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La izquierda populista en México: ¿Amenaza o correctivo para la democracia?

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Abstract

En el libro La Salida, de cara a la elección presidencial de 2018, Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) presentó el diagnostico de la situación del país y las propuestas de solución que darían forman a su campaña electoral. En este libro, AMLO señaló que los gobernantes no eran más que una “pandilla de saqueadores” y se comprometió a reemplazar la “república simulada” con “un orden político nuevo, democrático, promotor de la legalidad, humanista y con el distintivo de la honestidad” (López Obrador, 2017: 13). Este planteamiento tiene un énfasis claramente populista: la captura del poder por parte de una élite corrupta. Sin embargo, conociendo la realidad mexicana a finales del sexenio de Peña Nieto, ¿qué tanto se podía estar en desacuerdo con tal diagnóstico? ¿Qué tanto se podía cuestionar esa solución? El veredicto de las urnas fue inequívoco: el 53% de la votación efectiva, equivalentes a poco más de 30 millones de sufragios, se pronunció favor del “cambio verdadero” y la “cuarta transformación” del país. En este trabajo se analiza el componente populista del discurso de la izquierda mexicana contemporánea. Esto implica, primordialmente, enfocarse en el movimiento político de López Obrador. Desde un principio vale decir que no es la intención hacer un elogio incondicional de AMLO, de la misma manera que tampoco pretende hacer una encendida diatriba en su contra. El propósito es contribuir al estudio del populismo en México, analizando sus características, su relación con la izquierda y sus implicaciones para la democracia. El argumento es que la corrupción y la ineficacia de los gobiernos han provocado un descontento generalizado que la izquierda populista ha sabido capitalizar política y electoralmente. El discurso populista culpa de los males del país a la “mafia del poder” y ofrece un “proyecto alternativo de nación”, en el que la honestidad y la austeridad republicana son el sustrato de un modelo de desarrollo promovido por el Estado. Sin embargo, esta izquierda es una opción basada en un programa ideológico limitado, sostenido por un partido personalista. Al igual que su concepción del antagonismo entre el pueblo y las élites, las soluciones que ofrece a los problemas públicos son simples y esquemáticas, más cercanas a la ocurrencia que a la política pública. Fundamentalmente, la supremacía moral que le confiere a la voluntad del pueblo supone una permanente tensión con la legalidad, un modelo plebiscitario de relación con la ciudadanía, y poco espacio para la reivindicación de derechos y la diversidad. Si se mantiene fiel a una estrategia populista de representación y movilización política, como se argumenta en la parte final de este texto, es difícil que esta expresión de la izquierda pueda contribuir al fortalecimiento de la democracia mexicana.
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... Morena, y antes los cuadros que militaron en el Partido de la Revolución Democrática (PRD), han tenido una amplia participación en el gobierno . La misma identidad de Morena y de su líder como un partido o movimiento guiado por una agenda de izquierda ha sido cuestionada en varias ocasiones (Monsiváis, 2020). ...
... Ahora bien, aunque la autocratización erosiona la democracia, no necesariamente provoca una ruptura del régimen ni desemboca en el autoritarismo (Bermeo, 2016; Del Tronco y Monsiváis, 2020;Jee et al., 2019). El declive democrático observado en Estados Unidos de América, durante la administración de Donald Trump (2016, al igual que la registrada en Brasil desde el desafuero de Dilma Rousseff y la posterior elección de Jair Bolsonaro (2016 a la fecha), son casos ilustrativos de deslizamiento en reversa que no se han convertido en autoritarismos. ...
... A diferencia del populismo desarrollista que caracterizó al gobierno de Lázaro Cárdenas (1932-1938 (Córdova, 1974), el populismo de López Obrador es un híbrido de la política económica y la política social distribucionista de los sexenios previos, con recetas retóricas neopopulistas de deslegitimación de las instituciones y actores políticos, sin los componentes desarrollistas y modernizadores de las experiencias cardenista y echeverrista. El populismo de López Obrador ha sido abordado ampliamente (Monsiváis, 2020;Cansino y Covarrubias, 2007;Pérez Verduzco, 2019;Castro, Ley y Beltrán, 2020;Ramírez, 2020). Difiere en tres aspectos fundamentales del cardenismo: en primer lugar, no se sostiene en un movimiento social o clasista identificable, sino en una heterogénea base electoral que en el pasado reciente ha mostrado la volatilidad de sus preferencias y su dispersión ideológica. ...
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Leaders can modify individual behavior. The government has many options to protect citizens in the middle of a crisis. One significant effort is to communicate to the people the actions to be taken as straightforwardly as possible. The Mexican President, Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO), is heading a leftist government. Since day one in office, he offers daily morning press conferences because he wants to have a dialogue between the President and society. He has been communicating the essential policies and actions regarding the Covid-19 pandemic under this unique format of political communication. The interests of this research are focused on determining, at first, that populism is an ideology that can be identified in discourses. Whenever there is a crisis, a leader’s words have a significant weight on people’s actions. Second, discussing populism as a discourse refers to a specific speaker’s set of ideas that are present in speeches. These ideas can reflect the hidden intentions and values of the ruler that are translated into specific policies. Choosing one policy over another as a consequence of following a specific ideology can produce divergent results in society. That is why populism needs to be studied from the lens of discourse as a way of deploying power through language. Political discourse is characterized by being argumentative, strategic, and performative. Given these elements, it is likely that the discursive strategies of the Mexican President can show ideological elements. After selecting five important speeches of AMLO’s morning conferences, this research wants to find the populist ideological elements present in López Obrador’s discourse regarding the Covid-19 pandemic in Mexico. When referring to identifying the ideological elements present in AMLO’s discourse, this thesis relies on Thompson’s (1998) operational definition that describes how ideologies can act and be identified in a discourse. His proposal distinguishes five general modes through which ideology operates: legitimization, fragmentation, unification, simulation, and objectivization. Each of these is identifiable through different discursive strategies. With the objective to find the populist elements, this thesis performs a critical discourse analysis from a qualitative perspective. The research finds that these five AMLO’s speeches have discursive elements in each of Thompson’s categories. For example, he divides the society into two clear parts, the “good ones” represented by him and his government, and his “enemies” represented by a corrupt group of wealthy and conservative elite that used to benefit from previous governments. AMLO uses Mexican history and a nationalist feeling to create unification among the “good people” supporting his government. Besides, AMLO’s discourse is based on his charisma by using colloquial language. Promoting a cult to his personality gives him the stamina needed to keep ruling the country after getting infected by Covid-19. With several quotations extracted from his speeches, this thesis finds enough elements to argue that the Mexican President has been promoting a populist discourse to communicate his government's actions regarding the pandemic health crisis.
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