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ARTICLE
Exposure to severe famine in the prenatal or postnatal period
and the development of diabetes in adulthood: an observational
study
Ningjian Wang
1
&Jing Cheng
1
&Bing Han
1
&Qin Li
1
&Yi Chen
1
&Fangzhen Xia
1
&
Boren Jiang
1
&Michael D. Jensen
2
&Yingli Lu
1
Received: 19 July 2016 /Accepted: 3 October 2016 /Published online: 2 November 2016
#Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2016
Abstract
Aims/hypothesis Limited studies have compared the effect of
prenatal or postnatal exposure to different severities of famine
on the risk of developing diabetes. We aimed to measure the
association between diabetes in adulthood and the exposure to
different degrees of famine early in life (during the prenatal or
postnatal period) during China’s Great Famine (1959–1962).
Methods Data from 3967 individuals were included (a total of
2115 individuals from areas severely affected by famine, 1858
from moderately affected areas, 6 excluded due to missing
data). A total of 2335 famine-exposed individuals were further
divided into those exposed during the fetal stage, childhood or
adolescence/young adulthood. We constructed a difference-
in-differences model to compare HbA
1c
and fasting plasma
glucose among the participants exposed to different degrees
of famine intensity at different life stages. Logistic analyses
were used as measures of the association between diabetes and
the different levels of famine severity at different life stages.
Results Individuals who had been exposed to famine during
the fetal period, childhood, and adolescence/adulthood and
who had lived in a severely affected area had a 0.31%,
0.20% and 0.27% higher HbA
1c
, respectively, (all p<0.01)
compared with unexposed individuals. After adjusting for
age, sex, smoking status, education level and waist circumfer-
ence, participants exposed to severe famine during the fetal
stage (OR 1.90, 95% CI 1.12, 3.21) and childhood (OR 1.44,
95% CI 1.06, 1.97) had significantly higher odds estimates.
Unexposed participants living in severely and moderately af-
fected areas had a comparable prevalence of diabetes (OR
1.22, 95% CI 0.80, 1.87). A significant interaction between
famine exposure during the fetal and childhood periods and
the level of severity in the area of exposure was found
(p<0.05).
Conclusions/interpretation Exposure to severe famine in the
fetal or childhood period may predict a higher HbA
1c
and an
increased diabetes risk in adulthood. These results from China
indicate that both the prenatal and postnatal period may offer
critical time windows for the determination of the risk of
diabetes.
Keywords Diabetes .Famine .Postnatal period .Prenatal
period .Severity
Abbreviations
DID Difference-in-differences
FPG Fasting plasma glucose
SPECT-
China
Survey on Prevalence in East China for
Metabolic Diseases and Risk Factors
Introduction
Diabetes is an important cause of mortality and morbidity
worldwide [1]. It has become pandemic in some developing
countries. According to data from 2008, individuals in China
Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article
(doi:10.1007/s00125-016-4148-4) contains peer-reviewed but unedited
supplementary material, which is available to authorised users.
*Michael D. Jensen
jensen@mayo.edu
*Yingli Lu
luyingli2008@126.com
1
Institute and Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism,
Shanghai Ninth People’s Hospital, Shanghai JiaoTong University
School of Medicine, Shanghai 200011, People’s Republic of China
2
Endocrine Research Unit, 5-194 Joseph, Mayo Clinic,
Rochester, MN 55905, USA
*Yingli Lu
luyingli2008@126.com
*Michael D. Jensen
jensen@mayo.edu
Diabetologia (2017) 60:262–269
DOI 10.1007/s00125-016-4148-4
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