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The Effect of Flexibility in Working Hours on Fertility: A Comparative Analysis of Selected European Countries

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Abstract and Figures

The main aim of this paper is to measure the extent to which part-time work enhances fertility for married or cohabiting women of fertile age. the study covers eleven European countries. the data used are a pool sample of five waves of the European Community Household Panel. Given that we believe that the decisions concerning fertility and labor market status are taken jointly, we carry out a simultaneous estimation approach. Results suggest that policy makers wishing to implement adequate part-time schedules so as to enhance fertility should look at the part-time schedules available in Belgium, Ireland and the Netherlands, which enhance fertility for women who take advantage of this flexibility measure so as to reconcile family and work.
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TABLES
Table 1 : Definition of Part-time in Selected European countries.
Statistical definitions* of part-time work. Selected
countries.
Other features concerning part-time.
Belgium Self classification
Denmark Self classification
France Self classification
Germany Combination: Self classification, but if a self classified part-
timer reports to work more than 36 hours/week is reclassified
as full-timer.
Workers that work less than 15 hours per week have no social
protection.
Greece Combination: Self classification, but if a self classified part-
timer reports to work fewer hours than stipulated in the
collective agreement of his activity is reclassified as part-
timer.
Ireland Cut off: 30 hours usually worked /week
Italy Combination: Self classification, but if a self classified part-
timer reports to work fewer hours than stipulated in the
collective agreement of his activity is reclassified as part-
timer.
Netherlands Cut off: 35 hours usually worked /week
Portugal Self classification
Spain Combination: Self classification, but if a self classified part-
timer works more than 35 hours/week is reclassified as full-
timer; if a self classified as full-timer work less than 30 hours
is reclassified as part-timer.
Workers that work less than 12 hours per week have no social
protection.
United
Kingdom
Combination: Self classification but, if a self classified part-
timer reports to work more than 40 hours/week is reclassified
as full-timer.
Workers that work less than 16 hours per week have no social
protection (21% of female part-timers work less than 12
hours)
Source: Van Bastelaer, Lemaître and Marianna (1997), Koopmans and Schippers (2003), MTAS (2000)
Statistical definitions used in the National LFS. They may differ from administrative definitions of the Country, which usually are referred to a fraction of the
"normal hours" worked in similar full-time jobs.
Self Classification: Based on the individual response to the question "Main job: Full-Time / Part-Time ?" in the national LFS.
Cut-off: Based on the individual response to the question "How many hours do you usually work per week?" in the National LFS. Then the National Statistics
Institute establishes a cut-off which is used to classify individuals as part-timers or full-timers if they are below or above such threshold.
Combination: The same as Self Classification but corrected for the National Statistics Institute following some threshold rule.
22
Table 2: Distribution of Part-time, 1994-1998.
Females, %, over total employment
Belgium Denmark France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain U.Kingdom
Average 23.69 17.50 18.44 22.15 11.81 23.50 14.60 43.58 10.40 14.05 30.51
BY AGE
16-20 19.1 31.5 31.2 4.8 13.9 17.6 11.7 32.0 6.1 17.1 28.7
21-25 19.6 12.4 19.0 6.7 10.6 10.3 11.9 18.9 5.5 15.8 12.8
26-30 16.8 10.3 15.4 14.6 11.4 14.7 13.0 23.6 5.9 13.8 19.9
31-35 28.4 12.7 18.4 25.1 11.4 24.0 14.6 46.0 6.2 14.4 33.9
36-40 26.6 14.1 17.8 28.4 9.0 32.6 15.3 58.7 7.6 13.5 37.8
41-45 25.4 15.9 18.3 27.4 8.3 36.9 15.9 55.4 10.0 13.9 33.1
46-50 20.3 21.0 19.2 27.0 11.7 33.8 15.1 53.8 13.6 12.9 32.8
>50 24.6 26.4 19.9 28.4 16.5 32.5 16.3 53.1 16.9 13.1 38.7
BY EDUCATION
Primary 31.9 22.8 26.0 24.6 13.9 36.1 13.9 44.3 11.2 17.2 39.4
Secondary 25.6 17.8 17.3 23.4 7.6 22.3 13.2 45.0 4.1 12.9 32.2
Tertiary 20.4 14.2 13.4 17.0 12.1 15.0 21.6 39.8 11.2 10.2 22.3
BY MARITAL STATUS
Single 12.2 15.7 15.2 5.8 9.3 11.0 10.7 16.9 7.9 12.9 15.3
Married 27.8 21.6 20.8 30.2 12.6 32.3 16.5 59.0 10.7 14.6 38.6
Other 17.7 10.3 14.1 17.4 12.0 34.4 11.6 38.0 14.3 15.9 27.9
BY TYPE OF CONTRACT
Permanent 23.4 15.6 15.6 22.9 4.3 16.8 11.0 43.0 6.3 7.9 28.7
Temporal 27.9 14.7 36.9 20.4 17.4 11.5 16.3 49.7 4.8 17.6 39.9
REASON TO WORK PART-TIME (AMONG PART-TIMERS)
Don`t want
work more 19.6 39.5 14.3 4.2 20.6 23.3 12.3 25.7 5.9 7.3 9.2
Housework 48.0 26.8 29.3 34.5 23.6 43.1 31.9 52.8 24.9 27.7 18.0
Can't find
Full-time 19.5 15.6 41.1 3.5 25.0 18.0 19.0 8.4 25.0 32.3 3.3
HOURLY WAGE (PART-TIMERS) / HOURLY WAGE (FULL-TIMERS)
0.33 0.41 0.28 0.32 0.37 0.27 0.42 0.32 0.43 0.26 0.21
Source: ECHP, 1994-98. All figures are % part-time among female workers except Reason to work Part-time which is measured only among part-
timers.
23
Table 3:Childcare provisions in Selected European Countries
Public funded childcare *
by age of child
Other institutional specific country
aspects
Age at which
compulsory
schooling
begins 0-3 years
(%)
3-6 years
(%)
Belgium 6 30 > 95 Reception families allow a great hourly
flexibility to parents. Parents can deduce up to
80% of the cost from their income taxes.
Hours of schooling are 7.
Denmark 748 82
After school centres also available
France 623 99
Only available in the mornings
Halte Garderies provide occasional care or for
few hours
Allowance to families for the employment of a
registered childminder (AFEAMA), pays the
social security contributions when a childminder
is employed and gives 800 francs to parents of
children under 3 (400 if aged 3-6). Also a tax
deduction up to 3750 francs a year. Not means-
tested.
Allowance for childcare in the home (AGED),
pays the social security of both employer and
employee if a person is employed to look after
children at home, for dual- earner families or lone
parent employed. Payment up to a maximum of
4130 francs a month (1996). Recipients of AGED
can deduct from their income tax a 50% of the
actual cost of care, up to a limit of 45000 francs a
year. Not means-tested.
Germany (West) 62 78
Only available in the mornings
Childcare out of school very scarce.
24
Table 3:Childcare provisions in Selected European Countries (cont.)
Age at which
compulsory
schooling
begins
Public funded childcare *
by age of child
Other institutional specific country
aspects
0-3 years
(%)
3-6 years
(%)
Germany (East) 6 50 100
Greece 6 3 (a) 70 (a) Greek schools hours shifts from morning to
afternoon
Ireland 62 55
Primarily served for low income families
Italy 66 91
Public funded childcare system are very rigid
and scarce.
Netherlands ** 5 8 (b) 71 (b) 95% children attend a nursery school at four
Portugal 612 48
Many care facilities open only five hours a day
and close for lunch
Spain 62 84
Very rigid and scarce childcare
United Kingdom 5 2 60 (c) Primarily served for low income families
Source : European Commission Network on Childcare and Other Measures to Reconcile Employment and Family Responsibilities (ed.) (1996): A Review of
Services For Young Children in the European Union 1990–1995. Luxembourg European Commission Directorate General V, Blossfeld and Hakim (1997),
Del Boca (2002) and Koopmans and Schippers (2003)
(a) Greece statistics referred to age groups 0-2,5 and 2,5-5.
(b) Dutch statistics referred to age group 0-4.
(c) British statistics referred to age group 0-5.
* Public funded means that more than half of total costs are paid from public sources (usually between 75-100%)
** In The Netherlands, public funds usually covers less than half of total costs.
25
Table 4 :Maternity, paternity and parental leave in Selected European Countries
Maternity leave (paid) Paternity leave (paid) Parental leave
(months)
Other
weeks RR Days RR
Belgium 15 82-75 3 100 6-12 Since 1996, career breaks are extended from a full/half
career break to full, 1/5, 1/4, 1/3, 1/2 career breaks.
Career-breaks program allows the worker to take a paid
leave of 3 to 12 months in relation to the birth of a child.
In 1998 a parental leave legislation entitles each parent to a
full-time leave of 3 moths or a part-time leave of up to 6
months. The leave may be taken until the child is 4 years of
age.
Denmark 18 flat rate 10 flat rate 6-12 1984 law entitles fathers to share the leave provided.
1992 law entitles each parent to a full time leave of 13
weeks (which may be extended up to 26 weeks upon
employers agreement). The leave may be taken if the child is
under one year of age.
France 16-26 84 3 - 36 Since 1997 the benefit may only be paid up to a social
security ceiling.
Unpaid leave up to the child is 3 years of age.
Childrearing benefit, provides a flat-rate benefit of 2694
francs per month (in 1996) available to families with at least
two children, being the youngest younger than 3 years if the
mother or father stops working completely or reduces hours.
Paid at a reduced rate if the mother (father) works part-time.
Germany 14 100 - - 36 Paid childcare leave up to the child's third birthday, since
1992.
Since 1992, parents receive a flat rate childcare payment
during the first two years of children's life. This entitlement
depends on household income.
Greece 16 100 - - 3.5 Legislation in 1984 entitles each parent to a leave of 3
months each. The leave may be taken until the child is 3.5
years old.
In 1996, the allowance for the third child increased from
103 € to 121€ per month. The age up to which this allowance
could be received increased from 3 to 6.
26
Table 4 :Maternity, paternity and parental leave in Selected European Countries (cont.)
Maternity leave (paid) Paternity leave (paid) Parental leave
(months)
Other
weeks RR Days RR
Ireland 14 70 - - - Since 1981 exists a dual benefit system. The basic flat rate
continued to be offered but a new system provided 70%
earnings for employed women only.
Since 1998, both parents may take a separate leave of 14
weeks each, until the child is five years of age.
Job Sharing, is an individual responsibility (not promoted)
that allows mothers to reduce hours of work by half reducing
their net income approximately a third.
Italy 22 80 - - 6 Duration of leave is 5 months (2 months before and 3
months after birth).
Since 1973 a paid childcare leave of six months is
available.
Netherlands 16 100 - - 48ª Legislation introduced in 1990 entitles each parent to an
unpaid part-time leave of six months (parent must work at
least 20 hours per week). Leave is not transferable and may
be taken until the child is eight years of age.
Government guarantees minimum income to every adult. A
couple wit h a 10 years old child receives 909 € per month.
Portugal 18 100 - - 6-24 1984 law entitles parents to an unpaid leave of 26 weeks
which may be extended to 2 years in special circumstances.
Spain 16 75 2 100 12-36 the maternity benefit is the 100% of benefit base. This may
not mean 100% of wage.
Since 1980 parents are entitled to a full time unpaid leave
until the child is 3 years of age. During the first year the
employee is entitled to return to his/her former job. After one
year, the employee is only entitled to return to a job of the
same level.
United Kingdom 14 flat rate - - - Legislation in 1991 created a dual system of benefits. The
basic flat rate benefit continued to be offered as the "State
Maternity Allowance".
Statutory Maternity Pay is offered to employed women.
Mothers are paid 90% of earnings for the first 6 weeks, then a
flat rate benefit for the following 12 weeks.
Since 1979 working mothers may be absent of work up to
29 weeks.
Source: Gauthier, A.H., Bortnik, A. (2001), Drew, E., Emerek, R. and Mahon, E. (1998) and European Observatory in Family Matters (1997)
RR is Replacement Rate of normal earnings during the period of leave. (a): Parent entitled to work reduced hours- non transferable.
27
Table 5 : Family related taxes and benefits. Selected European countries.
Tax system of
the couple
Non income related family
benefits
Income related family
benefits
Tax allowances Other benefits
Belgium optional Vary according to number of
children, age of the child,
employment status
non- existent Vary according to number of
children, age of the child
some tax relief for
children expenditure
Denmark individual Vary according to age of child,
lone parents
non- existent non- existent
France joint Vary according to number of
children, age of the child, lone
parents, mother's employment
status
Vary according to number of
children, age of the child,
lone parents, mother's
employment status
Vary according to number of
children
Germany joint Vary according to number of
children, age of the child
non- existent Vary according to number of
children, fixed accounts for
each child
special tax allowances for
lone parents
Greece joint Vary according to number of
children, age of the child,
(taxable)
Vary according to number of
children, lone parents
Vary according to number of
dependants
Ireland optional Vary according to number of
children
Vary according to number of
children
Tax exemption limit is
increased according to
marital status and number of
children
Italy individual non existent Vary according to number of
persons in the household,
lone parents
Vary according to number of
children
some school costs are
deducted from taxable
income
Netherlands individual Vary according to number of
children, age of the child
non- existent tax free allowance received
according to age of the child
Portugal joint Vary according to number of
children, age of the child
(various schemes) tax deduction according to
marital status and number of
dependants
Spain optional non existent Vary according to number of
children
tax deduction
pre-school care costs
deducted from taxable
income,
couples can be taxed
separately
United
Kingdom
individual Vary according to number of
children, lone parents
Vary according to age of the
child
non-existent lone parents can receive a
personal allowance
Source: Gauthier, A.H., Bortnik, A. (2001), Drew, E., Emerek, R. and Mahon, E. (1998), Koopmans and Schippers (2003)
and European Observatory in Family Matters (1997)
28
Table 6: Distribution of births by labour status of the mother
BELGIUM DENMARK FRANCE GERMANY GREECE IRELAND
Total % births Total % births Total % births Total % births Total % births Total % births
No Work 3111 7.4 853 16.9 4486 12.1 5112 10.0 6075 12.1 2271 9.6
28.0 19.5 30.3 23.3 39.8 45.1
Part-Time 2069 11.4 534 10.3 1752 9.1 3530 2.3 946 9.6 816 13.2
18.6 12.2 11.9 12.1 6.2 16.2
Full-Time 5926 8.3 2933 10.9 8545 6.2 13277 6.1 8238 6.9 1953 9.8
53.4 68.3 57.8 60.5 54.0 38.7
ITALY NETHERLANDS PORTUGAL SPAIN U. KINGDOM
Total % births Total % births Total % births Total % births Total % births
No Work 5326 9.0 6959 9.5 3013 9.4 7721 6.7 2823 13.5
49.1 35.8 33.6 52.9 32.0
Part-Time 956 11.3 6446 14.3 461 8.7 991 6.2 1884 10.7
8.8 33.1 5.2 6.8 21.4
Full-Time 4570 7.2 6060 3.9 5325 7.4 5878 5.2 4106 5.0
42.1 31.1 61.2 40.3 46.6
Source: ECHP, 1994-98.
Sample: Women aged 17-44, with partner, at any moment in the sample.
29
Table 7A: Estimation of Fertility - Workers Sample
Variables BELGIUM DENMARK FRANCE GERMANY GREECE
1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F
Constant 0.55
(0.43)
-0.47
(0.66)
-4.61
(2.06)
-1.37
(0.70)
-4.18
(0.91)
-1.10
(0.38)
-0.25
(0.89)
-0.89
(0.48)
-0.38
(0.47)
-0.67
(0.27)
Age -0.06
(0.008)
-0.08
(0.005)
0.0002
(0.01)
-0.02
(0.006)
-0.04
(0.01)
-0.02
(0.004)
-0.07
(0.01)
-0.06
(0.003)
-0.04
(0.005)
-0.06
(0.003)
FEMALE COMPLETED EDUCATION - REFERENCE: PRIMARY OR LESS (a)
University 0.29
(0.06)
0.18
(0.08)
0.13
(0.21)
0.07
(0.07)
0.17
(0.17)
-0.07
(0.06)
0.30
(0.12)
-0.20
(0.07)
0.55
(0.11)
0.44
(0.05)
Secondary -0.05
(0.06)
0.01
(0.08)
- - 0.25
(0.14)
-0.08
(0.06)
0.50
(0.14)
0.04
(0.05)
0.32
(0.10)
-0.09
(0.05)
PARTNER COMPLETED EDUCATION - REFERENCE: PRIMARY OR LESS (b)
University -0.07
(0.06)
0.02
(0.07)
0.36
(0.26)
0.14
(0.08)
0.02
(0.19)
0.08
(0.06)
0.01
(0.10)
0.19
(0.07)
--
Secondary -0.12
(0.06)
0.03
(0.07)
-0.13
(0.26)
0.06
(0.06)
0.12
(0.15)
0.001
(0.05)
0.03
(0.12)
0.005
(0.05)
--
HOUSEHOLD INCOME (c)
Log family
income
0.23
(0.07)
0.20
(0.09)
0.20
(0.29)
0.12
(0.09)
0.47
(0.13)
0.11
(0.05)
0.10
(0.12)
-0.05
(0.06)
-0.16
(0.07)
0.10
(0.04)
AGE OF THE YOUNGEST CHILD- REFERENCE: NO CHILD (d)
<3 years -----0.47
(0.15)
0.15
(0.05)
----
3-6 years -----0.44
(0.17)
0.11
(0.06)
----
>6 years -----0.93
(0.16)
-0.25
(0.07)
----
ρ
ρρ
ρε
εε
ε1v-0.95
(0.02)
-0.29
(0.60)
0.05
(0.36)
- -0.51
(0.08)
0.95
(0.07)
ρ
ρρ
ρε
εε
ε0v-0.40
(0.24)
-0.91
(0.05)
- -0.79
(0.07)
0.98
(0.21)
0.01
(0.01)
Standard error in brackets. Other variables included are: year dummies, dummies for region and occupation dummies when available.
Notes: (a) In Ireland education variables for females have been excluded for convergence problems. Very few observations in Denmark in the reference, so the reference in this
country is secondary or lower (b) Not included in Belgium , Denmark, Germany, Greece, Ireland and Spain, due to convergence problems. (c) Log family income is the log of
monthly net earning of the family minus wage of the women, measured in Euro. (d) Not included in Belgium, Denmark, Germany, Greece Ireland and Spain due to lack of
observations or convergence problems.
30
Table 7A: Estimation of Fertility - Workers sample (cont.)
Variables IRELAND ITALY NETHERLANDS PORTUGAL SPAIN U. KINGDOM
1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F
Constant -2.02
(0.73)
-4.60
(0.76)
-0.18
(1.20)
-0.01
(0.61)
-5.49
(0.44)
-12.30
(28.02)
-2.32
(1.10)
-0.66
(0.45)
-3.23
(1.02)
0.40
(0.40)
-2.43
(0.53)
-2.84
(0.71)
Age -0.05
(0.01)
-0.04
(0.008)
-0.06
(0.02)
-0.03
(0.008)
-0.03
(0.004)
-0.01
(0.006)
-0.02
(0.02)
-0.04
(0.005)
-0.05
(0.01)
-0.04
(0.004)
-0.03
(0.007)
-0.001
(0.006)
FEMALE COMPLETED EDUCATION - REFERENCE: PRIMARY OR LESS(a)
University - - 0.44
(0.28)
-0.06
(0.14)
-0.02
(0.09)
-0.02
(0.15)
0.13
(0.30)
0.07
(0.11)
0.32
(0.17)
0.30
(0.07)
0.009
(0.08)
0.01
(0.10)
Secondary - - 0.32
(0.16)
0.09
(0.08)
0.13
(0.08)
0.01
(0.12)
-0.12
(0.43)
0.16
(0.08)
-0.17
(0.20)
-0.21
(0.08)
0.01
(0.10)
0.08
(0.12)
PARTNER COMPLETED EDUCATION - REFERENCE: PRIMARY OR LESS (B)
University 0.34
(0.16)
-0.06
(0.12)
-0.11
(0.21)
0.31
(0.12)
---0.36
(0.39)
0.08
(0.12)
0.44
(0.17)
0.22
(0.07)
0.11
(0.08)
-0.09
(0.08)
Secondary 0.01
(0.14)
0.04
(0.10)
-0.37
(0.15)
0.02
(0.08)
---0.89
(0.48)
0.09
(0.08)
0.73
(0.15)
-0.05
(0.07)
0.10
(0.12)
-0.30
(0.14)
HOUSEHOLD INCOME(C)
Log (family
income)
0.29
(0.10)
0.58
(0.11)
0.16
(0.15)
-0.09
(0.08)
0.55
(0.06)
0.62
(0.11)
-0.21
(0.17)
0.05
(0.06)
0.33
(0.14)
-0.07
(0.05)
0.17
(0.07)
0.16
(0.09)
AGE OF THE YOUNGEST CHILD- REFERENCE: NO CHILD (d)
<3 years ---0.21
(0.21)
0.25
(0.12)
1.07
(0.06)
0.85
(0.15)
0.04
(0.20)
-0.04
(0.07)
- - 0.44
(0.14)
0.91
(0.19)
3-6 years ---0.14
(0.24)
-0.28
(0.13)
0.05
(0.10)
-0.48
(0.24)
-0.75
(0.36)
-0.34
(0.11)
- - 0.30
(0.16)
0.51
(0.23)
>6 years ---0.66
(0.22)
-0.53
(0.12)
-0.26
(0.08)
-0.26
(0.11)
-0.94
(0.29)
-0.47
(0.09)
- - 0.05
(0.14)
0.15
(0.18)
ρ
ρρ
ρε
εε
ε
1v0.48
(0.17)
- -0.28
(0.41)
-0.73
(0.13)
0.55
(0.39)
- -0.04
(0.20)
0.78
(0.13)
ρ
ρρ
ρε
εε
ε
0v-0.30
(0.20)
-0.39
(0.69)
-0.71
(0.13)
-0.35
(0.62)
-0.52
(0.09)
-0.41
(0.18)
Standard error in brackets. Other variables included are: year dummies, dummies for region and occupation dummies when available.
Notes: (a) In Ireland education variables for females have been excluded for convergence problems. Very few observations in Denmark in the reference, so the reference in this country is
secondary or lower (b) Not included in Belgium , Denmark, Germany, Greece, Ireland and Spain, due to convergence problems. (c) Log family income is the log of monthly net earning of
the family minus wage of the women, measured in Euro. (d) Not included in Belgium, Denmark, Germany, Greece Ireland and Spain due to lack of observations or convergence problems.
31
Table 7B: Estimation of Fertility - All women
Variables BELGIUM DENMARK FRANCE GERMANY GREECE
1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F
Constant 0.56
(0.42)
1.58
(0.10)
-2.75
(2.54)
-2.48
(0.36)
-2.85
(1.00)
-0.17
(0.15)
-3.50
(0.96)
-0.58
(0.22)
0.08
(0.73)
1.34
(0.16)
Age -0.12
(0.02)
-0.08
(0.004)
-0.04
(0.03)
-0.005
(0.003)
-0.03
(0.01)
-0.02
(0.003)
-0.06
(0.01)
-0.04
(0.002)
-0.06
(0.01)
-0.08
(0.002)
FEMALE COMPLETED EDUCATION - REFERENCE: PRIMARY OR LESS
University -0.17
(0.10)
0.16
(0.05)
0.09
(0.17)
0.10
(0.05)
0.12
(0.15)
0.09
(0.04)
0.44
(0.19)
-0.18
(0.04)
0.60
(0.15)
0.37
(0.04)
Secondary -0.50
(0.12)
-0.13
(0.06)
- - 0.21
(0.13)
0.06
(0.03)
0.77
(0.15)
0.03
(0.03)
0.29
(0.13)
0.08
(0.03)
PARTNER COMPLETED EDUCATION - REFERENCE: PRIMARY OR LESS (a)
University - - 0.28
(0.25)
0.02
(0.04)
0.12
(0.16)
0.004
(0.04)
-0.42
(0.15)
0.24
(0.04)
0.34
(0.15)
0.23
(0.04)
Secondary - - 0.10
(0.23)
-0.03
(0.04)
0.10
(0.14)
-0.002
(0.03)
-0.33
(0.11)
-0.02
(0.03)
-0.09
(0.12)
0.10
(0.03)
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
Log family
income
0.42
(0.17)
0.08
(0.06)
0.16
(0.25)
0.21
(0.05)
0.36
(0.11)
-0.01
(0.02)
0.31
(0.13)
0.07
(0.03)
-0.20
(0.09)
-0.12
(0.03)
AGE OF THE YOUNGEST CHILD- REFERENCE: NO CHILD (B)
<3 years -----0.46
(0.12)
0.09
(0.03)
----
3-6 years -----0.55
(0.15)
0.08
(0.04)
----
>6 years -----0.89
(0.14)
-0.05
(0.04)
----
ρ
ρρ
ρε
εε
ε1v-0.55
(0.27)
-0.38
(0.68)
-0.10
(0.31)
-0.74
(0.07)
0.85
(0.15)
ρ
ρρ
ρε
εε
ε0v-0.67
(0.19)
-0.99
(0.004)
- -0.97
(0.01)
-0.90
(0.01)
0.81
(0.25)
Standard error in brackets. Other variables included are: year dummies, dummies for region when available.
Notes: (a) Not included in Belgium , Ireland and The Netherlands, due to convergence problems. (b) Very few observations in Denmark in the reference, so the reference in this
country is secondary or lower. (c) Not included in Belgium, Denmark, Germany, Greece and Spain due to lack of observations or convergence problems. (d) Log family income is the
log of monthly net earning of the family minus wage of the women, measured in Euro.
32
Table 7B: Estimation of Fertility - All women (Cont.)
Variables IRELAND ITALY NETHERLANDS PORTUGAL SPAIN U. KINGDOM
1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F1
ˆ
F0
ˆ
F
Constant -0.46
(1.44)
-0.51
(0.26)
-0.37
(1.26)
1.10
(0.28)
-1.98
(0.64)
-2.14
(0.37)
0.40
(2.44)
0.01
(0.28)
-2.09
(0.79)
0.02
(0.20)
-2.71
(0.68)
0.02
(0.31)
Age -0.03
(0.01)
-0.02
(0.005)
-0.07
(0.02)
-0.04
(0.004)
-0.05
(0.005)
-0.02
(0.004)
-0.04
(0.03)
-0.04
(0.008)
-0.04
(0.008)
-0.06
(0.002)
-0.04
(0.009)
-0.02
(0.004)
FEMALE COMPLETED EDUCATION - REFERENCE: PRIMARY OR LESS
University 0.04
(0.20)
0.15
(0.07)
0.64
(0.22)
-0.05
(0.11)
0.11
(0.11)
-0.007
(0.08)
0.15
(0.45)
0.07
(0.12)
0.26
(0.11)
0.06
(0.04)
0.16
(0.09)
0.01
(0.05)
Secondary 0.02
(0.16)
0.17
(0.05)
0.28
(0.14)
0.01
(0.05)
0.16
(0.10)
-0.04
(0.06)
0.48
(0.56)
-0.02
(0.07)
-0.14
(0.13)
-0.04
(0.04)
0.12
(0.11)
0.07
(0.07)
PARTNER COMPLETED EDUCATION - REFERENCE: PRIMARY OR LESS (a)
University - - 0.10
(0.20)
0.16
(0.08)
---0.04
(0.41)
0.07
(0.12)
0.22
(0.13)
0.20
(0.04)
0.05
(0.09)
-0.10
(0.05)
Secondary ---0.29
(0.14)
-0.04
(0.04)
---1.06
(0.54)
-0.02
(0.07)
0.29
(0.10)
-0.01
(0.04)
0.08
(0.13)
-0.23
(0.08)
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
Log (family
income)
0.19
(0.10)
-0.02
(0.03)
0.07
(0.14)
-0.14
(0.04)
0.30
(0.08)
0.07
(0.05)
-0.03
(0.19)
0.01
(0.04)
0.04
(0.10)
0.05
(0.03)
0.28
(0.09)
-0.12
(0.04)
AGE OF THE YOUNGEST CHILD- REFERENCE: NO CHILD (B)
<3 years -0.62
(0.26)
0.36
(0.07)
-0.30
(0.17)
-0.06
(0.05)
0.50
(0.07)
1.33
(0.07)
-0.10
(0.24)
-0.15
(0.05)
---0.05
(0.19)
0.52
(0.07)
3-6 years -0.99
(0.26)
0.20
(0.09)
-0.26
(0.22)
-0.52
(0.07)
-0.54
(0.10)
0.21
(0.08)
-0.57
(0.34)
-0.38
(0.08)
---0.06
(0.23)
0.39
(0.10)
>6 years -1.17
(0.26)
-0.02
(0.13)
-0.79
(0.25)
-0.75
(0.07)
-0.89
(0.09)
-0.11
(0.07)
-0.95
(0.34)
-0.59
(0.09)
---0.31
(0.23)
0.12
(0.09)
ρ
ρρ
ρε
εε
ε
1v-0.24
(0.49)
-0.50
(0.28)
-0.03
(0.12)
0.32
(0.86)
-0.95
(0.07)
0.67
(0.21)
ρ
ρρ
ρε
εε
ε
0v- -0.86
(0.10)
-0.24
(0.43)
-0.04
(0.17)
- -0.55
(0.44)
0.51
(0.32)
-0.45
(0.14)
Standard error in brackets. Other variables included are: dummies for region when available.
Notes: (a) Not included in Belgium , Ireland and The Netherlands, due to convergence problems. (b) Very few observations in Denmark in the reference, so the reference in this country is
secondary or lower. (c) Not included in Belgium, Denmark, Germany, Greece and Spain due to lack of observations or convergence problems. (d) Log family income is the log of monthly
net earning of the family minus wage of the woman, measured in Euro.
33
Table 8A: Estimation of Part-time - Workers sample.
BELGIUM DENMARK FRANCE GERMANY GREECE IRELAND ITALY NETHERLANDS PORTUGAL SPAIN U.KINGDOM
Constant -0.64
(0.11)
-1.11
(0.17)
-1.53
(0.09)
-2.46
(0.09)
-0.98
(0.11)
-0.91
(0.38)
-1.62
(0.20)
-1.28
(0.07)
-1.62
(0.18)
-1.47
(0.12)
-1.31
(0.11)
Age -0.005
(0.003)
-0.005
(0.005)
0.002
(0.002)
0.009
(0.002)
-0.008
(0.003)
0.006
(0.005)
-0.01
(0.005)
0.01
(0.002)
0.02
(0.004)
-0.005
(0.003)
0.001
(0.003)
FEMALE COMPLETED EDUCATION - REFERENCE: PRIMARY OR LESS(a)
University -0.43
(0.04)
0.02
(0.06)
0.09
(0.05)
0.03
(0.04)
0.03
(0.05)
-0.58
(0.10)
0.47
(0.08)
-0.005
(0.04)
0.09
(0.10)
-0.07
(0.05)
-0.15
(0.04)
Secondary -0.12
(0.04)
- 0.008
(0.04)
0.25
(0.03)
-0.17
(0.04)
-0.27
(0.07)
0.13
(0.05)
0.05
(0.03)
-0.46
(0.09)
-0.19
(0.04)
0.09
(0.05)
PARTNER COMPLETED EDUCATION - REFERENCE: PRIMARY OR LESS (b)
University 0.12
(0.04)
-0.11
(0.05)
- -0.08
(0.05)
-0.12
(0.09)
0.02
(0.04)
0.25
(0.13)
-0.01
(0.04)
-0.10
(0.04)
Secondary -0.002
(0.04)
-0.05
(0.04)
- -0.08
(0.04)
-0.01
(0.05)
-0.06
(0.03)
-0.20
(0.09)
-0.01
(0.04)
-0.04
(0.06)
AGE OF THE YOUNGEST CHILD- REFERENCE: NO CHILD (c)
<3 years 0.42
(0.04)
-0.06
(0.08)
0.29
(0.04)
1.26
(0.04)
0.12
(0.05)
1.06
(0.08)
0.43
(0.07)
1.54
(0.03)
-0.07
(0.07)
0.42
(0.05)
1.23
(0.05)
3-6 years 0.16
(0.05)
-0.08
(0.10)
0.22
(0.05)
1.51
(0.05)
0.18
(0.06)
1.14
(0.10)
0.40
(0.08)
1.58
(0.05)
-0.11
(0.09)
0.22
(0.06)
1.25
(0.07)
>6 years 0.17
(0.05)
0.21
(0.08)
0.15
(0.04)
0.94
(0.03)
0.05
(0.05)
1.07
(0.10)
0.44
(0.07)
1.18
(0.03)
-0.16
(0.07)
0.15
(0.05)
0.98
(0.05)
ρ
ρρ
ρε
εε
ε
1v-0.95
(0.02)
0.29
(0.60)
0.05
(0.36)
-0.51
(0.08)
0.94
(0.06)
0.48
(0.17)
0.34
(0.36)
0.74
(0.13)
0.55
(0.39)
-0.04
(0.20)
0.93
(0.11)
Standard error in brackets. Other variables included are: year dummies, occupation dummies of the partner.
Notes: (a) Not included in Belgium , Ireland and The Netherlands, due to convergence problems. (b) Very few observations in Denmark in the reference, so the reference in this
country is secondary or lower. (c) Not included in Belgium, Denmark, Germany, Greece and Spain due to lack of observations or convergence problems.
34
Table 8B: Estimation of Part-time - All women
BELGIUM DENMARK FRANCE GERMANY GREECE IRELAND ITALY NETHERLANDS PORTUGAL SPAIN U.KINGDOM
Constant -1.54
(0.10)
-2.28
(0.15)
-1.80
(0.08)
-3.08
(0.10)
-1.86
(0.10)
-1.73
(0.14)
-2.07
(0.16)
-1.88
(0.06)
-2.13
(0.17)
1.63
(0.08)
-2.26
(0.10)
Age -0.0002
(0.003)
0.03
(0.004)
0.005
(0.002)
0.003
(0.002)
-0.003
(0.002)
0.002
(0.004)
-0.005
(0.004)
0.02
(0.002)
0.01
(0.004)
0.004
(0.003)
0.005
(0.003)
FEMALE COMPLETED EDUCATION - REFERENCE: PRIMARY OR LESS
University -0.09
(0.04)
-0.05
(0.05)
0.10
(0.04)
0.15
(0.04)
0.47
(0.05)
0.15
(0.06)
0.66
(0.07)
0.20
(0.04)
0.45
(0.09)
0.11
(0.04)
0.04
(0.04)
Secondary -0.007
(0.04)
-0.10
(0.03)
0.26
(0.03)
0.03
(0.04)
0.20
(0.05)
0.21
(0.04)
0.05
(0.03)
-0.25
(0.09)
-0.05
(0.04)
0.15
(0.05)
PARTNER COMPLETED EDUCATION - REFERENCE: PRIMARY OR LESS (a)
University 0.10
(0.04)
-0.06
(0.05)
0.30
(0.04)
-0.03
(0.05)
-0.09
(0.08)
-0.09
(0.04)
0.28
(0.13)
0.05
(0.04)
-0.08
(0.04)
Secondary 0.07
(0.04)
-0.08
(0.03)
0.18
(0.03)
-0.07
(0.04)
- -0.002
(0.04)
-0.18
(0.03)
-0.12
(0.09)
-0.03
(0.04)
-0.01
(0.05)
AGE OF THE YOUNGEST CHILD- REFERENCE: NO CHILD (B)
<3 years 0.32
(0.05)
0.09
(0.07)
0.08
(0.04)
0.24
(0.04)
0.08
(0.05)
0.58
(0.07)
0.21
(0.06)
0.64
(0.02)
-0.02
(0.07)
-0.05
(0.04)
0.75
(0.05)
3-6 years 0.13
(0.06)
0.14
(0.09)
0.11
(0.05)
1.02
(0.04)
0.19
(0.06)
0.52
(0.09)
0.22
(0.07)
0.36
(0.04)
-0.08
(0.09)
-0.22
(0.06)
0.92
(0.06)
>6 years 0.16
(0.05)
0.22
(0.07)
0.11
(0.04)
0.91
(0.03)
0.04
(0.05)
0.61
(0.08)
0.28
(0.06)
0.24
(0.03)
-0.06
(0.07)
-0.15
(0.05)
0.80
(0.05)
ρ
ρρ
ρε
εε
ε
1v-0.55
(0.27)
0.38
(0.68)
-0.10
(0.31)
0.74
(0.07)
0.85
(0.15)
-0.24
(0.49)
0.50
(0.28)
0.03
(0.12)
0.32
(0.86)
0.96
(0.07)
0.67
(0.21)
Standard error in brackets. Other variables included are: year dummies, occupation dummies of the partner.
Notes: (a) Not included in Belgium , Ireland and The Netherlands, due to convergence problems. (b) Very few observations in Denmark in the reference, so the reference in this
country is secondary or lower. (c) Not included in Belgium, Denmark, Germany, Greece and Spain due to lack of observations or convergence problems.
35
Table 9: Effect of Part -Time on Fertility
BELGIUM DENMARK FRANCE GERMANY GREECE IRELAND ITALY NETHERLANDS PORTUGAL SPAIN U.KINGDOM
All
01 ˆˆ FF
-0.22
(0.01)
-0.22
(0.008)
-0.09
(0.005)
-0.02
(0.001)
-0.07
(0.007)
0.10
(0.01)
-0.03
(0.001)
0.01
(0.0007)
-0.003
(0.0003)
-0.02
(0.001)
-0.06
(0.005)
workers
01 ˆˆ FF
0.56
(0.11)
-0.18
(0.01)
-0.05
(0.004)
0.07
(0.004)
-0.06
(0.005)
0.02
(0.0009)
0.13
(0.01)
0.05
(0.003)
-0.04
(0.002)
-0.02
(0.002)
-0.05
(0.003)
Standard error in brackets. 1
ˆ
F is the prediction of Fertility obtained in the estimation in Table 3 for part-timers. 0
ˆ
Fis the prediction for non part-timers.
Standard errors obtained by the Delta Method.
Source: Eurostat. 36
Graph 1: Total Fertility Rates. Selected European Countries
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998
Belgium
Denmark
France
Germany
Greece
Ireland
Italy
Netherlands
Portugal
Spain
U. Kingdom
Source: Eurostat. 37
Graph 2: Female Participation Rates. Selected European Countries
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Belgium
Denmark
France
Germany
Greece
Ireland
Italy
Netherlands
Portugal
Spain
U. Kingdom
Source: Eurostat and OECD data. 38
Graph 3: Cross Country Correlations Total Fertility Rates, Female Participation Rates & Female Part-Time Rates.
Selected European Countries.
-1
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998
TFR-FPR TFR-PTR FPR-PTR
Source: Eurostat data. 39
Graph 4: Time series correlation Total fertility Rates-Female Participation Rates
-1
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
Belgium Denmark France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain U. Kingdom
Temporary correlation TFR-FPR (1970-1984) Temporary correlation TFR-FPR (1985-1999)
Source: Part-time rates (% over Total employment), based on a common definition, OECD. 40
Graph 5: Female Part-time Rates. Selected European Countries.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Belgium
Denmark
Germany
Greece
France
Ireland
Italy
Netherlands
Portugal
Spain
UK
Source: ECHP, 1994-1998.Women 16-65 years. 41
Graph 6: Female labour status by age of youngest child. Selected European Countries.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
No child
Child 0 - 2
Child 3 - 5
Child > 5
No child
Child 0 - 2
Child 3 - 5
Child > 5
No child
Child 0 - 2
Child 3 - 5
Child > 5
No child
Child 0 - 2
Child 3 - 5
Child > 5
No child
Child 0 - 2
Child 3 - 5
Child > 5
No child
Child 0 - 2
Child 3 - 5
Child > 5
No child
Child 0 - 2
Child 3 - 5
Child > 5
No child
Child 0 - 2
Child 3 - 5
Child > 5
No child
Child 0 - 2
Child 3 - 5
Child > 5
No child
Child 0 - 2
Child 3 - 5
Child > 5
No child
Child 0 - 2
Child 3 - 5
Child > 5
Full-time Part-time No work
Belgium Denmark France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Netherlands Portugal Spain U.Kingdom
Source: Final sample, ECHP data. 1994-1998. 42
Graph 7: Labour status total women and women who give birth. Selected European Countries.
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Total
mothers
Total
mothers
Total
mothers
Total
mothers
Total
mothers
Total
mothers
Total
mothers
Total
mothers
Total
mothers
Total
mothers
Total
mothers
No work Part-time Full-time
Belgium Denmark France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Netherlands SpainPortugal U.Kingdom
... se debe a un cambio en ese momento en las variables que refieren la interacción entre familia y trabajo. 5 Para enfoques directamente vinculados a la interacción entre fertilidad y participación laboral ver, entre otros, ÁLVAREZ (2002), ARIZA et al. (2005), DE LA RICA y FERRERO (2003). ...
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... The opportunity costs of having a subsequent child and the tensions a mother experiences while combining paid work with taking care of her first child may also discourage her from having another (Bernhardt 1993;Kravdal 1994;Balbo et al. 2013;Goldscheider et al. 2015). It has been argued and empirically demonstrated that shorter or fewer career breaks and lower tensions between paid work and childrearing both facilitate birth transitions (Ariza et al. 2003;Begall and Mills 2011;Dommermuth et al. 2017). ...
... Particularly in Scandinavian countries (Esping-Andersen, 2002), public sector employment has been important for women being able to combine motherhood with employment and increasing fertility. Large public sector employment, and the availability of part-time or flexible schedules specifically, appear to be positively related to fertility decisions to some other European countries as well (Ariza et al., 2003;Adsera, 2011;Conti and Sette, 2013;Billari et al., 2009). However, Ariza (2003), found part-time employment to be conducive to work-family conciliation only in some contexts across Europe (notably Belgium, Ireland and the Netherlands) and neither research based on the US (Budig, 2003) nor on Spain (Martin Garcia, 2010) found a difference between full-time and parttime jobs in their effect on fertility. ...
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... The positive relationship in Figure 3.16 is what we would expect, given the assumptions of our rational decision making model -as Hill et al. argue, job flexibility should make it easier for women to be employed, increasing their net income and decreasing the cost of children (Hill, Hawkins et al. 2001). In contrast, using survey data from 11 countries, Ariza found a positive relationship only in half, and a negative relationship in the other 6 countries (Ariza, de la Rica et al. 2005), suggesting that some cultural or institutional factor might be at work. In the absence of better data, this will remain at the level of speculation. ...
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... Además de las limitaciones en la vertiente del gasto, cabe destacar que las mujeres españolas se enfrentan a un mercado laboral peculiar, sujeto a particulares rigideces e imperfecciones que han tendido a sostener la seguridad en el empleo de tiempo completo de los participantes del mercado de trabajo a costa de menores probabilidades de empleo para los nuevos trabajadores y para las personas que buscan empleo de tiempo parcial (Borra, 2010). En el mismo sentido, Ariza et al. (2005) señalan que en Francia, Grecia, Portugal y España el trabajo femenino de tiempo parcial es, principalmente, involuntario; mientras que en Dinamarca, Alemania, Irlanda, Países Bajos y el Reino Unido se puede considerar una elección de las mujeres. Esto es una señal de que faltan en el mercado de trabajo español empleos de tiempo parcial en condiciones aceptables o favorables, lo que ha conducido a que la mayoría de las mujeres que se incorporan al mercado laboral español lo realicen fundamentalmente mediante el empleo a tiempo completo. ...
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... Además de las limitaciones en la vertiente del gasto, cabe destacar que las mujeres españolas se enfrentan a un mercado laboral peculiar, sujeto a particulares rigideces e imperfecciones que han tendido a sostener la seguridad en el empleo de tiempo completo de los participantes del mercado de trabajo a costa de menores probabilidades de empleo para los nuevos trabajadores y para las personas que buscan empleo de tiempo parcial (Borra, 2010). En el mismo sentido, Ariza et al. (2005) señalan que en Francia, Grecia, Portugal y España el trabajo femenino de tiempo parcial es, principalmente, involuntario; mientras que en Dinamarca, Alemania, Irlanda, Países Bajos y el Reino Unido se puede considerar una elección de las mujeres. Esto es una señal de que faltan en el mercado de trabajo español empleos de tiempo parcial en condiciones aceptables o favorables, lo que ha conducido a que la mayoría de las mujeres que se incorporan al mercado laboral español lo realicen fundamentalmente mediante el empleo a tiempo completo. ...
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