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Forschungsinstitut
zur Zukunft der Arbeit
Institute for the Study
of Labor
DISCUSSION PAPER SERIES
Cooperation, Punishment and Organized Crime:
A Lab‐in‐the‐Field Experiment in Southern Italy
IZA DP No. 9901
April 2016
Annamaria Nese
Niall O’Higgins
Patrizia Sbriglia
Maurizio Scudiero
Cooperation, Punishment and
Organized Crime: A Lab‐in‐the‐Field
Experiment in Southern Italy
Annamaria Nese
University of Salerno
Niall O’Higgins
ILO, University of Salerno and IZA
Patrizia Sbriglia
University of Naples II
Maurizio Scudiero
Ministry of Justice, Italy
Discussion Paper No. 9901
April 2016
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IZA Discussion Paper No. 9901
April 2016
ABSTRACT
Cooperation, Punishment and Organized Crime:
A Lab‐in‐the‐Field Experiment in Southern Italy
This paper reports the results of an experimental investigation which allows a deeper insight
into the nature of social preferences amongst organized criminals and how these differ from
“ordinary” criminals on the one hand and from the non‐criminal population in the same
geographical area on the other. We provide experimental evidence on cooperation and
response to sanctions by running Prisoner’s Dilemma and Third Party Punishment games on
three different pools of subjects; students, ‘Ordinary Criminals’ and Camorristi (Neapolitan
‘Mafiosi’). The latter two groups being recruited from within prisons. We are thus able to
separately identify ‘Prison’ and ‘Camorra’ effects. Camorra prisoners show a high degree of
cooperativeness and a strong tendency to punish, as well as a clear rejection of the
imposition of external rules even at significant cost to themselves. In contrast, ordinary
criminals behave in a much more opportunistic fashion, displaying lower levels of cooperation
and, in the game with Third Party punishment, punishing less as well as tending to punish
cooperation (almost as much) as defection. Our econometric analyses further enriches the
analysis demonstrating inter alia that individuals’ locus of control and reciprocity are
associated with quite different and opposing behaviours amongst different participant types; a
strong sense of self‐determination and reciprocity both imply a higher propensity to cooperate
and to punish for both students and Camorra inmates, but quite the opposite for ordinary
criminals, further reinforcing the contrast between the behaviour of ordinary criminals and the
strong internal mores of Camorra clans.
JEL Classification: A13, D63, D23, C92, K42, Z13
Keywords: economics of crime, models of identity, prisoner’s dilemma,
third party punishment, experimental economics
Corresponding author:
Niall O’Higgins
Department of Economics and Statistics
University of Salerno
Via Giovanni Paolo II
132-84084 Fisciano (SA)
Italy
E-mail: nohiggins@unisa.it
3
1.Introduction
ThisstudyismotivatedbythebeliefthatourpracticalunderstandingoftheMafia,Camorra
andotherItaliancriminalorganizationsmaypotentiallybeenrichedbyrecognizingthattheirwell‐
knowncodesofbehaviouraremorethananecdotalcuriosities,andindeed,constitutearealand
distinctcriminalculturewhichisbothuniqueand,whilstoftenmentionedinmoviesandbooks,
rarelyseriouslystudied.Suchabeliefclearlyinformsthepublicdebateinthemedia,butitisalso
evidentinpolicyinitiatives;mafiosiareunderstoodtosharecommonmoralvaluescharacterizedby
strongin‐groupcooperativenessandloyalty,parochialism,totaldisregardofexternal(public)
institutionalrules,profoundreligiousbeliefsandself‐reportedpositiveidentityvalues.Crucialto
theserulesare,forexample,thesecrecycodesofomertàwhichMafiosiconsiderhonourabletrust
amongmembersofthesamegroup.Theimportanceofsuchcodeshasbeendemonstratedbythe
successofsomeofthestrategieswhichhavebeenusedtofightMafiaandMafia‐typegroups.1For
example,theprovidingofincentivestoinformants,astrategyadoptedtofighttheMafiainthe
1980s,turnedouttobeapowerfulinstrumenttounderminethesecrecycodesofomertà.Atthe
sametime,morerecently,newrulesofconductoftheCatholicChurchwhichthreatenthose
responsibleforviolentcrimeswithexcommunicationorimpedecriminalsinsmallcitiesfrom
exertinganinfluentialroleasfarasreligiousmattersareconcerned,havebeenseenasanimportant
stepstofightanddeprivethecriminalcultureofsomekindofstatus.2
Scholarsoftenclaimthatsuchcultureproducesimportantdistortionsinthesocialand
economiclifeoftheneighbourhoodswhereorganizedcrimegroupsoperate.Concernhasalsobeen
expressedthattheproliferationofMafiaorganizationsintheEUandUScouldleadtotheexporting
ofacultureofcrimewithalltherelatedconsequencesonthelevelofcorruptionandthefunctioning
ofthelocalmarkets.
Inarecentstudy,Meieretal.(2014)haveexperimentallyanalysedsocialpreferencesintwo
groupsofhigh‐schooladolescentswholiveintwodistinctneighbourhoodsofPalermo,oneofwhich
1Tobeprecise,wedrawsubjectsformapoolofmembersoftheCamorraorganization.However,asiscommoninsimilar
studies,inthispaperweusethewords:Camorra,MafiaandMafia‐typeorganizationswithoutdistinction,sincethere
appeartobefewdifferences–asfarasthe“criminalculture”isconcerned–betweenthesegroups.
2ThereareanumberofpolicieswhicharedirectlyaimedatfightingtheMafia’scodesofbehaviourandreducingthe
importanceofMafiosiintheirnativetownsandvillages.Forexample,theItalianParliamentiscurrentlydiscussinga
newlawtodeprivesentencedMafia‐typeleadersofparentalcustody,andthepolicyallowingwealthconfiscatedfrom
Mafiositobere‐allocatedfortheprovisionofbasicpublicgoodsinlocalcommunitieshasalreadyprovedsuccessful.
Finally,LuigiCantone,theItalianHighCommissionerforthefightofcriminalityandcorruption,hasrecentlystatedthat
apolicywhichdoesnotfightthecultureofcrimebutaimsonlyatarrestingMafiabossesmaybackfirebecauseitjust
leavesroomfornewstrugglesforsupremacyamongstcriminalfamilies.
4
istraditionallyconnectedtoMafia.TheirresultsclearlyshowthatthepresenceofMafiastrongly
affectssocialbehaviour,alsoforyoungadultswhohavecomparablelevelsofeducationandsocio‐
economicfamilyconditionsasthoselivinginMafia‐freeareasofthesamecity.Specifically,they
foundthatpeoplelivinginneighbourhoodswithhighMafiainvolvementexhibitedlower
generalizedtrustandtrustworthinessaswellasgreaterparochialism,andthatpunishmentnorms
didnotaltertheirbehavioursignificantly.Intheirconclusions,theauthorsarguethatinregionsin
whichcriminalorganizationsoperatetherearenegativeexternalities;specifically,informal
institutionalcriminalculturetendstoprevailovertheformalinstitutionalcultureandtoaffecteven
youngergenerationsbelongingtothenon‐criminalpopulation.3Thisargumentisnotnewandithas
beenwidelyexamined.Gambetta(1996)andBandiera(2003)arguethattheriseandsuccessofthe
MafiainthenineteencenturywasconnectedtotheweaknessoftheItalianStateandtheMafia’s
abilitytoprovideefficientandotherwiseabsentcrediblelegalframeworks;theMafiathusprovided
analternativeinstitutionalstructure,fillingavacuumwheneverithadtheopportunity.4The
weaknessoflegitimateinstitutionsandthe“viciouscycle”(Meieret.al.;2014)arealsoclaimedas
oneofthemainreasonsforSouthernItalianeconomicunderdevelopmentandthepersistenceof
regionaleconomicdisparities(BeugelsdijkandSchaik,2005),sinceitproduces–andreproduces‐a
lowlevelofsocialcapitalintheSouthofItaly.5
Thepresentpaperproposesanexperimentalinvestigationwhichallowsadeeperinsightinto
thenatureofsocialpreferencesamongst“organized”criminalsandhowthesedifferfrom
“ordinary”criminalsontheonehandandfromthenon‐criminalpopulationinthesame
geographicalareaontheother.WefocusonCampaniawheretheCamorra,perhapscurrentlythe
mostimportantItalianMafia‐typeorganization,thrives.Weprovideexperimentalevidenceon
3QuotingfromMeieretal.;2014paper(p.1):“Ourstudyexperimentallydemonstratesthatinformalinstitutionsfrom
thepastcanundermineinstitutionsfromthepresent,eveninreligiouslyandethnicallyhomogeneouspopulations.A
cultureoforganizedcrimecanaffectnormsandattitudesinadolescentsthatmightcreateaviciouscyclewhere
organizedcrimeaffectsnormsandviceversa”.
4Inthecaseofotherorganizedgroups,liketheCamorrainCampania,whichconstituteour‘Mafia’sample,thereare
verysimilarhistoricalpatterns.SpecifictotheCamorra,however,theorganizationexperiencedextraordinarilyfast
growthfollowingtheearthquakeof1980astheresultofthesubstantialpublicrelieffundsdirectedtoCampania(See
Pinotti,2013).
5AcarefulinvestigationintotheimportanceofthesedisparitieshasbeenconductedbyCasarietal.(2015).Theauthors
experimentallytestsocialpreferencesintwodistinctareas;theNorth\CentreandtheSouthofItaly.Theirtestsonrisk
attitudes,trustandtrustworthinesssuggestthatobservedeconomicdifferencesmaybetheresultofdifferencesin
unobservedpreferences.TherecentexperimentalfieldinvestigationsconductedinItalyinthelastfewyearsis
particularlyinterestinginasmuchastheyprovidesuggestiveinsightsintotheunderpinningofeconomicdevelopment
inWesterncountrieswhereheterogeneousandconflictingsocialpreferencesco‐exist,sometimesinthesame
geographicalareaandoftenwithingroupsofpopulationwhootherwisesharesimilarsocio‐economicconditions.
5
cooperationandresponsetosanctionsbyrunningPrisoner’sDilemmaandThirdPartyPunishment
gamesonthesethreedifferentpoolsofsubjects.Specifically,theexperimentspresentedinthis
paperwereconductedinSouthernItaly(2012‐2013)withasampleofuniversitystudentsandtwo
samplesofprisoninmates.Thetwogroupsofprisoninmatesdifferedinthatonegroupwere
membersoftheCamorrawhilsttheotherwerenotinvolvedinorganizedcrime.Infact,the
experimentalsessionswererunintwodifferentprisonslocatedinCampania,oneofwhichhosted
convictedmembersoftheCamorra,andtheother,“ordinary”criminals.Furthermore,we
conductedthesameexperimentsonapoolofstudentsenrolledinseveralfacultiesoftheUniversity
ofNaplesII,whichislocatedintheCasertaarea,aterritorynotoriousforthestrongpresenceof
Camorrafamilies.
Asexplainedbelow,membersoftheCamorraand“ordinary”criminalswereconvictedfor
similartypesofcrimes(crimesagainstproperty)andhadsimilarcriminalcurriculawiththe
exceptionthatonepoolofinmateswereconvictedasmembersoftheCamorraandwere
consequentlyhostedinaseparatehigh‐securityunit.6
Inadditiontotheexperimentalsessions,wecompletedouranalysisbyaskingallsubjectsto
filloutaquestionnairewhichmeasuredthepropensityforindividualstocooperateandtopositively
(ornegatively)reciprocateothers’behaviour.Also,thequestionnaireincludedtwoquestionsbased
ontheRotterscaleintendedtobroadlymeasurethelocusofcontrolofparticipants(Rotter,1966).
Individualswithanexternallocusofcontrol(externals)tendtobelievethattheyareunabletobe
themasteroftheirownlivesandeventsareoutsideoftheircontrol.Onthecontrary,internallocus
ofcontrol(internals)indicatesatendencytobelieveinself‐determinationandtobeendowedwith
highself‐esteem.ThereisrobustevidencethatpsychologicalmeasuressuchastheRotterscaleare
positivelyrelatedtopro‐socialbehaviour,inthesensethataninternallocusofcontrolisassociated
withcooperativenessandreciprocity(Booneetal.;2002;CarpenterandSeki;2011).Therefore,
althoughtheRotterscaleisbasicallyapersonalitymeasure,ithasbeenoftenusedasaproxyofthe
individuals’willingnesstocooperateinasocialdilemmacontext.
Thepurposeofthequestionnaireistointegratethebehaviouraldatawithmeasuresofthe
individuals’preferencesandpersonalityvalues.7Furthermore,asweillustrateinafurthersection,
6InItaly,prisonerswhohavebeensentencedasmembersofacriminalorganizationsuchastheMafiaortheCamorra
arealwayshostedinsegregatedunitsandthespecificprisonrulesappliedtothemcandifferfromthosetowhich
ordinaryprisonershavetoadhere,evenwhenthelatterhavebeensentencedforsimilarcrimes.
7BecausepoorliteracyiscommonamongstItalianprisoninmates,whetherthesebeordinaryinmatesorCamorristi,the
questionnairecontainedonlysixquestionsandtheywereframedinanextremelysimplemanner.Ourmeasureoflocus
6
thequestionnaire’sanswersallowsustoidentifysimilarsocialpreferenceprofilesandtoevaluate
howindividualswhohavesimilarattitudestocooperationandreciprocityactuallybehave
differently,dependingonwhethertheyadheretothestronginternalmoresofCamorraclansor
not.
OurmainfindingisthatCamorraprisoninmatesaresignificantlydifferentfrombothofthe
othertwogroups(studentsandordinarycriminals)understudy.TheCamorraprisonersshowahigh
degreeofcooperationandstrongpunishingbehaviour,aswellasastrongrejectionofthe
impositionofexternalrulesevenatsignificantcosttothemselves.Onthecontrary,ordinary
criminalsbehaveinamuchmoreopportunisticfashion,displayinglowerlevelsofcooperationand,
intheGamewithThirdPartypunishment,punishinglessaswellaspunishingcooperation(non‐
opportunisticbehaviour)(almost)asmuchasdefection(opportunisticbehaviour).Oureconometric
analysesofbehaviourduringthegamealsosuggestthatlocusofcontrolandreciprocityserve
differentpurposesaccordingtothespecificsampleunderinvestigation.Highdegreesofself‐
determinationandreciprocityimply–infact–ahigherpropensitytobothcooperateandpunish
forstudentsandCamorrainmatesbutnotsoforordinarycriminals;forthelatterthese
characteristicstendtostrengthentheirtendencytowardsopportunisticbehaviour.8
2.AbriefnoteonCamorra
Beforeproceedingtotheexperimentitself,abriefexaminationofthespecificcriminalgroup
understudyisinorder.TheCamorra,similarlytotheMafia,hasitsoriginsinnineteenthcentury
ofcontrolisthenhighlysimplifiedsincesuchpersonalitytraitsaregenerallyidentifiedusingmore(andmoredetailed)
questions(rangingfromsix‐asinCarpenterandSeki,2011‐totwentythreequestions).Wedonotclaim,therefore,to
havefullymeasuredindividuals’locusofcontrol,butratherusethequestionnairetodefinebroadindividualpreference
‘types’.
8Theanalysispresentedherefallswithinthegrowingareaofliteratureontheapplicationofeconomicexperimentsto
theeconomicsofcrimetypicallythrough–ashere‐theimplementationofexperimentsoncooperation,trustand
altruismconductedwithsamplesofconvictedprisoners(Birkelandetal.,2014;Kadjevietal.,2013andChmuraetal.,
2013).Themotivationunderlyingthesepapersistoevaluatewhethertherearedifferencesbetweenthesocial
behaviourofprisonersandordinarycitizens,suchasstudentsorthegeneralpopulation,sincecriminalsclearlymanifest
anti‐socialbehaviourintheirprofessionallife.Thepresenceofsuchdifferencesstronglysuggestthatcriminalactivity
cannotusefullybestudiedfocusingexclusivelyoneconomicincentivesandopportunities,astraditionaltheoriesclaim,
butrathershouldalsoincludeabehaviouralperspective.Acommonfindingofthesepapersisthatconvictedprisoners
donotappeartobelesspro‐sociallymotivatedthan‘normal’citizens.Twoexplanationshavebeenputforwardforthis.
Firstly,theexperimentalfindingsseemtoconfirmthateconomicopportunitiesplayanimportantroleindeciding
whetheranindividualwillcommitteeacrime;secondly,alabenvironmentmaybeapoorproxyofarealworld
environment(seeBirkelandetal.;2014),thusthecomparisonmaygenerateinconclusiveresults.
7
Campania;and,againincommonwiththeMafia,theCamorrawasoriginallycomposedofordinary
out‐lawswhosharedcommoncodesofhonourbasedonomertà,in‐groupcooperativeness,self‐
definedheroicidentities,strongreligiosity,andsoforth.
However,similaritiestotheMafia,however,shouldnotbeoveremphasized.TheNew
Camorra(NCO),whichemergedinCampaniainthe1980s,hasatleastthreespecificcharacteristics
whichmarkitapartfromtheSicilianMafia(andindeedformtheothermafiatypeorganizations
operatinginItaly).First,theCamorraisaparticularlyviolentorganization.Comparingthenumber
ofhomicidesinCampaniawiththeremainingItalianregions,inthe1990s,theCamorraemergedas
themostviolentMafia‐typeorganisationinItaly.9Second,andnotunrelated,theCamorrais
constitutedbyabout100competingfamilieswhichoperateinasmallgeographicalarea(Naples
andCaserta),whichitselfprovidesanexplanationforthesubstantialamountofviolenceassociated
withtheorganisation.TheCamorrahasanetworkstructure,quitedifferentformthepyramidal
structureoftheSicilianMafia,andallclanssharesimilarsocio‐demographicandethnicalfeatures.
ThisclearlycontributestomakingCamorramobstersmorecompetitiveandhencemoreviolent
thantheMafia.ThethirdaspectwhichcharacterizestheCamorragroupconsistsinthefactthat
Camorrahasalwaysbeenaveryprofitableorganization,oftenwithrevenueshigherthanMafia,and
withtheabilitytodiversifyitsinvestmentsandtoinvestacrossEurope.10,11
3.Thesamples,theprisonsandtherecruitingprocedures
Thestudentsamplewasrecruitedatthe2ndUniversityofNapleswhichislocatedinCaserta
Province.Thestudentswereenrolledindifferentfaculties(Law,Psychology,PoliticalScience,
Economics)andwererecruitedbyadvertisementsonthefacultywebsites.Thesessionswere
conductedovertwodaysintheCentralUniversitylaboratory.CasertaProvincehasseveralCamorra
familygroups(Saviano,2006),andtherearelargeprisonslocatedinthearea.FortheCamorra’s
9RapportosullaCriminalità,Ministerodell’Interno,severalyears.Saviano(2006).
10SeveralreportsindicatethatCamorrahasastrongpresenceintheNorthofItalyandinsomeNorthernEuropean
countries(seeEuropol,2013).ItisdifficulttopreciselyidentifytheprofitabilityofMafia‐typegroups.However,Eurispes
(2007‐2009)reportsMafiaandMafia‐typeclansrevenuesinItalyyearly,anditisoftennoticedthat,outof4Southern
groups,Camorraisoneofthemostsuccessful.Togiveanexample,Europol(2013)reportsthevalueofthegoodsand
propertyconfiscatedfromasingleCamorraboss(Polverino)afterhisarrestwhichsummedtoavalueofmorethanone
billioneuros.
11TheCamorra’sabilitytopenetratefinancialEuropeanmarketshasbeenrecognizedbyseveralstudies.Thisabilityalso
marksitapartfromtheMafiawhichtraditionallyhasstrongeconomicinterestsintheUS.
8
inmatesample,weselectedadifferentprison.Specifically,theCamorrasamplewasrecruitedin
oneofthemostimportantNeapolitanprisons,Secondiglianojail.12Secondiglianoisadetention
centrecomposedofseveralsections,someofwhichare“highsecurity”andhostCamorristiand
Mafiosi.InItaly,ifsentencedasmembersoftheMafiaorCamorra,prisonersarelocatedinseparate
unitsofcorrectioncentresorinprisonsdestinedtohostonlyMafiosiorCamorristiand
SecondiglianojailisoneofthemostimportantsuchprisonsinSouthernItaly.
Therearefourhighsecurityunits.Eachunithousesapproximately400inmates.Camorra
inmateswererecruitedthroughadvertisementspostedintheprison'srecreationareas.The
advertisementsstatedthatanumberofresearchersfromtheUniversitiesofNaplesandSalerno
wereconductingastudyonseveralpopulationgroupsinCampania;thattheresearcherswould
conductsessionsintheprison;and,thatparticipationwouldberewardedwithafeeof10‐18euros
(whichcorrespondstoroughly1–1.5timesthe(pro‐rata)amountaninmateisallowedtospendat
theprisoncanteenforcigarettesandfoodinoneday13).Theinmateswerefreetochoosebetween
enrollmentintheexperiments,participationincoursesorsportsactivitiesorremaininginthe
recreationarea.Thus,thesessionsdidnotoverlapwiththeinmates'usualdailyoutdoorshoursand
participationwasvoluntary.Weconductedbothsessionsonthesameday,oneaftertheother,and
eachsessionwasadvertisedinadifferentsectionofthejail.
“Ordinarycriminals”wereenrolledinadifferentprisonlocatedintheCasertaarea(The
SantaMariaCapuaVetereprison,hereafterSMCV).SMCVhostsallsortsofcriminalswiththe
exceptionofmembersofmafia‐typeorganisations.14Herewefollowedpreciselythesame
procedurestorecruitinmatesasinSecondiglianoJail,advertisingtheexperimentsinthe
recreationalareasoftheprisonandrunningthesessionsintheprison“classrooms”duringthetime
ofthedaytheydevotedtotrainingandsportsactivities.AlsoincommonwithSecondigliano,the
sessionstookplaceovertwodays.15Allsessionswereconductedin2012‐2103.Atotalof109
12Theexperimentswereconductedintwodifferentphases:1)in2012weranexperimentsinNaplesandinthe
University(seealso:Nese,etal.;2013);2)in2013,experimentswereruninSantaMariaCapuaVetere.
13Specifically,inmatesareallowedtospenduptoamaximumof€350permonthinthecanteen,whichcorrespondsto
alittleunder€12perday.
14Wedecidednottousethesameprisonforthespecificsampleofordinarycriminals,inordertominimizethe
probabilityofcommunicationbetween‘Mafia’inmatesandordinaryinmates.Finally,weselectedSMCVbecause–at
thetimeoftheexperiments–thiswasthebiggestprisonfacilityintheregion.
15Giventheunusualnatureofoursamples,itisimportanttoclarifysomeproceduralaspectsoftheresearch.For
securityreasons,wedidnotpre‐announcetheprecisedaysoftheexperiments;however,inmatesknewthatwewould
beworkinginthemonthsofJuneandJuly.InordertoconductexperimentsinItalianprisonswehadtofollowthe
relevantrulesandproceduresestablishedbytheMinistryofInternalAffairs,CourtJudges,thePrisonAuthoritiesand
thespecialItalianGovernmentalDepartmentregulatingalldetentioncentres(DPRA).Thebasicrulewasthatprisoners’
9
students,129Camorraand109“ordinary”inmatesparticipatedinthesessions.Thespecificsamples
ofinmateshadcomparablelegalandsocio‐economicalcharacteristics.Infact,inSMCVweexcluded
foreigners,sexoffendersanddrugaddicts,focusingoninmateswhowereconvictedforcrimes
againstproperty(suchasthefts,robberies,housebreaking,etc.)16.TheCamorrasamplewas
constitutedbyinmatesconvictedforcrimesagainstproperty,homicidesanddrugdealing.The
exclusionofsomespecificcrimesandcriminalsdoesnotimplythatwehadtooperateaselection
afterrecruitmentwasover,sinceallCamorrainmatesmettherequirementsand,inSMCV,we
simplyadvertisedinrecreationalareaswhereforeigners,sexoffendersanddrugaddictsdidnot
socialize.Thetwosamplesbelongtothesameage‐groups,intherange20‐35.Onefurtherelement
ofcomparisonwasthatthemajorityofinmatesinbothsamplescamefromthesameregion,
Campania.Thepurposeofthesecomparisonsisthatwewishedtostudybehaviourintwodefined
“types”ofprisoners–Camorristiand“ordinary”criminals–whocamefromotherwisesimilar
backgrounds,similarcriminalcurriculaandhence,similaroutsideopportunities.Allsubjects–
includingstudents–completedaquestionnaireinwhichthreetypesofquestionswerereported.
Thequestionnaireswereanonymouslydistributedinrecreationalareastoallinmates,eventothose
whodidnotparticipateintheexperiments.Theonlyrequirementweimposedwasthattheinmates
whodecidedtojointhesessionshadtobringthequestionnaireswiththemandtogiveittothe
monitoroftheirsession(seethesectionbelow).Themonitorswouldidentifythequestionnaireby
reportingtheinmateidentitycodeonthesheetofpaper.Weimplementedthisprocedureinorder
topreservethecompleteanonymityoftheinmates,asrequiredbytheinmatesthemselvesandthe
prisonmanagement.Asforthestudents,weusedtheusualprocedure,askingthestudentstofill
thequestionnairebeforeleavingtheexperiment.
Conductingexperimentsinprisonscreatestwodifferenttypesofproblem,asfarthe
measurementofsocialpreferencesisconcerned.Firstly,theremaybeunobservableprisoneffects
anonymityhadtobepreservedandnopersonalinformationcouldbedisclosed.Alltheexperimentalmaterialshadto
beviewedandapprovedbyeachoftheseauthorities.Inordertopreservetheprivacy,rightsandsecurityofinmates
(andalsotherightsandsecurityoftheresearchersconductingthesessions),nopersonalinformationonindividuals’
crimecurriculacouldbedisclosed(inSecondigliano,wewereallowedtoviewthegeneralstatisticsontheprison’s
populationcollectedbytheprisonauthorities).Finally,asinlabexperimentstheinmates'participationwasentirely
voluntaryandanonymous.Recruitmenttotheexperimentsprovedverysuccessfulforseveralreasons.Firstly,inSMCV,
thefinancialincentiveplayedanimportantrole;whilst,inSecondigliano,theexperimentsubstitutedtasks(coursesand
psychologists’assessmentandmeetings)whichinmatesstronglydislike.Secondly,theexperimentalsessionslasted
fromtwotothreehours‐muchlongerthanthecourseswhichtheyreplaced‐thusallowinginmatestospendmore
timethannormaloutsidetheircells.Theaveragedurationofthesessionswasreportedintheadvertisement.
16Sinceinformationontheindividuals’crimeswerenotdisclosed,however,wedonotknowexactlythepercentagesof
(participating)prisonerswhocommittedaspecifictypeofcrime.
10
determinedbythefactthatprisonrulesmayaffectaninmate’ssociallifeandrelationshipsinaway
thatexperimenterscannotcontrolfor(seealso:Birkelandetal.;2014).Thus,theinclusionofagroup
of‘ordinarycriminals’(OCs)allowsustoidentifyacommonprisoneffect.Secondly,theprisoneffect
islikelytoincreaseifinmateshavespentallthetimeoftheirincarcerationinthesameprisonand
withthesamegroupofpeople.Fortunatelyfortheexperimentaldesign,intheItalianprisonsystem,
inmatesareregularlymovedforsecurityreasons.EspeciallyinthecaseofCamorrainmates,there
isahighmobilityamongspecialprisonunitsandinmatesdonotsharethesameroomswith
membersofthesamecriminalfamilyorofcompetingfamilies,norindeedwiththesamepeoplefor
verylong.Naturally,thereisachancethatinmateshavemetbeforeenteringprison,however,the
Italiansystemdoesguaranteethatinmatesmovecellsfairlyofteninordertoavoidthe
establishmentofviolentanddomineeringgangs.This“mobilityrule”canbeclaimedasa(partial)
randommatchingmechanismamongexperimentalsubjects.ItisappliedtobothCamorraandnon‐
Camorrainmates,althoughforfairlyobviousreasonsitisappliedmorestringentlytotheformer.
Moregenerally,inallaspectsoftheexperiments,wetriedtoreproduceasfaraspossible
thesamelaboratoryenvironmentintheprisonsaswereusedforstudentsandabove‐allapplying
thesamerulesandprotocolsforallparticipants,studentsandinmates.Thesessionstookplacein
classroomsinwhichinmatesusuallyattendedgeneraltrainingcourses.Prisonguardsremained
outsidetherooms(asisthecaseduringtraining)andtwoexperimenters(inthesameagerangeas
theinmates)supervisedthesessions;wealsochosemonitorsfromamongsttheparticipants,in
ordertoincreasecommitmentandtoguaranteeanonymityasrequiredbybothinmatesandprison
authorities.Inotherwords,wetriedtopreservethebasicrulesoflab‐experiments,guaranteeing
voluntaryparticipationinthesessions,anonymity,andsimilarrulesbetweentheexperimentsrun
intheprisonsandthoserunintheUniversity.17
4.Experimentaldesignandbehaviouralhypotheses
Theexperimentaldesignalsoadoptedstandardprotocolsforalaboratoryexperimentwith
formalInstructions,theselectionofmonitorsandthepublicreadingoftheInstructionsheetbefore
thesessionsstarted.Theexperimentscomprisedtwodifferentdesigns:aone‐shotPrisoners’
17Wedeliveredmorethan250questionnairesinbothprisons,howeverwedidnotknowhowmanysubjectswouldturn
uptilltheactualmomentthesessionstarted.
11
Dilemma(PD)andaone‐shotPrisonersdilemmawiththirdpartypunishment(TPP).Forthelatter,
wereproducedthedesignofFehrandFischbacher(2004).Inallofthesessions,experimentswere
conductedonpencilandpaper.InthePDdesign,atthebeginningofthesessions,eachsubjectwas
providedwithanenvelopethatwaslabelledAorBandanumberthatidentifiedthesubject.The
envelopecontainedaninstructionsheet,adecisionsheetandacopyofthequestionnaire.18The
instructionswerereadaloudbytheexperimentersandinbothsessionswestatedthatthe
participantscouldaskquestionsonlyprivatelyandafterthereading.ThegameinthePDsession
wasone‐stage;thegameconsistedofasingledecisionthattheparticipantswererequiredtoreport
onthedecisionsheet.A(B)subjectswereendowedwith10experimenttokensandwerepaired
withB(A)subjects.The(AandB)subjectshadto(simultaneously)determinewhethertokeepthe
tokensorsendthemtothepartner.Ifsubjectssentthetokenstotheir(anonymous)partner,the
researcherwouldtripletheamount.Thus,thegamehadfourpossibleoutcomes:(10,10),(40,0),
(0,40),(30,30).
TheTPPisatwo‐stagedesigninvolvingthreetypesofsubject(A,BandC).Thefirststage
correspondstothePDandourprocedureswerepreciselythesame;thefundamentaldifference
beingthatAandBwereawarethattheCplayercouldinterveneatthesecondstageandcouldthus
influencetheirfinalpayoffbyawardingdeductionpointstoone(orboth)ofthem.Infact,atthe
beginningofthesecondstage,afterAandBhaddeterminedwhetherornottosendthetokens,
playerCwasendowedwith40tokensandhadtodecidewhethertokeepthetokensorspendthe
endowmentsoastodeductpointsfromAand/orB.OnedeductionpointwoulddecreaseAandB's
totalpayoffbythreetokens(Cwasallowedtoattributeamaximumof20deductionpointsforeach
player).WeretainedcertainimportantfeaturesofthedesigncreatedbyFehretal.;2004.First,at
thebeginningofthesecondstage,AandB'sendowmentswereincreasedby15tokens(avoiding
thefocalpoint:40,40,40).Second,theparticipantsreceivedashow‐upfeeof10tokenstoprevent
asubjectfromexperiencingalossafterC'sdecision.Finally,C'sdecisionswererecordedusingthe
strategymethod(Selten,2003).19Thus,Cwasaskedtoindicateonthedecisionsheethowmany
deductionpointshewouldallocateforeachofthefourpossibleoutcomesinthePD:(CC),(DD),
(CD),(DC).Inourdesign,thethreesubjectsactedatthesametimeindifferentroomswithdifferent
18Asexplainedinapreviousfootnotewedeliveredcopiesofthequestionnairestothecommonroomsoftheprisons,
however,sincestudentsfoundtheirquestionnairesintheenvelope,weincludedacopyintheenvelopesalsofor
inmates.
19WeonlystudyThirdPartyPunishment,therefore,CplayersdonotparticipateinthePDgameinthefirstphaseofthe
game.
12
experimenters.Thepairingprocedurewasconductedaftertheexperiments.Ineachroom,the
experimentercollectedtheclosedenvelopesandaskedoneparticipanttomixtheenvelopesand
formpairs.Thepairsandtheiridentificationnumberswerethenreadaloud.Next,inthepresence
ofonlytheparticipantwhohadrandomlyselectedthepairs,weopenedtheenvelopesand
calculatedthegains.Thefinalgainswerethenpostedintheprisonrecreationareaor–inthecase
ofuniversitystudents‐onthefacultywebsites.FortheTPPtheprocedurewasthesame.However,
theparticipantAorBofthefirststageformedtripletsratherthanpairs.Tomakeformingtriplets
possible,theCdecisionswerecollectedfirstandbroughttothefirstroom.Oncethetripletshad
beenformed,alwaysprivatelybutinthepresenceofoneparticipantAorBorC(selectedrandomly)
theexperimenterscalculatedthefinalgains.Theseearningswerereportedinatableandtheresults
postedintheprisonrecreationareaorontheuniversitywebsite.Theexchangeratewas1token=
€0.30andaverageearningswereintherange€12‐15,bothforthestudentsandinmates.Thefinal
payoffwasgivendirectlytostudentsaftertheexperimentsor,forprisoners,wascreditedtothe
inmates'internalaccount.Finally,itisimportanttoemphasiseoneimportantaspectofthedesign.20
Subjectsinteractedwithpartnersbelongingtothesamesample,thatis,Camorristiinteracted(of
courseanonymously)withotherCamorristiandsoforth.Eventhoughweareawarethatstudying
theinteractionbetweenCamorristiandindividualsofthetwoalternativesampleswouldbean
importantextensionofthepresentanalysis,wedidnottrytoimplementthisextensionheresince
theprimarygoalofthisanalysisistoassesstheexistenceandnatureoftheMafiosocultureandits
effectsonbehaviour,thusidentifyingtheexistenceandeffectsofaunique‘Mafiaculture’separate
anddifferentfromamoregeneral‘culture’ofcrime.21
ThepurposeoftheexperimentswastostudythebehaviourofindividualsAandBinthePD
gameandofindividualsA,BandCintheTPPgame,bearinginmindthewell‐knowncodesof
behaviourofcriminalorganizations.Weexpectedthatallthreegroupswoulddifferintheir
behaviour.Thestudentsprovideabaselinecontrolgroup,whilsttheinclusionoftwodistinctgroups
ofprisoners–‘ordinarycriminals’andCamorristi‐allowedustoidentifyageneralprisoneffect
(contrastingwiththestudents’behaviour)aswellasidentifyingspecificitiesofCamorracultureby
comparingtheirbehaviourwiththatoftheOCs.
20Wethankarefereeforhiscommentsonthisspecificpoint.
21WearenotsurethatsuchanextensioncouldbeimplementedsinceMafiaandCamorrainmatesaregenerally
separatedbytheremainingsectorsofthepopulationevenwhenleavinginthesameprison.
13
Giventhewellknownsolidaristicformsofmafiaculture,weexpectedthatCamorrainmates
wouldhaveahighertendencytocooperatewhenplayingintheAandBrolesinbothcontexts,even
thoughtheyarepairedwithfellowcriminalsofdifferentfamilies.Wealsoexpectedthatthe
behaviourofCamorramemberswoulddifferfromothergroups–studentsandordinarycriminals‐
bothinthereactiontothepresenceofexternalsanctionsandinthechoicesofimposingsanctions
whenplayingintheroleoftheCplayer,showingahigherpropensitytopunishdefectors.Usingdata
fromthequestionnaires,weareabletocontrolforanindividual’spropensitytocooperateand
reciprocateinasocialdilemmacontext.
5.TheEmpiricalAnalysis
5.1DescriptiveStatistics
Afirstlookatthedescriptivestatisticsthrowssomelightonthedifferencesinbehaviour
acrossthethreesubjectgroups.Figure1reportsthepercentageofplayerswhoco‐operateacross
thethreegroupsinthetwotreatments;Table1reportstheresultsofthechi‐squaretests,
comparingbehaviouracrossthedifferentgroupsandtreatments.
InthePDgame,Camorristiprovedtobemorecooperativethaneitherstudentsorordinary
criminals(Figure1)andthisdifferenceisstatisticallysignificant(Table1).Ordinarycriminalswere
lesscooperativethanstudents–inlinewiththefindingsofKhadjaviandLange(2013)‐butthey
arealsomuchlessco‐operativethanCamorristi.Withtheintroductionofexogenoussanctions,
studentsandCamorristibecamelesscooperative–withthenegativeshiftbeingstatistically
significantinbothcases,whilstincontrast,theproportionofordinarycriminalswhocooperated
increased.Theintroductionofsanctionsisoftenfoundtobedetrimentalforcooperation(Fehrand
Rockenback,2003),thereforeitisofparticularinterestthatinthecaseoftheordinarycriminals’,
sanctionsledtoan(albeitnotstatisticallysignificant)increaseincooperation.Itisalsotruethatthe
reductioninco‐operationarisingwithpunishmentislessforCamorristithanforStudents.Although
onewouldnotwishtoover‐emphasizetheimportanceofthisspecificobservation,itisplausible
(andcertainlyconsistentwiththeidea)thatthisisaconsequenceofa‘double’effectforCamorristi
–a‘prison’effecttendingtopromoteopportunisticcooperationanda‘Camorra’effectinvokingthe
rejectionoftheexternalimpositionofrules(aswellasgreatercooperationwithoutsuch
imposition).Certainlythisissuewouldbearfurtherinvestigation.
14
Figure1:CooperationinthePDandinthePD‐TPPGame
Table 1:χ2 tests of difference between groups and treatments
PD PD-TPP
Students vs. Ordinary Criminals - ***
Students vs. Camorristi ** ***
Ordinary Criminals vs. Camorristi *** -
PD vs. PD-TPP
Students ***
Ordinary Criminals -
Camorristi ***
Note: The table indicates whether the null hypothesis of equality across participant types (upper
portion of the table) or across treatments (lower portion of the table) are rejected at p < .01 (***),
p < .05 (**) or are not rejected at at least p >.10 (-).
Result1:Wefindsignificantdifferencesincooperationamongstthethreedifferentsamples,with
theCamorrainmatesbeingthemostcooperativeandordinarycriminalstheleast.
86,67%
67,50%
50,00%
65,22%
34,78%
66,67%
CAMORRISTI STUDENTI COMUNI
PD
TP‐PD
CAMORRISTI STUDENTS ORDINARYPRISONERS
15
Result2:Wealsofindthatsanctionsleadtoanincreasecooperationonlyinthecaseofordinary
criminals,whilsttheyleadtoafallincooperationintheothertwosamples.
Asecondimportantissueconcernsthetendencytopunishamongstthethreegroups.Table
2reportstheaveragesizeofpunishmentinflictedbyThirdPartiesandtheproportionofThird
Partieswhopunish(inparentheses)accordingtothebehaviouroftheparticipants.Bothtypesof
prisonerpunishmoreandmoreoftenthanstudentsandincontrasttothem,bothtypesofprisoner
sometimespunishco‐operatorsaswellasdefectors.Thisisreasonablytobeattributedtoa‘prison
effect’;beingsubjecttopunishmentthemselves,itwouldappearthatbothtypesofprisonertend
topunishmoreoftenevenwhenbehaviourisnotobviouslyoffensive.Moreover,thereisalsoan
importantdifferencebetweenOCandCamorristipunishmentofco‐operators;OCspunishco‐
operatorsmore(andmoreoften)whentheotherplayerdefectscomparedtowhenbothplayers
co‐operate.Itisnotunreasonabletoseethisasanindicatorofopportunisticbehaviouronthepart
ofOCs22.
Table2:Punishmentinflictedoneachplayeraccordingtohisbehaviourandthatofhiscorrespondent
Punishedplayer
is:
StudentsOrdinaryCriminalsCamorristi
Otherplayer
cooperates
Otherplayer
defects
Otherplayer
cooperates
Otherplayer
defects
Otherplayer
cooperates
Otherplayer
defects
co‐operator 0 (0%) 0 (0%) 1.57(15.2%)4.37(52.2)
2.91(45.7%)0.54(8.7%)
defector6.09(56.5%)1.48(43.5%)6.67(67.4%)1.76(41.3%)
9.65(95.7%)1.76(39.1%)
Notes: The first number in each cell indicates the average punishment of player C, whereas the number in parentheses indicates the
percentage of C players who punish.
Somewhatmoreinlinewithasenseofnaturaljustice,Camorrainmatespunishless(andless
often)co‐operatorswhentheyfallfoulofadefectorascorrespondent.Allthreegroupspunish
defectorsmorewhentheotherplayercooperates,indicatingforallthereisasensethatsuchplayers
22InthesensethatOCs(appearto)punishplayersfortheirnaivetyintrustingtheotherplayerwhendefectionisthe
obviousoption(foranopportunist).Althoughindicativeratherthanconclusive,thisisoneindicationamongstseveral
emergingfromOCsbehaviour,whichleadustolabelOCs’behaviourasopportunistic.
16
aretakingunfairadvantage.Thus,thegeneralimpressionemergingisthatthereisastrongtendency
towardsfavouringcooperativebehaviouramongsttheCamorra(andstudents)whilstOCbehaviour
ismorecharacteristicofopportunism.Ontheotherhand,bothtypesofprisonerspunishco‐
operators,suggestinganunderlyingtendencyorwillingnesstopunish.
Result3:FocusingonthebehaviourofThirdParties,differentbehaviouralpatternsemergeacross
allthreegroups:CamorristiandOCspunishmorethanstudents,suggestingacommon‘prison
effect’.
Ontheotherhand,Camorristiandstudentsbothtendtopunishdefectorsmorewhenthey
arecoupledwithco‐operators,whilstordinarycriminalsalsosignificantlypunishco‐operatorswhen
coupledwithdefectors,suggestingopportunismonthepartofthelattercontrastingwithsome
senseofnaturaljusticeprevailinginthebehaviouroftheformer.
AsexplainedintheIntroduction,wecomplementedtheexperimentalevidencewith
attitudinalquestionnaires,whichweredistributedtoallsubjectswhoparticipatedinthesessions.
Specifically,Weaskedindividualswhetherandtowhichextent(onascalefrom1to423)theyshared
thefollowingstatements:a)“Ibelievemysuccessdependsonabilityratherthanluck;”b)“Ibelieve
thatunfortunateeventsoccurbecauseofbadluck;c)“Itisgoodtocompete;”d)“Itisgoodto
cooperate;e)Itisgoodtobefairtofairpeople;”f)“Peopleshouldrevengewrongsdonetothem.”
Thecooperationindexisdrawnfromstatementc)andd),whereassentencese)andf)measure
individuals'reciprocity.Thequestionsa)andb)arebasedontheRotterscale(1966).Relyingon
theseattitudinaldata,wealsoderivemoresyntheticindexestomeasureindividualattitudes:
respectively,the"Coopindex",the"Reciprocityindex"andthe"Locusofcontrolindex".24Table3
presentssummarystatisticsfromtheattitudinalsurvey.
Overall,withrespecttothe"Coopindex"Camorristiaremorecooperativethanstudents(p
<0.01),inlinewiththeresultsreportedinFigure1;however,ordinarycriminals‐theleast
cooperativegroupduringthegame(atleastinthePDgame)‐inthesurveyexhibitagreater
231indicates"completelydisagree",4means"completelyagree".
24Thoughthisvariableisonlyaproxyoftheindividuals’locusofcontrol(seeIntroduction),inthisandinthefollowing
sectionweusethisdenominationforsimplicityreason.
17
tendencytowardscooperativenessthaneitherstudentsorCamorristi(andagainthesedifferences
arestatisticallysignificantat1%level).25
Table3‐Mainstatisticsfromtheattitudinalsurvey
Students
Mean(stderrors)
OrdinaryCriminals
Mean(stderrors)
Camorristi
Mean(stderrors)
Cooperationindex
Competitionindex
Positivereciprocity
Negativereciprocity
Locusofcontrol(goodevents)
Locusofcontrol(badevents)
Coopindex
Reciprocityindex
Locusofcontrolindex
2.463(0.131)
3.102(0.115)
3.741(0.054)
3.129(0.117)
3.462(0.079)
1.361(0.062)
2.361(0.224)
4.870(0.148)
5.102(0.15)
3.518(0.082)
2.983(0.109)
3.743(0.066)
1.569(0.087)
3.231(0.098)
2.462(0.122)
3.543(0.131)
3.342(0.115)
3.781(0.161)
3.379(0.085)
3.20(0.096)
3.78(0.057)
1.629(0.093)
3.156(0.091)
2.149(0.108)
3.189(0.128)
3.341(0.095)
4.017(0.142)
Legenda:
Cooperationindex:scorereportedonquestiond);Competitionindex:scorereportedonquestionc);Positivereciprocity:score
reportedonquestione);Negativereciprocity:scorereportedonquestionf);Locusofcontrol(goodevents):scorereportedon
questiona);Locusofcontrol(badevents):scorereportedonquestionb).
Coopindexwasobtainedasfollows:scorereportedonquestiond)‐scorereportedonquestionc)+3;hence,highervaluesindicate
higherpropensitytocooperate.Reciprocityindex:e)+f)‐2;hence,highervaluesindicatehigherpropensitytoreciprocateothers'
kindness(orbadness).Locusofcontrolindex:a)‐b)+3;hence,highervaluesindicatehigherpropensitytobelievethatpeoplecan
controleventsaffectingthem.
RegardingtheReciprocityindex,nostatisticallysignificantdifferencesemergerespecttothe
answersonthe"positivereciprocity"whereasboththetwogroupsofcriminalsappeartobeless
inclinedtorevengethanstudents(thereporteddifferencesarestatisticallysignificantat1%level).
Whilstsomewhatimplausible,andindeednegatedbythebehaviouralresults,webelievethishas
todowithaprisoneffectwhichrequiresformalcompliancewithcertainbehaviour;inparticular,
prisonersattendrehabilitativetrainingseekingtocountertherevengeculture,sothattheymight
wellconsiderascompromising"sincereanswers"toquestionf).Moreover,suchapparent
contradictionsarecertainlynotunknownamongstCamorristi;memberspracticeviolentand
harmfulcriminalactivitybut,atthesametime,areassiduousinchurchattendanceandareoften,
atleastovertly,highlyreligious26.Finally,studentsexhibitamoreinternallocusofcontrol(or,lesser
degreeoffatalism)thanthetwogroupsofcriminals;thisdifferenceislikelyduetothedifferent
culturalbackgroundsand,inparticular,tocriminals'higherpropensitytobelievethatbadluckis
25Thedifferencesbetweenthethreegroupsarealwaysstatisticallysignificantwhenconsideringthe"Cooperationindex"
only;whenwelookatthe"Competitionindex",ontheotherhand,a(statisticallysignificant)differenceemergesonly
betweenCamorristiandOC.
26WitnesstherecentfuneralofamajorClanbossinRomewhichcausedconsternationamongstthepopulation.
18
responsibleforfailures,particularlywhenconsideringtheOrdinaryCriminals(inthisrespect,
statisticallysignificantdifferencesemergealsobetweenOCandCamorristi).
Result4:Fromtheattitudinalsurveystatisticallysignificantattitudinaldifferencesemergeacross
thethreesamplesaboutindividuals'locusofcontrol,(positiveandnegative)reciprocityandco‐
operativeness.
5.2Econometricanalysis
Inthissectionwelookattheevidenceinamorestructuredframeworkmainlyfocusingon
whether,andtowhichextent,individualattitudeselicitedthroughthequestionnairesareconsistent
withbehaviourexhibitedduringthegame.Furthermore,weareinterestedinassessingwhether
individualswhohavesimilarattitudestocooperationandreciprocitybehavedifferently,according
towhethertheybelongtooneorotherofthegroupsunderinvestigation.
Table4,columnsI‐III,reportstheresultsofProbitestimatesoftheprobabilityofcooperation
runforallparticipantsinbothtypesoftreatment.Thespecificationofthemodelinfirstcolumn
includesonlydummiesforparticipanttypeandtreatmenttype.Inthiscase,averagingoverthetwo
treatments,Camorristiaremuchmorelikely,andOCsalittlemorelikely,toco‐operatethan
students,althoughthedistinctionisnotstatisticallysignificantforOCs.Giventhenegativereaction
ofbothstudentsandCamorristitoTPP,thetendencytoco‐operateoverallfallsoncepunishmentis
introduced.
Thediscussionaboveisbasedonthespecificationsthatestimatean"averagetreatment
effect"throughthevariable(TPP).GiventheopposingreactiontopunishmentbetweenOCsonthe
onehandandCamorristiandstudentsontheother,itmakessensetointeracttreatmentwith
participanttype.ThisisaccomplishedinColumnII.Thereluctancetocooperatewithoutpunishment
amongstOCsandtheiropportunisticreactiontoTPPemergeswithastrongdivergencebetween
thereactionofOCstoTPPcomparedtostudents.Theinteractiondummiesalsobringoutthestrong
negativereactionofbothstudentsandCamorristitoTPP.Camorristitendtobemoreco‐operative
thaneitherstudentsorOCs,and,incontrasttotheothertwogroupsOCschangetheirbehaviour
becomingmoreco‐operativewhen(potential)sanctionsareintroduced.Thus,theoutcomes
revealedbysimpledescriptivestatisticsareconfirmedalsohere.
19
Inordertotaketheanalysisonestepfurther,thethirdcolumnallowsustolookmoreinto
theunderlyingmotivation,includingtermstorepresentattitudesdrawnfromthequestionnaireon
co‐operation,reciprocityandlocusofcontrol.Wewillreturntothisbelow,however,theresults
suggestthatattitudestoco‐operationare,somewhatunsurprisingly,themotivationunderlying
cooperationamongstplayers,inadditiontotheplayertype.
ThelasttwocolumnsinTable4whichestimatestheprobabilityofco‐operationseparately
forcamoristiandOCs,allowustolookinmoredetailatthebehaviourandmotivationsofthesetwo
groups.Inthiscase,interactiontermsareintroducedinthesetofthecovariatesbetweenthe
attitudinaldummies(namely,"Locus","Cooperator"and"Reciprocator")andthedummy"TPP".Of
particularrelevance,theresultsreportedincolumnIVdemonstratethatthenegativereactionto
TPPisrelatedtoparticipants’locusofcontrolandtotheirattitudestowardsco‐operationinthe
caseofCamorristi;thatis,bothinternallocusandamoreco‐operativeattitudetendtostrengthen
Camorristis’negativereactiontotheimpositionofTPP.Ontheotherhand,theresultsforOCsare
almostdiametricallyopposedtothese(columnV):whereas,astrongerinternallocusleadstoa
strengtheningofCamorristi’srejectionofexternalauthority,itsroleforOCsistoenhance
cooperationinthefaceofexternallyimposedpunishment.Again,thisisstronglyindicativeof
opportunismonthepartofOCs–themoretheyfeelincontroloftheoutcome,themorelikelythey
aretoco‐operateunderthreatofsanctions,whilstforCamorra,itisquitetheopposite,themore
theyfeelincontrol,themoretheyarelikelytoexplicitlyrejecttheexternalauthorityandrefuseto
co‐operatewithitsexternalimposition,despitethelikelycostofdoingso.
Result5:Wedonotfindsimilarpatternsofcooperationamongthethreesamples,particularly
betweenthetwosamplesofprisoners;aninternallocusofcontrolandattitudinalcooperativeness
arepositivelycorrelatedwithpro‐socialbehaviourintheexperimentamongstCamorristi,whilst
internallocusofcontrolreducesco‐operativenessfollowingtheimpositionofpotentialsanctions‐
reflectingtheexplicitnatureoftherejectionoftheexternalauthority;amongstOCs,thestrongand
statisticallysignificantpositiveassociationbetweeninternallocusofcontrolandco‐operationinTPP
maybeconsidered,incontrast,asfurtherevidenceofopportunisticbehaviouronthepartofOCs.
20
TABLE4‐ProbabilityofcooperationamongAandBplayers‐Probitestimates
Variables Coeff.(std.err.)
I
Coeff.(std.err.)
II
Coeff.(std.err.)
III
Coeff.(std.err.)
Camorristi
IV
Coeff.(std.err.)
Ordinarycriminals
V
Ordinary Criminals [1]
Camorristi [2]
TP - PD[3]
Cooperator [4]
Reciprocator [5]
Locus [6]
Ordin. Criminals*TPP
Camorristi*TPP
Cooperator*TPP
Reciprocator*TPP
Locus*TPP
Constant
0.220 (0.195)
0.731*** (0.190)
-0.374** (0.159)
0.201 (0.159)
-0.454 (0.286)
0.657** (0.290)
-0.845*** (0.280)
1.275** (0.396)
0.125 (0.395)
0.454** (0.206)
0.019 (0.237)
0.493** (0.217)
-0.268° (0.181)
0.420*** (0.176)
-0.323° (0.201)
-0.178 (0.178)
0.338 (0.231)
0.064(0.504)
0.300***(0.123)
-0.175(0.168)
0.204*(0.108)
-1.197** (0.566)
0.111 (0.641)
-1.223** (0.569)
-0.025 (0.834)
0.086 (0.416)
-0.098 (0.131)
-0.002 (0.150)
-0.259**(0.126)
0.073 (0.533)
-0.297 (0.509)
1.446***(0.551)
1.402 (0.814)
N.ofobservations
Log.Lik.
Waldχ2
277
‐171.075
23.03
277
‐165.70
32.23
265
‐148.544
59.24
98
22.68
‐44.529
81
12.853
‐47.47
Legend:OrdinaryCriminals:dummy=1forordinarycriminals,0otherwise;Camorristi:dummy=1forCamorrainmates,0otherwise;excludedcategoryarestudents;TPP:secondsessioninthegame;
Cooperator:dummyequalto1ifthepropensitytocooperate,asmeasuredbythecoopindex,ishigherthanthemedianvalueinthesample;Reciprocator:dummyequalto1ifthepropensityto
reciprocate,asmeasuredbythereciprocityindex,ishigherthanthemedianvalueinthesample;Locus:dummyequalto1ifthepropensitytobelievethatpeoplecancontrolevent,asmeasuredbythe
lucusofcontrolindex,ishigherthanthemedianvalueinthesample.Coopindex,reciprocityandlocusofcontrolindexesaredescribedinTable3;thevariablesReciprocator,LocusandCooperatorin
columnsIVandVarecalculatedwithreferencetothemedianvaluesreportedforcamorristiandordinarycriminalsrispectively.
Notes:Robuststandarderrorsclusteringonindividuals.°statisticallysignificantat20%confidencelevel;*statisticallysignificantat10%;**statisticallysignificantat5%;***statisticallysignificantat1%.
21
TurningnowtoThirdParties,Table5reportsFGLSestimatesofpunishmentdecisions:the
dependentvariableistheamountoftokensspentbyCplayersinordertopunishplayersA&Bin
theTPPsessionofthegame.Thesetofindependentvariablesincludesdummiesrepresentingthe
differentpossiblesituations:i)mutualcooperation;ii)thepunishableplayerdefectedandtheother
playercooperated,iii)theotherplayerwasadefectorandthepunishableplayercooperatedandiv)
the(default)situationofmutualdefection.
TABLE5–DeterminantsoftheamountofpunishmentbyCplayers‐FGLSestimates
VarsCoefficients(std.err.)
III III
OrdinaryPrisoners
Camorristi
Bothplayerscooperate
Punishableplayerdefects
Otherplayerdefects
Cooperator
Reciprocator
Locus
Bothplayerscooperate*Ord.Criminals
Punishedplayerdefects*Ord.Criminals
Otherplayerdefects*Ord.Criminals
Bothplayerscooperate*Camorristi
Punishedplayerdefects*Camorristi
Otherplayerdefects*Camorristi
Constant
0.659**(0.324)
1.264***(0.259)
‐0.089(0.310)
5.216***(0.310)
‐1.099***(0.310)
0.803***(0.237)
1.307***(0.365)
1.412***(0.274)
‐0.075(0.311)
5.134***(0.311)
‐1.136***(0.311)
‐0.661***(0.269)
0.754***(0.259)
‐0.547**(0.261)
0.724***(0.270)
1.137(0.599)
0.565(0.498)
‐1.292***(0.316)
5.131***(0.316)
‐1.292***(0.316)
3.034***(0.846)
‐2.135**(0.846)
0.456(0.846)
2.199***(0.705)
1.717**(0.705)
‐0.437(0.705)
1.292***(0.223
Numberofobservations
Waldχ2
552
530.42
488
497.78
552
833.67
Legend:Bothplayerscooperate:dummy=1ifbothplayers(A&B)hadcooperatedduringtheTP‐PDsession;Punishedplayerdefects:
dummy=1ifthepunishedplayer(AorB)haddefeatedduringtheTPPsessionwhiletheotherplayerhadcooperated;Punishedplayer
cooperates:dummy=1ifthepunishedplayer(AorB)hadcooperatedduringthesessionTP‐PDwhiletheotherplayerhaddefeated;
theexcludeddummyreferstobothplayersdefeating.ThevariablesCooperator,Reciprocator,Locus,aredefinedinTable4.Notes:°
statisticallysignificantat20%confidencelevel;*statisticallysignificantat10%;**statisticallysignificantat5%;***statistically
significantat1%.
22
TheestimatesincolumnIconfirmthat,onaverage,sanctionsondefectorsaremoreseverewhen
theotherplayercooperates.Takingtheanalysisalittlefurther,controllingforindividual
preferences,thesecondcolumnshowsthatamoreco‐operativeattitudeandastrongerinternal
locusofcontrolnegativelyaffectthesizeofpunishmentwhiletheoppositeevidenceisreported
amongco‐operators.ThemodelspecificationreportedincolumnIIIincludesinteractiveterms
betweendummiesrepresenting,respectively,thedifferentpossiblesituationsofthegame(i.e.,
mutualcooperation,punishedplayerdefects,theotherplayerdefects)andthetypeofsample
(ordinarycriminalsorcamorrainmates).ThisshowsthatonlyCamorrainmatesaremorelikelyto
punishdefectorswhentheotherplayercooperates,whiletheoppositeevidenceisreportedfor
ordinarycriminals,confirmingthesuggestiveresultsofthedescriptiveanalysis.Finally,whenboth
playerscooperate,thesanctionsimposedbyordinaryprisonersarealsomoreseverethatthose
inflictedbyCamorrainmates:thisconfirmsthefindingofastrongtendencytowardspunishing
"unfairbehaviour"amongsttheCamorrainmates,whereasOPsaremorelikelytopunishco‐
operators.
Beyondconfirmingtheresultsofthedescriptiveanalysis,theseparateresultsforCamorra
andOCsreportedinTable6offeradeeperinsightintothedifferencesbetweenthetwosamplesof
prisoners.Introducingtermsforindividualpreferencestowardscooperation,reciprocityandlocus
ofcontrol,itemergesthatwhereasforCamorristi,thetendencytopunishincreaseswithbeliefin
the‘correctness’ofreciprocity–andparticularlypositivereciprocity–andwithamoreinternal
locusofcontrol(i.e.thebeliefthatindividualsareinfluentialindeterminingoutcomesaffecting
them),againabove‐allasregardspositiveoutcomes,forOrdinaryPrisoners,thesignoftheeffects
isreversed.Inotherwords,amongsttheCamorra,subjectswhoaremoreorientedtowards
reciprocity,cooperativenessandwithahigherinternallocusofcontrolaremorelikelytopunish
"unfairbehaviour".Wefindquitetheoppositerelationamongstordinaryprisoners:more
cooperativesubjectsaremorelikelytopunish,whilethe"kindreciprocators"punishless.This
providesfurtherandmoreconcreteevidenceoftheopportunismofOPswhichcanbecompared
withthemore‘Honour’boundmoresofCamorristiandtheconsequentstrongpunishmentof
betrayal.
Result6:Withrespecttotheseverityofpunishment,thethreesamplesexhibitquitedifferent
behaviour;inparticular,Camorrainmatesaremorewillingtopunish"betrayal".Consistentwithour
23
expectations,apositivecorrelationbetweenreciprocity,internallocusofcontrolandsanctioning
behaviouremergesamongstCamorrainmates,whereco‐operatorsarelesslikelytopunish.Quite
theoppositeresultsarefoundforordinarycriminals.
24
TABLE6‐AmountofpunishmentbyCPlayers‐FGLSEstimates
Camorrainmates OrdinaryCriminals
VariablesCoeff(std.err.)
Coeff(std.err.)
Bothplayerscooperate
Punishedplayerdefects
Otherplayerdefects
Cooperator
Reciprocator
Locus
Competitionindex
Cooperationindex
Positivereciprocity
Negativereciprocity
Locusofcontrol(good
events)
Locusofcontrol(bad
events)
Constant
I
0.939*(0.549)
5.670***(0.549)
‐1.710***(0.549)
‐1.655***(0.423)
1.145***(0.424)
0.682°(0.430)
2.265***(0.487)
II
0.934*(0.527)
6.034***(0.526)
‐1.258**(0.527)
0.290(0.243)
‐0.643**(0.290)
1.038***(0.335)
0.515**(0.221)
0.605**(0.308)
0.226(0.209)
‐4.718**(1.987)
III
2.209***(0.787)
3.399***(0.786)
‐0.992°(0.787)
‐0.783°(0.609)
‐1.326**(0.620)
‐1.566***(0.590)
3.051***(0.766)
IV
2.081**(0.766)
3.261***(0.766)
‐0.875(0.766)
0.079(0.338)
0.894**(0.348)
‐1.336**(0.578)
‐0.234(0.353)
‐0.095(0.266)
1.162***(0.256)
1.829(0.73)
Numberofobservations
Waldχ2
152
219.12
152
253.71
160
52.53
160
64.38
Legend:
Competitionindex:highervaluesindicatehigherpropensitytocompete;Cooperationindex:highervaluesindicatehigher
propensitytocooperate;Positivereciprocity:highervaluesindicateahighertendencytowardsreciprocatingkindness;Negative
reciprocity:highervaluesindicatehighertendencytowardsreciprocatingunkindness;Locusofcontrolbadevents:highervalues
indicateahigherpropensitytobelievethatpeoplecancontrolbadeventsaffectingthem;Locusofcontrolgoodevents:higher
valuesindicateahigherpropensitytobelievethatpeoplecancontrolgoodeventsaffectingthem.Seealsolegendintables3‐5.
Notes:°statisticallysignificantat20%confidencelevel;*statisticallysignificantat10%;**statisticallysignificantat5%;***
statisticallysignificantat1%.
6.ConcludingRemarks
Recentresearchinexperimentaleconomicshassoughttoassesswhetherconvicted
criminalssharecomparablesocialpreferenceswithothersectorsofthepopulation.Ontheother
hand,whendealingwithMafiaorCamorra,economistsandsocialscientistshavetendedtoinvert
thequestionarguingthatthepresenceofMafiageneratesnegativeexternalities.Specifically,in
areaswhereorganizedcrimeoperates,citizens’socialbehaviourisaffectedbythepresenceofthese
powerfulgroupsandpositedtobelesscooperative,trusting,honestandtrustworthythancitizens’
socialbehaviourlivinginareaswherethecriminalgroupsareabsent.
Theresultspresentedheresuggestamorecomplexpattern.Weexaminedin‐group
behaviourandattitudesoftheCamorra.Usingathree‐waycomparison,withtwocontrolgroups,
studentsand‘Ordinaryprisoners’allowedustoclearlyidentifydistinctpatternsofbehaviourand
attitudesvis‐à‐visco‐operationandpunishmentpeculiartotheCamorra.
25
Ingeneral,wefoundmuchdissimilarityinthebehaviourofordinaryprisoners,Camorristi
andstudents.Interalia,thesedifferencesareindicativeof,oratleastconsistentwith,alackof
contaminationornegativeexternalitiesassociatedwiththeCamorra.
ThereisadegreeoffatalismobservableinthebehaviourandattitudesofbothCamorristi
andordinaryprisonersasevidenced,forexample,bythepunishmentofco‐operatorsbybothtypes
ofprisonerintheroleofthirdpartyadjudicator,and,moredirectly,inthemoreexternallociof
controlobservableinbothtypesofprisonerabove‐allwhenitcomesto‘bad’events.Thiswethink
canreasonablybeattributedtoacommonprison‘effect’.
Ontheotherhand,thereisclearevidenceofanattachmenttoco‐operative(in‐group)norms
ofbehaviouramongstCamorristiandrejectionofsuchruleswhentheyareexternallyimposed–
leadingtoasignificantreductioninco‐operationonceanexternal‘judge’isintroduced–whichis
notobservedamongstordinaryprisonerswhotendtobecomemoreco‐operativeunderthethreat
ofexternallyimposedpunishment.Thebehaviourofordinaryprisonerthussuggestsanimportant
elementofopportunismwhichisentirelylacking–orperhapsmoreaccurately–completely
overwhelmedbythemorehonour‐boundmoresoftheCamorra,withitsemphasisonthenegative
natureofbetrayalandtherejectionofexternalauthority.
Thestudyoffersacontributiontothegrowingareaofexperimentalworkontheeconomics
ofcrimecomparingcriminalsandordinarycitizens'socialbehaviour.Inthisregard,interalia,the
studyprovidesclearevidenceofbehaviouraldifferencesbetweencitizens(students)ordinary
criminalsandCamorristiwhichemphasizetheneedtoadoptbehaviouralperspectivesindealing
withorganizedcrime,ratherthananapproachbasedonpurelyeconomicincentives.
26
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