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Microscopic simulation to evaluate the traffic congestion mitigation strategies on urban arterials

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Abstract and Figures

Traffic congestion mitigation has many facets. Simulation modelling is of the useful tools for evaluating the congestion mitigation strategies and improvements. In the present study, VISSIM was selected as the simulation tool for microscopic modelling and evaluation. A comprehensive set of possible mitigation scenarios were identified after reviewing the existing literature and practices. Ring road in the Delhi's National Capital Territory was chosen for the case study. Several mitigation scenarios were developed. For evaluating these scenarios the Performance Measures chosen include; (a) Traffic volumes (b) Average speeds (c) Network performance (d) Individual link performance (e) Travel delay (f) Travel time (g) Change in Congestion Index. These performance measures were compared with the base case. It was observed that the traffic management option performs better vis-a-vis other alternatives. This study also suggests a methodology for measurement of micro level traffic characteristics in the congested corridors/locations.
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E
M
i
1
Abstrac
t
Traffi
c
congesti
o
for micr
o
reviewin
g
case stu
d
chosen i
n
Travel d
e
b
ase cas
e
also su
g
corridors
/
Key Wo
r
1. Int
r
Mi
c
alternat
e
these si
m
macro l
prevaili
n
______
Corres
p
E
uropean Tr
i
crosco
p
m
A
1
Senior Scien
t
t
c
congestion
m
o
n mitigation
s
o
scopic model
g
the existing
d
y. Several m
i
n
clude; (a) Tr
a
e
lay (f) Trave
l
e
. It was obse
r
g
gests a m
e
/
locations.
r
ds: Micro si
m
r
oduction
c
roscopic si
m
e
and their
m
ulation
m
evel and al
s
n
g road co
n
_
________
_
p
onding autho
r
ansport \ T
r
p
ic sim
m
itigat
i
mudapu
r
t
ist, CSIR-Ce
n
2*
Asso
c
Transportat
i
II
m
itigation h
a
s
trategies an
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ling and eval
u
literature an
d
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tigation scen
a
a
ffic volumes
l
time (g) Ch
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ved that the
t
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thodology f
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ulation, calib
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ulation is
performan
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odels help
c
s
o helps to
n
ditions.
_
________
_
r
: K. Ramach
a
r
asporti Eu
r
ulation
i
on stra
r
am Moh
a
n
tral Road Re
s
India,
a
c
iate Professo
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i
on Research
I
T Delhi, Hau
z
a
s many face
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(b) Average
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a
nge in Cong
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raffic manag
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ration VISSI
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a tool, wh
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apture the
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European Transport \ Trasporti Europei (2015) Issue 58, Paper n° 1, ISSN 1825-3997
2
Capturing the macro level data one can study the system behaviour in detailed manner.For the
current study, the simulation is carried out using VISSIM software. ‘VISSIM is the stochastic
traffic simulator that uses the psycho-physical driver behaviour model’ developed by R.
Wiedemann (1974).The VISSIM software evaluates the system performance by considering the
driver perceptual model, vehicle behaviour model of each traffic mode. The driver behavioural
model includes reaction time and response time based on this time driver can decide the lane
changing behaviour for increasing the speed of their vehicles (Fellendorfand Vortisch2010).
Urban congestion mitigation alternatives are somewhat difficult to evaluate before field
implementation even on a trial basis. And at times these may be costly too. Thus a tool or model
to test these alternatives is needed. There are some studies that have applied simulation for testing
the congestion mitigation strategies for freeways (Daganzo2012; Halkias et al. 2012). Further
there are too few studies are done for evaluation of urban congestion mitigation strategies (Zhang
et al. 2009). In the present study an attempt has been made to evaluate the congestion mitigation
alternatives which can be implemented through road agencies.Simulation application for
evaluating the congestion mitigation alternatives for urban arterials is studied by taking a case
study of New Delhi, capital city of India. A section of major urban arterial (Inner Ring Road) is
considered for the analysis.
Thus the objectives of the study can be out set as follows:
Formulation of alternatives for congestion mitigation
Selection of performance evaluation parameters
Evaluation of mitigation alternates
Suggestion for congestion mitigation
Rest of the paper is organised as follows; Section 2 describes the available literature on similar
study. Section 3 describes the description of study area and model development. Section 4
discusses driver behaviour models in VISSIM model calibration. Later section 5 focuses on
development of mitigation scenarios. Section 6 explains the evaluation of the mitigation
scenarios. Lastly the Section 7 gives the summary and conclusions of the study.
2. Literature Review
The quality of the outputs depends on the simulation models used in the development of the
simulator. There are two main components which influence the quality. They are car-following
and lane changing models (Dia and Rakha2005). Gao and Rakha (2008) in their work explained
briefly about five widely-used microscopic traffic simulation models such as AIMSUN2,
VISSIM, PARAMICS, CORSIM and INTEGRATION.The simulator VISSIM has a capability to
produce all traffic engineering parameters at the same time it is capability of modelling different
type of vehicles for all class of roads under different traffic control situations (Moenet al. 2000).
The existing simulation models cannot be applied directly as they require calibration with the site
specific data for making them relevant to the case study.There are a number of traffic simulation
studies whose primary focus is on calibration. Further, some of these studies have considered
single parameter for calibrating the simulation software.The calibration based on single parameter
fails to recognize the traffic parameters. The accuracy of the outputs in one parameter does not
European Transport \ Trasporti Europei (2015) Issue 58, Paper n° 1, ISSN 1825-3997
3
ensure the quality of the other parameter. Hence there are some studies taken multi parameters for
calibration and these studies are summarized in Table 1. In this study a multi-criteria parameter
calibration was proposed.
3. Study area and data analysis
The study area chosen for this study National Capital Territory (NCT) of Delhi has an area of
1,484 km2.The Inner Ring Road is 55 km long road that connects many important locations. In
this study a section about 10.0km Inner Ring road section taken, this section is facing regular
congestion problems. The simulation model for the collected traffic flow, travel speed, flyovers,
routing and geometric characteristics of actual conditions for a corridor of 10 km on inner ring
road of Delhi was developed. The Figure 1 shows the study section.
3.1 Data preparation for Simulation
Network Coding:The road network coded as links and connectors in VISSIM. Links should be
created to represent road segments that carry them through movements and general geometry and
curvature of the roadway. Links are connected by connectors, the connectors have additional
characteristics that affect driver behaviour, specifically lane changing, so it is important when
coding to take this into consideration and eliminate the excessive use of connectors (Crowe2009).
Vehicle Inputs:The vehicular attributes such as acceleration/deceleration, length, width etc. as
per the Indian vehicle fleet conditions are coded in 15 minutes intervals. The inputs for public
transportation vehicles such as frequencydwell time distributions, location of bus stops and bus
routes are carefully coded in VISSIM. The road way capacity is influenced by the speed
distribution and desired speed should be considered carefully (PTV VISSIM, 2011). The traffic
composition and desired speed distribution for all types of vehicles are coded in to thesimulation
software. The traffic composition and a typical speed distribution for three wheelers are shown in
Figure 2.
Signal Control Coding and PT inputs:Four fixed time signalized junctions are there in the
study area. Signal cycle time survey is conducted at all these signals using stopwatch, the signal
time are noted at least ten cycle times and the average signal time taken for coding, signal times
and signal phases are incorporated in to VISSIM inputs. Public Transportation (PT) inputs such
as frequency and dwell time inputs are prepared.
European Transport \ Trasporti Europei (2015) Issue 58, Paper n° 1, ISSN 1825-3997
4
Table 1: Simulation calibration studies by various criteria
Study Type of optimization Model
N
etwork Type Measure of Performance Results of best parameter
estimate
Hourdakis et al. (200) Heuristic search AIMSUM Freeway Volume 8.84 % (RMSPE)
Park and Qi (2005) Genetic algorithm VISSIM Freeway Interchange travel time 12.6 % (RSPE)
Kim et al. (2005) Genetic algorithm VISSIM Freeway network travel time 1 % (MAER)
Ma and Abdulhai (2007) Genetic algorithm PARAMICS Arterial network Flows 46.09 % (GRE)
Multi criteria’ parameter calibration
Toledo et al. (2004) Iterative averaging MITSIMLab Freeway Speed and Density 4.6 % (MAER for speed)
Balakrishna et al. (2007) Simultaneous Perturbation
Stochastic Approximation
(SPSA)
MITSIMLab Freeway Volume (Counts) 22 to 65 % (RMSPE)
Ma et al. (2002) SPSA PARAMICS Freeway Link capacity and critical
occupancy
0.70 % (Sum of GEH)
Duong et al. (2010) Genetic Algorithm VISSIM Freeway Volume and Speed 1.9 % (RMSPE Speed); 10.5 %
(RMSPE Volume)
Weinan and Jain (2009)
N
SGA II VISSIM Freeway Volume and Speed 1.0 (Volume Fitness) and 0.97
(Speed Fitness)
Toledo et al. (2004) Iterative averaging MITSIMLab Freeway Speed and Density 4.6 % (MAER for speed)
Balakrishna et al. (2007) Simultaneous Perturbation
Stochastic Approximation
(SPSA)
MITSIMLab Freeway Volume (Counts) 22 to 65 % (RMSPE)
Note: RMSPE: Root mean square percentage error, GRE: Global relative error and MAER: Mean absolute error ratio
E
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European Transport \ Trasporti Europei (2015) Issue 58, Paper n° 1, ISSN 1825-3997
6
requires a strong mathematical representation to capture the real world scenario. The car-
following models characterizes following vehicles which follows the lead vehicle. The models
types developed in VISSIM are discrete, stochastic models captures the interactions among the
vehicles(Wiedemann 1974).
Wiedemann 99 Model (Freeway Traffic)
Wiedemann 74 Model (Arterial / Urban Traffic)
For freeway links and connectors, the Wiedemann 99 model should be selected for car following
model. For most arterial links and connectors, the Wiedemann 74 car following model should be
applied. The study belong to urban arterial, hence Wiedemann 74 model was selected.
4.1 VISSIM Model Calibration
The default car following parameter set for the VISSIM Wiedemann 74 model is a good starting
point but it may need to be calibrated to better match with real-world conditions, especially when
trying to match flow rates, speeds and travel times to achieve real-world conditions.The
methodology used for the calibration of the VISSIM model is explained in theFigure 3.
4.2 Calibration Goals
Before starting the calibration process, one should frame the calibration goals based on the study
type and the availability of data. Calibration objective was to match the simulation data with the
field observed data. It may be noted that there is now well set procedure for calibration individual
should device the procedure for calibration and validation for complex transportation networks.
In this study the calibration process used to achieve adequate reliability/validity of the model by
establishing suitable parameter values so that the model replicates local traffic conditions as
closely as possible. The calibration parameters are selected after the literature review (Table 1),
the choice of parameter values can be specific to the project. The calibration goals selected for
this study are as follows:
European Transport \ Trasporti Europei (2015) Issue 58, Paper n° 1, ISSN 1825-3997
7
Figure 3: VISSIM Calibration Methodology flow chart
Satisfied
YE
Not Satisfied
Yes
No
Setup
Initial Evaluation using
Default Parameters
Calibration
Identification of calibration parameters
Setting calibration goals
Multiple runs
Calibrated Parameter set
Adjustthe key
Parameters
ranges
Validation
Statistical
System
Stop
Validation
within the
Limits? Stop
Model
Visualization
(2D&3D)
No
Yes
European Transport \ Trasporti Europei (2015) Issue 58, Paper n° 1, ISSN 1825-3997
8
Goal 1 Vehicle Speeds
Goal 2 Travel Times
Goal 3 Traffic Volumes
Goal 4 Visual Observation
Goal 1 - Vehicle Speeds:Modelled average speeds of all the vehicles to be within the acceptable
range of observed speeds on the study corridor. The allowable error in the speed should be within
10 percent.
Goal 2 - Travel Times:Travel time is good measure to know the performance of traffic; hence
the goal was formed as the average travel time on at least 75% of sections under
study,withinerror tolerance of 20%.
Goal 3 -Traffic Volumes:Link flows versus observed flows to meet criteria arethat, the link
volumes for more than 85 percent of cases to have a GEH statistic less than five.
Goal 4 -Visual Observation: In the simulation in addition to the technical parameters (speed,
volume etc.) it is equally important to see behaviour of the vehicles by visually for full simulation
time. The visual observation of the of the simulation gives fair idea about utilization of the lanes
at the merging and diverging and routing decisions at different routes and at bus stops.
Sometimes at merging the vehicles over run each other this type of behaviour observed in visual
observation several times in 2D and 3D.
4.3 Calibration Results
The study corridor is simulated using the default parameters of the VISSIM and the outputs of the
traffic flows at various points with respect to the actual volumes are observed. VISSIM output
and the actual field observation are quite different. Therefore, it is decided to conduct the
calibration and validation procedure (Park and Qi 2005).
Volume/Density
The first measure of proof of calibration is how closely field volumes match simulation output
volumes. A simple percentage difference is not a fair comparison of the wide range of link
volumes or turning movement volumes possible in the model. For example, a 10 percent
tolerance would allow a road link with 4,000 vehicles per hour (vph) to vary by 400 vph, but a
turning movement with 30 vph at an intersection could vary by only 3 vph to meet the
criteria.The best universal measure to compare simulation inputs and outputs is the GEH formula.
The GEH is a formula proposed by Geoffrey E. Havers, in the 1970s which is extensively used
in traffic modelling for comparing the modelled and actual values. GEH formula is not statistical
test; it is a empirical formula that has been using from many years for traffic analysis purposes.
This continuous volume tolerance formula was developed to overcome the wide range in volume
data.
The formula for the GEH statistic is:

2
 (1)
European Transport \ Trasporti Europei (2015) Issue 58, Paper n° 1, ISSN 1825-3997
9
Where M is the output traffic volume from the Simulation Model (vph) and C is the real world
Input traffic volume (vph)
GEH statistics shall be calculated for all mainline links and flyovers and for all intersection turns
at study intersections identified in the scope of work. In addition, the GEH statistic must be
calculated for all traffic volumes at all entry and exit locations in the calibration area of the
model. The GEH values gives as an indication of a goodness of fit and the ranges of GEH values
are given below;
GEH<5 Traffic Flows values considered as good fit
5<GEH<10 Traffic Flows values may require further investigation
GEH > 10 Traffic Flows values cannot be considered to be a good fit
The actual volumes collected from field and simulated volumes along with the GEH statistics are
presented in Table 2.
Table 2: GEH statistics for traffic volume
N
ame of location Actual volume
(vph)
VISSIM output
(vph)
GEH
Gupta Market (Lajpath
N
agar) 8975 8911 0.7
SrinivasaPuri 9765 9635 1.3
Maharani Bagh Bus Stop 11354 11218 1.2
Lajpath Nagar Flyover 4765 4494 3.9
Ashram flyover 5117 5129 1.43
Mother dairy 10583 10132 4.4
Before DND Flyover 11874 8344 35.0
The GEH statistics shows 86 percentage of sections are less than 5, this results shows good fit.
One section (Before DND flyover) have more GEH values, this point is end point of the
simulation section. All the vehicles are not crossed the exit point at the end of simulation may be
the reason for higher values.
Speed
The speed values are calibrated by changing different driver behaviour parameters in the model,
some critical locations are identified. The calibration process is carried out until stream speed
observed in the field equal to the simulation speed. Table 3 gives the percentage error observed
and comparison of simulated and actual speeds.
European Transport \ Trasporti Europei (2015) Issue 58, Paper n° 1, ISSN 1825-3997
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Table 3: Comparison of simulated and actual Speeds
Location Actual Speed
(km/h)
Simulated Speed
(km/h) Percentage Error
Gupta Market 32 32 0.5
Maharani Bagh 22 20 10.6
Travel Time
The Travel time data collected using the VBOX GPS for different type of vehicles such as car,
bus, two wheeler and three wheelers covering different days, all peak and nonpeak hours. The
data is analyzed using the performance software (hardware (GPS) specific). All the runs data is
exported in to GIS software and extracted the data pertaining to the study section, the data is
further analyzed to section level and the study corridor is divided in to four sections.The travel
times are calculated for different modes for each section. The results from simulation runs are
compared with the field data. The percentage errors observed are presented in Table 4 for car
mode, collected for two runs.
Table 4: Percentage error in travel times
S. No. Section name Error (%)
Run1 Run2
1 Mool Chand – Lajpathnagar Flyover -5.5 19.3
2 Lajpathnagar Flyover -79.0 -2.3
3 Link Between 2 Flyovers 20.1 45.5
4
Ashram Flyover end - DND Flyover
Start -0.6 8.2
Minimum Number of Simulation Runs
The average results of multiple runs is necessary due to the random nature of micro simulation,
but in order to ensure that the value reported is a true statistical representation of the average, the
following formula for a 95 percent confidence interval shall be applied:
2∗.,
(2)
Where;
R = 95-percent confidence interval for the true mean
.,Student’s t-statistic for two-sided error of 2.5 percent (total 5 percent with N-1
degree of freedom
S = Standard deviation of about the mean for selected parameter (Measurement of
Effective Ness (MOE))
N= Number of required simulation runs
European Transport \ Trasporti Europei (2015) Issue 58, Paper n° 1, ISSN 1825-3997
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It is not practical to test the statistical significance of the average of every data output. For
simplicity, this calculation should only be conducted for one or two measures of effectiveness
that are deemed most important to the outcome of the project, in this study traffic flow and speed
are tested by multiple runs. This calculation is only required for base model scenarios.
5. Development of Mitigation Scenarios
Urban traffic congestion mitigation measures encompass a set of strategies and techniques to
reduce the impact of congestion and improve the overall commute. Several mitigation strategies
are available for mitigation of congestion, using these strategies we can reduce the traffic
congestion on road users (OECD 2004). There are many possible combinations to mitigate
congestion; there is no single solution for congestion these solutions differ to place to place and
site to site. The mitigation strategy selected should have the following criteria.
Proven effectiveness in any studies for congestion reduction
The techniques and the combinations Untested
The solution should be easy for implementation
It should consider the minimum infrastructure modifications
It should interact and complement with other congestion mitigation programmes
In this study, different types of strategies were developed and tested using VISSIM. Further an
attempt has been made to find which of these the proposed congestion mitigation alternates have
the highest likelihood of reducing the traffic congestion on the urban arterials considered. The
simulation model based on the data such as traffic flow, traffic speed and road characteristics for
a corridor of 10 km on inner ring road of Delhi was developed (Figure 1). The set of scenarios
that were developed/tested for the study are as follows:
Scenario 1: Base Case (Do Nothing)
Scenario 2: Traffic Management
Scenario 3: Elevated Road Construction
Scenario 4: Shifting of the Bus Stops
Scenario 5 Dedicated Bus Lanes
The details of the each scenario are explained in detail
Scenario 1: Base Case (Do Nothing):Base case represents the existing conditions; the base case
network consists of approximately 10.0 km long, three bus stops, two flyovers and five signalized
intersections.
Scenario 2: Traffic Management:Traffic management (i.e. one way routes, diverting traffic one
route to other route, signal control etc.) is the option for mitigation of traffic congestion through
this technique we can effectively utilize the available road space. Delhi has 22 percentage of area
is covered by roads, which is highest in India. To utilize the roads with less utilized the traffic is
diverted to the less intensity alternate roads.
The study road (Ring Road) and the National Highway 2 (NH-2) cross each other at Ashram
intersection (Figure 1).the major turning movement at this intersection is right (i.e., Mathura to
European Transport \ Trasporti Europei (2015) Issue 58, Paper n° 1, ISSN 1825-3997
12
Rajghat), the right turning movement is merged with the Ring Road traffic which is a major cause
of the congestion. Hence it is proposed to restrict the right turning movement at this junction.
Further, this traffic is diverted to an existing Modimill cloverleaf interchange (Figure 4), NH-2
(Mathura Road) traffic intending to go right (Rajghat) side at Ashram Intersection will take right
turn at Modimill interchange and travel from New Friends colony road (alternate road) and merge
with Ring Road traffic at after Maharanibagh Bus Stop through underground subway. The traffic
diversion plan details are shown in Figur 4.
Figure 4: Traffic Congestion Mitigation Scenarios
Scenario 3: Elevated Road Construction:There are 17 flyovers on Ring Road (50.0km) most of
these flyovers are facing the congestion problems, about 30% of the Ring Road is elevated now.
If the entire road (remaining 70% ) is elevated the traffic congestion problem facing at the exiting
flyover which are constructed isolated manner may reduce. In this scenario it is proposed to
construct an elevated road width equal to the existing flyovers for entire corridor. Under the
elevated road can be used by the traffic coming from other roads and the buses can use this road.
The vehicle inputs are divided into two parts one for elevated road and other for under elevated
road, from the traffic surveythe share of traffic observed on flyover is 65% and remaining traffic
is under flyover, the same proportion is entered into VISSIM.
Scenario 4: Shifting of the Bus Stops:The locations of the bus stops are creating many
congestion problems on the road considered. The location of the bus stops moved to appropriate
nearby locations towards the intersection, the congestion created by the buses can be reduced to
certain level (Venglar et al. 2001). The three bus stops on the study corridor, i) Lajpath Nagar ii)
Sriniwaspuri and iii) Maharanibagh these are facing congestion problem almost every day.
Traffic Management (Scenario 2)
Shifting of Bus Stops (Scenario 4)
European Transport \ Trasporti Europei (2015) Issue 58, Paper n° 1, ISSN 1825-3997
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Hence under these scenarios, it is proposed to shift the bus stops to under flyover sections. It is
proposed to shift Lajpath Nagar bus stop to the junction nearby which is 500 m from the existing
bus stop location. Also the Srinivasapuri bus stop can be moved little away from the existing
location(200 m before the existing location). Maharanibaghbus stop is also to be shifted near to
Ashram intersection (Figure 4, shifting of bus stops).
Scenario 5 Dedicated Bus Lanes:The use of the private mode is the root cause of the traffic
congestion, by providing the good public transportation system such as bus can be introduced.
The success of any bus rapid transit system is dependent on making the bus transport mode
faster.In order to attract more people to use the bus is necessary to introduce certain bus priority
strategies (Papageorgiou et al. 2009). These may involve minor changes in the current road
infrastructure with the addition of bus lanes as well as changes in the traffic management
schemes with the introduction of extra traffic lights for signal pre-emption at road intersections
for buses. In this scenario a dedicated bus lane is provided from exiting lanes only (Vedagiri and
Jain2012;Mulley2011). A lane of 3.5 m width is considered as dedicated bus lane on extreme left
side of the carriageway and the composition of buses from the traffic stream is removed and the
new composition for the traffic is considered and inputs are given in VISSIM accordingly.
6. Evaluation of Mitigation Scenarios
Five testing scenarios were developed for study corridor. Every scenario was at least five runs
were made and the outputs were prepared for each run. After completing the simulation and the
outputs were analysed outside the simulation and the average of all the five scenarios simulations
runsare used for further analysis (Lownes and Machemehl2006).
6.1 Selection of Performance Measures
The evaluations of different scenarios are carried out by selecting appropriatePerformance
Measure (PMs). PMs vary case to case, present study deals with traffic congestion; hence PMs
used properly reflect the traffic congestion characteristics(Wheelerand Figliozzi 2011). The PMs
chosen for this study are listed below:
Traffic volumes
Average speed of all modes
Network performance
Individual link performance
Travel delay
Travel time
6.2 Scenario Outputs
The outputs collected from data collection points, travel time sections, network parameters and
link evaluation parameters as pre identified performance parameters and then analyzed in
Microsoft Excel. With these aggregate level data, graphs and tables were prepared for each
scenario and presented in Figure 5. They are discussed in detail in the subsequent sections:
European Transport \ Trasporti Europei (2015) Issue 58, Paper n° 1, ISSN 1825-3997
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6.3 Base Case (Do Nothing)
The base case is the do nothing case, this scenario consists existing conditions. The corridor of
length 10.0 km consists of four bus stops, two flyovers and four fixed time signals with lot of
merging and diverging sections.
6.4 Scenario 2 (Traffic management)
The spot speed at Guptamarket and Srinivaspuri is marginally decreased and the speed at
Maharanibagh is drastically increased almost double. The speed is increased to 37.89% at
network level. The average, stopped and total delays of this option is decreased to
37.89%,59.14% and 38.63%.The density (veh/km) at individual link level is decreased to
11.04%. The travel time decreased on Srinivasapuri 3.1% and travel time on Ashram flyover end
to DND flyover entry is decreased to 22.1% due to traffic impositions and traffic delay also
decreased on this sections. The network performance is very well in this option and the spot
speed at Maharanibagh is also increased considerably.
By diverting the traffic to low intensity road the network performance (delays, density and travel
time) is increased very much and the speed at critical location increased, it shows this scenarios is
mitigating the traffic congestion well with less cost because traffic diversion does not require
much money.
6.5 Scenario 3 (Elevated Road)
The spot speed at three location results shows that the speed are increased at all the location up to
41% only the location under Srinivasapuri section is decreased to 4%. The speed is increased to
12.36% at network level. The network level average, stopped and total delays of this option is
decreased up to 11.55%. The section level delay times for the elevated sections decreased up to
30% but even after elevated road option also the delay on DND section is increased 1.2%.The
travel times on all most all section decreased up to 30%. The travel time on elevated section
from Ashram to DND flyover entry is increased to 1.2%, travel times on under elevated sections
is increased to 45%. In this option the travel time and delay are increased on one of the section
(under elevated road) 50% of the sections the delay times are increased. This option performance
is better over dedicated bus lane.
This scenario elevated road, we are adding the additional capacity by spending some money, the
performance of this scenario is very well, but at some section (at grade section) where the at
grade traffic more, the travel time is increased marginally.
European Transport \ Trasporti Europei (2015) Issue 58, Paper n° 1, ISSN 1825-3997
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Figure 5 Congestion mitigation scenarios performance
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ChangeChange(%)
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AverageSpeed(km/hr) Density(veh/km)
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ChangeinDelay(%)
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European Transport \ Trasporti Europei (Year) Issue xx, Paper n° x, ISSN 1825-3997
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6.6 Scenario 4 (Shifting of Bus Stops)
The spot speed at three location results shows that the speed are increased at two
location Gupta Market 13.5% and Maharanibagh 54.1% and the speed at Srinivasapuri
is reduced to 8.1%. The speed is increased to 9.75% at network level. The average,
stopped and total delays of this option is decreased up to 18.29%.The density (veh/km)
at individual link level is decreased to 10.02%. The travel times on almost all the
sections are decreased up to 36%, nominal 2.7% decrease on Ashram flyover to DND
flyover entry. The travel time increased up to 21% both flyovers. This option
performance is very well other than two flyovers. The overall performance of this
option is well and the Srinivasapuri section performance is not good by this option there
may be some other reason for congestion other than the bus stop location.
The output shows by relocation bus stops have impact on network performance such as
delays and travel time deceased. The performance at certain location is not increased at
that location the relocation of us stop does not have significant impact, it shows that the
relocation of bus stops may reduce traffic congestion up to certain level only, it may not
reduce the traffic congestion fully.
6.7 Scenario 5 (Dedicated Bus Lane)
This scenario out puts shows that, the spot speeds of all the vehicles are reduced at two
locations (up to 3%) and of one location it is increased marginally. The average speed at
network level is decreased by 14.3%. The bus speeds in dedicated bus lane are increased
(50-80%) drastically, but other mode speeds in remaining two lanes are reduced (up to
9%). The average, stopped and total delays of this option is increased up to 33% and the
delay on one section is increased to 193%.The density (veh./km) at individual link level
is decreased to 2.74%. The travel times on the one flyover and under the flyover
sections are increased up to 121%. Travel time on one flyover, some sections where
there is bus stop located are increased (up to 50%). Network level performances are not
attractive in this scenario.
This scenario shows the reduction of network level parameters, because the existing
carriageway is reduced for all the modes, hence the speeds of these modes are reduced.
The performance of the bus speeds are increased drastically. This scenario works very
well if we construct the additional lane for buses, and also work very well when the
capacity of the roads are underutilized. It is observed in this study, the performance of
these scenarios is not good.
6.8 Change in Congestion Index
Congestion mitigation alternatives and their impacts on various parameters such as
speed, travel time, delay etc. are evaluated. In additions to these parameters the impact
of congestion index for various alternatives are calculated using VISSIM out puts.
Congestion index is recalculated at three critical locations namely Lajpath Nagar,
Srinivasapuri and Maharanibagh. The Figure 6shows the impact of arterial congestion
index by various scenarios. From the graphs the option traffic management is reducing
the overall congestion at all locations with respect to other scenarios.
European Transport \ Trasporti Europei (Year) Issue xx, Paper n° x, ISSN 1825-3997
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Figure6Congestion Index at a typical location (Inner Ring Road Delhi)
7. Summary and Conclusions
The spot speeds results show that the scenario elevated road, shifting bus stop have
some improvement of the speed, whereas the performance of traffic management shows
that the speeds are increased drastically. The Figure 7 summarizes the speeds for
various scenarios. The rest parameters performances with respect to the scenarios are
presented in Figure 6 (note in the Figure: The numbers shown in network performance
are denoted such as 1-Average Delay Time per vehicle (sec), 2-Average Speed (km/hr),
3- Stopped Delay(average) per vehicle (sec), 4-Total Delay Time (h), 5-Total Travel
Time (h) and the number given on x-axis for travel times and delays are represented in
the section names such as 1-Mool Chand to L Flyover entry, 2-Lajpath Nagar Flyover,
3-Under Lajpath Nagar Flyover, 4-Srinivasapuri Link Between Two Flyovers, 5-
Ashram Flyover, 6-Ashram Flyover to DND Flyover) (Mohan Rao 2013).
Figure7Spot speed comparison for all scenarios, (Inner Ring Road Delhi)
0
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024681012
CongestionIndex
Time
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GuptaMarket SrinivasaPuri MaharaniBagh
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AllVehiclesSpeed(km/h)
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Scenario3(ElevatedSection)
Scenario3(UnderSection)
Scenario4(ShiftingofBusStops)
Scenario5(DedicatedBusLane)
European Transport \ Trasporti Europei (Year) Issue xx, Paper n° x, ISSN 1825-3997
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7.1 Conclusions
The conclusions based on this study are presented below.
Traffic simulation models developed in VISSIM environment show a lot of promise
in the form of incorporating different vehicle types and test the various scenarios.
The based speeds and travel times for elevated road option seems to perform better.
The scenario of shifting of bus stops has led to the increase of spot speeds.
However, the congestion near Srinivaspuri has not come down in spite of shifting
the bus stop upstream, as downstream shifting was not possible due to its location
on the bridge (rail over bridge). On the other hand congestion has reduced at the
remaining bus stops upstream, Lajpath Nagar and Gupta market and downstream
(Maharanibagh bus stop).
The Traffic management option, that involves restricting the right turn movement at
Ashram intersection has performed well in terms of increased speed, the improved
the network performance measures like average delay, travel time, density. In this
way one can identify some critical locations on entire corridor and improve the
adjoining junctions that merge with the corridor.
The performance of the dedicated bus lane option results in marginal speed
reduction, while the network densities and travel times increased on all the sections.
However, its performance in terms of person/commuter movement is the best among
all other scenarios, by moving the same number of commuters in half the space, i.e.,
on the bus lanes.
Acknowledgements
One of the authors (AMR) wishes to thank, Dr. S. Gangopadhyay, Director, Central
Road Research Institute, New Delhi, India for giving permission to publish this paper.
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Microscopic traffic simulation models have been playing an important role in the evaluation of transportation engineering and planning practices for the past few decades, particularly in cases in which field implementation is difficult or expensive to conduct. To achieve high fidelity and credibility for a traffic simulation model, model calibration and validation are of utmost importance. Most calibration efforts reported in the literature have focused on the informal practice, and they have seldom proposed a systematic procedure or guideline for the calibration and validation of simulation models. This paper proposes a procedure for microscopic simulation model calibration. The validity of the proposed procedure was demonstrated by use of a case study of an actuated signalized intersection by using a widely used microscopic traffic simulation model, Verkehr in Staedten Simulation (VISSIM). The simulation results were compared with multiple days of field data to determine the performance of the calibrated model. It was found that the calibrated parameters obtained by the proposed procedure generated performance measures that were representative of the field conditions, while the simulation results obtained with the default and best-guess parameters were significantly different from the field data.
Book
The increasing power of computer technologies, the evolution of software engineering and the advent of Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS) worldwide has helped make traffic simulation one of the most used approaches for traffic analysis in support of the design and evaluation of traffic systems. The ability of traffic simulation software to emulate the time variability of traffic phenomena makes it a uniquely useful tool for capturing the complexity of traffic systems. While a wide variety of simulation software is available, no one book has presented a unified treatment of the subject. Fundamentals of Traffic Simulation is the first book to provide practitioners and researchers with a comprehensive treatment of the state of the art of traffic simulation. Leading researchers worldwide provide up-to-date information on: - Simulation as a well established and grounded OR technique and its specificities when applied to traffic systems. - The main approaches to traffic simulation and the principles of traffic simulation model building. - The fundamentals of traffic flow theory and its application to traffic simulation in Microscopic traffic modeling, Mesoscopic traffic modeling, and Macroscopic traffic modeling. - The principles of Dynamic Traffic Assignment and its application to traffic simulation. - The calibration and validation of traffic simulation models. This important work will appeal to professionals, including transport consultants, managers in design firms and government, and even simulation software developers. It will also provide researchers with the first comprehensive overview of the subject, and can serve as a text or recommended reading in courses on traffic simulation and transportation analysis.
Article
A mathematical framework and a solution approach are presented for the simultaneous calibration of the demand and supply parameters and inputs to microscopic traffic simulation models as well as a large-scale application emphasizing practical issues. Microscopic traffic simulation models provide detailed estimates of evolving network conditions by modeling time-varying demand patterns and individual drivers' detailed behavioral decisions. Such models are composed of elements that simulate different demand and supply processes and their complex interactions. Several model inputs (such as origin-destination flows) and parameters (car-following and lane-changing coefficients) must be specified before these simulation tools can be applied, and their values must be determined so that the simulation output accurately replicates the reality reflected in traffic measurements. A methodology is presented here for simultaneously estimating all microscopic simulation model parameters by using general traffic measurements. A large-scale case study for the calibration of the MITSimLab microscopic traffic simulation model by using the network of Lower Westchester County, New York, is employed to demonstrate the feasibility, application, and benefits of the proposed methodology.
Article
Research was undertaken to develop multicriteria tools for measuring and analyzing the impact of recurring and nonrecurring congestion on freight. Unlike previous studies, this work used several distinct data sources to analyze the effects of congestion on I-5 in the Portland, Oregon, metropolitan area: Global Positioning System data from commercial trucks, Oregon Department of Transportation corridor travel time loop data, and incident data. A new methodology and algorithms combine these data sources and estimate the impact of recurrent and nonrecurrent congestion on reliability and delays, costs, and emissions of freight movements. The results suggest that traditional traffic sensor data tend to underestimate the impact of congestion on travel times and variability of commercial vehicles. Congestion is detrimental not only for carriers' and shippers' costs but also for the planet because of increases in greenhouse gas emissions and for the local community because of increases in oxides of nitrogen, particulate matter, and other harmful pollutants. The developed methodology can provide useful freight operation and performance data for the freight community, transportation decision makers, and other transportation stakeholders.
Conference Paper
Traffic microsimulation is increasingly a preferred method of traffic analysis for today's transportation professionals. The importance of properly calibrating these traffic simulations is evidenced by the adoption of microsimulation calibration standards by several state and federal transportation authorities. A component of the calibration process is the calibration of the simulation for capacity. Capacity is a high-level measurement that is a function of many lower level user-defined input parameters. VISSIM utilizes psychophysical car-following models that rely on ten user-defined parameters to represent freeway driving behavior. Several VISSIM driver behavior parameters have been shown to have a significant impact on roadway capacity. This paper seeks further understanding of the performance of the VISSIM traffic microsimulator by investigating the impact of driver behavior parameter combinations on a measure of freeway capacity. This paper is intended to provide insight useful for manual calibration of VISSIM microsimulation or the development of calibration algorithms