Article

Natural Disasters and Human Trafficking: Do Disasters Affect State Anti-Trafficking Performance?

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Abstract

Despite the oft noted negative connection between natural disasters and human trafficking, no quantitative study has been performed. Natural disasters, like conflict, can destroy homes and the economic security of individuals forcing them to migrate and making them targets for traffickers. This article tests the link between a state's ability to address trafficking and natural disasters, testing the popular prediction that a state's capabilities will be strained as increased natural disasters occur thus producing a negative effect. The findings though demonstrate that states are actually more likely to perform better in their efforts to confront trafficking. I argue that this is because natural disasters actually strengthen and enhance the state, and particularly its security institutions, in responding to these events. I place these findings in the context of other recent quantitative studies of trafficking that have also produced contradictory results when compared with the field's qualitative studies.

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... A few studies explored moderating factors, including the presence of war and conflict (Bales, 2021), gender inequality indicators (Cameron et al., 2021), the intensity of disasters (Boria, 2016), and government roles in post-disaster relief (Bowersox, 2018;Tu, 2018). However, these studies remain limited, vary in rigour, and have produced mixed findings. ...
... However, these studies remain limited, vary in rigour, and have produced mixed findings. For example, Tu (2018) did not find that the Quality of Government moderated the impact of natural disasters on trafficking outflows, while another study suggested that countries with more natural disasters were more likely to meet their responsibilities under the Palermo Protocol (Bowersox, 2018). Despite variations in methodologies, these contrasting results highlight the need for further research. ...
Article
Natural disasters have increased in frequency and severity in recent years. Emerging research also suggests that natural disasters increase the risk of human trafficking. This confluence of phenomena makes it critically important to better prepare communities for preventing and responding to human trafficking during and after a natural disaster. Yet, there is no available synthesis of the extant research to inform these preparations. The present scoping review aims to fill this gap by outlining the existing literature on the nexus of disasters and human trafficking. The review follows the Preferred Reporting Items of Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis—Scoping Review guidelines. Sources were identified through manual reference checking and in four databases: PubMed, Web of Science, APA PsychINFO, and EBSCO Discovery Service. In total, 46 sources met the inclusion criteria, that is, they focused on the nexus between human trafficking and natural disasters, demonstrated scientific rigor, and were published after 2000 and in English. Overall, the reviewed literature provided initial evidence on the association between natural disasters occurrences and increases in national and transnational human trafficking activity, understanding of the compounding vulnerabilities conducive to trafficking following disasters, and recommendations for the prevention and response to human trafficking in the wake of disasters. Future studies should evaluate prevention initiatives, including awareness campaigns and interventions that mitigate trafficking vulnerabilities. In practice, it is crucial to integrate anti-trafficking efforts into disaster relief protocols, empower vulnerable populations, and advocate for enhanced legal protections for displaced and migrant individuals.
... It is considered that disasters positively and significantly affect human trafficking. Disasters negatively affect economic outcomes, providing a mechanism by which they indirectly affect trafficking (Boria & Anukriti, 2016;Bowersox, 2018;Mbakogu, 2021). ...
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... Each member state's type of THB (as an origin, transit, and/or destination country) is also controlled for since states may be predisposed to experience THB as a source, transit, or destination country based on their wealth and inequality levels (Frank, 2013a(Frank, , 2013b. And country-specific characteristics, like GDP per capita and inflation, were included to account for how countries with more resources and a stronger economy may have greater state capacity in anti-THB efforts or may be better at detecting THB victims (Bowersox, 2018;Jakobsson & Kotsadam, 2013). Dummy variables for each year and country were included to control for time and place fixed effects. ...
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Trafficking in human beings (THB) is a widespread, transnational issue in the European Union (EU). Member states act as source, transit, and destination countries for intra-EU trafficking, in addition to being a major destination region for external THB victims. This study presents a new dataset of THB victims observed in each EU member state per year and by type of exploitation going back as far as 2001 and employs exact matching methods to test the link between different prostitution policies and Roma secondary education attainment rates on observed THB victimization. The paper also builds off previous literature to compare how different legal prostitution models and THB supply factors are expected to influence various types of THB. The results indicate that legalized prostitution and lower educational attainment among the Roma community increase observed THB victimization, especially THB for the purpose of sexual exploitation. The paper does not find that the Swedish model significantly increases or decreases observed THB victimization. In demonstrating how matching methods can be utilized to uncover policy patterns in THB outcomes, this study provides a blueprint for how other hidden phenomena, such as corruption or migration, can be robustly and empirically tested.
... Drolet et al. (2015) also maintain that "following a disaster, young girls are particularly vulnerable to being withdrawn from education to assist with the workload, to forced child marriages, and to trafficking" (p. 438), whereas Bowersox (2018), having analysed statistics of governmental anti-trafficking measures from 2001 to 2008, concludes that "states are actually more likely to improve their performance in relation to combating trafficking" (p. 202) in the aftermath of a disaster. ...
Thesis
Bystanders are often the first to respond to disasters and, for this reason, Community-Based Disaster Response Teams (CBDRTs) should be established in vulnerable communities. The literature review examines Disaster Risk Reduction initiatives and identifies that there is little information available regarding strategies and training curriculum that could be used to establish and maintain CBDRTs in developing nations and with vulnerable groups. The three research questions for this investigation ask how CBDRT courses could be adapted for these communities, what topics and activities would be most useful for such training, and how the teams could be established and maintained. The research objectives are to identify strategies that could be used to train CBDRT groups in these contexts, to propose an outline for a basic training course, and to describe techniques that could contribute to the sustainability of these teams. Research was conducted with CBDRTs in developing nations using a mixed methods methodology with the United States Federal Emergency Management Agency’s (FEMA) Community Emergency Response Team (CERT) programme being employed as a case study. Quantitative data was obtained from a questionnaire completed by CERT course graduates, and qualitative information was acquired from key informant interviews. After a review of the CERT programme that discusses its history, curriculum, success stories, and potential pitfalls, the data collected is presented through statistical analysis of the questionnaire replies and thematic analysis of the interview transcripts. Suggested CBDRT training strategies are creating courses for adolescents, modifying the material for non-literate learners, and providing additional practical activities. Recommendations for establishing programmes include developing teams for young people, cooperating with Community-Based Organisations to solve existing problems, and offering CBDRT training in the post-disaster environment. Techniques for maintaining the teams involve developing leadership, creating support networks, and cultivating partnerships with local authorities. The final conclusion is that the CERT model could be used as the basis for an international CBDRT training programme, although it would require adaption of the course content and presentation style.
... Drolet et al. (2015) also maintain that "following a disaster, young girls are particularly vulnerable to being withdrawn from education to assist with the workload, to forced child marriages, and to trafficking" (p. 438), whereas Bowersox (2018), having analysed statistics of governmental anti-trafficking measures from 2001 to 2008, concludes that "states are actually more likely to improve their performance in relation to combating trafficking" (p. 202) in the aftermath of a disaster. ...
Preprint
Bystanders are often the first to respond to disasters and, for this reason, Community-Based Disaster Response Teams (CBDRTs) should be established in vulnerable communities. The literature review examines Disaster Risk Reduction initiatives and identifies that there is little information available regarding strategies and training curriculum that could be used to establish and maintain CBDRTs in developing nations and with vulnerable groups. The three research questions for this investigation ask how CBDRT courses could be adapted for these communities, what topics and activities would be most useful for such training, and how the teams could be established and maintained. The research objectives are to identify strategies that could be used to train CBDRT groups in these contexts, to propose an outline for a basic training course, and to describe techniques that could contribute to the sustainability of these teams. Research was conducted with CBDRTs in developing nations using a mixed methods methodology with the United States Federal Emergency Management Agency's (FEMA) Community Emergency Response Team (CERT) programme being employed as a case study. Quantitative data was obtained from a questionnaire completed by CERT course graduates, and qualitative information was acquired from key informant interviews. After a review of the CERT programme that discusses its history, curriculum, success stories, and potential pitfalls, the data collected is presented through statistical analysis of the questionnaire replies and thematic analysis of the interview transcripts. Suggested CBDRT training strategies are creating courses for adolescents, modifying the material for non-literate learners, and providing additional practical activities. Recommendations for establishing programmes include developing teams for young people, cooperating with Community-Based Organisations to solve existing problems, and offering CBDRT training in the post-disaster environment. Techniques for maintaining the teams involve developing leadership, creating support networks, and cultivating partnerships with local authorities. The final conclusion is that the CERT model could be used as the basis for an international CBDRT training programme, although it would require adaption of the course content and presentation style. i
... To this end, Bowersox (2018) put the blame of migration for human trafficking largely due to natural disasters. This natural disaster such as conflict destroys not only individual security but also that of economic security of a family. ...
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Because freedom of choice and economic gain are at the heart of productivity, human trafficking impedes national and international economic growth. Within the next 10 years, crime experts expect human trafficking to surpass drug and arms trafficking in its incidence, cost to human well-being, and profitability to criminals (Schauer and Wheaton, 2006: 164–165). The loss of agency from human trafficking as well as from modern slavery is the result of human vulnerability (Bales, 2000: 15). As people become vulnerable to exploitation and businesses continually seek the lowest-cost labour sources, trafficking human beings generates profit and a market for human trafficking is created. This paper presents an economic model of human trafficking that encompasses all known economic factors that affect human trafficking both across and within national borders. We envision human trafficking as a monopolistically competitive industry in which traffickers act as intermediaries between vulnerable individuals and employers by supplying differentiated products to employers. In the human trafficking market, the consumers are employers of trafficked labour and the products are human beings. Using a rational-choice framework of human trafficking we explain the social situations that shape relocation and working decisions of vulnerable populations leading to human trafficking, the impetus for being a trafficker, and the decisions by employers of trafficked individuals. The goal of this paper is to provide a common ground upon which policymakers and researchers can collaborate to decrease the incidence of trafficking in humans.
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During the last few decades, human dynamics, institutional change, political relations, and the natural environment have become successively more intertwined. While the increased global economic integration, global forms of governance, globally inter-linked social and environmental developments are often referred to as "globalisation," there is no unanimously-agreed upon definition of the term. Depending on the researcher or commentator, it can mean, among other things, the growing integration of markets and nation-states, receding geographical constraints on social and cultural arrangements, the increased dissemination of ideas and technologies, the threat to national sovereignty by trans-national actors; or the transformation of the economic, political and cultural foundations of societies. Regardless of perspective, globalisation permeates our economic, political, and social institutions to a profound degree. Recently, the issue of "sustainability" has reached the mainstream: are the forces of globalisation ultimately contributing to growth and opportunity—or to destruction and chaos? Against the chorus of globalisation’s proponents and detractors, the authors propose an approach for measuring globalisation and its consequences. Undertaking a comprehensive review of the literature on globalisation and using data from the MGI and KOF indices, the authors build a framework for defining globalisation and analyzing the relationships among economic, political, and social variables. In particular, they apply the methodology to analyze the effects of globalisation on tax policy, government spending, economic growth, inequality, union power, and the natural environment and consider additional avenues for research, analysis, and decision making. In the process, they hope that by introducing objective measures to enhance our insight into the functioning of the complex global system.
Article
The study develops an index of globalization covering its three main dimensions: economic integration, social integration, and political integration. Using panel data for 123 countries in 1970-2000 it is analysed empirically whether the overall index of globalization as well as sub-indexes constructed to measure the single dimensions affect economic growth. As the results show, globalization indeed promotes growth. The dimensions most robustly related with growth refer to actual economic flows and restrictions in developed countries. Although less robustly, information flows also promote growth whereas political integration has no effect.
Article
An editorial overview of a special double issue of this journal devoted to Women in migration, each article of which is abstracted separately. The extent of and studies of women's migration are reviewed, with particular emphasis on the integration of independent long-distance migrants into the labour force of advanced capitalist countries, and the gains and losses to women that arise are assessed. -W.T.S.Gould Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Paris, France.
Article
For many years experimental observations have raised questions about the rationality of economic agents--for example, the Allais Paradox or the Equity Premium Puzzle. The problem is a narrow notion of rationality that disregards fear. This article extends the notion of rationality with new axioms of choice under uncertainty and the decision criteria they imply (Chichilnisky, G., 1996a. An axiomatic approach to sustainable development. Social Choice andWelfare 13, 257-321; Chichilnisky, G., 2000. An axiomatic approach to choice under uncertainty with Catastrophic risks. Resource and Energy Economics; Chichilnisky, G., 2002. Catastrophical Risk. Encyclopedia of Environmetrics, vol. 1. John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., Chicester). In the absence of catastrophes, the old and the new approach coincide, and both lead to standard expected utility. A sharp difference emerges when facing rare events with important consequences, or catastrophes. Theorem 1 establishes that a classic axiom of choice under uncertainty - Arrow's Monotone Continuity axiom, or its relatives introduced by DeGroot, Villegas, Hernstein and Milnor - postulate rational behavior that is [`]insensitive' to rare events as defined in (Chichilnisky, G., 1996a. An axiomatic approach to sustainable development. Social Choice andWelfare 13, 257-321; Chichilnisky, G., 2000. An axiomatic approach to choice under uncertainty with Catastrophic risks. Resource and Energy Economics; Chichilnisky, G., 2002. Catastrophical Risk. Encyclopedia of Environmetrics, vol. 1. John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., Chicester). Theorem 2 replaces this axiom with another that allows extreme responses to extreme events, and characterizes the implied decision criteria as a combination of expected utility with extremal responses. Theorems 1 and 2 offer a new understanding of rationality consistent with previously unexplained observations about decisions involving rare and catastrophic events, decisions involving fear, the Equity Premium Puzzle, [`]jump di
Nepal Quake Survivors Face Threat from Human Traffickers Supplying Sex Trade
  • Burke J.
Burke, J. 2015 "Nepal Quake Survivors Face Threat from Human Traffickers Supplying Sex Trade", The Guardian. URL: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/may/05/nepal-quake-survivors-face-threatfrom-human-traffickers-supplying-sex-trade
Putting women in their place
  • M Caprioli
  • V M Hudson
  • R Mcdermott
  • C Emmett
  • B Ballif-Spanvill
Caprioli, M., V.M. Hudson, R. McDermott, C. Emmett, and B. Ballif-Spanvill 2007 "Putting women in their place", Baker Center Journal of Applied Public Policy, 1(1): 12-22.
EM-DAT: The CRED/OFDA International Disaster Database
  • Guha-Sapir
Nepal Earthquake of 2015
  • Rafferty J.P.
The CIRI Human Rights Dataset
  • D L Cingranelli
  • D L Richards
  • C K Clay
Cingranelli, D.L., D.L. Richards, and C.K. Clay 2014 "The CIRI Human Rights Dataset." http://www.humanrightsdata.com.
Humanitarian Crises and Migration: Causes, Consequences, and Responses
  • J. McAdam
The Quality of Government Standard Data Set
  • J S Teorell
  • S Dahlber
  • F Holmber B.Rothstein
  • Hartmann
  • Svensson
Human Trafficking, Human Security, and the Balkans
  • H. R. Reich Friman
  • S. Reich
Human Trafficking and Human Security
  • A. Jonsson
Human Trafficking and Human Security
  • T. Makarenko
Humanitarian Crises and Migration: Causes, Consequences, and Responses
  • E. Ferris
Human security and human trafficking
  • L Shelley
Shelley, L. 2009 "Human security and human trafficking", in A. Jonsson (Ed.), Human Trafficking and Human Security, Routledge, New York, NY: 10-25.
Resort to Arms: International and Civil Wars
  • M Small
  • J D Singer
Small, M., and J.D. Singer 1982 Resort to Arms: International and Civil Wars, 1816-1980, Sage, Beverly Hills, CA.
Human trafficking indicators
  • R W Frank
Frank, R. W. 2013 "Human trafficking indicators, 2000 -2011: a new dataset". University of Sydney. URL: http:// ssrn.com/abstract=2314157
Research into human trafficking: issues and problems
  • A Dinicola
DiNicola, A. 2007 "Research into human trafficking: issues and problems", in M. Lee (Ed.), Human Trafficking, Willan Publishing, Portland, OR: 49-72.
Information on the coding and construct of this data, as well as its disaggregated constituent parts, are available from the PRS Group via purchase
  • Teorell
  • Dahlber
  • Holmber
  • Hartmann Rothstein
Information on the coding and construct of this data, as well as its disaggregated constituent parts, are available from the PRS Group via purchase (see: https://www.prsgroup.com/about-us/our-two-methodologies/ic rg). The combined data measure though is available via the QOG Institute (Teorell, Dahlber, Holmber, Rothstein, Hartmann, and Svensson, 2015).
International Sporting Events and Human Trafficking: Effects of Mega-Events on a State's Capacity to Address Human Trafficking
  • P Blaikie
  • T Cannon
  • I Davis
  • B Wisner
  • Disasters
  • New Routledge
  • N Y York
  • Z Bowersox
Blaikie, P., T. Cannon, I. Davis, and B. Wisner 1994 At Risk: Natural Hazards, People's Vulnerability, and Disasters, Routledge, New York, NY. Bowersox, Z. 2016 "International Sporting Events and Human Trafficking: Effects of Mega-Events on a State's Capacity to Address Human Trafficking", Journal of Human Trafficking, 2(3): 201-220.