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Present address: 1,6M.V.Sc. Scholar (sanavet13@gmail.com,
dilliwar123@gmail.com), 2Senior Scientist (medramverma
@rediffmail.com), 4Ph.D. Scholar (drvijaybhardwaj
@gmail.com), Division of Livestock Economics, Statistics and
Information Technology. 3Principal Scientist (skgicar
@gmail.com), ICAR- Central Avian Research Institute, Izatnagar.
5Subject Matter Specialist (dasugenvet@gmail.com), Howrah
KVK, West Bengal.
Poultry farming has assumed much importance due to
the growing demand of poultry products especially in urban
areas because of their high food value. The poultry has the
highest rate of growth in agricultural sector in India with a
growth rate of 8 to10% in eggs and 15 to 20% in broilers
over the last two decades. From the year 1999–2000
onwards the production of egg improved substantially and
it reached 69,731 million numbers in the year 2012–13
(BAHS 2014). The growth is an irreversible, correlated and
coordinated increase in the mass of body in a definite
interval of time (Brody 1945). It is necessary to have
knowledge of pattern of growth in poultry because body
growth is an important factor that contributes to the
profitability in poultry production. Fitting growth curves
to longitudinal measurements is a standard method to
analyze growth pattern in poultry (Berkey 1986). Growth
models relate the average weight of different poultry birds
as a function of their age. From these models one can
determine the expected average weight of a group of birds
of the same breed at any given age under normal conditions
(Prasad and Singh 2006). Several nonlinear models are
being used in poultry which define the relationship between
age and live weight (Prasad et al. 2008, Prasad and Singh
2006, Paul et al. 2011). The objective of these growth curves
is to describe the behaviour of the body weight with increase
in time or age with mathematical parameters that are
biological interpretable.
Data on body weights of 3 pure strains of Rhode Island
Red were compiled from the study conducted by Das (2013)
during 2011 at Central Avian Research Institute, Izatnagar,
Bareilly, Uttar Pradesh. For analysing the growth pattern
of body weight of Rhode Island Red strains chicken
Indian Journal of Animal Sciences 86 (5): 612–615, May 2016/Short communication
Modelling of Rhode Island Red chicken strains
HINA KAUSAR1, MED RAM VERMA2, SANJEEV KUMAR3, VIJAY BAHADUR SHARMA4,
ANANTA KUMAR DAS5 and LEENA DILLIWAR6
ICAR - Indian Veterinary Research Institute, Izatnagar, Bareilly, Uttar Pradesh 243 122 India
Received: 29 May 2015; Accepted: 28 September 2015
Key words: Adjusted R2, Durbin Watson (DW) test, MAE, MSE, Non linear models, R2
(Graphical abstract available only online)
following nonlinear models were used (Prasad et al. 2008,
Singh et al. 2014).
Gompertz model: yt = a exp (–b exp (–ct)+e
Logistic model:
Bertalanffy model: yt = a [1-b exp (-ct)]3 +e
where yt, observed body weight of the chick at tth week; t,
age of the chick in weeks; e, the error term; a, asymptotic
weight; b, scaling parameter; c, rate of maturity.
The goodness of fit of the models was checked by
coefficient of determination (R2), adjusted coefficient of
determination ( 2), Mean square error (MSE), mean
absolute error (MAE) and Akaike Information
Criterion (AIC). To test the assumptions about the
independence of errors Durbin Watson (DW) test was used
and Shapiro Wilk’s test was used to test the normality of
errors. For studying the growth pattern in poultry, data on
average body weights of 3 strains of Rhode Island Red
namely Rhode Island Red (1,308 birds), Rhode Island
Control (643 birds) and Rhode Island White (232 birds)
were used. The data on average body weights of chicken
during 0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 8 and 12 weeks of 3 Rhode Island
Land strains are given in Table 1.
The average body weight of the male chicken varied
between 37.64 g in 0 week to 1,050.42 g in 12th week.
However the body weight of the female chicken varied
between 37.32 g in 0 week to 914.61 g in 12th week
(Table 1). The estimates of the growth parameters of Rhode
Island Red chicken strains are given in Table 2. The R2
values were high for all growth models indicating a
significant relationship between age and weight in both
sexes for Rhode Island Red chicken. Based on the different
goodness of fit criteria the Bertalanffy was the best fitted
model with the highest values of R2, adjusted R2 (2
R) and
lowest values of MAE and AIC for Rhode Island Red
chicken. For the male birds of RIR, Bertalanffy gave the
best fit and for the female chicken gompertz was the best
fitted model on the basis of different goodness of fit criteria.
May 2016] MODELLING OF RHODE ISLAND RED CHICKEN STRAINS 613
121
Durbin Watson (DW) test indicated that there was no
autocorrelation and Shapiro-Wilk’s test indicated that errors
were normally distributed. However, Prasad et al. (2008)
also observed that gompertz model best described the
growth pattern in Indian native chicken. Kuhi et al. (2003)
also observed the better performance of Bertalanffy model
than logistic and gompertz models for describing the growth
performance of chicken.
Rhode Island control male and female chicken varied
from 34.35 g during 0th week to 765.43 g in 12th week. The
R2 values were high for all growth models indicating a
significant relationship (Table 3) between age and weight
in both sexes for Rhode Island Control chicken. Based on
the various goodness of fit measures Bertalanffy was the
best fitted model for Rhode Island Control chicken strain.
For the body weights of the male RIC logistic model best
described the data with highest R2 and adjusted R2 and
minimum MSE, MAE and AIC. For the female birds of
RIC strain Gompertz model gave the best fit with highest
R2 and adjusted R2 and minimum value of MSE, MAE,
and. Durbin Watson (DW) test indicated that there was no
autocorrelation and Shapiro-Wilk’s test indicated that errors
were normally distributed. The gompertz function has been
preferred over the logistic function for fitting monophasic
growth curves of chickens (Laird 1966). However Prasad
et al. (2008) also observed that gompertz model best
described the growth pattern in Indian native chicken. Kuhi
et al. (2003) also observed the better performance of
Bertalanffy model than logistic and gompertz models for
describing the growth performance of chicken.
The estimates of the growth parameters of Rhode Island
White strain are given in Table 4. The R2 values were high
Table 1. Average body weight of different Rhode Island Red strains chicken during different weeks
Strain Sex Number Average body weight during different weeks
of birds 0123 4 6812
RIR Male 701 37.64 57.03 92.63 158.64 206.93 365.43 600.14 1050.42
Female 607 37.32 56.85 90.39 151.03 193.78 331.84 561.69 914.61
Combined 1308 37.90 56.95 91.56 155.08 200.71 350.56 585.41 985.55
RIC Male 355 34.54 52.49 82.37 144.56 174.37 279.77 422.13 765.43
Female 288 34.35 51.21 82.88 134.82 167.78 261.11 397.92 705.46
Combined 643 34.46 51.84 82.60 139.65 171.41 270.60 410.59 738.18
RIW Male 141 35.03 50.84 79.49 137.40 188.02 329.48 498.67 945.28
Female 91 35.35 50.59 76.82 134.63 181.01 311.04 488.18 811.01
Combined 232 31.16 50.75 78.55 136.46 185.32 322.10 479.37 892.30
Table 2. Parameter estimates of models and goodness of fit statistics of Rhode Island Red chicken
Sex Model Parameter Estimate SE R2 2 MSE MAE AIC DW
Male Bertalanffy a 6563.642 1086.229 0.999 0.998 200.4 9.56 53.7 2.13
b 0.832 0.006
c 0.05 0.006
Gompertz a 1754.504 663.234 0.882 0.811 376.63 12.29 59.38 2.51
b 19.903 33.947
c –0.302 0.214
Logistic a 2079.418 169.504 0.996 0.993 1574.465 27.098 72.255 2.62
b 28.194 3.62
c 0.287 0.023
Female Bertalanffy a 2443.846 264.176 0.999 0.998 660.026 11.577 64.43 2.82
b 0.794 0.015
c 0.087 0.009
Gompertz a 1829.161 95.666 0.999 0.998 229.7264 9.488 54.932 2.19
b 3.997 0.11
c 0.148 0.009
Combined Bertalanffy a 3849.163 463.684 0.999 0.998 214.084 9.58 54.297 2.74
b 0.81 0.008
c 0.067 0.006
Gompertz a 2478.382 173.105 0.999 0.998 40541.23 105.49 101.49 1.613
b 4.143 0.092
c 0.127 0.008
Logistic a 1720.349 110.931 0.996 0.994 1250.596 23.61 70.182 2.042
b 25.024 3.296
c 0.302 0.024
614 KAUSAR ET AL. [Indian Journal of Animal Sciences 86 (5)
122
Table 4. Parameter estimates of models and goodness of fit statistics of Rhode Island White
Sex Model Parameter Estimate SE R2 2 MSE MAE AIC DW
Male Bertalanffy a 878.483 158.527 0.917 0.867 11447.37 65.64 90.11 2.68
b 1.032 0.441
c 0.244 0.11
Gompertz a 856.487 123.208 0.926 0.809 12302.38 59.456 90.757 2.17
b 5.126 2.598
c 0.306 0.115
Logistic a 591.693 86.832 0.854 0.766 7906.561 48.148 86.779 3.12
b 19.969 22.328
c 0.52 0.229
Female Bertalanffy a 754.235 127.402 0.922 0.875 7790.591 53.541 86.64605 2.53
b 0.945 0.348
c 0.241 0.102
Gompertz a 736.171 100.047 0.93 0.906 6976.908 48.38913385.65325 2.72
b 4.524 1.966
c 0.3 0.106
Combined Bertalanffy a 828.165 146.05 0.918 0.869 9968.862 61.0941 88.865 2.57
b 0.999 0.406
c 0.244 0.107
Gompertz a 808.141 114.266 0.927 0.883 8933.686 55.2718 87.87 2.68
b 4.884 2.344
c 0.304 0.112
Logistic a 781.965 74.097 0.943 0.908 6946.761 44.62781 85.614 2.86
b 27.667 21.504
c 0.508 0.142
Table 3. Parameter estimates of models and goodness of fit statistics Rhode Island Control
Sex Model Parameter Estimate SE R2 2 MSE MAE AIC DW
Male Bertalanffy a 605.013 131.884 0.826 0.721 13270.28 65.18 91.44 2.15
b 0.931 0.542
c 0.278 0.171
Gompertz a 598.823 113.29 0.836 0.737 12522.16 61.27 90.91 2.34
b 4.307 2.95
c 0.333 0.181
Logistic a 591.693 86.832 0.854 0.766 11099.84 52.804 89.83 2.02
b 19.969 22.328
c 0.52 0.229
Female Bertalanffy a 568.367 121.035 0.837 0.739 10589.73 57.88819 89.408 2.06
b 0.89 0.47
c 0.269 0.159
Gompertz a 561.344 102.636 0.847 0.769 9943.89 54.52708 88.84242 2.19
b 4.113 2.577
c 0.325 0.168
Combined Bertalanffy a 3559.83 473.48 1 1 83.67 6.025 45.84 2.25
b 0.793 0.006
c 0.055 0.005
Gompertz a 2050.16 126.87 1 1 40351.58 105.57 101.44 3.2
b 3.94 0.052
c 0.112 0.006
Logistic a 1318.23 68.58 0.998 0.996 348.84 14.25 58.69 0.25
b 22.088 1.852
c 0.282 0.016
May 2016] MODELLING OF RHODE ISLAND RED CHICKEN STRAINS 615
123
for all growth models indicating a significant relationship
between age and weight in both sexes for Rhode Island
White chicken. Based on the goodness of fit criteria logistic
model presented best adjustment to the body growth data
with maximum R2 and adjusted R2 and minimum values
of MSE, MAE and AIC. In case of male birds of the Rhode
Island White Bertalanffy gave the best fit as evident from
the highest value of R2, adjusted R2 and minimum values
of MSE, MAE and AIC. For the female birds gompertz
model gave the best fit with highest R2 and adjusted R2 and
lowest MSE and MAE. Durbin Watson (DW) test indicated
that there was no autocorrelation and Shapiro-Wilk’s test
indicated that errors were normally distributed. However,
Prasad and Singh (2006) observed that modified logistic
model best described the growth pattern in male and female
chicken. However, Prasad et al. (2008) observed
that gompertz model best described the growth pattern in
Indian native chicken. Kuhi et al. (2003) also observed the
better performance of Bertalanffy model than logistic and
gompertz models for describing the growth performance
of chicken.
SUMMARY
To study the growth pattern in body weight of 3 strains
of Rhode Island Red chicken Bertalanffy, gompertz and
logistic nonlinear models were fitted. From the data on body
weights of three strains of Rhode Island Red, we observed
that average body weights of male chicken were higher than
the female chicken. Based on the various measures of
goodness fit criteria we have observed that in modelling of
body weight of the Rhode Island Red chicken Bertalanffy
was the best fitted model. In case of Rhode Island Control,
Bertalanffy was the best fitted model and for Rhode Island
Control male chicken logistic was the best fitted model. In
case of Rhode Island White chicken logistic was the best
fitted model and in case of Rhode Island White male chicken
Bertalanffy was the best fitted model. In case of female
chicken of Rhode Island Red, Rhode Island Control and
Rhode Island White strains gompertz model was the best
fitted model. From these fitted models one can determine
the expected average body weight of a group of birds of
three strains of RIR chicken at any given age under normal
conditions.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
The authors are highly thankful to the learned referees
and the Assistant Editor for their valuable comments on
the original version of the paper.
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