- Access to this full-text is provided by Hindawi.
- Learn more
Download available
Content available from BioMed Research International
This content is subject to copyright. Terms and conditions apply.
Research Article
The Risk of Achilles Tendon Rupture in the Patients
with Achilles Tendinopathy: Healthcare Database Analysis
in the United States
Youichi Yasui,1,2 Ichiro Tonogai,2,3 Andrew J. Rosenbaum,2,4 Yoshiharu Shimozono,2
Hirotaka Kawano,1and John G. Kennedy2
1Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Teikyo University School of Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
2Hospital for Special Surgery, New York, NY, USA
3De partm ent of O r th opedic Surg ery, Tokushima Unive rsity, Tok ushima, Japan
4Albany Medical Center, Albany, NY, USA
Correspondence should be addressed to John G. Kennedy; kennedyj@hss.edu
Received 13 October 2016; Revised 18 January 2017; Accepted 9 February 2017; Published 30 April 2017
Academic Editor: Haining Zhang
Copyright © Youichi Yasui et al. is is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License,
which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Introduction. Disorders of the Achilles tendon can be broadly classied into acute and chronic entities. Few studies have established
chronic Achilles tendinopathy as a precursor to acute Achilles ruptures. In this study, we assessed the relationship between
Achilles tendinopathy and rupture, clarifying the incidence of rupture in the setting of underlying tendinopathy. Methods.e
United Healthcare Orthopedic Dataset from the PearlDiver Patient Record Database was used to identify patients with ICD-
codes for Achilles rupture and/or Achilles tendinopathy. e number of patients with acute rupture, chronic tendinopathy, and
rupture following a prior diagnosis of tendinopathy was assessed. Results. Four percent of patients with an underlying diagnosis
of Achilles tendinopathy went on to sustain a rupture (, patients). Older patients with tendinopathy were most vulnerable to
subsequent rupture. Conclusions. e current studydemonstrates that .% of patients who were previously diagnosed with Achilles
tendinopathy sustained an Achilles tendon rupture. Additionally, older patients with Achilles tendinopathy were most vulnerable.
ese ndings are important as they can help clinicians more objectively council patients with Achilles tendinopathy.
1. Introduction
Achilles tendon disorders are commonly encountered in both
the athletic and general populations []. Disorders can be
divided into two general categories: acute and more chronic
overuse injuries. Acute rupture of the Achilles tendon most
frequently occurs in males between and years of age
[]. Although it is considered an acute process, histological
analyses have demonstrated that, even in the setting of acute
rupture, degenerative changes are regularly found within the
tendon [–]. Achilles tendinopathy is a more indolent and
chronic process and is attributed to repetitive overuse. It is
most prevalent in individuals aged – years []. In the
setting of Achilles tendinosis, histological analysis reveals
degenerative changes within the tendon [, ].
e histological similarities between acute Achilles ten-
don ruptures and chronic tendinopathy suggest that some
individuals may sustain a presumed acute rupture in the
setting of the more chronic tendinopathy. However, little
is known about this, with studies presenting conicting
ndings. While some works suggest that rupture following
tendinopathy occurs in % to % of individuals [, ],
others have shown that most patients with tendinopathy have
favorable functional outcomes without tendon rupture [–
].
rough the use of a deidentied patient database, this
study claries the risk of Achilles tendon rupture in patients
with a formal diagnosis of Achilles tendinopathy.
2. Methods
2.1. Data Source. Data was obtained from the United Health-
care Orthopedic (UHC) dataset from the PearlDiver Patient
Record Database (PearlDiver Technologies, Inc., Fort Wayne,
Hindawi
BioMed Research International
Volume 2017, Article ID 7021862, 4 pages
https://doi.org/10.1155/2017/7021862
BioMed Research International
IN, USA). is database is comprised of deidentied patients
in a Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act
(HIPAA) compliant fashion [, ].
e UHC database consists of reported data from hos-
pitals and/or physicians between and and has
information on ,, patients. Approximately % of
theUnitedStates(US)populationyoungerthanyears
of age and approximately % of the US population with
private medical insurance are represented in the database
[]. Additionally, the PearlDiver Patient Record Database
includes all patients who enrolled with the insurance carrier
during the desired time period before or aer a specied
event [].
In the database, International Classication of Disease,
Nine Codes (ICD-), or current procedural terminology
(CPT) codes are used to search for subsets of patients.
Demographic information, such as age and gender, can then
be assessed for these patients.
2.2. Cohort Selection. ree subsets of patients, all between
and years old, were evaluated in this study: Group
: patients with an acute Achilles tendon rupture; Group :
patients with Achilles tendinopathy; and Group : patients
with an Achilles tendon rupture following a diagnosis of
Achilles tendinopathy.
e ICD- codes used in this study were (Achilles
tendon rupture) and (Achilles tendinopathy). e
number of patients was determined for each of the three
cohorts. e incidence of each condition per , patients
was calculated by dividing the number of patients with each
disorder by the total number of patients aged – years
in the UHC database (,, patients). e relationship
between the disorders and demographic factors was assessed.
e incidence of Achilles tendon rupture in the setting of
Achilles tendinopathy was calculated by dividing the total
number of patients with an Achilles tendon rupture following
a diagnosis of Achilles tendinopathy (Group ) by the total
number of patients with Achilles tendinopathy (Group ).
Additionally, in each age group, the number of patients with
an Achilles tendon rupture following a diagnosis of Achilles
tendinopathy (Group ) was divided the number of patients
with Achilles tendinopathy (Group ).
2.3. Statistical Analysis. Statistical analysis was performed
using SAS . (SAS Institute, Cary, NC). Analysis of variance
and Tukey’s test were used to assess the incidence in each age
and the chi-square test was applied for gender analysis. A 𝑝
value of less than . was considered a statistically signicant
outcome.
3. Results
3.1. Group 1: Patients with an Acute Achilles Tendon Rupture.
A total of , patients ( per ,) were included.
Individuals aged – years were most oen aected,
followed by those aged – years. e incidence of Achilles
tendon rupture in these age groups was signicantly higher
than that observed in individuals aged – years and –
years (𝑝 < 0.05) (Figure ). Males sustained ruptures more
30–39 40–49 50–5920–29 60–69
(Age)
∗
∗
∗
0
50
100
150
200
Population of Achilles tendon rupture
per 100,00 per year
F : Group : population distribution in each age according to
incidence of Achilles tendon rupture. ∗Most aected age groups.
30–39 40–49 50–5920–29 60–69
(Age)
∗
∗
0
500
1000
1500
2000
Population of Achilles tendinopathy
per 100,00 per year
F : Group : population distribution in each age according to
incidence of Achilles tendinopathy. ∗Most aected age groups.
frequently than females (male versus female; per ,
versus per ,, resp.; 𝑝 < 0.05).
3.2.Group2:PatientswithAchillesTendinopathy.Atotal
of , patients ( per ,) were diagnosed with
Achilles tendinopathy. Individuals aged – years were
most oen aected, followed by those aged – years.
e incidence of Achilles tendinopathy in those groups was
signicantly higher than that seen in those aged – years
and – years (𝑝 < 0.05) (Figure ). ere were no sta-
tistical dierences in the incidence of Achilles tendinopathy
between males and females (male versus female; per
, versus per ,, resp.; n.s.).
3.3. Group 3: Patients with an Achilles Tendon Rupture fol-
lowing a Diagnosis of Achilles Tendinopathy. ere were ,
patients ( per ,) who sustained an Achilles tendon
rupture following a diagnosis and treatment for Achilles
tendinopathy (Figure ). ose aged – years were most
oen aected, followed by those aged – years (.% and
.%, resp.). e incidence in these groups was signicantly
higher than that observed in those aged – and –
years (𝑝 < 0.05)(Figure).erewasnosignicant
BioMed Research International
30–39 40–49 50–5920–29 60–69
(Age)
∗
∗
0
20
40
60
80
Population of Achilles tendon rupture following
Achilles tendinopathy per 100,00 per year
F : Group : population distribution in each age according to
incidence of Achilles tendon rupture following Achilles tendinopa-
thy. ∗Most aected age groups.
30–39 40–49 50–5920–29 60–69
(Age)
0
0.02
0.04
Ratio of Achilles tendon rupture following
Achilles tendinopathy/Achilles tendinopathy
F : Distribution in each age according to ratio of incidence of
Achilles tendon rupture following Achilles tendinopathy divided by
incidence of Achilles tendinopathy.
dierence in the incidence of Achilles tendinopathy between
males and females (male versus female; per , versus
per ,, resp.).
3.4. e Relationship between Achilles Tendon Rupture and
Achilles Tendinopathy. Approximately .% of patients with
Achilles tendinopathy subsequently sustained a rupture
(Figure ). Individuals aged – years were most suscep-
tible (.% incidence).
Admittedly, the time point between the diagnosis of
tendinopathy and subsequent rupture was not ascertainable
from current database.
4. Discussion
e present study analyzed a large, diverse population of
individuals aged – years in order to determine the rate of
Achilles tendon rupture in the setting of underlying Achilles
tendinopathy. We found that approximately .% of patients
who were previously diagnosed with Achilles tendinopathy
ultimately sustained a rupture. Additionally, older patients
with tendinopathy were most vulnerable.
Intrasubstance degeneration of the Achilles tendon has
been found in individuals with both acute rupture and
chronic tendinopathy [–, , ], suggesting that tendinopa-
thy precedes and may even predispose individuals to Achilles
tendon rupture []. However, studies have reported incon-
sistent outcomes. Maulli found that % (/) of patients
who sustained an Achilles tendon rupture had previous
symptoms over their Achilles tendon []. In a work by
Nestorson et al. [], % of patients (/) had Achilles
tendon pain before Achilles tendon rupture. ese studies
must be interpreted with caution as they are comprised of
small cohorts with uncontrolled variables.
Wefoundthat.%ofpatientspreviouslydiagnosedwith
Achilles tendinopathy suered an Achilles tendon rupture.
isisanimportantndingandelucidatestheintimate,
but complex, relationship between Achilles tendinopathy
and rupture. e small percentage of patients who went
on to rupture following a diagnosis of tendinopathy (.%)
underscores the success of the various treatment modalities
specic to Achilles tendinopathy (e.g., eccentric stretching).
Outcomes from the current study suggest that age may be
a risk factor for Achilles tendon rupture previously diagnosed
with Achilles tendinopathy. Older patients with Achilles
tendinopathy had a signicantly higher risk of rupture than
younger individuals. is nding is supported by a recent
animal study that demonstrates the relationship between
advancing age and degeneration of the Achilles tendon [].
In this study, males had a higher risk of rupture. is too is
consistent with other works, such as that by Wong et al. [].
In that study, males were found to be – times more likely
to rupture their Achilles tendon []. Although the reasons
for this nding are currently unclear, this nding should be
explored in future studies.
5. Limitations
Asadatabasestudy,thisworkhasinherentlimitations.Per-
tinent patient information, such as injury mechanism, symp-
tom severity, duration of symptoms, medical comorbidities,
the degree of tendon degeneration, use of local and systemic
corticosteroids, and uoroquinolone usage, was unavailable.
Although we found that .% of patients with tendinopathy
go on to rupture, our data can be presented dierently, as
it also suggests that .% of patients who sustained a rup-
ture were previously diagnosed with Achilles tendinopathy
(Group /Group ). In other words, .% of patients who
sustained an Achilles tendon rupture were not previously
diagnosed with Achilles tendinopathy. While this can be
interpreted as suggesting that Achilles tendon rupture is more
common in the absence of tendinopathy, we do not believe
that this is accurate. It is likely that some rupture patients
may have had undiagnosed tendinopathy. Furthermore, we
fail to account for the mechanism of injury in our analysis. In
other words, patients rupturing in the absence of a tendinosis
diagnosis may have been more likely to do so because of their
given activities []. As previously mentioned, the database
BioMed Research International
does not provide this information. e time between each
diagnosis was also unknown. Another potential source of
erroristhepossibilityofanydocumentationorcoding
mistakes. We also do not know how tendinopathy patients
were treated. is is important, as certain modalities (e.g.,
steroid injection) may have predisposed patients to rupture.
Despite these limitations, we believe that the results from
our large cohort of patients provide valuable insight into the
relationship between Achilles tendinopathy and rupture.
6. Conclusions
In this large cohort database study, we found that approxi-
mately .% of patients who were previously diagnosed with
Achilles tendinopathy sustained an Achilles tendon rupture.
Additionally, older patients with Achilles tendinopathy were
most susceptible to rupture. ese ndings are important
as they can help clinicians more objectively council patients
following a diagnosis of Achilles tendinopathy.
Disclosure
An earlier version of this work was presented as a poster at
the th AFFAS Triennial Scientic Meeting, .
Conflicts of Interest
John G. Kennedy is a consultant for Arteriocyte, Inc.; has
received research support from the Ohnell Family Foun-
dation,Mr.andMrs.MichaelJ.Levitt,andArteriocyte
Inc.; and is a board member for the European Society
of Sports Traumatology, Knee Surgery, and Arthroscopy,
International Society for Cartilage Repair of the Ankle,
American Orthopedic Foot and Ankle Society Awards and
Scholarships Committee, and International Cartilage Repair
Society nance board.
References
[] N. Levi, “e incidence of Achilles tendon rupture in Copen-
hagen,” Injury,vol.,no.,pp.–,.
[] S. Houshian, T. Tscherning, and P. Riegels-Nielsen, “e epi-
demiology of achilles tendon rupture in a Danish county,”
Injur y, vol. , no. , pp. –, .
[] C.Tallon,N.Maulli,andS.W.B.Ewen,“RupturedAchilles
tendons are signicantly more degenerated than tendinopathic
tendons,” Medicine and Science in Sports and Exercise,vol.,
no. , pp. –, .
[]N.Maulli,S.W.Waterston,andS.W.B.Ewen,“Ruptured
Achilles tendons show increased lectin stainability,” Medicine
and Science in Sports and Exercise,vol.,no.,pp.–,
.
[] N.Maulli,S.W.B.Ewen,S.W.Waterston,J.Reaper,andV.
Barrass, “Tenocytes from ruptured and tendinopathic achilles
tendons produce greater quantities of type III collagen than
tenocytes from normal achilles tendons: an in vitro model of
humantendonhealing,”American Journal of Sports Medicine,
vol. , no. , pp. –, .
[] O. Arner, A. Lindholm, and S. R. Orell, “Histologic changes
in subcutaneous rupture of the Achilles tendon; a study of
cases,” Acta chirurgica Scandinavica,vol.,no.-,pp.–
, .
[] L. J´
ozsa and P. Kannus, “Histopathological ndings in sponta-
neous tendon ruptures,” Scandinavian Journal of Medicine and
Science in Sports,vol.,no.,pp.–,.
[] P. Kannus and L. Jozsa, “Histopathological changes preceding
spontaneous rupture of a tendon: a controlled study of
patients,” Journal of Bone and Joint Surgery. Series A,vol.,no.
, pp. –, .
[] S.DeJonge,C.VanDenBerg,R.J.DeVosetal.,“Incidenceof
midportion Achilles tendinopathy in the general population,”
British Journal of Sports Medicine, vol. , no. , pp. –,
.
[] U. G. Longo, M. Ronga, and N. Maulli, “Achilles tendinopathy,”
Sports Medicine and Arthroscopy Review,vol.,no.,pp.–
, .
[] N. Maulli, P. M. Bineld, and J. B. King, “Tendon prob-
lems in athletic individuals,” e Journal of Bone & Joint
Surgery—American Volume, vol. , no. , pp. –, .
[] N. Maulli, “Rupture of the Achilles tendon,” Journal of Bone
and Joint Surgery. Series A,vol.,no.,pp.–,.
[] J. Nestorson, T. Movin, M. M¨
oller, and J. Karlsson, “Function
aer Achilles tendon rupture in the elderly: patients older
than years followed for years,” Acta Orthopaedica Scandi-
navica,vol.,no.,pp.–,.
[] H. Alfredson, T. Pietil¨
a, P. Jonsson, and R. Lorentzon, “Heavy-
load eccentric calf muscle training for the treatment of chronic
achilles tendinosis,” AmericanJournalofSportsMedicine,vol.
,no.,pp.–,.
[] G. Nelen, M. Martens, and A. Burssens, “Surgical treatment
of chronic Achilles tendinitis,” e American Journal of Sports
Medicine,vol.,no.,pp.–,.
[] A. Coutts, A. MacGregor, J. Gibson et al., “Clinical and
functional results of open operative repair for Achilles tendon
rupture in a nonspecialist surgical unit,” JournaloftheRoyal
CollegeofSurgeonsofEdinburgh,vol.,no.,pp.–,
.
[]Y.Yasui,C.D.Murawski,A.Wollstein,andJ.G.Kennedy,
“Reoperation rates following ankle ligament procedures per-
formed with and without concomitant arthroscopic proce-
dures,” Knee Surgery, Sports Traumatology, Arthroscopy,pp.–,
.
[] Y. Yasui, K. S. Vig, C. D. Murawski, P. Desai, I. Savage-Elliott,
andJ.G.Kennedy,“Openversusarthroscopicanklearthrodesis:
a comparison of subsequent procedures in a large database,”
Journal of Foot and Ankle Surgery,vol.,no.,pp.–,
.
[] D.Wang,N.B.Joshi,F.A.Petriglianoetal.,“Trendsassociated
with distal biceps tendon repair in the United States, to
,” Journal of Shoulder and Elbow Surgery,vol.,no.,pp.
–, .
[] N. Maulli, A. G. Via, and F. Oliva, “Chronic achilles tendon
disorders: tendinopathy and chronic rupture,” Clinics in Sports
Medicine,vol.,no.,pp.–,.
[] T. Y. Kostrominova and S. V. Brooks, “Age-related changes in
structure and extracellular matrix protein expression levels in
rat tendons,” Age, vol. , no. , pp. –, .
[] J.Wong,V.Barrass,andN.Maulli,“Quantitativereviewof
operative and nonoperative management of Achilles tendon
ruptures,” American Journal of Sports Medicine,vol.,no.,
pp. –, .
Content uploaded by Yoshiharu Shimozono
Author content
All content in this area was uploaded by Yoshiharu Shimozono on May 09, 2017
Content may be subject to copyright.