The HKH region is experiencing non-climatic as well as cryospheric drivers of change (high confidence). Cryospheric change in the region has implications for
the lives and livelihoods of more than 1.9 billion people. Understanding the intersections between cryospheric change and societies is essential to undertaking
effective adaptation policies and practices to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals.
Impacts of non-climatic drivers of change: People in the HKH region are experiencing multiple climatic and non-climatic drivers of change. These drivers of change are interwoven and have significant impact on the lives and livelihoods of mountain people as well as their capacity to respond or adapt to these changes. Mountainous areas in the region have witnessed economic growth and infrastructural and technological development, which is expected to continue (high
confidence). Access of local communities to governmental institutions and their services is improving (high confidence), but this is also resulting in a weakening of
traditional institutions (high confidence), with implications for adaptive capacity.
Impacts of cryospheric change on society The major livelihoods of mountain communities are agriculture, livestock, tourism, and the collection and trading of medicinal and aromatic plants. The contribution of cryospheric services to these mountain livelihoods is high (high confidence). Cryospheric change, particularly
changes in snowfall pattern, have adversely affected the livelihoods of communities (high confidence). Major adverse impacts include crop loss and failure, fodder
shortage, livestock deaths, decrease in the availability of medicinal and aromatic plants, and degradation of aesthetic experiences. In many areas, communities have
abandoned agriculture and pastoralism in response to cryospheric change and other non-climatic drivers to cryospheric change and other non-climatic drivers of change (medium confidence). These impacts have increased the socioeconomic vulnerability of mountain communities (high confidence), including food and nutrition insecurity. However, there are a few short-term positive impacts of cryospheric change on agriculture, pastoralism, and tourism – such as improved access to previously inaccessible sites for animal grazing and tourism. As the cryosphere changes along with the social, economic, and political dynamics in mountain societies, these cryosphere–livelihood linkages may gradually
decrease (low confidence).
High mountain communities in the HKH region are heavily dependent on snow and glacial meltwater to meet their water needs (high confidence). This reliance is not limited to mountainous areas. Water supply systems in downstream regions, including in densely populated urban settlements, are dependent on meltwater for domestic and commercial purposes (high confidence). Along with growing demand,
poor management, and insufficient infrastructure, cryospheric change is likely to further exacerbate water shortages in the region (high confidence). Water stress in transboundary river basins in the HKH region – particularly the Indus, Ganges, and Amu Darya – have led to both conflicts as well as cooperation for managing water
resources among the countries sharing the river basins (medium confidence).
Components of the cryosphere also play a major role in the cultural, religious, and spiritual beliefs and practices of high mountain societies and influence their well-being (medium confidence). Human societies have ascribed spiritual relevance to the high mountains since ancient times; pilgrimages to the mountains have been made since the beginning of recorded human history. Tied to the spiritual reverence Indigenous communities hold for their natural environs is the understanding that there is a need to protect the local environment, including its cryospheric components (low confidence). Loss of the aesthetic properties of the mountains, glaciers, and snow cover could be perceived as a loss of honour and pride and be interpreted as consequences of diminished morality and ethics (low confidence). These effects could potentially decrease the attractiveness of high mountain sites for tourists, impacting local livelihoods (low confidence).
Cryosphere-related hazards in the region have caused significant losses and damages of property, infrastructure, and lives, including tangible and intangible cultural heritage (high confidence). These disasters have led to a loss of traditional knowledge, increased social and economic burdens, and caused psychological stress and displacement (high confidence). People’s perceptions of cryosphere-related risks are shaped by socioeconomic, cultural, religious, and political factors,
all of which determine their responses (low confidence). Cryosphere-related hazards are becoming more complex and devastating as they are increasingly interlinked with other environmental extremes (e.g., landslides, rockfall, seismic activity, and heavy rain), creating cascading hazards (medium confidence). The exposure of people and infrastructure to these hazards has increased due to
a rise in population and an intensification of economic activities in the region (medium confidence). Cryosphere related hazards are projected to increase in the HKH region in the future, adding investment burdens with long-term implications for national and regional economies (medium confidence).
Understanding of the implications of cryospheric change on livelihoods, water supply, and cultural heritage in upstream and downstream communities remains inadequate for robust adaptation action and effective sustainable development (high confidence).
Adaptation to cryospheric change: Adaptation measures adopted by households and communities in response to cryospheric change can be broadly categorised as behavioural, technological, infrastructural, financial, regulatory, institutional, and
informational. Behavioural and technological measures are the most reported across different sectors. These measures are mostly reactive, autonomous, and incremental in nature, and unable to fulfil the necessary speed, depth, and
scope of adaptation (high confidence). With cryospheric change possibly taking on unprecedented trajectories, these measures may not be effective in the long term. There are concerns that communities may not be able to cope with an increased magnitude and complexity of extreme events as they try and navigate persistent socioeconomic challenges (high confidence).
Local communities are already abandoning their traditional livelihoods and settlements, pointing towards an evident adaptation deficit to cryospheric change (medium confidence). Constraints and limits to adaptation, along with insufficient understanding of the interactions between cryospheric and non-climatic drivers and the associated impacts on mountain societies, could potentially hinder the overall target of achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (medium confidence). To address this, there is an urgent need to integrate adaptation to cryospheric change with sustainable development, specifically in the high mountains (high confidence).