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2011-2016 Salmonid Redd Abundance and Juvenile Salmonid Spatial Structure in the Smith River Basin, California and Oregon

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We investigated two essential population viability metrics of salmonids over five consecutive years in the Smith River basin (Oregon and California), with ESA listed coho salmon as the focal species. First, we monitored adult salmonid escapement and distribution from 2011 to 2016 using live fish, carcass, and redd counts as defined in California's Coastal Salmonid Monitoring Plan. Second, we estimated the summer spatial structure of juvenile salmonids and adult coastal cutthroat trout annually from 2012 to 2016 using multiple-pass snorkel surveys in an occupancy modeling framework. We constructed separate sample frames for each monitoring component using a reproducible approach that relied on empirical and modeled stream habitat information. Each sample frame was divided into survey reaches resulting in 161.8 kilometers of stream habitat (68 reaches, 30 sub-reaches) for the adult sample frame and 298.1 kilometers (126 reaches, 40 sub-reaches) for the juvenile spatial structure sample frame. We estimate the adult sampling frame covered 78% of potential coho salmon spawning habitat and the juvenile sampling frame covered essentially all likely summer juvenile coho salmon rearing habitats. This report provides detailed results from the 2015-2016 survey effort not reported previously as well as five-year summaries spanning the length of this monitoring effort. This document is also supported by previously published reports offering greater detail on annual results (i.e. Garwood and Larson [2014], Garwood et al. [2014] and Walkley and Garwood [2015]). We completed 1896 spawning ground surveys across 87 survey reaches over the five years representing a sum total of 3346 kilometers surveyed. We made 1380 live adult coho salmon observations over the five years with annual observations ranging from 125 in 2015-2016 to 494 in 2013-2014. All but nine live coho salmon observations occurred in Mill Creek; eight observations were recorded in Rowdy Creek over three winters and one observation occurred in Hurdygurdy Creek during the 2013-2014 season. We recovered 196 coho salmon carcasses over the five years ranging from 15 in 2014-2015 to 82 in 2011-2012. All but five coho salmon carcasses were observed in Mill Creek; one carcass was found in Morrison Creek during the 2012-2013 season and four were found in Rowdy Creek during the 2013-2014 season. We were able to verify 293 individual coho salmon redds over the five seasons. All verified redds were found in the upper Mill Creek subbasin. Since our coho salmon observations were almost exclusively clustered in the Mill Creek, we determined that our redd population estimates for the whole sample frame were biased high and unreliable based largely on excessive between-reach error estimates. However, Chinook salmon and steelhead estimates were determined for the sample frame since these species were more evenly distributed throughout the basin. We estimated total coho salmon redd abundance annually in the Mill Creek subbasin which ranged from 149 (95% CI: 139-159) redds in 2014-2015 to 482 (95% CI: 464-501) redds in 2011-2012. Chinook salmon were far more abundant, with estimated redd abundances ranging from 516 in 2013-2014 to 3819 in 2011-2012. Our sampling did not cover the entire steelhead spawning season. However, we estimated steelhead redd abundance during our sampling period to range from 356 in 2013-2014 to 1120 in 2015-2016. Last, hatchery origin Chinook salmon and steelhead were observed spawning throughout much of the sampling frame over the five years, especially in Rowdy Creek and Mill Creek. The mean hatchery proportion of Chinook salmon carcasses ranged from 8.8% in tributaries below the Smith River forks to 32.9% in Rowdy Creek. No carcasses were observed above the forks. The mean hatchery proportion of live steelhead ranged from 5.3% below the forks to 28.6% in Rowdy Creek. No live hatchery steelhead were observed above the Smith River forks though sample sizes were small. We used multi-scaled occupancy models to estimate the probability of salmonid occupancy at the sample reach and at the sample unit (within reach) simultaneously while accounting for species detection probabilities. From 2012 to 2016 we completed a 323 reach surveys totaling 608 cumulative stream kilometers within the Smith River. We sampled 7254 pools over the five years with annual totals ranging from 1115 pools to 1837 pools. Only ten of the 167 reaches (6%) did not get surveyed at least once over the five-year period due a lack of access to a few private lands. We documented juvenile coho salmon occurring in 64 of the 157 (41%) individual reaches surveyed at least once over the five years. Annual reach-level occupancy estimates were numerically similar between years but declined annually from 0.42 in 2012 to 0.30 in 2016. Annual pool-level occupancy estimates ranged from 0.47 to 0.68. The annual estimated proportion of area occupied declined each year of the study from 0.29 in 2012 to 0.14 in 2016. The difference in PAO was most apparent between 2012 and 2016 with 2016 representing less than half of the estimated PAO in 2012. Coho salmon maintained patchy distributions relative to the sampling frame over the five years. Based on the summer distribution data collected throughout the basin, we describe five extant juvenile coho salmon patches. Four of the five patches are maintained by independent spawning sub-populations and we consider the lower mainstem Smith River and tributaries to be the only significant non-natal coho salmon rearing patch. Coho salmon juveniles used a variety of non-natal rearing habitats highlighting diversity in life-history and complementary resource needs. Last, in addition to coho salmon, we describe spatial structure estimates and detailed distributions of stream-type juvenile Chinook salmon, age zero and 1+ trout, and adult coastal cutthroat trout. Chinook salmon carcass observed on a spawner survey in Craigs Creek, South Fork Smith River. Photo: Zach Wenderott
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... Coho Salmon inhabiting the Smith River are part of the Southern Oregon/ Northern California Coast evolutionarily significant unit and are currently listed as threatened under the U.S. Endangered Species Act. The California Department of Fish and Wildlife (CDFW) uses UVC methods (i.e., snorkeling) to determine the spatial distribution of juvenile Coho Salmon in the Smith River each summer (Walkley and Garwood 2017), and we integrated eDNA collections into CDFW's preexisting survey protocols over two survey seasons (2020-2021). The detection capabilities estimated using the CDFW snorkeling surveys are very high (>0.9; ...
... Nearly all of the basin (98%) is within the Klamath and Siskiyou mountains. The Smith River is the largest freeflowing coastal river in California; there are no dams, and anadromous fishes have access to the entire basin (Garwood and Larson 2014;Walkley and Garwood 2017). ...
... During July and August of 2020 and 2021, eDNA sampling was conducted in conjunction with the annual UVC survey of the Smith River basin executed as part of the CDFW Coastal Salmonid Monitoring Program (Adams et al. 2011;Garwood and Ricker 2016;Walkley and Garwood 2017). For the UVC survey, sampling units of approximately 1-3 km in length (hereafter, "reaches") were selected using a generalized random tessellation stratified algorithm out of 166 total sampling units that represent all juvenile salmonid rearing habitat in the Smith River basin during summer base flow conditions ( Figure 1; Stevens and Olsen 2004;Garwood and Larson 2014). ...
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Objective This study compares the probability of detecting juvenile Coho Salmon Oncorhynchus kisutch using both environmental DNA (eDNA) techniques and underwater visual count (UVC) surveys in northern California rivers. Here, UVC surveys commonly have detection probabilities ( p ) surpassing 0.90, providing an ideal setting to examine the performance of newer eDNA methods. We also evaluate the potential for using eDNA concentrations to predict the count of Coho Salmon within pool habitats. Methods We conducted paired eDNA and UVC surveys in 96 pools across 25 stream reaches within the Smith River basin, California. Method‐specific p and the effect of environmental covariates were estimated using multiscale occupancy modeling. We used generalized linear models to evaluate the relationship of fish counts to eDNA concentrations and habitat covariates. Result The eDNA and UVC methods showed a high degree of agreement in detecting the presence of Coho Salmon within a pool (93% agreement) and survey reach (80% agreement). Detection probabilities for eDNA ( p eDNA ) and for UVC ( p UVC ) were similar and high at median levels of pool residual depth and contributing basin area ( p eDNA = 91%, p UVC = 89%). Contributing basin area (a proxy for discharge) had a strong, negative effect that was more pronounced for p eDNA than for p UVC (e.g., in the largest basins, p eDNA = 34% whereas p UVC = 77%). We did not find eDNA concentrations to be a good predictor of Coho Salmon counts in small pools. Conclusion This study demonstrates that eDNA methods yielded nearly identical results to UVC surveys in catchments <36 km ² and can provide a highly effective approach for determining the distribution of Coho Salmon. However, additional investigation is required before eDNA could be used to estimate relative abundance in small pools.
... The goal of this study was to compare eDNA and UVC surveys for monitoring the spatial distribution of naturally spawned juvenile coho salmon (Oncorhynchus (CDFW) uses UVC to determine the spatial distribution of juvenile coho salmon in the Smith River each summer (Walkley and Garwood 2017). I integrated eDNA collections into CDFW's pre-existing survey protocols over two survey seasons (2020-2021) for a robust comparison of eDNA and UVC methods. ...
... The Smith River basin encompasses 1,862 km 2 ranging from sea level to 1,954 m. Nearly all of the basin (98%) is within the Klamath-Siskiyou mountain ranges and has a rugged, complex topography with only 2% of the basin within the coastal plain (Walkley and Garwood 2017). The Smith River is the largest free-flowing coastal river in California providing unrestricted access for anadromous and resident salmonids (Garwood and Larson 2014). ...
... The number of pools to sample in a reach is also an important sampling consideration. Pool-level occupancy by juvenile coho salmon in this system has previously been estimated to be 0.47 (SE 0.02; Walkley and Garwood 2017); at this pool occupancy rate, surveying five pools within a reach for eDNA would yield a >95% cumulative probability of detecting coho salmon at the reach scale. However, additional work is still needed to develop an optimal eDNA sampling protocol for the Smith River survey that balances pool-level occupancy estimates and the downstream transportation of eDNA particles. ...
Thesis
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Environmental DNA (eDNA) has developed into a useful tool for determining the distribution of rare aquatic species, but relatively few studies have directly compared the detection probabilities of this method with other conventional survey techniques. These comparisons can inform which method may be better suited to address study objectives. In this study, the overall goal was to compare the ability of eDNA and underwater visual count (UVC) surveys to detect juvenile coho salmon (Oncorhynchus kisutch), a species of conservation concern at the southern extent of its geographic range. Specifically, I address two objectives: (1) compare the ability of eDNA and UVC surveys to detect coho salmon and the influence of environmental covariates on detectability and (2) evaluate the utility of eDNA concentrations and habitat covariates to predict the count of coho salmon within small pools. Water samples for eDNA analysis and snorkel surveys were conducted at 96 pools across 25 stream reaches in the Smith River basin, California. I used multi-scale occupancy models to estimate method-specific detection probabilities (p) and the effect of habitat covariates, including basin area (as a proxy for discharge), residual pool depth, and large woody debris. Results showed that eDNA and UVC surveys had a high degree of agreement in detecting the presence of coho salmon at both iii the pool scale (93% agreement) and reach scale (80% agreement), however there were several occasions where only one method detected coho salmon. The top occupancy model, identified using Akaike's information criterion, indicated that the detection probabilities were best predicted by method, basin area, residual pool depth, and an interaction between method and basin area. Under median habitat conditions, detection probabilities were similar and high for both methods (peDNA=91%, pUVC=89%). Residual pool depth had a slight positive effect on peDNA and pUVC. Detection probabilities for both methods were affected negatively by increasing basin size, but p declined more substantially for eDNA; at the highest basin areas, peDNA =40% compared to pUVC=78%. Finally, eDNA concentrations were a poor predictor of coho salmon count in small pools. The absence of a relationship between eDNA concentrations and fish counts is contrary to other studies and may have resulted as a consequence of the relatively small differences in counts observed between pools, which ranged from 0 to 210 individuals. Overall, this study illustrates that eDNA methods were as sensitive as UVC surveys for detecting coho presence under most conditions but could not be used to produce reliable estimates of the average observed count of the target species in this system. Therefore, these findings support the use of eDNA methods for monitoring the distributions of a rare species but indicate that implementation should be guided by study objectives and local environmental conditions. iv ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
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