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Risk analysis and accident risk assessment for the aviation sector
Abstract
Every activity in our daily life involves a risk. During the day, most people may experience various risks. In order to minimize risks and their negative consequences, risk analysis is needed. Risk analysis indicates some alternatives to reduce unfavorable outcomes. Nowadays, technology is developing day by day so we need risk analysis more than ever. Risk analysis helps people to figure out the reasons for accidents or incidents and to do that, it firstly identifies threats, then estimates risks and finally finds some ways to manage them. As in other industries, the aviation industry faces a lot of risk, too. The increasing growth and the development of the aviation sector need more security. In this paper, risk analysis and risk management steps are defined. Some of the articles related to risk analysis are also examined. Also, airplane accident data for the last ten years (2000-2011) have been used and with respect to the given data, the types of weather factors that cause accidents have been observed.
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Since publication of the first edition, huge developments have taken place in sensory biology research and new insights have been provided in particular by molecular biology. These show the similarities in the molecular architecture and in the physiology of sensory cells across species and across sensory modality and often indicate a common ancestry dating back over half a billion years. Biology of Sensory Systems has thus been completely revised and takes a molecular, evolutionary and comparative approach, providing an overview of sensory systems in vertebrates, invertebrates and prokaryotes, with a strong focus on human senses. Written by a renowned author with extensive teaching experience, the book covers, in six parts, the general features of sensory systems, the mechanosenses, the chemosenses, the senses which detect electromagnetic radiation, other sensory systems including pain, thermosensitivity and some of the minority senses and, finally, provides an outline and discussion of philosophical implications. New in this edition: • Greater emphasis on molecular biology and intracellular mechanisms • New chapter on genomics and sensory systems • Sections on TRP channels, synaptic transmission, evolution of nervous systems, arachnid mechanosensitive sensilla and photoreceptors, electroreception in the Monotremata, language and the FOXP2 gene, mirror neurons and the molecular biology of pain • Updated passages on human olfaction and gustation. Over four hundred illustrations, boxes containing supplementary material and self-assessment questions and a full bibliography at the end of each part make Biology of Sensory Systems essential reading for undergraduate students of biology, zoology, animal physiology, neuroscience, anatomy and physiological psychology. The book is also suitable for postgraduate students in more specialised courses such as vision sciences, optometry, neurophysiology, neuropathology, developmental biology. Praise from the reviews of the first edition: "An excellent advanced undergraduate/postgraduate textbook." ASLIB BOOK GUIDE "The emphasis on comparative biology and evolution is one of the distinguishing features of this self-contained book. .... this is an informative and thought-provoking text" TIMES HIGHER EDUCATIONAL SUPPLEMENT.
The National Airspace System (NAS) in the United States is a complex system involving many interrelated factors and actors. There are a plethora of diverse human, technical, environmental, and organizational factors that affect the performance of the NAS. While numerous methodologies exist for Probabilistic Risk Assessment in complex engineering systems, these specialized tools are somewhat limited in their use for the integrated modeling of the technical as well as the human, environmental, and organizational aspects of such systems. While adaptations and modifications can be made, an analytical method that enables a more direct modeling of these various factors is desirable. This paper presents just such an integrated risk analysis framework that focuses on both the individual and collective human performance in the maintenance of complex systems.
The authors explain the ways in which uncertainty is an important factor in the problems of risk and policy analysis. This book outlines the source and nature of uncertainty, discusses techniques for obtaining and using expert judgment, and reviews a variety of simple and advanced methods for analyzing uncertainty.
The construction of a probabilistic model is a key step in most decision and risk analyses. Typically this is done by defining a joint distribution in terms of marginal and conditional distributions for the model's random variables. We describe an alternative approach that uses a copula to construct joint distributions and pairwise correlations to incorporate dependence among the variables. The approach is designed specifically to permit the use of an expert's subjective judgments of marginal distributions and correlations. The copula that underlies the multivariate normal distribution provides the basis for modeling dependence, but arbitrary marginals are allowed. We discuss how correlations can be assessed using techniques that are familiar to decision analysts, and we report the results of an empirical study of the accuracy of the assessment methods. The approach is demonstrated in the context of a simple example, including a study of the sensitivity of the results to the assessed correlations.
Accident risk assessment for advanced ATM
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- P J G Blanker
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Havacılıkta emniyet açısından risk yönetimi ve havacılık örgütlerinden uygulama örnekleri. A.Ü. Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü-Yüksek Lisans Tezi 216 sayfa
- Yılmaz Küçük
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uygulama örnekleri. A.Ü. Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü-Yüksek Lisans Tezi 216 sayfa.
Havacılıkta risk yönetimi ve sivil hava taşımacılığında risk sahalarının incelenmesi
- U Yılmaz
Yılmaz, U., 2005. Havacılıkta risk yönetimi ve sivil hava taşımacılığında risk sahalarının incelenmesi.
G.Ü. Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü-Yüksek Lisans Tezi 132 sayfa.
http://www.uted.org/dergi/2003/haziran/haziran_5.htm