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How Long Does an Economic Impact Last? Tracking the Impact of a New Giant Panda Attraction at an Australian Zoo

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Abstract

A concerning issue with Economic Impact Analysis (EIA) is that many EIAs give results for one year, without being explicit about how long impacts are expected to last. New tourism attractions should not be assumed to provide continuing positive impacts into the future. For instance, the Giant Pandas at Adelaide Zoo generated a positive economic impact in their first year of residence (22% of a sample of tourists visited Adelaide “due to pandas,” additional tourism expenditure in the region was 27.7million,with27.7 million, with 2.3 to $4.6 million captured by the zoo); however, increased numbers visiting to see the pandas lasted only two years. Investment decision makers expected larger, longer-term economic benefits than eventuated, and the zoo experienced financial difficulties. This study provides advice for predictive EIA of new tourism attractions and prompts a call for tourism EIA studies to be explicit about the time period for which results are relevant.

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... This experimental study is conducted in a zoo setting. Zoos make an important contribution to the development of the tourism sector by simultaneously playing the role of tourism attractions and conservation organizations (Driml, Ballantyne, and Packer 2017). Tourism research on zoos has explored a range of phenomena including the characteristics of on-site and off-site conservation activities (Turley 1999), the financial impact of a new attraction (Driml, Ballantyne, and Packer 2017), and the mission of zoos as sustainable eco-tourism destinations. ...
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... While most attention has been on major facilities and events, other studies have identified the economic gains from smaller events at the community level (e.g. McCann and Thompson, 1992;Walo et al., 1996;Prayaga et al., 2006;Edwards, 2012;Driml et al., 2016). ...
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Techniques such as multiplier analysis and Input–Output analysis are still very commonly used to make estimates of the economic impact of changes in tourism expenditure. These techniques have serious limitations, and as a result, alternative techniques have been developed to address the problems. Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models are now extensively used, especially in Australia, the UK, the US and Canada, to estimate economic impacts of a wide variety of changes and policies, across most sectors. CGE techniques have been used in the tourism context, but so far, not extensively. Economic evaluation in tourism thus fails to achieve best practice. The paper presents arguments in support of CGE modelling as the preferred technique in analysing the economic impacts of tourism, and discusses its potential to drive future research in this area that is more relevant to real world tourism destinations.
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Economic impact analysis (EIA) of outdoor recreation can provide critical social information concerning the utilization of natural resources. Outdoor recreation and other non-consumptive uses of resources are viewed as environmentally friendly alternatives to extractive-type industries. While outdoor recreation can be an appropriate use of resources, it generates both beneficial and adverse socioeconomic impacts on rural communities. The authors used EIA to assess the regional economic impacts of rafting in Grand Canyon National Park. The Grand Canyon region of northern Arizona represents a rural US economy that is highly dependent upon tourism and recreational expenditures. The purpose of this research is twofold. The first is to ascertain the previously unknown regional economic impacts of Grand Canyon river runners. The second purpose is to examine attributes of these economic impacts in terms of regional multipliers, leakage, and types of employment created. Most of the literature on economic impacts of outdoor recreation has focused strictly on the positive economic impacts, failing to illuminate the coinciding adverse and constraining economic impacts. Examining the attributes of economic impacts can highlight deficiencies and constraints that limit the economic benefits of recreation and tourism. Regional expenditure information was obtained by surveying non-commercial boaters and commercial outfitters. The authors used IMPLAN input-output modeling to assess direct, indirect, and induced effects of Grand Canyon river runners. Multipliers were calculated for output, employment, and income. Over 22,000 people rafted on the Colorado River through Grand Canyon National Park in 2001, resulting in an estimated $21,100,000 of regional expenditures to the greater Grand Canyon economy. However, over 50% of all rafting-related expenditures were not captured by the regional economy and many of the jobs created by the rafting industry are lower-wage and seasonal. Policy recommendations are given for increasing the regional retention of rafting expenditures and for understanding both the beneficial and adverse impacts that accompany outdoor recreation in rural areas.
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Pandas Will Leave Adelaide Zoo in Debt for a Decade
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Pandas worth $630 million to the state
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Adelaide Zoo $24m in Debt
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