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Understanding Happiness in Cities using Twitter: Jobs, Children, and Transport

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The demographics and landscape of cities are changing rapidly, and there is an emphasis to better understand the factors which influence citizen happiness in order to design smarter urban systems. Few studies have attempted to understand how large-scale sentiment maps to urban human geography. Inferring sentiment from social media data is one such scalable solution. In this paper, we apply natural language processing (NLP) techniques to 0.4 million geo-tagged Tweets in the Greater London area to understand the influence of socioeconomic and urban geography parameters on happiness. Our results not only verify established thinking: that job opportunities correlate with positive sentiments; but also reveal two insights: (1) happiness is negatively correlated with number of children, and (2) happiness has a U-shaped (parabolic) relationship with access to public transportation. The latter implies that the happiest people are those who have good access to public transport, or such poor access that they use private transportation. The number of jobs, children, and transportation availability are every day facets of urban living and individually account for up to 47% of the variations in people's happiness. Our results show that they influence happiness more significantly than long term socioeconomic parameters such as degradation, education, income, housing, and crime. This study will enable urban planners and system designers to move beyond the traditional cost-benefit methodology and to incorporate citizens' happiness.
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Understanding Happiness in Cities using
Twitter: Jobs, Children, and Transport
Weisi Guo1,2*, Neha Gupta1,4 , Ganna Pogrebna1,3, Stephen Jarvis1,4
Abstract—The demographics and landscape of cities are
changing rapidly, and there is an emphasis to better
understand the factors which influence citizen happiness in
order to design smarter urban systems. Few studies have
attempted to understand how large-scale sentiment maps to
urban human geography. Inferring sentiment from social
media data is one such scalable solution. In this paper,
we apply natural language processing (NLP) techniques to
0.4 million geo-tagged Tweets in the Greater London area
to understand the influence of socioeconomic and urban
geography parameters on happiness. Our results not only
verify established thinking: that job opportunities correlate
with positive sentiments; but also reveal two insights: (1)
happiness is negatively correlated with number of children,
and (2) happiness has a U-shaped (parabolic) relationship
with access to public transportation. The latter implies that
the happiest people are those who have good access to
public transport, or such poor access that they use private
transportation.
The number of jobs, children, and transportation avail-
ability are every day facets of urban living and individually
account for up to 47% of the variations in people’s happi-
ness. Our results show that they influence happiness more
significantly than long term socioeconomic parameters such
as degradation, education, income, housing, and crime. This
study will enable urban planners and system designers to
move beyond the traditional cost-benefit methodology and
to incorporate citizens’ happiness.
Index Terms—happiness; social media data; sentiment;
I. INTRODUCTION
For the longest part of our existence, human beings
have primarily lived in rural environments. This close
proximity to nature has fashioned both our social and
biological evolution. It is only in the last 200 years (a few
generations) that the number of people living in cities has
risen from 3% to over 50% of the global population.
In the past 50 years and within a single generation,
1Warwick Institute for the Science of Cities (WISC), University
of Warwick, UK. 2School of Engineering, University of Warwick,
UK. 3Warwick Manufacturing Group, University of Warwick, UK.
4Department of Computer Science, University of Warwick, UK. *Cor-
responding Author: weisi.guo@warwick.ac.uk. Funding Acknowl-
edgement: EPSRC Centre for Doctoral Training in Urban Science
and Progress - EP/L016400/1, and ESRC Centre for Competitive
Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
there has been a 6-fold increase in the number of
large metropolitan areas [1]. The urbanisation trend has
presented new economic and technological opportunities
to humanity, but it has also created a set of urban
development challenges related to health and happiness.
Existing studies have shown that both the benefits and
challenges of cities scale super-linearly with the city’s
size [2], [3], and the growing global urban population
certainly exasperates the hidden competition between
urban improvements and decay. The question, of how
the high density of opportunities (i.e., jobs) and urban
threats (i.e., crime and pollution) affect our happiness
has become more pertinent than ever.
Surveying citizen happiness is an important area of
research [4]–[6]. Qualitatively, the pursuit of happiness
are cornerstone philosophies in the governance theory
propelled by many ancient cultures. In modern his-
tory, quantitative measures such as the Gross National
Happiness (GNH) gained traction after 2005. Given
the subjective nature of happiness, it is typically mea-
sured through self-reported surveys that are validated
and normalised against more objective metrics that are
widely accepted as ones that support positive sentiment
(i.e., income and lifespan). Existing research projects
have pursued both qualitative and empirical experiments
to understand the sentiment of urban spaces [4]. In-
deed, census data is extensively used by governments
to create well-being scores (an example can be found
for London1). However, the data from survey based
methods are limited in their resolution (spatial-temporal).
Alternative sentiment data collection methods employ
wearable monitoring systems such as electro-dermal-
activity sensors [7]. These systems will yield precise
longitudinal data with high spatial-temporal accuracy.
However, their expensive nature means that scaling to
the general public and establishing pervasive and non-
intrusive sensing remains challenging.
The proliferation of online social interactions has in
recent years provided an opportunity to study sentiment
1http://data.london.gov.uk/dataset/london-ward-well-being-scores
(c)
(a) (b)
Negative
Positive
Neutral
Fig. 1. Mapping the Sentiment in London: (a) 0.4 million geo-tagged Tweets in Greater London over a 2-weeks period. (b) Tweets labelled
as negative (red triangle), positive (green diamond), or neutral (pale circle) on a scale of 11. (c) Ward level sentiment where dark red indicates
negative sentiment and dark blue indicates positive sentiment.
of urban dwellers (residents, workers, tourists, etc.).
Social media platforms, such as Twitter, have achieved
significant penetration (25% of adult population in the
UK), and usage (over 500 million messages per day
worldwide). Whilst detecting sentiment using social me-
dia data as a proxy incurs bias, it does offer attractive
benefits in scalability and there is growing research to
validate and benchmark the sentiment labels. Topic based
sentiment analysis utilizing natural language processing
(NLP) has been extensively exploited in business in-
telligence [8]. There has also been a growing body of
work in applying similar methodologies to examining
the sentiment of citizens in urban spaces. In terms
of similar research, there have been numerous studies
conducted on detecting emotions from Twitter data [9]
and creating mood heat maps of city locations [10] as
well as comparing between cities [5], [6]. Social media
data has the added benefit of not only uncovering real-
time high spatial-temporal resolution meta-data, but also
reaching across urban demographics to include residents,
workers, and tourists.
Despite the growing abundance in urban related senti-
ment studies through social media data, as far as we
are aware, very few research outputs have attempted
to understand how large-scale sentiment data (obtained
from social media) maps to urban socioeconomic and
infrastructure features. As such, without such a mapping,
we are no closer to understanding the underlying causes
of happiness. Furthermore, without understanding how
human beings feel about their urban environment, urban
planners are limited to planning services using traditional
costbenefit analysis using economic indicators and can-
not consider accurately the consequential effects it has
on citizen sentiment [11]. This study, as far as we are
aware of, is the first attempt to map and correlate large-
scale sentiment data to urban geography features, and
consequently attempt to understand the main sources of
happiness in the city landscape.
II. ME TH OD S
A. The Data
The data used in this paper comes from two sources:
(1) 0.4 million geo-tagged social media data purchased
from Twitter, covering a 2 weeks period (see Fig. 1a),
and (2) UK government ward-level socioeconomic and
urban geographical data (open access) from the London
Data Store2. In terms of spatial resolution, the analysis
in this paper will focus on Greater London, which is
made up of 628 wards, and are roughly analogous to a
neighbourhood. Many services are delegated to the ward
level, including policing; and a range of census statistics
are available at the ward level. The ward level census
data considers 64 key metrics, including demographics,
education, housing, and business statistics.
This paper’s focus on using Twitter data (aggregated
from all urban dwellers) as a proxy and comparing it to
census data (mainly registered residential and business
data) means that we are concerned with how all people
in London (including residents, workers, tourists) feel as
a function of the urban geography and its socioeconomic
parameters. It is extremely challenging to understand
what distribution of the social media data belongs to
which demographic, and in this paper we treat all data
as equally important (uniform weighting) and do not
consider demographic categories within the sentiment
data.
2http://data.london.gov.uk/dataset/ward-profiles-and-atlas
2
B. Sentiment Labelling using NLP
In this paper we employ unigram (i.e., keyword) based
sentiment analysis. Whilst state-of-the-art methods often
include classifying entire sentences using machine learn-
ing (e.g. Maximum Entropy, Support Vector Machine),
it can be challenging to scale such methods accurately
to reflect the diversity and veracity in millions of Twitter
users over a large urban area. Therefore, as a first
approach, we apply established unigrams to find the
polarity of the tweets, and measure a general happiness
averaged over a small area (i.e., a ward). This technique
was successfully implemented in previous research to
analyse sentiment [12], but has not been applied to
urban contexts to understand the underlying sources of
happiness.
To assign each tweet with a sentiment score we first
apply Tokenization filtering to remove language noise
and transform all text to a common lower case format
with no punctuations. We then extract single words or
features (unigrams) independently to determine the ori-
entation of the tweet. Researchers in opinion mining have
focused on trying to find suitable lexicon for classifying
tweets sentiments by annotating tweets for negative or
positive polarity (henceforth happiness) by recognising
words as positive and negative sentiment. We apply the
opinion lexicon [13] (full list is approximately 6800
words 3) to each tweet. Our algorithm calculates the
score of each tweet by simply subtracting the number
of occurrences of negative words from the number of
positive occurrences for each tweet. An example of the
sentiment labelled Tweets is shown in Fig. 1b, and
clustered to ward level in Fig. 1c. An interesting trend
can be observed: that the happy wards (blue) are either
in the centre or on the outer edges of Greater London,
and the unhappy wards (red) are in the middle. We will
analyse this in greater detail in Section III-D.
C. Metrics for Comparison
In order to conduct cross-dataset comparisons, the
coefficient of determination, denoted R2is a number
that indicates how well the statistical regression model
fits the data or in other words: the percentage of variance
in the data that can be explained by the proposed model.
For a data vector y= [y1, y2, ...yK](with mean y) and a
predicted data vector using the regression model ˆy, the
residue vector is defined as e=yˆy. The coefficient
of determination R2is defined as:
R21Pke2
k
Pk(yky)2,(1)
3https://www.cs.uic.edu/ liub/FBS/sentiment-analysis.html
(a)
(b)
R2=0.81
High Sentiment per Tweet
Low Sentiment per Tweet
R2=0.96
Fig. 2. Sentiment Data Analysis: (a) Ward level aggregate sentiment
can accurately explain 96% of the variance in individual sentiments.
(b) People who tweet more also express stronger aggregate sentiments,
but on average express a lower sentiment per tweet.
where the numerator is the residual sum of squares and
the denominator is the total sum of squares. In this paper,
we use the adjusted R2= 1 (1 R2)K1
KP1to take
discount against extra variables Pin the model.
III. RES ULTS
A. Baseline Sentiment Data
We first present baseline sentiment data results, to gain
a better understanding of the sentiment data of individual
people, their tweets, and the averaged sentiment of a
ward. In order to understand the representativeness of
ward-level sentiment relative to individual sentiments in
the ward, we plot the average sentiment per person (in
the ward) against the aggregate sentiment in the ward in
Fig. 2a. The results show that a simple linear regression
3
(a)
(b)
R2=0.45
R2=0.47
Fig. 3. Relating Avg. Sentiment per Person to Jobs Opportunities
in London: (a) The number of jobs available in a ward is positively
correlated with the sentiment in the ward (adjusted R2= 0.45). (b)
The number of jobs opportunities (jobs normalised against working
population) in a ward is positively correlated with the sentiment in the
ward (adjusted R2= 0.47).
with gradient 1 can relate the ward level sentiment with
the average individual sentiment. The regression can
accurately explain 96% of the variance in the ward’s
individual sentiments. The outlier result (Harefield ward
in Hillingdon borough) shows that a large discrepancy
(negative bias) between individual sentiments and the
ward average. This is due to a few people tweeting a
high number of negative sentiments. It is also of interest
to understand the relationship between the number of
tweets and aggregate sentiment of tweets. The results
in Fig. 2bshows that people who tweet more also
express stronger aggregate sentiments (absolute value:
either positive or negative), but on average express a
lower sentiment per tweet.
The paper will now focus on 3 key areas that were
identified through a correlation panel analysis (see Fig. 6
in Appendix): (1) Employment Opportunities, (2) Chil-
dren and Fertility Rate, and (3) Accessibility to Public
Transport. In particular, these are areas which affect
urban lives on a daily/monthly basis and as such have
a direct impact on the sentiment (see Table I in Ap-
pendix). It is worth mentioning that for the results to
be presented below, given the census data lists over
60 urban geography features that can potentially affect
happiness, obtaining a coefficient of determination for
a single feature that accounts for 33 to 47% of the
variations in sentiment is a significant result.
B. Employment Opportunities
The two main attributes in employment opportunity
measured by the census data are: (i) Number of jobs
in a ward (data from businesses) and (ii) Number of
jobs normalised against the number of people in the
working age (16-64) in a ward. Both sets of employment
data are highly positively correlated with each other,
as well with other crime and ambulance incident data
(see Fig. 6 in Appendix). This reinforces the notion
that increased opportunities often lead to an increase
in the challenges [2], [3]. In terms of how employment
relates to online sentiment, Fig. 3ashows the number of
jobs available in a ward is positively correlated with the
sentiment in the ward (adjusted R2= 0.45). Similarly,
Fig. 3bshows that the number of jobs normalised
against working population is positively correlated with
the sentiment in the ward (adjusted R2= 0.47). The
adjusted R2= 0.45 0.47 indicates that the regressions
(which both use quadratic functions, P= 2) explains
for almost 50% of the variance in sentiment variations,
and the remaining variations are due to other factors.
In other words, this shows that the availability of jobs
determines a significant 50% of the expressed sentiment.
Yet, the sentiment is correlated with the number of jobs
available and not with the number of employed people
(see Fig. 6 in Appendix). This seems to indicate that
the existence of businesses in close proximity promotes
positive sentiments.
C. Number of Children
The main attributes in measuring the distribution of
children in census data is the number and percentage
of children (aged 0-15) in a ward. This percentage is
negatively correlated with sentiment, as well with other
data such as the general fertility rate (see Fig. 6 in
Appendix). Fig. 4ashows the percentage of population
that are children in a ward is negatively correlated with
4
(a)
(d)
R2=0.33
R2=0.44
Fig. 4. Relating Avg. Sentiment per Person to Number of Children
and Access to Public Transport in London: (a) The percentage of
population that are children in a ward is negatively correlated with
the sentiment in the ward (adjusted R2= 0.33). (b) The accessibility
to public transport in a ward has a parabolic relationship with the
sentiment in the ward (adjusted R2= 0.44), such that those with
good access to public transport are happy and those who are in areas
with poor public transport are also happy (rely on personal transport),
whilst those that are in between are generally less happy.
the sentiment in the ward (adjusted R2= 0.33,P= 3).
This shows that the percentage of children determines
a significant 33% of the expressed sentiment. More
specifically, it shows that there is a steep decline in
sentiment from 5% to 15%, and the relationship saturates
thereafter. It is worth noting that the percentage of
children does not correlate with other socioeconomic
factors such as the deprivation level in the ward, but
is negatively correlated with the employment level in
the ward. Without inferring causality, the data supports
our previous finding that increased job availability leads
12345678
Access to Public Transport
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
Number of Private Owned Vehicles per Household
Public Transport Access vs. No. of Private Vehicles
R2 = 0.71
Fig. 5. Public Transport Access vs. Number of Private Vehicles.
Those with poor public transport access levels (PTALs) own up to 4x
more private vehicles per household, and the PTALs explains 71% of
the variance in car ownership numbers.
to higher sentiment and a decrease in the percentage of
children. We suspect that the wider applicability of this
result will depend on the family cultural context.
D. Accessibility to Public Transport
The main attributes in measuring public transport
availability in census data is the Public Transport Ac-
cessibility Levels (PTAL). It is a detailed and accurate
measure of the accessibility of a point to the public
transport network, taking into account walk access time
and service availability. The method is essentially a way
of measuring the density of the public transport network
at any location within Greater London. The measure
reflects 4 main attributes: (1) walking time to transport
access point, (2) reliability of services, (3) number of
services, and (4) the average waiting time. It does not
consider the speed or utility of the service, crowding
effects, and ease or efficiency of interchange. The PTAL
methodology was developed for London where a dense
integrated public transport network means that nearly all
destinations can be reached within a reasonable amount
of time. Research using the ATOS (Access to Oppor-
tunities and Services) methodology shows that there is
a strong correlation between PTALs and the time taken
to reach key services i.e., high PTAL areas generally
have good access to services and low PTAL areas have
poor access to services. Each area is graded between 0
and 6b, where a score of 0 is very poor access to public
transport, and 6b is excellent access to public transport.
Fig. 4bThe accessibility to public transport in a
ward has a U-shaped (parabolic) relationship with the
5
sentiment in the ward (adjusted R2= 0.44,P= 4),
such that those with good access to public transport
are happy and those who are in areas with poor public
transport are also happy (possibly because they rely on
personal transportation means), whilst those that are in-
between are generally unhappy. Certainly the results in
Fig. 5 seem to strongly support this hypothesis. The
PTAL values explain for 71% of the variance in the
number of private vehicles per household, showing that
those with poor public transport access own up to 4
times more private vehicles per household. Therefore,
the availability of public transport explains 44% of the
variance in sentiment scores. The wider applicability
of this result beyond London is difficult to determine.
Yet, we speculate that economies with a high number
of privately owned vehicles will exhibit similar patterns,
i.e., people are happy when they are either close to public
transport or far removed, and struggle when they are in-
between the choices.
IV. CONCLUSIONS AND DISCUSSIONS
The demographics and landscape of cities are chang-
ing rapidly, and there is an emphasis to better understand
the factors which influence citizen happiness in order
to design smart urban systems. In this paper, we apply
natural language processing to 0.4 million geo-tagged
tweets in the Greater London area to understand the un-
derlying socioeconomic and urban geography parameters
that influence happiness. Our results not only verify es-
tablished thinking: that job opportunities explain 45-47%
of the sentiment variations, but also reveal two additional
insights: (1) happiness is negatively correlated with the
number of children (accounts for 33% of sentiment
variations) and (2) happiness has a U-shaped (parabolic)
relationship with access to public transportation (44% of
variations). The latter implies that happy people are those
who have good access to public transport, or such poor
access that they drive (4 times more cars than those who
have the best access). The unhappy people are those that
rely on, but do not have strong access to public transport.
The number of jobs and children, as well as accessibility
to public transport are every day facets of urban living
(see Table I in Appendix) and individually explain up
to 47% of the variations in happiness. Our results show
that they influence happiness more significantly than
more ambient parameters such as degradation, education
quality, and crime.
The wider applicability of these results beyond Lon-
don depends on the context. We expect that the availabil-
ity of jobs is widely applicable across cultures, whereas
the number of children will depend on the culture and the
availability to public transport will depend on the own-
ership level of personal vehicles as well as the culture
of transport usage. Future work will focus on creating
proprietary sentiment labels for each city by combining
meta-data for boosting sentiment analysis accuracy [14].
This will enable large-scale cross-country/city compar-
isons to be made [4].
The general study of how sentiment is linked to urban
features and socioeconomic parameters is useful for
urban planners and urban system designers. The results
will allow decision makers to move beyond planning
services using traditional costbenefit analyses, and en-
able them to consider the consequences on citizens’
happiness. Further research on understanding how these
patterns change with different cities and cultures is
of interest, as well as how more reliable methods of
labelling sentiment to social media data can be applied.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
The authors would like to acknowledge the
EPSRC Doctoral Training Centre (EP/L016400/1),
RCUK/EPSRC Grant (EPL023911/1), and the Centre
for Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy
(CAGE) at the University of Warwick.
APPENDIX
A linear regression of sentiment vs. ward level so-
cioeconomic and infrastructure metrics is shown in
Fig. 6. The linear regression does not uncover more
complex parabolic relationships such as those found
between sentiment and accessibility to public trans-
portation. Nonetheless it serves as an overview of the
first order relationship between all 67 parameters. A
categorized table of census data is given in Table I, with
challenges that affect citizens daily, yearly, or long-term
listed.
TABLE I
CHA LLE NG ES AN D FACT ORS T HAT AFFE CT UR BAN LIVING
Daily / Monthly Annual Long Term
Pop. Density Open Space
No. Children Ethnic Diversity Fertility
Rent/Buy, Tax Housing Types
Jobs Income/Benefits Deprivation
Education
Crime
Public Transport Cars
Obesity Life Expectancy
6
Fig. 6. Linear Regression Matrix of Sentiment vs. Ward Level Socioeconomic and Infrastructure Metrics. Sentiment correlations are
boxed.
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Humanitarian disasters and political violence cause significant damage to our living space. The reparation cost to homes, infrastructure, and the ecosystem is often difficult to quantify in real-time. Real-time quantification is critical to both informing relief operations, but also planning ahead for rebuilding. Here, we use satellite images before and after major crisis around the world to train a robust baseline Residual Network (ResNet) and a disaster quantification Pyramid Scene Parsing Network (PSPNet). ResNet offers robustness to poor image quality and can identify areas of destruction with high accuracy (92%), whereas PSPNet offers contextualised quantification of built environment damage with good accuracy (84%). As there are multiple damage dimensions to consider (e.g. economic loss and fatalities), we fit a multi-linear regression model to quantify the overall damage. To validate our combined system of deep learning and regression modeling, we successfully match our prediction to the ongoing recovery in the 2020 Beirut port explosion. These innovations provide a better quantification of overall disaster magnitude and inform intelligent humanitarian systems of unfolding disasters.
... La red que ha suscitado tradicionalmente más interés es Twitter (Durahim & Coşkun, 2015;Guo, Gupta, Pogrebna, & Jarvis, 2016;Nguyen et al., 2016), aunque el poder visual de la imagen está elevando el protagonismo de Instagram como escenario para la medición de la felicidad a través de plataformas interactivas (Pittman & Reich, 2016). En este sentido, un estudio de la Royal Society for Public Health (2017) señala a Instagram como la red social más perjudicial para la salud mental y el bienestar de los jóvenes. ...
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