GOLDILOCKS APPROACH TO
TRAINING—NOT TOO LITTLE, NOT
TOO MUCH
Clinicians or strength and conditioning
professionals who prescribe training
workloads aim for workloads that are
high enough to improve fitness (ie, performance),
but not so high as to risk
injury. At the extremes, no training results
in an unprepared athlete, whereas an
overuse injury is, by definition, an error in
training prescription.1 Banister et al2 first
described an athlete’s training state as the
difference between positive (ie, ‘fitness’)
and negative (ie, ‘fatigue’) influences. To
quantify this concept, ‘fitness’ was represented
as the workload (an arbitrary
‘training impulse’) of the athlete over a
3–6 weeks period and ‘fatigue’ was represented
by the workload performed over a
shorter time frame of 1 week. We recommend
the terms ‘chronic workload’ for
the longer window of training (ie,
Banister’s ‘fitness’) and ‘acute workload’
for the immediate window of training (ie,
Banister’s ‘fatigue’) (figure 1). High
chronic workloads (ie, intense training),
combined with reductions in acute workloads
before important competition (ie,
taper), would be expected to improve
sporting performance.2
ACUTE:CHRONIC WORKLOAD RATIO IS
THE IMPORTANT METRIC
‘Training-stress balance’ was a performance
concept Andrew Coggan introduced
to capture the positive and negative
effects of training. Although we used
‘training-stress balance’ in previous publications,
3 we prefer and recommend the
concept of ‘acute:chronic workload ratio’.
This ratio describes the acute training
workload (eg, most recent week’s training
load) to the chronic workload (4-week
rolling average of acute workload). If
chronic workload is high (ie, the athlete
has developed ‘fitness’) and the acute
workload is low (ie, the athlete is experiencing
minimal ‘fatigue’), then the athlete
is considered well prepared. Conversely, if
acute workload exceeds the chronic
workload (ie, the athlete has performed
inadequate training to develop ‘fitness’ or
workloads have been rapidly increased
resulting in ‘fatigue’), then the athlete is
considered underprepared and likely at an
increased risk of injury (see figure 1). As
such, the acute:chronic workload ratio
indicates both the athlete’s risk of injury
and preparedness to perform.
ATHLETE WORKLOADS CAN PREDICT
INJURY
Individual sport athletes had largely been
the focus of research and application of
the acute:chronic workload ratio. The
measures of training load were used for
periodisation plans and tapering for performance.
2 Several studies have applied
this workload model to predict injuries in
team sport athletes. In studies of rugby
league4 players, high chronic workloads
were associated with a reduced risk of
injury, while large ‘spikes’ in acute workloads
relative to chronic workloads were
associated with increased risk of injury. A
consistent theme throughout this paper
was the importance of progressively and
systematically increasing workloads to
minimise the risk of injury. Importantly,
the predictive ability of this approach is
very high; we reported a positive likelihood
as high as 70 times.5
RETURNING SAFELY FROM INJURY
REQUIRES CONSIDERATION OF THE
WORKLOAD COMPLETED
While various functional tests are commonly
used to assess the progress of an
injured athlete, there is little evidence that
they can predict safe return to play. It is
often noted that the best predictor of a
musculoskeletal injury is previous injury
history.6 This could be due, at least in
part, to the reduced fitness (chronic workload)
caused by the recent injury-induced
lay-off. Specifically, the importance of the
amount of training performed in the
current week (ie, acute workload) relative
to training the athlete has been prepared
for over the preceding 4 weeks (ie,
chronic workload) is crucial.6 Given its
association with injury risk, the acute:
chronic workload ratio may prove critical
when determining return to train, play
and ‘compete’ rehabilitation plans for
many injuries that have resulted in substantially
decreased training load over 2
or more weeks.
RAPID ‘SPIKES’ IN TRAINING
WORKLOAD IS THE PROBLEM, WHILE
CONSISTENT TRAINING IS THE
SOLUTION
Several studies have demonstrated greater
injury rates with higher training workloads.
7 However, it should be noted that
the benefits of training (ie, well-developed
physical qualities and the application of
the training workload itself ) may provide
resilience to athletes, resulting in protection
from injuries.7 Potentially, a carefully
staged programme that culminates in high
workloads makes for durable athletes,
while attempting to cut corners and
‘spike’ to high workloads results in high
injury risk. Indeed, weekly increases in
workloads of >10% are associated with
increased injury risk, while smaller
increases in workloads result in much
lower risk of injury.7
IT’S NOT THE DESTINATION, IT’S THE
(WORKLOAD) JOURNEY THAT
MATTERS
To optimally prepare for competition
demands, athletes need to (gradually)
increase their workloads so that their
fitness (chronic workload) is sufficient to
overcome acute fatigue demands. We
hope that sport science, coaches, strength
and conditioning, and health professionals
see the value in the acute:chronic workload
ratio and incorporate this form of
monitoring into their day-to-day training
environment.
Contributors The initial concepts and drafts were
formulated by TJG. BTH, PB and RW contributed
equally to several drafts of the editorial.
Competing interests None declared.
Provenance and peer review Not commissioned;
externally peer reviewed.
1School of Exercise Science, Australian Catholic
University, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia; 2School of
Human Movement Studies, University of Queensland,
Brisbane, Queensland, Australia; 3Centre for Human
and Applied Physiology, School of Medicine, University
of Wollongong, Wollongong, New South Wales,
Australia; 4High Performance Unit, Essendon Football
Club, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; 5School of Allied
Health Sciences, Griffith University, Gold Coast,
Queensland, Australia; 6Aspetar Orthopaedic and
Sports Medicine Hospital, Doha, Qatar
Correspondence to Dr Tim J Gabbett, School of
Exercise Science, Australian Catholic University, 1100
Nudgee Road, Brisbane, QLD 4014, Australia;
tim_gabbett@yahoo.com.au
444 Br J Sports Med April 2016 Vol 50 No 8
Editorials
Downloaded from http://bjsm.bmj.com/ on April 5, 2016 - Published by group.bmj.com
To cite Gabbett TJ, Hulin BT, Blanch P, et al. Br J
Sports Med 2016;50:444–445.
Accepted 31 October 2015
Published Online First 21 January 2016
Br J Sports Med 2016;50:444–445.
doi:10.1136/bjsports-2015-095567
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3 Hulin BT, Gabbett TJ, Blanch P, et al. Spikes in acute
workload are associated with increased injury risk in
elite cricket fast bowlers. Br J Sports Med
2014;48:708–12.
4 Hulin BT, Gabbett TJ, Lawson DW, et al. The
acute: chronic workload ratio predicts injury: high
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5 Gabbett TJ. The development and application of an
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6 Blanch P, Gabbett TJ. Has the athlete trained enough
to return to play safely? The acute:chronic workload
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Figure 1 Acute and chronic workloads and the calculation of the acute:chronic workload ratio as a method of monitoring training in team sport
athletes. (A) Each bar represents an acute workload. In this instance, the acute workload represents 1 week of training. (B) The 4-week rolling
average of acute workloads represents a chronic workload. (C) The chronic workload at week 4 represents the rolling average of acute workloads
performed over the previous 3 weeks, plus the current week (ie, weeks 1, 2, 3 and 4). Since an additional acute workload is prescribed in week 5,
the new chronic workload will represent the rolling average acute workload of weeks 2, 3, 4 and 5. (D) Acute and chronic workload and the acute:
chronic workload ratio over an entire playing season.