Article

Find the perfect match: The interplay among Facebook, YouTube and LinkedIn on crowdfunding success

Authors:
  • Kaja Fietkiewicz
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Abstract

Since crowdfunding emerged as a new funding channel for entrepreneurial projects, researchers focused on investigating factors that actually lead to crowdfunding campaign’s success. Such tools for promotion of a campaign are, for example, social media. Like crowdfunding platforms they are also Web 2.0 applications, which changed our cultural norms and business praxes by creating the world where country borders became invisible and communication immediate. But how does the activity on social media affect the crowdfunder’s decision to pledge money for someone’s entrepreneurial endeavors? In this study, we take a look at the influence of electronic word of mouth (eWoM) via Facebook and YouTube, as well as the impact of social capital on the business oriented service LinkedIn, on the success of a crowdfunding campaign. We examine the interplay between these different platforms and propose social media strategies for entrepreneurs, which may increase their chances for being funded.

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... For example, although studies on digital crowdfunding, crowdfunding, social capital, and signalling success factors in network environments do exist (Ahlers et al., 2015;Courtney et al., 2017;Kromidha and Robson, 2016), they are often based on developed country digital platforms and projects. Despite the fact that, in online social media such as Facebook, YouTube, or LinkedIn, electronic word of mouth plays an important role in crowdfunding success (Fietkiewicz et al., 2018), this level of connectivity cannot always be achieved in developing countries. Similarly, although, owing to the increase in demand, the forces of globalisation are believed to enhance the welfare of poor, marginalised individuals in developing countries, there is however the risk of these individuals not benefitting from this state of affairs due to a lack of knowledge or of the resources required to keep up with the dynamics of the commercial environment (Bhensdadia and Dana, 2004). ...
... There was no multi-collinearity issue in the dataset. The tolerance statistics needed to be above 0.2 and variance inflation factor (VIF) less than 10 (Field, 2009). For all the independent variables, the range of tolerance statistics was 0.340 to 0.970 and range for VIF was 1.003 to 2.939. ...
... They also find that clicks sourced from Facebook and Twitter contribute differently to the funding target, and that click-through activities originating from Facebook are more than twice as effective as those from Twitter. Although Fietkiewicz et al. (2018) note the significance of the interaction between Facebook, YouTube and LinkedIn on crowdfunding outcomes, surprisingly they do not find any relationship with Facebook when measured on its own. Other authors find that greater embeddedness of Twitter users can result in a disproportionate increase in crowdfunding results (Hong et al., 2015), and that the number of social media accounts of the project founder and the project itself are influential in respect of both number of funders and the funding total; however counterintuitively they also find that the social reach of these accounts is not significant (Clauss et al., 2020). ...
... Our study contributes to the literature on the relationship between crowdfunding and social networks (e.g. Byrnes et al., 2014;Clauss et al., 2020;Fietkiewicz et al., 2018;Hekman & Brussee, 2013;Hong et al., 2015) and social ties (e.g. Borst et al., 2018;Polzin et al., 2018;Simon et al., 2019;Zheng et al., 2018Zheng et al., , 2014 by offering a nuanced insight into how the online fan communication channels of CCI campaign founders represent their underlying social ties with their fans. ...
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... Poland F(P) Silver Gen X Gen Y Gen Z Facebook 6.00 (50%) 6.00 (89%) 6.00 (88%) 5 Regarding our South African sample almost all differences were significant on at least 5%-level. Most of the differences were negative, like for the other two countries. ...
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... Crowdfunding literally means 'financing from the masses'. This terminology is supported by the immense power that the masses can exercise in mobilising financial resources (Ali-Hassan and Allam, 2016;Beier and Wagner, 2017;Elkuch et al., 2013;Fietkiewicz et al., 2018;Freud, 1981;Le Bon, 1988;Menon et al., 2018;Nigam et al., 2019;Richter et al., 2015;Surowiecki, 2004;Turner and Killian, 1972;Wallace, 1999). This alternative, crowdfunding mechanism, which has boomed in Europe and North America, boosted by fundraising campaigns that have reached several million dollars on US platforms. ...
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... For example, although studies on digital crowdfunding, crowdfunding, social capital, and signalling success factors in network environments do exist (Ahlers, Cumming, Günther, & Schweizer, 2015;Courtney, Dutta, & Li, 2017;Kromidha & Robson, 2016), they are often based on developed country digital platforms and projects. Despite the fact that, in online social media such as Facebook, YouTube, or LinkedIn, electronic word of mouth plays an important role in crowdfunding success (Fietkiewicz, Hoffmann, & Lins, 2018), this level of connectivity cannot always be achieved in developing countries. Similarly, although, owing to the increase in demand, the forces of globalization are believed to enhance the welfare of poor, marginalized individuals in developing countries, there is however the risk of these individuals not benefitting from this state of affairs due to a lack of knowledge or of the resources required to keep up with the dynamics of the commercial environment (Bhensdadia & Dana, 2004). ...
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... Crowdfunding literally means "financing from the masses." This terminology is supported by the immense power that the masses can exercise in mobilizing financial resources (Ali-Hassan & Allam, 2016;Beier and Wagner 2017;Elkuch et al., 2013;Fietkiewicz et al., 2018;Freud, 1981;Le Bon, 1988 ;Menon et al., 2018 ;Nigam et al., 2019Richter et al., 2015Russ, 2007;Surowiecki, 2004;Turner & Killian, 1972;Wallace, 1999). This alternative, crowdfunding mechanism, which has boomed in Europe and North America, boosted by fundraising campaigns that have reached several million dollars on American platforms (NEWSPAPERS, 2011). ...
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... Crowdfunding literally means "financing from the masses." This terminology is supported by the immense power that the masses can exercise in mobilizing financial resources (Ali-Hassan & Allam, 2016;Beier and Wagner 2017;Elkuch et al., 2013;Fietkiewicz et al., 2018;Freud, 1981;Le Bon, 1988 ;Menon et al., 2018 ;Nigam et al., 2019Richter et al., 2015Russ, 2007;Surowiecki, 2004;Turner & Killian, 1972;Wallace, 1999). This alternative, crowdfunding mechanism, which has boomed in Europe and North America, boosted by fundraising campaigns that have reached several million dollars on American platforms (NEWSPAPERS, 2011). ...
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Rewards-based crowdfunding campaigns are commonly offered in one of two models: “Keep-it-All” (KIA) where the entrepreneurial firm sets a fundraising goal and keeps the entire amount raised regardless of whether or not they meet their goal, and “All-or-Nothing” (AON) where the entrepreneurial firm sets a fundraising goal and keeps nothing unless the goal is achieved. We provide large sample evidence consistent with the view that the usage of AON is a credible signal to the crowd that the entrepreneur commits not to undertake the project if not enough is raised. This signal reduces the risk to the crowd, thereby enabling the AON entrepreneurial firms to set higher goals, raise more money, and be more likely to reach their stated goals. In contrast, KIA projects tend to be less successful, since the crowd bears the risk that an entrepreneurial firm undertakes a project that is underfunded and hence more likely to fail after the campaign. Entrepreneurs use the KIA model for scalable projects; that is, projects that are still feasible with partial funding. Further, we provide evidence that the crowd is much more sensitive to information provided by AON projects. We show that these findings are robust to a number of robustness checks, including but not limited to use of instrumental variables and propensity score matching.
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Crowdfunding, a novel form of financing, has seen massive growth over the last few years. Under crowdfunding, a firm asks for a large number of small loans from many households. But if some predefined threshold for the aggregate loan volume is missed, the firm cannot draw the loans. We construct a model to argue that this mechanism can be used to aggregate vague information by many households (for example, potential future consumers of the firm's products). Each household can spend an effort to obtain a bit of vague information -- too vague to justify a straight loan. But if the firm sets a high threshold, a household knows that its money will only be drawn if many other households also get positive information. We describe the equilibrium behavior of households and firms. With crowdfunding, from a welfare perspective, firms set both the loan rate and the threshold too low, inducing households to generate too much information. But compared with standard debt, crowdfunding enables more good projects to receive funding.
Article
Social media networks (e.g., Facebook) have become a major factor influencing various aspects of consumer behaviour and have thus also become the targets of marketers. Social networks that gather special interest groups, such as celebrity fan groups, provide a particularly attractive point of leverage for community marketing. However, there remain open questions regarding the success of community marketing activities in social media. The present study attempts to close this gap by investigating whether: 1) the image of the brand and 2) the celebrity endorser credibility of a top sports team influence the perceived customer value of the sponsoring firm. Based on a survey of members of a Facebook fan group of an Austrian celebrity sports team (n = 322), we identify a direct positive impact of celebrity-centred community marketing in social media on customer value. Our findings emphasise the relevance of coordinated marketing activities that use social media to create customer value.
Article
The nascent crowdfunding literature has highlighted the existence of a self-reinforcing pattern whereby contributions received in the early days of a campaign accelerate its success. After discussing what sustains this pattern, we maintain that the internal social capital that proponents may develop inside the crowdfunding community provides crucial assistance in igniting a self-reinforcing mechanism. Results of an econometric analysis of a sample of 669 Kickstarter projects are consistent with this view. Moreover, the effect of internal social capital on the success of a campaign is fully mediated by the capital and backers collected in the campaign's early days.
Article
Electronic word-of mouth (eWOM) has attracted considerable interest from researchers in the past decade. Although the extant research has helped us to develop a good understanding of a number of the issues pertaining to eWOM, several research and managerial questions remain. Furthermore, no attempt has been made to consolidate and synthesize this stream of research. With consumers' increasing reliance on online retailing and information seeking, as well as the continued growth of social media, the importance of eWOM cannot be overstated. Based on a systematic review of 190 studies, we conduct a multi-dimensional analysis of eWOM communication. We present the key issues in current and emerging literature and propose important questions for future research.
Conference Paper
In recent years, daily-deal sites that help sellers offer deep-discounted vouchers have become an increasingly popular marketing vehicle. To investigate their effectiveness on sales, this study hypothesizes two different mechanisms, i.e., observational learning and Word-of-Mouth (WOM) via online social networks, affect shopping behaviors and sales of daily-deal vouchers. Using a unique panel data set consisting of accurate sales data of more than 500 deals from Groupon.com, this study empirically tests saliency of the two mechanisms. The findings indicate that while both mechanisms have a significantly positive association with voucher sales, the effect is stronger for Facebook-mediated WOM than for observational learning. We find that one Facebook Like on a deal, on average, is associated with two additional voucher sales and thus an increase of $215 in revenue. However, we do not find consistent evidence that Twitter-mediated WOM has any impact on the voucher sales.
Article
Most research on consumer choice assumes that decisions are usually made by individuals, and that these decisions are based on an individual's personal attitudes, beliefs, and preferences. Yet, much consumer behavior—from joint decisions to individual choices—is directly or indirectly shaped by people with whom we have some relationship. In this target article, we examine how each member in a relationship can affect how consumer decisions are made. After reviewing foundational work in the area, we introduce a powerful and statistically sophisticated methodology to study decisions within relationships—a dyadic framework of decision-making. We then discuss how the study of consumer decisions in relationships can be informed by different theories in the relationships field, including attachment, interdependence, social power, communal/exchange orientations, relationship norms, and evolutionary principles. By building on the seminal foundations of prior joint-decision making research with theories and methods from contemporary relationship science, we hope to facilitate the integration of the consumer and relationships literature to better understand and generate novel hypotheses about consumer decisions in relationships.
Article
This paper examines the role of reputable investors in a crowdfunding market. Using a novel data set on individual investments in a crowdfunding market for mobile applications, we investigate whether early investments serve as signals of quality for later investors, and if the value of these signals differs depending on the identity of early investors. We find that reputable investors — app developer investors and experienced investors — tend to invest early. We also find that while both types of experts are likely to influence later investors, the specifics of their expertise determine their influence. App developer investors tend to have a better knowledge of the product and are found to be more influential for “concept apps” (apps in the pre-release stage), whereas experienced investors — investors with a better knowledge of market performance are found to be more influential for “live apps” (apps that are already being sold in the market). Our findings show that the majority of investors in this market — the crowd — although inexperienced, are rather sophisticated in their ability to identify and exploit nuanced differences between various signals within the same market. In examining the ex-post performance of apps, we find that successful funding in the market is positively associated with ex-post app sales, providing some indication of rational herding among investors. Our study offers new insights for theories of opinion leadership and signaling, and also has practical implications for the design of crowdfunding markets.
Article
Purpose – Crowdfunding implies mobilizing the crowd to finance projects which are posted on dedicated websites, known as crowdfunding platforms. Funding is provided by web users in exchange for some claims on the project revenues, or for a reward, or simply for donation. In this paper, we aim at learning more on what determines the probability of a project to reach the target funding. We apply the lens of social capital, defined by the goodwill available to her/him from the structure and content of his/her social relations (Adler and Kwon 2002). In particular we distinguish between ‘individual’ (exclusive) and ‘territorial’ (locally shared) social capital. Design/methodology/approach – We test our hypotheses by running Probit estimates on a sample of 461 crowdfunding projects posted by 699 proponents and hosted on 11 Italian crowdfunding platforms. The focal dependent variables deal with the individual social capital and geographically localized social capital. The former is proxied by the number of contacts of proponents on digital social networks (i.e. Facebook). To account for the latter, we refer to the municipality of residence of each proponent and resort to the traditional measure of localized social capital used in the literature. We control also for a set of project-specific variables. Originality/value –This methodology puts in evidence that in a framework with information asymmetry individual social capital (ISC) is positively and significantly correlated with the probability of success of a crowdfunding project, providing a positive signal to crowdfunders. On the contrary, we do not find any significant correlation with the diffused territorial social capital (TSC). By jointly considering the impact of ISC and TSC, we find that TSC weakens the signal provided by ISC. We posit that such result is a consequence of an ‘adverse-selection’ problem. Good-quality projects may more easily collect money on a territorial basis if TSC is large. Therefore crowdfunding projects originated in large-TSC milieus ceteris paribus are less easily financed by crowdfunders. Practical implications – Our work has interesting managerial implications. Individual social capital impacts on the success of crowdfunding projects and interacts with geolocalized territorial social capital. Accordingly, proponents, funders and managers of crowdfunding platforms who are interested in selecting potentially successful projects must consider such interaction, and carefully evaluate both individual and territorial social capital.
Article
Entrepreneurs are turning to crowdfunding as a way to finance their creative ideas. Crowdfunding involves relatively small contributions of many consumer-investors over a fixed time limit (generally a few weeks). In online crowdfunding communities, potential donors can see the level of support from other project backers as well as its timing before making their own funding decisions, suggesting that social information (i.e., others’ funding decisions) will play an important role in the ultimate success of a project. Two years of publicly available panel data on successfully and unsuccessfully funded projects listed on Kickstarter is used to empirically study the role of social information in the dynamic behavior of project backers. Building off the well-established social psychology theory around diffusion of responsibility effects, we show that additional backer support is negatively related to its past backer support. Many potential backers do not contribute to a project that has already received a lot of support because they assume that others will provide the necessary funding. Consistent with the deadline effect widely observed in bargaining and online auctions, we also show that the diffusion of responsibility effects diminish as the project funding cycle approaches its closing date. Moreover, as the project deadline draws near we find that project updates tend to increase as the project creators make a final plea for help to reach their funding goal. Reduced diffusion of responsibility effects, together with the positive influence of project updates, lead to generally increasing project support in the final stages of funding. This is particularly the case for projects that successfully achieve their goals as they are more likely to have an update in the last weeks of funding and generate more excitement from recent backers than projects that fall short.
Article
This study provided a comparative analysis of three social network sites, the open-to-all Facebook, the professionally oriented LinkedIn and the exclusive, members-only ASmallWorld.The analysis focused on the underlying structure or architecture of these sites, on the premise that it may set the tone for particular types of interaction.Through this comparative examination, four themes emerged, highlighting the private/public balance present in each social networking site, styles of self-presentation in spaces privately public and publicly private, cultivation of taste performances as a mode of sociocultural identification and organization and the formation of tight or loose social settings. Facebook emerged as the architectural equivalent of a glasshouse, with a publicly open structure, looser behavioral norms and an abundance of tools that members use to leave cues for each other. LinkedIn and ASmallWorld produced tighter spaces, which were consistent with the taste ethos of each network and offered less room for spontaneous interaction and network generation.
Article
Previous studies of advocacy groups’ Web sites suggest that the use of dialogic strategies could lead to greater dialogic communication. This study examined whether dialogic strategies utilized by environmental advocacy groups via their social networking profiles lead to greater dialogic engagement between organizations and visitors. This study offers the first examination of the relationship between the creation of an online space for dialogue and actual dialogic engagement by identifying and measuring six dialogic outcomes.
Article
Online reputation mechanisms harness the bi-directional communication capabilities of the Internet in order to engineer large-scale word-of-mouth networks. They are emerging as a promising alternative to more established assurance mechanisms, such as branding and formal contracting, in a variety of settings ranging from online marketplaces to Internet search engines. At the same time, they are transforming a concept that had traditionally fallen within the realm of the social sciences into an engineering design problem. This paper surveys our progress in understanding the new possibilities and challenges that these mechanisms represent. It discusses some important dimensions in which Internet-based reputation mechanisms differ from traditional word-of-mouth networks and surveys the most important issues related to designing, evaluating and using them. It provides an overview of relevant work in game theory and economics on the topic or reputation. It further discusses how this body of work is being extended and combined with insights from computer science, information systems, management science and psychology in order to take into consideration the special properties of online mechanisms such as their unprecedented scalability, the ability to precisely design the type of feedback information they solicit and distribute, and challenges associated with the volatility of identities and the absence of many familiar contextual cues in online environments.
Article
The 21st century has brought both opportunities and challenges in our global, boundaryless world. Importantly, managers face a dynamic and interconnected international environment. As such, 21st century managers need to consider the many opportunities and threats that Web 2.0, social media, and creative consumers present and the resulting respective shifts in loci of activity, power, and value. To help managers understand this new dispensation, we propose five axioms: (1) social media are always a function of the technology, culture, and government of a particular country or context; (2) local events rarely remain local; (3) global events are likely to be (re)interpreted locally; (4) creative consumers’ actions and creations are also dependent on technology, culture, and government; and (5) technology is historically dependent. At the heart of these axioms is the managerial recommendation to continually stay up to date on technology, customers, and social media. To implement this managerial recommendation, marketers must truly engage customers, embrace technology, limit the power of bureaucracy, train and invest in their employees, and inform senior management about the opportunities of social media.
Article
b>Purpose – The aim of this paper is to understand the behavior that Australian youths have towards wireless application protocol (WAP) banking. Design/methodology/approach – This paper is based on a quantitative study of the youth market in Australia. Social cognitive theory is utilized to support a conceptual model that is empirically tested. Findings – The major finding from the research is that the conceptual model is partially supported which indicates the immaturity of WAP technology. Originality/value – Social cognitive theory provides a useful explanation for youth’s intentions to use WAP technology in the banking industry. The youth market is an early adopter of technology that presents a good indicator of future market potential.<br /
Article
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyze the emerging crowd‐funding phenomenon, that is a collective effort by consumers who network and pool their money together, usually via the internet, in order to invest in and support efforts initiated by other people or organizations. Successful service businesses that organize crowd‐funding and act as intermediaries are emerging, attesting to the viability of this means of attracting investment. Design/methodology/approach The research employs a “grounded theory” approach, performing an in‐depth qualitative analysis of three cases involving crowd‐funding initiatives: SellaBand in the music business, Trampoline in financial services, and Kapipal in non‐profit services. These cases were selected to represent a diverse set of crowd‐funding operations that vary in terms of risk/return for the investor and the type of payoff associated to the investment. Findings The research addresses two research questions: how and why do consumers turn into crowd‐funding participants? and how and why do service providers set up a crowd‐funding initiative? Concerning the first research question, the authors' findings reveal purposes, characteristics, roles and tasks, and investment size of crowd‐funding activity from the consumer's point of view. Regarding the second research question, the authors' analysis reveals purposes, service roles, and network effects of crowd‐funding activity investigated from the point of view of the service organization that set up the initiative. Practical implications The findings also have implications for service managers interested in launching and/or managing crowd‐funding initiatives. Originality/value The paper addresses an emerging phenomenon and contributes to service theory in terms of extending the consumer's role from co‐production and co‐creation to investment.
Article
Consumers are adopting increasingly active roles in co-creating marketing content with companies and their respective brands. In turn, companies and organizations are looking to online social marketing programs and campaigns in an effort to reach consumers where they ‘live’ online. However, the challenge facing many companies is that although they recognize the need to be active in social media, they do not truly understand how to do it effectively, what performance indicators they should be measuring, and how they should measure them. Further, as companies develop social media strategies, platforms such as YouTube, Facebook, and Twitter are too often treated as stand-alone elements rather than part of an integrated system. This article offers a systematic way of understanding and conceptualizing online social media, as an ecosystem of related elements involving both digital and traditional media. We highlight a best-practice case study of an organization's successful efforts to leverage social media in reaching an important audience of young consumers. Then, we conclude with several insights and lessons related to the strategic integration of social media into a firm's marketing communications strategy.
Article
This paper uses actual WOM information to examine the dynamic patterns of WOM and how it helps explain box office revenue. The WOM data was collected from the website of Yahoo! Movies. The results show that WOM activities are the most active during pre-release and the opening week, and that movie audiences tend to hold relatively high expectation before release, but become more critical in the opening week. More importantly, WOM information offers significant explanatory power for both aggregate and weekly box office revenue, especially in the early weeks after opening. However, most of this explanatory power comes from the volume of WOM, not its valence as measured by the percentages of positive and negative messages.
Article
Much research suggests that social networks shape the emergence and development of nascent ventures. Scholars have argued that founders' and firms' networks influence innovation and the identification of entrepreneurial opportunities, as well as facilitate the mobilization of resources for growth and the harvesting of value from fledgling firms. It is not an exaggeration to claim that existing empirical findings point to the centrality of networks in every aspect of the entrepreneurial process. However, with exceptions so few they may be counted on one hand, this research untenably treats network structures as exogenous—in other words, as if entrepreneurs and enterprises do not pursue valuable connections. In this article, we review the literature on networks in entrepreneurial contexts, argue that it disproportionately focuses on the consequences of networks at the expense of research on their origins, and consider the implications for the literature of the fact that most entrepreneurs and young ventures are strategic in their formation of relations. We then articulate a research agenda composed of five areas of inquiry we consider critical to a better understanding of networks and entrepreneurship. Copyright © 2008 Strategic Management Society.
Article
The internationalization of entrepreneurship is becoming increasingly facilitated through the use of the internet. This article introduces the term “internetization” to refer to the process of increasing adoption, diffusion, and deployment of internet-based technologies and processes that increasingly serve as the back bone of internationalization, especially in the innovative entrepreneurial firms. This process may be compared to the firm’s adoption and use of the internet and the internet-based processes in transforming the firm to a hybrid network internally and externally within the firm’s home and international markets, especially when the members of its external network have already internationalized. Internationalization of the firm, which has been much studied in the international business literature may provide a parallel analogy for study of internetization. Based on these analogies and within the context of previous literature in internationalization, a brief examination of a typical rapidly-internationalizing firm through the use of the Internet, and the user-generated provisions of Web 2.0 in particular, points to the impact of internetization on internationalization. Various theoretical and research issues are highlighted and discussed, including the important interactions that exist between the processes of internetization and internationalization. Conclusion suggests that internetization may have become the necessary condition for internationalization. The paper calls upon the IE scholars to respond to the theoretical challenge of integrating internetization processes into internationalization, especially for the smaller, entrepreneurial and innovative firms. KeywordsNew Economy-The Internet and Web 2.0-Entrepreneurship-Internationalization
Article
This research seeks to predict the performance of new ventures based on factors that can be observed at the time of start-up. Indicators of initial human and financial capital are considered to determine how they bear upon the probability of three possible performance outcomes: (1) failure, (2) marginal survival, or (3) high growth.Four categories of initial human and financial capital are examined. General human capital, represented here by the entrepreneur's education, gender, and race, may reflect the extent to which the entrepreneur has had the opportunity to develop relevant skills and contacts. Management know-how, embodied in the entrepreneur or available through advisors or partners, reflects management-specific skills and knowledge, without regard to the kind of business. Industry-specific know-how reflects specific experience in similar businesses. Financial capital is one of the most visible resources; it can create a buffer against random shocks and allow the pursuit of more capital-intensive strategies, which are better protected from imitation.The study utilizes a longitudinal study of 1053 new ventures, representative of all industry sectors and geographical regions. The research departs from most previous studies in considering different measures of performance (marginal survival and growth) and in considering explicitly whether the factors contributing to marginal survival differ from those contributing to high growth.It was found that measures of general human capital influenced both survival and growth (except for gender, with women-owned ventures being less likely to grow, but just as likely to survive). Management know-how variables had more limited impact. Having parents who had owned a business contributed to marginal survival, but not to growth. Number of partners contributed to growth but not to survival. Management level, prior employment in non-profit organizations or not having been in the labor force, and the use of professional advisors did not have significant effects. Industry-specific know-how contributed to both survival and growth. Amount of initial financial capital also contributed to both.The usefulness of the model is enhanced by the fact that the resource variables considered are relatively easy to assess and all can be considered at the time of start-up. Although some of the human capital variables cannot easily be changed, the benefits or risks associated with each can be assessed. In some cases, potential problems can be identified so that plans can be modified to improve prospects. Overall it appears that, using a model based upon the initial human and financial capital of the venture, it is possible to predict the performance of new ventures with some degree of confidence.