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Research Article
Antler and Body Size in Black-Tailed Deer: An Analysis of
Cohort Effects
Johanna C. Thalmann,1R. Terry Bowyer,1Ken A. Aho,1
Floyd W. Weckerly,2and Dale R. McCullough3
1Department of Biological Sciences, Idaho State University, 921 South 8th Avenue, Stop 8007, Pocatello, ID 83209, USA
2Department of Biology, Texas State University, 601 University Drive, San Marcos, TX 78666, USA
3Department of Environmental Science, Policy, & Management, University of California, Berkeley, 130 Mulford Hall No. 3114,
Berkeley, CA 94720, USA
Correspondence should be addressed to Johanna C. almann; thaljoha@isu.edu
Received August ; Revised October ; Accepted November
Academic Editor: Sveinn Are Hanssen
Copyright © Johanna C. almann et al. is is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution
License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly
cited.
For long-lived species, environmental factors experienced early in life can have lasting eects persisting into adulthood. Large
herbivores can be susceptible to cohort-wide declines in tness as a result of decreases in forage availability, because of extrinsic
factors, including extreme climate or high population densities. To examine eects of cohort-specic extrinsic factors on size of
adults, we performed a retrospective analysis on harvest data of male black-tailed deer (Odocoileus hemionus columbianus)
over years in central California, USA. We determined that population density of females had a more dominant eect than did
precipitation on body size of males. Harvest of female deer resulted in increases in the overall size of males, even though a -year
drought occurred during that treatment period. Body size was most inuenced by female population density early in life, while
antler size was highly aected by both weather early in life and the year directly before harvest. is study provides insights that
improve our understanding of the role of cohort eects in body and antler size by cervids; and, in particular, that reduction in
female population density can have a profound eect on the body and antler size of male deer.
1. Introduction
Climate and population density inuence organisms
throughout their lives and oen lead to phenotypic variation
among cohorts. Cohort eects occur when individuals born
within the same year experience similar environmental
conditions, which may alter the life-history characteristics of
that group []. Large mammalian herbivores, in particular,
are strongly inuenced by local weather, because of direct
eects of weather on forage [–]. Rainfall increases the
quality and quantity of vegetation [], which has a positive
inuence on body size of some ungulates [–]. Body size is
aected more easily by variation in the environment when a
population is at moderate to high densities [–], because of
increased intraspecic competition for food [].
Understanding how the interaction between climate and
population density inuences body mass throughout the life-
time of a large herbivore enables biologists to better predict
growth, survival, and reproduction within cohorts [–].
Extrinsic and intrinsic factors aect body condition, and
when resources are limited, important tradeos may be made
earlyinlifebyanindividual,orbyamotherbeforeparturi-
tion, which aects ospring while in utero [].osetrade-
os result in delayed life-history characteristics that can per-
sist into adulthood and even through future generations [].
In times of severe weather or high population density,
tradeos are made by the mother when the fetus is in utero
[]. Decreases in maternal investment during periods of low
spring precipitation stunt the growth of fetuses, resulting in
young that are born small and remain small throughout their
lives [–]. Furthermore, much of the variation in adult
size of ungulates has been linked to conditions experienced
during the year of birth [] and environmental conditions
and nutrition of their grandmothers generations previously
[, ].
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Advances in Ecology
Volume 2015, Article ID 156041, 11 pages
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/156041
Advances in Ecology
Antler size has been positively correlated with warmer
temperatures and higher precipitation in spring and autumn
during the year of harvest []. Discerning the inuence
of extrinsic factors the year preceding harvest with those
that occurred during youth is critical for understanding
phenotypic variation in size of antlers. Determining the
degree to which weather and population density during youth
and adulthood aect antler and body size of ungulates is still
poorly understood, although body and antler size are related
to a number of life-history characteristics among cervids [].
We conducted a retrospective analysis of harvest data []
to examine eects of environmental conditions on antler and
body size within and across cohorts of a population of black-
tailed deer (Odocoileus hemionus columbianus)fromto
. We hypothesized that cohort eects would inuence
body and antler size of male black-tailed deer. Specically,
we predicted that high annual precipitation during gestation,
duringtherstyearofgrowth,andduringtheyearofharvest
would be related to body and antler size. Temperatures that
were low in summer and high in winter during those periods
were predicted to positively aect body size of males. Also, we
predictedthatadecrease(broughtaboutbyharvest)infemale
population density during gestation, and year following
parturition,wouldresultingreaterbodyandantlersizeof
males at the time of harvest. Understanding how a single year
of environmental factors aects life-history characteristics of
multiple generations can lead to improvements in predicting
body growth and antler size, as well as providing insights into
conserving and managing those large herbivores.
2. Methods
Research by McCullough [] was conducted at the Hopland
Research and Extension Center (hereaer Hopland) of the
University of California (∘N, ∘W). e , ha
areaislocatedinMendocinoCounty,aboutkmnorthof
San Francisco, in the central portion of the coastal mountain
ranges of California, USA. Hopland is characterized by a
Mediterranean climate; mean summer and autumn temper-
atures range from to ∘C, and winters are mild with
occasional frost in valley bottoms and infrequent light snow
at high elevations (> m). Interannual rainfall was variable
among years (–; 𝑥=96mm; range = – mm, CV
= %), with a -year drought occurring during the treatment
period (–), where females were harvested (Figure ).
Discrete seasons of vegetative growth and senescence
were evident between and , which followed seasonal
patterns of precipitation (𝐹12,12 = 2.69,𝑃 = 0.01). Most
precipitation occurred from October through April; rain
seldom fell during May through September, which also was
characterized by the warmest average monthly temperatures
(Figure ). Winters are usually mild and wet, encouraging
herbaceous growth that extends from November through
April. e percentage of vegetative cover changes as wet
conditions shi towards the dry season, with an increase in
annual grasses and decrease in forbs []. Common vegetation
typesonHoplandincludeoakwoodlands(Quercus spp.),
grasslands (e.g., Bromus spp., Erodium spp., and Festuca spp.),
and chaparral (Adenostoma spp.) [].
Total annual precipitation (mm)
Ye a r s
Pretreatment Treatment Posttreatment
Long-term average
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1980 1985 1990 1995
F : Total annual precipitation for all years of the study (–
) is depicted for Hopland California, USA. Yearly precipitation
wascalculatedfromthestartofJulytotheendofJuneofthe
following year. is arrangement allowed for the examination of
a complete year of vegetative growth, in particular during the wet
season (October–April). Darker blue represents the experimental
years when both females and males were harvested (𝑥 = 737.5mm,
SD = . mm). Light blue is pretreatment (only male deer
harvested) (𝑥 = 1092.7 mm, SD = . mm), and diagonal cross-
hatching represents posttreatment (only male deer harvested) (𝑥=
1178.5mm, SD = . mm). e dark red dashed line identies
the long-term average annual precipitation (𝑥 = 932.0 mm, SD =
. mm).
Total precipitation (mm)
Tot a l
precipitation
Average
temperature
Average temperature (∘C)
Months
Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May.
Jun.
Jul.
Aug.
Sep.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
100
80
60
40
20
0
200
150
100
50
0
F : Climate graph illustrating the relationship between
temperature and precipitation for Hopland, California, USA. Tri-
angles represent average monthly temperature and circles depict
average total monthly precipitation. Diagonal lines represent times
of drought (May–September), whereas the cross pattern represents
times of water surplus (October–April). Data were collected from a
local weather station at Hopland from to .
Domestic sheep (Ovis aries)werepasturedonHopland
and maintained at a population size of –, females
throughout the study (–) []. Black-tailed deer
were abundant and hunted annually. e prehunt population
before the study began was estimated at deer (.
deer/km2) []. In , at the end of the treatment period
Advances in Ecology
(female and male harvest), the population was approximately
deer (. deer/km2). Predators of deer include bobcats
(Lyn x rufu s), coyotes (Canis latrans), mountain lions (Puma
concolor), and black bears (Ursus americanus). No attempt
wasmadetocontrolpredatorsduringthestudy.
2.1. Collection and Measurements of Deer. To determine if
density-dependent eects inuenced antler growth and body
size of male black-tailed deer, we reanalyzed data collected
by McCullough [] from to . No data were used
frommalessampledin,however,becausetoofewmor-
phometric measurements were collected. During that study,
there was a -year treatment period (–) where a mean
of females (SD = . females) were harvested each year
in addition to the annual harvest of males. Six years before
and aer the treatment period of female harvest, only male
deer were killed (∼ males per year). e initial research by
McCullough [] was conducted under animal use protocols
approved by the University of California, Hopland Research
and Extension Center, and a memorandum of understanding
and collecting permits from the California Fish and Game
Commission.
In our analysis, we used weight, antler measurements, and
estimatedagefrommaledeerthatwereharvestedduring
–. Males were not included if they lacked data for
ageormultiplemeasurementsofantlers.Whenonlyasingle
antler measurement (diameter or length of either the right
or le antlers) was missing, data were interpolated (𝑛=49)
from the complete data set. We used the regression function
in the R .. statistical environment [, ] to determine
those values. Dressed weight was used in place of whole-body
weight because whole weights were not recorded from to
. We used this approach because dressed and whole-body
weights [] of black-tailed deer exhibited a strong positive
relationship (𝑟2= 0.91,𝑃 < 0.001,̂
𝑦 = 6.5573 + 1.739𝑥).
Moreover, carcass weight in mule deer (O. h. hemionus)is
strongly correlated with other body measurements, including
chest girth, body length, head length, and mandible length
[]. From to , deer were aged from either cementum
annuli or tooth eruption and wear []. Data on cementum
annuli were used for aging deer during years where both
typesofdatawereavailable.Wewereabletousebothtypes
of data because age determined from cementum annuli and
tooth eruption and wear was positively related (𝑟2=0.63,
𝑃 < 0.001,̂
𝑦 = 0.1589 + 1.0303𝑥). Aging black-tailed
deer based on tooth eruption and wear is highly accurate
through . years of age. Approximately % of deer . to
≥. years of age were categorized correctly with a tendency
to underestimate ages [].
To reduce the number of variables, a Principal Compo-
nent Analysis (PCA) based on the covariance matrix was
conducted on antler measurements (right and le diameter
and length, and spread) collected by McCullough []. Spread
and length were measured to the nearest . mm, and
diameters were measured to the nearest .mm. e number
of le and right antler tines (points) was not included in
the PCA, because of problems associated with the use of
a small range of meristic characters to estimate phenotypic
development []. e proportion of variance explained by
the PCA was nearly identical between the whole raw data set
(.) and with the addition of interpolated values (.);
consequently, we included the interpolated values to increase
sample size (𝑛 = 450). PC for antler measurements had
negative loadings, with larger antlers represented by negative
values and smaller antlers by positive values. e proportion
of variance explained by PC was .. Loadings for antler
measurements were similar (Table ), indicating that PC was
a reliable measure of antler size [, ]. We multiplied the
principal components by negative for all analyses so positive
values represented larger antlers, making results more logical
to follow.
Ageisrelatedtoantlerandbodysizeinmalecervids[,
]. We tted the Von Bertalany growth curve to examine
the relationship between body size and age in male black-
tailed deer using the package Fishmethods [] in R [, ].
is procedure also provided the best t for the relation
between age and antler size (PC), because we had few old
individuals that might have resulted in a quadratic curve [].
Residuals were obtained for both antler and body size, which
corrected those size variables for age.
2.2. Local Weather. We determined eects of extrinsic factors
on body weight and antler size of males by compiling local
weather data. Total precipitation and average temperature
were collected at Hopland each month. Monthly average
temperatures and total monthly precipitation were compared
in a Walter climate graph (Figure ) to distinguish seasons of
vegetative growth (October through April) and times of water
decit (May through September) [].
Periods for which weather data were considered in
models included gestation by the mother while the male was
in utero (October through April); the rst year of growth
by the male ospring (May through April); and the weather
duringtheyearbeforeharvest(Octoberthepreviousyear
through September). For both the rst year of growth and
theyearbeforeharvest,wedividedthoseperiodsintowet
(October through April) and dry (May through September)
seasons for a clearer understanding of how temperature and
precipitation inuenced deer. For instance, weather variables
thatwouldbeincludedindataforamaledeerharvestedat
. years of age in autumn of would include weather
experienced while in utero during gestation by the mother
(October through April ), the dry season of the rst
year of growth by the male (May through September
), the wet season of the rst year of growth by the male
(October through April ), the wet season of the
year preceding harvest (October through April ),
and the dry season of the year preceding harvest of the
male (May through September ). Although the last
third of gestation is the most energetically expensive for large
mammalian females [], weather during full gestation was
used in our analyses, because female body condition aects
the ospring throughout its time in utero.Furthermore,
female deer inhabiting a Mediterranean ecosystem must
build sucient body reserves early in gestation, because
parturition occurs at the beginning of the dry season when
vegetation starts to senesce [, ].
Advances in Ecology
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Age (years)
Body size (kg)
02468101214
Pretreatment
Tre atm e nt
Posttreatment
F : e Von Bertalany growth curve depicts age at mean
asymptotic body mass of male black-tailed deer during the study.
Pretreatment, treatment, and posttreatment categories represent the
period when males were harvested in Hopland, California, USA,
from to .
2.3. Statistical Analyses. Intrinsic factors (body and antler
size) were modeled as dependent variables in R [] against
extrinsic variables that included treatment period (pretreat-
ment and combined treatment and posttreatment) and total
monthly precipitation and average monthly temperature for
each time period (i.e., in utero, the dry season during the
rst year of growth, the wet season during the rst year of
growth, the wet season before harvest, and the dry season
before harvest). Treatment and posttreatment were combined
into a single period because of lingering density-dependent
factors aer years of female harvest. An interaction term
between precipitation and population density was added
to models. Body weight corrected for age was included as
avariableintheantler-sizemodel,becausehigherbody
reserveswouldallowthemaletoinvestmoreinantler
growth [, ]. Contrarily, antler size was omitted from
the body-size model because antler growth is less likely to
aect body size. Colinearity was examined for all variables
with variance ination factors (VIF) in R package Car [].
All continuous quantitative variables had VIF values ≤
indicating that multicolinearity did not bias our models
[].WeusedthepackageMuMIn[]inRtodredgeand
average the top models based on all models with values
≤ using Akaike’s information criterion for small samples
(AICc) of the top model []. Condence intervals for
model-averaged parameters were lowered to % to more
closely conjoin the information theoretic approach of AICc to
most frequentist condence intervals. In particular, holding
likelihood constant, AICc will increase by 2𝑑,where𝑑is the
number of added parameters in a model. us, just as 𝑃(𝜒2
1≤
1.962) ≈ 0.95,where𝜒2
1is a chi-square distribution with one
degreeoffreedom,itisalsotruethat𝑃(𝜒2
1≤ 2) ≈ 0.85
Body size (kg)
10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Antler size (PC1)
−6
−4
−2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Large
Small
r2= 0.505
P < 0.001
̂
y = −7.252 + 0.197x
F : Body weight compared with antler size for male black-
tailed deer during –, Hopland, California, USA.
[]. We used multiple lines of inquiry to make the most
informed decision about which variables were most inuen-
tial in determining body weight or antler size. We examined
% condence intervals, and the relative importance of each
variable,calculatedasasumoftheAkaikeweightsoverall
of the models in which a particular parameter appeared. To
further understand how a reduction in female population
density aected antler and body size, we performed the
median test []. We compared the median before and aer
female harvest began with the median for the entire study.
3. Results
We performed a retrospective analysis on data for black-
tailed deer, harvested between and at the Hop-
land Research Extension Center. Male black-tailed deer, on
average, weighed . kg. Asymptotic body mass, determined
from Von Bertalany growth equation, was kg at . years
of age (𝐿𝑡= 46.005(1 − 𝑒−0.6117(𝑡 + 1.4106)), 𝑟2= 0.26;
Figure ). To account for the relationship between age and
body and antler size, residuals from the Von Bertalany
growthcurvewereusedinsubsequentanalyses(Figure).
Dressed weight and antler size (PC) also were positively
related (Figure ), but to better understand changes in size
of male deer, we examined those variables separately.
Body size of male deer increased during the study
(Figure(a),Table).Bodysize(i.e.,dressedweightcorrected
for age) increased profoundly aer the treatment period but
was highly variable among individuals ( ̂
𝑦 = 0.44𝑥 − 877.60,
𝑟2= 0.13,𝑃 < 0.001; Figure (a)).
Deer harvested aer the treatment period began were
signicantly larger than those harvested during the pre-
treatment period. When corrected for age, of male
deer harvested aer the treatment period had a body weight
greaterthanthemedianfortheentiresamplesize(𝑛 = 450;
𝜒2= 14.22,𝑃 > 0.001).roughthestudy,growthrateand
asymptotic body weight of male deer rose from pretreatment
(. per year; . kg) to posttreatment period (. per
Advances in Ecology
Ye a r
1980 1985 1990 1995
Age 2.5 Age 2.5
Age 3.5
Age 4.5
30
20
10
0
−10
−20
−30
Body weight (kg)
corrected for age
Pretreatment Treatment Posttreatment
(a)
Pretreatment Treatment Posttreatment
Ye a r
1980 1985 1990 1995
Age 2.5
Age 2.5
Age 2.5
Age 3.5
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
−2
−4
−6
Antler size (PC1)
corrected for age
(b)
F : Trends in size of male black-tailed deer in Hopland, California, USA. (a) e increase in body size (dressed weight corrected
for age) between years. (b) e increase in antler size (principle component corrected for age) through time. Sections are partitioned by
pretreatment (only males harvested, –), treatment (both males and females harvested, –), and posttreatment (only males
harvested, –). Arrows point to the four largest individual males and identify the age of each male at time of harvest.
T : Characteristics of male black-tailed deer for each treatment period from to harvested at Hopland, California, USA. e
number of male deer per sampling period only represents males that were used in our analyses.
Sampling period Characteristics Mean Standard deviation Range
Male harvest only
(pretreatment: –)
(𝑛 = 127)
Antler size (PC) −. . −. to .
Dressed weight (kg) . . . to .
Age (years) . . . to .
Male and female harvest
(treatment: –)
(𝑛 = 162)
Antler size (PC) . . −. to .
Dressed weight (kg) . . . to .
Age (years) . . . to .
Male harvest only
(posttreatment: –)
(𝑛 = 161)
Antler size (PC) . . −. to .
Dressed weight (kg) . . . to .
Age (years) . . . to .
year; . kg) (𝐿𝑡= 38.744(1 −𝑒−0.908(𝑡− 0.062)),𝑟2= 0.18;
𝐿𝑡= 46.424(1 − 𝑒−1.225(𝑡 − 0.039)),𝑟2= 0.45,resp.).
Antler size (PC) increased slightly during the study (̂
𝑦=
0.06𝑥 − 118.93,𝑟2= 0.04,𝑃 < 0.001; Figure (b); Table ).
Overall, antler size increased with age (Figure , 𝐿𝑡= 2.82(1−
𝑒−0.4611(𝑡−2.931)),𝑟2= 0.28),andwhensizewascorrectedfor
age, the dierence in the number of deer with antlers larger
than the grand median was signicantly greater aer female
harvest began, compared with pretreatment (𝜒2= 6.32,𝑃=
0.012). When both high precipitation and low female density
occurred simultaneously, there were substantial increases in
size of antlers, such as those observed in males harvested in
(Figures and (b)).
Formodelsofbothantlersizeandbodyweight,extrinsic
variables incorporated into each model included an index
for population density (reected by treatment period), and
temperature and precipitation during critical periods of time
for growth of body and antlers in male deer (Tables and ).
In our model for body size (dressed weight corrected
for age), competing models were averaged (Table ). Two
variables were determined to be the best predictors of body
weight from % condence intervals and summed Akaike
weights (Table ). e most signicant variable was female
population density during the gestation by the mother while
themalewasin utero, but only aer female harvest began
in (treatment and posttreatment periods combined).
e interaction between weather, specically precipitation,
andtreatmentperiodwhenthemalewasin utero was
important in predicting body size of male deer. Although
% CI overlapped zero, population density interacted with
precipitation during the rst year of growth.
We identied and averaged competing models explain-
ing antler size (PC corrected for age) (Table ). Five variables
were inuential in determining antler size (Table ). ose
variables had a relative importance of when Akaike weights
were summed and were dierent from when we examined
Advances in Ecology
T : Component models for body size. Term codes: A: average
temperature during the wet season of the rst year of growth,
B: total precipitation during the wet season before harvest, C:
average temperature during the dry season before harvest, D:
average temperature during the wet season before harvest, E: total
precipitation while the male was in utero during the gestation by
the mother, F: average temperature while the male was in utero
during the gestation by the mother, G: treatment period (index for
population density) while the male was in utero during the gestation
by the mother, H: treatment period (index for population density)
during the rst year of growth, I: total precipitation during the dry
season of the rst year of growth, J: average temperature during the
dry season of the rst year of growth, K: interaction term between
precipitation and treatment during gestation by the mother, and L:
interaction term between precipitation and treatment during the dry
season of the rst year of growth. Data for these models was from
harvested black-tailed deer from Hopland, California, USA, from
through .
Model df logLik AICc ΔWe ig ht
E, G, H, I, K, L −. . . .
A, E, G, H, I, K, L −. . . .
B, E, G, H, I, K, L −. . . .
A, B, E, G, H, I, K, L −. . . .
B, D, E, G, H, I, K, L −. . . .
A, B, D, E, G, H, I, K, L −. . . .
C, E, G, H, I, K, L −. . . .
A, C, E, G, H, I, K, L −. . . .
A, E, G, H, I, J, K, L −. . . .
A, C, D, E, G, H, I, K, L −. . . .
D, E, G, H , I, K, L −. . . .
A, D, E, G, H, I, K, L −. . . .
A, B, E, G, H, I, J, K, L −. . . .
C, D, E, G, H, I, K, L −. . . .
A, E, F, G, H, I, K, L −. . . .
E, G, H, I, J, K, L −. . . .
% condence intervals. e variable that most positively
inuenced antler size was body weight corrected for age.
Temperature was highly inuential during three critical peri-
ods of time. All temperature variables exhibited a negative
trendwithantlersizeofmaledeer.eperiodsinwhich
temperature was most important included, in descending
order of signicance, the dry season directly before harvest,
during the wet season during the rst year of growth, and
during the wet season the year of harvest. A negative interac-
tion occurred between precipitation and population density
(indexed by treatment period) aer , which signicantly
aected antler size. Even though the % CI overlapped
zero, female population density while the male was in utero
had a signicant positive trend in determining antler size,
but only aer female harvest began in (treatment and
posttreatment periods combined).
4. Discussion
We demonstrated that cohort eects could have profound
inuences on body and antler size of male black-tailed deer,
Antler size (PC1)
Age (years)
024681012
14
Pretreatment
Treatment
Posttreatment
15
10
5
0
−5
F : e Von Bertalany growth curve depicts the relation
between age and antler size of male black-tailed deer during the
study. Pretreatment, treatment, and posttreatment categories repre-
sent the period when males were harvested in Hopland, California,
USA, from to .
but climatic and density-dependent factors aected those
variables dierently. We predicted that a reduction in female
population density while the male was in utero and during
his rst year of growth would lead to increases in size of body
and antlers of male deer. Following our prediction, treatment
period, an index to female population density, was a signif-
icant predictor of body size. Specically, female population
density aer (aer female harvest had begun—treatment
andposttreatmentcombined)waspositivelyrelatedtobody
size of male deer at time of harvest. Female density during the
rst year of growth of the male was an important predictor of
thebodysizeofmaledeerattimeofharvest.Notably,younger
(∼ years of age) males harvested during posttreatment had
larger antlers and obtain heavier body weight than older
males (– year olds), which were reared during a time
of high female population densities (Figures and (a)).
Intraspecic competition between females and young likely
was high early in the study, reducing the energy available for
females to invest in ospring, probably stunting the growth
of males early in life. Other studies also have documented
that cervids born small remain small as adults, even when
conditionsarefavorablelaterinlife[].
We predicted that high annual precipitation during criti-
cal periods for growth (while in utero,duringtherstyearof
growth, and during the year of harvest) would positively aect
bodyandantlersizeofmales.Contrarytoourprediction,
precipitation by itself had little inuence on either body or
antler size. Only for the antler size model did precipitation,
specically during the rst summer of life, have strong
predictive power.
Advances in Ecology
T : Component models for antler size (PC). Term codes:
A: average temperature during the wet season of the rst year of
growth, B: total precipitation during the dry season before harvest,
C: total precipitation during the wet season before harvest, D:
average temperature during the dry season before harvest, E: weight
correcte d for age (residuals), F: tota l precipitation while th e male was
in utero during the gestation by the mother, G: average temperature
while the male was in utero during the gestation by the mother,
H: treatment period (index for population density) while the male
was in utero during the gestation by the mother, I: treatment period
(index for population density) during the rst year of growth, J: total
precipitation during the dry season of the rst year of growth, K:
total precipit ation during t he wet season of the rst ye ar of growth, L:
average temperatu re during the dry sea son of the rst year of growth,
M: interaction term between precipitation and treatment during the
wetseasonoftherstyearofgrowth,N:interactiontermbetween
precipitation and treatment during the wet season of the rst year of
growth. Data for these models was from harvested black-tailed deer
from Hopland, California, USA, from through .
Model df logLik AIC ΔWe i g ht
A, D, E, F, H, I, K −. . .
A, D, E, F, J, K, L, N −. . . .
A, C, D, E, F, J, K, L, N −. . . .
A, D, E, F, H, I, J, K, L, N −. . . .
A, D, E, F, H, J, K, L, N −. . . .
A, C, D, E, F, H, I, J, K, L, N −. . . .
A, C, D, E, F, H, J, K, L, N −. . . .
A, D, E, F, J, L, N −. . . .
A, D, E, F, G, H, I, K −. . . .
A, C, D, E, F, H, I, K −. . . .
A, D, E, F, H, J, L, N −. . . .
A, D, E, F, H, I, K, L −. . . .
A, C, D, E, F, H, J, L, N −. . . .
A, D, E, F, H, I, K, M −. . . .
A, D, E, F, G, J, K, L, N −. . . .
A, B, D, E, F, J, K, L, N −. . . .
A, D, E, F, H, I, J, K −. . . .
Our results, however, did arm that there was a signi-
cant interaction between precipitation and treatment period,
revealed by the -year drought during the study. Indeed,
that interaction between female population density and
precipitation had a signicant eect on both antler and body
size of males. In the body-size model, there was a negative
relation between precipitation during the gestation by the
mother and female density aer (aer female harvest had
begun and female population density was lower). Similarly,
that interaction was signicant in the model for antler size,
but this time involving precipitation during the rst year of
growth by the male. A reasonable explanation for this result
is the increased rainfall during , which also corresponded
with some of the lowest female densities following years
of female harvest. High precipitation alone did not result
in large antler and body sizes documented during and
, because there was even more precipitation in and
, yet deer were signicantly smaller during those years.
Our models oer evidence that the positive eects of female
harvest overrode negative inuences of the drought and
resulted in greater body weight and antler size, a conclusion
also reached by McCullough [].
As expected, temperature had a negative relation with
size of male deer during three critical periods of time—
while in utero, during the rst year of growth, and the year
immediately before harvest. Increases in temperature during
the wet season likely reduced snowpack at high elevations
and hereby constrained late season forage by decreasing
water availability in late spring from snowmelt. Late spring
is a critical time for deer in a Mediterranean ecosystem,
because females with young must lactate as forage senesces
[]. Unexpectedly, temperature variables only were strong
predictors of antler size but not body weight. Male deer grow
antlers from March through July [], which coincides with
some of the hottest temperatures, particularly during June
and July (Figure ). e negative relation ostensibly occurred
because of eects of hot temperatures on the senescence of
forage when antlers were still growing.
We faced several challenges in conducting this study. We
were constrained in some analyses because of issues concern-
ing missing data. First, we attempted to examine eects of
the normalized dierence vegetation index (NDVI) on body
andantlergrowthofdeer.Unfortunately,toofewimages
were available because of cloud cover or missing scenes to
make that assessment possible across years. Nevertheless,
we observed positive correlations (data not shown) between
weather variables and available NDVI scenes. During some
years, there also was incomplete data on antler measurements
of deer []. We dealt with this shortcoming by interpolating
antler metrics for no more than one measurement for of
deer, with few observable eects on results. Data from
were too sparse and therefore not included in analyses.
Moreover,datawerenotcollectedannuallyonpopulation
size, so we used an index for female population density
by dividing the study into two categories—pretreatment
compared with the combined treatment (female harvest)
and posttreatment periods. Indeed, population density with
respect to carrying capacity (𝐾) is reected by female
condition and reproduction []. We have no data on how
selectivity of hunters for large males may have changed over
the course of the study, but there is no obvious reason to
believe it did.
Although female population size was not recorded during
the study, three density-dependent patterns allowed us to
infer that female density decreased suciently to allow for
improvements in physical condition during the treatment
period. First, females < years old were mistaken for older
females because of their large body size [], indicating that
population densities were below 𝐾and females were in
good nutritional condition [, , ]. Pregnancy of females
< years old also increased markedly during the treatment
period []. Cementum annuli, induced by periods of annual
stress, were more obscure aer female harvest began [].
McCullough [] noted that those results indicated a higher-
quality diet, likely leading to improvements in body condition
of females, which increased recruitment of young as well as
the size of male ospring.
Advances in Ecology
T : Model-averaged coecients for body size of black-tailed deer during – in Hopland, California, USA. Abbreviations of model
parameters are as follows: Precip: total monthly precipitation; Temp.: average monthly temperature; D: the dry season (May–September); W:
the wet season (October–April); in utero: the period during the full gestation of the mother (October–April); grow: the rst year of growth
of the male (May–April) split into wet and dry seasons; Harv: the year prior to harvest of the male (October–September) split into wet and
dry seasons; Treat: the treatment period (before: pretreatment, or aer: the combined treatment and posttreatment); Int: the interaction
term between precipitation and treatment period during gestation by the mother or the rst year of growth; Antler (PC): the rst principal
component for antler size (large antlers are negative; small antlers are positive). Bold values in the condence interval (CI) column represent
parameters that did not overlap zero.
Model parameter Estimate Std. error Adjusted SE % CI
(Intercept) −. . . −. to .
Precip in utero . . . −. to .
Tre a t in utero [aer] 6.1000 1.9630 1.9680 0.7814 to 9.8699
Tre a t grow [aer] −. . . −. to .
Precip grow D . . . −. to .
Int treat in utero [aer] &precip −0.0053 0.0021 0.0021 −0.0094 to −0.0007
Int treat grow [aer] &precip D . . . −. to .
AvTem grow W . . . −. to .
Harv yr PW . . . −. to .
Harv yr TW . . . −. to .
Harv yr TD . . . −. to .
Tem grow D . . . −. to .
Tem mom gest . . . −. to .
T : Model-averaged coecients for antler size of black-tailed deer during – in Hopland, California, USA. Abbreviations of
model parameters are as follows: Precip: total monthly precipitation; Temp: average monthly temperature; in utero: the period while the
male was in utero during the full gestation (October–April); D: the dry season (May–September); W: the wet season (October–April); grow:
therstyearofgrowthofthemale(May–April)splitintowetanddryseasons;Harv:theyearpriortoharvestofthemale(October–September)
split into wet and dry seasons; Treat: the treatment period (before: pretreatment, or aer: the combined treatment and posttreatment); Int: the
interaction term between precipitation and treatment period during the rst year of growth or while in utero; Weight: body weight (dressed
weight) corrected for age using the residuals. Bold values in the condence interval (CI) column represent parameters that did not overlap
zero.
Model parameter Estimate Std. error Adjusted SE % CI
(Intercept) . . . . to .
Tem grow W−0.4199 0.1176 0.1179 −0.6577 to −0.1669
Harv yr T D −0.5875 0.1661 0.1664 −0.9168 to −0.2565
Harv yr T W −0.0798 0.0253 0.0254 −0.1305 to −0.0289
Weight 0.1295 0.0107 0.0107 0.1080 to 0.1502
Tem in utero −. . . −. to .
Tre a t in utero . . . −. to .
Precip grow D . . . −. to .
Tre a t grow [aer] . . . −. to .
Precip grow W . . . −. to .
Int treat grow [aer] &precip W−0.0011 0.0004 0.0004 −0.0019 to −0.0003
Harv yr PW . . . −. to .
Precip in utero −. . . −. to .
Tem grow D−. . . −. to .
Common conditions experienced by a cohort can result
in distinguishable dierences in phenotype when compared
with other cohorts of the same age [, , ]. erefore,
identifying the long-term eects of environmental factors
during early stages of life is critical to understanding patterns
of growth and reproduction in populations of large herbi-
vores [, ]. Unfortunately, the interaction between weather
and population density is not always well understood [].
Even on an optimal diet, ospring originally from an area
with high population density and low resource availability
exhibited suppressed growth for generation in domestic
sheep (Ovis aries) [] and did not recover until generations
in white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus)[].Inwhite-
tailed deer, survival was directly related to the body condition
of the mother during the previous two winters []. In
contrast,otherstudieshavereportedthatdeerwereable
Advances in Ecology
to recover from periods of poor nutrition and overcome
cohort eects [–]. Consequently, understanding how a
cohort can be aected by weather or population density has
immense implications for the management and conservation
of ungulates.
We were able to construct models for predicting body and
antler size in male black-tailed deer living in a Mediterranean
ecosystem. Our research oers new insights into the inter-
action between extrinsic and intrinsic factors, and eects of
maternal and postnatal conditions on overall size of males
at time of harvest. Biologists can evaluate eects of harvest
on trends of antler size in relation to extrinsic factors during
gestation by the mother and the rst year of growth of
male deer. Even minor changes in quality and availability of
forage have resulted in relatively large uctuations in rate of
parturition and recruitment of young, because of the high
energetic requirements necessary for gestation and lactation
[,–].Incervids,acohort-widedecreaseinbodymass
could have lasting consequences, aecting the reproductive
performance of a population, because of the close association
between size of males and reproductive success [, –].
We have created a valuable model for understanding and
examining eects of population density in a variable climate.
Moreover, our study provides additional information about
interactions between extrinsic and intrinsic factors in large
mammalianherbivoresanditseectsonantlersize[,,
, , , , ]. Our research is crucial for understanding
the role of environmental factors in studies on body size and
size of horn-like structures in relation to harvest of males
[, ]. In addition to considering eects of harvest on the
size of horn-like structures, our research demonstrates that
density-dependent inuences and cohort eects need to be
taken into account. Indeed, there is increasing evidence that
density-dependent mechanisms may override benecial and
detrimental eects of climate [, , ].
Conflict of Interests
e authors declare that there is no conict of interests
regarding the publication of this paper.
Acknowledgments
e authors thank many individuals that helped collect data
during the initial study and were already acknowledged in
McCullough (). For this study, the authors thank Z.
Simpson for data processing and D. M. Walcott and K. M.
Stewart for helpful reviews of their paper.
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