Article

Tullock's Puzzle in Pay‐and‐Play Lobbying

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Abstract

We explain Tullock's puzzle of small payments from special interests to policy-makers by the hold-up problem between the two parties. We construct a simple lobbying environment where an uninformed policy-maker is a price-setter who sells access to two opposed and privately informed lobbyists. The key equilibrium property is “the curse of the ex ante favored lobbyist”; the lobbyist proposing a project with the higher expected public value ends up worse off than the lobbyist proposing a project with the lower expected public value. In the absence of contribution caps, the ex ante favored lobbyist strategically devalues her project, and the resulting competitive devaluations destroy private values, revenues, as well as correlated public values. Ex ante, the policy-maker benefits from a binding contribution cap protects the ex ante favored lobbyist, eliminates competitive devaluations, and thus remedies the hold-up problem.

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This comment deals with some imperfections of the analysis presented by Austen-Smith and Wright [1]. It is argued that in [1] being informed is incorrectly identified with being informative, yielding an incomplete equilibrium analysis, and leading to bias in the kind of equilibrium behavior predicted. After correcting for this bias, the results obtained corroborate their main conclusion - legislators are often lobbied by just one of two competing groups, typically the a priori disadvantaged group. The comment also strengthens their case for counteractive lobbying; the a priori favored group typically only lobbies to counteract the influence of an opposing group. Another conclusion, however, is qualified; an increase in the groups' stakes can make it less, rather than more, likely that the legislator makes the correct decision.
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An arbitrator faces the task of deciding the level of compensation to be received by a plaintiff from a defendant. The arbitrator must rely on the verifiable submissions of the two interested parties. Because the information of the interested parties is not verifiable, the "unravelling argument" has no force. Nevertheless, a class of equilibria of this game gives rise to a particularly simple decision rule for the arbitrator which appeals to a probability distribution over the payoff-relevant state space alone. The uncertainty concerning the precision of the disputants′ information enter as parameters in this distribution. This parametrization yields an answer to how the arbitrator′s decision rule should be modified as the information of the disputants changes. Journal of Economic Literature Classification Numbers: D78, D82, L51.
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