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Capital Budgeting Applied to Serbian Poplar Plantations

Authors:
  • University of Belgrade, Faculty of Forestry, Belgrade, Serbia

Abstract and Figures

Background and Purpose: Capital budgeting is the process in which a business determines and evaluates potential large expenses or investments. These expenditures and investments include projects such as building a new plant or investing in a long-term venture. In the case of poplar plantations in Serbia, a prospective project's lifetime cash inflows and outflows can be assessed in order to determine whether generated potential returns meet a sufficient target benchmark, also known as "investment appraisal". The purpose of this study is to show relative profitability of alternative courses of action in poplar plantations. Material and Methods: The investigated plantations were established from Populus x euramericana cl. I-214 on different soil types, situated in north-western part of Serbia, with planting spacing 6x3 m, differently aged, mainly for technical wood production. The data used in this study were collected from the management and materials books of the "Vojvodinašume" Public Forest Enterprise , which is the official owner of these stands. All of the plantations are state-owned. At the end the supply chain of poplar wood production is presented. Different capital budgeting techniques and different discount rates are employed to determine which types of poplar plantations, treated as separate projects, will or not will yield the most return over an applicable period of time. Results and Conclusions: The financial effects for sample plot plantations were first evaluated with an external funder prerequisite of 12% discount rate, and continued with different investment appraisal discount rates. For the discount rate r=12%, all tested areas had a negative net present value (NPV). Average internal rate of return (IRR) is 5.63% and payback period is acceptable for the investor at 6% and less. The average benefit-cost analysis amount is 0.36 for all stands with a discount rate of r=12%. Keywords: capital budgeting, strategy, discount rate, poplar, costs, revenues
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Capital Budgeng Applied to Serbian Poplar Plantaons
  1

ISSN 1847-6481
eISSN 1849-0891
 
(1)
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South-east Eur for    
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      
     




       
       




    




        
        

P. euramericana
 I-214)         
        
        
        
   
       


    
 




       

KEČA LJ
2 


        
         
           
         
         



    


          
        
   
         
        



      
       
        
         
      
         
       

   
        

       

         


          

        

   
  

          
 
         
      
       





      
       
       




     
PopuluseuramericanaI-214 
,
   .    

   


           
   
         
    

          
    

   

        



    
        
       

   

       

         
         

 
         
         
        
        
       
         
      


       
        
         



   



  



 

Capital Budgeng Applied to Serbian Poplar Plantaons
  3














 









  
p=12% )IRR  
p=4%  R
        
  I     
  I     
  I     
  I     
  I     
  I 29     
  III 29     
  III 29     
  III      
  I     
  I     
       

  






r = 6% r = 4% 

r
ТPТP
     
     
     +
     
     +
     +
     
     
     +
     
     
     
     




KEČA LJ
4 
        
     
 

         
     
        



   

       



         


      
        




       
   
        

    

        
        
         
   
        
        
      

2
       
       
       
        


         
   
       
 
       
       
       
      
        
       
        
     
  

p
  

       
      R   
 
      
         
   
p
    
p


      

      


   
    
  
  


       

        
    
  
       
     
        



       

     
         
   
        
  
       
         
    
     
        
     


       


       


   
       




Capital Budgeng Applied to Serbian Poplar Plantaons
  5

 
  
         

   





        
     
      







      
      
  
       
      
  
    


   

     
        
      

   
      


  


          
        
           
      
    
         
         
         
       
           

       
  

   
       

        
   

       


           








 

n
n

 
2
   
 
            


KEČA LJ
6 




























 












Capital Budgeng Applied to Serbian Poplar Plantaons
  7


 
       
        
    
         
 
    
       
          
 


           
        
   Forestry   

         
   
Project Appraisal

          
Balc For
        
      
   

          
       
      
  Int For Rev     

        
       
 South-east Eur for     

         

In eds 


         
       
     

Ined) 
   

          
      
   In     eds)
   
     

        

          
      
    Crical reviews in
environmental science and technology
   BioScience

  
       
  


        
  

    
       

 
     

       

 

         
     
    Journal of Agricultural and
Applied Economics     

 
 

 
  J Forest 

 
      Forest
Policy Econ 2    

       
     
      

       
      

 
  Can J Forest Res 

  Can
J Forest Res

        
     
 Int J Project Man     

         

    


  
        
 New Forests    


KEČA LJ
8 
       
  Renew Agr
Food Syst     

        

Bullen of the Faculty of Forestry University
of Belgrade
        
  
   Bullen of the Faculty of Forestry
University of Belgrade
        

Bullen of the Faculty of
Forestry University of Belgrade
        

    Bullen of the Faculty of
Forestry University of Belgrade
      
    
Int J Log Manag

         
      In
eds 


        
    In
 
(eds


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Cost-effectiveness of polar cultivation was analyzed based on one of the indicators for the assessment of agriculture and forestry projects - cost-benefit (r). Poplar plantations of the clone I-214 of different rotations and on different soil types were analyzed in the area of Ravni Srem. The aim of the study was to evaluate the justification of the invested financial means in wood production in poplar plantations, based on the analysis of costs and receipts at different plantation ages, using the cost-benefit method. It was found that in all 13 analyzed compartments, the average cost-benefit ratio was 0.36. This means that the costs at the discount rate of 12% are about 2.8 times higher than the receipts. Accordingly, it can be asserted that it is economically unjustified to invest in the projected stands, but only in the case when the value of social capital accounts for 12%. Based on the analysis of sensitivity of the cost-benefit method, it was concluded that cost benefit ratio for p=8-12% was below 1 within the study range of costs and receipts changes, while for p=4-6% this ratio was above 1 in some cases of decrease in costs, i.e. increase in receipts. It was noted that the change in r depending on the change in costs, developed by the exponential function, and the change in r depending on the change in receipts developed by the linear function. Also, it was concluded that at the lower discount rates, the values of r moved towards 1, so for 8% r=0.71, and for 6% r=0.94. The value at the discount rate of 4% indicates that the project is cost-effective and that the invested € 1 makes € 1.22. This fact is especially important when poplar cultivation projects are ranked. For this reason, this method is used for the evaluation of social benefits, i.e. for economic analyses. It is almost never applied in the analysis of private investments.
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Poplars belong to the most productive tree species in Serbia. Production complexity of poplar wood requires rational and well-planned management. Conventional poplar growing in Serbia is characterized by high costs of plantation establishment, as it is common to use the technology of full ground and soil preparation with a lot of working operations, which are analysed in the article. Costs can be reduced by finding out the solution in the field of soil preparation for afforestation and choice of working operations which show a higher level of economic efficiency in the future. It will influence to cost-revenue ratio of poplar cultivation and possibly also the price of the product, i.e. logs for further wood processing. Costs and revenues in poplar plantations are presented using the analysis of their dynamics in selected forest compartments of Ravni Srem (Forest Estate " Sremska Mitrovica " , P.E. " Vojvodinašume " , Republic of Serbia). The stands which are analysed are grown on different soil types and are of different age, while their initial planting density is the same 6 × 6 m. Also revenues from the analysed compartments are presented. The results obtained in this way don't have just a commercial importance, but also some social relevance. The social interests can be: increase in forest cover, ecological benefits, stable and safe market supply with wood raw material, etc. In practice, it is necessary to improve the position of wood producers in getting deficient financial means for the investment in poplar cultivation, so as to stimulate the establishment of poplar plantations, especially in the private sector, on lands which are not attractive for agriculture production.
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Throughout the past 40 years, Sharpe has remained one of the most influential voices in finance for both academics and practitioners. As is true for all of Sharpe's writings, investment professionals will do well to readInvestors and Marketsand carefully absorb its insights.