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SHERPA: A systematic human error reduction and prediction approach

Authors:
  • Human Reliability Associates

Abstract

This paper describes a Systematic Human Error Reduction and Prediction Approach (SHERPA) which is intended to provide guidelines for human error reduction and quantification in a wide range of human-machine systems. The approach utilises as its basis current cognitive models of human performance.
... Based on clinical experience, and data such as NAP4, we know that there may be some unpredictability and occasional catastrophic failures. Despite the inherent risks, there is a limited number of studies available on actions and decision-making as it relates to airway management in the clinical environment for a long-time engineer have had mechanisms and techniques [6] that enable them to analyse complex processes. These tools may allow systematic analysis of the airway management process if supported by robust, clinically credible data. ...
... Each goal, task and sub-task was represented by using a flow chart diagram ( Figure 1). The Systematic Human Error Reduction and Prediction Approach (SHERPA) [6] was then used to examine the task steps at the lowest level of the HTA in more detail. ...
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Airway management can be considered as a complex engineering process which includes a series of sequential or simultaneous actions (e.g., tasks or decisions) using different resources i.e., time, people, equipment and medications. We explored the decision-making and actions during the process of routine airway management. To elicit an understanding of cognitive strategies applied and influences on strategy selection using the Critical Decision Method. The task steps involved in action and decision making during the induction of routine airway process in both routine and complicated cases were identified using hierarchical task analysis. The systematic human error reduction and prediction approach was then used to examine the task steps at the lowest level of hierarchical task analysis in more detail. There were differences in airway practice and preparation between participants. The decisions were primarily made by the lead consultant anaesthetist, with the trainees and Operating Department Practitioners (anaesthetic nurse) supporting these decisions. Much of the team communication used code language, which appeared to be well understood by the team members and did not obviously impede performance in the context of routine airway management. Most of the experienced lead consultant anaesthetists rely on their past experience of "work-as-done" during the airway process. The results from this study illustrated that human factors and non-technical skills are important for airway management and for ensuring safe, high-quality intraoperative care. Further research is needed to determine how these skills work in conjunction and how they impact anaesthetic performance.
... Net-HARMS integrates and builds upon Hierarchical Task Analysis (HTA) (Annett and Stanton 2000) and the Systematic Human Error Reduction and Prediction Approach (SHERPA) (Embrey 1986). However, one limitation of SHERPA is its focus on "sharp-end" tasks and errors, neglecting higher-level system tasks and risks. ...
Article
Human factors methods, as a systems discipline, can be applied across various areas of working systems. Risk assessment methods are particularly useful for identifying risks that may impact the performance of overall working systems, groups, and individuals. The emergency evacuation process in hospitals involves multiple risks that can significantly affect its performance. This study applied a systems thinking‐based risk assessment method to identify risks associated with hospital emergency evacuations. The Networked Hazard Analysis and Risk Management System (Net‐HARMS) method was utilized to identify all credible risks in the hospital evacuation process during emergencies that could degrade optimal performance. Some of the key risks identified in the hospital emergency evacuation process included delays in assessing risks associated with evacuation procedures, failures or delays in forming and appointing an emergency evacuation and command team, and inadequate intra‐ and interorganizational coordination. Additionally, emerging risks were identified, such as delays in the evacuation process due to staff lacking sufficient information about the evacuation and incident command team members, as well as delays in receiving assistance from external organizations like the fire department and Red Crescent due to inadequate interorganizational coordination processes. These risks arose from the interactions between activities. The study concludes that the Net‐HARMS method is effective in forecasting systemic and emergent risks in the hospital evacuation process, as well as identifying risks associated with specific activities and emergent risks in this critical process.
... Indeed, it is assumed that human actions are uncertain and non-random and they depend on various internal and external factors, necessitating their quantification [36]. Among the probabilistic models, there are numerous options based on various frameworks, such as the partially observable Markov model [37], Bayesian model [36], cognitive reliability and error analysis method (CREAM) which considers the probability of correct and incorrect human behaviors and their respective causes [28], or the systematic human error reduction and prediction analysis (SHERPA) which quantifies human errors in performing a sequence of actions [38]. ...
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The advent of mass customization has precipitated a need within the industry for the implementation of collaborative robots, which facilitate the integration of human cognitive capabilities with the speed and repeatability of robots. This coupling, however, engenders a closer collaboration between the partners, thereby necessitating collective synergy to achieve optimal scheduling while circumventing musculoskeletal disorders. It is imperative to study and analyze the behavior of humans and robots in interaction, as the current paradigm strives to achieve an optimal interaction between the two partners with the objective of ensuring productivity, safety, cognitive ergonomics and preventing musculoskeletal disorders. However, human behavior is variable and can, on occasion, give rise to anomalies in the interaction. Consequently, it is imperative that the robot partner exhibits precise behavior, whether proactive or reactive. This paper puts forth a unified perspective on robot behavior when confronted with human abnormal behavior during interaction on the factory floor. This systematic literature review and meta-analysis employs the PRISMA methodology to examine the literature on human and robot behavior in human–robot interaction in an industrial context, with a particular focus on robot behavior when confronted with human abnormal behavior during interaction. A systematic search of nearly 2,609 papers yielded 133 for inclusion in this systematic review. In light of the findings presented in this review, it can be concluded that the selection of robot actions based on human behavior represents a novel area of research that requires further investigation, particularly with regard to proactive online behavioral approaches. Indeed, there is a vast array of robot behavior modalities in response to typical human behavior (e.g., command input). However, there is currently no prescribed robot reaction based on atypical human behavior (e.g., misplacement in the factory floor, repetition of tasks, etc.). This lack of definition complicates the deployment of such technology in the smart factory. Consequently, it is essential to define new decision strategies based, for instance, on artificial intelligence approaches.
... Slips and lapses correspond to commission and omission errors, respectively, in human assessment techniques such as the Systematic Human Error Reduction and Prediction Approach (SHERPA). [21]. A welder mistakenly conducting a cutting operation on the wrong pipe, such as the benzene line instead of the steam line, leading to the release of a substantial amount of hazardous material, and a worker inadvertently closing valve A instead of valve B in a poorly lit room are examples of slips. ...
Chapter
This chapter delves into the Tripod Beta (TB) methodology, rooted in Reason's Swiss cheese model, developed collaboratively by Leiden and Victoria universities in the late 1980s and early 1990s with sponsorship from Shell International. Unlike traditional approaches that attribute incidents solely to human behaviors, the TB acknowledges the multifaceted nature of incident causation, emphasizing the interplay between job, individual, environmental, and organizational factors. The chapter outlines the Tripod theory's categorization of contributory factors into immediate causes, preconditions, and underlying causes, with a focus on Basic Risk Factors (BRFs) representing management quality in various business processes. The primary objective of TB is to identify and understand these underlying factors, leading to the development of the Tripod causation model. This model serves as a framework during incident investigation and safety analysis, aiding in modeling, visualization, and analysis of the chain of events that culminate in an incident. The core diagram, an essential output of the methodology, provides a graphical representation of the incident, enhancing clarity for investigators and stakeholders. Also, safety barriers identification approach of TB provides a systematic method for identification incidents causes with reliable outputs. The chapter also provides practical guidance on implementing TB for incident analysis, presenting a structured five-step approach. Three distinct incident scenarios are examined, demonstrating the application of TB in diverse settings. The findings from various studies underscore the methodology's strengths in enhancing consistency in incident analysis, addressing near misses, and providing detailed insights for corrective and preventive actions. The chapter concludes with an exploration of the advantages and disadvantages of TB. While acknowledging its strengths, such as structuring causation paths and promoting consistency, the chapter also addresses challenges, including the need for meticulous data collection and the importance of organizational commitment to implementing corrective actions. Ultimately, TB emerges as a valuable approach in incident analysis, contributing to the development of safety practices and the creation of safer work environments in diverse industries.
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The rapid development of driving automation systems (DAS) in the automotive industry aims to support drivers by automating longitudinal and lateral vehicle control. As vehicle complexity increases, it is crucial that drivers comprehend their responsibilities and the limitations of these systems. This work investigates the role of the driver’s perception for the understanding of DAS by cross-analysing four empirical studies. Study I investigated DAS usage across different driving contexts via an online survey conducted in Germany, Spain, China, and the United States. Study II explored contextual DAS usage and the factors influencing drivers’ understanding through a Naturalistic Driving Study (NDS), followed by in-depth interviews. Study III employed a Wizard-of-Oz on-road driving study to simulate a vehicle offering Level 2 and Level 4 DAS, paired with pre- and post-driving interviews. Study IV following up used a Wizard-of-Oz on-road driving study to simulate Level 2 and Level 3 DAS and subsequent in-depth interviews. The findings from these studies allowed the identification of aspects constituting a driver’s understanding and factors influencing their perception of DAS. The identified aspects and factors were consolidated into a unified conceptual model, describing the process of how perception shapes the driver’s mental model of a driving automation system.
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User experience (UX) is crucial for interactive system design. To improve UX, one method is to identify failure modes related to UX and then take action on the high-priority failure modes to decrease their negative impacts. For the UX of interactive system design, the failure modes under consideration are human errors or difficulties, and thus the risk factors concerning failure modes are subjective and even subconscious. Existing methods are not sufficient to deal with these issues. In this paper, a fuzzy failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA)-based hybrid approach is proposed to improve the UX of interactive system design. First, hierarchical task analysis (HTA) and systematic human error reduction and prediction approach (SHERPA) are combined to identify potential failure modes concerning UX. Subsequently, fuzzy linguistic variables are employed to assess the risk parameters of the failure modes, and the similarity aggregation method (SAM) is adopted to aggregate the fuzzy opinions. Then, on the basis of the aggregation results, fuzzy logic is adopted to compute the fuzzy risk priority numbers that can prioritize the failure modes. Finally, the failure modes with high priorities are considered for corrective actions. An in-vehicle information system was employed as a case study to illustrate the proposed approach. The findings indicate that, compared with other methods, our approach can provide more accurate results for prioritizing failure modes related to UX, and can successfully deal with the subjective and even subconscious nature of the risk factors associated with failure modes. This approach can be universally utilized to enhance the UX of interactive system design.
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Background Given the limited research conducted on the role of a human co-driver in mitigating occupational health and safety risks, this study aims to investigate the impact of a co-driver on health and safety conditions in the truck transportation process. Methods The truck transportation process was divided into three main stages: truck loading, driving, and unloading. Using the job safety analysis (JSA) method, an analysis of the tasks within each stage was conducted, allowing for the identification of essential and safe tasks and conditions. A questionnaire, based on this information, was developed, validated, and used in this study. Results The findings of this study demonstrate that a human co-driver positively impacted the drowsiness and alertness levels of truck drivers. Furthermore, improvements were observed in driving and parking performance, alongside a reduction in strenuous tasks and subsequent fatigue. The results conclusively indicate that the presence of a human co-driver significantly enhances health and safety conditions, particularly during the driving stage in comparison to the other stages of the truck transportation process.
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Numerous prior studies have investigated real-time assembly instructions using Augmented Reality (AR). However, most such experiments were conducted in laboratory settings with simplistic assembly tasks, failing to represent real-world industrial conditions. To ascertain to what extent results obtained in a laboratory environment may differ from studies in actual industrial environments, we carried out a user study with 32 manufacturing apprentices. We compared assembly task execution results in two settings, a classroom and an industrial workshop environment. To facilitate the experiments, we developed AR-guided manual assembly systems for simple and more complex assets. Our findings reveal a significantly improved task performance in the industrial workshop, reflected in faster task completion times, fewer errors, and subjectively perceived higher flow. This contradicted participants' subjective ratings, as they expected to perform better in the classroom environment. Our results suggest that the actual manufacturing environment is critical in evaluating AR systems for real-world industrial applications.
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Background Total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is a commonly performed procedure that has traditionally utilized reproducible steps using a set of mechanical instruments. The number of TKAs performed using robotic assistance is increasing, and augmented reality (AR) navigation systems are being developed. Hierarchical task analysis (HTA) aims to describe the steps of a specific task in detail to reduce errors and ensure reproducibility. The objective of this study was to develop and validate HTAs for conventional, robotic-assisted, and AR-navigated TKA. Methods The development of HTAs for conventional TKA involved an iterative review process that incorporated the input of 4 experienced arthroplasty surgeons. The HTAs were then adapted for robotic-assisted and AR-navigated TKA by incorporating specific steps associated with the use of these systems. The accuracy and completeness of the HTAs were validated by observing 10 conventional and 10 robotic-assisted TKA procedures. Results HTAs for conventional, robotic-assisted, and AR-navigated TKA were developed and validated. The resulting HTAs provide a comprehensive and standardized plan for each procedure and can aid in the identification of potential areas of inefficiency and risk. Robotic-assisted and AR-navigated approaches require additional steps, and there are an increased number of instances where complications may occur. Conclusions The HTAs developed in this study can provide valuable insights into the potential pitfalls of robotic-assisted and AR-navigated TKA procedures. As AR-navigation systems are developed, they should be optimized by critical analysis using the developed HTAs to ensure maximum efficiency, reliability, accessibility, reduction of human error, and costs.
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The technique of hierarchical task analysis (HTA), proposed by Annett et al. (1971), which requires the analyst to describe a task in terms of a hierarchy of operations and plans, is reviewed and examined as a basis for making training decisions. The basic ideas as originally stated are in the main accepted, with some qualifications. The benefit of neutrally stated operations is emphasized as a means of establishing agreement between the analyst and the sponsor of the work, before more speculative human factor decisions are undertaken. The necessity of plans as statements of the conditions under which operations are carried out is stressed. The benefits of a hierarchical description in terms of economy of analysis and a means of accounting for complex performance are outlined. But the value of retaining the input‐action‐feedback classification as an integral part of HTA is questioned. HTA facilitates training design in a number of ways: by raising non‐training issues and thereby clarifying training content; by clarifying training objectives and requiring training hypotheses to be stated routinely; and by indicating how the training of even complex decision‐making tasks can be programmed. While emphasizing that the analyst must often bring to bear other techniques and knowledge of training to make full use of HTA, suggestions are made regarding research into training classification schemes which could simplify training decisions for non‐experts.