Background. Improving our knowledge about the impact of restorative therapies employed in the rehabilitation of a stroke patient may help guide practitioners in prescribing treatment regimen that may lead to better post-stroke recovery and quality of life. Aims. To evaluate the neurological and functional recovery for 3 months after an acute ischemic stroke occurred within previous 3 months. To determine predictors of recovery. Design. Prospective observational registry. Population. Patients having suffered acute moderate to severe ischemic stroke of moderate to severe intensity within the previous 3 months with National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score from 10 to 20, 24 hours after arrival at emergency room (ER). Methods. All prespecified variables (sociodemographic and clinical data, lifestyle recommendations, rehabilitation prescription, and neurological assessments) were assessed at three visits, i.e., baseline (D0), one month (M1), and three months (M3). Results. Out of 143 recruited patients, 131 could be analysed at study entry within 3 months after stroke onset with a mean acute NIHSS score of 14.05, decreased to 10.8 at study baseline. Study sample was aged , with 49.2% of women. Neurorehabilitation treatment was applied to 9 of 10 patients from the acute phase and for three months with different intensities depending on the centre. A large proportion of patients recovered from severe dependency on activities of daily living (ADL) at D0 to a mild or moderate disability requiring some help at M3: mean ; ; ; all . Multivariate analyses integrating other regression variables showed a trend in favour of rehabilitation and revascularization therapies on recovery although did not reach statistical significance and that the positive predictors of recovery improvement were baseline BI score, time to treatment, and dietary supplement MLC901 (NurAiD™II). A larger percentage of patients with more severe stroke () who received MLC901 showed above median improvements on mRS compared to control group at M1 (71.4% vs. 29.4%; ) and M3 (85.7% vs. 50%; ). Older subjects and women tend to have less improvement by M3. Conclusions. Our study in patients with moderate to severe stroke shows overall recovery on neurological and functional assessments during the 3 months of study observation. Apart from demonstrating traditional “non-modifiable” predictors of outcome after stroke, like age, sex, and stroke severity, we also detected association between the use of dietary supplement MLC901 and recovery.
1. Introduction
Every year, nearly 120,000 people suffer from stroke in Spain, half of whom are disabled or suffer life-threatening sequelae. Although mortality and disability have declined in the last 20 years in all age groups and in both sexes in Spain, their incidence is expected to increase by 27%, according to data from the Spanish Society of Neurology [1]. The data further highlight stroke as the second leading cause of death overall in Spain, the leading cause of death among women, and the leading cause of disability in adults. The estimated incidence rate of stroke is 141 (95% confidence interval (CI) 125 to 158) per 100,000 inhabitants [2, 3]. Incidence rate clearly increases with age, with a peak at or above 85 years of age, and in-hospital mortality is 14%. Currently, more than 330,000 Spanish people have limited functional capacity due to stroke. Stroke survivors are at high risk for recurrent stroke and cardiovascular disease due to the pronounced aging of the population and the increased prevalence of risk factors in an increasingly elderly population [4]. In an epidemiological study of 321 patients diagnosed with stroke admitted to the stroke unit of 16 hospitals throughout Spain and followed up for 1 year, the total average cost per year was estimated at €27,711 per patient. Direct healthcare costs amounted to an average of €8491 (of which 68.8% was due to inpatient costs) and nonhealthcare costs to €18,643 per patient per year (of which 89.5% was due to informal care) [5].
Apart from the establishment of prevention programs and hospital stroke units, treatment of stroke is still limited in many settings. Even when patients receive acute stroke therapies, they may not derive benefit from such therapies, and as a result, a significant proportion of patients suffer from chronic sequelae and persistent deficits that significantly impact their ability to carry out their daily activities and quality of life [6].
Restorative therapies that improve neural repair and recovery in the postacute phase of stroke may reduce the overall long-term burden of stroke [7]. Thus, during the post-stroke rehabilitation process, different interventions may be prescribed as part of the holistic approach to help patients recover, combining different types of cognitive and motor therapies, as well as changes in lifestyle and use of supplements and herbal medicines [8, 9]. Improving our knowledge about the impact of these therapies employed in the rehabilitation of a stroke patient may help guide practitioners in prescribing treatment regimen that may lead to better post-stroke recovery and quality of life.
This observational study aimed to assess the rates of neurological and functional recovery over a 3-month follow-up period in a cohort of patients who have experienced a moderate to severe first-ever acute ischemic stroke and to determine predictors of greater recovery among this population.
2. Material and Methods
2.1. Study Design and Population
The EPICA study was a multicentre, prospective, observational study of patients who have suffered a moderate to severe acute ischemic stroke. The study was approved by the local ethics committee or institutional review board of each participating centre. Inclusion criteria are ≥18 years of age, first-ever ischemic stroke within three months prior to inclusion in the study, neurologically stable at the time of inclusion, pre-stroke modified Rankin Scale (mRS) ≤1, National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score between 10 and 20 at 24 hours after arrival in the ER, and diagnosis confirmed by either computerized tomography (CT) or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Exclusion criteria are presence of intracranial haemorrhage, other intracranial pathologies, severe systemic diseases, or cognitive deficits that may potentially interfere with the requirements of the study.
Patients were included in the study as they come for consultation or admitted to the hospital if they meet the eligibility criteria. Written informed consent was obtained from all patients included in the study. Predefined data were ascertained from patients during the course of their participation in the study at inclusion (baseline, D0), one month (M1), and three months (M3). Throughout the study period, patients received standard treatments and interventions according to the medical judgment and prescription of their respective treating physicians, including cognitive and motor rehabilitation, lifestyle recommendations, such as diet and physical activity, and use of dietary supplements.
2.2. Study Variables
Data were collected using a case report form, either electronically or on paper. At baseline (D0), sociodemographic and clinical history including cardiovascular risk factors were collected. Details of the index stroke gathered at the time of hospital admission were ascertained at time of inclusion, including NIHSS within 24 hours of arrival in the ER, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), and pre-stroke mRS. The concurrent clinical status of the patient at study inclusion was assessed and recorded, using the same assessment scales with addition of Barthel index (BI) and Mini-Examen Cognoscitivo (MEC) of Lobo [10] (a Spanish adaptation of the Mini-Mental State Examination). Results of diagnostic imaging (CT or MRI) were recorded, as well as all medications or treatment regimen (e.g., thrombolysis and drug name) received by the patient.
The following assessments were performed at M1 and M3: NIHSS, GCS, mRS, MEC, and BI. At each visit, patients were asked about their rehabilitation program frequency, lifestyle (e.g., family situation, sleeping time, and physical activity), and dietary/feeding habits including the use of dietary supplements.
2.3. Statistical Analysis
Sample size was calculated using tests of comparison of means between independent groups to observe significant differences of greater than 0.5 in the M3 neurological recovery between the two extreme quartiles of the sample (P25 vs. P75). Based on an alpha of 0.05 and a power of 90%, a size of 70 patients per quartile or a total sample of 280 patients was planned.
The main assessments in the study were (i) mean grade of neurological and functional recovery by comparing scores between D0, M1, and M3 overall and by subgroups according to severity based on NIHSS (i.e., , ), and (ii) factors associated with higher probability of post-stroke recovery at M3.
Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS 22.0 statistical software for Windows. Baseline variables were presented using descriptive statistics. Continuous variables were described using central estimators (mean or median) and dispersion (standard deviation, SD, or interquartile range, IQR), while categorical variables were described as frequencies and percentages.
Since the planned sample size of 280 was not reached, the first to fourth quartile comparisons were substituted by median comparisons. Comparisons were made between groups using one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) for continuous dependent variables and Pearson or Fisher’s exact test for categorical dependent variables. Student -test was used for variables with a normal distribution; otherwise, Wilcoxon test was used. Friedman test was used to determine the significance of evolution between visits as a whole. Results are given with values and 95% confidence interval (CI).
Multivariate analyses were performed for regression analysis and ANOVA for a dependent variable by one or more variables. Factor variables divide the population in groups. The general linear model (GLM) tests the null hypotheses on the effects of other variables on the means of several groups of a single dependent variable. For regression analysis, independent variables (predictors) are specified as covariates. The procedure to generate the multivariate models was based on univariate analyses of the main variables described in the previous section to determine which variables are to be included in the multivariable analyses. Binary logistic regression models were performed for dichotomous dependent variables. Continuous and ordinal variables were transformed using dichotomous cutoffs.
3. Results
Twenty neurology and rehabilitation centres throughout Spain participated in this registry between April 2015 and June 2016. The study included 144 patients out of the target sample size of 280 and was terminated due to a slower than expected recruitment rate. Nonetheless, as this is an observational cohort study, the study team proceeded with the planned analyses. Thirteen patients were excluded from this analysis for various reasons, and analyses were performed on the remaining 131 patients (Figure 1). Main baseline characteristics of the study cohort are reported in Table 1. Mean age was , with 49.2% women, and 64.3% of patients being married.