Article

Climate change and spatial planning in security strategies

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  • Brazilian Army, Curitiba, Brazil
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Abstract

International and national security strategies have adopted the concept of total security, which includes non-military threats such as climate change. Concurrently, the occurrence of severe disasters required the intervention of the armed forces in domains previously assigned to civil organizations. These two trends raise a rapprochement between traditionally detached policies. Analysing three security strategies (n at o, eu and us), we identify how the recognition of climate change as a threat promotes actions of preventive and adaptive management by states that value, or may value, spatial planning tools as a factor of climate resilience and, thus, of security.

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Joseph S. Nye, Jr., is Chairman of the Editorial Board and Sean M. Lynn-Jones is Managing Editor of International Security. 1. A 1966 survey found that political scientists formed the largest group in the field. See Roy E. Licklider, The Private Nuclear Strategists (Columbus: Ohio State University Press, 1971), p. 95. Although Licklider predicted that "the study of strategy and disarmament will make the shift from an interdisciplinary field to a specialty area of political science," (p. 117), most observers continue to see the field as interdisciplinary, even if political science is held to occupy a central role. For a discussion of the central role of political science in international security studies, see Robert Jervis, Joshua Lederberg, Robert North, Stephen Rosen, John Steinbruner, and Dina Zinnes, The Field of National Security Studies: Report to the National Research Council (Washington, D.C.: 1986), p. 2. Colin Gray argues that: "strategic studies lacks integrity as a field of study let alone as a discipline, in that it makes no sense considered apart from international relations (another non-discipline) and political science." See Colin Gray, Strategic Studies: A Critical Assessment (Westport, Conn.: Greenwood, 1982), p. 13. 2. See Richard Smoke, "National Security Affairs," in Fred I. Greenstein and Nelson W. Polsby, eds., Handbook of Political Science, Vol. 8, International Politics (Reading, Mass.: Addison-Wesley, 1975), p. 251. 3. On the nonmilitary aspects of international security, see Richard H. Ullman, "Redefining Security," International Security, Vol. 8, No. 1 (Summer 1983), pp. 129-153. An additional term that delineates an area of inquiry but that has not gained wide usage is "military politics." As defined by Samuel P. Huntington, military politics includes the military but not the nonmilitary aspects of security and also extends to the political activities of the military in domestic affairs. See his "Recent Writing in Military Politics—Foci and Corpora," in Samuel P. Huntington, ed., Changing Patterns of Military Politics (Glencoe, Ill.: The Free Press of Glencoe, 1962), p. 237. 4. Arnold Wolfers, Discord and Collaboration (Baltimore: The Johns Hopkins University Press, 1962), ch. 10. 5. See Smoke, "National Security Affairs," p. 251. See also Barry Buzan, People, States and Fear (Chapel Hill, N.C.: University of North Carolina Press, 1983), pp. 1-9. 6. Colin S. Gray, Strategic Studies and Public Policy (Lexington, Ky.: University Press of Kentucky, 1982), p. 46. In recent years, several histories of thinking about nuclear strategy have appeared. See Lawrence Freedman, The Evolution of Nuclear Strategy (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1981); Gregg Herken, The Counsels of War (New York: Knopf, 1985); and Fred M. Kaplan, The Wizards of Armageddon (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1983). In addition, James E. King has written an unpublished history of nuclear strategy entitled The New Strategy. More works are needed on questions of conventional warfare and theories of international security. 7. The first two civilian efforts to address the issues raised by atomic weapons were William Borden, There Will Be No Time: The Revolution in Strategy (New York: Macmillan, 1946); and Bernard Brodie, ed., The Absolute Weapon: Atomic Power and World Order (New York: Harcourt, Brace, 1946). 8. The classic realist work is Hans J. Morgenthau, Politics Among Nations: The Struggle for Power and Peace (New York: Knopf, 1948 and later editions). See also George F. Kennan, American Diplomacy, 1900-1950 (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1951); and Robert Endicott Osgood, Ideals and Self-Interest in America's Foreign Relations (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1953). 9. For a discussion of the political dimensions ignored by the realist approach, see K. J. Holsti, The Dividing Discipline: Hegemony and Diversity in International Theory (Winchester, Mass.: Allen and Unwin, 1985), and Joseph S. Nye, Jr., "Neo-realism and Neo-liberalism," World Politics, Vol. 40, No. 2 (January 1988). 10. See Bernard Brodie, Strategy in the Missile Age (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1959); Albert Wohlstetter, "The Delicate Balance of Terror," Foreign Affairs, Vol. 37, No. 2 (January 1959), pp. 211-234; Herman Kahn, On Thermonuclear War (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1960); William Kaufmann, ed., Military Policy and National Security (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1956); Henry A. Kissinger, Nuclear Weapons and...
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