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Minimizing Daily Cost and Maximizing User Comfort Using a New Metaheuristic Technique


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A home energy management system intended to improve the energy consumption pattern in a smart home is proposed in this research. The objective of this work is to handle the load need in an adequate manner such that, electrical energy cost and waiting time is minimized where Peak to Average Ratio (PAR) is maintained through coordination among appliances. The proposed scheme performance is assessed for PAR, user comfort and cost. This work assess the behavior of advised plan for real-time pricing and critical peak pricing schemes.
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Minimizing Daily Cost and Maximizing
User Comfort Using a New Metaheuristic
Raza Abid Abbasi1, Nadeem Javaid1(B
), Sajjad Khan1,ShujaturRehman
Amanullah2, Rana Muhammad Asif3, and Waleed Ahmad1
1COMSATS Institute of Information Technology, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan
2Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad 44000, Pakistan
3NCBA&E, Multan, Pakistan
Abstract. A home energy management system intended to improve the
energy consumption pattern in a smart home is proposed in this research.
The objective of this work is to handle the load need in an adequate man-
ner such that, electrical energy cost and waiting time is minimized where
Peak to Average Ratio (PAR) is maintained through coordination among
appliances. The proposed scheme performance is assessed for PAR, user
comfort and cost. This work assess the behavior of advised plan for real-
time pricing and critical peak pricing schemes.
Keywords: Smart Grid ·DSM ·HEMS ·BCS
1 Introduction
In recent decades an exponential growth in the energy consumption is observed,
therefore, the gap between demand and generation is increasing. Because of the
rise in the energy need, the conventional grid is facing a number of problems
like reliability, maintenance and sustainability. Residential consumer are grow-
ing rapidly at a pace of 0.3% annually, and has large share of 27% among others
in electricity consumption [1]. In past most of the power generation was achieved
using fossil fuels to fulfill the gap between energy demand and generation. How-
ever in recent years scientists have worked on exploring new means of energy
generation, i.e., renewable and sustainable energy resources [2]. The addition of
Renewable Energy Sources (RESs) resulted in an increase in the power system
complexity, where existing grids were not able to manage that. Smart Grid (SG)
is introduced to handle the above mentioned challenges. A SG is equipped with
Information and Communication Technology (ICT), that enabled it to incorpo-
rate RESs and manage the stability and reliability of power systems. The most
important feature of SG is the control of energy production, transmission and
distribution through advanced ICTs.
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HMS Using Hybrid Meta-heuristic Optimization Technique 81
The state of the art techniques for DSM and SG are discussed in Sect. 2.
Different problems related to the DR and DSM are reflected along with their
consequences in Sect. 3. Section 4explains the suggested scheme for discussed
problemettes. Section 5highlights formerly employed techniques, Strawberry
Algorithm (SBA), Earthworm optimization Algorithm (EWA), and schemed
algorithm. Simulations outcomes are depicted and shown in Sect.6. At last,
Sect. 7draws conclusion of the work done.
2 Related Work
SG enabled the utility to manage the DR of customers to minimize the overall
load at power generating sources.
In [6] Huang et al. proposed to enhance the control of appliances in a HEMS,
considering the uncertain electricity loads and cost. A new scheme, involving,
Gradient-based Particle Swarm Optimization (GPSO) for solving the global
optimum solution and Two Point Estimation Method (2PEM) for handling the
indeterminate behavior of must load runs was introduced. Thus, the presented
GPSO-2PEM can minimize processing cost and can be easily applied in an
embedded device having limited resources. Hansen et al. proposed HEMS scheme
for reducing the household electricity bill in [7] using RTP pricing scheme. They
introduced non-myopic Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP)
technique for reducing the peak demand which ultimately reduces the overall
electricity cost.
In [8] authors proposed a new HEMS which aims at minimizing the next day
energy cost and disturbance to the user with RTP and household photo-voltaic
penetrations. In proposed system, first user defined electricity usage restrictions
are set. Then, an optimal scheduling model is proposed based on the predicted
solar output and energy prices. It will support the decision making for the RES
operations. They used advanced adaptive thermal comfort model for sensing the
users indoor thermal comfort degree which supports in scheduling the heating,
ventilating and air conditioning systems. Where, user disturbance value met-
ric is suggested to understand the psychological disturbance of an appliance
schedule on the users preference. Luo et al., worked on optimize scheduling of
Distributed Residential Energy Resources (DRERs) in [9]. They worked for a SH
having varying electricity pricing and high RES penetrations. They used Monte
Carlo sampling technique for handling the uncertainties of solar power output.
Users preferences are also taken into account with different levels of priority,
i.e., normal and high. Considering all this, an optimal DRER scheduling model
is proposed to minimize the electricity bill. Authors used natural aggregation
algorithm to solve the proposed model.
Elghitani et al., proposed a methodology for residential demand aggrega-
tion, based on a multi-class queuing system in [10]. Authors used this model for
reducing the cost of the energy power consumption below day-ahead predicted
pricing. Proposed scheme achieves a cost that is close to the best solution. In [11]
Mosaddek Hossain et al., proposed a Real-time Decentralized DSM (RDCDSM)
82 R. A. Abbasi et al.
to adjust the real-time residential load to follow a preplanned day-ahead energy
generation by the microgrid. based on predicted customers aggregate load. A
deviation from the predicted demand at the time of consumption is assumed
to result in additional cost or penalty. Wu et al. in [12] considered the energy
storage uncertainties due to intermittent renewable energy supplies and energy
storage opportunity. Authors proposed a new stochastic dynamic programming
model for the optimal energy management of a smart home with Plug-in Electric
Vehicle (PEV) energy storage. They worked on minimizing the energy cost while
satisfying the user energy demand and PEV storage requirements.
In [13]Moonet al., used 2-stage forecasting scheme for prediction of opti-
mal operation of power system in educational buildings using Short Term Load
Forecasting (STLF) model. Authors collected load data of a university campus
for last five year. Where, using the moving average method found the electric
load pattern of day of a week. Random forest method is being used with time
series cross-validation for forecasting the daily electric load. Keles et al. in [14]
proposed a new scheme that uses Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for predicting
the electricity prices. In a ANN forecasting scheme the output performance is
dependent on the parameter sets, therefore, selection and preparation of funda-
mental data that has prominent effect on the electricity prices is in more focus.
3 Problem Statement
From the time of its evolution, SG has a number of complications as well, i.e.,
energy transferring, equality, surveillance and secrecy at DSM level [5]. The
uneven use of electricity on user side rises the burden on the power distribution
and power generating system. Due to irregular usage, energy required in some
hours (peak hours) increases exponentially. Such high demand results in using
extra generation units to provide the required energy, which subsequently results
increase in cost. Therefore, DSM needs a proficient scheme that can distribute
the load between peak hours and off peak hours evenly.
Although, authors have already done a lot of work on DSM for reducing cost,
waiting time and PAR. Authors in [6,10,17,18] worked on DR optimization con-
sidering uncertainties of must run load, aimed at reducing the upper bound of
energy consumption cost, however PAR was not considered. In [7,8,11] authors
worked on reducing the peak demand through scheduling techniques for appli-
ances incorporating the RES, however user comfort was not considered.
4 Proposed System Model
For efficient usage of electricity, DSM is the base for HEMS. Smart appliances in
a SH are connected to one another and Energy Management Controller (EMC)
through Home Area Network (HAN). Energy usage data from smart appliances
is sent to EMC and then EMC process that data for making important deci-
sions. Utility get the information sent from SM and executes required processing
accordingly. Utility propagates the pricing signal and the consumer required
HMS Using Hybrid Meta-heuristic Optimization Technique 83
energy to SM. SM sends the information coming through the utility with the
EMC. Now, EMC possesses the data collected from appliances and the cost infor-
mation received from utility. Information collected from utility and appliances
in used by EMC for optimum appliances scheduling. EMC uses the Strawberry
Algorithm (SBA), Earthworm Optimization Algorithm (EWA) and proposed
scheme for scheduling. The goal of the scheduling is to reduce PAR, maximize
user satisfaction through minimizing waiting time and reducing cost. The dis-
cussed system model is displayed in Fig. 1.
In our proposed model, we have a house, using 11 appliances and those appli-
ances are distributed among different classes. We classify appliances in three
main classes, i.e., Fixed, shift-able and interruptible appliances. Fixed appli-
ances require to be ON according to the specified schedule. Those appliances
that are optional to scheduling but the can not be interrupted while they are
working are classified as Shiftable appliances. Furthermore, there is a condition
for washing dryer that it can start its operation when washing machine has com-
pleted its operation. Appliances those are schedulable as well as interruptible are
placed in Interruptible appliances category. Table1, displays the classified smart
appliances as well as their LoT and power rating in respective columns. The pro-
posed schemes objective is to: minize PAR, maximize user comfort by reducing
waiting time and reducing total cost.
Table 1. Control parameters
Classes Appliances LoT (h) PR (kWh)
Fixed appliances Light 12 0.1
Coffee maker 40.5
Oven 9 3
Blender 41.2
Shiftable appliances Washing machine 50.5
Cloth dryer 4 4
Dish washer 41.5
Interruptible appliances Water heater 12 1.1
Space heater 12 1.5
Iron 61.1
Vacuum cleaner 50.5
5 Metaheuristic Optimization Algorithms
Meta-heuristic algorithms are structured to provide solution to almost any type
of problem. Therefore, we will use metaheuristic techniques for finding the solu-
tion to scheduling home appliances problem. In this study we are dedicated to
84 R. A. Abbasi et al.
Fig. 1. System model
total energy consumption cost minimization and user comfort maximization.
Now we will discuss the selected metaheuristic algorithms.
5.1 SBA
SBA is a nature inspired numerical optimization algorithm. This algorithm is
derived from the strawberry plant behavior for searching the resources and is
being used for solving complex computing problems. Strawberry plant uses both
runners and root for searching resources like water and minerals. Where, these
runners being used for global search and roots being used for local search. Runner
and roots are randomly initialized at the beginning. While algorithm running,
when these runners and roots finds new resources then the reproduction starts
which results in more runners and roots. The locations of roots and runners at
a specific iteration is calculated using Eq. 4. Where, Xroot(i)andXrunner (i)are
matrices containing locations of roots and runners respectively. Equations5 and
6 are used for optimization and is the mathematical representation of strawberry
5.2 EWA
Earthworm executes numerous optimization runs during the reproduction pro-
cess. Reproduction process of the earthworm follows following steps.
Every earthworm is capable of participating in regeneration process, it can
reproduce at most two earthworms.
The singular generated earthworm contains the complete genetic behavior of
its parent that is of same length as parent.
The single fit earthworm supports a straight next generation and can not be
changed by operators. It guarantees that earthworm can not end with the
increment in generations.
HMS Using Hybrid Meta-heuristic Optimization Technique 85
5.3 Proposed
Our proposed scheme is based on the behavior of plant roots and earthworm.
Plant root search resources, i.e., minerals and water and grows in the direction of
best possible route to the resource. Earthworm performs numerous runs during
the reproduction process. Every earthworm has the ability to reproduce and has
same capability of reproduction like parent earthworm. In our proposed scheme
we consider plants as solution to the problem, plant roots for finding the global
optimum solution and earthworm capability for local optimum solution. The
resource found quality is mapped as fitness function in our proposed scheme.
The steps followed in our proposed scheme are listed below.
Algorithm 1. Proposed Scheme Algorithm for Appliance Scheduling.
Require: Input: [Initialized the population]
while iteration < M axN umbererI teration do
for i1tosize(population)do
Generate offspring through Reproduction 1
Generate offspring through Reproduction 2
end for
for j1tosize(Primes)do
Perform Crossover
end for
Evaluation of fitness
for i1tosize(population)do
Select random location by chance as mother of the next iteration
end for
Apply mutate
Local best solution is extracted for iteration j
end while
Global best solution is achieved
Appliances are scheduled
6 Simulation Results and Discussion
We evaluated the performance of our proposed technique for reducing the cost.
The results obtained from extensive simulation are discussed here in this section.
We compared results obtained from simulations with other techniques, i.e.,
Earthworm optimization Algorithm (EWA) and Strawberry Algorithm (SBA).
Critical Peak Pricing (CPP) and Real Time Pricing (RTP) pricing signals are
used to examine the usage pattern of the electricity by the users. We consid-
ered single home with eleven appliances, i.e., D = 11 for simulation purpose.
We classified these appliances in three different classes, i.e., Fixed Appliances
(FA), Shiftable Appliances (SA) and Interruptible Appliances (IA). These appli-
ances are selected due to their frequent use in winter. Light, coffee maker, oven
and blender are included in FA. FA can neither be shifted nor interrupted.
86 R. A. Abbasi et al.
Washing machine, cloth dryer and dish washer are included in SA. These appli-
ances can not be interrupted once they have started their working, however these
appliances can be shifted. Water heater, space heater, iron and vacuum cleaner
are included in IA. This group of appliances can be shifted as well as interrupted.
CPP and RTP are used for load, cost and PAR calculation.
6.1 Pricing Tariff
As mentioned earlier, we will evaluate our proposed scheme using CPP and RTP
pricing signals. Here we will discuss CPP and RTP pricing tariff.
6.1.1 CPP Tariff
During hot summer weekdays utilities face emergency conditions. Due to critical
condition during a specific time period utility impose high price rate. The energy
cost through this interval are commonly above average. CPP has two different
types. In the first variant specific instance of time and amount of peak prices is
already known. In the second variant, electricity prices changes with the use of
electricity. If electricity use is increased electricity price also increases to reduce
the load on the utility. Maximum fifteen time these critical hours are allowed in
a season.
6.1.2 RTP Tariff
The RTP pricing scheme is also called dynamic price rate due to its varying
nature. It depends on amount of electricity used per hour. It feeds details about
actual cost of power at a specific time to the user. It empowers the user to
acclimate their working hours from on peak hours to off peak hours, which
results in saving. It is aided using SM which allows the mutual exchange of
information between utility and consumer. Utilities calculate the bill in RTP as
sum of two different elements.
(a) Base cost is computed based on Customer Baseline Load (CBL). It is a
standard defined tariff.
(b) Per hour usage cost is put in based on the time of use of electricity. This is
the basic difference between CBL and the actual usage.
Figures 4and 5are showing the CPP and RTP power consumption pattern for
unscheduled and scheduled schemes, i.e., SBA, EWA and proposed respectively.
The proposed scheme is scheduling the energy in an efficient way in comparison
to alternatives. However, proposed scheme load consumption in last hour is high
which is due to reducing load consumption during peak hours (Fig. 2).
Figures 6and 7are showing the unscheduled, SBA, EWA and proposed scheme
hourly cost respectively for CPP and RTP pricing schemes respectively. It is
evident from figures that proposed scheme is performing better then other schedul-
ing schemes while transferring the high energy demand to off peak hours. Further-
more, we can see that even SBA and EWA are performing better than unscheduled
(Fig. 3).
HMS Using Hybrid Meta-heuristic Optimization Technique 87
Fig. 2. CPP per hour load
Fig. 3. RTP per hour load
The PAR for unscheduled, SBA, EWA and proposed scheme using CPP
and RTP pricing schemes is displayed in Figs. 8and 9respectively. In case of
CPP pricing scheme PAR is reduced by 58.77%, 62.29% and 58.15% using SBA,
EWA and proposed scheme. Here, EWA outperformed other schemes. In case of
RTP pricing scheme PAR is reduced by 54.99%, 54.86% and 51.42% using SBA,
EWA and proposed scheme. Here, SBA outperformed other schemes. It is worth
mentioning that all schemes performed better than unscheduled.
Figures 10 and 11 are displaying the waiting time for unscheduled, SBA, EWA
and proposed scheme using CPP and RTP pricing schemes respectively. In case
of CPP pricing scheme waiting time is reduced to 23.37%, 25.41% and 18.77% for
SBA, EWA and proposed scheme. Here, proposed scheme outperformed other
schemes. In case of RTP pricing scheme waiting time is reduced to 24.16%,
24.28% and 18.13% using SBA, EWA and proposed scheme. Here, proposed
scheme outperformed other schemes. It is also noticed that all schemes performed
better than unscheduled.
88 R. A. Abbasi et al.
Fig. 4. CPP hourly cost
Fig. 5. RTP hourly cost
Fig. 6. CPP peak to average ratio
HMS Using Hybrid Meta-heuristic Optimization Technique 89
Fig. 7. RTP peak to average ratio
Fig. 8. CPP waiting time
Figures 12 and 13 are displaying the total cost for unscheduled, SBA, EWA
and proposed scheme using CPP and RTP pricing schemes respectively. In case
of CPP pricing scheme cost is reduced by 18.75%, 30.65% and 26.99% using
SBA, EWA and proposed scheme. Here, EWA outperformed other schemes. In
case of RTP pricing scheme cost is reduced by 13.99%, 15.25% and 27.05% using
SBA, EWA and proposed scheme. Here, our proposed scheme outperformed other
The proposed scheme minimizes the waiting time, however, it compromises
for PAR and cost in case of CPP pricing signal. Where, proposed scheme mini-
mizes the waiting time and cost, however, it compromises PAR in case of RTP
pricing signal.
90 R. A. Abbasi et al.
Fig. 9. RTP waiting time
Fig. 10. CPP total cost
Fig. 11. RTP total cost
HMS Using Hybrid Meta-heuristic Optimization Technique 91
7 Conclusion
DSM is focused to manage the appliances on the user end for efficient use of
energy. Load shifting technique of DSM is used in proposed HEMS to attain
the desired results. A single house consisting of various appliances is considered
for scheduling. Each appliance of house is scheduled using three heuristic tech-
niques; SBA, EWA, and proposed scheme. The proposed scheme helps to find the
most optimal schedule of each house appliance considering the constraints. The
performance of applied techniques is assessed with respect to basic parameters:
PAR, user comfort and energy consumption cost. The cost of energy consump-
tion is calculated using RTP and CPP pricing schemes. Control parameters and
categorization of appliances is kept same, however, power rating of electrical
devices and their types is kept same for a fair comparison. Results are depicting
that waiting time is reduced to 18.77% in case of CPP and 18.13% for RTP
pricing scheme which is best with respect to SBA and EWA. Cost is reduced by
27.05% in case of RTP which is best in comparison to the other two techniques.
However, there is a trade-off, as we cannot achieve the best values for all three
performance parameters simultaneously.
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... Shiftable appliances include air conditioner, clothes dryer, washing machine, dishwasher, refrigerator, coffee maker, water heater, and space heater while the non-shiftable appliances were fan, light, iron, toaster, and microwave oven. Abbasi et al. [64] used eleven appliances which were classified into three categories fixed appliances, shiftable appliances, interruptible appliances. Fixed appliances include light, oven, blender, coffee maker. ...
... Abbasi et al. [64] proposed a novel meta-heuristic load shifting technique to schedule the appliances in a smart home. The objective of the proposed technique is to manage the load in such a way that EC and WT are minimized and PAR is maintained throughout the operation of appliances. ...
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Smart grid (SG) is a next-generation grid which is responsible for changing the lifestyle of modern society. It avoids the shortcomings of traditional grids by incorporating new technologies in the existing grids. In this paper, we have presented SG in detail with its features, advantages, and architecture. The demand side management techniques used in smart grid are also presented. With the wide usage of domestic appliances in homes, the residential users need to optimize the appliance scheduling strategies. These strategies require the consumer's flexibility and awareness. Optimization of the power demand for home appliances is a challenge faced by both utility and consumers, particularly during peak hours when the consumption of electricity is on the higher side. Therefore, utility companies have introduced various time-varying incentives and dynamic pricing schemes that provides different rates of electricity at different times depending on consumption. The residential appliance scheduling problem (RASP) is the problem of scheduling appliances at appropriate periods considering the pricing schemes. The objectives of RASP are to minimize electricity cost (EC) of users, minimize the peak-to-average ratio (PAR), and improve the user satisfaction (US) level by minimizing waiting times for the appliances. Various methods have been studied for energy management in residential sectors which encourage the users to schedule their appliances efficiently. This paper aims to give an overview of optimization techniques for residential appliance scheduling. The reviewed studies are classified into classical techniques, heuristic approaches, and meta-heuristic algorithms. Based on this overview, the future research directions are proposed.
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An energy-management system requires accurate prediction of the electric load for optimal energy management. However, if the amount of electric load data is insufficient, it is challenging to perform an accurate prediction. To address this issue, we propose a novel electric load forecasting scheme using the electric load data of diverse buildings. We first divide the electric energy consumption data into training and test sets. Then, we construct multivariate random forest (MRF)-based forecasting models according to each building except the target building in the training set and a random forest (RF)-based forecasting model using the limited electric load data of the target building in the test set. In the test set, we compare the electric load of the target building with that of other buildings to select the MRF model that is the most similar to the target building. Then, we predict the electric load of the target building using its input variables via the selected MRF model. We combine the MRF and RF models by considering the different electric load patterns on weekdays and holidays. Experimental results demonstrate that combining the two models can achieve satisfactory prediction performance even if the electric data of only one day are available for the target building.
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Home energy management system (HEMS) provides an effective solution to assist residential users in dealing with the complexity of dynamic electricity prices. This study proposes a new HEMS in contexts of real-time electricity tariff and high residential photovoltaic penetrations. First, the HEMS accepts user-specified residential energy resource operation restrictions as inputs. Then, based on the forecasted solar power outputs and electricity prices, an optimal scheduling model is proposed to support the decision making of the residential energy resource (RES) operations. For the scheduling of heating, ventilating, and air conditioning system, an advanced adaptive thermal comfort model is employed to estimate the user's indoor thermal comfort degree. For the controllable appliances, the ‘user disturbance value’ metric is proposed to estimate the psychological disturbances of an appliance schedule on the user's preference. The proposed scheduling model aims to minimise the future 1 day energy costs and disturbances to the user. A new biological self-aggregation intelligence inspired metaheuristic algorithm recently proposed by the authors (a natural aggregation algorithm) is applied to solve the model. Extensive simulations are conducted to validate the proposed method.
Advances in bilateral communication technology foster the improvement and development of Home Energy Management System (HEMS). This paper proposes a new HEMS to optimally schedule Home Energy Resources (HER) in a high rooftop photovoltaic penetrated environment. The proposed HEMS includes three stages: forecasting, day-ahead scheduling, and actual operation. In the forecasting stage, short-term forecasting is performed to generate day-ahead forecasted photovoltaic solar power and home load profiles; in the day-ahead scheduling stage, a Peak-to-Average Ratio constrained coordinated HER scheduling model is proposed to minimize the 1-day home operation cost; in the actual operation stage, a model predictive control based operational strategy is proposed to correct HER operations with the update of real-time information, so as to minimize the deviation of actual and day-ahead scheduled net-power consumption of the house. An adaptive thermal comfort model is applied in the proposed HEMS to provide decision-support on the scheduling of the heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) system of the house. The proposed approach is then validated based on Australian real datasets.
Advances in metering and two-way communication technologies foster the studies of Home Energy Management System (HEMS). This study proposes a new HEMS, which optimally schedules the distributed residential energy resources (DRERs) in a smart home environment with varying electricity tariff and high solar penetrations. The uncertainties of solar power output are captured by using Monte Carlo sampling technique to generate multiple solar output scenarios based on the probabilistic solar radiation model. The homeowner's rigid and elastic restrictions on the operations of the automatically controlled household appliances are modelled. Based on this, an optimal DRER scheduling model is proposed to minimise the home operation cost while taking into account the homeowner's requirements. A new heuristic optimisation algorithm recently proposed by the authors, i.e. natural aggregation algorithm, is used to solve the proposed model. Simulations based on real Australian solar data are conducted to validate the proposed method.
With the development of smart grid, energy consumption on residence will play an important role in the electricity market, while the Home Energy Management System (HEMS) has huge potential to help energy conservation. In this study, a practical HEMS model with renewable energy, storage devices and plug-in electric vehicles, considering the battery sustainability and the full utilisation of the renewable energy, is first established. Then, according to the combinations of the genetic algorithm (GA) and the multi-constrained integer programming method, an improved GA is proposed, which goal is to minimise the electricity purchase and maximise the renewable energy utilisation. Finally, it is demonstrated by an example that the proposed method is significant in cost saving and reducing energy wastes. To verify the performances of the proposed algorithm, the numerical results indicate that the proposed algorithm has high computational efficiency and good robustness. In addition, it can avoid the disadvantages easy to trap at a local optimal point, and are insensitive to initial solutions. The effect of the storage device on system property and the sensitivity of cost savings versus demand response, size of the battery, and the electricity price sell to the grid are also analysed.
The evolution in microgrid technologies as well as the integration of electric vehicles (EVs), energy storage systems (ESSs) and renewable energy sources (RESs) will all play a significant role in balancing the planned generation of electricity and its real-time use. We propose a real-time decentralized demand-side management (RDCDSM) to adjust the real-time residential load to follow a pre-planned day-ahead energy generation by the microgrid, based on predicted customers' aggregate load. A deviation from the predicted demand at the time of consumption is assumed to result in additional cost or penalty inflicted on the deviated customers. To develop our system, we formulate a game with mixed strategy which in the first phase (i.e., prediction phase) allows each customer to process the day ahead raw predicted demand to reduce the anticipated electricity cost by generating a flattened curve for its forecasted future demand. Then, in the second stage (i.e., allocation phase), customers play another game with mixed strategy to mitigate the deviation between the instantaneous real-time consumption and the day-ahead predicted one. To achieve this, customers exploit renewable energy and energy storage systems and decide optimal strategies for their charging/discharging, taking into account their operational constraints. RDCDSM will help the microgrid operator better deals with uncertainties in the system through better planning its day-ahead electricity generation and purchase, thus increasing the quality of power delivery to the customer. We evaluate the performance of our method against a centralized allocation and an existing decentralized EV charge control non-cooperative game method both which relies on a day ahead demand prediction without any refinement. We run simulations with various microgrid configurations, by varying the load and generated power and compare the outcomes.
Current demand response (DR) programs focus on industrial consumers as they can provide a large magnitude of demand modification. In order to extend DR programs to the residential sector, aggregating service demands from a large number of residential consumers is necessary in order to achieve a sensible benefit to the power network. In this paper, we propose a methodology for residential demand aggregation, based on a multi-class queueing system. Each class represents demand blocks of a specific power level, time duration, and a service delay requirement. We use this model to minimize the cost of the appliances' aggregated power consumption under day-ahead pricing (DAP). Using realistic appliances’ data, we show that the proposed framework achieves a cost reduction that is close to the best achievable one.
Conference Paper
While electricity demand forecasting literature has focused on large, industrial, and national demand, this paper focuses on short-term (1 and 24 hour ahead) electricity demand forecasting for residential customers at the individual and aggregate level. Since electricity consumption behavior may vary between households, we first build a feature universe, and then apply Correlation-based Feature Selection to select features relevant to each household. Additionally, smart meter data can be used to obtain aggregate forecasts with higher accuracy using the so-called Cluster-based Aggregate Forecasting (CBAF) strategy, i.e., by first clustering the households, forecasting the clusters' energy consumption separately, and finally aggregating the forecasts. We found that the improvement provided by CBAF depends not only on the number of clusters, but also more importantly on the size of the customer base.
This paper proposes a stochastic dynamic programming framework for the optimal energy management of a smart home with plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) energy storage. This work is motivated by the challenges associated with intermittent renewable energy supplies and the local energy storage opportunity presented by vehicle electrification. This paper seeks to minimize electricity ratepayer cost, while satisfying home power demand and PEV charging requirements. First, various operating modes are defined, including vehicle-to-grid (V2G), vehicle-to-home (V2H), and grid-to-vehicle (G2V). Second, we use equivalent circuit PEV battery models and probabilistic models of trip time and trip length to formulate the PEV to smart home energy management stochastic optimization problem. Finally, based on time-varying electricity price and time-varying home power demand, we examine the performance of the three operating modes for typical weekdays.
Real-time pricing (RTP) is a utility-offered dynamic pricing program to incentivize customer to make changes in their energy usage. A home energy management system (HEMS) automates the energy usage in a smart home in response to utility pricing signals. We present three new HEMS techniques —one myopic approach and two non-myopic partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) approaches—for minimizing the household electricity bill in such an RTP market. In a simulation study, we compare the performance of the new HEMS methods with a mathematical lower bound and the status quo. We show that the non-myopic POMDP approach can provide a 10–30% saving over the status quo.