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Limits to Adapting to Climate Change Through Relocations in Papua-New Guinea and Fiji

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This paper studies evidences from community relocations in Papua New Guinea and Fiji that have shown that loss of culture are unavoidable results of relocation if customary land tenure is not considered at very early stage at relocation process. Good governance and best practice addressing limits to adaptation should include this dimension. Post-relocation vulnerability associated to land-based conflicts and the loss of customary land systems need to be considered when planning for relocation as sustainable adaptation strategy to climate change in the Pacific region. The diversity of customary land rights in the Pacific makes relocation a particularly complex process that needs to include negotiation at early stages of the process, including Governments, local leaders and both relocatees and hosting communities. Understanding this dimension is crucial and without deep comprehension of community-based adaptation strategies and planning around land management, the relocation process is likely to be unsustainable as it will lack the important cultural heritage and the essential link between Islanders and their land, which is considered an extension of one’s own self. Customary authorities and institutions are legitimate governance actors holding their own governance mechanisms in the Pacific region. Strategies addressing climate change adaptation in the Pacific should include both state-based governance mechanisms combined with customary non-state institutions. In order to combine those two forms of governance, it is necessary to include traditional authorities to the decision-making process on relocation. This cannot be done without a deep respect for their view of the world, a profound understanding of how they represent climate change and migration within their belief systems and how traditional knowledge directly addresses those questions.
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Book Title Limits to Climate Change Adaptation
Series Title
Chapter Title Limits to Adaptation to Climate Change in Papua-New Guinea and Fiji: Loss of Land and Cultural
Heritage Through Climate-Induced Relocation
Copyright Year 2018
Copyright HolderName Springer International Publishing AG
Corresponding Author Family Name Gharbaoui
Particle
Given Name Dalila
Prefix
Suffix
Division
Organization Hugo Observatory for Environmental Migration University of Liège
Address Bâtiment 31 - Boîte 45 - 7, Boulevard du Rectorat, 4000, Liège, Belgium
Division Macmillan Brown Center for Pacific Studies (MBC)
Organization University of Canterbury
Address Private Bag 4800, Christchurch, 8140, New Zealand
Email dgharbaoui@doct.ulg.ac.be
dalila.gharbaoui@pg.canterbury.ac.nz
Author Family Name Blocher
Particle
Given Name Julia
Prefix
Suffix
Division
Organization Hugo Observatory for Environmental Migration University of Liège
Address Bâtiment 31 - Boîte 45 - 7, Boulevard du Rectorat, 4000, Liège, Belgium
Division
Organization United Nations University
Address DC2-2062, 2 U.N. Plaza, New York, NY, 10017, USA
Email blocher@unu.edu
Abstract This paper studies evidences from community relocations in Papua New Guinea New Caledonia and Fiji
that have shown that loss of culture are unavoidable results of relocation if customary land tenure is not
considered at very early stage at relocation process. Good governance and best practice addressing limits to
adaptation should include this dimension. Post-relocation vulnerability associated to land-based conflicts
and the loss of customary land systems need to be considered when planning for relocation as sustainable
adaptation strategy to climate change in the Pacific region. The diversity of customary land rights in the
Pacific makes relocation a particularly complex process that needs to include negotiation at early stages of
the process, including Governments, local leaders and both relocatees and hosting communities.
Understanding this dimension is crucial and without deep comprehension of community-based adaptation
strategies and planning around land management, the relocation process is likely to be unsustainable as it
will lack the important cultural heritage and the essential link between Islanders and their land, which is
considered an extension of one’s own self. Customary authorities and institutions are legitimate
governance actors holding their own governance mechanisms in the Pacific region. Strategies addressing
climate change adaptation in the Pacific should include both state-based governance mechanisms
combined with customary non-state institutions. In order to combine those two forms of governance, it is
necessary to include traditional authorities to the decision-making process on relocation. This cannot be
done without a deep respect for their view of the world, a profound understanding of how they represent
climate change and migration within their belief systems and how traditional knowledge directly addresses
those questions.
Keywords
(separated by '-')
Adaptation - Climate change - Relocation - Resettlement - Customary land - Traditional knowledge
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1Chapter 21
2Limits to Adaptation to Climate Change
3in Papua-New Guinea and Fiji: Loss
4of Land and Cultural Heritage Through
5Climate-Induced Relocation
6Dalila Gharbaoui and Julia Blocher
7Introduction
8For generations Pacic Island communitiestraditional adaptive strategies, culture
9and practices have included retreating from coastal zones following extreme
10 environmental events. One can point to a number of cases of signicant
11 out-migration, as well as environmentally-induced partial and staggered community
12 relocations, which exist outside of normalmigratory patterns. Furthermore, many
13 traditional risk management and response strategies have been lost in the
14 post-colonial era, due in part to todays pre-eminence of modernstrategies. This
15 loss also applies to strategies of risk-sharing with traditional trading and kinship
16 partners, who are now found across articial international borders. It leaves exposed
17 communities and specic vulnerable groups with fewer capacities to respond to
18 extreme weather events and the (gradual but permanent and assured) loss of hab-
19 itable and arable land (as in the case of land subsidence, volcanic eruptions, as well
20 as, for low-lying coastal areas in particular, sea level rise, coastal erosion, saltwater
21 intrusion, and frequent or recurrent meteorological hazards). The result may be the
22 loss of shared social and cultural identities, spaces and meanings; the creation of
23 bifurcated, altered or hybrid identities. Those who migrate nd themselves in
D. Gharbaoui (&)J. Blocher
Hugo Observatory for Environmental Migration University of Liège, Bâtiment 31 - Boîte 45 -
7, Boulevard du Rectorat, 4000 Liège, Belgium
e-mail: dgharbaoui@doct.ulg.ac.be; dalila.gharbaoui@pg.canterbury.ac.nz
D. Gharbaoui
Macmillan Brown Center for Pacic Studies (MBC), University of Canterbury, Private Bag
4800, Christchurch 8140, New Zealand
J. Blocher
United Nations University, DC2-2062, 2 U.N. Plaza, New York, NY 10017, USA
e-mail: blocher@unu.edu
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W. Leal Filho and J. Nalau (eds.), Limits to Climate Change Adaptation,
Climate Change Management, DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-64599-5_21
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24 tension with those who remain, and are treated as outsiders or deserters. Some
25 migrants remain anchored to the physical source of a shared heritage, contributing
26 to barriers to integrate elsewhere and perpetuating deep attachment to a literal home
27 that may be disappearing.
28 These concerns are of particular importance for community members governed
29 by customary leadership and land ownership structures. The adverse effects of
30 climate change are likely to increasingly incite islanders to migrate to cope with
31 threats to their livelihoods. Risks associated with relocations are well established,
32 and it should therefore be considered as a last resort strategy (Barnett and Webber
33 2010; UNHCR 2014;López-Carr and Marter-Kenyon 2015). The relocation of
34 whole communities may be more likely to preserve community cohesion and
35 cultural integrity, implementation of relocation plans is challenging and costly
36 (Bronen and Chapin 2013;López-Carr and Marter-Kenyon 2015). This paper
37 explores divergent examples of environmentally-induced community relocations in
38 Papua New Guinea and Fiji that have shown that loss of culture are unavoidable
39 results of relocation if customary land tenure is not considered at very early stage at
40 the planned relocation process. In term of denition, there is no internationally
41 agreed terminology on human mobility in the context of climate change. However,
42 we have decided to use planned relocation,asdened in Paragraph 14(f) of the
43 Cancun Climate Change Adaptation Framework, as the planned process of settling
44 persons or groups of persons to a new location.
1
Good governance and best
45 practice addressing limits to adaptation should include this dimension. There is a
46 major gap in the understanding of the limits to adapting to climate change through
47 community relocation (Campbell et al. 2005; UNHCR 2014; Gemenne and Blocher
48 2016,2017). The issue has received limited scholarly attention as compared to
49 migration and displacement in response to climate change (López-Carr and
50 Marter-Kenyon 2015). The paper also aims to identify the limits to adaptation in
51 relation to the loss of land and cultural cohesion taking Papua New Guinea as case
52 study and Fiji as an example.
53 Results from the study of Papua New Guinea community relocation derive from
54 desk research, discussions with key informants and practitioners in Port Moresby,
55 Madang and in Europein particular, from local staff of the International
56 Organization for Migration (IOM)and observations during site visits, all of which
57 were made in the framework of research for the Migration, Environment and
58 Climate Change: Evidence for Policy (MECLEP) programme. One of the authors
59 served as a research advisor in this programme, which was funded by the European
60 Union and led by IOM. Within the framework of the six-country project, a key
61 informant interview grid was developed and intended to be adapted to the context
62 of each case study. Interviews derived from these interview grid/guidelines, as well
1
This form of human mobility is one of the three forms of populations movement in the context of
climate change with displacementunderstood as the primarily forced movement of persons and
migrationas primarily voluntary movement of persons. In UNFCCC, supra note 9, paras.14 (b)
(c)(h). Report of the Conference of the Parties on its eighteenth session, held in Doha from 26
November to 8 December 2012, Decision 3/CP.18.
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63 as the surveys developed in the frame of the MECLEP project methodology,
2
were
64 carried out by research partners in care centers populated by Manam islanders
65 known as Potsdam, Assuramba and Mangem in Madang province outside of Bogia
66 in Papua New Guinea, and on Manam island itself. The author had the opportunity
67 to visit in situ and participate in some of the interviews. Research for the Papua
68 New Guinea (hereafter PNG) case study of the MECLEP project culminated in an
69 assessment report based on eldwork in May 2015 led by research partners.
3
The
70 analysis presented in this chapter is different and complementary to that of
71 assessment report. The example of customary land tenure and community reloca-
72 tion in Fiji aims to illustrate another Pacic country that will urgently need to
73 address the limits to adapting to climate change through relocation by anticipating
74 the implications of land loss and cultural cohesion on relocateesvulnerability.
75 This chapter draws a number of conclusions that could be benecial to
76 evidence-based policy making on planned relocations and resettlements in the
77 context of climate change and its impacts. It is the intention of the authors that this
78 piece of work provides a different angle on the substantial foundation of local
79 knowledge and practices in regards to climate change adaptation, and apply it to
80 current scholarly debates. The discussion below furthermore makes a unique con-
81 tribution to the literature as a rare example of a comprehensive work comparing
82 different areas under the rule of customary land tenure, although we make little
83 attempt to directly compare very disparate contexts. The two case study countries
84 chosen, Fiji and PNG, approach the question from different vantage points and, in
85 so doing, expose complementary dynamics that provide insight into the longer term
86 feasibility of relocations in the context of deeply culturally embedded customary
87 land tenure regimes.
88 A key argument presented below is that traditional channelswith the support
89 of the government, at the numerous relevant levels, and impartial land experts
90 must be central in the process of land negotiation, if there are to be positive
91 relocation outcomes. Sustainable relocation is more likely achieved while
92 land-based tensions related to loss of cultural heritage are likely to be limited and
93 better managed when customary land owners and chiefs are at the rst line of
94 negotiations over land with hosting communities and chiefs (c.f. Gharbaoui and
95 Blocher 2016a). We suggest that inserting customary leadership and governance
96 structures (i.e. land owners and chiefs) at the centre of the relocation process may
97 provide a promising avenue towards overcoming challenges associated with loss of
98 land and cultural heritage.
2
For more information about the methods used, please see the MECLEP website and: Gemenne
and Blocher (2016,2017). The interview grids were meant to complement a household survey,
which was carried out in ve countries but not in PNG.
3
John Connell, University of Sydney and Nancy Lutkehaus, University of Southern California, to
whom the authors owe sincere thanks. Any errors or analysis here should not be attributed to them.
The full assessment report will ultimately be published by IOM (http://www.
environmentalmigration.iom.int/migration-environment-and-climate-change-evidence-policy-
meclep).
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99 Lessons from PNG provide an interesting counterbalance to the research carried
100 out in Fiji, primarily due to the trajectory of approach. In order to fully represent the
101 role of mobility (broadly encompassing displacement, migration, relocation and
102 resettlement) as a strategy to adapt to the nefarious impacts of climate change,
103 researchers must integrate the impacts of movement on the adaptive capacities of
104 both the communities of originand communities of destinationin their
105 assessments (Gemenne and Blocher 2016,2017). This paper provides practical
106 insights to substantiate this conceptual foundation. The research carried out in PNG
107 was primarily from the viewpoint of communities originating from Manam Island,
108 over ten years after their evacuation due to a volcanic eruption and ensuing dis-
109 placement. While this case supports the thesis that integrating traditional leadership
110 structures into relocation and resettlement planning is key, it furthermore shows
111 clearly the limits to this approach under certain conditions. The research was pri-
112 marily aimed at understanding what adaptive measures have the Manam islanders
113 been more or less able to employ successfully in the context of environmental stress
114 before and since their relocation and displacement. To explore this question
115 requires comparing the strategies of the islanders, a diverse collection of commu-
116 nity groups themselves, to those of the hostcommunity (customary land owners),
117 as well as those that were transferred or are shared.
118 The example of Fiji provides a reection rstly on how customary land tenure
119 systems and legitimate traditional authorities are considered throughout the relo-
120 cation planning and implementation processes. Secondly, it seeks to propose a
121 reection on how to optimize land governance and tenure security and create the
122 conditions for a more inclusive environmental relocation framework adapted to the
123 local customary land tenure governance mechanisms.
124 As a pre-condition for our primary recommendation, we posit that customary
125 authorities and institutions are legitimate governance actors. In the Pacic region in
126 particular, these leadership structures and traditions form their own governance
127 mechanisms that may be external to those of the modernstate and legal systems
128 (FAO 2012; Tobin 2008; Farran 2011). Strategies addressing climate change
129 adaptation in the Pacic should include both state-based governance mechanisms
130 combined with customary non-state institutions. In order to combine those two
131 forms of governance, it is necessary to include traditional authorities in the relo-
132 cation decision-making process. This cannot be done without a deep respect for
133 their view of the world, a profound understanding of how they represent the climate
134 and migration within their belief systems and how traditional knowledge directly
135 addresses those questions.
136 Limits to Adaptation and Cultural Cohesion in the Pacic
137 In this chapter, limits to adaptationwill be dened as: the point at which an
138 actors objectives or systems needs cannot be secured from intolerable risks
139 through adaptive actions(Klein et al. 2014). The paper explores the limits to
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140 adaptation through relocation when an unacceptable measure of adaptive effort is
141 required, to maintain societal objectives,referring to cultural cohesion among such
142 objectives (Klein et al. 2014). For Pacic Islanders, a cultural component must be
143 central to adaptation efforts. This was reafrmed in the 2008 Niue Declaration on
144 Climate Change, which emphasizes that the peoples of the Pacic have the strong
145 desire to live in their own countries if possible, in order to contribute to the
146 preservation of their social and cultural identities (Nansen Initiative 2013).
4
147 The research project Promoting human security and minimizing conict asso-
148 ciated with forced migration in the Pacic region,led by the Pacic Islands Forum
149 Secretariat, revealed some of the main challenges that people forced to migrate
150 report experiencing when arriving in new communities. In selected case studies in
151 the Pacic (Fig. 21.1), 25% of the challenges reported are cultural issues (the
152 largest portion) and 12% are climate change-related (Corendea et al. 2015: 12).
153 Pacic communities, who must choose to relocate in order to adapt to climate
154 change, are facing the challenges associated with the loss of their traditional lands
155 embedded by their cultural cohesion. The loss of sense of place and cultural identity
156 associated with migration (Adger et al. 2009) could limit adaptation to climate
Fig. 21.1 Main challenges faced by migrants when arriving in new communities (Corendea et al.
2015: 12)
4
The Nansen Initiative consultation on the Pacic: https://www.nanseninitiative.org/pacic-
consultations-intergovernmental/.
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157 change. Preston and Stafford Smith observed in this context: the feasibility of
158 transformational adaptation may therefore be dependent in part on whether it results
159 in outcomes that are perceived to be positive versus negative(Preston and Stafford
160 Smith 2009). John Campbell, in his study of historical cases of community relo-
161 cation in the Pacic, also underlined that the sense of loss [associated with among
162 other things relocation from traditional lands] is especially pronounced in the wake
163 of environmental disasters that damage local land and resources(Campbell et al.
164 2005). Within Pacic communities, culture and place attachment are among the
165 most decisive factors in household decisions, including the decision to migrate
166 (Barnett and Webber 2010: 62). Such a depth of attachment to place and to land is
167 evident in PNG and among Manam interviewees, who after over ten years of living
168 in another location continued to carry out burial practices on their home island, the
169 physical resting place of their ancestors. The local islanders interviewed insisted
170 that the coconuts will always be sweeter, the sh more plentiful, and the soil richer
171 on their island (Connell and Lutkehaus 2016).
172 Customary land tenure systems and governance structures are sometimes pre-
173 sented as constraining factors. As a social system undermined by contemporary
174 government-supported economic and social developments in the context of a
175 globalized world, customary tenure presents barriers to development, cultural and
176 economic integration, citizenship and, implicitly, to the ability of customarily based
177 communities to adapt to modernlife, its challenges and its opportunities (Fien
178 et al. 2000: 173). Customary land systems are associated to community cultural
179 cohesion and social norms could therefore potentially be constraints to adaptation in
180 the Pacic region; constraints to adaptation dened as factors that make it harder to
181 plan and implement adaptation actions. {}. Types of constraints to adaptation
182 include {} social norms, identity, place attachment, beliefs {}(Klein et al.
183 2014: 923).
184 On the other hand, customary relationships and systems may offer exibility and
185 solutions to face contemporary challenges. Customary partners provide safe refuge
186 and a support system in case need, in the aftermath of a natural hazard, for example.
187 Land tenure systems may also provide greater exibility to approach land negoti-
188 ations when occurring within the same system of tenure, by embedding traditional
189 chiefs and landowners at the centre of the decision-making process (Gharbaoui and
190 Blocher 2016a). Considering the positive aspects of migration as way of lifefor
191 Pacic nations as stated in the 2008 Niue Declaration, includes also protecting
192 community resilience that is part of the Pacic cultural heritage. Opportunities to
193 preserve cultural cohesion despite fundamental changes exist when disequilibrium
194 of societal structures adapt by coming back to equilibrium through self-regulation
195 mechanisms as part of cultural heritage (Campbell 2010).
196 As we demonstrate below, a central constraint in decisions to resettle is strongly
197 linked to the potential for land-disputes at the new site (Mitchell et al. 2016: 60).
198 Participatory approaches to relocation planning are central to overcome this chal-
199 lenge and disputants are more likely to engage positively with dispute resolution
200 processes, when they have participated in their design(Constantino and Merchant
201 1996: 66). Hybrid systems based on both Western and traditional approaches of
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202 conict prevention in Melanesia are increasingly recognised and encouraged to
203 engage with conict management. Research in conict management systems is
204 mostly not inclusive of customary processes but mainly uses Western style pro-
205 cesses, however, scholars suggest that customary and Western systems can work
206 together to effectively manage land-related conict(Loode et al. 2009: 63).
207 Pacic governments have shown reluctance to choose customary land as
208 selected site for planned relocation in order to avoid associated land-based tensions
209 (Nansen 2013).
5
However, most of the land available for relocation in most Pacic
210 countries such as Fiji is customary-based. Land ownership in Fiji is 88%
211 customarily-based, and 97% customarily based in PNG (GoPNG 2007; AusAus
212 2008). 52% of the population of Fiji lives in urban areas that are mostly coastal,
213 while 11.4% of the total land area below 5 m of elevation. 11% of the population is
214 living in those areas where elevation is below 5 m (UN Habitat 2015). In PNG 61%
215 of the population live within 100 km of the coastline (ADB 2012), while the
216 population living in (mainly coastal) urban areas is 12.6%, one of the lowest rates in
217 the region (United Nations 2014: 152; UNDP 2014). PNG has four large islands
218 and 600 smaller ones (GoPNG 2012). Approximately one fth of the land in PNG
219 is subject to regular inundation, as low-lying areas are increasingly experiencing
220 frequent storm surges due to sea-level rise (Australian Bureau of Meteorology and
221 CSIRO 2014: 220).
222 We argue below that it is possible to reduce limits to adaptation and risks of
223 post-relocation localized conicts
6
associated with land and vulnerabilities linked to
224 the erosion of the cultural cohesion. Successful relocations must integrate, inter
225 alia: criteria for societal well-being, livelihood or subsistence activities, community
226 cohesion and cultural integrity (Bronen and Chapin 2013; Gharbaoui and Blocher
227 2016a). To do this, customary authorities, impartial local land experts and affected
228 communities, as key stakeholders in land negotiation, should have a leading role in
229 decision-making related to the relocation process. They should therefore be legit-
230 imate and central stakeholders in the development of the national relocation
231 guidelines developed at the State level.
232 Why Customary Land Boundaries Matter for Manam
233 Islanders: Living in Displacement Over a Decade After
234 Disaster
235 Among Pacic islands the limits to adaptation are a concern of signicant weight in
236 PNG, where nearly all natural hazards co-exist, most of which will be exacerbated
237 by climate change. PNGs volatile environment and geographic location on the
5
https://www.nanseninitiative.org/pacic-consultations-intergovernmental/.
6
Unless indicated otherwise, we use this term to mean (small) localized conicts or tensions
among or between community members.
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238 so-called Pacic Ring of Fire (Ramakrishna and Bang 2015: 68) makes its people
239 vulnerable to many hazards, such as volcanic eruptions, tsunamis, earthquakes,
240 tropical cyclones, oods, landslides, El Niño and droughts (NDC 2015; Australian
241 Bureau of Meteorology and CSIRO 2014: 220; Government of Papua New Guinea
242 2010: 13). According to the Internal Displacement Monitoring Center (IDMC), a
243 total of 151,000 people were newly displaced by disasters in PNG between 2008
244 and 2013, two thirds of which were due to natural hazards. Another 50,000 people
245 were reportedly internally displaced by conict and violence during the same
246 period, further contributing to a cycle of vulnerability to shocks and stresses (Ibid).
247 The rise of sophisticated disaster risk management and response strategies have,
248 among other elements of contemporary and globalized life, replaced or eroded
249 traditional community-based strategies to protect from the threats of physical harm
250 and social disruption posed by natural hazard (Campbell 2006). In a country where
251 of all the land area, only 3% is outside of customary use ownership (Mugambwa
252 2007; GoPNG 2007), and where the legitimacyof the state and the preponderance
253 of Western economic systems are relatively new developments (Fien et al. 2000),
254 attachment to land can be all-important.
255 After eleven years living in protracted displacement away from their ancestral
256 lands, a small but critical brick has been laid in the foundation of the future for the
257 displaced Manam people (Fig. 21.2). This group of communities from different
258 villages of Manam Island, located in the northeast of PNG, have been living in
259 protracted displacement in government-supported care centreson the mainland in
260 Bogia district since they were evacuated due to an impending volcanic eruption in
261 20042005. In April 2016, much to the satisfaction of local and provincial leaders
262 alike, the Manam Resettlement Bill was passed in PNGs parliament (Shisei 2016).
263 The law authorizes the legal basis for the main authority in Bogia District charged
264 to seek viable options and use government funds for a resettlement plan for the
265 Manam groups.
266 The Manam people have suffered through persistent joblessness, place disar-
267 ticulation from their ancestral lands, physical and mental ailments, and repeated
268 conict with the customary land owners of the disused colonial-era plantations on
269 which the care centreswere established (Nalu 2011a; IDMC 2014; Connell and
270 Lutkehaus 2016). Facing economic inactivity, loss of access to resources, discon-
271 nection from communal, disarticulation from their land, and an erosion of tradi-
272 tional communal rites and ceremonies, many Manam Islanders have become
273 pessimistic about their situation and antagonistic towards the government (Connell
274 and Lutkehaus 2016,2017). These sentiments are heightened by the continued lack
275 of viable alternatives to the care centres and conicts with the owners of the
276 customary land on which they currently live, with whom they had previously had
277 unpleasant but overall minor exchanges with youth members of the Manam com-
278 munity. While the Manam islandersas traditional trading partnershad previ-
279 ously been hosted by this community for short periods of time in reponses to minor
280 hazards befalling the island, the mainland community was unprepared for a
281 long-term occupation, particularly as the group swelled to potentially 15,000
282 20,000 residents (IDMC 2014; Connell and Lutkehaus 2016,2017).
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283 Customary land systems are more than about geographical and marine space;
284 they regulate the sustainable usage of resources (AusAID 2008) as well as, by
285 extension, a shared norm to regulate interpersonal relationships, to share living
286 space, and regulate collective local practices (Thaman 2000: 139). Customary land
287 can thus catalyse land conicts and social conicts (Weir et al. 2010: 10), repre-
288 senting one of the main limits to adaptation in the region. In the case of the
289 displaced Manam population, existence across land boundaries amounted to suf-
290 fering. They are required to deal with restrictions on land, water, forest resources
291 and marine access and must return to Manam to harvest timber and other resources,
292 and to bury their dead. Access issues may contribute to the poor sanitation, hygiene,
293 health and nutrition that is evident among the Manam and their childrensome of
294 whom have severe skin disease (such as tinea corporis) and visible signs of mal-
295 nutrition (kwashiorkor)as well as limited improvements to acceptable housing
296 and energy. As one Manam resident stated I cant get materials to build a new
297 house. The posts are slowly rotting, the walls are falling apart. The owners of the
298 land dont allow us to use their land to get wood or roong(Waide 2014). On the
299 other hand, observers noted that as early as 2005 the Manam people was causing
300 tension with local communities over land use issues (UNOHCHR 2010: 13), and in
301 2007 landowners were planning a ght to claim more land as [they] have given up
Fig. 21.2 Young Manam men in a care centre boil sh, yams and local greens in coconut milk for
their visitors using traditional cookware as others look on. Traditionally women and girls prepare
meals. In recent years, according to Manam residents, they have had more difculty shing and are
often nding smaller and smaller sh between the mainland and Manam Island. This is likely to be
a result of overshing as well as the destruction of corals due to dynamite shing, cyanide shing,
and the harvesting of coral to make powdered lime (which is chewed with betel nut, a popular
stimulant). (Photo ©Julia Blocher 2015)
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302 on the government(Mercer and Kelman 2010: 419). Villages near the Asuramba
303 care centre asked their Member of Parliament to evict the Manam islanders in 2006
304 because of security concerns (UNOHCHR 2010). Several clashes ensued; a clash at
305 Tobenam in 2008 resulted in the centre burning to the ground and two fatalities
306 (Connell and Lutkehaus 2016).
307 For years the provincial ofcials, committed to resolve the situation, had been
308 unable to procure suitable customary land on which a township with basic services
309 could be founded. Finally they lost the federal approval to pursue the resettlement
310 when a sunset provision on the previous resettlement bill halted its effect in 2012
311 (Radio New Zealand 2006). As another resident stated;
312 The situation in the care centres is getting worse. We want a quicker resettlement process
313 because government is spending a lot of money in humanitarian relief rather than devel-
314 opmentthe displaced Manam people will continue to be reluctantand stubbornand
315 already some have expressed a desire to return to their ancestral land and die there. We have
316 suffered too long; we are like refugees on our own land, forgotten and neglectedWe
317 dont know who to turn to. (quoted in Connell and Lutkehaus 2016)
318 The Chairman of the Manam Island Council of Chiefs stated in 2012 that the
319 majority of people wanted to move away from the care centres as soon as possible
320 and were receptive to the proposed move to Andarum (Radio Australia 2012), a
321 largely inaccessible area 3040 km inland. Moving the population farther from the
322 Island and shing waters from whence they make their livelihoods and to which
323 they connect homecomes with a number of drawbacks economic activity, social
324 and cultural cohesion, and identity. The alternativesstaying in the care centres or
325 returning to a volcanic island the government has designated as uninhabitable and
326 discontinued services to, and which again erupted in July 2015may be worse in
327 other respects.
328 Eroding of TraditionalMethods of Resilience
329 Across the Pacic, indigenous disaster risk reduction and disaster management
330 practices have largely been superseded by modernstrategies (Campbell 2006),
331 which are often funded and carried out by international actors. The population of
332 Manam Island was no exception. Previously, the communities on Manam had
333 widespread knowledge of risk exposure integrated into the repeated and normal
334 communications. They employed rudimentarybut effectivewarning signals
335 such as sounding an alarm through a conch shell, church bell or Garamut (a slit
336 drum they would trade for).
337 In previous times of crisis, the Manam people could often rely on their tradi-
338 tional trade and kinship Murik
7
partners on the mainland (taoa). Many of them
7
The Murik reside around the Murik lakes region, along the north coast of PNG in the East Sepik
Province in the Sepik (river) estuary.
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339 were to the west of the mouth of the Sepik river and thus across contemporary
340 administrative borders. These bonds were strengthened by marriage, hospitality
341 towards one another, trade ties and reciprocal exchanges of pigs and galip nuts (also
342 known as Tahitian almonds) (Lutkehaus 2016). An additional insurance strategy
343 reserved for the members of status was to move to and purchase land in the Wewak
344 area of East Sepik Province, another area nearby and across provincial boundaries.
345 International protection and assistance actors have not to-date adequately
346 addressed the effects wrought by the erosion of customary partnerships and
347 indigenous strategies in increasing community vulnerability to shocks. In the case
348 of the Manam people (Fig. 21.3), for example, the erosion of traditional measures
349 meant that volcanic eruption presented an increasingly uncertain level of risk to life
350 and well-being (Connell and Lutkehaus 2016).
Fig. 21.3 A home in the
Potsdam Care Centre in,
Madang Provice, PNG. Most
of the houses in the care
centres for the Manam
communities were built with
the help of NGOs, as the
Manam people have been
largely forbidden by the
mainland community from
felling timber. (Photo ©Julia
Blocher 2015)
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351 How Customary Relationships in PNG Facilitates Risk
352 Response
353 Individuals rights to land and community inclusion are protected by customary
354 law, but are more largely contextualised via the collective rights of kinship groups
355 (Thaman 2000). Under customary principles, all people in PNG are considered
356 landowners, however, a general perception persists that new arrivals can be
357 considered squatters (RICS 2016). People constrained to self-resettle following
358 displacement often nd themselves in informal settlements, usually on state land,
359 unoccupied customary land, or freehold land (such as church owned land). This
360 puts populations at risk of land disputes, hazards and isolation. State-led allocations
361 land may result in violent disputes, given that the customary landholders are likely
362 to have social and political relationships to the land, and have residual ownership
363 legitimacy and rights to land across generations. However, not only can customary
364 relationships facilitate temporary relocations or long-term resettlements of
365 disaster-affected peoples; they are the crux of such strategies.
366 Although there are no reliable estimates, as many as a quarter of the Manam
367 population joined their taoa hosts on the mainland in the immediate aftermath of the
368 2004 eruption. This signicant contribution to the protection and assistance to the
369 plight of the Manam is unrepresented in most reporting around the Manam dis-
370 placement, which has generally accompanied the NGO and government activity
371 centred around the care centres at Bogia. More research would be needed to assess
372 whether these community-based relocations are more or less successful than gov-
373 ernment- or NGO-supported efforts. According to Connell and Lutkehaus (2016:
374 50) it is generally perceived by both the Provincial Government and Manam
375 islanders that any formal resettlement solution must occur within the province,
376 which rules out the possibility of a formal migration to East Sepik where taoa
377 partners exist (and where some have gone individually and purchased land).
378 The tension between community-based strategies and the pre-eminence of
379 post-colonial administrative boundaries is importantas is the communities
380 evolving perception of to whom they can turn to for protection and assistance. This
381 reality belies an evolving relationship and concept of responsibility and care at
382 multiple levels: between the Manam islanders and their government, between the
383 Manam communities and their partner communities, and between the islanders and
384 the international responders.
385 It is uncertain whether these community-led and customary protection mecha-
386 nisms remain viable today. Ultimately, the problem of relocation for the Manam
387 may have been less a result of relocating away from their taoa partners, but the fact
388 that they are in protracted displacement in itself, whether they were displaced to the
389 land of taoa partners or not (Nalu 2011a; Connell and Lutkehaus 2016). The
390 vulnerabilities and lack of viable options for these potential settlers, perceived as
391 outsiders to the mainland community despite sharing nationality, raises issues of
392 ambiguity, identity and citizenship (Connell and Lutkehaus 2017). In an era of
393 modern and post-colonial ascendancy, the strength of these reciprocal relationships
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394 forged through the bonds of tradition and trusthave been difcult to maintain.
395 These relationships may be of less consequence as the use of modern currency
396 expands. Evidence of this can also be seen in the decline of inter-community pig
397 exchange (buleka) and gifts of shelled nuts. The act of shelling the nut and pre-
398 senting them to trading partners, ensuring they will be eaten immediately, is a
399 symbolic gesture that reafrms the social relationships that make life possible
400 (Lutkehaus 2016). Population growth, recurrent hazards and other factors con-
401 tributing to declining wealth also meant the Manam communities had fewer
402 resources to invest in generosity and hospitality, including towards taoa partners. In
403 recent years, guests are not greeted with baskets of kangari nuts as they once were
404 (Lutkehaus 2016).
405 Re-establishing Community Based Protection for Future
406 Displacement Events
407 An inux of international NGOs in the post-colonial era as well as improved
408 implementation and funding of the Disaster Management Act and the National
409 disaster mitigation policy by the National Disaster Centre (NDC) have contributed
410 to an better implementation, monitoring, evaluation and management of disaster
411 mitigation (IRIN 2013). In line with the global trend, in PNG evacuation effec-
412 tiveness has improved (Johnson 2013: 187) and fewer causalities and deaths have
413 resulted from disasters (EM-DAT 2015). This is partially because volcanic erup-
414 tions give discernable warnings with enough time to act, whether by modern
415 instruments or traditional detection strategies (smoke and ground rumblings, for
416 example). This is often not the case for landslides and earthquakes, which combined
417 account for 89.5% of disaster mortalities between 1990 and 2015, according to the
418 EM-DAT database. Between 1900 and 1960, 3506 people died from four major
419 volcanic events, compared to nine people since 1950 (EM-DAT 2015).
420 In the case of the Manam people, government-assisted evacuation from the
421 Island occurred rapidly between November and January of 20042005 and saved
422 lives. This is compared to the previous eruption in 1996, during which thirteen
423 people were killed instantly when they were engulfed in a pyroclastic ow near
424 Budua (c.f. Connell and Lutkehaus 2016). Modern volcanologist early warning and
425 evacuation systems, as well as the condence of the people in and compliance with
426 government-mandates measures, have proven their worth (Mulina et al. 2011); most
427 of the Manam Islanders were reportedly able to evacuate on time.
8
428 Despite the efforts of the authorities, among the Manam communities and others
429 around the Pacic, traditionaldisaster risk reduction and management strategies
8
Even with a successful evacuation, ve people tragically died. Most died of respiratory com-
plications and from drinking ash-contaminated water; one person was killed when struck by large
fragments of volcanic rock.
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430 are being lostand with them, practices of cultural and communal signicance.
431 Furthermore, these strategies remain important when resource-poor or remote areas
432 do not have or lose access to modern amenities, communications, and international
433 funding needed for large-scale projects. For example, the use of mobile phones on
434 Manam Island, charged with solar batteries, is not universal and cannot always be
435 relied on. After ten years of waiting for the massive government and international
436 mobilization that would be needed to resettle 10,00020,000 people,
9
the Manam
437 communities developed largely inadequate ineffective autonomous adaptation
438 measures. Preserving traditions and indigenous knowledge may therefore not
439 merely be a question of social cohesion and preservation of a rich cultural history; it
440 is also a matter of risk exposure.
441 Customary Land Tenure and Post-Relocation
442 Vulnerabilities: The Example of Fiji
443 Fiji, spread over 332 islands, is highly threatened by climate change through change
444 in intensity and frequency of environmental disasters and accelerated sea-level rise
445 (Gravelle and Mimura 2008). Most urban areas in Fiji are located along the
446 coastline where communities will be increasingly vulnerable to rising sea levels and
447 coastal erosion. Flooding is becoming a persistent issue mostly due to the intensity
448 and frequency of tropical cyclones. Storm intensication is becoming increasingly
449 visible across the Pacic. On February 20, 2016, the Cyclone Winston (Fig. 21.4),
450 classied as a Category 5 tropical cyclone
10
was recorded as the strongest storm
451 in history for Fiji and one of the most powerful storm in the Pacic Islands region,
452 more intense than Cyclone Pam in 2015 and Cyclone Zoe in 2002 (Shultz et al.
453 2016: 41).
454 The consequences of Cyclone Winston on communities already threatened by
455 the intruding sea became an increasingly important issue in Fiji. The cyclone made
456 communities more vulnerable and exposed, forcing many to leave to safer grounds.
457 In the aftermath of the cyclone Winston, at least 63 villages were considered as «in
458 need to relocate»following the assessments carried out by the iTaukei Affairs
459 Board, Lands and Mineral Resources Department, Water Authority of Fiji and Fiji
460 Roads Authority ofcials (Bolatagici 2016).
461 This event reafrms the necessity of considering relocations within the scope of
462 disaster risk reduction efforts. Previous disasters, particularly if there is a lack of
463 anticipated relocation planning, drives post-disaster vulnerability and exposure. The
464 resilience of coastal populations, hit by recurrent rapid-onset hazards such as
465 typhoons and slow-onset events such as drought and land degradation, can be
9
Government-used estimates of 20,000 are derived from the media may not be reliable; Conell &
Lutkehaus estimate the total population gure far lower at around 12,000.
10
On the Safr-Simpson hurricane rating scale.
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466 eroded over time. Planning for sustainable relocations in a proactive manner
467 reduces the human and nancial costs involved, but it also helps reduce
468 socio-economic factors contributing to vulnerability as well as to mediate exposure
469 to natural hazards which can culminate in life-threating disaster events (Fig. 21.5).
470 For its recovery from Cyclone Winston, Fiji followed the Sendai Framework for
471 Disaster Risk Reduction 20152030. This voluntary non-binding instrument rec-
472 ognizes that the State has the primary role to reduce disaster risk, but it also
473 emphasizes that this responsibility should be shared by the local government and
474 local communities as stated in Article 19.(f): «While the enabling, guiding and
475 coordinating role of national and federal State Governments remain essential, it is
476 necessary to empower local authorities and local communities to reduce disaster
477 risk, including through resources, incentives and decision-making responsibilities,
478 as appropriate(Sendai Framework for Disaster Reduction 20152030).
11
The
479 central role of local authorities and customary chiefs in relocation planning was
480 clearly underlined by an interviewee from the Ministry of Land in Fiji when dis-
481 cussing an on-going relocation caused by Cyclone Winston in Koro Islands: The
482 Native Lands Commission (NLC) holds a key role in the relocation process as
483 demarcation of land and maps that are key to avoid conicts are based on land
484 ownership knowledge. Customary chiefs and land owners holds an equal chair in
Fig. 21.4 Cyclone Winston
impacting the Republic of
Fiji, February 20, 2016
(NASA 2016)
11
The Sendai Framework for Disaster Reduction 20152030 is the successor instrument to the
Hyogo Framework for Action (HFA) 20052015: Building the Resilience of Nations and
Communities to Disasters In http://www.unisdr.org/les/43291_sendaiframeworkfordrren.pdf.
AQ4
AQ5
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485 the NLC(Fiji Ministry of Lands interviewee, personal communication, 30 April
486 2016, Christchurch, New Zealand).
487 Relocation governance frameworks should also include mechanisms allowing
488 hosting and affected communities as well as their traditional leaders to have access to
489 reliable information, in order to enable participation in the decision-making process
490 in an optimal manner (Gharbaoui and Blocher 2016b). Efforts from decision-makers
491 should also target awareness-raising on the adverse effects of climate change and
492 induced relocations among exposed or affected communities and their leadership
493 authorities. Challenges such as translating climate changeinto different Fijian
494 languages and dialects should not be neglected (Janif et al. 2016). The relocation
495 process should also include Faith-Based Organization as much as possible as they
496 play a crucial role in raising awareness on climate change and in convincing com-
497 munities to be empowered in relocation planning and not passive to the divine will.
498 FBOs can also play an important role in relocation planning as key informant about
499 cultural and spiritual features associated with communitiesland (Ministry of
500 Churches interviewee, 18 February 2016, Wellington).
501 Involvement of local researchers and local land experts with their input in
502 framing the agenda in terms of relocation planning should be further prioritised,
503 encouraged and considered at the decision-making level in order to address cultural
504 cohesion, loss of cultural heritage and associated tensions limiting adaptation
505 through relocation (Federation of International Surveyors interviewee, June 2016).
506 Western researchers and institutions are still taking the lead on climate-induced
507 migration. It is crucial that traditional knowledge as well as locally-based expertise
Fig. 21.5 Manam Island, still
spouting smoke regularly, is
visible from the beach at
Potsdam care centre in
Madang Province. The island
serves as the cultural,
spiritual, and economic centre
of gravity for the Manam
communities. The inhabitants
of the care centres travel there
by canoe to bury their dead, to
sh, harvest coconuts, and
gather timber. (Photo ©Julia
Blocher 2015)
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508 is valued when planning relocation as perceptions of the environment and envi-
509 ronmental change have cultural elements (Gharbaoui and Blocher 2016b).
510 Despite having no mention of relocation in their 2012 climate change policy
511 (McNamara and Des Combes 2015), the Fiji government has been recently showing
512 leadership in planning relocation through the national relocation guidelines that are
513 still currently being developed. Peter Emberson, Director of Climate Change at Fiji
514 Ministry of Foreign Affairs, underlined at the annual Pacic Climate Change
515 Roundtable (PCCR) (15 May 2015, Apia, Samoa), that a participatory approach in
516 relocation planning inclusive of technical specialists, social scientist and local
517 community experts needed to be inserted into the national relocation guidelines
518 (Pareti in press).
12
However, the guidelines {} do not appear to be done in
519 consultation with any potential affected communities(McNamara 2015: 318).
520 Strategies addressing climate change adaptation in the Pacic should include
521 both state-based governance mechanisms combined with customary non-state
522 institutions. In order to combine those two forms of governance, it is necessary to
523 include traditional authorities and affected communities to the decision-making
524 process on relocation.
525 Post-relocation vulnerability associated to land-based conicts, loss of custom-
526 ary land systems and associated culture need to be considered by decision-makers
527 when planning for relocation as adaptation to climate change in Fiji. It is crucial that
528 more efforts and strategies are developed by the government to ensure the partic-
529 ipatory and leading role of customary authorities, local landowners and land experts
530 in the relocation planning and along the relocation process from conception to
531 nalization including monitoring and follow-up. Flexible approaches to land gov-
532 ernance are key for dealing with security of tenure. Developing policies optimizing
533 registration of customary lands would be an example of measure that would help to
534 protect the land rights of communities forced to move as result of climate change.
535 Unsecure tenure and issues around customary land titles and ownership including
536 unclear villages boundaries demarcation can increase the vulnerability of relocatees
537 and provide fertile ground for post-relocation land-based conicts.
538 Conclusions
539 In modern-day governance of Pacic Islands and Territories, the administrative
540 boundaries established by nation-states rarely correspond to those of customarily
541 owned and demarcated land. Insecurity of land is often very high following dis-
542 placement, while land grabbing and eviction has been shown to among the primary
543 fears of affected peoples in the region (RICS 2016). Large-scale and long-term
544 funding required for a project such as the Manam resettlement may not always be
545 accessible.
12
https://www.sprep.org/climate-change/ji-shares-its-dos-and-donts-on-relocation.
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546 Clear government policies that combine both modern and traditional approaches,
547 informed by regular and extensive consultation with affected communities, are
548 paramount. Before disasters, risk reduction and management strategies must target
549 not only physical safety but must also place emphasis on community cohesion and
550 the preservation of Pacic peoples identity, culture, social and belief systems.
551 Following and in anticipation of displacement risk, protection and assistance
552 strategies should be sensitive to land tenure boundaries. In many cases, they should
553 be the main borders of relevance when planning for local integration, temporary
554 relocation of communities, and longer-term resettlement. In addition to avoiding
555 loss of cultural heritage as well as conicts associated to land ownership, this
556 direction will imply much-needed sensitivity to community-based leadership and
557 governance structures necessary for buy-in and the long-term success of any
558 solution to displacement.
559 In the context of the Pacic, and potentially other customary land tenure sys-
560 tems, protecting and assistance policies should place emphasis on community
561 cohesion and the preservation coherent with customary systems. Given the exis-
562 tence of customary boundaries that cut across modern day states, regional coop-
563 eration may be a key t-for-purpose approach. UN-HABITAT and others in the
564 international community have developed guidance on frameworks for land gover-
565 nance that can be turned to, as they consider the combination of the spatial, legal
566 and institutional frameworks and include key principles such as Good land gov-
567 ernance preventing bureaucratic barriers.
568 Participation is paramount. Locally-based expertise and traditional knowledge
569 are valuable sources of information to develop strategies to address displacement,
570 or, in the case of many Pacic communities, to inform planned relocations and
571 resettlements. Flexible approaches to land governance and the concept of borders
572 are key.
573 References
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580 Bolatagici, L. (2016). After assessments, many more Fiji Villages Slated For Relocation. Pacic
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589 Campbell, J. R., Goldsmith, M., & Koshy, K. (2005). Community relocation as an option for
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650 Global and sectoral aspects. Contribution of the Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment
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... Community relocation recreates, in an adapted version, the community's physical fabric (Keene, 2018;Jha, 2010; J. R. Campbell et al., 2007;). • Planned relocation: similar to "community relocation," planned relocation is the relocation of a group of people to a new physically prepared site, and often implies the involvement of the state in reestablishing the community's physical fabric with some level of permanence (IOM, 2017;UNHCR, 2014;Gharbaoui and Blocher 2016;Gharbaoui and Blocher 2018). As compared to "community relocation," this term emphasizes the anticipatory, strategic nature of the relocation process (Nalau & Handmer, 2018), though the terms are often interchanged in the literature. ...
Article
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This paper reviews and classifies forms of environmental relocation, including retreat, migration, and resettlement , which are increasingly being considered and promoted as mechanisms for adapting to environmental risks. Current research and practice in relocation planning lacks a typological framework for assessing the many modes and norms of risk-based movement. Classical and critical location models help theorize how populations have come to be settled in differentially risky places in the first place, and are helpful for categorizing relocation situations and evaluating the relocation planning strategies. Written from the perspective of environmental design and planning disciplines, our typological framework emphasizes relocation as spatial processes shaped by environmental risk, and the article thus focuses on relocation, retreat, and resettlement processes. A systematic review of current research on relocation and resettlement identified six descriptive spectrums of relocation attributes: agency, planning, grouping, speed, distance, and temporality. We discuss the normative aspects of those spectra, and relate them to the location and relocation literatures. We then combine these attributes to construct a typology of relocation processes through the lenses of space, time, and power. By considering normative as well as descriptive aspects of relocation, we show how the typology can help address the equity of relocation. The resulting framework provides an analytical and planning tool that is practical and flexible. It can be used to assess and compare relocation projects that have already occurred as well as to evaluate strategies for relocation planning.
... A globalized world and highly interconnected systems may actually increase the speed of risk propagation across countries and continents. Timing can also be decisive in terms of repetitive events, as populations can recover from being struck by one flood, but if flood events become repetitive or severe, populations may decide to retreat (Nelson 2014;Siders et al. 2019;Haasnoot et al. 2021), as the risk becomes existential, and adaptation limits are reached (Gharbaoui and Blocher 2018;Nalau and Handmer 2018;Mechler et al. 2020). Adaptation limits, defined by the limit when technical and societal options to eliminate or reduce such risks are not available anymore (Wallimann-Helmer et al. 2021;O'Neill et al. 2022), are highly relevant because the scale, severity, and possibly speed of the changes that would lead to existential changes may overwhelm the technical, social, and economic options to adapt. ...
Article
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Climate change is widely recognized as a major risk to societies and natural ecosystems but the high end of the risk, i.e., where risks become existential, is poorly framed, defined, and analyzed in the scientific literature. This gap is at odds with the fundamental relevance of existential risks for humanity, and it also limits the ability of scientific communities to engage with emerging debates and narratives about the existential dimension of climate change that have recently gained considerable traction. This paper intends to address this gap by scoping and defining existential risks related to climate change. We first review the context of existential risks and climate change, drawing on research in fields on global catastrophic risks, and on key risks and the so-called Reasons for Concern in the reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. We also consider how existential risks are framed in the civil society climate movement as well as what can be learned in this respect from the COVID-19 crisis. To better frame existential risks in the context of climate change, we propose to define them as those risks that threaten the existence of a subject, where this subject can be an individual person, a community, or nation state or humanity. The threat to their existence is defined by two levels of severity: conditions that threaten (1) survival and (2) basic human needs. A third level, well-being, is commonly not part of the space of existential risks. Our definition covers a range of different scales, which leads us into further defining six analytical dimensions: physical and social processes involved, systems affected, magnitude, spatial scale, timing, and probability of occurrence. In conclusion, we suggest that a clearer and more precise definition and framing of existential risks of climate change such as we offer here facilitates scientific analysis as well societal and political discourse and action.
... Through the lens of resilience, hard limits represent the range of change or disturbance beyond which a system cannot maintain how climate justice intersects with other justice agendas. Attention is also turning to relations and tensions between different adaptation approaches, scales, constraints, limits, losses, enablers and outcomes (Barnett et al., 2015;Pelling et al., 2015;Mechler and Schinko, 2016;Crichton and Esteban, 2017;Gharbaoui and Blocher, 2017;Deshpande et al., 2018;McNamara and Jackson, 2019). Evident here is an ongoing, serious knowledge gap around the long-term repercussions of adaptation interventions. ...
Article
Full-text available
The concepts of risk and risk management have become increasingly central to climate change literature, research, practice and decision making (medium confidence). Risk, defined as the potential for adverse consequences for human and ecological systems, recognising the diversity of values and objectives associated with such systems, provides a framework for understanding the increasingly severe, interconnected and often irreversible impacts of climate change; how these impacts differentially affect different regions, sectors and populations; how to allocate resources best to manage the resulting risks and how to evaluate the responses that reduce residual risks for current and future generations, economies and ecosystems. {1.2.1; 1.3.1; 1.4.2} The concepts of adaptation, vulnerability, resilience and risk provide overlapping, alternative entry points for the climate change challenge (high confidence). Vulnerability is a component of risk, but also an important focus independently, improving understanding of the differential impacts of climate change on people of different gender, race, wealth, social status and other attributes. Vulnerability also provides an important link between climate adaptation and disaster risk reduction. Resilience, which can refer to either a process or outcome, encompasses not just the concept of maintaining essential function, identity and structure, but also maintaining a capacity for transformation. Such transformations bring forth questions of justice, power and politics. {1.2.1; 1.4.1}
... (3) Accumulating impacts of climate change represent an increasingly relevant causal factor in resettlement scholarship (Warner et al., 2010), with a geographical focus on the Global South ( incidents refer to sea level rise, frequently occurring along coasts of often small and low-lying islands (e.g. Barnett & O'Neill, 2012;Charan et al., 2017;Edwards, 2013;Gharbaoui & Blocher, 2017;Kothari, 2014;Lazrus, 2012). ...
Article
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In river deltas, human interference with regional and global socio-ecological systems has led to a plethora of gradual and more abrupt environmental changes that result in inundation, coastal and river bank erosion, land loss and, ultimately, displaced people. Often apolitically framed as protective, state-led transfer of people to new housing grounds, resettlement has become a common response to such displacements. In its process, existing arrangements of land tenure and occupancy and, at times more covertly, related arrangements of capital, labor and the social fabric become dislocated and reassembled. In line with emerging critical geographies of resettlement, this paper conceptualizes resettlement in river deltas against the background of environmental change as a highly political process with far-reaching environmental, economic, social and cultural implications. For this article is based on an in-depth review of both resettlement and political ecology literature, we first elucidate the concept of resettlement before providing a structured overview of categories and recent trends in resettlement literature. We then focus on river deltas that due to multi-scale environmental change are about to become hotspots of future resettlement. Building on identified gaps in resettlement literature, the article concludes with opening up three analytical strands of political ecology as entry points to resettlement studies, understood as critical geographic research into localized manifestations of environmental change in river deltas. Overall, our paper aims to initialize conceptual debate, grounded in a thorough review of recent case study literature on resettlement that is informed by political ecology. The review challenges positivist reductions of resettlement processes as technocratic-managerial tasks that so far have dominated scientific literature in this field and opens up new perspectives for critical research on resettlements in river deltas for human geographers.
... Through the lens of resilience, hard limits represent the range of change or disturbance beyond which a system cannot maintain how climate justice intersects with other justice agendas. Attention is also turning to relations and tensions between different adaptation approaches, scales, constraints, limits, losses, enablers and outcomes (Barnett et al., 2015;Pelling et al., 2015;Mechler and Schinko, 2016;Crichton and Esteban, 2017;Gharbaoui and Blocher, 2017;Deshpande et al., 2018;McNamara and Jackson, 2019). Evident here is an ongoing, serious knowledge gap around the long-term repercussions of adaptation interventions. ...
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Chapter 1: Ara Begum, R., R. Lempert, E. Ali, T.A. Benjaminsen, T. Bernauer, W. Cramer, X. Cui, K. Mach, G. Nagy, N.C. Stenseth, R. Sukumar, and P. Wester, et al. 2022. Point of Depaarture and Key Concepts. In: Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [H.-O. Pörtner, D.C. Roberts, M. Tignor, E.S. Poloczanska, K. Mintenbeck, A. Alegría, M. Craig, S. Langsdorf, S. Löschke, V. Möller, A. Okem, B. Rama (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press. In Press. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2/
... However, from the coastal vulnerability issues been encountered in many areas around the world (Arnall, 2019;Thaler et al., 2020), it is not always easy to relocate individuals whose culture and livelihood have been built around their current place (Farbotko et al., 2020). A systemic and progressive relocation of people would work if the move would have no major impact on their day-to-day living and their means of survival, with the assurance that they will be as comfortable as they were in their previous locations (Gharbaoui and Blocher, 2018). Like any other social issue, it may not be easy because many homeowners might start to rent houses (Charan et al., 2017). ...
Article
The rates of retreat around the world, especially in low-lying coastal areas, have been pernicious in recent years. For some time, coastal retrogradation may follow a historically observed trend. However, a slight increase in ocean and climate indices, including sea level, temperature, and precipitation, can cause significant modification in the littoral profile. This study reports the recent changes and possible future threats along the Mahin mud coastline, Ilaje Local Government Area of Nigeria, West Africa. This study aims to understand the present evolution of the coastal area in order to manage the environmental and human risks in the future. Satellite images and Digital Elevation Model (DEM) map in the Geographic Information System (GIS) were used to evaluate the retreat rates of 20 years and delineate flooded coastal areas under some sea level rise (SLR) scenarios. Results showed that the areas of retreat dominance in recent years were once mostly accreting. In comparison, some areas that were receding have gained more land. Still, the rates of retreat in other areas have further intensified. Based on the DEM map analysis results, coastal flooding may very soon extend several kilometers inland, covering large areas of the southeastern sector. Therefore, this observation is essential to ensuring appropriate coastal protection plans are put in place.
... The population of Fiji is currently estimated at nearly 900,000 people (UN Population Division, 2019). To date, at least four communities in Fiji have been internally relocated, with dozens flagged for possible moves in the near future (Cooper, 2017;Gharbaoui & Blocher, 2018). The coastal village of Vunidogoloa (population 153) on Vanua Levu Island, dubbed as Fiji's first 'climate-induced' relocation, was entirely moved two kilometers inland in 2014 (Piggott-McKellar et al., 2019). ...
Article
Full-text available
The purpose of this article is to review the key contributions in the climate-migration literature and understand which environmental factors have been shown to robustly affect migration. We then discuss the findings on the channels through which climate affects migration. We find that there seems to be robust evidence that temperature affects migration, but the evidence for precipitation is inconclusive. Weather-related disasters affect migration, and it is important to investigate the effect of subcategories of disasters. In contrast to the existing survey papers, we highlight the question how climatic factors affect migration. Finally, we identify several open questions for the future.
... the adjustments would not significantly affect their lives, and they can be comfortable as they were in these new places 546 (Gharbaoui and Blocher, 2018). The government should thus provide temporary accommodation to house the affected 547 people pending completing the engineering rehabilitation of the coast. ...
Article
Over the past decades, the Transgressive Mahin mud coastline has drastically receded due to the continuous impacts of waves and the intensifying frequency of floods. Consequently, changes in the coastline positions for the past 20 years were investigated using multispectral satellite images within the Geographic Information System environment. The study area was divided into three sectors, and the sectors were further divided into several transects at uniform intervals. Statistical Linear Regression Rate (LRR), Endpoint Rate (EPR) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) methods were used to assess the rates of changes in coastline positions. Also, future coastline positions for 2022 and 2029 were predicted and estimated. The study revealed that more land area was lost in the eastern sector than any other sector after about 95% of the coastline along the entire region eroded from 2015 to 2019. This confirms a shift of erosion dominance from the central sector, which has been the most vulnerable to coastal hazards over the past decades. In the same period, it was revealed from the transect rates that about 51% of the western sector’s coastline experienced accretion attributable to sand deposition from the adjacent Barrier-lagoon coast, though, approximately 65% of the coastline along the same sector had previously eroded from 1999 to 2015. Based on these findings, and without immediate response to the coastal challenges, about 3.6 km ² and over 11.3 km ² could be lost by 2022 and 2029, respectively. To develop a practical solution, recent changes and future projections would need to be factored in. Therefore, the relevance of this study cannot be overemphasised, as it (i) identified areas of erosion, (ii) predicted future changes of the coastline, (iii) aims to start a new trend of future projections to enhance decision making and (iv) proposed a management plan for the area.
Chapter
The fact that the climate is warming up faster and faster, leading to other undesirable outcomes such as global health disparities is now nearly universally acknowledged. The planet is predicted to be on average 1.8–4 ℃ hotter than it is presently by 2099. Scientifically, however, it takes 30–50 years of weather patterns to infer climate change because it is a large, complex process. The various climatic events radically and swiftly are evicting people from their land. The driving factors for these climate changes, which began with the industrial revolution, are widely acknowledged to be anthropogenic in origin and mostly brought on by the production of greenhouse gases by industrial processes using carbon-based energy. Drought, glacial lake outburst floods, and a surge in arthropod-borne diseases due to vector transmission also have an indirect impact on morbidity and economic agriculture revenues in areas where contrast measures are impossible to implement because of a lack of resources. Population shifts will result from climate change since some regions of the planet will no longer be feasible places to live. Migration is a key defence strategy against climatic stress. Naturally, nomadic herder societies frequently move their livestock from water sources to grazing grounds in reaction to droughts and as a routine part of their way of life. However, it is becoming clear that nomadic tribes are not the only ones who use migration as a response to environmental change. According to archaeological data, human settlement patterns have altered frequently in response to climatic changes. By 2050, the startling number of “climatic migrants,” as they are sometimes referred to, might perhaps reach 200 million. In this chapter, we will discuss the various climate drivers for migration and talk about the current situation of climate migrants.KeywordsMigrationDrivers of migrationClimate
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Migration out of areas affected by climate change has long been considered a common adaptation strategy. More recent studies, however, claim that migration should not exclusively be seen as an escape from areas under threat, but that it can also be understood as a powerful strategy towards change and innovation in those areas. This article examines the relationship between environmental stress and migration in the Vietnamese Mekong River Delta, one of the global hotspots of climate change. Based on an extensive survey among households and interviews with key actors, our study shows that indeed environmental stress is an important factor—though not the only one—behind the development of migration corridors, particularly to Ho Chi Minh City. Low-income households are more likely to have experienced migration than high-income ones. Low-income households also account for the largest group of recipients of financial remittances, which are mainly spent on basic household needs and health care, and not on longer-term investments. Our research also shows the important role of non-financial remittances in supporting climate resilience among vulnerable (low-income) households. Actually, in the Mekong Delta case, the transfer of knowledge and skills proves to be more prominent than the sending of cash. Such skills are brought along by returning migrants, and then passed on to others, leading to a diversification of local economies so that these become more resilient to environmental degradation.
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Migration continues to be pictured in public debates as a failure to adapt to changes, while policymakers explore adaptation measures as a means to reduce migration pressures, and scholars have contended that migration processes exist within a larger framework of strategies for adapting to damaging climate change impacts. So what are the impacts of migration on the adaptive capacities and vulnerabilities of the origin and host communities, as well as of the migrants themselves? The objective of this conceptual and methodological paper is to identify possible different options for research into the consequences of migration for adaptation. The first section reviews how the migration–adaptation nexus has been addressed in the literature, confirming the potential of human mobility to build resilience and to increase adaptive capacities within complex and potentially maladaptive processes. The next section explores the potential impacts of migration that need to be studied, from three main vantage points: the migrants themselves, the community of origin, and the community of destination. A final section weighs the possible approaches and suggests solutions that may exist to advance empirical study of the migration–adaptation area nexus, so that it can address not just the causes, but also the consequences of migration in the context of environmental changes.
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Retreating from coastal areas in response to changing environmental conditions has long been a part of Pacific Island communities’ adaptive strategies, culture and practices. However, the adverse effects of climate change are likely to increasingly incite islanders to migrate to cope with threats to their livelihoods. Relocation processes are particularly complex, as a majority of land is under customary tenure and land is a common cause of conflict. Yet customary land tenure and use are seldom mooted in discussions on adaptation strategies in the Pacific. This chapter explores the extent to which customary land issues are key to the sustainability of population movements in the Pacific region, exemplified by the case of Fiji. This is done through an analysis of scholarly debates around planned relocation and land rights, exploring recent and past examples of environmentally-induced community relocations in Fiji. Two primary, and contrasting, views on relocation strategies are revealed: one argues for the primacy of social development, community well-being and the preservation of collective land rights and the other puts forward a neoliberal view on economic growth, individual rights and logistical aspects of the relocation process. We argue an intermediate position may be applied that underlines the importance of consultation, cooperation and negotiation with customary leaders, relocatees and hosting communities at an early stage. A deep exploration of both ancestral and recent community relocations and customary land tenure is necessary to ensure relocations are sustainable and maintain the link between Islanders and their land, which has been an extension of their identity for millennia.
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In the interests of improving engagement with Pacific Island communities to enable development of effective and sustainable adaptation strategies to climate change, we looked at how traditional oral narratives in rural/peripheral Fiji communities might be used to inform such strategies. Interviews were undertaken and observations made in 27 communities; because the custodians of traditional knowledge were targeted, most interviewees were 70-79 years old. The view that oral traditions, particularly those referring to environmental history and the observations/precursors of environmental change, were endangered was widespread and regretted. Interviewees' personal experiences of extreme events (natural disasters) were commonplace but no narratives of historical (unwitnessed by interviewees) events were found. In contrast, experiences of previous village relocations attributable (mainly) to environmental change were recorded in five communities while awareness of environmentally driven migration was more common. Questions about climate change elicited views dominated by religious/fatalist beliefs but included some more pragmatic ones; the confusion of climate change with climate variability, which is part of traditional knowledge, was widespread. The erosion of traditional environmental knowledge in the survey communities over recent decades has been severe and is likely to continue apace, which will reduce community self-sufficiency and resilience. Ways of conserving such knowledge and incorporating it into adaptation planning for Pacific Island communities in rural/peripheral locations should be explored.
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In contrast to continental nations, the world's 52 small island developing states (SIDS) are recognized as a collective of countries that experience disproportionate challenges for sustainable development related their geography, small size, and physical isolation. These same states also face elevated risks for disaster incidence and consequences particularly in the realms of climate change, sea level rise, natural disasters (tropical cyclones, earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanoes), and marine hazardous materials spills,. Cyclone Winston's direct impact on Fiji in 2016 and Cyclone Pam's landfall over Vanuatu in 2015 provide case examples illustrating the special vulnerabilities of the SIDS.
Chapter
Papua New Guinea is highly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change since it encompasses 17,000 km of coastline, 600 low-lying islands, and 2,000 coastal villages. It is vulnerable to sea-level rise and other manifestations of climate change. Climate change provides new and unprecedented challenges that demand equally new and urgent efforts to meet them. Research and development efforts are taking rapid strides forward in understanding what is going to happen to farming, fishery, and forest systems as the climate changes. The interactions that will occur with other global changes within this complex and dynamic situation, as well as the trade-offs between food security, livelihoods, and environmental security are also being studied. PNG is engaging new strategies, forging new partnerships and truly integrating approaches. Climate change risks are effectively mainstreamed in development planning at all levels to build in adaptation and mitigation measures. This chapter looks at these new strategies.
Article
Environmental change in small islands may be associated with migration as a means of adaptation. Both Manam and the Carteret Islands in Papua New Guinea (PNG) have experienced rapid- and slow-onset changes, respectively. These have been accompanied by the forced migration and ‘temporary’ resettlement of the Manam population and attempts at resettlement by Carteret Islanders. Neither has proved successful, thwarted by ‘host’ landowners, the impossibility of gaining adequate access to land and land rights, and government inactivity. Settlers have been perceived as outsiders and rival claimants to valuable coastal resources. Inability to resettle in national contexts raises issues of ambiguity, identity and citizenship. The problems experienced by quite small population groups moving short distances in similar cultural contexts are indicative of the potential future problems facing environmental migrants in other contexts.
Technical Report
In the framework of the European Union–funded Migration, Environment and Climate Change: Evidence for Policy (MECLEP) project, this report analyses the case of Manam islanders in Papua New Guinea. Approximately 9,000 people were evacuated to the north coast of Madang Province due to volcanic activity. Since then, the Government of Papua New Guinea aims at finding a durable solution for the displaced persons. The Madang Provincial Government has therefore established a resettlement strategy for a permanent site further inland. Meanwhile, due to the tensions and violence experienced, some of the islanders have decided to move back especially on the northern village of Baliau. The report recommends that the Madang Provincial Government should involve the Manam communities by allowing them to participate in finding a community-driven long-term solution to the problem and rehabilitating essential services in the care centres and on Manam.