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Journal of Medicine and Life Vol. 10, Issue 1, January-March 2017, pp.47-49
Serious mistakes in meta-analysis of
homeopathic research
Vithoulkas G
International Academy of Classical Homeopathy, Alonissos, Greece
Correspondence to: Prof. George Vithoulkas,
International Academy of Classical Homeopathy,
Alonissos 37005, Greece,
Phone: +30 24240 65142, Fax: +30 24240 65147, E-mail: george@vithoulkas.com
Received: September 24th, 2016 – Accepted: December 14th, 2016
Abstract
The article discussed the immanent problems of meta-analyses selecting a number of independent trials in homeopathy, within
which, the purpose was to examine the effectiveness of homeopathic treatment. Our focus lied in clarifying that the complex effects
of homeopathic treatment known from history and day-to-day practice have not been respected so far.
The examination of most of the homeopathic trials showed that studies rarely account for homeopathic principles, in order to assess
the effectiveness of the treatment. The main flaw was that trials reflect the point of view that the treatment with a specific remedy
could be administered in a particular disease. However, homeopathy aims to treat the whole person, rather than the diseases and
each case has to be treated individually with an individualized remedy. Furthermore, the commonly known events during the course
of homeopathic treatment, such as “initial aggravation” and “symptom-shift” were not considered in almost all the studies. Thus, only
few trials were eligible for meta-analyses, if at all. These and other factors were discussed and certain homeopathic principles were
suggested to be respected in further trials. It is expected, that a better understanding of homeopathic principles would provide
guidelines for homeopathic research, which are more acceptable to both homeopathy and conventional medicine.
Keywords: serious mistakes, meta-analysis, homeopathic research
In the field of homeopathy, meta-analyses as
well as randomized controlled trials face the conflict
between fulfilling statistical demands and meeting the
homeopathic reality. Due to substantial flaws, the
outcome of former meta-analyses of placebo‐controlled
RCTs on the use of homeopathy [1-5] are inconclusive.
Explanations for this have been a different and sometimes
arbitrary selection of trials [6], a suspected publication
bias [2], heterogeneity [1] and a low quality of the existing
trials [2,3,5,7]. However, we wanted to focus on an aspect
that was not sufficiently stressed in the past, but was
neither of less importance: The fact that most trials
included in the analyses did not respect either the
homeopathic principles or the indications of the
prescribed homeopathic remedies. Recently, a tool for the
quality-assessment of homeopathic trials was introduced
into the research debates [8] and meta-analytic
parameters. It resulted again in a minimized set of trials to
be analyzed. Further, the tool has not been evaluated
independently so far. To our concern, it still does not allow
a differentiated and accurate appraisal of the conducted
trials. The following comments should help clarifying
many of the inherent issues of homeopathic methodology
that are causing, and may continue to cause, confusing
results.
For example, homeopathy demands individual
assessment of each case in order to reveal the remedy
that will have the best possible therapeutic effect on the
individual patient (Law of similarity). However, in almost
all the trials reviewed in the meta-analyses, this critical
parameter was clearly ignored. Further, in homeopathy, a
sound knowledge of the properties of the remedies is of
great importance. This is a fact that again seems to be
neglected by most of the researchers. As an example, we
wanted to comment on the study of Rhus-tox D6, which
was tested in osteoarthritis and found to have no effect
[9]. Not only, that the law of similarity was not respected,
but also deciding the remedy based on the pathology was
wrong. As it is commonly known to homeopaths, Rhus–
tox is almost never indicated in osteoarthritis cases,
although it has been useful in some cases of fibrositis and
some rheumatic diseases. Other remedies like
Causticum, the Kali salts, the Calcarea salts or the
Natrium salts could have been tried for this pathology
under a specific protocol, but Rhus-tox should have been
excluded. The negative conclusion reached by this study
would be similar to testing, for example, the use of
antibiotics in treating anxiety neurosis, finding that they do
not work in this pathology, and then concluding that all
conventional medicine is useless!
Journal of Medicine and Life Vol. 10, Issue 1, January-March 2017
48
Keeping this in mind, this and all similar trials are
seriously flawed from the homeopathic point of view. Not
even one quarter of the existing studies tested
individualized homeopathy [6] and all the trials in the
Lancet meta-analysis [1] exhibit the problem of using a
remedy for a specific pathology. Hence, the overall
conclusions are compromised. This means that all the
research work and expenditure put in such trials added
little to the understanding of the effectiveness of
homeopathy as a complementary therapeutic method.
The most recent meta-analysis respected the
fact that the individualized method and a homeopathic
quality-assessment are essential for the purpose of a fair
evaluation of the effectiveness of homeopathic
interventions. Still, only 19 out of the 32 placebo-
controlled randomized controlled trials were found to have
acceptable “model validity” [10]. Most of those trials that
investigated acute conditions or very advanced stages of
pathology were that the effect of homeopathy was more
comparable to the conventional understanding of the
improvement [11]. In most other chronic diseases, the
individual undergoes an “initial aggravation of the existing
symptoms” or a “symptom shift” [11]. Generally, it
appeared that the proposed “model validity” could be
working only for the cases in which the first intervention
with a remedy would have shown some beneficial effect
for the patient. The contemporary state of health of the
western population, especially the European and North
American patients, concerning their chronic conditions,
require a treatment of few years and will need a series of
remedies [12], before they showed tangible therapeutic
results. The reason is that the immune system in the
majority of such cases is very compromised [11]. This
aspect was not considered in the rating process. Also,
patients in the beginning stages of chronic diseases might
even undergo such severe initial aggravation, after a
correct prescription, that they drop out from the studies or
interfere with allopathic drugs in order to minimize the
intensity of the aggravated symptoms. In both cases, the
evaluation would be misleading. The apparent initial
aggravation is, from the homeopathic point of view,
considered as a positive sign and a re-awakening of the
immune system of the patient. This issue has not been
dealt with at all in homeopathic research so far nor have
the initial aggravations been taken into consideration in
the planning of homeopathic trials. Thus, it further
contributes to the reduced amount of suitable trials for
meta-analysis.
Therefore, we wanted to emphasize that the
homeopathic community needs a standardized protocol
[13] and should not accept research that does not comply
with, or does not respect the homeopathic principles.
Which are these homeopathic principles to be
respected?
1. Homeopathy does not treat diseases, but only diseased
individuals. Therefore, every case may need a different
remedy although the individuals may be suffering from the
same pathology. This rule was violated by almost all the
trials in most meta-analyses.
2. In the homeopathic treatment of serious chronic
pathology, if the remedy is correct usually a strong initial
aggravation takes place [14-16]. Such an aggravation
may last from a few hours to a few weeks and even then
we may have a syndrome-shift and not the therapeutic
results expected. If the measurements take place in the
aggravation period, the outcome will be classified
negative.
This factor was also ignored in most trials [10].
At least sufficient time should be given in the design of the
trial, in order to account for the aggravation period. The
contrary happened in a recent study [17], where the
aggravation period was evaluated as a negative sign and
the homeopathic group was pronounced worse than the
placebo [18].
3. In severe chronic conditions, the homeopath may need
to correctly prescribe a series of remedies before the
improvement is apparent. Such a second or third
prescription should take place only after evaluating the
effects of the previous remedies [11]. Again, this rule has
also been ignored in most studies.
4. As the prognosis of a chronic condition and the length
of time after which any amelioration set in may differ from
one to another case [11], the treatment and the study-
design respectively should take into consideration the
length of time the disease was active and also the
severity of the case.
5. In our experience, Homeopathy has its best results in
the beginning stages of chronic diseases, where it might
be possible to prevent the further development of the
chronic state and this is its most important
contribution. Examples of pathologies to be included in
such RCTs trials are ulcerative colitis, sinusitis, asthma,
allergic conditions, eczema, gangrene rheumatoid arthritis
as long as they are within the first six months of their
appearance.
Conclusion
In conclusion, three points should be taken into
consideration relating to trials that attempt to evaluate the
effectiveness of homeopathy.
First, it is imperative that from the point of view of
homeopathy, the above-mentioned principles should be
discussed with expert homeopaths before researchers
undertake the design of any homeopathic protocol.
Second, it would be helpful if medical journals
invited more knowledgeable peer-reviewers who
understand the principles of homeopathy.
Third, there is a need for at least one
standardized protocol for clinical trials that will respect not
only the state-of-the art parameters from conventional
medicine but also the homeopathic principles [13].
Journal of Medicine and Life Vol. 10, Issue 1, January-March 2017
49
Fourth, experience so far has shown that the
therapeutic results in homeopathy vary according to the
expertise of the practitioner. Therefore, if the objective is
to validate the homeopathic therapeutic modality, the
organizers of the trial have to pick the best possible
prescribers existing in the field.
Only when these points are transposed and put
into practice, the trials will be respected and accepted by
both homeopathic practitioners and conventional
medicine and can be eligible for meta-analysis.
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