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Paleoseismicity of Sweden
a novel paradigm
Nils-Axel Mörner
Paleogeophysics & Geodynamics, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
At the time of deglaciation,
Sweden,
like the rest of Fennoscandia,
was an area of high to super-high seismic activity.
This novel paradigm
is here presented in a series of fifteen papers.
This book is a contribution
to the INQUA XVI Congress in Reno, Nevada, in 2003
by the Editor and Authors
and the Sub-Commission on Paleoseismology
of the INQUA Commission on Neotectonics
previously from the author (besides numerous research papers):
Earth Rheology, Isostasy and Eustasy
Editor: Nils-Axel Mörner
John Wiley & Sons, 1980
Climatic Changes on a Yearly to Millennial Basis
Editors: N.-A. Mörner & W. Karlén
Reidel, 1984
Bulletin of the INQUA Neotectonics Commission, Nos. 1–19
Editor: Nils-Axel Mörner
INQUA, 1978–1996
Printed in 2003
by
JOFO Grafiska AB
for
Nils-Axel Mörner
Paleogeophysics & Geodynamics
ISBN–91–631-4072-1
© Nils-Axel Mörner
Produced and distributed
by
Nils-Axel Mörner
Paleogeophysics & Geodynamics, Stockholm University, S-10691 Stockholm, Sweden
www.pog.su.se, Tel. 46-8-164671, Fax. 46–8-164675, E-mail: morner @ pog.su.se
CONTENTS
Paper Title Page
1 Paleoseismicity of Sweden. A novel paradigm 5
2 The Fennoscandian uplift; mode, amount and rates 9
3 Ground shaking and paleoseismic marker-beds 19
4 The Umeå region: the Röbäck structures and events 21
5 The Hudiksvall region: the Boda Cave and its surroundings 29
6 The North Uppland region: Gillberga Gryt and Mehedeby 225
7 The Mälardalen region: the autumn 10,430 BP event 229
8 Southeast Sweden 265
9 The Kattegatt – West Coast area 269
10 The “spotted zone” in the new light of paleoseismics
and methane venting 289
11 The new Active Tectonics map of Fennoscandia 295
12 Paleoseismic Catalogue of Sweden, 2003 301
13 Causal correlation between rate of uplift and paleoseismicity 309
14 Paleoseismics and General Quaternary Geology of Sweden
New aspects in the light of the novel concept of
a high deglacial seismicity 313
15 General Conclusions 319
The 15 papers included are not numbered but marked by their main heading in red.
Mörner: Paper 476-A
Paleoseismicity of
Sweden a novel paradigm
Nils-Axel Mörner
Paleogeophysics & Geodynamics, Stockholm University, Stockholm,
Sweden
Chapter 1
Paleoseismicity of Sweden
A novel paradigm
5
Paleoseismicity of Sweden
A novel paradigm
Nils-Axel Mörner
Paleogeophysics & Geodynamics, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Sweden, like the rest of Fennoscandia, has generally been considered to be a stable craton
with low to moderately low seismic activity. Whilst this may be true for today and preglacial
times, it is totally wrong for the deglacial phase with peak rates of glacial isostatic uplift
(Mörner, 1991). The seismic mode – in intensity as well as in driving forces – was simply not
the same as today. At the time of deglaciation, Sweden was a high-seismic region; in seismic
magnitudes as well as in seismic frequency. This has wide implications and we may hence
talk about a novel paradigm.
Geo-philosophy
The problem of continuity or discontinuity is vital in geology. We debate the present as a key
to the past and the past as a key to the present and future. The alternations between ice ages
and interglacials give firm evidence of drastic changes between two climatic modes. In
seismicity, however, we have no previous documentation of any significant changes in mode.
The Swedish data record a drastic change between a high to super-high seismic mode at the
time of deglaciation and a low to moderately low seismic mode today (Papers 5, 7, 13). This
has wide implications in paleoseismics and geodynamics.
Structural criteria
A fault may be easily identified in an open area. Fault covered by sediments and faults in deep
forests are very hard, sometimes even impossible, to trace by simple ground observations.
Therefore, we have to rely on secondary structures like bedrock fracturing, sediment
deformation, liquefaction, tsunami beds, slumps and other effects of ground-shaking. Our
studies of various forms of liquefaction and their relation to varves are of basic significance in
the study of paleoseismics in Sweden (Papers 5, 7, 9). The varve-dating often allows us to
assign an age of the paleoseismic event as to one single year. Because of this unique time
resolution, we are also able to define the spatial distribution of liquefaction which provides an
independent relative measure of seismic magnitudes (Paper 5, Fig. 5; Mörner, 2001).
Practical implication
Because of the drastic change in seismic mode between today and the time of deglaciation,
any statistical treatment of present day data will have no significance what so ever for long-
term safety and hazard estimates (Paper 5, section 12). The whole concept of a long-term
stability and hence a “safe” storage for an unguarded high-level nuclear waste repository falls
apart as fiction and expectation rather than sound geological facts (e.g. Mörner, 2001).
Geological implications
The concept of a high deglacial paleoseismicity including extensive ground-shaking (with
related deformation of sediments and bedrock surfaces), wide areas of liquefaction and
multiple tsunami events has fairly large implication in our understanding and interpretation of
Swedish Quaternary geology (Paper 14). So, for example, is the onset of the classical Yoldia
Sea stage (sensu stricto) in the Baltic now understood in terms of an exceptionally large
6
earthquake occurring in the autumn of varve 10,430 vBP which gave rise to a tsunami wave
that washed the Närke Strait free of pack-ice and ice-bergs allowing the Atlantic water to
invade the Baltic momentarily (Mörner, 1995, 1996). In several cases and especially in the
county of Halland, different sedimentary deformations were misinterpreted in terms of glacial
tectonics and frost activity with lead to quite absurd ideas regarding glacial conditions and sea
level changes (further discussed in Paper 9).
INQUA Neotectonics Commission
As secretary and president, I was for many years (1978-1994) responsible for the INQUA
Commission on Neotectonics. During this period, the commission transformed into a both
important and effective international body. In collaboration with a large number of
colleagues, we step by step built up a deep understanding of neotectonics and paleoseismics
as recorded in the annual Bulletin of the Neotectonics Commission (19 issues). From 1981,
we had a separate sub-commission on paleoseismics. No doubt, the INQUA Neotectonics
commission is the base also for our progress in Sweden.
Paleogeophysics & Geodynamics
Having been employed by the Swedish National Research Council since 1973 and organised
the international GDP-meeting in Stockholm in 1977 on “Earth Rheology and Late Cenozoic
Isostatic Movements” (Mörner, 1980), I, in 1991, got a separate unit at Stockholm University
on Paleogeophysics & Geodynamics. This initiated intensive work on paleoseismics and
neotectonics including Ph.D. projects (e.g. Sjöberg, 1994; Tröften 1997). After an intensive
debate, we were, in 1997, granted funding for the “Boda Cave Project” allowing us to work in
an effective international team and being able to present a heavy report built on integrated
studies using multiple parameters (Paper 5; Mörner et al., 2001). In 1999, we run a major
international excursion through Sweden visiting most sites of paleoseismic findings and a
number of key sites in the study of land uplift and sea level changes (Mörner, 1999).
Personal aspects
Our Boda Cave Report (Mörner et al., 2001; Paper 5) was finished and presented to SKB on
the Swedish National Day, June 6, 2001. We had an extensive observational material from the
whole of Sweden from Umeå in the north to Skåne in the south. Also, I had together with
Franck Audemard cleaned up and documented all available sites of liquefaction structures.
Therefore, I decided to compile all data in a separate book. This book on “Paleoseismicity of
Sweden” is a contribution to the INQUA XVI Congress in Reno in 2003 from the Sub-
commission on Paleoseismology of the INQUA Commission on Neotectonics.
Integration and interaction
Fig. 1 illustrates the integration of isostasy and eustasy in the observed changes in sea level in
Fennoscandia further discussed in Paper 2. It also, illustrated its potential in testing different
eustatic factors and the rheological parameter behind uplift. As output also comes a new
concept of neotectonics, which includes the presently presented new paradigm on seismo-
tectonics and paleoseismics with a high to super-high activity some 9000–11,000 years ago.
Fig. 2 illustrates the global geophysical system of multiple interacting parameters in
response to an Ice Age with formation of continental ice caps. The system includes many
different variables and effects operating in feedback coupling relation.
7
Fig. 1. Separation of isostasy and eustasy and their effects on different concepts.
Fig. 2. Global interaction of multiple parameters and their feedback coupling.
8
References
Mörner, N.-A., 1980. Earth Rheology, Isostasy and Eustasy (N.-A. Mörner, Ed.), John Wiley,
p. 1-599.
Mörner, N.-A., 1991. Intense earthquakes and seismotectonics as a function of glacial
isostasy. Tectonophysics, 188, 407-410.
Mörner, N.-A., 1995. The Baltic Ice Lake–Yoldia Sea transition. Quaternary International,
27, 95-98.
Mörner, N.-A., 1996. Liquefaction and varve disturbance as eveidence pf paleoseismic events
and tsunamis; the autumn 10,430 BP event in Sweden. Quaternary Sci. Rev., 15, 939-
948.
Mörner, N.-A., 1999. Sweden Excursion, May 1999. Sea level changes, uplift, paleo-
seismicity, climate, coastal dynamics. Excursion guide, P&G, Stockh. Univ., 81 pp.
Mörner, N.-A., 2001. In absurdum: long-term predictions and nuclear waste handling.
Engineering Geology, 61, 75-82.
Mörner, N.-A., Audemard, F., ., Bronge, C., Dawson, S., Grant, D., Kvamsdal, O., Nikonov,
A., Sidén, A., Sjöberg, R., Strandh, L., Sun, G., Tröften, P.E., Wigren, H. and Zykov, D.,
2001. The Boda Cave and its surroundings. The 9663 BP paleoseismic event. Report to
SKB, www.pog.su.se (public).
Sjöberg; R., 1994. Bedrock caves and fractured rock surfaces in Sweden. Occurrence and
origin. Ph.D.-thesis, P&G, Stockholms Universitet, 110 pp.
Tröften, P.E., 1997. Neotectonics and paleoseismicity in southern Sweden with emphasis on
sedimentological criteria. Ph.D.-thesis, P&G, Stockholms Universitet, 124 pp.
Note about the dating systems used in this book
In this book, I discuss dates derived from both varves and radiocarbon.
For distinction, I label varve-ages with vBP and C14-ages with cBP.