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Abstract

Significance Invasive mammalian predators are arguably the most damaging group of alien animal species for global biodiversity. Thirty species of invasive predator are implicated in the extinction or endangerment of 738 vertebrate species—collectively contributing to 58% of all bird, mammal, and reptile extinctions. Cats, rodents, dogs, and pigs have the most pervasive impacts, and endemic island faunas are most vulnerable to invasive predators. That most impacted species are insular indicates that management of invasive predators on islands should be a global conservation priority. Understanding and mitigating the impact of invasive mammalian predators is essential for reducing the rate of global biodiversity loss.
Invasive predators and global biodiversity loss
Tim S. Doherty
a,b,1
, Alistair S. Glen
c
, Dale G. Nimmo
d
, Euan G. Ritchie
a
, and Chris R. Dickman
e
a
Centre for Integrative Ecology, School of Life and Environmental Sciences, Deakin University, Geelong, VIC 3216, Australia;
b
Centre for Ecosystem
Management, School of Natural Sciences, Edith Cowan University, Joondalup, WA 6027, Australia;
c
Landcare Research, Auckland 1072, New Zealand;
d
Institute for Land, Water and Society, School of Environmental Science, Charles Sturt University, Albury, NSW 2640, Australia; and
e
Desert Ecology
Research Group, School of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia
Edited by Daniel S. Simberloff, The University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN, and approved July 20, 2016 (received for review February 12, 2016)
Invasive species threaten biodiversity globally, and invasive mam-
malian predators are particularly damaging, having contributed to
considerable species decline and extinction. We provide a global
metaanalysis of these impacts and reveal their full extent. Invasive
predators are implicated in 87 bird, 45 mammal, and 10 reptile
species extinctions58% of these groupscontemporary extinc-
tions worldwide. These figures are likely underestimated because
23 critically endangered species that we assessed are classed as
possibly extinct.Invasive mammalian predators endanger a fur-
ther 596 species at risk of extinction, with cats, rodents, dogs,
and pigs threatening the most species overall. Species most at risk
from predators have high evolutionary distinctiveness and inhabit
insular environments. Invasive mammalian predators are therefore
important drivers of irreversible loss of phylogenetic diversity
worldwide. That most impacted species are insular indicates that
management of invasive predators on islands should be a global
conservation priority. Understanding and mitigating the impact of
invasive mammalian predators is essential for reducing the rate of
global biodiversity loss.
extinction
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feral cat
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island
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invasive mammal
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trophic cascade
Invasive mammalian predators (invasive predatorshereafter)
are arguably the most damaging group of alien animal species
for global biodiversity (13). Species such as cats (Felis catus),
rats (Rattus rattus), mongoose (Herpestes auropunctatus), and
stoats (Mustela erminea) threaten biodiversity through predation
(4, 5), competition (6), disease transmission (7), and facilitation
with other invasive species (8). The decline and extinction of
native species due to invasive predators can have impacts that
cascade throughout entire ecosystems (9). For example, pre-
dation by feral cats and red foxes (Vulpes vulpes) has led to the
decline or extinction of two thirds of Australias digging mammal
species over the past 200 y (10, 11). Reduced disturbance to
topsoil in the absence of digging mammals has led to impoverished
landscapes where little organic matter accumulates and rates of
seed germination are low (10). In the Aleutian archipelago, pre-
dation of seabirds by introduced Arctic foxes (Alopex lagopus)has
lowered nutrient input and soil fertility, ultimately causing vege-
tation to transform from grasslands to dwarf shrub/forb-dominated
systems (12).
Mitigating the negative impacts of invasive mammalian pred-
ators is a primary goal of conservation agencies worldwide (1, 13,
14). Regardless, there remains no global synthesis of the role of
invasive predators in species declines and extinctions (but see
refs. 3 and 15). Here, we quantify the number of bird, mammal,
and reptile species threatened by, or thought to have become
extinct (since AD 1500) due to, invasive mammalian predators.
We use metaanalysis to examine taxonomic and geographic
trends in these impacts and show how the severity of predator
impacts varies according to species endemicity and evolutionary
distinctiveness.
Results and Discussion
In total, 596 threatened and 142 extinct species (total 738) have
suffered negative impacts from 30 species of invasive mammalian
predators from 13 families and eight orders. These species
include three canids, seven mustelids, five rodents, two procyo-
nids, three viverrids, two primates, two marsupials, two mon-
gooses, and single representatives from four other families, with
60% from the order Carnivora (Table S1). The 738 impacted
species consist of 400 bird species from 78 families, 189 mammal
species from 45 families, and 149 reptile species from 26 families
(Dataset S1). Invasive mammalian predators emerge as causal
factors in the extinction of 87 bird, 45 mammal, and 10 reptile
species, which equates to 58% of modern bird, mammal, and reptile
species extinctions globally (including those species classed as ex-
tinct in the wild). Invasive predators also threaten 596 species
classed as vulnerable(217 species), endangered(223), or criti-
cally endangered(156), of which 23 are classed as possibly extinct.
To assess the comparative severity of predator impacts, we
assigned each of 1,439 predator-threatened species cases a value
of either 0.25 (secondary cause of species decline), 0.75 (primary
cause of species decline), or 1.0 (species extinction attributed to
the predator), and we weighted these values by the strength of
evidence available, drawing on a total of 996 supporting references
(Methods). The severity of predator impacts and the strength of
evidence supporting them [the inverse of the width of confidence
intervals (CIs)] was higher for bird and mammal species compared
with reptile species (Fig. 1).
Rodents are linked to the extinction of 75 species (52 bird, 21
mammal, and 2 reptile species; 30% of all extinctions) and cats
to 63 extinctions (40, 21, and 2 species, respectively; 26%)
whereas red foxes, dogs (Canis familiaris), pigs (Sus scrofa), and
small Indian mongoose (H. auropunctatus) are implicated in 911
extinctions each (Fig. 2). For all threatened and extinct species
combined, cats and rodents threaten similar numbers of species
(430 and 420 species, respectively), followed by dogs (156 spe-
cies), pigs (140 species), mongoose (83 species), red foxes (48
species), stoats (30 species) (Fig. 2), and the remaining predators
Significance
Invasive mammalian predators are arguably the most damag-
ing group of alien animal species for global biodiversity. Thirty
species of invasive predator are implicated in the extinction or
endangerment of 738 vertebrate speciescollectively contrib-
uting to 58% of all bird, mammal, and reptile extinctions. Cats,
rodents, dogs, and pigs have the most pervasive impacts, and
endemic island faunas are most vulnerable to invasive preda-
tors. That most impacted species are insular indicates that
management of invasive predators on islands should be a
global conservation priority. Understanding and mitigating the
impact of invasive mammalian predators is essential for re-
ducing the rate of global biodiversity loss.
Author contributions: T.S.D., A.S.G., D.G.N., E.G.R., and C.R.D. designed research; T.S.D.
and A.S.G. performed research; T.S.D. analyzed data; and T.S.D., A.S.G., D.G.N., E.G.R., and
C.R.D. wrote the paper.
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
This article is a PNAS Direct Submission.
1
To whom correspondence should be addressed. Email: tim.doherty.0@gmail.com.
This article contains supporting information online at www.pnas.org/lookup/suppl/doi:10.
1073/pnas.1602480113/-/DCSupplemental.
www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1602480113 PNAS Early Edition
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(range 114 species). The lower number of species impacted by
some predators, such as red foxes and stoats, reflects the limited
number of locations in which these predators have established
alien populations (16). The frequency of impacted species in each
taxonomic class differed among predators (χ
2
=112.27, P<
0.001). Cats, rodents, and stoats threaten more bird than mammal
or reptile species whereas red foxes threaten more mammal
species (Fig. 2). Dogs threaten fewer reptile species, and pigs and
mongoose threaten fewer mammal species, compared with other
taxonomic classes (Fig. 2). Although cats and rodents negatively
affect the most bird species, birds experience similar impact
across predator species (Fig. 3). Mammals experience lower, but
more variable, impacts from pigs and stoats compared with the
other predators (Fig. 3). The greatest impact on reptile species is
from stoats, and the lowest from foxes (no impact) and pigs (Fig.
3). The significanceof differing relationships between invasive
predators and impacted species classes is uncertain, however,
because confidence intervals overlapped in most cases.
Central America (including the Caribbean) has experienced
the most extinctions (33 species), followed by Micro-/Mela-/
Polynesia (25), Australia (21), the Madagascar region (20), New
Zealand (15), and Hawaii (11), with the remaining regions having
07 species extinctions each (Fig. 4). The taxonomy of impacted
species varied among regions, with the highest numbers of im-
pacted mammal species occurring in Australia and Central
America, and most of the impacted reptile species occurring in
Micro-/Mela-/Polynesia and Central America (Fig. 4). Most im-
pacted bird species are in Micro-/Mela-/Polynesia, New Zealand,
the Madagascar region, Central America, and Hawaii (Fig. 4).
Insular endemics accounted for 87% of extinct species (124
species) and 81% of the sum of all threatened/extinct species
(601 species). The proportions of total threatened/extinct species
that were insular endemics varied between taxonomic classes
(χ
2
=117.29, P<0.001; birds 90%, mammals 55%, reptiles
91%). Insular endemic reptile species were more negatively af-
fected by invasive mammalian predators than continental species,
whereas mammal and bird species experienced similar impacts
between the two groups (Fig. 1). If Australia is reclassified as an
island, insular endemic mammals experience more severe predator
impacts than continental species (Fig. S1). We sourced evolu-
tionary distinctiveness scores from published databases (Methods)
to show that species negatively affected by invasive predators were
more evolutionarily distinct than nonimpactedspecies for both
bird (t=3.32, P=0.001) and mammal species (t=3.31, P=0.001)
(Fig. S2).
Although it is often stated that invasive predators have con-
tributed to many modern extinctions (1, 2, 11, 17), our findings
reveal the magnitude and pervasiveness of their impacts and link
them to the majority (58%) of modern bird, mammal, and reptile
species extinctions. This figure is likely an underestimate because
23 critically endangered species negatively affected by invasive
predators are currently classed as possibly extinct. Evolutionarily
distinct species are most affected, meaning that invasive preda-
tors are drivers of irreversible loss of global phylogenetic di-
versity, affecting both mainland and island-endemic species.
Introduced rodents and cats are major agents of extinction,
collectively being listed as causal factors in 44% of modern bird,
mammal, and reptile species extinctions. We pooled the impacts
of rodents across five species, but previous studies indicate that
R. rattus has negatively affected the most species, followed by
Rattus norvegicus and Rattus exulans (1820). The role of the
house mouse (Mus musculus) is less well understood, but there is
emerging evidence of severe predatory impacts on insular sea-
bird (21) and lizard species (22). We found that cats, rodents,
dogs, and pigs have had the most pervasive effects across regions
and taxonomic classes, supporting recent work by Bellard et al.
(3), who identified these four taxa as the invasive species af-
fecting the greatest number of threatened vertebrates globally,
after chytrid fungus (Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis). However,
other predators have had large impacts in particular regions;
stoats remain a major threat to New Zealand bird and reptile
species (23), and the red fox, along with the feral cat, is an im-
portant driver of Australian mammal species extinctions (11).
Fewer reptile species were negatively affected by invasive
mammalian predators, compared with bird and mammal species.
Reptiles also had a lower average impact score, which may be
because reptiles are less studied than birds and mammals (9),
with only 40% of the worlds reptiles having been assessed for the
Red List thus far (compared with 99% for birds and mammals)
(24). Further insights will likely emerge once the conservation
status of most reptiles has been determined. Detailed studies
from individual regions nonetheless demonstrate that invasive
predators can have severe impacts on local reptile assemblages
Birds Mammals Reptiles
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
Total
Insular
Continental
Total
Insular
Continental
Total
Insular
Continental
Model-estimated
impact
Fig. 1. Model-estimated severity of impact of invasive predators on birds,
mammals, and reptiles for all species combined (Total), insular endemics
(Insular), and species found on continents (Continental). Error bars are 90%
confidence intervals. Model estimates and confidence intervals are weighted
by the strength of evidence available. See Table S5 for model estimates.
0
100
200
300
BMR BMR BMR BMR BMR BMR BMR
Number of extinct
and threatened species
Fig. 2. Numbers of threatened and extinct bird (B), mammal (M), and reptile (R) species negatively affected by invasive mammalian predators. Gray bars are
the total number of extinct and threatened species, and red bars are extinct species (including those classed as extinct in the wild). Predators affecting <15
species are not shown here. Predators (L to R) are the cat, rodents, dog, pig, small Indian mongoose, red fox, and stoat.
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www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.1602480113 Doherty et al.
(e.g., ref. 25). Evolutionary exposure to native mammalian
predators might moderate such effects; few Australian reptiles
are threatened by cat and fox predation whereas more than 100
reptile species in the Caribbean/Central America and Micro-/
Mela-/Polynesia are threatened with extinction by rodents, cats,
pigs, dogs, and mongoose (25, 26).
Insular regions are most affected by invasive predators, and
insular endemic reptile species, but not bird and mammal species,
are more heavily affected than continental species. This last
finding contrasts with Blackburn et al. (13), who reported such an
effect for birds, as did Medina et al. (1) for all three taxonomic
classes. The difference in our results could arise because both
previous studies assessed insular species only and used individual
populations (species ×island) as the experimental unit whereas
we assessed all species across their entire geographic ranges. The
isolation of many islands and a lack of natural predators mean
that insular species often lack appropriate defensive traits, thus
making them naive to the threat of invasive predators (9, 27). The
high extinction rates of ground-dwelling birds in Hawaii (28) and
New Zealand (29)both of which lack native mammalian
predatorsare cases in point.
That most impacted species are insular indicates that man-
agement of invasive predators on islands should be a global
conservation priority. Given the many islands on which invasive
predators occur and the high costs involved in controlling or
eradicating them, prioritization of islands for eradications is an
important exercise (3033). Facilitation between multiple in-
vasive species (e.g., rodents providing abundant food for cats,
thus maintaining high densities of the latter) can exacerbate their
respective impacts on native species (1, 9). Thus, it is essential
that eradications adopt a whole-ecosystem approach to avoid the
ecological release of undesirable species (5, 34). Modeling can
help determine the order in which multiple species should be
eradicated (35) and how best to allocate resources (36). On
continents or large islands where eradications are difficult, al-
ternative approaches are needed, such as predator-proof fencing
(37), improved land management (38, 39), restoration of top
predators (40, 41), and lethal control (42).
Although we have documented the comparative severity of
impacts of invasive mammalian predators, we note that the
strength of evidence available to quantify predator impacts was
often low (Dataset S1), particularly for reptile species. While
invasive predators are named as causal factors in large numbers
Hawaii
Galapagos South
America
North
America
West
African
islands
StH, Asc, TdC
Africa
Amsterdam &
St Paul Islands
Asia
Australia
New
Zealand
Micro-/
Mela-/
Polynesia
Sub-/Antarctica
Number of extinct species
Total number of extinct and threatened species
100
50
0
Birds
Mammals
Reptiles
[scale]
Europe
Madagascar
region
Central
America
SE Asia
Fig. 4. Numbers of threatened and extinct bird, mammal, and reptile species impacted by invasive predators in 17 regions (Fig. S3 and Table S2). Gray bars
represent the total number of extinct and threatened species, and red bars represent the number of extinct species (including those classed as extinctinthe
wild). StH, Asc, and TdC indicate the islands of St. Helena, Ascension, and Tristan da Cunha, respectively.
Birds Mammals Reptiles
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
0.00
0.25
0.50
0.75
1.00
Cat
Rodent
Dog
Pig
Mongoose
Fox
Stoat
Cat
Rodent
Dog
Pig
Mongoose
Fox
Stoat
Cat
Rodent
Dog
Pig
Mongoose
Fox
Stoat
Model-estimated impact
Fig. 3. Severity of model-estimated impacts of invasive predator species on birds, mammals, and reptiles. Error bars are 90% confidence intervals. Model
estimates and confidence intervals are weighted by the strength of evidence available. See Table S5 for model estimates. To aid visual interpretation across all
estimates, the error bars for the effects of pigs and stoats on mammals are truncated at the limits of the yaxis, but the values can be found in Table S5.
Doherty et al. PNAS Early Edition
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of extinctions and as key threats to many threatened species, the
lack of strong evidence suggests that there remains an urgent
need for research on the impacts of invasive predators relative to
other threats (e.g., habitat loss). Teasing apart the impacts of
different threatening processes is challenging for extinct species
and for those that have suffered historical declines, have small
populations, and/or inhabit remote islands but should be more
feasible for many other threatened species. Understanding and
mitigating the impact of invasive mammalian predators is es-
sential for reducing the rate of global biodiversity loss.
Methods
Data Collation. For all threatened species in the taxonomic classes Aves,
Mammalia, and Reptilia, we downloaded data on taxonomy and conserva-
tion status from the International Union for Conservation of Nature and
Natural Resources (IUCN) Red List in December 2014 (version 2014.3) using
the inbuilt search and export functions (n=3,745 species) (Dataset S2). We
did not assess amphibians here because our preliminary research indicated
that the invasive predators impacting them are mostly nonmammalian (e.g.,
snakes, fish, crayfish, and other amphibians). Threatened species were those
listed as vulnerable, endangered, critically endangered, extinct, or extinct in
the wild. We then used a custom R script (Dataset S3) to download addi-
tional Red List information on each speciesrange and major threats.
We filteredthis database (n=3,745 species) in Microsoft Accessby searching
the major threatssection for any of the following keywords: predator*,
predation, cat, cats, fox*, dog, dogs, rat, rats, rodent*, Rattus,mouse,mice,
stoat*, mongoose*, pig, pigs, mink, ferret*, weasel*, mustelid*, possum*,
macaque*, coati*, and civet*. These predators were chosen based on consul-
tation of the Global Invasive Species Database (43) and Long (16). This search
returned 771 records, which we inspected to determine whether invasive alien
predators were identified as a known or likely threat to each species (n=703
species identified as negatively impacted by invasive predators). We cross-
checked this list against previous reviews (1, 18, 20, 4448) and added 35 ad-
ditional threatened species recorded as being negatively affected by invasive
predators, but not revealed in our Red List search. Given the small number of
additional species identified and the broad geographic coverage of the pre-
vious studies used for cross-checking, we do not consider that this exercise
brings any systematic bias to our analyses.
For each of the 738 study species, we recorded information on taxonomic
classification (class, order, family), Red List status, insularity (insular endemic
or found on continents also), and region (Fig. S3 and Table S2). Information
on species distributions was sourced primarily from the Red List although
other sources were consulted in a small number of cases. For the analyses,
we included in the extinct category four species classed as extinct in the wild.
To find information on the impact of invasive predators on each of the
study species, we initially searched the Red List and Scopus database for
relevant material using species names and synonyms, followed by consul-
tation of primary and gray literature cited therein. We defined impact as any
inference that an invasive predator had caused a decline in the abundance or
distribution of a species. In most cases, predation was inferred as the primary
mechanism of predator impacts although competition, disease transmission,
and habitat disturbance were also cited in some cases. For accounts that
referred only to introduced/invasive predatorsand not a specific species,
we assigned the impact to a generic predator group. We took any reference
to domestic predators/carnivores/petsto mean cats (F. catus) and dogs
(C. familiaris). We did not distinguish the impacts of individual rodent species
because many accounts did not provide sufficient information to allow dis-
crimination of individual species effects and because the relative impacts of
the different rodent species have been reviewed elsewhere (1820, 49, 50).
Given the difficulties in attributing causation in species declines and ex-
tinctions, most inferences regarding the impact of invasive predators were
based on observational evidence, rather than experimental data. For this
reason, we used a similarapproach to that of previous studies(1, 19) and coded
the degree of predator impacts as follows: mixed (0.25, when the predator
was a secondary cause of species decline); high (0.75, when the predator was a
primary cause of species decline); and strong (1.0, when the extinction of the
species was attributed to the predator). Unlike previous studies (1, 19), how-
ever, we did not include a nil impactlevel (e.g., 0.01) because such in-
formation is not systematically reported in the literature. Other threats may
have contributed to the speciesdeclines/extinctions although assessing their
relative importance was beyond the scope of this study. We assessed species
across their entire geographic ranges and thus did not code predator impacts
for individual populations (e.g., multiple islands). This exercise was con-
ducted between March and September 2015, and it revealed 1,381 individual
predator-threatened species cases, plus an additional 58 cases where the
predator species were not named. The 996 references supporting the
rankings are listed in Dataset S4.
Statistical Analyses. We first summarized numbers of extinct and threatened
species impacted by invasive predators, based on taxonomic classes and
geographic regions where they occur, or occurred. We then used meta-
analysis in the metafor package version 1.9-6 in R version 3.1.2 (51, 52) to
analyze these trends based on three categorical variables: (i) taxonomic class
model (levels: Aves, Mammalia, Reptilia); (ii ) insularity model [levels: insular
endemic, or continental (either wholly or partially)]; and (iii) predator model
[levels: rodent (Rodentia), cat, dog, red fox (V. vulpes), stoat (M. erminea),
small Indian mongoose (H. auropunctatus), and pig (S. scrofa)].
For the predator model, we excluded 19 predator species that impacted
fewer than 15 threatened species each (range 30430 threatened species
impacted by each of the seven remaining predators). We conducted separate
tests for each of these variables using the restricted maximum-likelihood
estimator. We pooled impacts across all predators for the taxonomic class
and insularity models; if a threatened species was impacted by multiple
predators, we used the highest impact and its associated weight. For ex-
ample, if a bird species was impacted by both cats (impact =0.75, weight =
10) and rodents (impact =0.25, weight =100), we used the former pair of
values for the pooled category, which means that the models estimate the
strongest predator impacts across taxonomic classes and insularity. To ex-
amine individual responses of the three taxonomic classes, we conducted
separate analyses for birds, mammals, and reptiles across insular endemism
and predators. The response variable was the impact rankings described
above, such that higher effect sizes represented greater predator impacts.
We inferred significanteffects where the 90% confidence intervals of the
different predictor variable levels did not overlap. Data used in the analyses
are available as Dataset S1 (see also Table S3).
Metaanalysis traditionally weights effect sizes based on each studys
sample variance and/or size. However, these data do not exist for our da-
tabase because each case consists of a predator ×threatened species com-
bination that is assigned a categorical level of impact. Instead, we used a
weighting system similar to that of Jones et al. (19) and Medina et al. (1) that
weights individual cases based on the type and strength of evidence pro-
vided in each case. Assigned weights were as follows: 1 (lowest: no evidence
provided apart from stating that the predator is thought to be a cause of
species decline or extinction), 10 (single line of correlative evidence), 100
(multiple lines of correlative evidence), or 1,000 (highest: experimental evi-
dence in a beforeafter and/or controlimpact design). We used the inverse
of the weights as the variance component in the metaanalysis. Examples of
correlative evidence included artificial nest experiments, correlation be-
tween species decline and predator introduction, absence of a species from
parts of its historical range now inhabited by predators, monitoring of
predation events, and analysis of predator diet. Examples of experimental
evidence included monitoring of population parameters in response to
predator removal, and comparison of islands with and without predators.
The weights were assigned during the impact ranking exercise described
above. We conducted a fail-safe analysis to determine the number of cases
showing no effect that would be needed to eliminate a significant overall
effect size (SI Text). We also conducted a sensitivity analysis to determine
how the selection of impact values and the use of weights influenced the
results (SI Text and Figs. S4 and S5).
We used χ
2
analyses to determine (i) whether the proportion of impacted
species that were insular endemics varied among taxonomic classes and (ii )
whether the proportion of impacted species in each taxonomic class differed
among predators. We restricted the second analysis to those seven predators
included in the predator model described above. Significant effects were
inferred at the 0.05 level.
Evolutionary Distinctiveness. We used evolutionary distinctiveness (ED) scores
to examine whether invasive predators have had a disproportionate impact
on evolutionarily distinct species. ED scores were calculated based on the fair
proportionmetric: i.e., the weighted sum of branch lengths along phylo-
genetic tree roots to tips, with weights based on the number of tips sharing
that branch (see refs. 5355 for detailed descriptions). This analysis was re-
stricted to extant birds (53) and mammals (54, 55) because data limitations
currently prevent ED scores being calculated for reptiles and extinct taxa
from all classes. We used general linear models to compare the ED scores of
the impacted species against threatened species for which invasive predators
were not identified as a threat (nonimpactedspecies hereafter). We used
a gamma error distribution because the data were positive, continuous,
and skewed. Significant effects were inferred at the 0.05 level. Taxonomic
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differences between the Red List version 2014.3 and the source databases
(53, 55) are detailed in Table S4. Because ED scores were not available for
extinct species, the values presented here are likely to be an underestimate
of the true effect sizes.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS. The IUCN and its many contributors are acknowl-
edged for maintaining the Red List, which provided information on species
taxonomy, sta tus, threats, and range. Grant Williamson is thanked for
writing and testing the custom R script. Comments from Corey Bradshaw,
Chris Johnson, and three anonymous reviewers greatly improved earlier
versions of this manuscript. T.S.D. was supported by scholarships from Edith
Cowan University and Earthwatch Institute Australia during the initial stages
of this study, and C.R.D. by a fellowship from the Australian Research
Council.
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ECOLOGY
... Invasive species are a leading driver of biodiversity loss (Doherty et al., 2016;Sutton, 2016), especially in Australia (Irwin & Geschke, 2023;Stobo-Wilson et al., 2021). Since European colonization, 38 mammal species have become extinct in Australia (ca. 10%) with a further 52 being classified as endangered or critically endangered (Woinarski et al., 2019). ...
... Invasive competitors are also seen as a major threat to Australia's wildlife. Competitors are part of complex threat webs (Doherty et al., 2016;Lurgi et al., 2018;Short, 2016), which reduce cover and other resources for native species and can cause direct agonistic interactions (Randall et al., 2022). ...
Article
Full-text available
Australia has the worst mammal extinction record of any country, with invasive predators and competitors being key threatening processes. Australian mammals are thought to exhibit predator naivety due to limited coevolution with eutherian predators, which therefore suppress their abundance and hamper reintroduction efforts. We indexed escape behaviour by collecting flight-initiation distances (FIDs) and the orientation of escape across populations of the endangered eastern barred bandicoot, Perameles gunnii, exposed to an introduced predator (feral cats, Felis catus) and competitor (European rabbits, Oryctolagus cuniculus). Bandicoots in the presence of both cats and rabbits had longer FIDs than bandicoots in areas with rabbits only or with neither cats nor rabbits. Longer starting distances were associated with a greater likelihood of fleeing towards cover, and wind noise could potentially limit approach detection. This indicates some behavioural plasticity and nuance in bandicoot escapes associated with predators but not competitors, perhaps due to learning and/or selection. Predator-savvy bandicoots may exist, and this behaviour can develop over a relatively short time span. These individuals are likely to increase future translocation success in environments with predators.
... 26 Domesticated species can cause biodiversity loss through predation, competition, and habitat destruction. 27 Indeed, many of the domesticated species on our list of most-studied taxa also top the list of invasive predators that have caused the most biodiversity loss. 27 For example, the most represented species in our analysis (Figure 2) was the domesticated dog (Canis familiaris), which is frequently included as a keyword in articles where dogs are discussed as predators or competitors of species of conservation concern or closely related to threatened species (e.g., wolves). ...
... 27 Indeed, many of the domesticated species on our list of most-studied taxa also top the list of invasive predators that have caused the most biodiversity loss. 27 For example, the most represented species in our analysis (Figure 2) was the domesticated dog (Canis familiaris), which is frequently included as a keyword in articles where dogs are discussed as predators or competitors of species of conservation concern or closely related to threatened species (e.g., wolves). While such a focus on problematic species seems reasonable, it may drive taxonomic bias. ...
Article
The analysis of 1212 research contributions across 22 coastal states offers insights into how Mediterranean countries contributed to knowledge on elasmobranchs in the period between 1932 and 2020. During this time, research on elasmobranch species has steadily increased, yet research efforts across countries varied, with European Union (EU) Member States generally being involved in more publications than other countries in the region. The consideration of elasmobranchs in international law and regional frameworks seems to have driven this growth, and more researchers started to focus on these species. A total of 301 Mediterranean entities, mostly universities (44.5 %), contributed to research on elasmobranchs regionally, with 95 of them having published regularly. A trend in the application of non-lethal methods was noted, although fisheries-dependent data remains an important source of information. Research on the biology, ecology, taxonomy, pollution (contamination), and the fishing of elasmobranchs have been consistent subjects in this field, while other topics such as ‘conservation and management measures’ and ‘shark meat trade and consumption’ have increased in recent years. However, gaps in knowledge on policy implementation and important areas remain.
... Free-roaming cats and dogs are defined as owned or unowned animals that have unsupervised access to outdoor environments [4,5]. Their ability to roam and breed freely in the natural environment can lead to several negative impacts on the animals themselves, but also on other domestic animals [6], wildlife [7,8], and on public health [9,10], which has led to efforts around the globe to manage these free-roaming populations [11]. ...
... Free-roaming animals are at risk for vehicle collisions, animal attacks, poisoning, disease, and persecution (reviewed in [12]), all of which are associated with significant suffering and welfare impacts with durations that can vary from a few seconds or minutes (e.g., vehicle collisions) to several months (e.g., chronic disease). Free-roaming cats have been shown to negatively impact wildlife through predation [7,13,14], disease transmission [15,16], hybridization [17], and to hold potential for zoonotic disease transmission [10,18]. Free-roaming dogs have also been shown to impact wildlife through disease and predation [8,19], and are associated with an array of public health impacts that range from bites [20] to the transmission of rabies to humans over the last 4000 years [21]. ...
Article
Full-text available
Free-roaming cats and dogs impact biodiversity, public health, and the welfare of other animals. Attitudes towards free-roaming animals can influence their population dynamics and management success. We conducted an online survey to evaluate social perceptions and attitudes towards free-roaming animals among self-selected Portuguese residents aged 18 or older with internet access. The survey focused on responsible ownership, perceptions and attitudes, and management practices, and allowed the collection and analysis of 1083 responses (607 for dogs and 476 for cats). Our results identified needs for improvement in pet ownership: increasing pet cat identification, reducing unsupervised outdoor access, and promoting pet dog sterilization. In terms of management strategies, we found strong support for trap–neuter–release, sheltering, sanctions on abandonment, and educational campaigns. We also found limited support for lethal control methods and fear of culling and long-term caging as barriers to reporting free-roaming animals. While our findings are based on a self-selected online sample, they establish a foundation for future research while also offering valuable guidance for policymakers and stakeholders.
... A prominent example of this is invasion-induced extinction of species originally present in the community [23][24][25]. Dealing with extinctions presents an especially challenging technical problem. It is hard to a priori predict whether an existing species will survive or go extinct after an invasion. ...
Preprint
Full-text available
Predicting the outcomes of species invasions is a central goal of ecology, a task made especially challenging due to ecological feedbacks. To address this, we develop a general theory of ecological invasions applicable to a wide variety of ecological models: including Lotka-Volterra models, consumer resource models, and models with cross feeding. Importantly, our framework remains valid even when invading evolved (non-random) communities and accounts for invasion-driven species extinctions. We derive analytical expressions relating invasion fitness to invader abundance, shifts in the community, and extinction probabilities. These results can be understood through a new quantity we term "dressed invasion fitness", which augments the traditional notion of invasion fitness by incorporating ecological feedbacks. We apply our theory to analyze short-term evolutionary dynamics through a series of invasions by mutants whose traits are correlated with an existing parent. We demonstrate that, generically, mutants and parents can coexist, often by driving the extinction of low-abundance species. We validate theoretical predictions against experimental datasets spanning ecosystems from plants to microbial protists. Our work highlights the central role of ecological feedbacks in shaping community responses to invasions and mutations, suggesting that parent-mutant coexistence is widespread in eco-evolutionary dynamics.
... A prominent example of this is invasion-induced extinction of species originally present in the community [23][24][25]. Dealing with extinctions presents an especially challenging technical problem. It is hard to a priori predict whether an existing species will survive or go extinct after an invasion. ...
Preprint
Full-text available
Predicting the outcomes of species invasions is a central goal of ecology, a task made especially challenging due to ecological feedbacks. To address this, we develop a general theory of ecological invasions applicable to a wide variety of ecological models: including Lotka-Volterra models, consumer resource models, and models with cross feeding. Importantly, our framework remains valid even when invading evolved (non-random) communities and accounts for invasion-driven species extinctions. We derive analytical expressions relating invasion fitness to invader abundance, shifts in the community, and extinction probabilities. These results can be understood through a new quantity we term ``dressed invasion fitness'', which augments the traditional notion of invasion fitness by incorporating ecological feedbacks. We apply our theory to analyze short-term evolutionary dynamics through a series of invasions by mutants whose traits are correlated with an existing parent. We demonstrate that, generically, mutants and parents can coexist, often by driving the extinction of low-abundance species. We validate theoretical predictions against experimental datasets spanning ecosystems from plants to microbial protists. Our work highlights the central role of ecological feedbacks in shaping community responses to invasions and mutations, suggesting that parent-mutant coexistence is widespread in eco-evolutionary dynamics.
... Domestic cats, both feral and owned, can have a detrimental effect on native wildlife populations around the world. This can be a result of disease transmission (Gerhold and Jessup 2013) and 'fear effects' (Beckerman et al. 2007;Bonnington et al. 2013) due to their presence, but prey populations can also be directly affected by cats' predatory habits (Doherty et al. 2016). ...
Article
Full-text available
Non‐native predators can cause great harm to natural ecosystems through competition for resources and by directly predating on native species. Domestic cats (Felis catus) predate on wild prey throughout the world and have been implicated in a number of species declines. However, in the UK, long‐term, widespread research is lacking. Here, the study aimed (i) to quantify prey returned home across the country and (ii) to investigate factors which may influence these return rates. A predation survey was conducted on 553 cats across the UK for up to 43 months (2018–2021), recording all prey returned home and subsequently detected by the cats' owners. All owners of cats with outdoor access were encouraged to participate, the only exclusion criterion being indoor‐only. Data were gathered upon registration regarding the age, sex, and body condition of participating cats, allowing for the analysis of the potential influence of such factors. It was estimated here that the current UK population of pet cats (10.8 million total) return a total of between 37.25 million and 140.4 million prey per year, the majority being mammals (83% of detected prey). Sex, age, and body condition of cats, along with the presence of a cat flap, whether a bell was worn, level of urbanisation, and the season of data collection all had a statistically important effect on prey return rates. While most cats returned 0–1 prey per month, a small minority (n = 3 cats) returned over 15 individuals monthly. It is important that true predation rates (in addition to the return rates found here) are further explored and quantified, along with the actual impact that this has or does not have on prey populations. Future efforts to limit the impact of cat predation should focus in particular on identifying super predators with a view to limiting their predation.
... Invasive, exotic (i.e., non-native) plants are a major, and growing, human-caused global influence because of the novel effects of their presence on native biodiversity and ecosystem functions (Pimental et al. 2000, Levine et al. 2003, Ehrenfeld 2010. Although invasive species have undoubtedly had negative impacts, particularly in highly vulnerable ecosystems like islands (Doherty et al. 2016), recent research has suggested that a more nuanced perspective is needed when assessing the effects of exotic plant invasions as impacts can vary depending on the types of species involved, the intensity of the invasion, the physical structure of the plant species themselves, or even the scale at which the perceived impacts are measured (Davis et al. 2011, Nelson et al. 2017, Peng et al. 2019, McMillan et al. 2023. The impacts of invasive plants on birds have been particularly equivocal. ...
... These extinctions are primarily the result of the introduction of alien invasive vertebrates to islands [5]. Rats, cats, and goats have played a dominant role in native species loss, devastating native populations through predation, competition, and habitat destruction [6,7]. ...
Chapter
Full-text available
Islands are biodiversity hotspots, supporting a high proportion of endemic plant and animal species, yet they face disproportionately high extinction rates due to the introduction of invasive alien species. Globalization has intensified these risks, as islands increasingly rely on shipping and air transport for supplies, and tourism for economic growth, heightening the likelihood of alien species introductions. Biosecurity management plans are established tools for preventing the introduction of invasive alien species to islands, yet only a small fraction of islands globally have such plans. A focus of these plans should be mitigating introductions through human activities, which are the primary pathways associated with invasive alien species introductions onto islands. Mitigating measures for intentional human introductions are generally easier to manage than unintentional ones, however, there remain significant social challenges associated with both pathways. A future challenge in island biosecurity will be sustaining investment in preventative measures, with international collaboration likely to play a key role in success.
... The Invasive Alien Species are those species that successfully establish their territory outside their native range, often through human-mediated activities, and cause a significant threat to the local biodiversity and ecosystems (Lososová et al., 2021). Invasive species pose a significant threat to native biodiversity in various forms like occupying a niche, resource exploitation, predation and possibly more, eventually leading to complete or local faunal extinctions (Doherty et al., 2016). Besides their impact on the native biodiversity, invasive species also pose a severe threat to agricultural productivity and health risk using carrying disease vectors from the native range (Cowie, 2000;Paini et al., 2016). ...
Article
The Pond Slider Trachemys scripta (Thunberg in Schoepff, 1792) (Reptilia Emydidae) is a major invasive species in freshwater habitats across the world. For decades, the main cause of individuals’ occurrences in the wild was the illegal release of pet animals. Unfortunately, the small size and ease of breeding have encouraged the trade of this species. The new trend of Thai traders has made this animal a real toy, with even greater risks for the environment.
Article
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Invasive mammalian predators are major drivers of species extinctions globally. To protect native prey, lethal control is often used with the aim of reducing or exterminating invasive predator populations. The efficacy of this practice, however, is often not considered despite multiple practical and ecological factors that can limit success. Here, we summarize contemporary knowledge regarding the use and challenges of both lethal control and alternative approaches for reducing invasive predator impacts. As the prevailing management approach, we outline four key issues that can compromise the effectiveness of lethal control: release of herbivore and mesopredator populations, disruption of predator social systems, compensatory predator immigration, and ethical concerns. We then discuss the relative merits and limitations of four alternative approaches that may enhance conservation practitioner's ability to effectively manage invasive predators: top-predator conservation or reintroduction, maintaining habitat complexity, exclusion fencing, and behavioral and evolutionary ecology. Considerable uncertainty remains regarding the effectiveness of management approaches in different environmental contexts. We propose that the deficiencies and uncertainties outlined here can be addressed through a combination of adaptive management, expert elicitation, and cost-benefit analyses. Improved management of invasive predators requires greater consideration and assessment of the full range of management approaches available.
Article
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We assessed the prevalence of alien species as a driver of recent extinctions in five major taxa (plants, amphibians, reptiles, birds and mammals), using data from the IUCN Red List. Our results show that alien species are the second most common threat associated with species that have gone completely extinct from these taxa since AD 1500. Aliens are the most common threat associated with extinctions in three of the five taxa analysed, and for vertebrate extinctions overall. © 2016 The Author(s) Published by the Royal Society. All rights reserved.
Article
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Biological invasions as drivers of biodiversity loss have recently been challenged. Fundamentally, we must know where species that are threatened by invasive alien species (IAS) live, and the degree towhich they are threatened. We report the first study linking 1372 vertebrates threatened by more than 200 IAS from the completely revised Global Invasive Species Database. New maps of the vulnerability of threatened vertebrates to IAS permit assessments of whether IAS have a major influence on biodiversity, and if so, which taxonomic groups are threatened and where they are threatened.We found that centres of IAS-threatened vertebrates are concentrated in the Americas, India, Indonesia, Australia and New Zealand. The areas in which IAS-threatened species are located do not fully match the current hotspots of invasions, or the current hotspots of threatened species. The relative importance of biological invasions as drivers of biodiversity loss clearly varies across regions and taxa, and changes over time, with mammals from India, Indonesia, Australia and Europe are increasingly being threatened by IAS. The chytrid fungus primarily threatens amphibians, whereas invasive mammals primarily threaten other vertebrates. The differences in IAS threats between regions and taxa can help efficiently target IAS, which is essential for achieving the Strategic Plan 2020 of the Convention on Biological Diversity. © 2016 The Author(s) Published by the Royal Society. All rights reserved.
Article
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Many highly diverse island ecosystems across the globe are threatened by invasive species. Eradications of invasive mammals from islands are being attempted with increasing frequency, with success aided by geographical isolation and increasing knowledge of eradication techniques. There have been many attempts to prioritize islands for invasive species eradication; however, these coarse methods all assume managers are unrealistically limited to a single action on each island: either eradicate all invasive mammals, or do nothing. We define a prioritization method that broadens the suite of actions considered, more accurately representing the complex decisions facing managers. We allow the opportunity to only eradicate a subset of invasive mammals from each island, intentionally leaving some invasive mammals on islands. We consider elements often omitted in previous prioritization methods, including feasibility, cost and complex ecological responses (i.e. trophic cascades). Using a case study of Australian islands, we show that for a fixed budget, this method can provide a higher conservation benefit across the whole group of islands. Our prioritization method outperforms simpler methods for almost 80% of the budgets considered. On average, by relaxing the restrictive assumption that an eradication attempt must be made for all invasives on an island, ecological benefit can be improved by 27%. Synthesis and applications . Substantially higher ecological benefits for threatened species can be achieved for no extra cost if conservation planners relax the assumption that eradication projects must target all invasives on an island. It is more efficient to prioritize portfolios of eradication actions rather than islands.
Article
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Prioritization is indispensable for the management of biological invasions, as recognized by the Convention on Biological Diversity, its current strategic plan, and specifically Aichi Target 9 that concerns invasive alien species. Here we provide an overview of the process, approaches and the data needs for prioritization for invasion policy and management, with the intention of informing and guiding efforts to address this target. Many prioritization schemes quantify impact and risk, from the pragmatic and action-focused to the data-demanding and science-based. Effective prioritization must consider not only invasive species and pathways (as mentioned in Aichi Target 9), but also which sites are most sensitive and susceptible to invasion (not made explicit in Aichi Target 9). Integrated prioritization across these foci may lead to future efficiencies in resource allocation for invasion management. Many countries face the challenge of prioritizing with little capacity and poor baseline data. We recommend a consultative, science-based process for prioritizing impacts based on species, pathways and sites, and outline the information needed by countries to achieve this. This should be integrated into a national process that incorporates a broad suite of social and economic criteria. Such a process is likely to be feasible for most countries.
Book
The Action Plan for Australian Mammals 2012 is the first review to assess the conservation status of all Australian mammals. It complements The Action Plan for Australian Birds 2010 (Garnett et al. 2011, CSIRO Publishing), and although the number of Australian mammal taxa is marginally fewer than for birds, the proportion of endemic, extinct and threatened mammal taxa is far greater. These authoritative reviews represent an important foundation for understanding the current status, fate and future of the nature of Australia. This book considers all species and subspecies of Australian mammals, including those of external territories and territorial seas. For all the mammal taxa (about 300 species and subspecies) considered Extinct, Threatened, Near Threatened or Data Deficient, the size and trend of their population is presented along with information on geographic range and trend, and relevant biological and ecological data. The book also presents the current conservation status of each taxon under Australian legislation, what additional information is needed for managers, and the required management actions. Recovery plans, where they exist, are evaluated. The voluntary participation of more than 200 mammal experts has ensured that the conservation status and information are as accurate as possible, and allowed considerable unpublished data to be included. All accounts include maps based on the latest data from Australian state and territory agencies, from published scientific literature and other sources. The Action Plan concludes that 29 Australian mammal species have become extinct and 63 species are threatened and require urgent conservation action. However, it also shows that, where guided by sound knowledge, management capability and resourcing, and longer-term commitment, there have been some notable conservation success stories, and the conservation status of some species has greatly improved over the past few decades. The Action Plan for Australian Mammals 2012 makes a major contribution to the conservation of a wonderful legacy that is a significant part of Australia’s heritage. For such a legacy to endure, our society must be more aware of and empathetic with our distinctively Australian environment, and particularly its marvellous mammal fauna; relevant information must be readily accessible; environmental policy and law must be based on sound evidence; those with responsibility for environmental management must be aware of what priority actions they should take; the urgency for action (and consequences of inaction) must be clear; and the opportunity for hope and success must be recognised. It is in this spirit that this account is offered. Winner of a 2015 Whitley Awards Certificate of Commendation for Zoological Resource.
Book
Winner in the Scholarly Reference section of the 2004 Australian Awards for Excellence in Educational Publishing. Introduced Mammals of the World provides a concise and extensive source of information on the range of introductions of mammals conducted by humans, and an indication as to which have resulted in adverse outcomes. It provides a very valuable tool by which scientists can assess future potential introductions (or re-introductions) to avoid costly mistakes. It also provides tangible proof of the need for political decision makers to consider good advice and make wise and cautious decisions. Introduced Mammals of the World also provides a comprehensive reference to students of ecological systems management and biological conservation. This book is a companion volume to Introduced Birds of the World, by the same author, published in 1981, and which remains the premier text of its kind in the world more than twenty years after it was published. Introduced Mammals of the World provides the most comprehensive account of the movement of mammals around the world providing details on the date(s) of introduction, the person/agency responsible, the source populations, the location(s) of release, the fate of the introductions, and the impact if known, for over 300 species of mammal.
Article
More than US$21 billion is spent annually on biodiversity conservation. Despite their importance for preventing or slowing extinctions and preserving biodiversity, conservation interventions are rarely assessed systematically for their global impact. Islands house a disproportionately higher amount of biodiversity compared with mainlands, much of which is highly threatened with extinction. Indeed, island species make up nearly two-thirds of recent extinctions. Islands therefore are critical targets of conservation. We used an extensive literature and database review paired with expert interviews to estimate the global benefits of an increasingly used conservation action to stem biodiversity loss: eradication of invasive mammals on islands. We found 236 native terrestrial insular faunal species (596 populations) that benefitted through positive demographic and/or distributional responses from 251 eradications of invasive mammals on 181 islands. Seven native species (eight populations) were negatively impacted by invasive mammal eradication. Four threatened species had their International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List extinction-risk categories reduced as a direct result of invasive mammal eradication, and no species moved to a higher extinction-risk category. We predict that 107 highly threatened birds, mammals, and reptiles on the IUCN Red List—6% of all these highly threatened species—likely have benefitted from invasive mammal eradications on islands. Because monitoring of eradication outcomes is sporadic and limited, the impacts of global eradications are likely greater than we report here. Our results highlight the importance of invasive mammal eradication on islands for protecting the world’s most imperiled fauna.
Article
We support the call of Wallach et al. (2015a) for a compassionate approach to conservation, and agree that any lethal control must be justified by a high probability of conservation gains and supported by relevant stakeholders. We believe that lethal control of invasive predators is justified when it will reverse the negative impacts of predators introduced by humans on native species and ecosystems, and when the extent of that predation endangers the survival of entire populations or species. Globally a few key introduced predator species are having disproportionately large effects on island ecosystems and their constituent species (e.g. Towns et al. 2006; Medina et al. 2011). Where invasive predators are killed to achieve conservation goals, we believe this can come from compassion for all of the ecosystem, its species, the individuals being protected, and the invasive animals themselves. This view is well supported by literature and policies relating to the role of animal welfare, animal rights, and environmental ethics in pest control programmes (e.g. Gunn 2007; Dunlevy et al. 2011). This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.