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Investor Response to Workforce Downsizing: The Influence of Industry Waves, Macroeconomic Outlook, and Firm Performance

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Abstract

Building on behavioral decision-making theory, we study the extent to which current industry downsizing intensity, changes in future macroeconomic outlook, and a firm’s past performance trend influence the relationship between downsizing magnitude and investor response. Based on the analysis of a large-scale sample of downsizing announcements in the United States over a period of 12 years, our results indicate that negative investor responses to downsizings are amplified in periods of industry downsizing waves, in the face of changes in macroeconomic outlook, and subsequent to deteriorating firm financial performance. Additionally, our empirical results suggest that investors’ cross-level aggregation of these cues has a significant, negative compound effect on downsizing firms’ market valuations.

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... The findings from the extant literature are mixed not only on the valence of investor reaction (i.e., whether positive or negative) but also on the magnitude of the reaction (Brauer & Zimmermann, 2019). Specifically, the literature has recorded that investor reaction to layoff announcements varies from −5.077% (Kunert et al., 2017) to 2.09% (Nzau, 2016). ...
... A firm's layoff announcement conveys to the firm's investors (and other stakeholders) information that is unobservable and thus valuable to them. In addition, a layoff announcement is costly to the firm (Brauer & Zimmermann, 2019). ...
... The literature has suggested five reasons why investors-on average-react negatively to a firm's announcement of employee layoff. First, because a layoff-announcing firm likely makes severance payments to laid-off employees (Brauer & Zimmermann, 2019) and/or negotiate/litigate with employee unions (Velásquez et al., 2018), a layoff hurts the firm's cash flow in the immediate future (Cascio, 1993). Second, employees who survive the layoff may lack commitment toward the firm or perform less well relative to the pre-layoff period (Paulsen et al., 2005;Van Dierendonck & Jacobs, 2012). ...
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Does a firm's layoff announcement elicit a negative or a positive reaction from its stock investors? The extant empirical evidence on this question is mixed. The authors' meta-analysis of 34,594 layoff announcements taken from 126 samples featured in 78 studies reports that the average investor reaction is significantly negative (effect size of −0.549). Next, the authors use signaling theory-specifically, characteristics of the signal, the signaler, and the signaling environment-to examine variation in investor reaction. They find that investors do not react if a layoff announcement signals proactive management (e.g., cost cutting) but penalize the firm if the layoff indicates reactive management (e.g., decline in demand). The penalty is also positively associated with layoff size but unrelated to firm size. Further, investors have become less punitive over time, or if its stock is traded on an exchange in civil law (vs. common law) country. The empirical generalizations guide managers on the consequences of their layoff announcements. K E Y W O R D S downsizing, layoff, meta-analysis, stock return
... However, the research findings remain largely equivocal. While downsizing has been found to result in a negative stock market response on average (Worrell et al., 1991;Lee, 1997;Elayan et al., 1998;Hallock, 1998;Wertheim and Robinson, 2000;Chen et al., 2001;Nixon et al., 2004;Capelle-Blancard and Couderc, 2007;Hillier et al., 2007;Farber and Hallock, 2009;Brauer and Zimmermann, 2019), we can observe that size and direction of the effect are not uniform over time, but seem to depend on the time period of the announcement (e.g. Farber and Hallock, 2009). ...
... First, our work enriches prior research on the impact of downsizing on stock market performance by providing an alternative theoretical view on the problem. With the exception of Brauer and Zimmermann (2019), who apply a behavioral perspective, the majority of studies utilize rational efficiency-centered arguments to explain stock market reactions to downsizing announcements (e.g. Worrell et al., 1991;Lee, 1997;Elayan et al., 1998;Hallock, 1998;Chen et al., 2001;Nixon et al., 2004;Hillier et al., 2007;Farber and Hallock, 2009). ...
... Following prior research (e.g. Lee, 1997;Stavrou et al., 2007;Brauer and Zimmermann, 2019), we use such firm announcements published in newspapers to identify corporate downsizing. 4 Empirical research has shown that downsizing measures by US firms significantly increased over the course of the 1990s (Budros, 1997(Budros, , 2004Farber and Hallock, 2009). ...
Article
In this study, we examine stock market reactions to corporate downsizing using a neo-institutional perspective. Over the course of the 1990s, a time period in which shareholder value orientation gained momentum, downsizing became an institutionalized management practice. We argue and propose that the growing legitimacy of this practice is displayed in investors’ reactions to downsizing announcements. Using a sample of 391 downsizing announcements of the S&P 100 firms for the period 1990–2006, we show that the announcement year has a positive (diminishing) effect on the abnormal stock market return and that prior downsizings in the focal firm’s institutional field have a positive linear impact on abnormal stock market return. In addition, we provide evidence that these relationships are positively moderated by proactive downsizing motives and firm size. Our results contribute to a deeper understanding of the performance effects of corporate downsizing and investors’ role in legitimizing this prevalent business practice.
... In today's hypercompetitive environment, corporate downsizing provides an ideal resource restructuring alternative that enables firms to respond to internal and external pressures and challenges (Brauer and Zimmermann, 2019;Carriger, 2016Carriger, , 2018Cascio et al., 1997;D'aveni, 2010;Datta et al., 2010;Guthrie and Datta, 2008;March and Simon, 1958). Such initiatives are increasingly common in several economies in the world, particularly at times of economic downtrends (Brauer and Zimmermann, 2019;Datta and Basuil, 2015). ...
... In today's hypercompetitive environment, corporate downsizing provides an ideal resource restructuring alternative that enables firms to respond to internal and external pressures and challenges (Brauer and Zimmermann, 2019;Carriger, 2016Carriger, , 2018Cascio et al., 1997;D'aveni, 2010;Datta et al., 2010;Guthrie and Datta, 2008;March and Simon, 1958). Such initiatives are increasingly common in several economies in the world, particularly at times of economic downtrends (Brauer and Zimmermann, 2019;Datta and Basuil, 2015). Firms may decide to downsize their workforce as a way to restructure their resources (Carriger, 2016), to manage their costs (Sheaffer et al., 2009), to respond to macroeconomic conditions (Datta et al., 2010) or to bolster their efficiency (Palmon et al., 1997). ...
... An important question that remains a central focus of research in this topic is: How does corporate downsizing affect the firm's shareholder's value? Despite the simplicity of this question, the conclusions drawn from empirical research remain largely equivocal (Brauer and Zimmermann, 2019;Datta et al., 2010). While the majority of empirical evidence suggests an immediate and negative effect of downsizing initiatives on firm performance (Carriger, 2016;Guthrie and Datta, 2008;Hillier et al., 2007;De Meuse et al., 2004;De Meuse and Dai, 2013;De Meuse et al., 1994;Nixon et al., 2004), other studies found a positive effect on a firm's shareholders' value (Brookman et al., 2007;Datta et al., 2010;Espahbodi et al., 2000;Palmon et al., 1997;Yu and Park, 2006). ...
Article
Purpose How does corporate downsizing contribute to a firm’s long-term value? While the extant empirical findings on this relationship are inconclusive, contradictory and equivocal, the answers to this question remain particularly important in today’s business environment. Considering that downsizing is often directed toward long-term growth and survival, this paper aims to posit that scholars should account for the temporal nature of this strategic decision to understand its economic impact on the firm’s operations. Therefore, this paper provides a more rigorous empirical examination of how a firm’s decision to downsize its workforce affects that firm’s long-term value. Design/methodology/approach This paper used Wibbens and Siggelkow’s (2020) measure of long-term investor value appropriation (LIVA) to directly observe the effects of corporate downsizing on firm long-term value and growth. Using a sample of 3,149 US publicly traded manufacturing firms that operated between 2002 to 2018, this paper tested the main effect of downsizing on LIVA and 3 boundary condition hypotheses. Findings This paper found a positive relationship between corporate downsizing and a firm’s long-term value. Interestingly, this positive relationship is stronger among firms that had high human resource slack and R&D intensity. Contrary to the expectations, this paper did not find support for the moderation effect of the proximity to bankruptcy on the relationship between corporate downsizing and a firm’s long-term value. Originality/value With these findings, the paper sheds light on the long-term implications of a firm’s decision to downsize its workforce.
... However, the research findings remain largely equivocal. While downsizing has been found to result in a negative stock market response on average (Worrell et al., 1991;Lee, 1997;Elayan et al., 1998;Hallock, 1998;Wertheim and Robinson, 2000;Chen et al., 2001;Nixon et al., 2004;Capelle-Blancard and Couderc, 2007;Hillier et al., 2007;Farber and Hallock, 2009;Brauer and Zimmermann, 2019), we can observe that size and direction of the effect are not uniform over time, but seem to depend on the time period of the announcement (e.g. Farber and Hallock, 2009). ...
... First, our work enriches prior research on the impact of downsizing on stock market performance by providing an alternative theoretical view on the problem. With the exception of Brauer and Zimmermann (2019), who apply a behavioral perspective, the majority of studies utilize rational efficiency-centered arguments to explain stock market reactions to downsizing announcements (e.g. Worrell et al., 1991;Lee, 1997;Elayan et al., 1998;Hallock, 1998;Chen et al., 2001;Nixon et al., 2004;Hillier et al., 2007;Farber and Hallock, 2009). ...
... Following prior research (e.g. Lee, 1997;Stavrou et al., 2007;Brauer and Zimmermann, 2019), we use such firm announcements published in newspapers to identify corporate downsizing. 4 Empirical research has shown that downsizing measures by US firms significantly increased over the course of the 1990s (Budros, 1997(Budros, , 2004Farber and Hallock, 2009). ...
... Past research has perhaps overlooked resource constraints because of the assumption that only organisations that possess excess slack tend to downsize. Our study extends current research by considering the timing and magnitude of downsizing (Brauer and Zimmermann, 2019;Desai, 2019). Incorporating resource constraints may explain the contradictory findings on the effect of downsizing on organisational innovation (Dolmans et al., 2014). ...
... Most researchers agree that a 5% reduction in employees is a significant corporate event that points to downsizing (e.g. Ahmadjian and Robinson, 2001;Brauer and Zimmermann, 2019). Fourth, firms must have at least 10 granted patents in total during the observed period because businesses that produce less than one patent every 2 years on average are not considered to be focused on producing this type of innovation. ...
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Although the practice of downsizing is prevalent, its effects on organisational outcomes remain poorly understood. This article examines how and when downsizing affects organisational innovation. Using a unique data set of UK firms over a period of 22 years, we test the effect of downsizing on innovation outputs by considering the moderating role of resource slack and constraints. We argue and empirically demonstrate that downsizing has a dual effect on innovation, contingent on the firm’s level of resources. Our results reveal that downsizing affects innovation outputs positively in firms experiencing resource slack and negatively in firms experiencing resource constraints. We also show that the effect is more immediate in resource-constrained firms. Theoretical and managerial implications of these results are discussed. JEL Classification: J63, L25, M51, O32
... A munkaerő könnyebben csökkenthető, mint a fizikai eszközök, érthetővé téve, hogy a leépítés korai lehetőség a szervezetek számára, amelyek megpróbálják csökkenteni a költségeket [15], [22]. A leépítés anyagi előnyei azonban nem egyértelműek, mivel a piaci válaszok hosszú távon általában negatívak [12]. A befektetési döntések sokszor az optimálisnál rövidebb horizontúak [18], [59], és ugyanez a megfelelőnél rövidebb befektetési döntésekhez vezető gondolkodás vezérli a szervezet vezetőit a rövid távú leépítési döntések meghozatalakor. ...
... With the downsizing, the required knowledge will be decreased and this is one of the most important issues for renewed company. According to Brauer and Zimmermann (2019), "larger downsizings are likely to be associated with greater losses in intellectual capital and greater disruptions of internal networks and routines", while Đorđević and Đukić (2008) found that downsizing can even decrease the corporate reputation, which will be important problem in future staffing process (recruitment and selection) of new employees. ...
... Utilization of assets to make a profit shows a good company performance in managing all the funds invested in assets. Company performance can be an attraction for investors (Brauer & Zimmermann, 2019). Likewise, the implementation of GCG can provide accurate information for investors so that potential investors can put trust in the company by buying shares (Kaihatu, 2006;Mukhtaruddin, Ubaidillah, Dewi, Hakiki, & Nopriyanto, 2019;and Sadiq & Abbas, 2019). ...
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This study aims to analyze the effect of Asset Management (AM) and Good Corporate Governance (GCG) on stock prices through Return on Investments (ROI). This research is an explanation using quantitative methods. The population of 64 companies is listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange and is engaged in property and construction. The sampling technique uses purposive sampling with the results of 36 companies. The data used is the 2016-2018 financial statements. The analysis used is path analysis. The results of the study prove that Management asset significantly influences ROI, GCG significantly influences ROI, Management asset significantly influences stock prices, GCG has a significant effect on stock prices, ROI has a significant effect on stock prices, Management asset has a significant effect on stock prices through ROI, GCG has a significant effect on share price through ROI. DOI: https://doi.org/10.26905/afr.v3i1.4296
... Hence, performance is correlated to managers and business pioneers' ability to integrate their knowledge about markets: awareness toward clients and importers' needs in addition to other stockholders', being close to emerging markets, insights into business potentials and identifying ideas and exploiting them through innovation (Thorpe et al., 2005). As a result, companies should develop the appropriate conditions to enhance knowledge development as implementing knowledge management means more than just implementing a set of IT tools but rather it includes changes within the organizational structure, processes and culture and the first step for shifting from a traditional company into a knowledgeable one is to focus attention on intangible assets represented by intellectual capital (Brauer and Zimmermann, 2017;Heisig, 2009). The later has great potentials at individual and groups levels as it represents organizations' futures, so there must be more interest focused on it than financial assets for its effect on the organization profitability as well as constructing a trade mark through achieving a higher level of quality (Datta and Ahmed, 2015). ...
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Depending on a model for organizational context within work groups and a job perspective for the socially responsible behaviors, we have developed and examined a model for small and medium enterprises' success within the work place that explains some reasons leading to small and medium institutions' success. The sample included 217 workers in small and medium companies in Iraq. It was found that the intellectual capital integration and intentional junior accountants' turnover were related to small and medium companies' success within the work place for companies' members, in addition, there was a direct relationship between accountants' turnover and intellectual capital integration and small and medium companies' success and there also was an indirect relationship mediated by the financial knowledge management system within work groups.
... Hence, performance is correlated to managers and business pioneers' ability to integrate their knowledge about markets: awareness toward clients and importers' needs in addition to other stockholders', being close to emerging markets, insights into business potentials and identifying ideas and exploiting them through innovation (Thorpe et al., 2005). As a result, companies should develop the appropriate conditions to enhance knowledge development as implementing knowledge management means more than just implementing a set of IT tools but rather it includes changes within the organizational structure, processes and culture and the first step for shifting from a traditional company into a knowledgeable one is to focus attention on intangible assets represented by intellectual capital (Brauer and Zimmermann, 2017;Heisig, 2009). The later has great potentials at individual and groups levels as it represents organizations' futures, so there must be more interest focused on it than financial assets for its effect on the organization profitability as well as constructing a trade mark through achieving a higher level of quality (Datta and Ahmed, 2015). ...
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Full-text available
Depending on a model for organizational context within work groups and a job perspective for the socially responsible behaviors, we have developed and examined a model for small and medium enterprises' success within the work place that explains some reasons leading to small and medium institutions' success. The sample included 217 workers in small and medium companies in Iraq. It was found that the intellectual capital integration and intentional junior accountants' turnover were related to small and medium companies' success within the work place for companies' members, in addition, there was a direct relationship between accountants' turnover and intellectual capital integration and small and medium companies' success and there also was an indirect relationship mediated by the financial knowledge management system within work groups. Key words: integrating intellectual capital, junior accountants turnover intentions, financial knowledge management success, of small and medium enterprises
... Hence, performance is correlated to managers and business pioneers' ability to integrate their knowledge about markets: awareness toward clients and importers' needs in addition to other stockholders', being close to emerging markets, insights into business potentials and identifying ideas and exploiting them through innovation (Thorpe et al., 2005). As a result, companies should develop the appropriate conditions to enhance knowledge development as implementing knowledge management means more than just implementing a set of IT tools but rather it includes changes within the organizational structure, processes and culture and the first step for shifting from a traditional company into a knowledgeable one is to focus attention on intangible assets represented by intellectual capital (Brauer and Zimmermann, 2017;Heisig, 2009). The later has great potentials at individual and groups levels as it represents organizations' futures, so there must be more interest focused on it than financial assets for its effect on the organization profitability as well as constructing a trade mark through achieving a higher level of quality (Datta and Ahmed, 2015). ...
Article
Full-text available
Depending on a model for organizational context within work groups and a job perspective for the socially responsible behaviors, we have developed and examined a model for small and medium enterprises' success within the work place that explains some reasons leading to small and medium institutions' success. The sample included 217 workers in small and medium companies in Iraq. It was found that the intellectual capital integration and intentional junior accountants' turnover were related to small and medium companies' success within the work place for companies' members, in addition, there was a direct relationship between accountants' turnover and intellectual capital integration and small and medium companies' success and there also was an indirect relationship mediated by the financial knowledge management system within work groups. Key words: integrating intellectual capital, junior accountants turnover intentions, financial knowledge management success, of small and medium enterprises
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p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: justify; margin: 0in 0.5in 0pt;"> The current study extends theory developed by Malatesta and Thompson (1985) to the area of corporate downsizing, and finds that the magnitude of the stock price reaction to announcements of corporate layoffs is a function of two factors, (1) the economic impact of the announced layoff, and, (2) the degree to which the announcement and signal about the underlying conditions related to the announcement have been anticipated by investors and incorporated previously into the stock price (predisclosure information). For firms experiencing a negative overall stock price reaction at the date of a layoff announcement, the larger the layoff (proxy for economic impact), the more negative the stock price reaction. Also for these firms, the smaller the firm size (proxy for the level of predisclosure information), the more negative the stock price reaction. This provides evidence that for some firms, the financial distress effect dominates, and the market incorporates previously unknown negative information into the stock price, which results in the negative stock price reaction. For these firms, the larger the impact and the less the event is anticipated, the more negative is the stock price reaction. For firms experiencing a positive overall stock price reaction at the date of a layoff announcement, the larger the layoff (proxy for economic impact), the more positive the stock price reaction. Also for these firms, the smaller the firm size (proxy for level of predisclosure information), the more positive the stock price reaction. This provides evidence that for some firms, the potential benefit effect dominates. The market has previously incorporated negative information associated with the conditions leading up the layoff, and is now incorporating positive information about the benefits to be achieved by the layoff, which results in the positive stock price reaction. For these firms, the larger the impact and the less the event is anticipated, the more positive is the stock price reaction. In this study, hypotheses are developed which combine the effects of both economic impact and predisclosure information with the financial distress and potential benefit hypotheses developed in prior research in corporate downsizing. Instead of offering the these two hypotheses as competing and mutually exclusive, evidence is provided that supports the conclusion that these hypotheses simultaneously explain concurrent and additive effects on the stock price reaction to announcements of company layoffs. Finally, results indicate that the relationship between economic impact, predisclosure information and stock price reaction to layoff announcements depends on the relative dominance of the signals provided by the layoff about both financial distress and potential benefit. </p
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The incorporation of a temporal perspective in merger and acquisition (M&A) and alliance research has gained increasing popularity. Since a temporal perspective focuses on the management of time and its consequences, it contributes a unique value proposition to the M&A and alliance stream of research. Over the past 30 years researchers have explored a wide variety of topics and methodological approaches. As a result, research evidence has progressed in a somewhat fragmented manner where its cumulative impact is difficult to discern. The purpose of this review is to systematically assess the underlying logic and contributions of a temporal lens for the M&A and alliance literature as well as identify core temporal constructs, mechanisms, relationships, and promising research directions. The authors’ review of 144 published articles not only catalogs the state of the art and accumulated knowledge but also identifies critical hurdles that need to be addressed to chart future research directions.
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Deinstitutionalization refers here to thc erosion or discontinuity of an institutionalized organizational activity or practice. This paper identifies a set of organizational and environmental factors that are hypothesized to determine the likelihood that institutionalized organizational behaviours will be vulnerable to erosion or rejection over time. Contrary to the emphasis in institutional theory on the cultural persistence and endurance of institutionalized organizational behaviours, it is suggested that, under a variety of conditions, these behaviours will be highly susceptible to dissipation, rejection or replacement.
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During the 1980s a large number of firms refocused or down-scoped using multiple divestitures. This paper reviews recent empirical research (1983-1996) to isolate and identify the antecedent conditions that lead to downscoping and its outcomes. Antecedent conditions include changing environmental conditions, firm governance, ineffective strategy, poor performance, and financial restructuring. Outcomes of the process examine how firm strategy has changed and its effect on employees and firm performance. I develop a model to classify research into topic areas and discuss future research directions and related issues.
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Recent empirical research in finance has uncovered two families of pervasive regularities: underreaction of stock prices to news such as earnings announcements, and overreaction of stock prices to a series of good or bad news. In this paper, we present a parsimonious model of investor sentiment, or of how investors form beliefs, which is consistent with the empirical findings. The model is based on psychological evidence and produces both underreaction and overreaction for a wide range of parameter values.
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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to compare the market reaction to layoff announcements of union and nonunion employees. Design/methodology/approach Event study methodology was utilized to assess the effects of layoff announcements of union versus nonunion employees. The union status of the laid‐off employees was determined for 135 layoff announcements reported in the Wall Street Journal in 1993 and 1994 and shareholder returns between the two groups was compared. Findings Over each event period tested, the market reaction was more negative when nonunion employees were downsized than when the announcement concerned unionized employees. Over the two days surrounding the announcement, the market reaction to the layoff announcement of unionized employees was actually positive, while the reaction was negative when nonunion employees were the subject of the announcement. Research limitations/implications The sample included layoff announcements from 1993 and 1994 only. The market reaction to announcements in different years might be different. Originality/value While many papers have examined the market reaction to layoff announcements, this is the first paper that compares the reaction to union versus nonunion employees.
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This study examines the role of downsizing in the deinstitutionalization of permanent employment among publicly listed companies in Japan between 1990 and 1997. We found that although economic pressure triggered downsizing, social and institutional pressures shaped the pace and process by which downsizing spread. Large, old, wholly domestically owned, and high-reputation Japanese firms were resistant to downsizing at first, as were firms with high levels of human capital, as reflected by high wages, but these social and institutional pressures diminished as downsizing spread across the population. We argue that this breakdown of social constraints was due to a safety-in-numbers effect: as downsizing became more prominent, the actions of any single firm were less likely to be noticed and criticized, and the effect of the institutional factors that once constrained downsizing diminished.