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ORIGINAL PAPER
Range increase of a Neotropical orchid bee under future scenarios
of climate change
Daniel P. Silva
1
•Ana C. B. A. Mace
ˆdo
2
•John S. Ascher
3
•Paulo De Marco Jr.
2,4
Received: 9 April 2015 / Accepted: 28 September 2015 / Published online: 13 October 2015
ÓSpringer International Publishing Switzerland 2015
Abstract Along with other human impacts, climate
change is an important driver of biological changes
worldwide and is expected to severely affect species dis-
tributions. Although dramatic range shifts and contractions
are predicted for many taxa occurring at higher latitudes,
including bumble bees, the response of widespread tropical
species is less clear due in part to scarcity of reliable
occurrence data. Newly mobilized specimen records and
improved species distribution models facilitate more robust
assessment of future climate effects under various scenar-
ios. Here, we predict both current and future distribution of
the orchid bee Eulaema nigrita Lepeletier, 1841 (Apidae:
Euglossinae), a large-bodied species widely distributed in
the Neotropics whose populations within the Amazon
region are believed to be controlled by cleptoparasitic
Euglossini bees, such as Exaerete smaragdina Gue
´rin-
Mene
´ville, 1844 and Aglae caerulea Lepeletier and
Serville, 1825. Under both current and future scenarios of
climate change, El.nigrita is expected to persist in defor-
ested areas including those that might suffer desertification.
While under current climatic conditions this species is not
expected to occur in central Amazonia where the forest is
still conserved, its range is expected to increase under
future scenarios of climate change, especially in areas
corresponding to the arc of deforestation in eastern Ama-
zonia. The increase of human-related disturbances in this
biome, as well as changes in the relationship of El.nigrita–
Ex.smaragdina and El.nigrita–A.caerulea may explain
the potential range increase of El.nigrita under future
scenarios of climate change.
Keywords Amazon Brazil Climate change
Euglossini Deforestation Species distribution models
Introduction
Accelerating human population increase since the 1800s
has led to environmental disturbances such as landscape
fragmentation and habitat loss, contributing to the current
biodiversity crisis (Chapin et al. 2000; Foley et al. 2005;
Tylianakis et al. 2008). One of humanity’s most urgent
challenges consists of conserving biodiversity and main-
taining related functions and services such as pollination by
bees, but predictions of the response of biodiversity to
global change are distressing. General increases in Earth’s
atmospheric temperatures caused by carbon dioxide and
other greenhouse gases, and resulting climate changes are
predicted to cause major biological changes to species and
ecosystems worldwide (Root et al. 2003; Parmesan and
Yohe 2003; Thomas et al. 2004; Moline et al. 2004;
Parmesan 2006), and addressing this problem is an
Electronic supplementary material The online version of this
article (doi:10.1007/s10841-015-9807-0) contains supplementary
material, which is available to authorized users.
&Daniel P. Silva
daniel.paivasilva@gmail.com
1
Departamento de Cie
ˆncias Biolo
´gicas, Instituto Federal
Goiano, Rodovia Geraldo Silva Nascimento, KM 2,5, Zona
Rural, Urutaı
´, GO CEP 75790-000, Brazil
2
Theory, Metapopulation and Landscape Lab, Departamento
de Ecologia, Instituto de Cie
ˆncias Biolo
´gicas, Universidade
Federal de Goia
´s, Campus II, Setor Itatiaia, Goia
ˆnia,
GO CEP 74001-970, Brazil
3
Department of Biological Sciences, National University of
Singapore, 14 Science Drive 4, Singapore 117543, Singapore
4
Departamento de Ecologia, Instituto de Cie
ˆncias Biolo
´gicas,
Pre
´dio 5, Universidade Federal de Goia
´s, Campus II, Setor
Itatiaia, Goia
ˆnia, GO CEP 74001-970, Brazil
123
J Insect Conserv (2015) 19:901–910
DOI 10.1007/s10841-015-9807-0
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