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Harnessing big data for estimating the energy consumption and driving range of electric vehicles

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Abstract

Analyzing the factors that affect the energy efficiency of vehicles is crucial to the overall improvement of the environmental efficiency of the transport sector, one of the top polluting sectors at the global level. This study analyses the energy consumption rate (ECR) and driving range of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and provides insight into the factors that affect their energy consumption by harnessing big data from real-world driving. The analysis relied on four data sources: (i) driving patterns collected from 741 drivers over a two-year period; (ii) drivers’ characteristics; (iii) road type; (iv) weather conditions. The results of the analysis measure the mean ECR of BEVs at 0.183 kW h/km, underline a 34% increase in ECR and a 25% decrease in driving range in the winter with respect to the summer, and suggest the electricity tariff for BEVs to be cost efficient with respect to conventional ones. Moreover, the results of the analysis show that driving speed, acceleration and temperature have non-linear effects on the ECR, while season and precipitation level have a strong linear effect. The econometric model of the ECR of BEVs suggests that the optimal driving speed is between 45 and 56 km/h and the ideal temperature from an energy efficiency perspective is 14 °C. Clearly, the performance of BEVs highly depends on the driving environment, the driving patterns, and the weather conditions, and the findings from this study enlighten the consumers to be more informed and manufacturers to be more aware about the actual utilization of BEVs.

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... A big data analytics-based research investigation estimated the average ECR of BEVs to be about 0.183 kWh/km, and that there is about a 34% increase in the energy consumption rate during the winter compared with the summer months [58]. ...
... Accordingly, with every additional 100 kg of vehicle mass, energy consumption increases by about 0.20 ± 0.06 kWh/100 km [56]. Driving behavior, speed, and weather conditions such as temperature and precipitation determine energy efficiency [58]. ...
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... microscopic, mesoscopic and macroscopic), at which they were developed for different applications. The macroscopic models [8][9][10][11][12][13], are those which can be used to estimate EVs total energy consumption at the trip level which include number of connecting roads with different traffic conditions. The mesoscopic models [14][15][16][17], are the models used to estimate the EVs energy consumption for each road in the road network so that energy consumption cost can be assigned to each road in the road network and then can be used to plan the optimal route. ...
... The approaches developed so far for EVs energy consumption estimation have either used simulation techniques [23][24][25] or regression based techniques like linear regression [13,20,26], polynomial regression [8,12,14,15,19], logarithmic regression [11]. A few Neural Network (NN) [9,10], Neuro Fuzzy [27,28] and Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) [22] based techniques were also developed. ...
Preprint
To overcome range anxiety problem of Electric Vehicles (EVs), an accurate real-time energy consumption estimation is necessary, which can be used to provide the EV's driver with information about the remaining range in real-time. A hybrid CNN-BDT approach has been developed, in which Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) is used to provide an energy consumption estimate considering the effect of temperature, wind speed, battery's SOC, auxiliary loads, road elevation, vehicle speed and acceleration. Further, Bagged Decision Tree (BDT) is used to fine tune the estimate. Unlike existing techniques, the proposed approach doesn't require internal vehicle parameters from manufacturer and can easily learn complex patterns even from noisy data. Comparison results with existing techniques show that the developed approach provides better estimates with least mean absolute energy deviation of 0.14.
... However, Bingham et al. did not explore the link between road type and energy consumption in their study [31]. Fetene et al. [32] researched road types, but their findings showed no significant difference in consumption rates between on-and off-motorway driving, though this was based on a single measurement. This highlights a gap in the literature regarding the impact of road type on electric vehicle efficiency. ...
... Accurate knowledge of energy efficiency for various road sections is essential for modelling and planning energy-optimal routes. Electric vehicle drivers often choose routes they believe will lower energy consumption [32], but this behavior needs more scientific validation. Most existing studies rely on simulations, and real traffic condition studies are scarce. ...
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Energy consumption in electric vehicles is a key element of their operation, determining energy efficiency and one of its main indicators, i.e., range. Therefore, in this article, mathematical models were developed to evaluate the impact of selected factors on energy consumption in electric vehicles. The phenomenon of energy recuperation was also examined. The study used data from mileage measurements of the electric vehicle (EV) driving on a motorway and in built-up areas. The results obtained showed a strong correlation between acceleration, vehicle speed, battery power, and energy consumption. In urban conditions, engine RPM and vehicle speed had an additional impact on energy consumption. Findings from this study can be used to optimize vehicle acceleration control modules to increase their range, develop eco-driving styles for EV drivers, and better understand the energy efficiency factors of EVs.
... These additional layers significantly increase the model's complexity and make it difficult to adapt for real-time demand predictions. To address this issue, the authors in [37] used EV driving datasets with factors such as environmental and traffic conditions, weather variations, road type and topography, driving behavior, etc. to estimate the variations in the energy consumption rate (ECR) per km in relation to weather variations and driving conditions. A temperature-dependent EV ECR estimation model is also developed in [38] for a single EV in Kuwait using a predetermined driving route. ...
... A temperature-dependent EV ECR estimation model is also developed in [38] for a single EV in Kuwait using a predetermined driving route. However, ECR estimates based on vehicular aerodynamics (as in [37]) or weather conditions (as in [36], [38]) do not account for the potential correlation between the trip lengths and these variables. In addition, the models reported in these works do not incorporate the spatial domain in their energy consumption analysis. ...
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The growing global interest in developing environment-friendly and sustainable transportation solutions is motivating mass adoption of Electric Vehicles (EVs). This increasing EV penetration is anticipated to result in a growing electricity demand to address the EV charging requirements. Therefore, precise demand modeling is essential to enable optimal sizing of the electricity generation and distribution networks as well as optimal placement of the EV charging infrastructure. Furthermore, microscopic modeling of EV traffic patterns and trip-wise energy requirements is essential to enable effective charging coordination and demand distribution for on-the-move EVs. However, microscopic EV demand modeling is typically hindered by the scarcity of open-access data that integrates EV charging and driving patterns. Accordingly, this work proposes a methodology for microscopic modeling of the trip-wise electricity demand of mobile EVs in the spatial and temporal domains, using both multiple linear regression and spatial autoregressive models. Secondary open-access data is extracted, wrangled, and pre-processed from a number of data sources to test and validate the proposed methodology on a case study of Dubai – UAE, acknowledging the growing EV adoption rates in the city. The proposed models are benchmarked against baseline models to confirm their superior performance.
... However, existing agent-or activity-based demand prediction models rarely considers variations in either the travel demand or supply side, such as demand variation between weekday and weekend or roadway capacity variation on links with or without incidents. For instance, some literature finds that traffic conditions (e.g., traffic speed, number of stops) can largely affect the energy consumption of EVs (Fetene, 2017;Qi et al. (2018); Zhang et al. (2020)), which thereby influences the timing and location of charging activities. ...
... However, for a large-scale road network with tens of thousands of EVs, a more general assumption is always made to use the average travel speed to indicate the ECR (e.g., KWh/km) for a specific EV trip. This study adopted the empirical equation of the relationship between average speed and ECR derived by Fetene et al (2017) to calculate the electricity consumption of each EV trip, which was based on data collected from GPS data loggers installed on 200 BEVs used by 741 drivers for 276,102 trips and about 2.3 million km traveled. The equation is shown in Equation (12), where v refers to the average travel speed. ...
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Transportation system electrification is expected to bring millions of electric vehicles (EVs) on road within decades. Accurately predicting the charging demand is necessary to accommodate the surge in EV deployment. This paper presents a novel modeling framework to predict the public charging demand profile derived from people’s travel trajectories, with the consideration of the demand and supply stochasticity of transportation systems and the charging behavior heterogeneity of EV users. The vehicle charging decision-making process is explicitly modeled, and the charging need of each EV user is estimated associated with their travel trajectories. The methodology enables charging demand prediction with a high spatial–temporal resolution for transportation system electrification planning. A case study was conducted in Los Angeles County to predict the demand for public charging facilities in 2035 and perform corresponding spatial–temporal analysis of EV public charging under various scenarios of future electrification levels and network conditions.
... Previous light-duty EV research has successfully adopted simulation-based models, machine learning models (e.g., regression, PCA, and tree-based models), and neural networks to identify features that most strongly impact vehicle efficiency to guide fleets' actions. Energy efficiency and range were found to be strongly correlated with a vehicle's battery capacity [14,15], speed profile [15][16][17][18], weight [15], acceleration [15], and road profile [17]. While light-duty EV energy efficiency has been widely studied using real-world big data-driven methodologies, there remains a knowledge gap in predicting the energy efficiency and range of MHD EVs. ...
... Veh. J. 2023, 14,330 3 of 17 their conventional diesel internal combustion engine (ICE) counterparts, (2) generated a machine learning model to predict energy efficiency and highlight significantly impactful features, and (3) applied the model to predict operational range for transit buses and HD trucks in both local and regional duty cycles in four U.S. cities. ...
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While the market for medium- and heavy-duty battery-electric vehicles (MHD EVs) is still nascent, a growing number of these vehicles are being deployed across the U.S. This study used over 2.3 million miles of operational data from multiple types of MHD EVs across various regions and operating conditions to address knowledge gaps in total cost of ownership and operational range. First, real-world energy cost savings were determined: MHD fleets should experience energy cost savings each year from 2021 to 2035, regardless of vehicle platform, with the greatest savings seen in transit buses (up to USD 4459 annually) and HD trucks (up to USD 3284 annually). Second, to help fleets across various geographies throughout the U.S. assess the suitability of EVs for their year-round operating needs, operational range was modeled using the XGBoost algorithm (R2: 70%) given 22 input features relevant to vehicle efficiency. Finally, this paper recommends (1) that MHD fleets apply energy-saving practices to minimize the impacts of cold temperatures and high congestion levels on vehicle efficiency and range, and (2) that local hauling fleets select trucks with a nominal range nearly double the expected maximum daily range to account for range losses under local, urban driving conditions.
... Except for current and voltage directly related to energy consumption of electric powertrains, descending feature impact trends are velocity, road slope, temperature load, SOC, acceleration, and payload. In the experiment conducted in this study, as well as in previous research (Fetene et al., 2017), it was found that vehicle speed has a significant impact on consumption, particularly in the ranges of approximately 0-30 km/h and above 80 km/h, where energy consumption is particularly high. This finding aligns with the evaluation results. ...
... The temperature load, primarily stemming from air conditioning demand in this study, exhibits a substantial impact on the BEVs employed in tropical terrains, with the highest temperature load up to 20 degrees Celsius. The SOC was also found to have an impact on energy consumption, particularly when the battery is near full charge (Fetene et al., 2017). Therefore, in this study, the SOC was considered in the range of 20-80% to avoid high consumption rates without regenerative braking systems, which most EVs automatically turn off in fully charged states. ...
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The transportation industry is undergoing a major shift towards electrification to mitigate carbon emissions and decrease reliance on fossil fuels in response to global climate change and greenhouse gas concerns. Recently, battery electric vehicles (BEVs) have made significant progress and are becoming a more viable option for achieving zero-emission transportation. The aim of this study is to investigate the energy consumption patterns of BEVs operating in real-world driving scenarios encompassing various route conditions. The vehicle sensor data employed in this study was acquired through onboard diagnostic devices that directly gathered raw data and subsequently transmitted it to mobile applications. Various significant factors, such as payload, road slope level, speed range, acceleration, and loads of heating, ventilation, and air conditioning, are considered as variables influencing energy consumption. By utilizing the large amount of data collected, machine learning (ML) techniques were applied to develop a predictive model of energy consumption and identify variables that influence energy consumption. The outcomes of this study hold the potential to offer guidance to transportation policy-makers and furnish valuable insights for prospective buyers considering BEVs. Furthermore, the application of ML in the development of a predictive model demonstrated efficacy and exhibits promising potential for wider-ranging applications.
... El-Taweel et al. (2021) investigated the impact of the number of stops and signals encountered during bus travel from a road topology perspective. While these studies primarily focused on one aspect of factors, but as more data can be acquired, different categories were combined to estimate the energy consumption (Fetene et al., 2017). Vepsä lä inen et al. (2019) proposed an energy demand estimation model, highlighting temperature, rolling friction coefficient, and load as the most significant. ...
... The provision of accurate data on energy consumption and driving range in electric vehicles is considered to be of significant importance to alleviate customer concerns and encourage the widespread adoption of electric vehicles. This matches the findings of the aforementioned study, which states that changes in the energy consumption and range of electric vehicles under different weather and driving conditions are considered to be the main obstacle to their adoption by end users (Fetene et al., 2017). Consequently, it is argued that there is a pressing need for a more comprehensive understanding and measurement of the seasonal factors that influence energy consumption and range under real driving conditions. ...
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The global automotive industry is currently undergoing a transformation driven by a number of factors, including environmental concerns, sustainability targets, and the advent of innovative technologies. The adoption of electric vehicles represents a pivotal aspect of this transformation, offering individual and corporate users in the car rental sector a significant alternative to traditional internal combustion engine vehicles. The economic and operational advantages of electric vehicles, coupled with the opportunity for car rental companies to fulfil their environmental responsibilities, are accelerating the transformation of the automotive industry. This study presents a case study on the utilization of electric vehicles for long-term car leasing companies for the purpose of providing corporate internal services. The aim is to provide a comprehensive evaluation of the issue from multiple perspectives. The objective of this paper is to provide a comprehensive overview of the concept of electric vehicle leasing, encompassing a range of considerations pertinent to decision-making. These include environmental sustainability, economic advantages, user experience, and operational efficiency.
... The EV model with the best efficiency was revealed with this temperature. Kai et al. [41], conducted studies on 68 different EVs currently in operation in Japan. In these studies, they tried to analyze how the outside temperature affects energy consumption. ...
Conference Paper
Calculating the energy consumption of electric vehicles (EVs) is crucial to optimize efficiency and driving range, taking into account the outdoor temperature. Research shows that low temperatures significantly increase motor and battery energy consumption while inhibiting regenerative energy recovery, with optimum efficiency achieved at around 20-30 degrees Celsius. Furthermore, the use of heating and cooling systems in different seasons also affects the overall efficiency by affecting battery energy consumption. Therefore, outdoor temperature and driving conditions must be taken into account to accurately assess and optimize the energy consumption of EVs. In this study, the effects of outdoor temperature on range and energy consumption are analyzed using real-time big data from Electric Buses (EB). The field application of the study is based on the EB route currently in operation in Malatya. The EB route is divided into 4 different regions and the energy consumption and the corresponding outdoor temperature for each region are analyzed using regression analysis techniques. As a result of the calculations, it was calculated that the most efficient consumption for the entire EB route is 3,02 kWh/km and this consumption value can be achieved with a temperature of 21,5 oC.
... Global battery electric vehicle (BEV) sales exceeded 10 million in 2022, representing 14% of new car sales, up from 5% in 2020 (International Energy Agency, 2022). With the highest market shares in northern-latitude countries such as Korea (27%), Norway (25%, Iceland (16%), China (15%), and Sweden (13%), the effect of cold ambient temperatures on the energy utilization and range of BEVs has attracted considerable attention (Bi et al., 2019;Fetene et al., 2017;Heath et al., 2013;Kambly & Bradley, 2015;Sørensen et al., 2023;Tian et al., 2020;Yi et al., 2018;Zahabi et al., 2014;Zhang et al., 2020). Considerably less research has documented the deleterious effects of high temperatures, and these deserve more attention (Al-Wreikat et al., 2021;Hamwi et al., 2022;Hao et al., 2020;Liu et al., 2018;Lohse-Busch et al., 2013;Yu et al., 2020). ...
Preprint
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... Regression analysis was used to decouple the influence of running condition, and a method that could independently evaluate energy consumption characteristics was proposed. Fetene et al. 9 analyzed the energy consumption and driving mileage of electric vehicles based on the big data by taking into account the driving mode, road type, and weather condition under daily driving. Li et al. 10 undertook an analysis on the sensitivity of each factor on the energy consumption based on experimental design, and generated a two dimensional model to estimate the energy consumption of electric vehicles under specific use condition. ...
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Reduction of the driving range under either cold temperature or real-world running condition has become the biggest challenge for battery electric vehicle (BEV). In this paper, a simulation platform that combines a kinematics model, a thermal management model, and extracted typical running conditions has been established to estimate the energy flows inside the electric vehicle under cold temperature and real-world running condition. Three vehicles have been selected to validate the accuracy of the simulation platform, giving an accuracy between 90.6% and 96.6% according to different running conditions. Under highway running condition, the driving range could be reduced by 54%. Under urban running condition, when the environment temperature drops down to −20°C, the driving range is only 49.1% of that under 20°C. In addition, there could be a 4.4% increase in driving range if the target cabin temperature could be decreased from 28°C to 20°C. According to simulation, the application of motor waste heat recovery, internal gas recirculation, and heat pump, could increase the driving range at −7°C under urban running condition by 3.5%, 2.9%, and 3.9%, indicating a 10.3% improvement in total. This has been validated via experimental test after implementing these three approaches onto the test vehicle.
... The weather-related factors, which are also of interest to the research included in this study, relate to temperature, humidity, brightness, visibility wind effects, and other environmental characteristics). Studies by Fetene et al. [60], based on big data analysis, revealed how strongly the energy consumption rate (ECR) of EVs varies highly and nonlinearly with driving patterns and weather conditions. The analysis of the impact of temperature on the energy efficiency of EVs was analyzed for many parts of the world, like Kuwait (Hamwi et al. [61]), the United States (Yuksel and Michalek [62]), and Alaska (Wilber et al. [63]), both for variable temperature conditions and for high temperature (Jeffers et al. [64] and Ma et al. [65]) and low-temperature conditions in winter (Hajidavalloo et al. [66], Smith et al. [67], and Aris and Shabani [68]). ...
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Citation: Cieśla, M.; Nowakowski, P.; Wala, M. The Impact of Variable Ambient Temperatures on the Energy Efficiency and Performance of Electric Vehicles during Waste Collection. Energies 2024, 17, 4228. https:// Abstract: The market for electric cars (EVs) is growing quickly, which has led to a diversity of models and significant technological advancements, particularly in the areas of energy management, charging, range, and batteries. A thorough analysis of the scientific literature was conducted to determine the operational and technical parameters of EVs' performance and energy efficiency, as well as the factors that influence them. This article addresses the knowledge gap on the analysis of ambient temperature-related parameters' effects on electric garbage trucks operating in particular urban traffic conditions for selective waste collection. To optimize vehicle routes, a computational model based on the Vehicle Routing Problem was used, including the Ant Colony Optimization algorithm, considering not only the load capacity of garbage trucks but also their driving range, depending on the ambient temperature. The results show that the median value of collected bulky waste for electric waste collection vans, depending on the ambient temperature, per route is 7.1 kg/km and 220 kg/h. At a temperature of −10 • C, the number of points served by EVs is 40-64% of the number of points served by conventional vehicles. Waste collection using EVs can be carried out over short distances of up to 150 km, which constitutes 95% of the optimized routes in the analyzed case study. The research contributed to the optimal and energy-efficient use of EVs in variable temperature conditions.
... The assumption is made that EV owners are charging every day and, thus, are only charging what was consumed during one day. The value of = 0.183 kWh/km is chosen since the [37] was carried out on a data set from Denmark, which is assumed to be the most representative of European car fleets. ...
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... Zou et al. [40] studied BEV taxis in China by analyzing driver behavior and seasonal differences in electricity consumption and cruising range. Fetene et al. [41] employed big data analysis and revealed a 34% increase in winter battery electricity consumption. Wang et al. [42] compared linear and multiple regression models and identified an asymmetric U-shaped relationship between electricity consumption and ambient temperature. ...
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The reduction of transport-generated CO2 emissions is currently a problem of global interest. Hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) are considered as one promising technological solution for limiting transport-generated greenhouse gas emissions. Currently, the number of HEVs in the market remains limited, but this picture will change in the years to come as HEVs are expected to pave the way for cleaner technologies in transport. In this paper, results are presented regarding fuel economy and pollutant emissions measurements of two hybrid electric production vehicles. The measurements were conducted on a Prius II and a Honda Civic IMA using both the European legislated driving cycle (New European Driving Cycle, NEDC) and real-world simulation driving cycles (Artemis). In addition to the emissions measurements, other vehicle-operating parameters were studied in an effort to better quantify the maximum CO2 reduction potential. Data from real-world operation of a Prius II vehicle were also used in the evaluation. Results indicate that in most cases both vehicles present improved energy efficiency and pollutant emissions compared to conventional cars. The fuel economy benefit of the two HEVs peaked under urban driving conditions where reductions of 60% and 40% were observed, respectively. Over higher speeds the difference in fuel economy was lower, reaching that of conventional diesel at 95 km h−1. The effect of ambient temperature on fuel consumption was also quantified. It is concluded that urban operation benefits the most of hybrid technology, leading to important fuel savings and urban air quality improvement.
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Driving patterns (i.e., speed, acceleration and choice of gears) influence exhaust emissions and fuel consumption. The aim here is to obtain a better understanding of the variables that affect driving patterns, by determining the extent they are influenced by street characteristics and/or driver-car categories. A data set of over 14,000 driving patterns registered in actual traffic is used. The relationship between driving patterns and recorded variables is analysed. The most complete effect is found for the variables describing the street environment: occurrence and density of junctions controlled by traffic lights, speed limit, street function and type of neighbourhood. A fairly large effect is found for car performance, expressed in terms of the power-to-mass ratio. For elderly drivers, the average speed systematically decreases for all street types and stop time systematically increases on arterials. The results have implications for the assessment of environmental effects through appropriate street categorisation in emission models, as well as the possible reduction of environmental effects through better traffic planning and management, driver education and car design.
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New Zealand transport accounts for over 40% of the carbon emissions with private cars accounting for 25%. In the Ministry of Economic Development's recently released "New Zealand Energy Strategy to 2050", it proposed the wide scale deployment of electric vehicles as a means of reducing carbon emissions from transport. However, New Zealand's lack of public transport infrastructure and its subsequent reliance on private car use for longer journeys could mean that many existing battery electric vehicles (BEVs) will not have the performance to replace conventionally fuelled cars. As such, this paper discusses the potential for BEVs in New Zealand, with particular reference to the development of the University of Waikato's long-range UltraCommuter BEV. It is shown that to achieve a long range at higher speeds, BEVs should be designed specifically rather than retrofitting existing vehicles to electric. Furthermore, the electrical energy supply for a mixed fleet of 2 million BEVs is discussed and conservatively calculated, along with the number of wind turbines to achieve this. The results show that approximately 1350Â MW of wind turbines would be needed to supply the mixed fleet of 2 million BEVs, or 54% of the energy produced from NZ's planned and installed wind farms.
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On-board emission measurements were performed on 49 light-duty gasoline vehicles in seven cities of China. Vehicle-specific power mode distribution and emission characteristics were analyzed based on the data collected. The results of our study show that there were significant differences in different types of roads. The emission factors and fuel consumption rates on arterial roads and residential roads were approximately 1.4-2 times those on freeways. The carbon monoxide, hydrocarbon, and nitrogen oxides emission factors of Euro II vehicles were on average 86.2, 88.2, and 64.5% lower than those of carburetor vehicles, respectively. The new vehicle emission standards implemented in China had played an important role in reducing individual vehicle emissions. More comprehensive measures need to be considered to reduce the total amount of emissions from vehicles.
Fuel consumption analysis and prediction model for eco route search
  • T Kono
  • T Fushiki
  • K Asada
  • K Nakano
Kono, T., Fushiki, T., Asada, K., Nakano, K., 2008. Fuel consumption analysis and prediction model for eco route search. Proceedings of the 15th World Congress on Intelligent Transport Systems, New York, NY.
Parameterisation of Fuel Consumption and CO2 Emissions of Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles for Modelling Purposes
  • G Mellios
  • S Hausberger
  • M Keller
  • C Samaras
  • L Ntziachristos
Mellios, G., Hausberger, S., Keller, M., Samaras, C., Ntziachristos, L., 2011. Parameterisation of Fuel Consumption and CO2 Emissions of Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles for Modelling Purposes. European Commission Joint Research Centre, Institute for Energy and Transport, Ispra, Italy.
Fuel Consumption Modeling of Conventional and Advanced Technology Vehicles in the Physical Emission Rate Estimator (PERE)
  • E K Nam
  • R Giannelli
Nam, E.K., Giannelli, R., 2005. Fuel Consumption Modeling of Conventional and Advanced Technology Vehicles in the Physical Emission Rate Estimator (PERE). U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, D.C.