Article

Optimal matching analysis in career research: A review and some best-practice recommendations

Authors:
To read the full-text of this research, you can request a copy directly from the authors.

Abstract

Optimal matching is a method for the analysis of sequential data. It allows researchers to detect patterns in career sequences or occupational trajectories. We first give a brief introduction to the method and review the existing career literature that employs optimal matching. To examine which data properties are required for optimal matching analysis, we conducted Monte Carlo simulations of career sequences with varying parameters for sequence length, sample size and missing items. We find that sequence length is the relevant factor for correct results, while sample size does not substantially affect result quality. Another important finding is that sequences with up to 30% elements missing can be used for optimal matching analysis. We also show which settings for the optimal matching procedure deliver the best results.

No full-text available

Request Full-text Paper PDF

To read the full-text of this research,
you can request a copy directly from the authors.

... : diurnes, mensuelles ou annuelles) suivant l'élément initial. Généralement, une longueur minimale de 25 unités temporelles est conseillée pour favoriser la stabilité et la reproductibilité des résultats (Dlouhy et Biemann, 2015). Avec les données utilisées pour l'illustration, le point de départ sélectionné est celui de la date de l'entrevue initiale à l'adolescence. ...
... Expliquée simplement, la méthode d'appariement optimal produit les mesures de dissimilarité en calculant le nombre d'opérations nécessaires pour rendre deux séquences strictement identiques par l'entremise de l'algorithme d'optimisation de Needlman-Wuncsh (Abbott et Forrest, 1986;Dlouhy et Biemann, 2015). Un petit nombre d'opérations génère une petite mesure de dissimilarité, ce qui en retour indique un haut niveau de similarité entre deux séquences. ...
... Elles comprennent notamment la méthode de classification ascendante hiérarchique (hierarchical clustering), les algorithmes de k-médoïdes (partitioning around medoids; PAM) et les single linkage clusterings. Dans le cadre de cet article, la classification ascendante hiérarchique a été retenue et appliquée aux données, puisqu'il s'agit d'une méthode largement répandue et qui génère souvent les meilleurs indices d'ajustement aux tests de robustesse post-hoc (Dlouhy et Biemann, 2015;Han et al., 2017). ...
... El tamaño de la muestra tiene un efecto pequeño, aunque para muestras grandes el cómputo puede requerir mucho tiempo y memoria. (19) Los datos faltantes son datos que no pudieron tomarse en un estudio longitudinal por diversas causas. Dentro de un ASS se puede trabajar con datos faltantes de varias maneras: considerar el dato faltante como un estado más del alfabeto de las secuencias, eliminar todos los datos faltantes, o asignar valores a los datos faltantes tomando en cuenta criterios de imputación. ...
... Se recomienda a lo sumo 30 % de datos faltantes. (19) Un agrupamiento incorrecto depende principalmente del tamaño de las secuencias. El tamaño de la muestra no afecta sustancialmente la calidad del agrupamiento. ...
... El método de Ward es el que mejores soluciones produce. (19) Lamentablemente, todavía no se cuenta con un software "amigable" que permita a salubristas y sociólogos el uso fácil del ASS (9), sin embargo, existen paquetes en software estadísticos como Stata y un paquete de software llamado TraMineR en el lenguaje de programación R. 4 (12) TraMineR permite la manipulación, descripción e interpretación de secuencias, y en general la minería de datos secuenciales para las ciencias sociales. Esta biblioteca permite importar archivos de SPSS o Excel, acepta diferentes representaciones de secuencias y tiene herramientas que permite la conversión entre formatos. ...
Chapter
Full-text available
El ASS a pesar de ser un método cuantitativo permite utilizar información cualitativa o mixta, se presentaron sus fundamentos, posibilidades para el análisis e interpretación de la información de salud, así como el software disponible para ejecutarlo, los desafíos metodológicos del método y sus propuestas de solución. Se brindan ejemplos de su aplicación en el ámbito sanitario en otros países y se ejemplifica la forma de usarlo para la vigilancia en salud del nivel de la natalidad detectado en las provincias del país durante los años 2010 al 2017.
... 255 Variable substitution costs from the observed transitions are commonly used, and are recommended for career sequences. 257 The lowest cost is selected when there is more than one solution to turn the sequences into one another. 254 The result of the pairwise optimal matching was a matrix (2595*2595) of the dissimilarity for each pair of sequences within the data. ...
... Then, similar sequences were grouped together using the dissimilarity measures with hierarchical cluster analysis with Ward's linkage algorithm. 254,255,257 This allowed for the identification of clusters of similar sequences that represented the types of working-life sequences among the newly diagnosed PwMS. Ward's linkage algorithm is widely used and often finds the most homogenous clusters. ...
... All sequences began on their own and at each iteration the most alike sequences (or clusters of sequences in later iterations) were merged. 231,257 Two to twelve final clusters were evaluated with commonly used measures of partition quality (e.g., Point Biserial Correlation, Hubert's Gamma, Average Silhouette Width). 231 The choice of the final number of clusters was also based on the hierarchical cluster tree diagram and membership sizes for the interest in including additional analytically meaningful clusters. ...
Thesis
Background: Multiple sclerosis (MS) affects many aspects of life and often leads to a reduction in an individual’s work capacity. This reduction, referred to as work disability, may lead to the use of social protections to replace lost earnings upon being absent and societal costs from the lost production. This thesis aimed to investigate the working life and economic situation of individuals in the early stages of their MS as well as the societal costs of MS. Methods: Four cohort studies using Swedish register data of working-aged individuals were conducted. Work disability was operationalised as net days with sickness absence (SA) and/or disability pension (DP). In Study I, the heterogeneity of disposable income (DI) trajectories from 7 years before to 4 years after the diagnosis year (2008-9) of 1528 people with MS (PwMS) was explored with group-based trajectory modelling. The trajectory members were characterised through use of chi2-tests and multinomial logistic regressions. In Study II, common patterns of working life among 2652 PwMS diagnosed in 2008-11 were identified with sequence analysis. Sequences from 1 year before and 5 years after the diagnosis year were constructed and the members of the sequence types were characterised with multinomial logistic regressions and dependent t-tests. In Study III and IV, productivity losses were calculated with the human capital approach from the days with work disability. Healthcare costs included the costs of specialised out- and inpatient healthcare as well as dispensed drugs. Excess costs of MS were estimated by comparing the all-cause costs of PwMS with the costs of matched references with independent t-tests. Study III quantified the annual excess costs of 1988 PwMS and 7981 matched references without MS from 4 years before to 4 years after the diagnosis year (2010-12). Generalised estimation equation (GEE) models tested the interaction of MS and time. In Study IV, the excess costs from resource use in 2018 with bootstrapped 95% CIs were estimated for 2806 PwMS in Stockholm and 28,060 matched references without MS. Primary healthcare and disease modifying therapies were also costed, with analyses stratified by time since diagnosis. Results: Seven DI trajectories were identified in Study I: Four increasing with different gradients (39.0% of individuals), two constantly low (50.7%), and one decreasing (10.3%). Older age profiles and higher proportions of men were observed in the increasing trajectories and higher proportions with work disability and without university education in the decreasing and constantly low trajectories. In Study II, six types of working life sequences were identified: Stable High Activity (48.4% of the sequences), three types with mixed activity and varying SA/DP regarding the number of days per year and timing (32.6%), Stable High SA/DP (14.5%), and Other (4.5%). Stable High Activity had the highest odds for university education. All sequence types, except Stable High SA/DP, had higher DI in the final study year than the first. In Study III, excess costs of MS were observed already before MS diagnosis. Mean annual excess costs of MS of 2285 SEK (95% CI: 613-3956) per person for healthcare costs and 16,310 SEK (95% CI: 8980-23,640) for productivity losses were observed four years before diagnosis. The excess costs of MS increased thereafter and were reflected in the MS and time interaction estimates. In Study IV, the mean annual excess healthcare costs of MS were 77,383 SEK (95% CI: 73,299-81,950) per person with MS. Primary healthcare accounted for 9% and disease modifying therapies for 48% of the excess healthcare costs. The mean annual excess productivity losses of MS were 138,121 SEK (95% CI: 149,224-146,985) per person with MS, mostly due to DP (79%). The resource use behind the excess costs of MS differed by time since diagnosis. Conclusions: The findings describe the economic situation of PwMS and quantify the excess societal costs of early MS. Most PwMS were in work and had increasing or stable DI in the study periods close to MS diagnosis. However, work disability was often and increasingly a part of PwMS’ working life and was associated with decreasing DI trajectories or relatively low levels of DI as well as unstable working life sequences. Excess costs of MS for lost production and healthcare use were incurred already before MS diagnosis and increased thereafter. The progression of the excess costs of MS reflected different patterns of resource use with time from MS diagnosis. The increasing excess costs of MS from productivity losses began in the early stages of MS and may reflect unmet needs of PwMS regarding morbidity and work capacity which early intervention may ameliorate. Full text available here: http://hdl.handle.net/10616/47911
... Individuals' occupational career sequences began in the month they started their job upon graduation. To obtain sequences of comparable length (Dlouhy & Biemann, 2015), we set career length to 120 months (i.e., 10 years); that is, we examined the first 10 years in individuals' careers upon graduation with a 1-month interval, irrespective of their actual career tenure. 1 Accordingly, we excluded 794 individuals whose career since graduation had a duration of less ...
... occupations. Substitution costs between all other occupational positions (e.g., 1 vs. 3, or 1 vs. the missing category X) were set to 2, the standard cost setting (Dlouhy & Biemann, 2015). ...
... After conducting an optimal matching analysis for all occupational career sequences in our sample, we obtained a symmetric 1512 Â 1512 dissimilarity matrix. Following prior recommendations (Biemann & Datta, 2014;Dlouhy & Biemann, 2015), we then clustered sequences based on dissimilarity using the Ward clustering algorithm. The TraMineR package for R (Gabadinho et al., 2011) was used for the analyses. ...
Article
Full-text available
While STEM occupational turnover constitutes a major concern for society given the importance of innovation and technology in today’s global economy, it also represents an opportunity to achieve career sustainability for individuals. There is ample research on the reasons why students drop out from STEM education, but evidence on STEM professionals’ career patterns and on correlates of occupational turnover after graduation is scarce. Drawing on the sustainable careers framework, the current study examines how STEM graduates’ careers evolve over time, revealing diverse patterns of occupational turnover and the relationships of such career patterns with work diversity characteristics in terms of sex and ethnic minority status, career success, and self‐employment. Using longitudinal data from 1,512 STEM graduates over ten years, results of an optimal matching analysis demonstrate six career patterns that can be distinguished into three continuity (STEM, part‐STEM, non‐STEM) and three change (hybrid, boomerang, dropout) sustainable career patterns. We find differences in sex, but not in ethnic minority status, across career patterns. Further, professionals who change from STEM occupations to non‐STEM occupations show higher objective career success and are more often self‐employed than those following a continuous STEM career pattern. Theoretical and practical implications of these findings are discussed.
... The size of the sequences should be chosen according to the probability of change in them. It is recommended to use sequences with at least 25 elements and the length of the shortest sequence should be at least 70% of the length of the longest sequence [88]. The sample size has a small effect, although for large samples the computation may require a lot of time and memory. ...
... Missing data can substantially worsen the results, but only if the percentage of these data is very high. At most 30% of missing data is recommended [88]. ...
... The sample size does not substantially affect the quality of the clusters. Ward's method produces the best solutions [88]. ...
... Similar sequences are grouped into patterns (Abbott & Tsay, 2000;Aisenbrey & Fasang, 2010). Dlouhy and Biemann (2015) reviewed more than 30 articles on OCPs and made methodological recommendations. In most studies, sequences and patterns of different activities or roles (education, employment, unemployment, family) and their extent (e.g., full-time, part-time etc.) were analysed using SA. ...
... Thus, hypothesis 1, which suggested several plausible OCPs would be discovered, was supported. These OCPs were new in that they showed both vertical and horizontal dimensions; they were more differentiated than patterns based only on type of activities (e.g., employment, unemployment, family, education) used in most studies (Dlouhy & Biemann, 2015). The patterns were usually dominated by one of the ISCO main categories (stable patterns) or by the change from one category to another at a higher skill level (upwardly mobile patterns); these enhanced patterns are similar to the ones in a Swedish study . ...
... When different OCPs were compared to test hypothesis 3 (i.e., predictors from adolescence) and hypothesis 4 (i.e., consequences at age 52) we found that the upwardly mobile patterns or the ones with high skill levels (professionals, associate professionals) showed more favourable conditions in adolescence and better outcomes in midlife than stable patterns or patterns requiring lower skill levels. This is consistent with previous research on OCPs (Dlouhy & Biemann, 2015) and career success (Ng et al., 2005). The results can also be interpreted in terms of career self-management framework (Hirschi et al., 2020). ...
Article
Full-text available
It is an open empirical question whether occupational trajectories are better described as linear or non-linear. We analysed occupational career patterns (OCPs) over a period of 36 years using longitudinal data from a representative sample of men and women of the German-speaking part of Switzerland. The participants were mostly born in 1963; the data collection spans from 1978 until 2015. For 584 persons, information about the occupational development from age 16 to 52 years was available. Each year’s activity was categorised using the International Standard Classification of Occupations. We conducted sequence analysis (optimal matching analysis) to find clusters and ANOVAs to compare group differences. The results showed six plausible and differentiated OCPs for both genders which support linear career models. For women, OCPs were generally stable. In contrast, men showed more change and upward mobility in OCPs. These patterns were influenced by indicators collected from participants when they were age 15, such as the family’s socio-economic status, the individual’s performance on intelligence measures and attitudes toward gender equality. Furthermore, we found several consequences of OCPs at age 52 on objective indicators of career success (status, income) and subjective indicators (work perception, life satisfaction and health status). Key messages We studied career development over a period of 36 years (from adolescence to midlife) in Switzerland. Six plausible occupational career patterns supporting a linear model were found for both genders. In women’s career patterns, considerable stability can be observed, while men show more upward mobility. Patterns of upward mobility are related to objective and subjective career success. </ul
... Drawing on an SA of an original data set of 117 Brazilian regulatory agency board members, we uncover five clusters of career paths in which most of regulators do not transition between the public and private sectors (private or public) after serving their terms. Compared with previous studies, we do not consider regulators' mandates as the starting or ending point of revolving doors; rather, we argue that a regulator's prior professional career will influence his or her future career path, as demonstrated in the extensive research related to different professional careers (Abbott & Hrycak 1990;Abbott & Tsay 2000;Aisenbrey & Fasang 2010;Dlouhy & Biemann 2015). ...
... In most research, regulatory board entrances and exits are assumed to be static factors that affect regulators in the same way throughout their careers (Cohen 1986). However, early career positions may affect postterm career positions (Abbott & Hrycak 1990;Abbott & Tsay 2000;Aisenbrey & Fasang 2010;Dlouhy & Biemann 2015). In particular, regulatory agency board members, who are our research focus, serve temporary mandates. ...
... Professional trajectories can also be understood from a sequence perspective because careers are a sequence of job positions over time (Spilerman 1977). SA applies longitudinal data techniques to compare career sequences to map patterns, and SA has been used extensively in career research (Abbott & Hrycak 1990;Abbott & Tsay 2000;Aisenbrey & Fasang 2010;Dlouhy & Biemann 2015). SA has the advantage of considering the trajectory as a whole and not only transitions, as in survival analysis, and it takes into account the order and duration of stages, which factor analysis does not do (Abbott & Hrycak 1990;Vannoni & John 2018). ...
Article
Full-text available
Research about professional trajectories of regulators highlights the exchange of personnel from independent regulatory agencies (IRAs) to the private sector, mainly based on US evidence. However, current studies indicate that revolving doors in different contexts may share more nuances, reflecting the role of different political institutions. Here we rely on sequence analysis to explore the trajectories of 117 Brazilian board members of IRAs, investigating: What are their typical professional trajectories? Which career path receives most of the benefits in postterm positions? The analysis uncovers five clusters of career paths in which most regulators do not transition between the public and private sectors but still benefit in direct and indirect ways from serving terms in IRAs. A different mix of market/bureaucratic/political incentives plays a role in the patterns of professional trajectories we uncover in Brazil. Depending on the context, regulators' trajectories might be driven by either market or state forces.
... In step 3, we chose optimal matching, a method largely used in social sciences [32,[40][41][42] to measure the distance (or dissimilarity) between patients' CT sequences for each of the three dimensions. For each pair of CT sequences, this method measures the minimal cost of transforming one sequence into the other. ...
... Then, based on this pooled distance matrix, we performed a hierarchical cluster analysis (HCA) in step 5 to classify similar CTs (or patients with similar CTs) [40], i.e., patients with similar sum of dimensionspecific distances were classified in the same group. In HCA, each patient starts in his own cluster, and then pairs of clusters are merged as one moves up the hierarchy, until all patients are combined in a unique group. ...
... In HCA, each patient starts in his own cluster, and then pairs of clusters are merged as one moves up the hierarchy, until all patients are combined in a unique group. The Ward's linkage criterion, also largely used in social sciences with dissimilarity measures [25,40], was chosen to find the pair of clusters that lead to the minimum increase in total withincluster variance after merging. The choice of the optimal number of groups or clusters was guided on statistical criteria (sum of squares or inertia). ...
Article
Full-text available
Background: Published methods to describe and visualize Care Trajectories (CTs) as patterns of healthcare use are very sparse, often incomplete, and not intuitive for non-experts. Our objectives are to propose a typology of CTs one year after a first hospitalization for Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD), and describe CT types and compare patients' characteristics for each CT type. Methods: This is an observational cohort study extracted from Quebec's medico-administrative data of patients aged 40 to 84 years hospitalized for COPD in 2013 (index date). The cohort included patients hospitalized for the first time over a 3-year period before the index date and who survived over the follow-up period. The CTs consisted of sequences of healthcare use (e.g. ED-hospital-home-GP-respiratory therapists, etc.) over a one-year period. The main variable was a CT typology, which was generated by a 'tailored' multidimensional State Sequence Analysis, based on the "6W" model of Care Trajectories. Three dimensions were considered: the care setting ("where"), the reason for consultation ("why"), and the speciality of care providers ("which"). Patients were grouped into specific CT types, which were compared in terms of care use attributes and patients' characteristics using the usual descriptive statistics. Results: The 2581 patients were grouped into five distinct and homogeneous CT types: Type 1 (n = 1351, 52.3%) and Type 2 (n = 748, 29.0%) with low healthcare and moderate healthcare use respectively; Type 3 (n = 216, 8.4%) with high healthcare use, mainly for respiratory reasons, with the highest number of urgent in-hospital days, seen by pulmonologists and respiratory therapists at primary care settings; Type 4 (n = 100, 3.9%) with high healthcare use, mainly cardiovascular, high ED visits, and mostly seen by nurses in community-based primary care; Type 5 (n = 166, 6.4%) with high healthcare use, high ED visits and non-urgent hospitalisations, and with consultations at outpatient clinics and primary care settings, mainly for other reasons than respiratory or cardiovascular. Patients in the 3 highest utilization CT types were older, and had more comorbidities and more severe condition at index hospitalization. Conclusions: The proposed method allows for a better representation of the sequences of healthcare use in the real world, supporting data-driven decision making.
... Für das Gebiet beruflicher Verläufe wurde kürzlich ein Überblicksartikel veröffentlicht und aufgezeigt, welche methodischen Punkte beachtet werden sollten (Dlouhy & Biemann, 2015). Die Literaturübersicht für den Zeitraum von 1990 bis 2014 weist mehr als 30 peer-reviewed Artikel nach und zeigt auf, dass vor allem seit 2007 immer häufiger Laufbahnen mittels OMA untersucht wurden. ...
... Die Suche nach beruflichen Verlaufsmustern wurde mittels Sequenzanalysen durchgeführt (Optimal Matching Analysis und entsprechenden Clusteranalysen), welche im Abschnitt zum Forschungsstand kurz beschrieben wurden. Eine wichtige Entscheidung beim Vergleich der Sequenzen betrifft die Bestimmung der Substitutions-und Indelkosten (Abbott & Tsay, 2010, Dlouhy & Biemann, 2015: Es gibt Studien, in welchen alle Kosten mit derselben Zahl gesetzt werden, da nicht genügend theoretische Gründe für unterschiedliche Kostenannahmen vorliegen. In vielen Studien werden aber aufgrund theoretischer oder statistischer Annahmen unterschiedliche Kosten eingesetzt. ...
... Berufsgruppen) liegen, ähnlich wie sie Huang und Sverke(2007)oderJepsen & Choudhuri (2001) präsentieren. Diese OCP sind neuartig und differenzierter als die reinen Tätigkeitsmuster (Erwerbstätigkeit, Erwerbslosigkeit, Familie, Bildung) in vielen bisherigen Untersuchungen(Dlouhy & Biemann, 2015). So können die Aufstiegs-und Fluktuationsmuster, die wir in Studie I mit theoretisch konzipierten OCP gebildet hatten, hier aufgefächert und besser erklärt werden. ...
Article
Full-text available
Wirtschaftliche und politische Entwicklungen haben in den letzten Jahren und Jahrzehnten zu grossen Veränderungen auf allen Ebenen geführt (z.B. wirtschaftliche Globalisierung, Wandel zur Dienstleistungsgesellschaft). Auf der individuellen Ebene sind statt klaren Normen und fixen Abläufen Wahlfreiheit, Offenheit und Flexibilität getreten, was mehr Entscheidungen und Anpassungsfähigkeit auf Seiten der Person verlangt. Was die Veränderungen auf der individuellen Ebene und im Verlauf des Berufslebens bedeuten, ist noch wenig untersucht worden. Wie wurden und werden diese Anpassungen beispielsweise von der Generation, die heute im mittleren Erwachsenenalter (ca. 45-55-jährig) steht, bewältigt? Um solche Fragen zu beantworten, braucht es Längsschnittdaten, welche Berufsverläufe über eine längere Zeit verfolgen. Anhand der Daten der Zürcher-Längsschnittstudie, welche eine repräsentative Deutschschweizer Stichprobe mit dem Jahrgang 1963 umfasst, konnten in einem ersten Projekt verschiedene Aspekte von Laufbahnen vom 15. bis zum 49. Lebensjahr beschrieben werden. Wichtige Fragen blieben jedoch offen, die mit diesem Folgeprojekt geklärt werden sollten. Durch eine Erweiterung der Stichprobe sollte es möglich sein, insbesondere auch Fragen betreffend Laufbahnmustern und Berufsverläufen bestimmter Personen- und Berufsgruppen genauer zu analysieren. Zusätzlich sollten zentrale Aspekte der Persönlichkeit erneut untersucht werden. Neu wurden auch die aktuelle Lebenssituation und gesundheitliche Aspekte differenziert erhoben. Der Rücklauf beträgt für die gesamte Stichprobe 71%: 806 Personen haben erneut teilgenommen, und von diesen Personen liegen nun Angaben über ihre Berufslaufbahn und deren Determinanten vom 15. bis zum 52 Lebensjahr vor. Durch die differenzierte Erfassung der Berufslaufbahn und einer Vielzahl von psychosozialen Merkmalen aus der Jugendzeit und im mittleren Erwachsenenalter war es möglich, Laufbahnen unter einer ganzheitlichen, entwicklungspsychologischen Sicht zu betrachten. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass wir erwartungsgemäss sowohl Kontinuität wie auch Wandel finden. Erstaunlich ist aber doch die grosse Kontinuität resp. Anpassungsfähigkeit und kontinuierliche Weiterentwicklung, die sich in unseren Daten zeigt. Die erste Berufswahl und die erste Berufsausbildung sind wegweisend für die weitere Entwicklung. Trotzdem sind danach noch vielfältige Anpassungen und Veränderungen möglich. Die berufliche Laufbahn konnte sehr differenziert untersucht werden und es ist gelungen, verschiedene klare Muster in Berufsverläufen zu identifizieren. Die Muster unterscheiden sich deutlich zwischen den Geschlechtern und teilweise zwischen wirtschaftlichen Sektoren/Ausbildungsberufen. Während sich bei Frauen im Durchschnitt mehr Kontinuität abzeichnet, fallen bei Männern mehr berufliche Wechsel auf (z.B. in Richtung Spezialisierung und Aufstieg). Die Durchlässigkeit im Schweizer Bildungssystem zeigt sich auch in unseren Daten; viel Personen bilden sich weiter auf Fachhochschulniveau oder in der höheren Berufsbildung. Erstaunlich war die grosse Adaptationsfähigkeit der Personen, welche sich oft unabhängig von ihrem beruflichen Werdegang, möglichen Schicksalsschlägen oder ihrer aktuellen Lebenslage in verschiedenen Lebensbereichen gut entwickelt haben. Je nach Sektor verlaufen Laufbahnen auch unterschiedlich: Im Dienstleistungssektor kann eher von Kontinuität ausgegangen werden, während im Produktionssektor (Industrie, Gewerbe) eher Anpassungen in Form von Weiterbildung und Weiterentwicklung notwendig sind. Dennoch gibt es Gruppen von Personen, welche schwierigere Entwicklungen zeigen: Dies zeigt sich teilweise bereits bei Verhaltensproblemen in der Schule (erfasst durch die Einschätzung der Lehrpersonen), bei Auffälligkeiten im Bereich Suchtverhalten mit 15 Jahren, oder auch bei weniger erfolgreichen schulischen Laufbahnen (tiefe Schulabschlüsse). Einzelne Laufbahnmuster stehen weiter mit möglichen gesundheitlichen Problemen in einem Zusammenhang: Speziell die Gruppe der handwerklich-technischen Berufe beklagt sich über gesundheitliche Probleme, wahrscheinlich mitverursacht durch jahrzehntelange körperliche Beanspruchung. Einzigartig an der Studie war die Wiederholungsmessung der Persönlichkeit im Alter von 52 Jahren. Es zeigte sich, dass sich Persönlichkeitsmerkmale teilweise (manchmal auch beruflich bedingt) verändern, aber auch stabil bleiben und die Jugendpersönlichkeit damit ein guter Prädiktor für die Vorhersage der Laufbahn sein kann. Interessant war der Befund, dass die Passung zwischen Persönlichkeit und Berufstätigkeit (gemessen nach den Berufsfeldern von J. Holland) insgesamt sehr gross ist über die Laufbahn sogar teilweise noch zunimmt. Trotz Veränderungen auf dem Arbeitsmarkt und dem Druck nach Flexibilisierung und ständiger Veränderung bleibt die Persönlichkeit eine wichtige Steuergrösse beruflicher Entscheidungen. Unsere Studie zeigt eine Reihe von Ressourcen und auch Risikofaktoren für berufliche Entwicklungsverläufe und die spätere Lebenssituation (z.B. auch im Bereich Gesundheit) auf: Dies sind zum einen bekannte strukturelle Merkmale (Herkunftsfamilie, absolvierte Schulbildung) und persönliche Merkmale (Intelligenz, Selbstwirksamkeit, Instrumentalität, etc.), aber auch weitere bisher weniger beachtete Merkmale erwiesen sich als relevant: Bedeutung von Unterbrüchen in der Berufslaufbahn, Investition in Aus- und Weiterbildung, «Job-Involvement» (Arbeitsumfang), Prädiktionskraft von «sozio-emotionalen-Kompetenzen», Aspekte sozialer Unterstützung, etc. Die Ergebnisse sind bedeutsam auf verschiedenen Ebenen und für verschiedene Zielgruppen: Die Ergebnisse stellen beispielsweise auf der Ebene Berufsbildung und Arbeitsmarkt eine Bestätigung für den eingeschlagenen Weg dar. Die Berufsbildung bildet offenbar eine gute Grundlage und Voraussetzung. Das System ist zudem durchlässig genug, um dies zu ermöglichen. Sie weisen aber auch auf sensible Punkte im System hin, wo noch Handlungsbedarf besteht, z.B. Diversity-Management von weniger privilegierten Gruppen. Ansätze zur Steigerung der Work-Life-Balance v.a. bei den Frauen sind weiter zu suchen, damit ihr Potenzial der Schweizer Wirtschaft möglichst kontinuierlich zur Verfügung steht; dies kann den Bereich Arbeitsausgestaltung betreffen (z.B. Arbeitsumfang), gezielte Unterstützung durch Vorgesetzte, aber auch Begleitung durch geeignete Karriereberatung. Damit könnte auch der Fachkräftemangel speziell im Gesundheits- und in anderen Dienstleistungsbereichen teilweise entschärft werden. Eine breite Palette weiterer Handlungsempfehlungen können für verschiedene Bereiche formuliert werden, wie für die Schule (z.B. Wichtigkeit von Abschlüssen, Karriereaspiration, Aufbau sozio-emotionale-Kompetenzen), das Elternhaus (z.B. im Bereich Erziehungsstil, Förderung von Autonomie) und die Berufsbildung und Wirtschaft (z.B. Aufbau von guten Beziehungen).
... It allows for sequences of categorical data to be assessed based on their similarity to each other and then clustered in groups. Dlouhy and Biemann (2015) provide an overview of best practices in clustering methods, and we base the sequencing and optimal matching analyses on their suggested approach. The sequence and subsequent cluster analyses have been performed in R Studio with the TraMineR and cluster packages. ...
... In the clustering process, Ward's method was used, meaning hierarchical clustering is carried out with the aim to minimize the within-cluster variance while maximizing the distance between the clusters. Ward's method was chosen as it is especially robust to noisy data (Dlouhy and Biemann 2015) which this study is expected to have because of the increasingly blurred lines between individual types of employment. The clustering led to a cluster tree which allows for determining the optimal number of clusters. ...
Article
Full-text available
Although the self-employed represent 16.7% of the Dutch labor force (OECD 2020), their internal heterogeneity in profiles regarding motivations, characteristics and career trajectories remains unclear. Yet, understanding self-employment profiles and their spatial distribution may help understand differences in career progression of the self-employed. This study identifies and describes patterns in long-term career trajectories of the Dutch self-employed, and it explores spatial differences along the urban hierarchy. The study uses a life-course approach and register data of the whole population to find common patterns of careers among a sample of Dutch self-employed ( N = 42,028) and their spatial distribution. We investigated careers through sequence and cluster analysis of individuals’ socio-economic statuses between 2003–2018. The analysis identifies 7 career clusters that collapse into three main career profiles: Mixed self-employment careers that combine self-employment with wage-employment, stable self-employment, and precarious self-employment. The clusters differ importantly in terms of the individual characteristics of the self-employed including age, gender, educational level and income. In terms of spatial distribution, the study shows that self-employment career profiles follow the urban hierarchy. Urban regions give way to all types of self-employment, while rural regions mainly exhibit stable self-employment. Precarious self-employment presents differently in urban and rural areas; in urban labor markets, we find self-employed individuals vulnerable to economic shocks, losing their jobs as a consequence of the financial crisis in 2007/08. In rural regions, formerly inactive workers become self-employed following the crisis.
... This method is inspired by that of 'coding theory and string editing' (Lesnard, 2006). It is a qualitative method for 'empirically applying a theoretical discourse on change' and was successfully used in different applications such as human mobility analysis (Viry and GAUTH-IER, 2019) or career patterns (Dlouhy and Biemann, 2015). The method allows temporality to be integrated into the analysis of events. ...
... It provides a similarity metric between sequences by counting the minimum number of modifications to be made between two sequences in order to obtain identical sequences. After computing metric distances for each pair of sequences stored in a triangular matrix, a hierarchical clustering algorithm is applied to the matrix using Wards minimum variance, following Dlouhy and Biemann (2015) recommendations. At the end of this step, the imported features are assigned clusters, where features in one cluster are assumed to follow the same evolution pattern. ...
Article
Full-text available
Importing spatial open data in OpenStreetMap (OSM) project, is a practice that has existed from the beginning of the project. The rapid development and multiplication of collaborative mapping tools and open data have led to the growth of the phenomenon of importing massive data into OSM. The goal of this paper is to study the evolution of the massive imports over time. We propose an approach in three steps: classification of the sources used to edit features in the OSM platform including those massively imported, classification of modifications, and identification of evolution patterns. The approach is mixing global analysis (i.e. sources and modifications are classified) and feature based analysis (i.e. imported features are analyzed with respect to their evolution over time). The approach is applied on three datasets coming from OSM considered for their heterogeneity in terms of complexity, imports, and spatial and temporal characteristics. The results show that there is a sustained activity of edition on imported features, with a ratio between geometry editions and semantic editions depending on the type of the features, with roads being the features concentrating the most activity.
... Sequence analysis [52] was used to identify typical STWT patterns among YPWD. Sequence analysis is an exploratory method to identify patterns in sequences of states in longitudinal data [52], and is, therefore, an established method in careers research [53]. It has previously been applied in rehabilitation sciences, for example, to study the return to work of workers with work-related physical disorders [54], and has provided insights into the adequacy of policy interventions [55]. ...
... Costs are assigned to each of these transformations. In this study, the costs of insertion and deletion ("indel costs") were each set at 1, and substitution costs were set at 2 so that substitutions are as expensive as one insertion and one deletion and are interchangeable in their use [53]. The OM procedure calculates the distance between any two sequences as the minimum possible transformation costs. ...
Article
Full-text available
Purpose In Germany, vocational rehabilitation (VR) for young people with disabilities (YPWD) aims to counteract disadvantages on the training and labour markets. However, the school-to-work transitions (STWT) among YPWD are underexplored. This study investigates to what extent and for whom VR provides an institutional bridge into employment. Materials and methods Based on representative administrative data of the German Federal Employment Agency, young people in VR are observed for 6.5 years after completing lower or intermediate secondary education in 2008. Using optimal matching and cluster analysis, six typical STWT trajectories are identified. Results Most of the YPWD completed company-external vocational training, some undertook regular in-firm training. These forms of training often lead to regular employment, albeit with a delay for some. Other young people are guided from training in sheltered workshops into sheltered employment. Another group exhibits problematic STWTs in which recurring unemployment and (non-training) programmes fail to lead to training or employment. Conclusions VR combined with in-firm or company-external vocational training can facilitate the STWTs of people with disabilities. However, individuals from poor families are less likely to benefit from VR. Similarly, restricted capabilities and problematic STWTs are observed when young people drop out of VR due to poor cooperation. • Implications for rehabilitation • Vocational training often is a prerequisite for labour market entry; however, if the structural conditions on the local labour market are unfavourable, young people with disabilities do not take up employment. • Training within sheltered workshops often leads to highly institutionalised trajectories that should be reconsidered to permit greater permeability into the regular labour market. • As young people with problematic STWT more often come from poor households, they should be targeted to a greater extent in the context of VR counselling.
... The transition costs between states were based on transition probabilities. This choice has been a growing trend in the literature (Aisenbrey and Fasang, 2010;Dlouhy and Biemann, 2015). Mathematically, the transition cost from state i to state ...
... Comparing the methodological choices above to the best practices recommended by Dlouhy and Biemann (2015), one could extrapolate the incorrect classification curves in Fig. 1 from that paper and infer that the maximum number of incorrect sequence classifications would be no greater than 20 %. Indeed, there is reason to believe that this number is, in fact, lower, given that the sequences used herein are more stable than those of the simulation: 10 % of the base case sequences consist in remaining as an engineer during the entire period and the 10 most common sequences account for 30 % of all sequences observed. ...
Article
Discussions on the shortage of engineers have arisen in many countries. We discuss it by analyzing the career trajectories of young engineers. Applying Optimal Matching Analysis on Brazilian employment official databases, we identified eight trajectories and labor market outcomes. Main results: i) an ascensional career implies a managerial job; ii) the typical engineering career is the third most attractive career; iii) a relevant path of degradation was detected; iv) trajectories are first defined up to three years after the first job, but promotions to managerial positions may occur after eight or ten years. Crises periods affect the attractiveness of a typical engineer's career and, therefore, the demand for engineering courses.
... Ce type d'analyse a d'abord été développé dans le champ des sciences biologiques et informatiques, puis a été intégré aux sciences sociales notamment par Abbott et Hrycak (1990). En proposant un traitement quantitatif de données longitudinales, elles sont particulièrement adaptées à l'analyse des parcours de vie, notamment des carrières (Abbott & Hrycak 1990, Blanchard et al. 2014, Dlouhy & Biemann 2015. Elles ont pour but de décrire, représenter, comparer et classifier les trajectoires subdivisées en états successifs et consistent en l'étude statistique d'une succession d'états ou d'événements successifs dans le but de modéliser des processus. ...
... Il a été possible d'intégrer les carrières des professeurs comme des « chemins » d'accumulation et de conversion des différents capitaux (Savage et al. 2005) et d'associer des types de carrières à des profils types décrivant des configurations spécifiques de ressources. L'analyse de séquences (Abbott & Hrycak 1990, Gabadinho et al. 2011, Elzinga 2014, Blanchard et al. 2014, Dlouhy & Biemann 2015 a permis d'aborder non seulement quels types de capitaux ont pu être acquis par quel type d'expérience académique et extra-académique, mais aussi le rythme, la temporalité et la succession des étapes de ces trajectoires qui renseignent sur la forme changeante des carrières (Goastellec & Benninghoff 2011, Fumasoli et al. 2015. Nos résultats montrent ainsi comment les types de carrières peuvent avoir un effet explicatif sur les positions occupées par les professeurs et, donc, que la façon dont les ressources sont accumulées contribue à favoriser l'accès à certains types de fonctions. ...
Thesis
Full-text available
Cette thèse porte sur les élites académiques de la biologie et de la chimie en Suisse au XXe siècle. Elle a été menée dans le cadre du projet FNS «Academic Elites in Switzerland: between Autonomy and Power» (2013-2017) et s’appuie largement sur les données prosopographiques de la base «Elites suisses au XXe siècle»exploitée dans le cadre du projet. La thèse propose un focus sur l’évolution de la hiérarchie des disciplines au travers des profils, des carrières et des réseaux des professeurs sur cinq cohortes (1910, 1937, 1957, 1980 et 2000) qui structurent les espaces de la biologie et de la chimie. Définis comme des élites académiques, les professeurs ordinaires et extraordinaires occupent les positions les plus élevées de la hiérarchie des postes académiques. Au sein du champ académique, les individus sont dotés de diverses ressources scientifiques,mais aussi institutionnelles, internationales et extra-académiques, dont l’importance relative détermine le degré d’autonomie du champ, une autonomie relative et changeante qui sert de cadre à l’activité scientifique et rend possibles certaines transformations de la hiérarchie des disciplines. Cette thèse apporte un éclairage encore très peu exploité sur les développements de la chimie et de la biologie en Suisse au XXe siècle, entre dynamiques de différenciations institutionnelleset de rapprochements dans le domaine des sciences de la vie. Elle mobilise diverses méthodes de traitement des données prosopographiques, telles que l’analyse des correspondances multiples, l’analyse de séquences, l’analyse de réseaux et les modèles linéaires généralisés pour aborder quatre axes de questionnements: les reconfigurations institutionnelles des disciplines, l’évolution du profil des professeurs au regard de leur dotation différenciée en ressources spécifiques et l’analyse longitudinale des carrières professorales,les collaborations interdisciplinaires et le capital social issus des réseaux de co-requêtes de projets financés par le FNS et, enfin, les enjeux de l’adoption du modèle de l’université entrepreneuriale et son impact sur les carrières des professeurs entre académie et secteur privé. Elle s’attache ainsi, par un focus sur deux disciplines qui ont participé à transformer les sciences naturelles au XXe siècle, à explorer les conséquences de l’affirmation des sciences de la vie sur l’organisation des disciplines dans un contexte de transformation des modes de production du savoir.
... Sequence analyses based on optimal matching techniques make it possible to identify the types and order, as well as the timing, of activities (also called states) occurring during a process-in our case, of linkage formation activities occurring during the product development process. Optimal matching (OM) techniques were originally developed in computer sciences and then applied in natural sciences to analyze for example DNA sequences and later used in sociology-in particular for analyses of career paths (Biemann et al. 2012;Dlouhy and Biemann 2015). Like a career, the new product development process is made up of single states or activities (namely, in-house development, and development through research and/or market linkages), which together form a sequence (see Table 4). ...
... Accordingly, each cluster represents one of the most frequent and, thus, typical linkage formation paths during new product development. We run the cluster analysis based on the Ward's minimum variance method, which has been shown to consistently produce the most accurate sequence clustering within the framework of OM analyses (Dlouhy and Biemann 2015). ...
Article
Full-text available
External linkages allow nascent ventures to access crucial resources during the process of new product development. Forming external linkages can substantially contribute to a venture’s performance. However, little is known about the paths of external linkage formation, as well as the circumstances that drive the choice to pursue one rather than another path. This gap deserves further investigation, because we do not know whether insights developed for incumbent firms also apply to nascent ventures: To address this gap, we explore a novel dataset of 370 venture creation processes. Using sequence analyses based on optimal matching techniques and cluster analyses, we reveal that nascent ventures pursue one of overall four distinct paths of linkage formation activities during new product development. Contrary to the findings of the strategy literature, we find that if nascent ventures engage in external linkages at all, they do not combine exploration- and exploitation-oriented linkages but form either exploration- or exploitation-oriented linkages. Additional regression analyses highlight the circumstances that lead nascent ventures to pursue one rather than the other pathways. Taken together, our analyses point out that resource scarcity constitutes an important factor shaping the linkage formation activities of nascent ventures. Accordingly, we show that nascent ventures tend not to optimize by adding complementary knowledge to the firm’s knowledge base but rather to extend the existing knowledge base—a strategy which we call bricolage.
... Following this approach, we conceptualize the unfolding of careers as outcomes [56] reflecting researchers' trajectories through different positions and institutions. OMA is an exploratory method to identify patterns, in terms of sequences of states (position and succession) in longitudinal data [37], and, thus, a recommended analytical method in careers research [57] (see [13] for a critical overview of applications of OMA). ...
... For our analysis, the sequences of job positions and institutional affiliations for each person were treated as two channels: in a first step of the analysis, the costs are specified separately for each channel: second, the substitution costs for each time point are aggregated in order to calculate a combined substitution cost matrix [59]. The costs for insertion and deletion ("indel costs") were set at 1 and substitution costs were set at 2. In our setting, substitution operations are as expensive as one insertion and one deletion operation so that they can be interchangeable in their use [57]. The calculated distances measures were normalized to account for differences in sequence lengths. ...
Article
Full-text available
Despite the need to map research careers, the empirical evidence on career patterns of researchers is limited. We also do not know whether career patterns of researchers can be considered conventional in terms of steady progress or international mobility, nor do we know if career patterns differ between men and women in research as is commonly assumed. We use sequence analysis to identify career patterns of researchers across positions and institutions, based on full career histories of applicants to the European Research Council frontier research grant schemes. We distinguish five career patterns for early and established men and women researchers. With multinomial logit analyses, we estimate the relative likelihood of researchers with certain characteristics in each pattern. We find grantees among all patterns, and limited evidence of gender differences. Our findings on career patterns in research inform further studies and policy making on career development, research funding, and gender equality.
... As both the timing and sequencing of the healthcare utilization states were important in our study, we picked Optimal Matching (OM) for the dissimilarity measure [28]. OM computes the distance between any two sequences as the minimum total cost of transforming one sequence into the other by means of substitutions or insertion-deletions (indel) of single states [29]. In our work, substitution costs were user-defined for each dimension of healthcare utilization, with levels of utilization that were further apart being assigned a higher substitution cost. ...
Article
Full-text available
Background Population ageing puts pressure on health systems initially designed to handle acute and episodic illnesses. Segmenting an ageing population based on its healthcare utilization may enable policymakers to undertake evidence-based resource planning. We aimed to derive a typology of healthcare utilization trajectories in Swiss older adults. Methods Our work used data from the Lc65 + study, a population-based cohort of individuals aged 65 to 70 years at enrolment. The dimensions of healthcare utilization considered were ambulatory care, emergency care, hospitalizations, professional home care and nursing home stay. We applied the Sequence Analysis framework, within which we quantified the variation between each multidimensional pair of sequences, implemented a clustering procedure that grouped together older persons with similar profiles of health services use, and characterized clusters of individuals using selected baseline covariates. Results Healthcare utilization trajectories were analysed for 2271 community-dwelling older adults over a period of 11 years. Six homogeneous subgroups were identified: constant low utilization (83.3% of participants), increased utilization (4.9%), late health deterioration (4.4%), ambulatory care to nursing home (1.5%), early fatal event (3.8%) and high ambulatory care (2.1%). Associations were found between cluster membership and age, sex, household composition, self-perceived health, grip strength measurement, comorbidities, and functional dependency. Conclusions The heterogeneous healthcare utilization profiles can be clustered into six common patterns. Different manifestations of functional decline were apparent in two distinct trajectory groups featuring regular home care use. Furthermore, a small proportion of individuals with a unique set of characteristics was related to the highest levels of ambulatory and emergency care use. New research avenues are outlined to investigate time-varying effects of health factors inside the clusters containing most unfavourable outcomes.
... Daneben können aber auch fehlende Werte beim monatlichen Status vorliegen, wenn Jugendliche keine Angabe machten. Unter Berücksichtigung der Empfehlungen vonDlouhy and Biemann (2015) sollten die fehlenden Werte in der Statusvariable nicht mehr als 30 % der Nachbetrachtungsmonate umfassen. Aus diesem Grund werden in dieser Studie nur Lebensverläufe berücksichtigt, bei denen Informationen zu den Zuständen in mindestens 34 von 48 Monaten vorliegen. ...
Book
Full-text available
Ziel der Analyse ist es, Muster in nachschulischen Bildungswegen zu identifizieren sowie Problemlagen und Herausforderungen bei der Gestaltung und Steuerung nachschulischer Bildungswege herauszuarbeiten. Während in der bisherigen Forschung der Fokus punktuell auf Übergängen in eine Ausbildung oder ein Studium liegt, basiert diese Studie auf Daten des Nationalen Bildungspanels (NEPS), die seit 2010 erhoben werden. Der Datensatz zeichnet sich durch eine hohe Repräsentativität aus, so dass ein umfassendes Abbild nachschulischer Bildungswege innerhalb von vier Jahren seit Abgang aus der allgemeinbildenden Schule gezeichnet werden kann. Die Ergebnisse zeigen heterogene Verläufe, bei der die Mehrheit der Schulabgänger:innen von den ¿Idealwegen' abweicht und auf unterschiedlichsten Wegen in den Ausbildungs- und Arbeitsmarkt gelangt. Aufgrund der herausgearbeiteten differenzierten sozialstrukturellen Unterschiede zwischen unterschiedlich erfolgreichen Gruppen werden bildungspolitische Handlungs- sowie auch Forschungsbedarfe diskutiert.
... Farklı tanımları olmakla birlikte, "bireyin yaşamını kapsayan iş ile ilgili tecrübeler örüntüsü" (Greenhaus vd., 2010: 10) şeklinde tanımlanan kariyer, tanımdan da anlaşılacağı üzere, bireyin iş yaşamına vurgu yaptığı için tüm mesleki alanlar ile ilişkilendirilmekte ve eğitimden yönetime kadar farklı bilimsel disiplinler tarafından ele alınmaktadır (Lee vd., 2014). İlintili olduğu bilimsel alanların fazla olması, önemli bir bilgi birikimine ulaşması ve analiz düzeyi açısından çeşitlilik içermesi nedeniyle, dağınık olan teorik ve kavramsal yapısının konsolidasyonu ve evrimsel özelliklerinin açığa çıkarılması için alanın sistematik bir şekilde gözden geçirilmesi gerekmektedir (Dlouhy ve Biemann, 2015;Ng ve Feldman, 2014;Sullivan, 1999;Sullivan ve Baruch, 2009). ...
Article
In order to understand the progress and future of a research field that has reached a certain level of knowledge, it is necessary to analyze the subject patterns, research trends, conceptual structure and evolution from a historical perspective. A systematic review of the domain is required in order to consolidate its scattered theoretical and conceptual structure and reveal its evolutionary characteristics, since career is a scientific discipline that has been studied for many years, permeable with many different scientific fields, and received great interest from both academic and professional environments. With this study, it is aimed to reveal the conceptual structure of and the new developments in the field by systematically reviewing the studies, covering the years 1975 – to 2018, in the field. In this direction, common word analysis was performed by downloading the bibliometric data of the studies published within the scope of the Web of Science. As a result of the analysis, it has been observed that the studies in the field of career are gathered in three different clusters: i) organizational career management and environmental factors, ii) individual career management and career outputs, and iii) pre-career and career adventure. In addition, emerging concepts were examined. The findings were discussed by comparing the literature.
... More scholars are also using network analysis to study career competences and capital or to identify the prominence of individuals within a system (Collins and Steffen-Fluhr, 2019). New tools are constantly being developed and used in the careers field, including sequential analysis and optimal matching analysis (Dlouhy and Biemann, 2015;Van der Laken et al., 2018). Some methods, such as laboratory studies and experiments, continue to be infrequently used to study careers (cf. ...
Article
Purpose The field of careers studies is complex and fragmented. The aim of this paper is to detail why it is important to study careers, what we study and how we study key issues in this evolving field. Design/methodology/approach Key theories, concepts and models are briefly reviewed to lay the groundwork for offering an agenda for future research. Findings The authors recommend ten key directions for future research and offer specific questions for further study. Research limitations/implications This paper contributes to the development of the theoretical underpinning of career studies. Practical implications The authors hope that the proposed agenda for future research will help advance the field and encourage more research on understudied, but important, topics. Originality/value This paper presents a comprehensive view of research on contemporary careers.
... 40.99% of all participants from the baseline), which is a rather small sample size compared to similar studies (e.g., Boylan, 2020). However, research has pointed out that sample size does not affect the cluster solutions (Dlouhy and Biemann, 2015). This implies that our sample size is not a drawback for the optimal matching analyses, but it may limit statistical power for the multinomial logistic analyses. ...
... Fourth, to preserve the quality of mobility trajectories, the analytic sample includes households that responded to all eight PSID surveys, and households with missing values for key variables used to measure housing instability were excluded. According to the sequence analysis literature, there is no specific threshold for the minimum length of sequences, but there is the agreement that sequence length is important for cluster quality (Dlouhy & Biemann, 2015;Studer & Ritschard, 2016). Based on the sample selection rules above, in total, 18,960 observations for 2,370 households (approximately 57% of the selected low-income households) were selected. ...
Article
Full-text available
Given the growing threat of housing instability in the United States, this study explores the variability in housing instability experiences in terms of severity and persistence by tracking low-income households in the Panel Study of Income Dynamics data from 2003 to 2017. First, this study examines the associations between one housing instability incident at a particular time and subsequent mobility trajectories. Second, by incorporating sequence analysis, this study explores the conditions under which low-income households are likely to suffer from more chronic forms of housing instability. The results reveal that the more severe one housing instability incident is, the more prolonged the entire housing instability experience is likely to be over time. The ability to maintain homeownership, repeated transitions in partnerships, job insecurity, and repetitively moving across distressed neighborhoods are the conditions for housing instability that occurs more frequently. Moreover, younger households and households with a member with health problems are likely to suffer from more chronic forms of housing instability.
... The number of clusters has to be set before the calculation. The determination of the right number can be challenging, since there is no theory about how many patterns should result from an analysis (Dlouhy and Biemann 2015). A risk in creating typologies is to oversimply data. ...
Thesis
Full-text available
This thesis questions the emergence of a new Swiss banking elite. It relies on a biographical database composed of executive directors and non-executive directors of 37 Swiss banks (N = 487) as well as a series of 20 biographical interviews. First, I show that there is a polarization within the Swiss banking elites, between an international pole on the one hand and a national pole on the other. The new elite is rather located on the international pole. Second, I establish a typology of the geographical mobility of the careers of banking elites. I identify four types attesting the plurality of the career paths: national careers, early international careers, international careers and European careers. Thirdly, I identify individual pathways leading to the hierarchical top of a bank. Through this career analysis, I show how the social space of banking elites is highly differenciated. Fourth, I analyze dispositions and strategies of presentations of self by banking elites. I show an opposition between the figure of the wealh manager and the figure of the investment banker, embodied by a new elite. In conclusion, I affirm that there is indeed a new banking elite, characterized by its internationality and its relationship to performance. However, this new group did not replaced the old ones and Swiss banking elites remain a group defined by its plurality.
... a. das modifizierte Optimal-Matching Verfahren namens "OMv", vgl.Halpin, 2010) vorgeschlagen (für einen Überblick: Brzinsky-Fay &Kohler, 2010, S. 362;Scherer & Brüderl, 2010, S. 1039. Dennoch ist das konventionelle Optimal-Matching-Verfahren stabil umsetzbar und liefert -auch im Vergleich zu alternativen Distanzberechnungsverfahren -robuste Befunde(Dlouhy & Biemann, 2015; Halpin, 2010, S. 383). Das gilt insbesondere, wenn typische Lebensverlaufsdaten mit einer geringen durchschnittlichen Anzahl von Episoden (≤ 3,5 Episoden im Durchschnitt) und gleiche Sequenzlängen vorliegen(Halpin, 2010, S. 385). ...
Book
Full-text available
Which school leavers experience a smooth transition to vocational education and training (VET) after the 9th and 10th grade of secondary school, and which school leavers take other (educational) routes? Using longitudinal data from the German National Educational Panel Study (NEPS, Starting Cohort 4), the author reveals patterns in school leavers’ transition trajectories and empirically tests theoretical mechanisms of social and migration-related educational inequalities. Particular attention is given to the extent to which educational inequalities in youths’ transition trajectories can be explained by differences in (1) school performance (primary effects), (2) rational choice factors (secondary effects), (3) family resources, and (4) the educational expectations of parents and friends. The findings reveal that rational choice factors and the educational expectations of social groups largely determine school leavers’ pathways, but also contribute to educational inequalities. In the identification of the primary mechanisms of educational inequalities, the assumptions of existing theories are examined, and various explanatory approaches are combined. In addition, the results provide starting points for educational policy discussions on strategies and measures to reduce social and migration-related inequalities in the transition to VET and secondary vocational schools.
... Sequence analysis is a longitudinal 1980 cohort (1969-1980) 2000 cohort (1981)(1982)(1983)(1984)(1985)(1986)(1987)(1988)(1989)(1990)(1991)(1992)(1993)(1994)(1995)(1996)(1997)(1998)(1999)(2000) 2010 cohort (2001)(2002)(2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007)(2008)(2009)(2010) Higher Education method that allows us to quantitatively describe life courses. It is therefore particularly relevant for the study of careers (Abbott and Hrycak 1990) and aims to describe, compare, and classify individual trajectories subdivided into successive states of career (Blanchard et al. 2014;Dlouhy and Biemann 2015). The optimal matching (OM) algorithm measures the degree of similarity between the sequences. ...
Article
Full-text available
Over the recent decades, the turn to managerial governance has thoroughly transformed the European university systems and, by extension, the careers of university professors. Scholars postulated that professors’ careers have undergone an increasing formalization, that disciplinary careers have been hybridized, and that new modes of selection and recruitment (through assistant professorship) have been introduced. This article, based on a case study of the EPFL Lausanne, one of the leading European technical universities, aims to understand these changes by conducting a sequence analytical study of the actual trajectories of professors. By studying the careers of 351 professors who were nominated between 1969 and 2010 at the EPFL, we first develop a typology of professors’ careers. We distinguish between “direct careers,” “seniority careers,” “conversion careers,” and “parallel careers.” We then examine, based on a series of binomial logistic regression models, how career types vary according to the nomination cohort, the discipline, and the recruitment mode. Our results show that slower “seniority careers” within academia have become more important in recent cohorts, that disciplinary logics still shape professors’ careers, and that new recruitment mechanisms, such as assistant professorship, do not necessarily lead to accelerated careers. This article contributes to the literature by showing that beyond the analysis of the institutional setting of academic careers, it is also important to study their actual progression.
... The resulting distance matrix forms the basis for the subsequent hierarchical cluster analysis, deploying Ward's fusion algorithm to group similar sequences into clusters of ideal-typical transition patterns by minimising within-group differences and maximising the between-group differences (cf. Dlouhy and Biemann 2015). Based on a comparison of measures of the quality of partitions 3 and clearly interpretable patterns, we come to a 10-cluster-solution. 4 In the following results section, we first use sequence visualisations to explore what transition patterns of lower-qualified youth in Germany look like. ...
Article
Full-text available
This study explores school-to-work transitions in Germany, aiming to achieve a richer understanding of the complexity of labour market entry trajectories while focusing on transition measures. The term transition measures refers to additional training courses that complement the regular vocational education and training system of firm-based or school-based qualification routes. The contribution of supplementary training measures to the school-to-work transitions of young adults is a controversial issue. While programmes aim to ease the transitions of low-skilled youth in the training and labour market, critics point to the risks of long-term subsidised careers or fragmented employment trajectories in subsequent years. By applying sequence analysis to administrative data of the Federal Employment Agency, individual trajectories of a cohort of school leavers with an at-most intermediate school-leaving certificate are analysed for the period 2008 to 2014. The results show a complex picture of ten distinct school-to-work transition patterns. Youth passing through transition measures tend to experience a less continuous but still purposeful transition pathway. We also identify a small number of youth experiencing at-risk trajectories characterised by a highly discontinuous transition process, which points to sustained detachment from the training and labour markets.
... Finally, we employed OM analysis to assess similarities and differences among deans' career profiles. Previous studies used this method to identify the existence of typical career paths among large-scale career sequences, underscoring the importance of tracing temporal and orderly patterns in career research (see Dlouhy and Biemann, 2015 for an overview). In line with these studies that focus primarily on the typicality of career structure, we showed that OM analysis could be a promising methodological approach for analyzing the degrees to which sequencing patterns in careers are constructed in similar (or dissimilar) ways and explaining why such variations occurred. ...
Article
How do macro social forces shape the career profiles of organizational leaders? The aim of the article is to answer this question by examining how institutional and ecological forces have influenced the careers of law school deans in the US from the late 19th century to the present. Specifically, we focus on the coexistence of two social forces—professionalization and the diversity of an organizational population. On the one hand, we view professionalization as a converging institutional force that promotes homogeneity among leader career profiles. The diversity of an organizational population, on the other hand, is viewed as a diverging ecological force that increases heterogeneity among leader career profiles. We show how these two opposing forces have left different imprints on leader career profiles with a unique career data of 1396 deans in American law schools from 1894 to 2009. We utilize optimal matching analysis to assess the degree of similarity (or dissimilarity) among deans’ career sequences and test our hypotheses. This study contributes to our understanding of the link between macro social transformations and leader career profiles.
... While we have given only a brief explanation of optimal matching analysis, other publications offer more thorough descriptions of its application (see e.g. Aisenbrey & Fasang, 2010;Biemann & Datta, 2014;Dlouhy & Biemann, 2015;MacIndoe & Abbott, 2004). OMA can be conducted using the free software R (R Core Team, 2015) with the TraMineR package for optimal matching analysis (Gabadinho, Ritschard, Mueller, & Studer, 2011). ...
Article
Optimal matching analysis is the most commonly used method to analyze career sequences. It enables researchers to calculate the distance (i.e. the dissimilarity) between individuals' careers. However, the method's primarily descriptive and explorative approach limits its scope and complicates statistical inference testing for a wide field of research questions. We introduce three extensions to optimal matching analysis that combine the method's core idea with approaches from other disciplines, thereby overcoming this weakness. In essence, these extensions allow researchers to use career sequence similarities as predictors, as outcomes, and as control variables in quantitative statistical analyses. We discuss practical recommendations and pitfalls when applying these extensions, and we outline potential avenues for future career research.
... Ainsi, la méthode implémentée sous R ne permet pas l'étude de plus de 45 000 séquences, notamment pour le calcul de la matrice de dissimilarité, d'où notre limitation à un échantillon de 35 000 séquences. Toutefois, il est très rare d'avoir à disposition une masse de données aussi importante en analyse de séquences (134,203). Ce problème est donc plus lié à une conséquence directe de l'utilisation des bases de données médico-administratives que de la méthode en elle-même puisqu'il suffirait d'optimiser le code des fonctions pour pouvoir permettre la prise en compte d'un nombre de séquences plus important. ...
Thesis
La sclérose en plaques (SEP) est une maladie neurologique chronique du jeune adulte affectant environ 100 000 personnes en France. Au cours des deux dernières décennies, les stratégies thérapeutiques ont fortement évolué avec l’apparition de nouvelles molécules dont les premières formes orales. Le parcours de soins dans la SEP implique plusieurs professionnels de santé médicaux (généralistes, neurologues) et paramédicaux (kinésithérapeutes, infirmiers). Actuellement, aucune recommandation sur ces parcours n’a été définie, et peu de données existent sur le recours aux soins des individus ayant une SEP et l’utilisation des traitements spécifiques à la SEP en France. L’utilisation des données du Système National des Données de Santé (SNDS), c’est-à-dire les bases de l'Assurance Maladie, couplée avec les méthodes d’analyse de séquences donne l’opportunité d’étudier ces parcours de soins. L’objectif principal de cette thèse était d’étudier les parcours de soins des personnes ayant une SEP en France, à partir du SNDS, afin de décrire les consommations de soins et de mettre en évidence une typologie de parcours. Les objectifs secondaires étaient d’étudier l’utilisation des traitements de fond de la SEP en France (fréquence et place dans la séquence thérapeutique), et d’étudier la faisabilité de mesurer le niveau de handicap moteur dans ces bases. Au total sur la période de suivi de 2010 à 2015, 112 745 patients ont été identifiés, dont 47,4% avaient reçu au moins une délivrance d’un traitement de fond spécifique à la SEP. Une typologie a été obtenue identifiant cinq groupes cliniquement distincts. En parallèle, un indicateur de quantification du niveau de handicap moteur, pouvant être répliqué dans d’autres études, a été proposé afin d’enrichir les données du SNDS. Au travers des différentes analyses réalisées et des questions méthodologiques soulevées, des éléments clés permettant l’utilisation des méthodes d’analyse de séquences en santé, notamment la multichannel sequence analysis, ont pu être mis en évidence.
... Increased availability of longitudinal datasets and methodological advances in the social sciences, however, such as the use of sequence analysis techniques, have started to allow an examination of more holistic trajectories (see Dlouhy and Biemann, [2015] for a summary of studies on careers and occupational trajectories using optimal matching analysis). Cebulla and Whetton (2018), building on the work of Fry and Boulton (2013), provide a recent example of the use of optimal matching and cluster analysis to examine labour market pathways of young Australians. ...
Article
Full-text available
This paper uses empirical evidence to explore the nature of employment transitions for a cohort of marginalised young people in England. The findings presented reveal the importance of past experiences, largely determined by prevailing opportunity structures, in shaping the present and reiterate the need to see transition as a historical process. Longitudinal data collected as part of an evaluation of a youth employment programme called Talent Match provides the evidence for the paper. The routes participants took in terms of securing and sustaining employment are examined. The paper develops a typology of different transitional groups to explore these routes based on the movement (or lack of) into and out of employment. The relative importance of different factors in explaining the groupings are assessed, with results underlining how the ongoing change participants were encountering in the present was inextricably linked to their past. In response, this paper suggests a reemphasis on understanding youth as both a stage of ‘being’ and ‘becoming’, seeing youth as both a condition in its own right but also part of the life course process, and calls for a more dynamic understanding of youth transitions among policymakers and those designing youth employment programmes.
... The rise of the boundaryless career, where job moves to new employers and even new occupations is considered normal, 2 and the rupture of the traditional loyalty-based employment relationship between workers and employers 3 have given rise to less stable careers, making questions around job mobility and career change more interesting than ever. In addition, advances in methods 4 and availability of mobility and career history data for a wide variety of occupations and industries from matched employee-employer datasets and online sources such as LinkedIn 5 6 have enabled new ways of investigating job mobility and careers. Healthcare is not immune to the larger institutional trends: the imposition of market models to healthcare systems and other changes to healthcare institutions around the world have made career mobility questions increasingly relevant to the healthcare sector. ...
... El método de Ward es el que produce las mejores soluciones. (46) Un aspecto muy importante en el Optimal Matching es la matriz de costos en las sustituciones al intentar transformar una secuencia en otra. Existen varias alternativas para afrontar este problema como el asignar costos constantes e iguales, costos brindados por el experto en el problema a resolver y el enfoque razón de transición (transition rate). ...
Article
Full-text available
Introducción Los individuos en posiciones de desventaja socioeconómica presentan un mayor riesgo de sufrir enfermedades. En Cuba se investigan las desigualdades sociales en salud mediante diversos enfoques, primando las técnicas cualitativas. En nuestro país se divulgan poco los métodos cuantitativos para capturar estas desigualdades. Objetivo Proponer pasos para la medición de las desigualdades sociales en salud considerando métodos cuantitativos poco utilizados o no usados en Cuba como métodos clásicos, análisis multinivel y análisis de secuencias sociales. Método Se realizó una revisión bibliográfica sobre las técnicas y se expusieron sus fundamentos. Se compararon los métodos considerando desafíos metodológicos, estructura de la información de entrada, ventajas y limitantes, interpretación de los resultados, posibilidades para capturar la desigualdad y software disponible para cada técnica. Se propusieron etapas para la medición de las desigualdades sociales en salud tomando en cuenta la comparación realizada, los desafíos metodológicos planteados en las investigaciones, las alternativas metodológicas propuestas y la experticia de los autores de este artículo. Conclusiones Entre las limitantes de los métodos clásicos está la necesidad de tener datos hasta el nivel mínimo de análisis. El análisis multinivel asume que los efectos contextuales son los mismos para todos los individuos dentro de los grupos a lo largo del tiempo. Esta dificultad es resuelta por el análisis de secuencias sociales. El requerimiento de datos longitudinales es el mayor impedimento de esta técnica para su utilización en Cuba. Abstract Introduction Subjects in disadvantage socioeconomic positions have a high risk of suffering a disease. Social sciences are researching about social inequality in Cuba using many approaches, and giving priority to qualitative techniques. In our country, quantitative methods to measure the inequalities are less spread. Objectives We compare less used or not use methods for measuring social health inequalities in Cuba: classic methods, multilevel analysis, and social sequence analysis. Method We perform a literature review about those techniques, and we describe its theoretical principles. We compare the methods considering methodological challenges, input data structure, the pros and cons, results interpretation, possibilities for capturing the inequality, and available software for each technique. Then, we proposed steps for measuring social health inequalities based on the previous comparison, the methodological challenges present in research, the methodological alternatives proposed, and the our expertise in the topic. Conclusions Among the classic methods drawbacks, there is the recollection of data at the minimum level of analysis. The clustering methods have the challenge of feature extraction. Multilevel analysis assumes that contextual effects are the same for all the individuals inside the groups all the time. This drawback is solved by social sequence analysis. The need of longitudinal data is the main obstacle for applying this technique in Cuba.
... Several studies have applied SA in the context of school-to-work transitions (Brzinsky-Fay, 2007;Quintini and Manfredi, 2009). The growing interest in SA as a methodology has resulted in several review studies (Aisenbrey and Fasang, 2010;Dlouhy and Biemann, 2015;Studer and Ritschard, 2016), and this article follows their recommendations. To conserve space, the remainder of this section focuses on the relevant settings used to arrive at the article's findings. ...
Article
This article analyses the effect of vocational education on school-To-work transitions for the 2006 cohort of Dutch graduates of upper-secondary education (ISCED Level 3). Using sequence analysis, it uncovers ideal-Typical school-To-work transition trajectories representing the first 7 years in the labour market. It then analyses the effect of vocational education on trajectories and wages. Specific attention is paid to the moderating influence of vocational sector and type of programme: classroom-Taught or workplace-based. The results indicate that, compared to entrants with general education, vocationally educated entrants are less likely to have problematic labour market entry trajectories. Vocational field has a moderating effect on the prevalence of particular trajectories. Those with a vocational education enjoy higher wages on labour market entry but are soon overtaken by their counterparts with a general education. © The Author(s) 2018. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For permissions.
Article
Full-text available
Pesquisas sobre trajetórias profissionais de reguladores destacam sua passagem para o setor privado, principalmente com base em evidências norte-americanas. No entanto, estudos atuais indicam que portas giratórias (revolving doors) dos reguladores em diferentes contextos podem compartilhar mais nuances, refletindo o papel de diferentes instituições políticas. Neste estudo, baseamo-nos na análise de sequência para explorar as trajetórias de 117 conselheiros brasileiros de agências reguladoras independentes (ARIs), investigando: Quais são suas trajetórias profissionais típicas? Qual plano de carreira recebe maiores benefícios salariais em cargos pós-mandato? A análise revela cinco grupos de planos de carreira nos quais a maioria dos reguladores não faz a transição entre os setores público e privado, mas ainda se beneficia de forma direta e indireta de cumprir mandatos em ARIs. Uma mistura diferente de incentivos de mercado, burocráticos, e políticos desempenha um papel nos padrões de trajetórias profissionais que descobrimos no Brasil.
Article
Full-text available
Background For adolescents, preventing a premature training termination (PTT) and withdrawal from education and training after a PTT is an important societal task. While studies reveal that early-risk factors such as a low educational background or selected personality constructs are relevant for predicting PTT, less is known about subsequent trajectories after a PTT and the factors that determine them. Methods Using data from the German National Educational Panel Study, we examine the influence of early-risk factors and personality constructs on the first PTT (n = 4892) in the training course using a binomial logistic regression model. In a second step, by using a sequence and cluster analysis we explore subsequent trajectory patterns within 24 months after PTT (n = 944) and analyze the influence of early-risk factors and personality constructs on subsequent trajectory clusters after PTT. Results We identify 7 different trajectory clusters, of which three clusters show risk-related trajectories (37.0%) with tendencies to withdraw from education and training. Furthermore, our analysis confirms the relevance of early-risk factors for predicting PTT as well as trajectories after PTT: a low educational qualification, graduation after more than the typical number of years, and low parental education increase the probability of discontinuities in adolescents’ educational and training paths. Additionally, it is important to consider the influence of personality traits on the subsequent trajectories: adolescents with strong openness tend to have continued school attendance after PTT, indicating a constructive career adaptation process, while adolescents with strong self-efficacy seem to assess their chances in the labor market as positive even without a vocational qualification. Conclusions The longitudinal perspective on the consequences of a first termination of a VET program revealed that educational trajectories after a PTT are highly heterogeneous indicating the need for different types of policy measures to minimize the incidence of PTT and withdrawing from education and training.
Article
Full-text available
Background Systemic treatment patterns and related mental health disorders economic burden among patients with psoriasis are largely unknown. Objective To assess systemic treatment patterns and associated depression- and anxiety-related healthcare costs among patients with psoriasis initiating a conventional systemic treatment (CST). Methods Using a retrospective cohort design with sequence and cluster analyses, we assessed systemic treatment’s trajectories (CST and tumor necrosis factor inhibitors or ustekinumab, TNFi/UST) over a two-year period following CST initiation. We compared healthcare costs between trajectories using two-part models. Results We included 781 patients and identified eight trajectories that we labelled by their apparent pattern: Persistent methotrexate; Persistent acitretin; Early discontinuation; Late discontinuation; Switch to TNFi/UST; Adding TNFi/UST; Discontinuation then restart on methotrexate; and Discontinuation then restart on acitretin or multiple CST switches . Overall, 165 (21%) patients incurred depression- and anxiety-related healthcare cost (median annual cost CAN$56, quartiles: $14-$127). Compared to Persistent methotrexate, Adding a TNFi/UST (cost ratio 3.63; 95%CI: 1.47-5.97) and Discontinuation then re-start on acitretin or multiple CST switches (13.3; 5.76-22.47) had higher costs. Limitations Trajectory misclassification may occur. Conclusion Depression- and anxiety-related healthcare costs were high among patients adding TNFi/UST and those discontinuing then restarting on acitretin or experiencing multiple CST switches.
Article
Full-text available
For patients at high-risk for developing schizophrenia, a delayed diagnosis could be affected, among many reasons, by their patterns of healthcare use. This study aims to describe and generate a typology of patients’ care trajectories (CTs) in the 2 years preceding a first diagnosis of schizophrenia, over a medico-administrative database of 3712 adults with a first diagnosis between April 2014 and March 2015 in Quebec, Canada. This study applied a multidimensional approach of State Sequence Analysis, considering together sequences of patients’ diagnoses, care settings and care providers. Five types of distinct CTs have emerged from this data-driven analysis: The type 1, shared by 77.6% of patients, predominantly younger men, shows that this group sought little healthcare, among which 17.5% had no healthcare contact for mental disorders. These individuals might benefit from improved promotion and prevention of mental healthcare at the community level. The types 2, 3 and 4, with higher occurrence of mental disorder diagnoses, represent together 19.5% of the study cohort, mostly middle-aged and women. These CTs, although displaying roughly similar profiles of mental disorders, revealed very dissimilar sequences and levels of care providers encounters, primary and specialized care use, and hospitalizations. Surprisingly, patients of these CTs had few consultations with general practitioners. An increased attentiveness for middle-aged patients and women with high healthcare use for mental disorders could help to reduce delayed diagnosis of schizophrenia. This calls for further consideration of healthcare services for severe mental illness beyond those offered to young adults.
Book
This book studies young people who are Not in Education, Employment, or Training (NEET); a prime concern among policymakers. Moving past common interpretations of NEETs as a homogeneous group, it asks why some youth become NEET, whereas others do not. The authors analyse diverse school-to-work patterns of young NEETs in five typical countries and investigate the role of individual characteristics, countries’ institutions and policies, and their complex interplay. Readers will come to understand youth marginalization as a process that may occur during the transition from school, vocational college, or university to work. By studying longitudinal analyses of processes and transitions, readers will gain the crucial insight that NEETs are not equally vulnerable, and that most NEETs will find their way back to the labour market. However, they will also see that in all countries, a group of long-term NEETs exists. These exceptionally vulnerable young people are sidelined from society and the labour market. The country cases and cross-national studies illustrate that policies intended to help long-term NEETs to find their way in society are very limited. The book provides useful theoretical and empirical insights for scholars interested in the school-to-work transition and marginalized youth. It also provides helpful insights in vulnerability to policymakers who aim to combat youth marginalization. Available via Open Access: https://www.taylorfrancis.com/books/oa-edit/10.4324/9781003096658/dynamics-marginalized-youth-mark-levels-christian-brzinsky-fay-craig-holmes-janine-jongbloed-hirofumi-taki
Article
Purpose The goal of this research was to explore career patterns of senior marketing managers in the best European football clubs (SMMEFCs). Design/methodology/approach The data came from the LinkedIn profiles of current and past SMMEFCs. Firstly, the optimal matching algorithm was used to determine clusters of pathways leading to a first SMMEFC position based on the main activity of the employing organisation. Secondly, these patterns were compared in terms of variables depicting the career paths, clubs and managers. Finally, the evolution of the post-SMMEFC careers was analysed. Findings People in their first SMMEFC positions are mainly male with a university degree in business and marketing, and with a predominantly functional experience in marketing. There are five ways to become an SMMEFC: through business (40% of the sample), football (32%), other sports (11%), marketing and communication (11%), and media (6%). As the majority of SMMEFCs come to their positions from outside the sporting world, the specificity of the football industry is not a serious obstacle. Instead, the careers are bounded by functional marketing experience. Among the individual sequences leading to a first SMMEFC position, only around half of the football cluster may be considered traditional careers. Football, and sports in general, seem attractive for post-SMMEFC career development for the majority of managers coming from all pathways. Originality/value The study is the first one to quantify career patterns in professional sports management. It provides new insights about marketing careers and practice in European club football.
Article
Background Most data regarding the use of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) in multiple sclerosis (MS) comes from clinical series or regional databases that have a risk of recruitment bias. French health administrative data offers the significant advantage of being extensive in regards to both MS population coverage and DMT prescriptions. Objectives To describe patterns of DMTs usage at the level of the entire French population of MS patients from 2010 to 2015. Methods MS patients were identified during a 6-year study period via the French national health data system (covering 97% of the general population) and characteristics of patients who received at least one treatment were compared to those that never received treatment over the indicated period. A state sequence analysis was performed to study in a longitudinal way MS patients who started DMTs in 2010 and then to classify them into groups of similar therapeutic patterns. DMTs were categorized into first-line, second-line and off-label use, and included untreated periods for at least six months. Groups that were obtained were described and compared using a multinomial logistic regression. Results A total of 112,415 patients with MS were identified, of whom 54.0% received at least one DMT over the 6 years. The probability of being treated significantly decreased with age. Comorbidities and physical limitations appeared to be more frequent in not treated patients than in treated patients. Significant differences were also found between the two groups regarding the use of healthcare services (hospitalizations and visits to general practitioner, neurologist and nurse). Based on the 6-year therapeutic sequences, a four-cluster typology was obtained on the 4,474 patients who started a DMT in 2010. The first group which consisted of more than half of the patients (57.0%) mainly used first-line DMTs. The second group (13.1%) represented patients with second-line DMTs whereas the third group (7.3%) was comprised of off-label users and the last group (22.6%) was composed of MS patients who received no or minimal treatments. Classification into one of these groups was associated with patient's age, long-term disease status, pregnancy occurrence, estimated level of disability, levels of care (visits to a neurologist, nurse and/or physiotherapist and hospital/rehabilitation stays) and occurrence of death. Conclusions The exhaustive population-based dataset from the French national health data system gave the opportunity to provide a detailed description regarding the use of DMTs for MS at national level. The innovative method of state sequence analysis allowed obtaining four homogeneous groups of patients among thousands of longitudinal therapeutic sequences. The predominant place of first-line treatments was confirmed even if the type of first-line treatments has probably changed since 2015.
Article
Full-text available
Objectives To explore sequences of annual states of activity and sickness absence (SA) or disability pension (DP) (SA/DP) among working-aged people with multiple sclerosis (PwMS) as well as characteristics associated with the identified types of working-life sequences. Design Nationwide Swedish register-based cohort study from 1 year prior to 5 years after the year of multiple sclerosis (MS) diagnosis. Setting Sweden. Participants PwMS diagnosed in 2008–2011 when aged 20–55 (n=2652, 69.9% women). Primary and secondary outcome measures Individual-level sequences spanning 7 years were constructed with annual states regarding activity (income from paid work, student allowances, parental leave or unemployment compensation) and/or SA/DP. Types of working-life sequences were identified among the individuals’ sequences using hierarchical cluster analysis with optimal matching dissimilarity measures. Results Six types of working-life sequences were identified. The largest cluster, Stable High Activity, represented 48.4% of the cohort. Other types were: Stable High SA/DP (14.5%); Other (4.5%); and three types with mixed activity and varying SA/DP regarding the number of days/year and timing (32.6%). Characteristics of the different identified types of sequences were subsequently investigated. All types of sequences had lower odds for university education (OR range: 0.18–0.72) compared with Stable High Activity. Increasingly higher odds of having anxiety/depression compared with Stable High Activity were observed across the types of sequences, by increasing proportions of SA/DP. Stable High SA/DP sequences were less likely than Stable High Activity to be prescribed MS drugs in the MS diagnosis year (OR 0.61; 95% CI 0.47 to 0.78). All types of sequences had higher disposable income in the final study year than the first, except for Stable High SA/DP sequences (Swedish Krona 4669, 95% CI −1892 to 11 230). Conclusions Diversity in working life was influenced by sociodemographic and clinical characteristics resulting in different activity and SA/DP patterns across the six identified types of working-life sequences.
Article
Full-text available
We categorized and content-analyzed 168 methodological literature reviews published in 42 management and applied psychology journals. First, our categorization uncovered that the majority of published reviews (i.e., 85.10%) belong in three categories (i.e., critical, narrative, and descriptive reviews), which points to opportunities and promising directions for additional types of methodological literature reviews in the future (e.g., meta-analytic and umbrella reviews). Second, our content analysis uncovered implicit features of published methodological literature reviews. Based on the results of our content analysis, we created a checklist of actionable recommendations regarding 10 components to include to enhance a methodological literature review’s thoroughness, clarity, and ultimately, usefulness. Third, we describe choices and judgment calls in published reviews and provide detailed explications of exemplars that illustrate how those choices and judgment calls can be made explicit. Overall, our article offers recommendations that are useful for three methodological literature review stakeholder groups: producers (i.e., potential authors), evaluators (i.e., journal editors and reviewers), and users (i.e., substantive researchers interested in learning about a particular methodological issue and individuals tasked with training the next generation of scholars).
Article
Career paths are formed over time from interactions between individuals, organizations, and labor markets within and across geographic locations. What are the prototypical career paths thus formed? Who are the likely incumbents of these career paths? What are the consequences of pursuing these career paths? This study combines micro-level perspectives on personal agency and macro-level institutional factors to explain how careers unfold over time and space. The juxtaposition of micro- and macro-level factors contributes to career research and practice, which have traditionally examined careers as movements across organizations and occupations over time, but almost exclusively within specific geographic locations. We make a significant contribution to theory and practice by analyzing sequences of jobs and residence locations for 2836 individuals drawn from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1979. The analyses reveal eight prototypical career paths, some commonly found across geographic locations and others idiosyncratic to specific geographic locations. The profiles of the career path incumbents vary regarding gender, ethnicity, and education attainment. We find that the objective career success associated with prototypical career paths is more a function of human capital accumulation and career choices than geographic locations. We close by discussing our findings’ implications for career research and practice.
The emergence of online professional platforms, such as LinkedIn and Indeed, has led to unprecedented volumes of rich resume data that have revolutionized the study of careers. One of the most prevalent problems in this space is the extraction of prototype career paths from a workforce. Previous research has consistently relied on a two-step approach to tackle this problem. The first step computes the pairwise distances between all the career sequences in the database. The second step uses the distance matrix to create clusters, with each cluster representing a different prototype path. As we demonstrate in this work, this approach faces two significant challenges when applied on large resume databases. First, the overwhelming diversity of job titles in the modern workforce prevents the accurate evaluation of distance between career sequences. Second, the clustering step of the standard approach leads to highly heterogeneous clusters, due to its inability to handle categorical sequences and sensitivity to outliers. This leads to non-representative centroids and spurious prototype paths that do not accurately represent the actual groups in the workforce. Our work addresses these two challenges and has practical implications for the numerous researchers and practitioners working on the analysis of career data across domains.
Article
A substantial body of research examines entry into and exit from self-employment. However, little is known about the career patterns of the self-employed, their transitions into and from self-employment and the success associated with different patterns of their careers. To address these issues, we examine the career patterns of individuals with self-employment experience and their relationship to objective and subjective career success using data from the German Household Panel (SOEP). Our results show that persistent self-employment careers have higher gross labor income and exhibit higher job and life satisfaction than all other self-employment career patterns.
Article
Empirical research on firms organized as partnerships is scarce, especially regarding the careers of their senior leaders, the partners. In the context of career theory, this study analyzes the careers of 291 American and German partners of the ‘Big Three’ consulting firms and provides insights into the paths that lead to partner positions within these firms. Using optimal matching, an innovative method particularly appropriate for career analysis, I find four career patterns that involve multiple moves across organizational and industry boundaries and thus match the definition of a boundaryless career. My results indicate that American partners and partners with fewer years of education before their first job are more likely to follow one of the boundaryless career patterns. These findings provide new evidence of the existence of boundaryless careers in industries with strict hierarchies and advancement principles, and are relevant to organizational inquiries into partnerships.
Article
Full-text available
We conducted a “review of reviews” and categorized and content-analyzed 241 methodological literature reviews published in 54 journals. First, our categorization uncovered that the majority of published reviews belong in three categories (i.e., narrative, descriptive, and scoping reviews), which points to opportunities and promising directions for additional types of methodological reviews in the future (e.g., umbrella, theoretical, and realist reviews). Second, our content analysis, which involved a type of policy-capturing approach, revealed implicit features of published methodological reviews from which we created a checklist of actionable recommendations on what components to include to improve a review’s thoroughness, clarity, and ultimately, usefulness. Third, because our content analysis also identified critical areas where judgment calls must be made, we describe choices and judgment calls found in published reviews and provide detailed explications of exemplars that illustrate how those reviews made explicit those choices and judgment calls. Overall, our manuscript offers recommendations that address the needs of three methodological review stakeholder groups: producers (i.e., potential authors), evaluators (i.e., journal editors and reviewers), and users (i.e., substantive researchers interested in learning about a particular methodological issue and instructors of research methods seminars).
Article
Full-text available
This study contributes to the international literature on welfare dynamics, by providing a differentiated picture of paths through the means-tested Basic Income for recipients who are capable of working, after the reorganisation of the basic income system in Germany in 2005. We analyse the employment and benefit trajectories of individuals who became recipients for the first time between 2007 and 2009 by methods of sequence and cluster analysis based on representative administrative individual data. We find a significant polarisation between long-term recipients and those with an early exit from benefit receipt via full-time employment. One in three new recipients remains in benefit receipt for the next years and shows almost no employment activities. Approximately 23 percent leave benefit receipt quickly and work in full-time employment. Several other different paths exist between these two poles. These heterogeneous trajectories should be characteristic for broad basic income systems and require a variety of policies that in part are beyond labour market policies.
Article
Aims: The study aim was to identify prototypical labour-market trajectories following a first incidence of long-term sickness absence (LTSA), and to assess whether baseline socio-demographic characteristics are associated with the return-to-work (RTW) process and labour-market attachment (LMA). Methods: This prospective study used Norwegian administrative registers with quarterly information on labour-market participation to follow all individuals born 1952–1978 who underwent a first LTSA during the first quarter of 2004 (n =9607) over a 10-year period (2004–2013). Sequence analysis was used to identify prototypical labour-market trajectories and LMA; trajectory membership was examined with multinomial logistic regression. Results: Sequence analysis identified nine labour-market trajectories illustrating the complex RTW process, with multiple states and transitions. Among this sample, 68.2% had a successful return to full-time work, while the remaining trajectories consisted of part-time work, unemployment, recurrence of LTSA, rehabilitation and disability pension (DP). A higher odds ratio (OR) for membership to trajectories of weaker LMA was found for females and older participants, while being married/cohabitating, having children, working in the public sector, and having a higher education, income and occupational class were associated with a lower OR of recurrence, unemployment, rehabilitation and DP trajectories. These results are consistent with three LMA indicators. Conclusions: Sequence analysis revealed prototypical labour-market trajectories and provided a holistic overview of the heterogeneous RTW processes. While the most frequent outcome was successful RTW, several unfavourable labour-market trajectories were identified, with trajectory membership predicted by socio-demographic measures.
Article
The German Green Card programme that was in place from the year 2000 to 2004 was intended to counter claims propagated by industry and trade associations of a shortage of ICT professionals. Even if it is debatable whether the programme can be judged as a success in terms of the absolute number of Green Cards issued, it provides important insights into the long-term integration of migrants from third countries coming to Germany for employment purposes – a matter where the Green Card programme was successful beyond the policy it was originally designed for. Using sequence and cluster analyses to examine the employment trajectories of some 1500 Green Card recipients who came to Germany reveals the personal, occupational and firm-specific characteristics that have contributed to successful integration. It emerges that the likelihood of a Green Card recipient becoming successfully integrated in the German labour market is quite high and grows with increasing establishment size. Other factors beneficial to integration are a moderate agreed wage, employment in a more technically-oriented occupation and in particular being of Central or Eastern European origin. Against the background of the current debate surrounding demographic change and the growing skill shortages, the results obtained in this paper provide indications as to how human capital that is in demand globally and is correspondingly mobile can be bound to the German labour market in the longer term.
Article
Full-text available
In this paper we apply optimal matching techniques to individual work-histories in the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS), with a two-fold objective. First, to explore the usefulness of this sequence-oriented approach to analyze work-histories. Second, to analyze the impact of involuntary job separations on life courses. The study covers the whole range of employment statuses, including unemployment and inactivity periods, from the first job held to the year 1993. Our main findings are the following: (i) mobility in employment status has increased along the twentieth century; (ii) it has become more similar between men and women; (iii) birth cohorts in the second half of the century have especially been affected by involuntary job separations; (iv) in general, involuntary job separations provoke employment status sequences which substantially differ from the typical sequence in each cohort.
Article
Full-text available
This article examines the objective and subjective facets of female finance‐executive careers. Optimal matching and qualitative analyses are used to show how the careers are shaped by workplace structures and by the early 1970s enforcement of women's employment rights. Changing opportunity structures in turn shaped respondents' perspectives. Many younger respondents were unaware that their mobility was partly due to the creative action of their female predecessors and took personal credit for their own rapid progress. Finally, it appears that as women have experienced more freedom in pursuing finance careers, their career trajectories have become more rigid.
Article
Full-text available
Labor market segmentation theory and new career theory differ in their appraisal of the long-term consequences of career mobility. In this article we examine career outcomes of different career types and review their correspondence to both theories. The analysis is carried out in two steps. First, we construct a career typology using Optimal Matching Analysis, utilizing data covering entire individual careers. Second, we compare these career types on a set of measures pertaining to objective and subjective career success. The results indicate that neither of the two theories is fully able to explain the data. Instead, they can be combined to provide a more adequate model of career mobility outcomes in the context of flexibilizing labor markets.
Article
Full-text available
This paper examines the objective career histories, mobility patterns, and career success of 500 individuals drawn from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY79), who had worked in the information technology workforce. Sequence analysis of career histories shows that careers of the IT workforce are more diverse than the traditional view of a dual IT career path (technical versus managerial). This study reveals a new career typology comprising three broad, distinct paths: IT careers; professional labor market (PLM) careers; and secondary labor market (SLM) careers. Of the 500 individuals in the IT workforce, 173 individuals pursued IT careers while the remaining 327 individuals left IT for other high-status non-IT professional jobs in PLM or lower-status, non-IT jobs in SLM careers. Findings from this study contribute to refining the concept of "boundaryless" careers. By tracing the diverse trajectories of career mobility, we enrich our understanding of how individuals construct boundaryless careers that span not only organizational but also occupational boundaries. Career success did not differ in terms of average pay for individuals in IT and PLM careers. By contrast, individuals in SLM careers attained the lowest pay. We conclude this study with implications for future research and for the management of IT professionals' careers.
Article
Full-text available
In this article we discuss optimal matching (OM), an invaluable yet underutilized tool in the analysis of sequence data. Initially developed in biology to identify and study patterns in DNA sequences, OM subsequently migrated over to sociology, where it has been used to examine career patterns in life course research. It involves the computation of the number of insertions, deletions, and substitutions of sequence elements that are needed to transform one sequence into another and the costs associated with such transformations. The goal is to identify similarities across sequences, which can then be used for pattern identification. Along with a discussion of the logic underlying OM analysis, we provide an illustration of its use in the examination of careers of deans at U.S. business schools. In addition, we use Monte Carlo simulation to compare OM and cluster analysis and highlight the superiority of OM analysis in the analysis of sequence data. Also discussed are recent methodological advances that have been made in OM and our recommendations and guidelines for future applications of OM in management research.
Article
Full-text available
Using 20 years of employment and job mobility data from a representative German sample (N = 1259), we employ optimal matching analysis (OMA) to identify six career patterns which deviate from the traditional career path of long-term, full-time employment in one organization. Then, in further analyses, we examine which socio-demographic predictors affect whether or not individuals follow that traditional career path. Results indicate that age, gender, marital status, number of children, education, and career starts in the public sector significantly predicted whether or not individuals followed the traditional career path. The article concludes with directions for future theoretical and methodological research on career patterns.
Article
Full-text available
We analyze the impact of economic globalization and industry growth on the complexity of early work careers in Germany. We conceptualize complexity as the absolute number of employer changes, the regularity in the order of job changes, and the variability of the durations spent in different employment states. Results from empirical analyses based on the German Life History Study (N = 5453) show only a small increase in the complexity of work careers over the last decades, but there was a shift in the prevalence of different career patterns. This suggests that effects of globalization might be counteracted or modified by other social changes that affected work careers in Germany during the last 60 years. In particular, we consider the possible impact of educational expansion, labor market restructuring, and women’s increased employment. We find no evidence that industry-specific economic globalization impacts the complexity of work careers, but we find a U-shaped relationship between industry growth and career complexity. Careers are slightly more complex in industries with high or low industry growth. We conclude that, while there has been a shift in career patterns over time, the impact of globalization on career stability is possibly overestimated.
Article
Full-text available
This article reviews objections to optimal-matching (OM) algorithms in sequence analysis and reformulates the concept of sequence similarity in terms of a binary precedence relation. This precedence relation is then used to develop a new quantification of sequence similarity. The new measure is used to reanalyze the life history data that were previously discussed by Dijkstra and Taris (1995). The reanalysis demonstrates the new measure to be superior to the OM algorithm and the alternatives proposed by Dijkstra and Taris. A new algorithm is presented to enumerate matching k-tuples from pairs of sequences in polynomial time.
Article
Full-text available
Life course researchers have increasingly explored optimal matching analysis (OMA) as a tool for the analysis of sequences, such as sections of people's status biographies. OMA is usually employed in combination with cluster analysis (CA) to create classifications of sequences. In this article, we introduce an analytic strategy that allows assessing the classification's internal validity. Using ideal typical sequence representations, we test different cluster algorithms and are able to optimise the fit to the data. An application analyses economic activity sequences collected for two British birth cohorts born in 1958 and 1970, investigating historical changes in passages to adulthood. The results suggest that passages into adulthood have become more diverse since the 1970s. The analytic strategy produced a classification with better fit than straightforward CA.
Article
Full-text available
A widely accepted and usable taxonomy is a fundamental element in the development of a scientific body of knowledge. However, the creation of good empirical taxonomies of implementation processes is complicated by the need to consider the dynamics of the implementation process. This paper addresses this difficulty by using an optimal matching procedure to measure the pairwise distances among event sequences occurring in 53 computer-based information system (IS) implementation projects. Cluster analysis based on these inter-sequence distances is used to generate the empirical taxonomy of implementation processes. The resulting taxonomy includes six distinct archetypical processes. One of the process types is labeled textbook life cycle (type 4) due to its close resemblance to the detailed, rational approach commonly prescribed in IS textbooks. The logical minimalist process (type 1) follows some of the basic steps of the textbook approach, but is characterized by little project definition and infrequent assignment of personnel. Whereas both textbook life cycle and logical minimalist approaches use external vendors and consultants to some extent, external dependence is much greater in traditional off-the-shelf (type 2) and outsourced cooperative (type 5) processes. The traditional off-the-shelf process simply involves purchasing the system from an external vendor, with little system construction or assignment of personnel. In contrast, the outsourced cooperative process consists of joint system development by internally assigned personnel and external vendors. The remaining two process types—problem-driven minimalist (type 3) and in-house trial and error (type 6)—are both considerably influenced by performance problems. The problem-driven minimalist process is initiated by such problems, with little project definition, and results in a reassignment of organizational roles. The in-house trial-and-error process begins like textbook life cycle, with a clear project definition, but involves frequent system modifications to respond to the performance problems encountered during the project. The paper demonstrates how an empirical taxonomy that incorporates the dynamics of event sequences may be developed. The archetypes comprising the taxonomy are related to other implementation process models available in the literature. Some limitations of the study are acknowledged and its implications for future research and practice are discussed.
Article
Full-text available
This paper introduces the concept of sequential variety as a way to measure variability in the sequence of steps used to perform a work process. There is reason to expect that such variability may influence a range of outcomes, such as flexibility and quality. Two alternative ways to operationalize sequential variety are demonstrated and compared to traditional measures of task variety in four task units. The findings provide empirical support for treating sequential variety as a distinct construct. In particular, sequential variety appears to provide an index of tacit, procedural knowledge, while task variety may relate more closely to explicit, declarative knowledge.
Article
Full-text available
In this article the authors draw attention to the most recent and promising developments of sequence analysis. Taking methodological developments in life course sociology as the starting point, the authors detail the complementary strength in sequence analysis in this field. They argue that recent advantages of sequence analysis were developed in response to criticism of the original work, particularly optimal matching analysis. This debate arose over the past two decades and culminated in the 2000 exchange in Sociological Methods & Research. The debate triggered a 'second wave" of sequence techniques that led to new technical implementations of old ideas in sequence analysis. The authors bring these new technical approaches together, demonstrate selected advances with synthetic example data, and show how they conceptually contribute to life course research. This article demonstrates that in less than a decade, the field has made much progress toward fulfilling the prediction that Andrew Abbott made in 2000, that 'anybody who believes that pattern search techniques are not going to be basic to social sciences over the next 25 years is going to be very much surprised" (p. 75).
Article
Full-text available
The optimal matching (OM) algorithm is widely used for sequence analysis in sociology. It has a natural interpretation for discrete-time sequences but is also widely used for life-history data, which are continuous in time. Life- history data are arguably better dealt with in terms of episodes rather than as strings of time-unit observations, and in this article, the author examines whether the OM algorithm is unsuitable for such sequences. A modified version of the algorithm is proposed, weighting OM's elementary operations inversely with episode length. In the general case, the modified algorithm produces pairwise distances much lower than the standard algorithm, the more the sequences are composed of long spells in the same state. However, where all the sequences in a data set consist of few long spells, and there is low variability in the number of spells, the modified algorithm generates an overall pattern of distances that is not very different from standard OM.
Article
Full-text available
We introduce a number of new methods based on sequence analysis to test hypotheses on the de-standardization of family-life trajectories in early adulthood, using Fertility and Family Survey data on 19 countries. Across cohorts, family-life trajectories of young adults have not become more turbulent. However, in most countries family-life trajectories of young adults have become less similar to one another and the variation in the types of family-trajectories has increased. Contrary to expectations, no clear differences in de-standardization were observed between countries characterized by a social-democratic welfare-state regime and countries characterized by either liberal or conservative welfare-state regimes. Nous introduisons une variété de nouvelles méthodes basées sur l’analyse séquentielle pour tester des hypothèses sur la dé-standardisation des trajectoires de vie familiale au début de l’âge adulte, en utilisant les données de l’enquête Fécondité et Famille dans 19 pays. D’une génération à l’autre, les trajectoires de vie familiale des jeunes adultes ne sont pas devenues plus “turbulentes”. Toutefois, dans la-plupart des pays, ces trajectoires sont devenues de plus en plus dissemblables et diversifiées. A l’opposé des attentes, aucune différence claire en matière de dé-standardisation n’apparaît entre les pays caractérisés par un système de protection sociale et de retraite de type social-démocrate et ceux caractérisés par un système de type libéral ou conservateur.
Article
Full-text available
A measure is presented which indicates the similarity of clusters which are assumed to have a data density which is a decreasing function of distance from a vector characteristic of the cluster. The measure can be used to infer the appropriateness of data partitions and can therefore be used to compare relative appropriateness of various divisions of the data. The measure does not depend on either the number of clusters analyzed nor the method of partitioning of the data and can be used to guide a cluster seeking algorithm.
Article
Optimal matching is a method for the analysis of sequential data. It allows researchers to detect patterns in career sequences or in trajectories of vocational development. After giving a brief introduction to the method, we review the present literature on careers and vocational development to show where optimal matching analysis has already been employed. We then conduct Monte Carlo simulations of data with varying parameters for sequence length and sample size. Based on the results from these simulation studies, we recommend which properties data sets should have for an optimal matching analysis. We also provide guidelines on how to code sequences, discuss how to deal with missing values, and show which cost settings and clustering algorithms deliver the best results for data sets with specific properties.
Article
The authors review all known studies applying optimal matching or alignment (OM) techniques to social science sequence data. Issues of data, coding, temporality, cost setting/ algorithm design, and analytic strategies are considered, and substantive findings are reviewed. The authors conclude that OM techniques have produced interesting results in a wide variety of areas, the most promising being studies of careers and of sequentially organized cultural artifacts.
Article
Optimal matching (OM) is a method for measuring the similarity between pairs of sequences (e.g., work histories). This article discusses two problems with optimal matching. First, the author identifies a flaw in OM "indel costs'' and proposes a solution to this flaw. Second, the author discusses the need for benchmarks to measure the added value of OM and to test competing versions. To that end, the author conducts an empirical test of traditional OM, the alternative localized OM, and sequence comparison. The test documents the problem with traditional OM and shows that it is solved by localized OM. The test also demonstrates the value of OM and sequence comparison in examining occupational sequences; both methods capture variation beyond traditional human capital and status attainment measures, although the marginal improvements of OM over sequence comparison may not justify its computational complexity. These results point to the need for more systematic approaches to sequence analysis methods.
Article
In a study of college physics and sociology textbook publishers, coercive, mimetic, and normative forces in the institutional environment are shown to order the decision and access structures of garbage can systems and to account for a uniformity of outcomes that is unexpected from garbage can decision models. Interviews with editors established that decision making in textbook publishing conforms with the garbage can model and helped us determine the ten best-selling introductory texts in each field. Optimal matching, a quantitative technique for content analysis, was used to demonstrate that differences in the homogeneity of contents and sequencing of material in these textbooks are determined by the degree of development of paradigms in the academic discipline. We show that, in contrast to Thompson's (1967) model, organizations with ambiguous core technologies can benefit from opening their technical cores to be shaped by the institutional environment.
Article
Despite the ubiquitous presence of the term “career patterns” in the discourse about careers, the existing empirical evidence on (managerial) career patterns is rather limited. From this literature review of 33 published empirical studies of managerial and similar professional career patterns found in electronic bibliographic databases, it is clear that upward mobility is still the norm, even when contrasting traditional to “new” careers. We argue that the nature and number of unique career patterns identified is strongly influenced by where and when the data were collected (i.e. empirical access), and how career patterns are measured. Our review further shows organizations clearly still act as containing social structures for the patterning of managerial careers, and that contemporary managerial careers, despite some evidence of increasing inter-organizational mobility, have new boundaries which induce linearity. We provide insights for further conceptualization of managerial career patterns and for advancing methodological approaches, including the use of optimal matching analysis and narratives. By expanding the scope of career pattern dimensions beyond time and direction, this review provides ground for further research on managerial career patterns.
Article
The author was led to the study given in this paper from a consideration of large scale computing machines in which a large number of operations must be performed without a single error in the end result. This problem of “doing things right” on a large scale is not essentially new; in a telephone central office, for example, a very large number of operations are performed while the errors leading to wrong numbers are kept well under control, though they have not been completely eliminated. This has been achieved, in part, through the use of self-checking circuits. The occasional failure that escapes routine checking is still detected by the customer and will, if it persists, result in customer complaint, while if it is transient it will produce only occasional wrong numbers. At the same time the rest of the central office functions satisfactorily. In a digital computer, on the other hand, a single failure usually means the complete failure, in the sense that if it is detected no more computing can be done until the failure is located and corrected, while if it escapes detection then it invalidates all subsequent operations of the machine. Put in other words, in a telephone central office there are a number of parallel paths which are more or less independent of each other; in a digital machine there is usually a single long path which passes through the same piece of equipment many, many times before the answer is obtained.
Article
Optimal matching (OM) is a method that assesses sequence similarity. It was originally developed to study protein and DNA sequences and was later transferred to the social sciences where it was applied accordingly. However, there is an ongoing debate on the adequacy of its use in the social sciences, as a superficial transfer might not respond to the significant differences between typical sequences in biological and social settings. In this paper, I elaborate on these differences and introduce a distinction between two sequence types—namely, common ancestors and unfolding processes. While the first sequence type is typically found in biological settings (e.g., DNA sequences), the latter applies to most sequences studied in the social sciences (e.g., careers). Based on this distinction, I present a new way of coding sequences as an extension to conventional OM analyses and demonstrate its usefulness in simulated and empirical examples. The paper concludes with a discussion of this new approach and its integration into previous extensions of OM.
Article
This article illustrates the challenges and potential advantages associated with using a sequence-based method to describe the structure of individual residential mobility histories. The authors examine the existence and prevalence of distinctive patterns of residential mobility across a rural-suburban-urban place-type continuum. They identify a finite set of empirically common residential trajectories that describe patterns of movement across the geographic landscape. This approach reveals (1) a great deal of stability in patterns of residential attachment; (2) that residential movement is frequently organized in terms of place-type, rather than in terms of specific locations; and (3) that certain place-types are rarely linked together in residential histories, which suggests that the universe of place-types contains social boundaries. Combining the empirically observed residential trajectories with basic demographic characteristics of individuals confirms general expectations from the life course perspective about the roles and positions individuals occupy over different stages of adulthood.
Article
This article draws on life history data of the cohorts of recent U.S. retirees to examine the temporal patterning of retirement. Three major dimensions - historical context, social heterogeneity, and, most important, biographical pacing, measured by cohort, gender, and career pathway, respectively - operate simultaneously, yet unevenly, to affect various aspects of the retirement process. Findings suggest that changes over the past few decades have undermined the regularity in retirement timing that was a product of the convergence of diverse institutional features, anchored by a large core of men on traditional career tracks. Focusing on retirement, our model underscores the multiplex nature of the temporal structuring of the life course.
Article
Optimal matching algorithms are used to model the transformation of-career systems in a large British bank (Lloyds) from 1890 to 1970. The authors first model the breakdown of the traditional ascriptive, status-based system, and then identify a more dynamic, achievement-based system as its replacement. By relating the structure of careers to organizational growth and social change, the authors explore how the modern achievement career came about. More broadly, they argue that optimal matching enables one to see clearly the multiple time frames that are necessarily intercalated into career systems and hence provides new insights into the discontinuous and contingent nature of organizational change.
Article
This study examines immigrants’ employment careers and their (dis)similarity with careers of the native-born in West Germany. Applying the sequence analysis technique, the study shows that ethnic Germans born abroad and immigrants from EU-15 countries experience employment patterns more similar to those of native-born Germans than do other immigrant groups. The career paths of labor migrants from Turkey remain extremely dissimilar to those of Germans, even when differences in the age structure and the educational level are taken into account. Long and frequent unemployment are among the factors contributing to this dissimilarity. Immigrants, particularly Turks, are not only more likely to be long-term unemployed, they are also pushed into unskilled occupations. The second-generation immigrants, although displaying the strongest degree of similarity to the employment career patterns of native-born Germans, do not fully catch up with the socio-demographically comparable native-born when it comes to occupational assimilation.
Article
Promotions and demotions are important events in most people's work lives. This study analyzes the career mobility of a cohort of employees in a large corporation over a 13-year period using official personnel records. Derived from the status-attainment, Markov, and organization-career literatures, two conflicting models of mobility are described: an ahistorical (path independence) model and a historical (tournament) model. The empirical analysis supports the tournament model, finding that mobility in the earliest period of one's career has an unequivocal relationship with many of the most important parameters of one's later career: career ceilings, career floors, and probabilities of promotion and demotion in each successive period. Some speculations are presented about Bowles and Gintis's correspondence principle, about functional and dysfunctional consequences of this selection system, and about the implications of organizational opportunity structures on employees' career behaviors.
Article
Nine hierarchical and four nonhierarchical clustering algorithms were compared on their ability to resolve 200 multivariate normal mixtures. The effects of coverage, similarity measures, and cluster overlap were studied by including different levels of coverage for the hierarchical algorithms, Euclidean distances and Pearson correlation coefficients, and truncated multivariate normal mixtures in the analysis. The results confirmed the findings of previous Monte Carlo studies on clustering procedures in that accuracy was inversely related to coverage, and that algorithms using correlation as the similarity measure were significantly more accurate than those using Euclidean distances. No evidence was found for the assumption that the positive effects of the use of correlation coefficients are confined to unconstrained mixture models.
Article
This article introduces a method that measures resemblance between sequences using a simple metric based on the insertions, deletions, and substitutions required to transform one sequence into another. The method, called optimal matching, is widely used in natural science. The article reviews the literature on sequence analysis, then discusses the optimal matching algorithm in some detail. Applying this technique to a data set detailing careers of musicians active in Germany in the 18th century demonstrates the practical steps involved in the application of the technique and develops a set of typical careers that successfully categorize most of the actual careers studied by the authors.
Article
The present article proposes a new method to assess distances between sequences of states, belonging to, for instance, event histories. It is based on the number of moves needed to turn one sequence into another sequence. This number of moves is standardized by relating it to the number of moves needed to turn the sequence into its reverse. Weighting it in different manners by the number of common elements in both sequences yields three different agreement measures, suited for different kinds of research questions. Life history data from 494 young adults show that applying our agreement measure to these data can yield insight in interesting relationships, otherwise not readily obtained.
Article
This article explores how Optimal Matching Analysis (OMA) can be applied to study career mobility. I first apply OMA to career history data to identify typical mobility paths. Then I test whether the mobility paths are selectively open to different people. This procedure provides a useful handle to map the opportunity structure of national labor markets.
Article
White-on-black violence was a fact of life in the Deep South during the decades straddling the turn of the century. Yet though the lynching of blacks is historically significant, it was, statistically speaking, a relatively rare event. While each lynching is associated with a complex and often gruesome narrative, particularities often overwhelm efforts to reveal anything other than broad structural determinants or proximate causes. Efforts to apply narrative methods have been limited to the analysis of a single lynching incident, and yield more insight into patterns of interaction than into the phenomena of lynching as a whole. This article offers a new analytic description of the temporal structure of local lynching histories in the Deep South between 1882 and 1930. Sequential analysis reveals robust variation in the temporal pattern of local lynching; interpretation of the finite set of patterns of lynching histories focuses on the sequential consequences of various microlevel mechanisms, and demonstrates the advantages of moving beyond the analysis of discrete incidents.
Article
The field of strategic human resource management (SHRM) has been criticized for lacking a solid theoretical foundation. This article documents that, contrary to this criticism, the SHRM literature draws on three dominant modes of theorizing: universalistic, contingency, and configurational perspectives, Seven key strategic human resource practices are identified and used to develop theoretical arguments consistent with each perspective, The results demonstrate that each perspective can be used to structure theoretical arguments that explain significant levels of variation in financial performance.
Article
This paper introduces optimal matching analysis (OMA) to the field of top management research. With this method, we develop six career patterns of top management team (TMT) members from five countries based on their international experience, organizational tenure and professional experience. The results provide strong support for the significance of these patterns, since each country (Denmark, Germany, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States) shows one to four predominant career patterns of their managers and the occurrence of these patterns also differs significantly between the fields of activity within the TMT (chairperson, head of a division, primary activities and support activities).
Article
Two separation indices are considered for partitions P = {X1, …, Xk} of a finite data set X in a general inner product space. Both indices increase as the pairwise distances between the subsets Xi become large compared to the diameters of Xi Maximally separated partitions p' are defined and it is shown that as the indices of p' increase without bound, the characteristic functions of Xi' in P' are approximated more and more closely by the membership functions in fuzzy partitions which minimize certain fuzzy extensions of the k-means squared error criterion function.