Experiments were laid out at Bharatpur, Mohanpur, Berhampur, Pantnagar, Dholi, Kangra, Faizabad and New Delhi with oilseed Brassica juncea cultivars 'Varuna' and an important cultivar in the locality sown on 10 dates at weekly intervals. First appearance of Alternaria blight disease (Alternaria brassicae) on leaves of mustard occurred between 42 and 139 days after sowing (d. a. s.), 44-72, 42-61 69-83, 45-60, 67-84 d. a. s. having higher frequencies in 1999-2000, 2000-01, 2001-02, 2002-03 and 2003-04, respectively, being highest in respective years at 45, 46, 75, 45, 76 d. a. s. The disease first appeared on pods between 67 and 142 d. a. s., being highest at 99 d. a. s. Severity of Alternaria blight disease on leaves was positively correlated to a maximum daily temperature of 18-27°C, minimum daily temperature of 8-12°C, daily mean temperature > 10°C, > 92 % morning relative humidity (r. h.), > 40 % afternoon r. h. and mean r. h. of > 70 % in the preceding week. Disease severity on pods was favoured by a maximum daily temperature of 20-30°C, daily mean temperature of > 14°C, morning r. h. of > 90 %, daily mean r. h. of > 70 %, > 9 h of sunshine and > 10 h of leaf wetness. Temperature and r. h. conditions favourable to disease development noted in the field matched with laboratory findings. Regional and cultivar-specific models could predict the crop age at which Alternaria blight first appeared on leaves and pods, the highest blight severity on leaves and pods and the crop age when blight severity was highest on leaves and pods at least one week ahead of first appearance of the disease on the crop. This will allow farmers to make timely and effective fungicidal sprays. Only models with reasonable prediction accuracy when tested with an independent data set are reported.