The thermal regime of the shallow subsurface is mainly governed by the heat flow from the Earth’s interior and the temperature at the surface. Thermal signals from temperature vari-ations at the surface penetrate through the unsaturated zone mainly by heat conduction and can perturb the temperature distribution in the deeper subsurface. Thus, shallow subsurface temperatures are prone to be influenced by various processes, which alter the ground surface temperature. In particular, the thermal environment under urban areas is profoundly changed by anthropogenic activities and under several cities an increase in groundwater temperatures is observed. However, little is known about the spatial extension and intensity of these ther-mal anomalies in the urban subsurface, and the individual influencing factors and driving forces are not yet comprehensively understood. Moreover, also in rural areas atmospheric temperatures exhibit an increasing trend due to climatic changes. Yet, the direct implications of increasing air temperatures, and consequently ground surface temperatures, for the long-term temperature development in shallow aquifers are still unclear.
The first part of this study deals with the thermal conductivity of unconsolidated sedi-mentary rocks as an important parameter for conductive heat transport. Different methods for the determination of the thermal conductivity are applied on samples obtained from a bore-hole or on a pilot borehole heat exchanger, which is installed in the borehole. Thermal con-ductivity is measured on core samples in the laboratory and a Thermal Response Test is car-ried out to determine a corresponding value in the field. Furthermore, the thermal conductivity is calculated with different theoretical models under consideration of several ground parame-ters that are determined by laboratory tests. The best agreement between measured and calcu-lated thermal conductivity values is obtained using the geometric mean model. The accuracy of the thermal conductivity calculation is lower than the accuracy of the laboratory and field measurements, but it nevertheless represents a more accurate method than, for instance, pa-rameter estimation based on published values.
Furthermore, a detailed spatial analysis of groundwater temperatures under several German cities is conducted. It reveals that extensive positive thermal anomalies exist under each of the studied cities, with the highest temperatures usually occurring under the densely urbanized city centers. Yet, often many local hot spots are found, which result in a very heter-
Abstract
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ogeneous temperature distribution. A comparison with the magnitude of atmospheric urban warming shows that the groundwater warming is more pronounced, which reflects the long-term accumulation of heat in the subsurface. The spatial correlation of the subsurface thermal anomalies with the atmospheric urban heat island and the population density indicates that increased ground surface temperatures and heat loss from subsurface infrastructure, such as basements of buildings, may act as dominant heat sources.
Based on the identified heat sources an analytical heat flux model is developed in order to quantify the individual heat flux processes, such as increased ground surface temperatures and heat loss from basements and other subsurface structures. By modeling the heat fluxes into the subsurface of the city of Karlsruhe for the years 1977 and 2011, the long-term trend of the heat flux processes can be assessed. The highest heat flux densities in both years occur from the increased ground surface temperatures and the basements. Although the magnitude of the individual heat flux densities changed significantly over the last decades. However, the total annual heat input into the shallow urban aquifer originating from the considered heat sources accounts up to around 1.5 × 1015 J in 1977 and 2011.
Finally, the coupling of air and groundwater temperature development is evaluated by statistically analyzing time-series of several decades with special regard to abrupt shifts in the long-term mean temperature. The observed positive shifts in the aquifer temperature are linked to preceding abrupt increases in regional air temperatures, which can be in turn associ-ated with changes in the global mean air temperature. The increase in groundwater tempera-tures is generally found to be more gradual than atmospheric warming, as the thermal signals from the surface are attenuated and delayed by conductive and advective heat transport in the subsurface. However, it is revealed that these signals can have a pronounced impact on the development of groundwater temperatures in economically important aquifers.
Thus, it is shown that anthropogenic alterations at and beneath the ground surface as well as increasing air temperatures can significantly and permanently elevate groundwater temperatures in shallow aquifers. These temperatures changes may have a negative impact on groundwater quality and thus implications for drinking water supply. On the other hand, the extensive heat anomalies in the urban groundwater contain a vast amount of stored thermal energy that is continuously recharged from above. Therefore, the understanding of the thermal processes in the urban subsurface provides a useful basis for a sustainable management of this attractive geothermal reservoir.