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Cosmic Evolution: The Rise of Complexity in Nature

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Using astronomical telescopes and biological microscopes, among a virtual arsenal of other tools of high technology, modern scientists are weaving a thread of understanding spanning the origin, existence, and destiny of all things. Now emerging is a unified scenario of the cosmos, including ourselves as sentient beings, based on the time-honored concept of change. From galaxies to snowflakes, from stars and planets to life itself, we are beginning to identify an underlying, ubiquitous pattern penetrating the fabric of all the natural sciences—a sweepingly encompassing view of the order and structure of every known class of object in our richly endowed Universe. We call this subject "cosmic evolution." Recent advances throughout the sciences suggest that all organized systems share generic phenomena characterizing their emergence, development and evolution. Whether they are physical, biological or cultural systems, certain similarities and homologies pervade evolving entities throughout an amazingly diverse Universe. How strong are the apparent continuities among Nature's historical epochs and how realistic is the quest for unification? To what extent might we broaden conventional evolutionary thinking, into both the pre-biological and post-biological domains? Is such an extension valid, merely metaphorical, or just plain confusing? For many years at Harvard University, starting in the 1970s and continuing to the present, I have taught, initially with George B. Field, an introductory course on cosmic evolution that sought to identify common denominators bridging a wide variety of specialized science subjects—physics, astronomy, geology, chemistry, biology, and anthropology, among others. The principal aim of this interdisciplinary course explored a universal framework against which to address some of the most basic issues ever contemplated: the origin of matter and the origin of life, as well as how radiation, matter, and life interact and change with time. Our intention was to help sketch a grand evolutionary synthesis that would better enable us to understand who we are, whence we came, and how we fit into the overall scheme of things. In doing so, my students and I gained a broader, integrated knowledge of stars and galaxies, plants and animals, air, land, and sea. Of paramount import, we learned how the evident order and increasing complexity of the many varied, localized structures within the Universe in no way violate the principles of modern physics, which, prima facie, maintain that the Universe itself, globally and necessarily, becomes irreversibly and increasingly disordered. Beginning in the late 1980s while on sabbatical leave at MIT, and continuing for several years thereafter while on the faculty of the Space Telescope Science Institute at Johns Hopkins University, I occasionally offered an advanced version of the introductory course. This senior seminar attempted to raise substantially the quantitative aspects of the earlier course, to develop even deeper insights into the nature and role of change in Nature, and thus to elevate the subject of cosmic evolution to a level that colleague scientists and intelligent lay persons alike might better appreciate. This brief and broadly brushed monograph—written mostly in the late 1990s during a stint as Phi Beta Kappa National Lecturer, and polished while resuming the teaching at Harvard of my original course on cosmic evolution--is an intentionally lean synopsis of the salient features of that more advanced effort. Some will see this work as reductionistic, with its analytical approach to the understanding of all material things. Others will regard it as holistic, with its overarching theme of the whole exceeding the sum of Nature's many fragmented parts. In the spirit of complementarity, I offer this work as an evolutionary synthesis of both these methodologies, integrating the deconstructionism of the former and the constructivist tendencies of the latter. Openly admitted, my inspiration for writing this book has been Erwin Schroedinger's seminal little tract of a half-century ago, What is Life?, yet herein to straighten and extend the analysis to include all known manifestations of order and complexity in the Universe. No attempt is made to be comprehensive in so far as details are concerned; much meat has been left off the bones. Nor is this work meant to be technically rigorous; that will be addressed in a forthcoming opus. Rather, the intent here is to articulate a skeletal précis—a lengthy essay, really—of a truly voluminous subject in a distilled and readable manner. To bend a hackneyed cliché, although the individual trees are most assuredly an integral part of the forest, in this particular work the forest is of greater import. My aim is to avoid diverting the reader from the main lines of argument, to stay focused on target regarding the grand sweep of change from big bang to humankind. Of special note, this is not a New Age book with mystical overtones however embraced or vulgarized by past scholars, nor one about the history and philosophy of antiquated views of Nature. It grants no speculation on the pseudo-science fringe about morphic fields or quantum vitalism or interfering dieties all mysteriously affecting the ways and means of evolution; nor do we entertain epistemological discussions about the limits of human knowledge or post-modernist opinions about the sociological implications of science writ large. This is a book about mainstream science, pure and simple, outlining the essence of an ongoing research program admittedly multidisciplinary in character and colored by the modern scientific method's unavoidable mix of short-term subjectivity and long-term objectivity. In writing this book, I have assumed an undergraduate knowledge of natural science, especially statistical and deterministic physics, since as we shall see, much as for classical biological evolution, both chance and necessity have roles to play in all evolving systems. The mathematical level includes that of integral calculus and differential equations, with a smattering of symbolism throughout; the units are those of the centimeter-gram-second (cgs) system, those most widely used by practitioners in the field, editorial conventions notwithstanding. And although a degree of pedagogy has been included when these prerequisites are exceeded, some scientific language has been assumed. "The book of Nature is written in the language of mathematics," said one of my two intellectual heroes, Galileo Galilei, and so are parts of this one. Readers with unalterable math phobia will benefit from the unorthodox design of this work, wherein the "bookends" of Prologue-Introduction and Discussion-Epilogue, comprising more than half of the book, can be mastered without encountering much mathematics at all. What is presented here, then, is merely a sketch of a developing research agenda, itself evolving, ordering and complexifying—an abstract of scholarship-in-progress incorporating much data and many ideas from the entire spectrum of natural science, yet which attempts to surpass scientific popularizations (including some of my own) that avoid technical lingo, most numbers, and all mathematics. As such, this book should be of interest to most thinking people—active researchers receptive to an uncommonly broad view of science, sagacious students of many disciplines within and beyond science, the erudite public in search of themselves and a credible worldview—in short, anyone having a panoramic, persistent curiosity about the nature of the Universe and of our existence in it. -- Summary Abstract of This Work -- The essence of this book outlines the grand scenario of cosmic evolution by qualitatively and quantitatively examining the natural changes among radiation, matter, and life within the context of big-bang cosmology. The early Universe is shown to have been flooded with pure energy whose radiation energy density was initially so high as to preclude the existence of any appreciable structure. As the Universe cooled and thinned, a preeminent phase change occurred a few hundred centuries after the origin of all things, at which time matter's energy density overthrew the earlier primacy of radiation. Only with the onset of technologically manipulative beings (on Earth and perhaps elsewhere) has the energy density contained within matter become, in turn, locally dominated by the rate of free energy density flowing through open organic structures. Using non-equilibrium thermodynamics at the crux, especially energy flow considerations, we argue that it is the contrasting temporal behavior of various energy densities that have given rise to the environments needed for the emergence of galaxies, stars, planets, and life forms. We furthermore maintain that a necessary (though perhaps not sufficient) condition—a veritable prime mover—for the emergence of such ordered structures of rising complexity is the expansion of the Universe itself. Neither demonstrably new science nor appeals to non-science are needed to explain the impressive hierarchy of the cosmic-evolutionary scenario, from quark to quasar, from microbe to mind.
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... The central physical phenomenon is the dissipation of energy, which is the transformation of energy that can exert physical work into energy that cannot. This energetic perspective introduces as well a cosmological dimension into the analysis, which is necessary to explain the relation between specific physical processes and the underlying universal trend of energy dissipation (Layzer 1988, Chaisson 2001, Penrose 2006 686ff.). ...
... So, this conjunction of the different entropy related theorems can serve as the theoretical framework in which the general physical regularities of information-generating evolution can be analyzed, extending and detailing earlier cosmological approaches such as that of Chaisson (2001). In this framework, life is not seen as counteracting the Second Law, but as expressing it through the emergence of structures which increase the speed and efficacy of entropy production. ...
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Many problems in evolutionary theory are cast in dyadic terms, such as the polar oppositions of organism and environment. We argue that a triadic conceptual structure offers an alternative perspective under which the information generating role of evolution as a physical process can be analyzed, and propose a new diagrammatic approach. Peirce's natural philosophy was deeply influenced by his reception of both Darwin's theory and thermodynamics. Thus, we elaborate on a new synthesis which puts together his theory of signs and modern Maximum Entropy approaches to evolution. Following recent contributions to the naturalization of Peircean semiosis, we show that triadic structures involve the conjunction of three different kinds of causality, efficient, formal and final. We apply this on Ulanowicz's analysis of autocatalytic cycles as primordial patterns of life. This paves the way for a semiotic view of thermodynamics which is built on the idea that Peircean interpretants are systems of physical inference devices evolving under natural selection. In this view, the principles of Maximum Entropy, Maximum Power, and Maximum Entropy Production work together to drive the emergence of information carrying structures, which at the same time maximize information capacity as well as the gradients of energy flows, such that ultimately, contrary to Schroedinger's seminal contribution, the evolutionary process is seen to be a physical expression of the Second Law.
... Biospheres seem disposed to evolve toward greater complexity, diversity, and information content (Chaisson, 2002;Knoll & Bambach, 2019;Cortés et al., 2022). Multicellular organisms have frequently evolved on Earth (Lamźa, 2023) and neuronal development occurred early in life's history (Najle et al., 2023). ...
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The extraterrestrial hypothesis (ETH), the hypothesis that an extraterrestrial civilization (ETC) is active on Earth today, is taboo in academia, but the assumptions behind this taboo are faulty. Advances in biology have rendered the notion that complex life is rare in our Galaxy improbable. The objection that no ETC would come to Earth to hide from us does not consider all possible alien motives or means. For an advanced ETC, the convergent instrumental goals of all rational agents – self-preservation and the acquisition of resources – would support the objectives of removing existential threats and gathering strategic and non-strategic information. It could advance these objectives by proactively gathering information about and from inhabited planets, concealing itself while doing so, and terminating potential rivals before they become imminently dangerous. Other hypotheses of ETC behavior, including the zoo/interdict hypothesis and the dark forest hypothesis also undercut the claim that the ETH is highly improbable, and the ETH overturns none of our well-tested scientific knowledge. It follows that evidence offered in its support need not be extraordinary. The fact that most reports of unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) have natural or human explanations does not count against the ETH. Inference to the best explanation offers a way to find evidence for the hypothesis and some evidence exists, some of it taking the form of reliable witness reports. The most plausible alternative explanation for some UAP declines in probability over time. A hypothesis that does not contradict well-established facts or theories, is not highly improbable for other reasons, and explains otherwise unexplained evidence is a rational hypothesis. Since the ETH meets this test, it should be evaluated alongside other possibilities when the case-specific evidence warrants it.
... At the moment, the only measure used to study the complexity in the Big History is the one proposed by Eric Chaisson (2001) -the free energy rate density / FERD (Chaisson, 2003(Chaisson, , 2011Aunger, 2007;Baker, 2015Baker, , 2019 That is, just H + He. 6 And, possibly, mean stellar mass density within the galaxies of the Universe. 7 Note also that, as references above indicate, FERD is used as a universal measure of complexity almost exclusively by big historians, and is hardly used to measure the complexity by anyone outside the Big History studies (with a very few exceptions [first of all, Georgi Georgiev]) -this could be easily checked by printing "free energy rate density / FERD" in the search window of Google Scholar (https://scholar.google.ru/scholar?hl=en&as_sdt=0%2C5&q=%22free+en ...
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A previous study compared the symmetries of the cooling after the Big Bang and the development of life, humans, and civilization on Earth. A simple model of the relative rates of change depicts two cones joined at their bases representing the Big Bang expansion and the acceleration of complexity development on earth through life evolution, human evolution, and civilization development. This indicates points of rapid change at both ends corresponding to at the Big Bang and our current technological and demographic change. However, this depiction oversimplifies complexity growth, specifically at where the transitions from the Universe’s decelerating physical complexity development and Earths accelerating complex adaptive systems. This transition is important in both organization and energy flow. In this paper, the build-up of potential variety in elements and chemicals to later build planets and life is the focus. These are mostly derived from stellar formation through the conversion of gravitational and nuclear potential energy into elements through nuclear fusion. Other’s models have been employed to explore the dynamics of this buildup from the first Population I stars, which were large and short-lived, through the Population II stars of galactic spherical bulges and haloes, to the formation of smaller, long-lived stars with a high amount of non-Hydrogen and Helium atoms, called “metals”. The rates of these dynamics during the transition from cosmic development to terrestrial evolution on Earth are explored here.
... One of the by-products of the revolution in information technology over the last three decades has been our enhanced capacity to visualize, model and understand complex phenomena. This has allowed us to identify and visualize key traits associated with complexity such as self-similarity [1] and recursion [2], interconnectedness of elements [3], high sensitivity to initial conditions [4], and theorize about the sources of these traits [5][6][7][8][9] and evolution of complex systems [10]. These developments though have not brought us much closer to eliminating widespread skepticism about either our ability to build predictive models of complex phenomena [11] or arrive at feasible mechanisms to describe the emergence and selection of such phenomena associated with complexity as human cognition [12], though some of the findings are already being incorporated in systems analysis, design and architecting [13]. ...
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Recently it has been demonstrated that causal entropic forces can lead to the emergence of complex phenomena associated with human cognitive niche such as tool use and social cooperation. Here I show that even more fundamental traits associated with human cognition such as 'self-awareness' can easily be demonstrated to be arising out of merely a selection for 'better regulators'; i.e. systems which respond comparatively better to threats to their existence which are internal to themselves. A simple model demonstrates how indeed the average self-awareness for a universe of systems continues to rise as less self-aware systems are eliminated. The model also demonstrates however that the maximum attainable self-awareness for any system is limited by the plasticity and energy availability for that typology of systems. I argue that this rise in self-awareness may be the reason why systems tend towards greater complexity.
... Our results highlight the necessity, already noted elsewhere (Ćirković, 2004 perspective, see, e.g., Chaisson, 2001;Maccone, 2011;Ćirković, 2012). This is a daunting task, and certainly beyond the scope of this paper. ...
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We use a statistical model to investigate the detectability (defined by the requirement that they are in causal contact with us) of communicating civilizations within a volume of the universe surrounding our location. If the civilizations are located in our Galaxy, the detectability requirement imposes a strict constraint on their epoch of appearance and their communicating lifespan. This, in turn, implies that the fraction of civilizations of which we can find any empirical evidence strongly depends on the specific features of their temporal distribution. Our approach shed light on aspects of the problem that can escape the standard treatment based on the Drake equation. Therefore, it might provide the appropriate framework for future studies dealing with the evolutionary aspects of the search for extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI).
... U vezi sa tim bi verovatno bilo umesno pomenuti Čejsonovu ideju svođenja kompleksnosti na specifičan tok slobodne energije kroz sistem (Chaisson and Chaisson, 2002). ...
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