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The Stalinization of Putinism: A Doomed Effort
Abstract
Russia in 2013 is on the threshold of serious changes, which could happen at any moment, with or without sanction from the top. In fact, these changes have already begun with the political crisis of the fall and winter of 2011/12. The interests of the principal actors — the regional elites, the business sector, civil society — are more and more frequently coming into sharp conflict with the interests of the federal government. And in Russia today there are no institutions or even accepted frameworks for reconciling these different interests.
Much has been written about Russian authoritarian promotion in the former-Soviet Union and further afield, but there has been little analysis of Russian learning from other regimes. This article argues that the Belarusian regime provides lessons to Moscow for overcoming democratic protests, having learnt from the 2000 overthrow of Slobodan Milošević in Serbia. The Belarusian case therefore expands a literature primarily centred on Russia, extending understanding of authoritarian learning and questioning Russia’s role as the primary authoritarian promoter in the region.
Rossiya-2020: Stsenarii Razvitiya
- N Petrov