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An International Study of Arctic Change (ISAC) Workshop
30 January 1 February 2012
Queen’s University, Kingston, Canada
Responding to Arctic Environmental Change
ReRe
TRANSLATING OUR GROWING UNDERSTANDING
INTO A RESEARCH AGENDA FOR ACTION
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ii!
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Responding to Arctic Environmental
Change!
TRANSLATING OUR GROWING UNDERSTANDING INTO A
RESEARCH AGENDA FOR ACTION
An International Study of Arctic Change (ISAC) Workshop
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Special Thanks
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ISAC
ISAC is an open-
ended, international,
interdisciplinary arctic
environmental change
program. ISAC
encompasses pan-
Arctic, system-scale,
multidisciplinary
observations, synthesis
and modeling to
provide an integrated
understanding of arctic
change and projections
of future change. The
ISAC Science Plan
provides a vision for
integrating research
among diverse fields
and varied users and
stakeholders.!!
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Visit us on the web at
www.arcticchange.org
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
Acknowledgements ......................................................................................................... ii!
Special Thanks!..................................................................................................................................................!ii!
Support!...............................................................................................................................................................!ii!
Introduction ..................................................................................................................... 1!
Background ...................................................................................................................... 1!
Workshop Preparation .................................................................................................. 2!
Workshop Questionnaire .............................................................................................. 3!
Results ............................................................................................................................... 3!
Workshop Structure ....................................................................................................... 5!
Towards a Common Reference Framework ........................................................... 5!
A Research Agenda for Action ...................................................................................... 7!
Arctic System Services ................................................................................................... 8!
1. HUMAN HEALTH!.........................................................................................................................................!11!
2. PARK MANAGEMENT IN NORTHERN CANADA!................................................................................!12!
3. FOOD SECURITY!.........................................................................................................................................!13!
Discussion And Recommendations .......................................................................... 14!
RECOMMENDATION 1!..................................................................................................................................!15!
RECOMMENDATION 2.!.................................................................................................................................!15!
RECOMMENDATION 3.!.................................................................................................................................!16!
RECOMMENDATION 4.!.................................................................................................................................!16!
RECOMMENDATION 5.!.................................................................................................................................!16!
Action Items and Conclusions ................................................................................... 17!
References Cited ........................................................................................................... 18!
Programs Noted in the Text ....................................................................................... 22!
Questionnaire Responses: Questions 5, 6, and 7 ................................................. 24!
Workshop Particpants ................................................................................................. 30!
Planet Under Pressure Conference RtoC Poster ............................................... 33!
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1!
INTRODUCTION
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Figure 1. ISAC components: responding,
observing and understanding.
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1 A brief description of each of the programs
mentioned here is located at the end of this report.
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2 Planning meeting reports are available at
www.arcticchange.org. The first meeting was held at
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the Oslo 2009 International Polar Year Conference
and the second at the 2010 Annual Meeting of the
American Geophysical Union in San Francisco.
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4!
Responding to Arctic Environmental
Change: Workshop Questionnaire
1. What is your primary area of expertise?
2. If you are an academic or university/college-
based researcher have you worked with
northern stakeholder groups (northern
residents, agencies, industry, etc.) and in what
capacity (generally)?
3. If you are a representative of a stakeholder
community what is your primary connection, if
any, to the arctic research community?
4. With which, if any, national and/or
international programs of arctic environmental
change research are you familiar and in what
capacity (e.g. as a participant, a partner,
passing knowledge, etc.)?
5. Does the term Responding to Change
resonate with you, and if so how would you
define it? If not, why not?
6. What are the biggest scientific and societal
challenges facing us as a result of arctic
environmental change?
7. What information from the scientific
community would you find useful or necessary
to support your own activities or to support
sustainable use of the Arctic (e.g. forecasts
(for what), monitoring (of which parameters),
analysis of system dynamics (e.g. ecosystem,
physical system, commercial activities, etc.).
In which form would you prefer to obtain such
output (e.g. data center access, scientific
papers, summaries, etc.)?
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Organizing Questions
Q1. What is meant by responding to arctic
environmental change?
Q2. What research questions align with
stakeholder needs for information? Which are
tractable in the short term and which need to
be addressed over the longer term?
Q3. How well do established arctic observing
initiatives align with stakeholder needs for
information and how can this alignment be
improved?
Q4. What is needed to advance
science/stakeholder partnerships, and to
improve communication between these diverse
communities?
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Figure 2. Given the dynamic nature of the arctic systema, RtoC means actorsb jointly developing
and iterative and integrative processc and toolsd for responding to changee
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A RESEARCH AGENDA FOR
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Figure 3. Schematic representation of a reference framework for research and learning approaches
related to RtoC. This illustrates how specific arctic system components and processes, associated with
variables that relate to the state and dynamics of the system, translate into specific Arctic System
Services of interest to stakeholders. Such services are key in assessing or shaping outcomes seen as
desirable by different stakeholder groups. In this sense, the realms of desired outcomes and arctic
system services bridge stakeholders and broader, fundamental scientific interests.
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)"G"$'.%)(35.(C("7%"\'35.")%#*%C>$#6"$%
(..>)#$'#"%#6")"%;*+;"5#)?%%
1. HUMAN HEALTH
:%;."'$.B%)#'#"7%7")($"7%*>#;*3"%C*$%
'$;#(;%$")(7"+#)%()%3(+(3(c"7%$()A%#*%
6>3'+%6"'.#6%C$*3%#6"%)5$"'7%*C%
(+C";#(*>)%7()"')"%$")>.#(+<%C$*3%
"+G($*+3"+#'.%;6'+<"?%&'+#'G($>)%Y="+>)%
@2&+20(-9#,%J'3(.B%A9&>20(-('2"Z%()%'%
G($>)%#6'#%()%)5$"'7%#*%6>3'+)%#6$*><6%
;*+#';#%@(#6%$*7"+#%>$(+",%'+7%#6'#%()%
5*#"+#('..B%.(C"%#6$"'#"+(+<?%26"%G($>)%()%
;*33*+.B%'))*;('#"7%@(#6%*.7%'+7%+"@%
@*$.7%$'#)%'+7%3(;",%0>#%(#%()%'.)*%;'$$("7%
0B%#6"%:$G(;*."+'"%m%5'+[:$;#(;%G*.")%'+7%
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7"+)(#(")%*C%G*.")g%#6"B%7"5"+7%;$(#(;'..B%
*+%#6"%)*(.[)+*@%(+#"$C';"%#"35"$'#>$")?%
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$"5$*7>;#(*+%'+7%)>$G(G'.%'+7%'$"')%@(#6%
7""5"$%)+*@5';A%)6*@%(+;$"')"7%7"+)(#B%
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)+*@5';A%@(..%"\5*)"%#6"%G*.")%C*$%
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7")($"7%*>#;*3")%Y3(+(3(c"7%)5$"'7%*C%
&'+#'G($>)Z%@*>.7%0"%"(#6"$%.*@%
)+*@5';A%7"5#6%'+7%.*@%@(+#"$%
3(+(3>3%'($%#"35"$'#>$")%5$*3*#(+<%
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.*@%7"+)(#(")%*C%:$G(;*."+'"%(+%#6"%
G(;(+(#B%*C%6>3'+%6'0(#'#(*+Y)Z%*$%#6"%
*55*)(#"?%H")"'$;6%#*%")#'0.()6%;$(#(;'.%
.(3(#)%$"3'(+)%#*%0"%;'$$("7%*>#?%
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9"$G(;")%'$"%7($";#.B%.(+A"7%#*%)#'#"%
G'$('0.")%Y)+*@%7"5#6,%'($%#"35"$'#>$"Z%
#6'#%'$"%'.$"'7B%3*+(#*$"7%0B%"\()#(+<%
*0)"$G(+<%+"#@*$A)%Y(?"?,%9+*@I"#%
@@@?(5B)+*@?+"#XZ?%
2. PARK MANAGEMENT IN
NORTHERN CANADA
8+%#6()%"\'35."%C$*3%#6"%@*$A)6*5,%)*3"%
A"B%7")($"7%*>#;*3")%C*$%#6"%
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(7"+#(C("7?%26")"%(+;.>7"%3'(+#"+'+;"%*C%
7B+'3(;%";*.*<(;'.%(+#"<$(#B,%)>)#'(+(+<%
.'+7[0')"7%.(C")#B."),%'+7%;*+#(+>"7%
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"7>;'#(*+'.%"\5"$("+;")%C*$%#6"%5>0.(;?%
26")"%*>#;*3")%$"C.";#%#6"%+""7)%'+7%
7")($")%*C%.*;'.%Y5'$A%3'+'<"$),%
'0*$(<(+'.%5"*5."),%G()(#*$)Z,%$"<(*+'.%
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26"%:$;#(;%9B)#"3)%9"$G(;")%+";"))'$B%#*%
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5'$#('..B%(7"+#(C("7%')%'%#*."$'0."%$'#"%*C%
;.(3'#"%;6'+<",%)>)#'(+"7%";*)B)#"3%
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6'0(#'#%;*35*+"+#),%'+7%6"'.#6B%#$*56(;%
)B)#"3)%Y5$"7'#*$X5$"B%$".'#(*+)6(5),%
(+;.>7(+<%#6*)"%(+G*.G(+<%5"*5."Z?%26")"%
)"$G(;")%'$"%.(+A"7%#*%'..%;*35*+"+#)%*C%
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)#'#"%G'$('0.")%3'+B%*C%@6(;6%'$"%'.$"'7B%
0"(+<%3*+(#*$"7%Y$'7('#(*+,%5$";(5(#'#(*+,%
#"35"$'#>$",%"G'5*$'#(*+%"#;?Z?%&*@"G"$,%
#6"%"\#"+#%#*%@6(;6%#6"%7'#'%7"$(G"7%C$*3%
)>;6%3*+(#*$(+<%';#(G(#(")%()%*$<'+(c"7%(+%
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>)"%*C%5'$A),%5*.(;B%;6'+<"),%'+7%3*$"?
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'<"+7'%'(3(+<%'#%#6")"%7")($"7%*>#;*3")%
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.'+7);'5"[."G".%)6(C#)%(+%";*)B)#"3%
7()#$(0>#(*+%'+7%)#$>;#>$"%Y!$*@)"%"#%'.?%
UVVbZ? 8))>")%#*%#';A."%;*>.7%(+;.>7"%6*@%
#*%"G*.G"%*0)"$G(+<%5$*<$'3)%#*@'$7)%
5$*G(7(+<%3*$" >)"C>.%'+7%*$
!
!
13!
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>#(.(c"%#6*)"%3"')>$")%(+%5.'++(+<%C*$%
>+;"$#'(+#B%@6(."%)#$(G(+<%#*%';6("G"%#6"%
*>#;*3")%7");$(0"7%'0*G".
3. FOOD SECURITY
8+%#6()%"\'35."%)#'A"6*.7"$)%'$"%
(7"+#(C("7%')%)>0)()#"+;"%'+7%;*>+#$B%C**7%
>)"$)%C*$%@6*3%'%7")($"7%*>#;*3"%()%
';;"))%#*%)>CC(;("+#%a>'+#(#B%*C%6(<6%
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9"$G(;")%#6'#%5$*G(7"%C*$%#"$$")#$('.%
)>0)()#"+;"%$")*>$;")?%:3*+<%#6")"%'$"%
6'0(#'#,%)+*@%;*G"$,%C$")6@'#"$,%C*$'<",%
5*..(+'#(*+,%$")()#'+;"%#*%7()"')",%
$")()#'+;"%#*%(+G')(G"%)5";("),%
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";*+*3(;%;'5';(#B%#*%5>$;6')"%'+7%
)"$G(;"%)>0)()#"+;"%#";6+*.*<("),%
Figure 3. Map of northern Canada illustrating ecological zones, location of national parks,
protected areas and other areas of interest. Illustration courtesy D. McLennan, Parks Canada.
!
!
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)+*@%3';6(+")%'+7%C>".?%26"%'$;#(;%
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+""7"7%@(..%G'$B%C$*3%5.';"%#*%5.';"%'+7%
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';;"))%#*%'+7%a>'.(#B%*C%)>0)()#"+;"%
$")*>$;")?%%
DISCUSSION AND
RECOMMENDATIONS
26"%(+(#('.%;6'.."+<"%*C%H#*4%()%0$(+<(+<%
#*<"#6"$%$")"'$;6"$)%'+7%)#'A"6*.7"$)%(+%
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7"C(+"7%@(#6%)#'A"6*.7"$),%+*#%(+%()*.'#(*+%
C$*3%#6"3?%9#'A"6*.7"$)%)6*>.7%0"%
3*#(G'#"7%#*%"+<'<"%@(#6%$")"'$;6%'+7%#*%
(7"+#(CB%@6"$"%'+7%@6"+%(+C*$3'#(*+%
+""7)%#*%0"%5$*G(7"7%'#%)5'#('.%'+7%
#"35*$'.%);'.")%#6'#%7(CC"$%C$*3%#6*)"%
;*33*+.B%>#(.(c"7%0B%#6"%);("+#(C(;%
;*33>+(#B%m%'+7%#6()%'55.(")%';$*))%#6"%
0*'$7%C$*3%#6"%(+7(G(7>'.%#*%
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4*33>+(;'#(*+%;'+%0"%(35$*G"7%(C%#6"$"%
'$"%3>.#(5."%5*(+#)%*C%"+#$B%(+#*%#6"%
$")"'$;6%5$*;"))%'+7%.(A"@()"%(+#*%#6"%
$")5*+7(+<%5$*;"))?%I"@%#**.)%'$"%
+""7"7%#*%C';(.(#'#"%5'$#+"$)6(5),%'+7%C*$%
#$'+).'#(+<%);("+#(C(;%7'#'%(+#*%
(+C*$3'#(*+%>)'0."%C*$%$()A%'))"))3"+#),%
5$*0."3%)*.G(+<,%'+7%7";()(*+[3'A(+<%#*%
;(#"%K>)#%'%C"@%"\'35.")?%%
%
&"$"%@*$A)6*5%5'$#(;(5'+#)%;."'$.B%
'$#(;>.'#"7%'%+"@%@'B%*C%'55$*';6(+<%#6"%
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#$'+);"+7)%#6"%."G".%*C%#6"%5$(+;(5'.%
(+G")#(<'#*$,%@(#6%#6"%0(7($";#(*+'.%C.*@%*C%
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!
!
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#6'+%'7'5#'#(*+%'+7%3(#(<'#(*+%0";'>)"%(#%
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7"G".*53"+#?%26"%.'$<"$%;6'.."+<"%6"$"%()%
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#6'#%5'$#+"$)6(5)%@(#6%"+#(#(")%)>;6%')%#6"%
9>)#'(+(+<%:$;#(;%L0)"$G(+<%I"#@*$A%
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YI=L)Z%@(..%C';(.(#'#"%(35."3"+#'#(*+%')%
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RECOMMENDATION 1
:%A"B%$";*33"+7'#(*+%C$*3%#6"%H#*4%
@*$A)6*5%()%#6"%7"G".*53"+#%*C%'+%
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)#'A"6*.7"$)%@'+#%'+7X*$%+""7,%
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RECOMMENDATION 2.
26"%C$'3"@*$A%C*$%H#*4%*>#.(+"7%6"$"%
)6*>.7%0"%>)"7%#*%6".5%'.(<+%#6"%
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RECOMMENDATION 3.
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RECOMMENDATION 4.
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;*+)(7"$%"\5'+)(*+%*C%);6"7>."7%';#(G(#(")%
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Greenland. Photo M.S. Murray
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7*(f%WV?WWWWXK?Wlh][Ud`h?UVV`?VW`%
!
!
22!
PROGRAMS NOTED IN THE TEXT
ACCESS Arctic Climate Change, Economy and Society www.access-eu.org
:44N99%()%'+%N>$*5"'+%!$*K";#%)>55*$#"7%@(#6(+%#6"%L;"'+%*C%2*3*$$*@%;'..%*C%#6"%
N>$*5"'+%4*33())(*+%9"G"+#6%J$'3"@*$A%!$*<$'33"?%26"%3'(+%*0K";#(G"%()%#*%'))"))%
;.(3'#(;%;6'+<"%(35';#)%*+%3'$(+"%#$'+)5*$#'#(*+%Y(+;.>7(+<%#*>$()3Z,%C()6"$("),%3'$(+"%
3'33'.)%'+7%#6"%"\#$';#(*+%*C%*(.%'+7%<')%(+%#6"%:$;#(;%L;"'+?%:44N99%()%'.)*%C*;>)(+<%*+%
:$;#(;%<*G"$+'+;"%'+7%)#$'#"<(;%5*.(;B%*5#(*+)?%
ArcticNet Network of Centres of Excellence Canada www.arcticnet.ulaval.ca
:$;#(;I"#%0$(+<)%#*<"#6"$%);("+#()#)%'+7%3'+'<"$)%(+%#6"%+'#>$'.,%6>3'+%6"'.#6%'+7%)*;('.%
);("+;")%@(#6%#6"($%5'$#+"$)%C$*3%8+>(#%*$<'+(c'#(*+),%+*$#6"$+%;*33>+(#("),%C"7"$'.%'+7%
5$*G(+;('.%'<"+;(")%'+7%#6"%5$(G'#"%)";#*$%#*%)#>7B%#6"%(35';#)%*C%;.(3'#"%;6'+<"%(+%#6"%
;*')#'.%4'+'7('+%:$;#(;?%26"%;"+#$'.%*0K";#(G"%*C%:$;#(;I"#%()%#*%;*+#$(0>#"%#*%#6"%
7"G".*53"+#%'+7%7())"3(+'#(*+%*C%#6"%A+*@."7<"%+""7"7%#*%C*$3>.'#"%'7'5#'#(*+%
)#$'#"<(")%'+7%+'#(*+'.%5*.(;(")%#*%6".5%4'+'7('+)%C';"%#6"%(35';#)%'+7%*55*$#>+(#(")%*C%
;.(3'#"%;6'+<"%'+7%<.*0'.(c'#(*+%(+%#6"%:$;#(;?%
Arctic ROOS Arctic Regional Ocean Observing System http://arctic-roos.org
26"%:$;#(;%H"<(*+'.%L;"'+%L0)"$G(+<%9B)#"3!(:$;#(;%HLL9Z%@')%")#'0.()6"7%0B%'%<$*>5%*C%
Wd%3"30"$%(+)#(#>#(*+)%C$*3%+(+"%N>$*5"'+%;*>+#$(")%@*$A(+<%';#(G".B%@(#6%*;"'+%
*0)"$G'#(*+%'+7%3*7".(+<%)B)#"3)%C*$%#6"%:$;#(;%L;"'+%'+7%'7K';"+#%)"')?%:$;#(;%HLL9%
5$*3*#"),%7"G".*5)%'+7%3'(+#'(+)%*5"$'#(*+'.%3*+(#*$(+<%'+7%C*$";')#(+<%*C%*;"'+%
;($;>.'#(*+,%@'#"$%3'))"),%*;"'+%)>$C';"%;*+7(#(*+),%)"'%(;"%'+7%0(*.*<(;'.X;6"3(;'.%
;*+)#(#>"+#)?%
DAMOCLES Developing Arctic Modeling and Observing Capabilities for Long-
term Environmental Studies www.damocles-ec.org
-:ML4/N9%YUVV_[UVWVZ%@')%'+%(+#"<$'#"7%(;"['#3*)56"$"[*;"'+%3*+(#*$(+<%'+7%
C*$";')#(+<%)B)#"3%7")(<+"7%C*$%*0)"$G(+<,%>+7"$)#'+7(+<%'+7%a>'+#(CB(+<%;.(3'#"%;6'+<")%
(+%#6"%:$;#(;?%-:ML4/N9%@')%;*+;"$+"7%@(#6%#6"%5*#"+#('.%C*$%'%)(<+(C(;'+#.B%$"7>;"7%)"'%
(;"%;*G"$,%'+7%#6"%(35';#)%#6()%3(<6#%6'G"%*+%#6"%"+G($*+3"+#%'+7%*+%6>3'+%';#(G(#("),%
$"<(*+'..B%'+7%<.*0'..B?%
SEARCH Study of Environmental Arctic Change www.arcus.org/search
9N:H4&%()%'%F?9?%(+#"$'<"+;B%)B)#"3[);'.",%;$*))[7();(5.(+'$B,%.*+<[#"$3%'$;#(;%$")"'$;6%
5$*<$'3?%26"%;*$"%'(3%*C%9N:H4&%()%#*%>+7"$)#'+7%#6"%$";"+#%'+7%*+<*(+<%;*35."\%*C%
(+#"$$".'#"7%5'+['$;#(;%;6'+<")?%26")"%;6'+<")%'$"%'CC";#(+<%";*)B)#"3),%.(G(+<%$")*>$;"),%
!
!
23!
'+7%#6"%6>3'+%5*5>.'#(*+,%'+7%'$"%(35';#(+<%.*;'.%'+7%<.*0'.%";*+*3(;%';#(G(#(")?%9N:H4&%
);("+;"%)5'+)%';$*))%'$;#(;%#"$$")#$('.,%*;"'+(;,%'#3*)56"$(;,%'+7%)*;('.%)B)#"3)?%
!
!
24!
QUESTIONNAIRE RESPONSES: QUESTIONS 5, 6, AND 7
!
Question!5.!Does!the!term!Responding!to!Change!resonate!with!you,!and!if!so,!how!would!
you!define!it?!If!not,!why!not?!
W?%i26()%()%'%;6'.."+<(+<%#"$3%0";'>)"%(#%;'+%3"'+%.*#)%*C%#6(+<),%(C%(#%()%+*#%)5";(C(;'..B%7"C(+"7?%%8#%
;'+%0"%;>#%(+%7(CC"$"+#%@'B)?%%J($)#,%@"%;'+%#6(+A%*C%H")5*+7(+<%#*%46'+<"%(+%#"$3)%*C%#6"%);("+#(C(;%
;*33>+(#B%$")5*+7(+<%#*%'%;6'+<(+<%'$;#(;%@(#6%'%$")"'$;6%'<"+7'%#6'#%C*;>)")%)5";(C(;'..B%*+%#6"%
@'B)%(+%@6(;6%#6"%:$;#(;%()%;6'+<(+<%'+7%@6'#%'$"%#6"%.(A".B%;*+)"a>"+;")%*C%#6")"%;6'+<")?%%
9";*+7%()%#6"%5*(+#%*C%G("@%*C%#6"%)#'A"6*.7"$),%0>#%#6"$"%'$"%3'+B%*C%#6")"%(+%'%G'$("#B%*C%C*$3),%
)*%@"%+""7%#*%)5.(#%#6")"%*>#%'<'(+%Y8%;'+%#6(+A%*C%'#%."')#%C*>$%@'B)Z?%%WZ%T"%;'+%#6(+A%*C%
H")5*+7(+<%#*%46'+<"%(+%#"$3)%*C%(+7(<"+*>)%5"*5.")%'.#"$(+<%#6"($%.(C")#B.")%#*%'7'5#%#*%'%
;6'+<(+<%'$;#(;%"+G($*+3"+#,%UZ%T"%;'+%#6(+A%*C%#6"%'$;#(;%+'#(*+)%YF?9?,%4'+'7',%-"+3'$A,%
I*$@'B,%H>))(',%8;".'+7Z%'+7%6*@%#6"($%<*G"$+'+;",%5*.(;("),%'+7%*0K";#(G")%@(..%;6'+<"%')%'%$")>.#%
*C%'%;6'+<(+<%:$;#(;,%lZ%T"%;'+%#6(+A%*C%(+7>)#$B%)#'A"6*.7"$),%)>;6%')%"+"$<B%7"G".*53"+#,%
)6(55(+<,%"#;?%#6'#%3'B%+""7%#*%;6'+<"%#6"($%*5"$'#(*+)%*$%6'G"%+"@%*55*$#>+(#(")%')%'%$")>.#%*C%
;6'+<",%dZ%T"%;'+%#6(+A%*C%"G"$B%5'$#%*C%#6"%N'$#6%#6'#%;*>.7%>.#(3'#".B%0"%'CC";#"7%0B%#6"%
;6'+<(+<%:$;#(;%(+%#"$3)%*C%$"7>;"7%)"'[(;"%"\#"+#,%*;"'+%;($;>.'#(*+,%)"'[."G".%$()",%C()6"$(")%
7B+'3(;),%#*>$()3,%;6'$()3'#(;%3"<'C'>+',%"#;?j% !
U?%i26"%#"$3%$")*+'#")%@(#6%3"%(+%'%G"$B%5$';#(;'.%@'B%')%'+%:$;#(;%$")(7"+#%Y3*$"%)*%#6'+%(+%3B%
);("+#(C(;%.(C"%5"$6'5)Z?%%26"%:$;#(;%()%;*+)#'+#.B%;6'+<(+<,%+*#%*+.B%"+G($*+3"+#'..B,%0>#%)*;('..B,%
";*+*3(;'..B,%5*.(#(;'..B%'+7%8%)""%3B%;*33>+(#B%6'G(+<%#*%$")5*+7%'..%#6"%#(3"?%%26"$"%'$"%
3'##"$)%*C%);'.",%#(3",%#*5(;???%8#%()%+*#%"')(.B%7"C(+"7%(+%#6"%(+#"$+'#(*+'.%"+G($*+3"+#'.%$")"'$;6%
;*+#"\#,%0>#%(+%3B%5"$)*+'.%;*+#"\#,%(#%3"'+)%7*(+<%@6'#%B*>%+""7%#*%7*%(+%*$7"$%#*%."'7%#6"%.(C"%
#6'#%B*>%@'+#%#*%6'G"?%%:#%#6"%."G".%*C%'+%(+7(G(7>'.%.(G(+<%(+%'+%:$;#(;%;*33>+(#B,%)*3"#(3")%(#%
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%
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."<(#(3'#"%.(+")%*C%(+a>($B%@(#6(+%"+G($*+3"+#'.%;6'+<"%$")"'$;6?%%MB%;$(#(a>"%*C%#6"%'55'$'#>)%*C%
L0)"$G(+<[F+7"$)#'+7(+<[H")5*+7(+<%()%#6'#%(#%$"'7)%')%#**%0')"7%(+%#6"%vv5(5".(+"vv%3*7".%*C%
);("+#(C(;%A+*@."7<"%5$*7>;#(*+%'+7%'55.(;'#(*+?%%26"%G'.(7(#B%*C%#6()%3*7".%6')%0""+%7"0>+A"7%0B%
#6"%9;("+;"%'+7%2";6+*.*<B%!*.(;B%$")"'$;6%;*33>+(#B%C*$%7";'7")?%%26")"%'+'.B)")%6'G"%
7"3*+)#$'#"7%#(3"%'+7%'<'(+%#6'#%7";()(*+[3'A(+<%'+7%$")5*+)"%()%$'$".B%);("+;"[0')"7,%"G"+%
@6"+%#6"%);("+;"%()%@"..%>+7"$)#**7%Y$"C"$"+;")%(+;.>7"%!(".A"t)%X&*+")#%P$*A"$XZ?%%8+%.(<6#%*C%
#6'#,%#6"%*G"$'..%'55'$'#>)%*C%L0)"$G(+<[F+7"$)#'+7(+<[H")5*+7(+<%%)""3)%#**%;*6"$"+#%'+7%
(7"'.(c"7%$".'#(G"%#*%*0)"$G"7%0"6'G(*$%*C%'<"+#)%@6*%3'B%*$%3'B%+*#%0"%(+C.>"+;"7%0B%(35$*G"7%
>+7"$)#'+7(+<%*C%"+G($*+3"+#'.%;6'+<"?%%26()%C$'3"@*$A%;*>.7%5$*G"%.(3(#(+<?%8+%5$';#(;",%8%#6(+A%
!
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3*$"%+>'+;"7%a>")#(*+)%#*%#6"%);("+;"%;*33>+(#B,%0$(7<(+<%5$';#(;")%0"#@""+%);("+;"%'+7%
"+<(+""$(+<,%"."G'#(+<%7";()(*+%)>55*$#,%(+;$"')(+<%$")(.("+;"%(+%%'#%$()A%;*33>+(#(")?%%8%#6(+A%#6"%
)>;;"))%*C%#6")"%';#(G(#(")%@(..%0"%0")#%)"$G"7%0B%0$"'A(+<%7*@+%7();(5.(+'$B%0*>+7'$(")%'+7%
;$"'#(+<%(#"$'#(G"%'+7%(+#"<$'#"7%;*33>+(#(")%*C%5$';#(;"?j%% %
d?%v^")?%2**%.*+<%'+%'+)@"$%#*%@$(#"%6"$",%0>#%)(35."%'+)@"$%()%7*(+<%)*3"#6(+<%@6"+%C';"7%@(#6%
"G(7"+;"%*C%;6'+<"?%-*(+<%t@6'#t%()%#6"%a>")#(*+???%(+%'+B%;')",%(35*$#'+#%#*%(35."3"+#%'55$*';6")%
#6'#%'$"%Y(Z%0')"7%*+%#6"%5$";'>#(*+'$B%5$(+;(5."%'+7%Y((Z%(35."3"+#"7%0B%@'B%*C%'+%'7'5#(G"%
3'+'<"3"+#%C$'3"@*$A?v%
]?%iNN:%()%'+%(+)#(#>#(*+%@6(;6%6')%0""+%)"#%>5%#*%5$*G(7"%5*.(;B3'A"$)%'+7%#6"%<"+"$'.%5>0.(;%'%
0"##"$%>+7"$)#'+7(+<%*C%#6"%)#'#"%*C%#6"%"+G($*+3"+#%')%@"..%')%#6"%;6'+<")%'+7%*>#.**A)%C*$%#6"%
"+G($*+3"+#?%I*#%."')#%#6"%;6'+<")%'$"%G(#'.%'+7%'%+>30"$%*C%;*$"%(+7(;'#*$)%6')%0""+%")#'0.()6"7%
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+""7"7%#*%'77$"))%#6"3?%26()%'.)*%'55.(")%#*%"+G($*+3"+#%'+7%6"'.#6%())>")%'$()(+<%C$*3%"?<?%
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*C%#6"%"+G($*+3"+#'.%;6'+<"),%#6"%(+#"<$'#"7%'+7%#"35*$'.%(+#"$[.(+A'<")%')%@"..%')%";*)B)#"3%
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#*%5*.(;B%3'A"$)%*+%6*@%#*%$")5*+7%#*%;6'+<"?j%
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+"'$%;"$#'(+%;6'+<")%#*%#6"%;.(3'#"%)B)#"3?%%:#%'%0$*'7"$%);'.",%8%@*>.7%.(A"%#*%#6(+A%#6'#%(#%;*>.7%
"+;'5)>.'#"%'%=/LP:/%$")5*+)"%#*%#6")"%"\5";#"7%;6'+<")?%%%26()%()%#6"%);'."%@6"$"%3"'+(+<C>.%
;6'+<")%;'+%0"%3'7"%#*%6".5%3(#(<'#"%;6'+<")%(+%;.(3'#"?%%P>#%(+%#6"%'0)"+;"%*C%#6(),%:7'5#'#(*+%()%
"))"+#('.,%'+7%#6"%a>")#(*+%()%i&*@%@(..%#6")"%'7'5#'#(*+)%*;;>$?j%
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*5(+(*+%(#%)6*>.7%(+7(;'#"%#6"%@6*."%*C%';#(*+)%#6'#%@(..%'0."%'%)>)#'(+'0."%";*+*3(;'.%'+7%)*;("#'.%
7"G".*53"+#%*C%#6"%:$;#(;,%5$")"$G(+<%')%3>;6%')%5*))(0."%#6"%5$";(*>)%'+7%C$'<(."%:$;#(;%
";*)B)#"3%Y@6"$"%";*)B)#"3%(+;.>7"%'.)*%#6"%6>3'+%"."3"+#Z?j%
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"+;'5)>.'#"%'%=/LP:/%$")5*+)"%#*%#6")"%"\5";#"7%;6'+<")?%%%26()%()%#6"%);'."%@6"$"%3"'+(+<C>.%
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"))"+#('.,%'+7%#6"%a>")#(*+%()%i&*@%@(..%#6")"%'7'5#'#(*+)%*;;>$?j%
b?%i8%7"C(+"%$")5*+7(+<%#*%;6'+<"%')%'+B%6>3'+%';#(*+%#'A"+%(+%.(<6#%*C%#6"%$";*<+(#(*+%*C%
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$")5*+)"%';#(*+)?%H")5*+)")%5$(3'$(.B%#'A"%#6"%C*$3%*C%$"7>;(+<%#6"%3'<+(#>7"%*C%#6"%;6'+<"%G('%
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"+6'+;(+<%*>$%;'5';(#B%#*%'7'5#%YG('%";*+*3(;%7"G".*53"+#,%<*G"$+'+;"%;6'+<",%#";6+*.*<(;'.%
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#";6+*.*<("),%0"6'G(*>$'.%;6'+<")%"#;?Z?j%
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'$"%#6"$"C*$"%+";"))'$B%0>#%#6"B%7*%+*#%5$*G(7"%(33"7('#"%<'(+),%'+7%')%)>;6,%'7'5#'#(*+%5*.(;(")%
+""7%'.)*%0"%(35."3"+#"7?j%
Question!6.!!What!are!the!biggest!scientific!and!societal!challenges!facing!us!as!a!result!of!
arctic!environmental!change?!
W?26"%);("+#(C(;%;6'.."+<")%'$"%3'+B%'+7%#6"B%'$"%$".'#"7%#*%C""70';A)?%%&*@%@(..%$"7>;"7%)"'[(;"%
'.#"$%$"<(*+'.%'+7%<.*0'.%;.(3'#",%*;"'+%;($;>.'#(*+%5'##"$+),%;*')#'.%7B+'3(;),%3'$(+"%
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Question!7.!What!information!from!the!scientific!community!would!you!find!useful!or!
necessary!to!support!your!activities!or!to!support!sustainable!use!of!the!Arctic!(e.g.!
forecasts!(for!what),!monitoring!(of!which!parameters),!analysis!of!system!dynamics!(e.g.!
ecosystem,!physical!system,!commercial!activities,!etc.).!!In!which!form!would!you!prefer!to!
obtain!such!output!(e.g.!data!center!access,!scientific!papers,!summaries,!etc.)?!
W?%i26()%()%'%#*><6%a>")#(*+?%%M>;6%*C%#6"%(+C*$3'#(*+%#6'#%@"%5$")"+#.B%6'G"%*+%'$;#(;%)B)#"3)%
;*3")%C$*3%*+.B%'%C"@%.*;'#(*+)?%%8%#6(+A%@"%+""7%'%3>;6%0$*'7"$%3*+(#*$(+<%+"#@*$A%#6$*><6*>#%
!
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28!
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PLANET UNDER PRESSURE CONFERENCE RTOC POSTER
... IN SUPPORT OF RESPONSES TO RAPID ARCTIC CHANGE It is widely recognized that sustained observations in the Arctic Ocean region have to both address high-priority scientific research questions, such as those aiming to improve understanding and predictions of the rapidly changing Arctic system, and serve the information needs of those impacted by or responding to rapid change [9,[19][20][21]. Such a dual or hybrid nature of Arctic observing systems reflects a broader call for societal relevance of climate-change research and actionable science [22,23]. ...
... To be sure, even within the field of Arctic system science, achieving cross-disciplinary integration or coordination of research interests and priorities remains a major challenge, as identified by a number of recent surveys [9,19,39]. The difficulty of arriving at a framework or collaborative space that is both comprehensive and sufficiently anchored in rigorous disciplinary research explains some of the challenges outlined above in terms of data sharing, international planning and coordination of observations, and linkages between stakeholder and research community interests. ...
Conference Paper
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A rapidly changing Arctic challenges government agencies and the research community to provide data products that address stakeholder and citizens' information needs as well as scientific priorities. Observations and data co-management can help achieve this goal by linking scientific research to services the Arctic system provides, which in turn affect outcomes desired by stakeholders. Co-management builds on (i) defining problems originating from rapid Arctic change in terms of services disrupted or affected and (ii) mapping data, modeling activities and prediction efforts onto these services, such that resulting information products can directly inform stakeholder responses. The context for this approach is explored for different component elements with a focus on the U.S. maritime Arctic: (i) information needs of Arctic Indigenous Peoples and communities; (ii) data generated through marine scientific and operational research as defined in the context of UNCLOS; (iii) guidance on data collection and use in the context of Arctic Council Working Groups; (iv) international private sector agreements such as ISO codes. Based on this analysis we outline a path towards effective co-management regimes.
... In contrast to science-driven observing needs, stakeholder interests in monitoring are typically based on specific concerns framed in the context of desired outcomes. However, the activities designed to advance broad understanding of the Arctic system often align poorly with efforts to achieve more targeted outcomes and address stakeholder concerns, even though the two goals are interdependent (Murray et al., 2012). ...
... Coordinating observing efforts internationally could introduce additional challenges, particularly as they relate to international and interagency funding strategies. One approach to improving international coordination for existing activities and future development of an Arctic observing system is to review the existing landscape of Arctic observing programs and networks and match them with the hierarchy of design approaches outlined inTable 2. The concept of Arctic system services (Murray et al., 2012) may be used by the scientific community and stakeholders as an organizing principle. Alternatively, observing efforts may focus on common stakeholder interests based on national and international policy goals. ...
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Arctic observing networks exist in many countries and often cross international boundaries. We review their status and the development of networked long-term observations as part of a U.S. Arctic Observing System, highlighting major challenges and opportunities for prioritizing observations, designing a network, and increasing coordination. Most Arctic observing activities focus on specific themes and ecosystem services, resulting in a relatively narrow scope of observations for each network. Across all networks there is a need to improve national and international coordination to (1) reduce potential mismatch between identified science needs and outcomes desired by society, (2) link current observing networks to emerging agency and private-sector observing programs across disciplines, and (3) present a stable set of goals and priorities to increase network utility in view of the limited funding resources. We survey the landscape of observing activities and efforts to coordinate them internationally and present a framework for prioritization and coordination based on the activities of the U.S. Study of Environmental Arctic Change (SEARCH). This framework includes a hierarchy of interconnected activities involved in the design and implementation of observing networks. Across the hierarchy, definition of “actionable” science questions helps drive network design, with priorities set by the breadth and depth of the societal applications or policy requirements that these questions can inform. We present an example of applying this design hierarchy to observations that support policy and management decisions about offshore resource development in the Chukchi Sea.
... The reduction of sea ice cover, retreat of glaciers and thus an intensified freshwater discharge with suspended sediments are among the most pronounced consequences of climate fluctuations in this polar region. They are expected to result in strengthening of Arctic stratification and weakening of the large-scale ocean circulation (Murray et al., 2012;Straneo and Heimbach, 2013). Svalbard archipelago (74-81 • N, 10-35 • E), located in the European Arctic, is a unique area to study the aftermaths of warming (Symon et al., 2005;Piechura and Walczowski, 2009;Pavlov et al., 2013). ...
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The restructuring of planktonic communities toward an increasing share of small individuals is not only expected, but also already observed consequence of warming in the rapidly changing Arctic. Here, we demonstrate a simultaneous study on the nano-, micro- and meso plankton (divided into small and large), and corresponding size fractions of particles along a hydrographical gradient in the Isfjorden – the largest Spitsbergen fjord system. The sampling was performed in seven following summers (2013–2019) from the main basin under the influence of Atlantic Waters (ISA station), up to Billefjorden – the innermost part affected by meltwaters from Nordenskiöldbreen (BAB station). Our objective was to elucidate the composition and spatial patterns in distribution of plankton and particles (P&P) under various hydrographical regimes. Combining two laser-based measurements (LOPC and LISST) with standard plankton analysis allowed us to conclude that vertical hydrographical stratification and eddy activity were forcing either layered or patchy distribution of P&P. The concentrations of P&P measured by LISST (nano- and micro-) were lower than the abundance of the corresponding size fractions of protists, but they did not differ significantly among the stations due to different origin of P&P. Nevertheless, the decreasing trend in the abundance of both investigated mesoplankton fractions could be observed between the ISA and BAB stations, whereas the opposite tendency was noted for P&P. Moreover, the abundance of mesoplankton was equal to the concentrations of the corresponding size fractions of P&P at the ISA station and much lower than the LOPC counts at the BAB station, which points toward notable amount of marine aggregates in the glacial bay. Even if some observations alluded to P&P susceptibility to the local processes, the inter-annual variability in P&P distribution surpassed the differences between the sampling stations. It suggests that both the large-scale processes (i.e., intensified inflow of Atlantic Waters) and natural seasonal changes associated with subtle differences in sampling timing had a stronger influence on investigated plankton than local factors. This pioneering study, which links traditional and advanced methods, clearly demonstrated that such approach is convenient for tracking small-scale spatial patterns and inter-annual variability of P&P in the Arctic pelagial.
... Non-local policymakers have responded to ice loss and resulting development with risk assessments, research and policy proposals, and Endangered Species Act (ESA) listings or listing considerations for walruses and all four species of ice seals (e.g. ACIA, 2004; Murray et al., 2012; National Marine Fisheries Service, 2010, 2012a, 2012b, 2013 ...
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In the Bering Strait region of Alaska decreasing sea ice and increasing development are driving environmental and policy changes that significantly impact federally recognized tribes, which depend on marine resources for cultural, economic, and nutritional reasons. Kawerak, Inc., an Alaska Native non-profit tribal consortium, conducted participatory ice seal and walrus harvest and habitat mapping in collaboration with nine of the region's federally recognized tribes. Participants were concerned that maps could misrepresent marine mammal mobility, limit future harvest area flexibility, increase outside regulation of harvest activities, generate conflict between communities, and attract commercial activity. This paper addresses these concerns through a technique called qualitative participatory mapping, which preserves local voices and priorities. This technique helped communicate and convey respect for traditional knowledge while lowering the probability of map misuse or misinterpretation. This work evaluated project results in terms of Elwood's dimensions of empowerment, which indicated the largest gain in capacity building, and more moderate gains for procedural and distributional empowerment
... Stakeholders interests in long-term observing activities are typically mediated through their specific concerns and aims, which can be framed in the context of desired outcomes. As detailed by Murray et al. (2012) in the final report for an international workshop on Responding to Arctic Change, these desired outcomes are typically separated by a large gap from the types of questions listed above that drive improvements in the understanding of the Arctic system and its key components. The services delivered by the Arctic system (analogous to ecosystem services discussed, e.g., in the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, see Chapin et al. 2005) provide a link between the priorities and information needs of Arctic stakeholders and those of the scientific community. ...
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The majority of arctic observation networks are thematically focused or used for specific operations and services, resulting in a relatively narrow scope of observations – only three countries have “broad” observing networks. Across all networks there is a need to better coordinate government priority setting in order to (1) be most efficient with the available government funding, and to (2) present a stable, cross-referenceable set of goals and priorities to facilitate international cooperation. In addition, there is a general mismatch between identified science needs and desired outcomes by society. To help reduce this mismatch and optimize observing networks, we suggest to establish a hierarchy of interconnected activities that drive the observing network design and implementation. The hierarchy would specifically include levels of Problem definition, Strategy, Tactics, and Deployment scale, and across the hierarchy we must define a set of “actionable” science questions that drive network design, with priorities set by the number of societal applications or needs that a science question can inform. Engaging with the private sector in observing networks will likely require a more concerted effort including direct collaboration and targeted meetings with overarching organizations. Both government agencies and their funded, coordinating entities such as SEARCH and ACCESS can help streamline coordination and funnel efforts within and among observational networks in the Arctic.
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Hantaviruses (genus Hantavirus , family Bunyaviridae ) are associated with specific rodent hosts, in which they cause a chronic, asymptomatic infection, involving the shedding of infectious virus into the environment in urine, feces, and saliva. Hantaviruses are associated with three subfamilies of murid rodents: (1) The Murinae (old world rats and mice) host viruses that cause hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) in Asia and Europe; (2) the Sigmodontinae (New World rats and mice) host viruses that cause hantavirus pulmonary syndrome (HPS) in the Americas; (3) the Arvicolinae (pan-arctic voles and lemmings) host viruses causing mild HFRS in Europe and Asia, but no disease in the Americas.
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An increasing amount of information is being collected on the ecological and socio-economic value of goods and services provided by natural and semi-natural ecosystems. However, much of this information appears scattered throughout a disciplinary academic literature, unpublished government agency reports, and across the World Wide Web. In addition, data on ecosystem goods and services often appears at incompatible scales of analysis and is classified differently by different authors. In order to make comparative ecological economic analysis possible, a standardized framework for the comprehensive assessment of ecosystem functions, goods and services is needed. In response to this challenge, this paper presents a conceptual framework and typology for describing, classifying and valuing ecosystem functions, goods and services in a clear and consistent manner. In the following analysis, a classification is given for the fullest possible range of 23 ecosystem functions that provide a much larger number of goods and services. In the second part of the paper, a checklist and matrix is provided, linking these ecosystem functions to the main ecological, socio–cultural and economic valuation methods.
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roughly the size of Minnesota, most of which is wetland habitat underlain by permafrost and part of which contains the largest operating oil fields in the United States. The nearshore and offshore waters of the Chukchi and Beaufort seas add another 295 000 km 2 (114 000 mi 2 ) and hold what may be the largest undeveloped oil reserves remaining in the United States. The region is home to an abundant and diverse array of fish, wildlife, and plants, resources that sup port the vibrant subsistence culture of about 6000 Inupiat Eskimos. The caribou herds that summer on the North Slope are an important food resource for Inupiat communities, as are some native plants, bowhead whales, beluga whales, four species of ice seals, and walruses living in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas. Further, Alaska’s North Slope is at the forefront of global climate change, with an increase in mean annual temperature of about 1˚C per decade in Barrow, Alaska (ACRC, 2008). Federal, state, and local agencies manage the biotic and abiotic resources of the North Slope to maintain fish and wildlife populations and their habitats while also allowing energy development. The laws and regulations applied by government agencies managing the North Slope are rigorous, complex, and often controversial. Appropriate management requires information that can be gained only through applied research. We provide a brief history of applied research on the North Slope, introduce the North Slope Science Initiative (NSSI) as an organization tasked with improving the coordination of science across the region, and posit applied science priorities that are essential for successful and informed management.
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The need for data from an Arctic observing network to help stakeholders with planning and action is generally recognized. Two key research concerns arise: (1) potential contrasts between fundamental and applied science in the design of an observing system, and (2) development of best practices to ensure that stakeholder needs both inform and can be met from such an observing system. We propose a framework based on the concept of sea-ice system services (SISS) to meet these challenges and categorize the ways in which stakeholders perceive, measure, and use sea ice. Principal service categories are (1) climate regulator, marine hazard, and coastal buffer; (2) transportation and use as a platform; (3) cultural services obtained from the "icescape"; and (4) support of food webs and biological diversity. Our research focuses on cases of ice as platform and marine hazard in Arctic Alaska. We identify the information for each SISS category that users need to track, forecast, and adapt to changes. The resulting framework can address multiple information needs and priorities, integrate information over the relevant spatio-temporal scales, and provide an interface with local knowledge. To plan for an integrated Arctic Observing Network, we recommend a consortium-based approach with the academic community as an impartial intermediary that uses the SISS concept to identify common priorities across the range of sea-ice users.
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The pace of change in the arctic system during recent decades has captured the world's attention. Observations and model simulations both indicate that the arctic experiences an amplified response to climate forcing relative to that at lower latitudes. At the core of these changes is the arctic hydrologic system, which includes ice, gaseous vapor in the atmosphere, liquid water in soils and fluvial networks on land, and the freshwater content of the ocean. The changes in stores and fluxes of freshwater have a direct impact on biological systems, not only of the arctic region itself, but also well beyond its bounds. In this investigation, we used a heuristic, graphical approach to distill the system into its fundamental parts, documented the key relationships between those parts as best we know them, and identified the feedback loops within the system. The analysis illustrates relationships that are well understood, but also reveals others that are either unfamiliar, uncertain, or unexplored. The graphical approach was used to provide a visual assessment of the arctic hydrologic system in one possible future state in which the Arctic Ocean is seasonally ice free.
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Environmental change and increasing industrial activity in the maritime Arctic require strategies to adapt to change and ensure safe operations. This problem has been defined at the broader strategic level. We evaluate key aspects of environmental security in ice-covered waters, focusing on tactical and operational information needs, which have received less attention. Monitoring of environmental hazards and effective emergency response in sea ice environments require high-resolution data of ice hazard distributions (e.g., multiyear ice, landfast ice breakout, and ice push events), ice movement and deformation, as well as ice characteristics and dynamics relevant to emergency response. We have developed a prototype coastal observing system at Barrow, Alaska, that addresses such information needs. Imagery obtained from a marine X-band radar with a digital controller is combined with data from on-ice sensors (ice thickness, ice and water temperature, sea level) and assessments of potentially hazardous ice conditions by local experts. Digital imagery and data are processed and disseminated in near-real time. Using a combination of image processing approaches (optical flow, Lucas-Kanade tracker), ice velocity fields, floe trajectories, and boundaries of stationary ice are derived automatically. Early onset of hazardous events is detected through Hidden Markov Modeling, providing potential decision support in operational settings. We evaluate the utility of the system and strategies towards integration with broader emergency response efforts.
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