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Assessing the vulnerability of Torres Strait fisheries and supporting habitats to climate change

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Climate change is considered to be a major environmental threat and there is a national priority to better establish the likely effects of climate change on Australia’s fisheries. Positive and negative impacts of climate change on marine fisheries are already being observed in tropical regions, including the GBR and Pacific. In the Torres Strait region, fisheries impacts are likely to manifest in changes to species stock structure, phenology, distribution shifts, and indirectly through habitat changes. Torres Strait Islanders have a long history of association with their marine resources and fisheries species are of significant cultural, social and economic importance. Any impacts of climate change on marine fisheries stocks and the habitats that support them will affect Torres Strait communities and potentially include changes in the accessibility of target species, changes in the reliability of food supply, and reduced sustainability of fisheries. Therefore, there is an imperative for Traditional Owners, Torres Strait communities, fishers and managers to understand what these impacts are likely to be, which fisheries are expected to be most vulnerable, and to use this information to prepare for negative effects and capitalize on opportunities.We assessed the relative vulnerability of Torres Strait fisheries by conducting a vulnerability assessment on 15 key fishery species. We applied a structured semi-quantitative approach for the vulnerability assessments based on a widely-adopted framework that includes the elements of Exposure, Sensitivity and Adaptive Capacity proposed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. The assessments were informed by comprehensive literature reviews of Torres Strait climate (observed and projected), key fishery habitats and their vulnerability to climate change, and species reviews for 10 fishery groups that covered fishery characteristics, species life cycles and sensitivity to environmental changes. The assessments were further informed by results of interviews with Torres Strait Islanders. The results of the vulnerability assessments identified species with high, medium and low relative vulnerability to climate change. The species identified as having the highest relative vulnerability were: black teatfish, black-lipped pearl oyster, dugong, and trochus. When vulnerability was combined with the level of importance of each species to fisheries in Torres Strait (using a measure of cultural and economic value), a priority list of five species was identified for future action by management. These species were: dugong, turtle, tropical rock lobster, trochus and gold-lipped pearl oyster. This project concludes that there are a number of environmental changes that will be experienced in the Torres Strait by 2030, including habitat impacts that will have flow-on effects on a number of key fisheries. The main drivers are likely to be increases in sea surface temperature, increased severity of storms, and habitat changes particularly to coral reefs and seagrass meadows. The report also provides a range of recommendations on future actions and research that should arise from this project. These are grouped into three themes: (1) improving assessment accuracy, (2) extension of results to communities and decision-makers, and (3) research to address key knowledge gaps.
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... The framework described here for semi-quantitatively assessing vulnerability to climate change builds on this recent thinking to provide a framework for local assessments. The framework has evolved through applications by the author team to ecosystems [22][23][24], national industries and economies [25,26], fisheries [17,27,28], resource-dependent communities [20,26,29], and aquaculture [30]. This evolution has refined techniques for identifying and selecting indicators and for quantifying ecological responses. ...
... For example, in the Torres Strait, Johnson and Welch [20] plotted vulnerability against 'importance' for each component and used Euclidean distances to identify the highest combination of scores, and therefore highest priority components (species). In their SQA, dugong and turtle were ranked as the 3rd and 5th most vulnerable species but increased to the top two species after prioritisation as a consequence of their cultural importance as an indigenous fishery [24]. Further, weightings can be applied to different values as deemed appropriate in the calculation of overall importance values [see 20]. ...
... Torres Strait marine habitats support significant populations of dugongs, green and flatback turtles -species of conservation concern (Sobtzick et al. 2014) -as well as sharks, fish and invertebrate species, many of which are important for local fisheries, such as tropical rock lobster and sea cucumbers (Welch and Johnson 2013 ...
... Collectively, the NERP-funded projects have identified a range of potential impacts on Torres Strait resources from climate change, as well as concerns from communities on the implications for their livelihoods and tropical disease dynamics (see Section 2.3). These results are supported by additional projects that have examined the potential impacts of climate change on Torres Strait resources, including fisheries (Welch and Johnson 2013), seagrass (Coles et al. 2012, McKenzie et al. 2010, Rasheed et al. 2014, and island communities (Parnell et al. 2012, McNamara et al. 2011 including during extreme water level events (Harper 2011). The results from both NERP-funded and other research can be used to inform effective management actions and policy decisions, as well as future research investment. ...
... Black teatfish has been reliably recorded as spawning during winter (April to June) on the GBR (Shiell and Uthicke, 2006) and in New Caledonia (Conand 1993) -although it has also been recorded as spawning during the northern hemisphere summer (April to August) in Guam (Richmond, 1996), and a single record of a Black teatfish male has been recorded as spawning soon after the full moon in December on the GBR (Babcock et al., 1992). Black teatfish are one of the few holothurians that spawn in winter, with this being a key driver for assessments of high vulnerability to climate change for this species (Welch and Johnson, 2013). It may be that some spawning occurs outside the winter established period, with some mature gonads present throughout the year and limited field observations of summer spawning, though only by males (Babcock et al., 1992;Shiell and Uthicke, 2006). ...
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