the enhanced differential evolution (EDE) and harmony search algorithm (HSA). Moreover, to optimize the energy consumption, a hybridization based on HSA and EDE operators is performed. Further, multiple knapsacks are used to ensure that the load demand for electricity consumers does not exceed a threshold during peak hours. To achieve multiple objectives at the same time, hybridization proved to be effective in terms of electricity cost and peak to average ratio (PAR) reduction. The performance of the proposed technique; harmony EDE (HEDE) is evaluated via extensive simulations in MATLAB. The simulations are performed for a residential complex of multiple homes with a variety of smart appliances. The simulation results show that EDE performs better in terms of cost reduction as compared to HSA. Whereas, in terms of PAR, HSA is proved to be more efficient as compared to EDE. However, the proposed scheme outperforms the existing meta-heuristic techniques (HSA and EDE) in terms of cost and PAR. 1
Presently, the advancements in the electric system, smart meters, and implementation of renewable energy sources (RES) have yielded extensive changes to the current power grid. This technological innovation in the power grid enhances the generation of electricity to meet the demands of industrial, commercial and residential sectors. However, the industrial sectors are the focus of power grid and its demand-side management (DSM) activities. Neglecting other sectors in the DSM activities can deteriorate the total performance of the power grid. Hence, the notion of DSM and demand response by way of the residential sector makes the smart grid preferable to the current power grid. In this circumstance, this paper proposes a home energy management system (HEMS) that considered the residential sector in DSM activities and the integration of RES and energy storage system (ESS). The proposed HEMS reduces the electricity cost through scheduling of household appliances and ESS in response to the time-of-use (ToU) and critical peak price (CPP) of the electricity market. The proposed HEMS is implemented using the Earliglow based algorithm. For comparative analysis, the simulation results of the proposed method are compared with other methods: Jaya algorithm, enhanced differential evolution and strawberry algorithm. The simulation results of Earliglow based optimization method show that the integration of RES and ESS can provide electricity cost savings up to 62.80% and 20.89% for CPP and ToU. In addition, electricity cost reduction up to 43.25% and 13.83% under the CPP and ToU market prices, respectively.
With the emergence of the smart grid, both consumers and electricity providing companies can benefit from real-time interaction and pricing methods. In this work, a smart power system is considered, where consumers share a common energy source. Each consumer is equipped with a home energy management controller (HEMC) as scheduler and a smart meter. The HEMC keeps updating the utility with the load profile of the home. The smart meter is connected to a power grid having an advanced metering infrastructure which is responsible for two-way communication. Genetic teaching-learning based optimization, flower pollination teaching learning based optimization, flower pollination BAT and flower pollination genetic algorithm based energy consumption scheduling algorithms are proposed. These algorithms schedule the loads in order to shave the peak formation without compromising user comfort. The proposed algorithms achieve optimal energy consumption profile for the home appliances equipped with sensors to maximize the consumer benefits in a fair and efficient manner by exchanging control messages. Control messages contain energy consumption of consumer and real-time pricing information. Simulation results show that proposed algorithms reduce the peak-to-average ratio by 34.56% and help the users to reduce their energy expenses by 42.41% without compromising the comfort. The daily discomfort is reduced by 28.18%.
A smart grid (SG) is a modernized electric grid that enhances the reliability, efficiency, sustainability, and economics of electricity services. Moreover, it plays a vital role in modern energy infrastructure. The core challenge faced by SGs is how to efficiently utilize different kinds of front-end smart devices, such as smart meters and power assets, and in what manner to process the enormous volume of data received from these devices. Furthermore, cloud and fog computing provide on-demand resources for computation, which is a good solution to overcome SG hurdles. Fog-based cloud computing has numerous good characteristics, such as cost-saving, energy-saving, scalability, flexibility, and agility. Resource management is one of the big issues in SGs. In this paper, we propose a cloud–fog–based model for resource management in SGs. The key idea of the proposed work is to determine a hierarchical structure of cloud–fog computing to provide different types of computing services for SG resource management. Regarding the performance enhancement of cloud computing, different load balancing techniques are used. For load balancing between an SG user’s requests and service providers, five algorithms are implemented: round robin, throttled, artificial bee colony (ABC), ant colony optimization (ACO), and particle swarm optimization. Moreover, we propose a hybrid approach of ACO and ABC known as hybrid artificial bee ant colony optimization (HABACO). Simulation results show that our proposed technique HABACO outperformed the other techniques.
In this paper, we propose a demand side management (DSM) scheme in the residential area for electricity cost and peak to average ratio (PAR) alleviation with maximum users’ satisfaction. For this purpose, we implement state-of-the-art algorithms: enhanced differential evolution (EDE)and teacher learning-based optimization (TLBO). Furthermore, we propose a hybrid technique (HT) having the best features of both aforementioned algorithms. We consider a system model for single smart home as well as for a community (multiple homes) and each home consists of multiple appliances with different priorities. The priority is assigned (to each appliance) by electricity consumers and then the proposed scheme finds an optimal solution according to the assigned priorities. Day-ahead real time pricing (DA-RTP) and critical peak pricing (CPP) are used for electricity cost calculation. To validate our proposed scheme, simulations are carried out and results show that our proposed scheme efficiently achieves the aforementioned objectives. However, when we perform a comparison with existing schemes, HT outperforms other state-of-the-art schemes(TLBO and EDE) in terms of electricity cost and PAR reduction while minimizing the average waiting time.
Electricity price is a key influencer in the electricity market. Electricity market trades by each participant are based on electricity price. The electricity price adjusted with the change in supply and demand relationship can reflect the real value of electricity in the transaction process. However, for the power generating party, bidding strategy determines the level of profit, and the accurate prediction of electricity price could make it possible to determine a more accurate bidding price. This cannot only reduce transaction risk, but also seize opportunities in the electricity market. In order to effectively estimate electricity price, this paper proposes an electricity price forecasting system based on the combination of 2 deep neural networks, the Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and the Long Short Term Memory (LSTM). In order to compare the overall performance of each algorithm, the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Root-Mean-Square error (RMSE) evaluating measures were applied in the experiments of this paper. Experiment results show that compared with other traditional machine learning methods, the prediction performance of the estimating model proposed in this paper is proven to be the best. By combining the CNN and LSTM models, the feasibility and practicality of electricity price prediction is also confirmed in this paper.
Energy consumption demand is comparatively higher than available energy, new approaches are being discovered to fulfill energy demand. This problem can be solved by assimilating Demand Side Management (DSM) with Smart Grid (SG). In this work, we observe the working of Home Energy Management System (HEMS) by using three meta-heuristic techniques; Harmony Search Algorithm (HSA) and Firefly Algorithm (FA) and Bacterial Foraging Algorithm (BFA). Time Of Use (TOU) is used as a pricing signal for calculation of electricity bill. The main concern of this paper is to minimize cost, reduce Peak to Average Ratio (PAR), maximization of user comfort and load management. Load management can be done by shifting load from on-peak hours to off-peak hours. Simulation results show that implemented techniques successfully achieve the defined goals.