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Range increase of a Neotropical orchid bee under future scenarios of climate change

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Along with other human impacts, climate change is an important driver of biological changes worldwide and is expected to severely affect species distributions. Although dramatic range shifts and contractions are predicted for many taxa occurring at higher latitudes, including bumble bees, the response of widespread tropical species is less clear due in part to scarcity of reliable occurrence data. Newly mobilized specimen records and improved species distribution models facilitate more robust assessment of future climate effects under various scenarios. Here, we predict both current and future distribution of the orchid bee Eulaema nigrita Lepeletier, 1841 (Apidae: Euglossinae), a large-bodied species widely distributed in the Neotropics whose populations within the Amazon region are believed to be controlled by cleptoparasitic Euglossini bees, such as Exaerete smaragdina Guérin-Menéville, 1844 and Aglae caerulea Lepeletier and Serville, 1825. Under both current and future scenarios of climate change, El. nigrita is expected to persist in deforested areas including those that might suffer desertification. While under current climatic conditions this species is not expected to occur in central Amazonia where the forest is still conserved, its range is expected to increase under future scenarios of climate change, especially in areas corresponding to the arc of deforestation in eastern Amazonia. The increase of human-related disturbances in this biome, as well as changes in the relationship of El. nigrita–Ex. smaragdina and El. nigrita–A. caerulea may explain the potential range increase of El. nigrita under future scenarios of climate change.
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ORIGINAL PAPER
Range increase of a Neotropical orchid bee under future scenarios
of climate change
Daniel P. Silva
1
Ana C. B. A. Mace
ˆdo
2
John S. Ascher
3
Paulo De Marco Jr.
2,4
Received: 9 April 2015 / Accepted: 28 September 2015 / Published online: 13 October 2015
ÓSpringer International Publishing Switzerland 2015
Abstract Along with other human impacts, climate
change is an important driver of biological changes
worldwide and is expected to severely affect species dis-
tributions. Although dramatic range shifts and contractions
are predicted for many taxa occurring at higher latitudes,
including bumble bees, the response of widespread tropical
species is less clear due in part to scarcity of reliable
occurrence data. Newly mobilized specimen records and
improved species distribution models facilitate more robust
assessment of future climate effects under various scenar-
ios. Here, we predict both current and future distribution of
the orchid bee Eulaema nigrita Lepeletier, 1841 (Apidae:
Euglossinae), a large-bodied species widely distributed in
the Neotropics whose populations within the Amazon
region are believed to be controlled by cleptoparasitic
Euglossini bees, such as Exaerete smaragdina Gue
´rin-
Mene
´ville, 1844 and Aglae caerulea Lepeletier and
Serville, 1825. Under both current and future scenarios of
climate change, El.nigrita is expected to persist in defor-
ested areas including those that might suffer desertification.
While under current climatic conditions this species is not
expected to occur in central Amazonia where the forest is
still conserved, its range is expected to increase under
future scenarios of climate change, especially in areas
corresponding to the arc of deforestation in eastern Ama-
zonia. The increase of human-related disturbances in this
biome, as well as changes in the relationship of El.nigrita
Ex.smaragdina and El.nigritaA.caerulea may explain
the potential range increase of El.nigrita under future
scenarios of climate change.
Keywords Amazon Brazil Climate change
Euglossini Deforestation Species distribution models
Introduction
Accelerating human population increase since the 1800s
has led to environmental disturbances such as landscape
fragmentation and habitat loss, contributing to the current
biodiversity crisis (Chapin et al. 2000; Foley et al. 2005;
Tylianakis et al. 2008). One of humanity’s most urgent
challenges consists of conserving biodiversity and main-
taining related functions and services such as pollination by
bees, but predictions of the response of biodiversity to
global change are distressing. General increases in Earth’s
atmospheric temperatures caused by carbon dioxide and
other greenhouse gases, and resulting climate changes are
predicted to cause major biological changes to species and
ecosystems worldwide (Root et al. 2003; Parmesan and
Yohe 2003; Thomas et al. 2004; Moline et al. 2004;
Parmesan 2006), and addressing this problem is an
Electronic supplementary material The online version of this
article (doi:10.1007/s10841-015-9807-0) contains supplementary
material, which is available to authorized users.
&Daniel P. Silva
daniel.paivasilva@gmail.com
1
Departamento de Cie
ˆncias Biolo
´gicas, Instituto Federal
Goiano, Rodovia Geraldo Silva Nascimento, KM 2,5, Zona
Rural, Urutaı
´, GO CEP 75790-000, Brazil
2
Theory, Metapopulation and Landscape Lab, Departamento
de Ecologia, Instituto de Cie
ˆncias Biolo
´gicas, Universidade
Federal de Goia
´s, Campus II, Setor Itatiaia, Goia
ˆnia,
GO CEP 74001-970, Brazil
3
Department of Biological Sciences, National University of
Singapore, 14 Science Drive 4, Singapore 117543, Singapore
4
Departamento de Ecologia, Instituto de Cie
ˆncias Biolo
´gicas,
Pre
´dio 5, Universidade Federal de Goia
´s, Campus II, Setor
Itatiaia, Goia
ˆnia, GO CEP 74001-970, Brazil
123
J Insect Conserv (2015) 19:901–910
DOI 10.1007/s10841-015-9807-0
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... Previous SDMs have shown that wild bees can invade large regions when considering the effects of CC in the future (Dew et al., 2019;Silva et al., 2015;Silva et al., 2017;Silva et al., 2018;Silva et al., 2020;Velez et al., 2017). The orchid bee Eulaema nigrita (Lepeletier, 1841), a large species that is currently widely distributed in the Neotropical region, should remain in deforested areas, including areas that may become deserts, while increasing their reach in areas corresponding to the arc of deforestation due to CC (Silva et al., 2015). ...
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Orchid bees compose an exclusive Neotropical pollinators group, with bright body coloration. Several of those species build their own nests, while others are reported as nest cleptoparasites. Here, the objective was to evaluate whether the inclusion of a strong biotic interaction, such as the presence of a host species, improved the ability of species distribution models (SDMs) to predict the geographic range of the cleptoparasite species. The target species were Aglae caerulea and its host species Eulaema nigrita. Additionally, since A. caerulea is more frequently found in the Amazon rather than the Cerrado areas, a secondary objective was to evaluate whether this species is increasing or decreasing its distribution given South American past and current climatic conditions. SDMs methods (Maxent and Bioclim), in addition with current and past South American climatic conditions, as well as the occurrences for A. caerulea and E. nigrita were used to generate the distribution models. The distribution of A. caerulea was generated with and without the inclusion of the distribution of E. nigrita as a predictor variable. The results indicate A. caerulea was barely affected by past climatic conditions and the populations from the Cerrado savanna could be at least 21,000 years old (the last glacial maximum), as well as the Amazonian ones. On the other hand, in this study, the inclusion of the host-cleptoparasite interaction complex did not statistically improve the quality of the produced models, which means that the geographic range of this cleptoparasite species is mainly constrained by climate and not by the presence of the host species. Nonetheless, this could also be caused by unknown complexes of other Euglossini hosts with A. caerulea, which still are still needed to be described by science.
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A widespread biogeographic pattern in nature is that population abundance is not uniform across the geographic range of species: most occurrence sites have relatively low numbers, whereas a few places contain orders of magnitude more individuals. The Bolson tortoise Gopherus flavomarginatus is endemic to a small region of the Chihuahuan Desert in Mexico, where habitat deterioration threatens this species with extinction. In this study we combined field burrows counts and the approach for modeling species abundance based on calculating the distance to the niche centroid to obtain range-wide abundance estimates. For the Bolson tortoise, we found a robust, negative relationship between observed burrows abundance and distance to the niche centroid, with a predictive capacity of 71%. Based on these results we identified four priority areas for the conservation of this microendemic and threatened tortoise. We conclude that this approach may be a useful approximation for identifying key areas for sampling and conservation efforts in elusive and rare species.
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The orchid bee faunas of Floresta Nacional do Rio Preto, Reserva Biológica Córrego Grande, and Reserva Biológica Córrego do Veado, in the northernmost portion of the state of Espírito Santo, southeastern Brazil, were surveyed for orchid bees for the first time. A total of 1,603 males belonging to 24 species were attracted to 16 different scent baits and actively collected with insect nets during 100 hours from December, 2009, to February, 2010. One species of Euglossa, known as strongly dependent on well preserved mature forests, once recorded at the region, was not found in this survey and may indicate the first documented local extinction of an orchid bee species. This species, which Atlantic Forest population has been treated as Euglossa analis Westwood, 1840, is here considered a new species, Euglossa marianae sp. n.
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A detailed synopsis of all the orchid-bee species known to occur in the Atlantic Forest Domain, eastern Brazil, is provided, including synonymy, complete type data, diagnoses, relevant data on biology and geographic distribution (with detailed localities of known occurrence of each species), colorful illustrations of onomatophores ("name-bearing type specimens"), and a list with the main references dealing with each species. Fifty-four species are recognized to occur in the Atlantic Forest Domain. Identification keys are presented for each genus and their species occurring in the Atlantic Forest. Euglossa carinilabris Dressier, 1982, Euglossa cyanaspis Moure, 1968, Eulaema (Eulaema) niveofasciata (Friese, 1899) and Exaerete lepeletieri Oliveira & Nemesio, 2003, considered junior synonyms of other species by different authors, are reinstated as valid species. A full discussion on the status of the four orchid-bee species described by Linnaeus is presented, as well as colorful illustrations of the four onomatophores. The two existing onomatophores of orchid bee species described by Fabricius are also illustrated and his Apis cingulata has been shown to be the species recently described as Eulaema (Apeulaema) pseudocingulata Oliveira, 2006, which, thus, becomes a junior synonym (syn. n.). Euglossa aratingae sp. n., Euglossa Carolina sp. n., Euglossa nanomelanotricha sp. n., Euglossa roderici sp. n., Euglossa roubiki sp. n., Eulaema (Eulaema) atleticana sp. n., and Eulaema (Apeulaema) marcii sp. n. are described as new species. Neotypes are designated for Eufriesea violacea (Blanchard, 1840) and Exaerete frontalis (Guérin- Méneville, 1844). Some corrections concerning the repository institutions of some onomatophores of orchid bees were also made: Eufriesea auriceps (Friese, 1899) holotype has been listed as belonging to the US National Museum (Washington) or to the American Museum of Natural History (New York) but, in fact, it belongs to the Zoologisches Museum der Humboldt Universität (Berlin); the lectotype of Eufriesea aeneiventris (Mocsáry, 1896) has been listed as belonging to the Istituto e Museo di Zoologia, Universita di Torino (Turin), but it actually belongs to the Hungarian Museum of Natural History (Budapest). Publication dates of both Exaerete frontalis Guérin-Méneville and Exaerete smaragdina Guérin- Méneville have been listed as 1845 but, in fact, the actual date is 1844. Based on the known geographic distribution and abundance of each species in orchid-bee inventories, IUCN criteria were applied and three species are recommended to be included in future lists of threatened species in one of the IUCN categories of risk: Eufriesea brasilianorum (Friese, 1899) and Euglossa cognata Moure, 1970 are suggested to be listed as "vulnerable", and Euglossa cyanocholora Moure, 1996 is suggested to be listed as "endangered". A fully annotated check list of all known orchid bee species is also presented as an Appendix.