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Effectiveness of new legislation on partial sickness benefit on work participation: a quasi-experiment in Finland

Authors:
  • Finnish Institute of Occupational Health; University of Helsinki

Abstract

To examine the effect of the new legislation on partial sickness benefit on subsequent work participation of Finns with long-term sickness absence. Additionally, we investigated whether the effect differed by sex, age or diagnostic category. A register-based quasi-experimental study compared the intervention (partial sick leave) group with the comparison (full sick leave) group regarding their pre-post differences in the outcome. The preintervention and postintervention period each consisted of 365 days. Nationwide, individual-level data on the beneficiaries of partial or full sickness benefit in 2008 were obtained from national sickness insurance, pension and earnings registers. 1738 persons in the intervention and 56 754 persons in the comparison group. Work participation, measured as the proportion (%) of time within 365 days when participants were gainfully employed and did not receive either partial or full ill-health-related or unemployment benefits. Although work participation declined in both groups, the decline was 5% (absolute difference-in-differences) smaller in the intervention than in the comparison group, with a minor sex difference. The beneficial effect of partial sick leave was seen especially among those aged 45-54 (5%) and 55-65 (6%) and in mental disorders (13%). When the groups were rendered more exchangeable (propensity score matching on age, sex, diagnostic category, income, occupation, insurance district, work participation, sickness absence, rehabilitation periods and unemployment, prior to intervention and their interaction terms), the effects on work participation were doubled and seen in all age groups and in other diagnostic categories than traumas. The results suggest that the new legislation has potential to increase work participation of the population with long-term sickness absence in Finland. If applied in a larger scale, partial sick leave may turn out to be a useful tool in reducing withdrawal of workers from the labour market due to health reasons. Published by the BMJ Publishing Group Limited. For permission to use (where not already granted under a licence) please go to http://group.bmj.com/group/rights-licensing/permissions.
Effectiveness of new legislation on
partial sickness benet on work
participation: a quasi-experiment in
Finland
Johanna Kausto,
1
Eira Viikari-Juntura,
1
Lauri J Virta,
2
Raija Gould,
3
Aki Koskinen,
1
Svetlana Solovieva
1
To cite: Kausto J, Viikari-
Juntura E, Virta LJ, et al.
Effectiveness of new
legislation on partial sickness
benefit on work participation:
a quasi-experiment in
Finland. BMJ Open 2014;4:
e006685. doi:10.1136/
bmjopen-2014-006685
Prepublication history and
additional material is
available. To view these files
please visit the journal
(http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/
bmjopen-2014-006685).
Received 19 September 2014
Revised 18 November 2014
Accepted 19 November 2014
1
Finnish Institute of
Occupational Health, Helsinki,
Finland
2
The Social Insurance
Institution of Finland (SII),
Turku, Finland
3
Finnish Centre for Pensions,
Helsinki, Finland
Correspondence to
Dr Johanna Kausto;
johanna.kausto@ttl.fi
ABSTRACT
Objectives: To examine the effect of the new
legislation on partial sickness benefit on subsequent
work participation of Finns with long-term sickness
absence. Additionally, we investigated whether the effect
differed by sex, age or diagnostic category.
Design: A register-based quasi-experimental study
compared the intervention (partial sick leave) group
with the comparison (full sick leave) group regarding
their pre-post differences in the outcome. The
preintervention and postintervention period each
consisted of 365 days.
Setting: Nationwide, individual-level data on the
beneficiaries of partial or full sickness benefit in 2008
were obtained from national sickness insurance,
pension and earnings registers.
Participants: 1738 persons in the intervention and
56 754 persons in the comparison group.
Outcome: Work participation, measured as the
proportion (%) of time within 365 days when
participants were gainfully employed and did not receive
either partial or full ill-health-related or unemployment
benefits.
Results: Although work participation declined in both
groups, the decline was 5% (absolute difference-in-
differences) smaller in the intervention than in the
comparison group, with a minor sex difference. The
beneficial effect of partial sick leave was seen especially
among those aged 4554 (5%) and 5565 (6%) and in
mental disorders (13%). When the groups were
rendered more exchangeable (propensity score
matching on age, sex, diagnostic category, income,
occupation, insurance district, work participation,
sickness absence, rehabilitation periods and
unemployment, prior to intervention and their
interaction terms), the effects on work participation
were doubled and seen in all age groups and in other
diagnostic categories than traumas.
Conclusions: The results suggest that the new
legislation has potential to increase work participation of
the population with long-term sickness absence in
Finland. If applied in a larger scale, partial sick leave
may turn out to be a useful tool in reducing withdrawal
of workers from the labour market due to health
reasons.
INTRODUCTION
The need to increase work participation of
working age people is currently a matter of
concern in many Western countries. In
Finland, delayed or lacking labour market
attachment of young people, absence from
work during later years and early exit from
labour market have all raised alarm. To coun-
teract these trends, an active labour market
policy has been adopted, including the intro-
duction of partial social security benets and
other tools to increase the so-called exicurity
of the labour market.
1
In Finland, legislation
on partial sickness benet was introduced in
2007. The new benetallowedfortherst
time to combine part-time sick leave with part-
time work.
TheFinnishsocialinsuranceisbasedonthe
Nordic Model. Everyone aged between 16 and
67, non-retired and living permanently in the
country (employees, self-employed, students,
unemployed job seekers and those on sabbat-
ical or alternation leave) and also non-
residents, working for at least 4 months in
Finland, are covered by statutory sickness insur-
ance. The sickness allowances are nanced by
employers, employees and the state; and are
administrated by the Social Insurance
Institution of Finland (SII). Statutory benets
canrestonpreviousearningsorbenets or the
Strengths and limitations of this study
Applying nationally representative population
register-based data with valid information on the
payment of health-related and unemployment-
related allowances in Finland.
Applying a quasi-experimental study design with
difference-in-differences and propensity score ana-
lysis to control for selection on both observed and
unobserved factors.
Registers provided only a limited number of
background characteristics.
Kausto J, et al.BMJ Open 2014;4:e006685. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2014-006685 1
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minimum allowance can be granted. For the earnings-
related occupational sickness benets, a minimum of
3 months of employment is required.
At present, the Finnish national sickness benet
scheme includes a full and a partial sickness benet.
A medical certicate is an absolute requirement for the
two sickness benets to be granted. In order to be eligible
for the partial benet, an employee has to be eligible for
a full benet as well, but according to medical judge-
ment, partial return to work (RTW) is safe enough.
Partial sick leave is thus alternative to full sick leave and it
is always medically certied. During the rst years after
introducing the partial sickness benet in Finland, a
partial sick leave had to be directly preceded by a period
of full sick leave of at least 60 days and the partial sickness
benet could be granted from a minimum of 12 to a
maximum of 72 working days. During partial sick leave,
work time and salary are reduced by 4060% of the
regular and work tasks can be modied, if necessary. The
employee and the employer sign a xed-term work con-
tract for the part-time work. In Finland, the use of partial
sick leave is voluntary for the individual. The employer, as
well, is entitled to decline the use of the benet in case
the work arrangements needed at the work place are not
feasible.
Sickness absence rates are in many countries higher
among women compared with men.
2
Also, partial sick
leave has been more frequently used by women.
3
It is
known that sickness absence increases with age.
2
It is also
recognised that challenges of RTW are different, for
example, in musculoskeletal diseases and mental disor-
ders. In the latter category, the outow from disability ben-
ets due to recovery has been lower.
4
The current evidence on the effects of partial sick leave
on RTWor work participation is partly inconsistent. In the
other Nordic countries, partial sick leave has been found
to increase the likelihood of return to regular working
hours
56
and to be associated with higher subsequent
employment rate.
7
No effect of active sick leave (RTW to
modied duties) on the average number of sick leave days
or long-term disability had been detected in a Norwegian
cluster randomised controlled trial.
8
There is some dis-
crepancy in the ndings on the effectiveness of partial sick
leave in mental disorders. A Danish study
9
found no
effect, whereas a Swedish study
10
reported a weak effect of
partial sick leave on full recovery in the beginning of work
disability due to mental disorders, and a stronger effect
when partial sick leave was assigned after 60 days of full
sick leave.
In a randomised controlled trial among persons with
musculoskeletal disorders, we found that early part-time
sick leave predicted faster sustained RTW than full sick
leave.
11
The benecial effect of partial sick leave on work
retention was also observed at population level.
12 13
Partial
sick leave was associated in the short term with decreased
work retention, in terms of increased subsequent sickness
absence. In the long-term it was associated with increased
work retention, in terms of increased subsequent use of
partial disability pension and decreased use of full disabil-
ity pension. These ndings imply the necessity to use an
outcome that simultaneously accounts for different indica-
tors of work participation. Some of these previous observa-
tional studies have suffered from limited data samples and
narrow generalisability of ndings,
59
self-reported data
9
and incomprehensive operationalisation and measure-
ment of work participation.
56101213
In order for policymakers to be able to make well-
informed decisions in the area of social and health pol-
icies, scientic evaluation of the effectiveness of
population-level interventions, for example, introducing
new legislation or policy change is needed.
14
Natural or
quasi-experiments have successfully been used in con-
nection with various population-level interventions in
the eld of public health when planned experimenta-
tion, that is, manipulation of exposure, has not been
possible.
15
In the eld of work-disability research, this
approach has, however, been rare.
2
This study examined the effects of the new Finnish legis-
lation that enabled the use of partial sickness beneton
subsequent work participation. For this, we compared
beneciaries of partial sickness benet with those receiv-
ing full sickness benet a year after the law on partial sick
leave was enacted. We utilised a quasi-experimental design
with an integrated measure of work participation. Analyses
were carried out in an individual-level register-based data
representative of the Finnish working population with
long-term sickness absence. We examined whether the
effects of partial sick leave on subsequent work participa-
tion differed by sex, age or diagnostic category of the
benet receivers.
METHODS
Study design and setting
The population-level intervention of interest in this
study was the introduction of partial sick leave in
Finland in 2007. We conducted a quasi-experimental
study following recent guidelines on evaluating popula-
tion health interventions.
15
This design was chosen to
minimise the effect of measured and unmeasured con-
founding. We compared the intervention (partial sick
leave) group with the comparison (full sick leave) group
regarding their pre-post differences in work participa-
tion. The preintervention (T1) and postintervention
(T2) study period each consisted of 365 days. A wash-out
period of 1 year was set preintervention and postinter-
vention (gure 1) in order to obtain a robust effect of
the intervention on work participation. These time
windows were allowed to move according to the timing
of the individuals sick leave period.
Individual-level data were derived from the national
sickness insurance register of the SII and the pension
and earnings registers of the Finnish Centre for Pensions.
Data from these three registers were linked on the basis
of social security numbers of the participants. The social
insurance register provided information on all medically
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certied and compensated sickness absence spells, tem-
porary and permanent national disability pensions, and
old-age pensions in Finland. The registers of the Finnish
Centre for Pensions contained information on employ-
ment periods, earnings-related pensions and unsalaried
periods due to disability, rehabilitation or unemploy-
ment. Written consent from the individuals was not
needed as only encrypted register data were obtained by
the researchers carrying out the analyses in the Finnish
Institute of Occupational Health.
Participants
Participants that were granted a partial sickness benet
(intervention group) were compared with those who
received a full sickness benet (comparison group). A
total sample of individuals who had received either
partial sickness benet (n=1838) or full sickness benet
(n=67 086) in 20072008 and whose compensated sick-
ness absence period had ended between 1 January and
31 December 2008 was drawn from the national sickness
insurance register. Since a full-time sickness absence of
60 working days had to precede a partial sick leave, only
those with full sick leave ending with an uninterrupted
period of at least 60 days of payment of the benet were
included in the total sample. Thus, in our sample, recei-
vers of full sickness benet had not received partial sick-
ness benet, but they would have been entitled to it as
for the length of the preceding fulltime sickness absence.
Since eligibility for a partial sickness benet required
a prior work contract, we excluded from the analyses
those who did not have any employment periods (n=2
and n=4923) during the entire study period. We add-
itionally excluded those who had died (n=24 in the
partial sick leave group and n=2600 in the full sick leave
group) or moved to old age pension (n=1 and n=354,
respectively), had not turned 16 at the time of the rst
data collection period (T1; n=3) or whose sickness
absence periods (ending in 2008) extended beyond the
time frame of data collection (n=66 and n=1024). The
nal sample included 1738 participants in the partial
sick leave group and 56 754 participants in the full sick
leave group. We focused our analyses in the four main
diagnostic groups in which partial sickness benet has
most frequently been used, that is, musculoskeletal dis-
eases, mental disorders, traumas and tumours (M, F, S
and T, and C and D categories in ICD-10, respectively).
All other diagnoses were merged in one group.
Outcome measure
Work participation was operationalised as the time the
individuals were likely to have actually participated in
gainful employment. It was approximated as the propor-
tion (%) of time within 365 days when participants had
an employment contract and did not receive either
partial or full ill-health-related benets (sickness bene-
ts, rehabilitation allowances, disability pensions), or
unemployment benets. Work participation was calcu-
lated for T1 and T2. It was assumed that when receiving
partial benets, the participants worked half of the work
time (which is typically the case in Finland).
Covariates
Data on sex, dates of birth and death, insurance district
(region), annual gross income in 2007, diagnostic codes
(ICD-10) and occupational branch were obtained from
the sickness insurance register. Information on occupa-
tion was available for all participants in the intervention
group and for a random sample of 7.7% of the partici-
pants in the comparison group.
Data analyses
The distributions of all variables were compared between
the total full sickness benet group (n=67 086) and the
subsample of those participants in the full sickness
benet group for whom the registers provided informa-
tion on occupational branch (n=4347). Since no differ-
ences in the distributions were detected, we assumed that
information on occupational branch was missing at
random. Multiple imputation was used to compensate for
the missing data on occupational branch in the compari-
son group. For this, we generated multiple-imputed data
sets (n=10) using the proc mi of SAS. The imputation
model included all covariates.
Propensity score (PS) with 1:1 matching was used to
match individuals on the probability that they would
belong to the intervention (partial sick leave) group.
Individuals that were matched to each other had equal
or nearly equal (close enough) estimated PSs.
Difference-in-differences (DID) and PS analyses are
methods that are complementary to each other and can
be applied in causal inference to counter selection bias
Figure 1 Schematic presentation of the study design and
difference-in-differences method. (T1 corresponds to
preintervention period, T2 corresponds to postintervention period).
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and confounding.
16
We applied the DID method alone
and in combination with PS matching. Combining
methods to counter bias and confounding from differ-
ent sources and comparing the results have been
encouraged.
15
The DID method can be applied to
control the xed unobserved individual differences and
common trends.
The DID method allows one to estimate the difference
in pre-post, within participant, differences between the
intervention and the comparison group. The effect of
partial sick leave on work participation was consequently
estimated as the difference in pre-post differences (dif-
ferences between T2 and T1) between partial and full
sick leave groups. The effect was estimated using the
general linear model (GLM) with repeated measures
design. An F-statistic for the interaction term between
the group assignment and change of work participation
in time was applied as the DID statistic.
PS is dened as a conditional probability of being
exposed to a certain intervention given observed covari-
ates.
15 17 18
It is applied to balance the covariates in two
groups and thus to reduce bias. We computed PS (ie,
probability of being exposed to partial sick leave) by logis-
tic regression for all participants. The following set of
variables and their interaction terms were included in the
logistic regression model: age, sex, diagnostic category,
income, occupation, insurance district, and work partici-
pation, sickness absence, rehabilitation periods and
unemployment at T1. The best t model was chosen.
Thereafter, we matched the partial sick leave and full sick
leave groups on the estimated PS using local optimal
(greedy) algorithm.
19
The matching was performed within
(sex × diagnostic category) strata. Subsequently a DID ana-
lysis was also carried out in the matched subsample.
Several sensitivity analyses were carried out. The ana-
lyses were run separately for participants for whom the
registers provided information on occupational branch
and for the total sample in which imputed data on occu-
pational branch were utilised for the comparison group.
To examine the group difference in work participation
at T1 (due to unemployment or sick leave) as source of
reduced group comparability, the analyses were carried
out separately among participants who did not receive
unemployment benets at T1 and among participants
with 100% of work participation at T1.
RESULTS
Descriptive characteristics of the study population
Information on the background characteristics of the
intervention and comparison group in the total analysed
sample is shown in table 1. Women constituted 71% of
the partial sick leave group and 53% of the full sick
leave group. Partial benet was most common among
those who were aged between 35 and 54, whereas full
benet was common among those aged from 45 to 65.
The income level of those in the partial sick leave group
was higher than of those in the full sick leave group.
The partial sickness benet was most often used in con-
nection with mental disorders and musculoskeletal dis-
eases, while the full benet was most often used in
musculoskeletal diseases. The use of the partial benet
was most frequent in social and healthcare services and
administrative and ofce work, whereas the full benet
was most commonly used in industrial and service work.
No large regional differences in the use of the benets
were detected.
DID in work participation between partial and full sick
leave group
In both groups the level of work participation decreased
during the follow-up, the absolute reduction being
larger in the full sick leave group (26.5%) as compared
with the partial sick leave group (21.2%; table 2). The
absolute overall DID in work participation was 5.3%
(95% CI 3.1% to 7.5%).
The DID in work participation tended to be larger in
men than in women.
In all age categories, work participation declined
more in the full than in the partial sick leave group. The
difference in the decline was signicant in age categor-
ies 4554 and 5565. There was no effect in those aged
3544. In the youngest age category (1634 years) the
DID was large but statistically non-signicant.
A statistically signicantly larger effect (12.8%, 95% CI
9.0% to 16.5%) was found in mental disorders as com-
pared with the other diagnostic categories.
The results found in the subsample of participants for
whom the registers provided information on occupa-
tional branch were very similar to those in the total
sample (data not shown). The exclusion of the partici-
pants who received unemployment benets at T1 led to
an absolute increase in the DID in work participation
(DID 7.6%, 95% CI 5.4% to 9.7%). The DID in work par-
ticipation increased further (DID 9.5%, 95% CI 6.8% to
12.1%) when participants with reduced work participa-
tion (for any reason) at T1 were excluded from the
analyses.
DID in work participation in the PS-matched subsample
The matching procedure resulted in a total of 1660
matched pairs of participants. The PS matched partial
sickness benet receivers did not differ from full sick-
ness benet receivers with regard to age, gross income,
number of unemployment days, sickness absence days,
rehabilitation days or work participation at T1. There
were some differences between the groups in the distri-
bution of occupational branches and insurance districts
(see online appendix table 1).
The results from the DID analysis in the PS-matched
subsample are presented in table 3. The absolute overall
DID was increased to 9.8% (95% CI 5.9% to 13.7%). A
tendency for a larger DID in men than in women was
also found in this subsample. The DID was still the
largest in those participants aged over 45 years, but in
contrast to the total sample an effect was seen in the
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younger age categories as well. Differences between the
diagnostic categories were reduced as compared to the
total sample. The largest effect was still found in mental
disorders. In addition, a statistically signicant DID was
also found in musculoskeletal diseases and tumours.
Further adjustment for the differences in the distribu-
tion of occupation and insurance district between the
intervention and comparison group had no effect on
the results of the DID analysis.
DISCUSSION
Principal findings
We applied a quasi-experimental design to study the
population-level effects of the introduction of partial
sickness benet in Finland among a working population
with long-term sickness absence. It was found that
partial sick leave had a positive effect on work participa-
tion. Although the overall work participation declined
from T1 to T2, at the population level the decline was
5% (absolute difference) smaller among the receivers of
partial sickness benet (intervention group) than
among the receivers of full sickness benet (comparison
group). The benecial effect of partial sick leave was
seen especially among those aged between 4554 and
5565 and in mental disorders. No major sex difference
was detected. When the groups were rendered more
exchangeable, the effect on work participation was
doubled, and the effects were seen in other diagnostic
categories than traumas and all age groups.
Validity of the study
An observational quasi-experimental study design can be
applied to assess the effects of a planned event or inter-
vention, when randomised controlled trials are neither
ethical nor feasible. Observational studies can also
better simulate real-world settings and offer more rele-
vant information in view of policy-making.
20
The
internal validity of observational studies is lower than
that of randomised controlled trials due to possible
Table 1 Characteristics of participants in partial and full sick leave group at the time of intervention (n, %)
Partial sick leave n=1738 Full sick leave n=56 754
Sex (%)
Female 1236 (71.1) 30 058 (53.0)
Age (years) (%)
1634 217 (12.5) 10 901 (19.2)
3544 430 (24.7) 11 231 (19.8)
4554 753 (43.3) 18 740 (33.0)
5565 338 (19.5) 15 882 (28.0)
Mean (SD) 46.2 (9.0) 45.7 (11.3)
Annual gross income () (%)
30 000 1237 (71.2) 46 119 (81.3)
30 00160 000 409 (23.5) 9593 (16.9)
60 00139 (2.2) 732 (1.3)
Missing 53 (3.1) 310 (0.5)
Median 24 618 20 668
Diagnostic categories (%)
Mental disorders 663 (38.2) 14 255 (25.1)
Musculoskeletal diseases 624 (35.9) 20 613 (36.3)
Tumours 112 (6.4) 3031 (5.4)
Traumas 136 (7.8) 8416 (14.8)
Other 203 (11.7) 10 439 (18.4)
Insurance district (%)
Northern 219 (12.6) 7764 (13.7)
Western 259 (14.9) 7824 (13.8)
Eastern 194 (11.2) 8525 (15.0)
South-Western 410 (23.6) 13 254 (23.3)
Southern 656 (37.7) 19 349 (34.1)
Missing 0 (0.0) 38 (0.1)
Occupational branch (%) (non-imputed subsample n=4347)
Technical and scientific work, etc 193 (11.1) 409 (9.4)
Social and healthcare services 516 (29.7) 719 (16.5)
Administration and office work 293 (16.9) 413 (9.5)
Commercial work 113 (6.5) 288 (6.6)
Agriculture and forestry 50 (2.9) 214 (4.9)
Transport 60 (3.4) 269 (6.2)
Industrial and construction work, mining 309 (17.8) 1146 (26.4)
Service work 204 (11.7) 889 (20.5)
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Table 2 Comparison of work participation (%) between partial and full sick leave group (GLM repeated measures design)
Work participation (%)
n
Preintervention
period (T1)
Mean (95% CI)
Postintervention
period (T2)
Mean (95% CI)
Post-pre
difference (T2-T1)
Mean (95% CI) p Value
Difference in
differences
Mean (95% CI) F-statistic p Value
All*
Partial sick leave 1685 86.6 (85.2 to 88.1) 65.4 (63.4 to 67.4) 21.2 (23.4 to 19.1) 0.001 5.3 (3.1 to 7.5) 22.8 0.001
Full sick leave 56 406 79.4 (79.1 to 79.6) 52.9 (52.5 to 53.2) 26.5 (26.9 to 26.2) 0.001
Males
Partial sick leave 490 86.6 (84.0 to 89.1) 62.7 (59.0 to 66.5) 23.9 (27.9 to 19.9) 0.001 6.3 (2.3 to 10.3) 9.3 0.002
Full sick leave 26 507 80.3 (80.0 to 80.7) 50.2 (49.7 to 50.7) 30.1 (30.7 to 29.6) 0.001
Females
Partial sick leave 1195 85.4 (83.7 to 87.0) 66.9 (64.6 to 69.3) 18.4 (21.0 to 15.9) 0.001 4.9 (2.4 to 7.5) 14.2 0.001
Full sick leave 29 889 78.6 (78.2 to 78.9) 55.2 (54.7 to 55.7) 23.4 (23.9 to 22.9) 0.001
1634 years*
Partial sick leave 210 89.3 (85.8 to 92.8) 75.5 (70.2 to 80.9) 13.8 (19.6 to 8.0) 0.001 2.8 (1.1 to 10.6) 2.5 0.111
Full sick leave 10 759 84.6 (84.1 to 85.1) 66.1 (65.3 to 66.8) 16.6 (20.8 to 12.5) 0.001
3544 years*
Partial sick leave 424 84.7 (81.9 to 87.5) 68.1 (64.2 to 72.0) 16.6 (20.8 to 12.5) 0.001 2.0 (2.2 to 6.2) 0.9 0.352
Full sick leave 11 177 78.4 (77.9 to 79.0) 59.8 (59.1 to 60.5) 18.6 (19.4 to 17.8) 0.001
4554 years*
Partial sick leave 725 86.9 (84.7 to 89.0) 65.7 (62.6 to 68.8) 21.1 (24.4 to 17.9) 0.001 4.7 (1.4 to 8.0) 7.9 0.005
Full sick leave 18 659 77.6 (77.2 to 78.1) 51.8 (51.2 to 52.4) 25.9 (26.5 to 25.2) 0.001
5565 years*
Partial sick leave 326 89.6 (86.3 to 92.9) 57.0 (52.3 to 61.7) 32.6 (37.7 to 27.5) 0.001 5.7 (0.5 to 10.8) 4.7 0.030
Full sick leave 15 811 78.5 (78.0 to 78.9) 40.2 (39.5 to 40.8) 38.3 (39.0 to 37.6) 0.001
Musculoskeletal diseases
Partial sick leave 598 87.0 (84.8 to 89.3) 60.3 (57.0 to 63.6) 26.7 (30.3 to 23.2) 0.001 0.7 (2.9 to 4.3) 0.1 0.712
Full sick leave 20 537 79.7 (79.4 to 80.1) 52.3 (51.7 to 52.9) 27.4 (28.0 to 26.8) 0.001
Mental disorders
Partial sick leave 645 84.6 (82.2 to 87.1) 67.0 (63.8 to 70.3) 17.6 (21.3 to 13.9) 0.001 12.8 (9.0 to 16.5) 43.8 0.001
Full sick leave 14 136 74.6 (74.0 to 75.1) 44.2 (43.5 to 44.9) 30.4 (31.1 to 29.6) 0.001
Traumas
Partial sick leave 132 86.7 (82.0 to 91.3) 68.1 (61.5 to 74.6) 18.6 (25.3 to 11.8) 0.001 3.2 (10.0 to 3.5) 0.9 0.348
Full sick leave 8312 82.9 (82.3 to 91.3) 67.6 (66.7 to 68.4) 15.3 (16.2 to 14.5) 0.001
Tumours
Partial sick leave 109 90.6 (85.9 to 95.4) 75.0 (67.4 to 82.5) 15.7 (23.5 to 7.9) 0.001 5.3 (2.6 to 13.2) 1.7 0.190
Full sick leave 3021 87.2 (86.3 to 88.1) 66.2 (64.8 to 67.6) 21.0 (22.4 to 19.5) 0.001
Other diagnostic categories
Partial sick leave 201 87.4 (83.4 to 91.4) 63.6 (57.8 to 69.4) 23.8 (30.0 to 17.6) 0.001 6.2 (0.05 to 12.5) 3.8 0.052
Full sick leave 10 400 80.2 (79.6 to 80.7) 50.1 (49.3 to 50.9) 30.0 (30.9 to 29.2) 0.001
*Age, sex, income, diagnosis, occupational group, insurance district.
Age, income, diagnosis, occupational group, insurance district.
Age, sex, income, occupational group, insurance district.
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selection according to exposure. For this reason, an
analytical approach called potential outcomes or coun-
terfactual framework was chosen. The term refers to the
fact that in an ideal situation the exposed would be
compared to themselves when unexposed. Since this
comparison is impossible, we need a comparable or
exchangeable comparison group. We utilised two
methods (DID and PS) that have been previously recom-
mended and applied to control for selection on both
observed factors and unobserved xed factors.
15 20 21
In the DID method, it is assumed that the unobserved
characteristics in the studied groups are stable and that
the outcomes would change identically in these groups
in the absence of intervention. Consequently, the inter-
vention and comparison groups should be identical,
except for the intervention status. However, it is suf-
cient that the groups are closely, though not exactly,
similar.
15
We included in the comparison group only
participants who would have been entitled to partial
sickness benet as for the length of the preceding sick-
ness absence. We also applied a short wash-out period,
to minimise the intragroup differences between the two
time points. However, as full information on the eligibil-
ity of the participants for partial sickness benet was not
available in the registers (eg, severity of the health
problem and degree of remaining workability), we uti-
lised matching on PS to further increase the exchange-
ability of the groups. Moreover, at the time of the study,
the national rates in sickness absence were rather stable.
The unemployment rate in Finland was relatively low
during the intervention in 2008 (6.4%), however the
rates were similar at T1 (7.78.4%) and T2 (7.88.4%).
We utilised nationwide population data with compre-
hensive individual-level register-based information on
ill-health-related and unemployment-related absences
from work. Personal identication (social security)
numbers enabled linking information from three differ-
ent source registers. These registers have originally been
established for administrative purposes, but the data can
also be used for research.
22
Among the advantages of
register-based studies is a low likelihood of selection and
attrition bias. The source registers of this study provided
valid information on the receivers and payment days of
the benets. A limitation of the registers is that they typ-
ically provide only a limited number of background
characteristics of the participants and other covariates.
The process of assignment to partial sick leave is not
random. Most likely it is complex and affected by many
actors (the patient, physician, employer and workplace)
for which information cannot be found in the national
registers. Nevertheless, the factors that were included in
the analyses have earlier been found to be important
predictors of the use of health-related social security
benets and also associated with work disability and
RTW.
Information on diagnoses for sickness benets was also
retrieved from registers and had been based on medical
assessment. In case of a long-term sickness absence
(lasting more than 60 days) in Finland, the sickness
benet is paid in shorter periods, each being covered
with a separate medical certicate. Diagnostic codes are
transferred from these certicates to the administrative
registers. We used the latest (and presumably the most
accurate) diagnostic code provided for each long-term
sickness absence in 20072008. Data on occupational
branch had to be imputed for the majority of participants
in the comparison group. Nevertheless, the sensitivity
analyses suggested that using imputed data on occupa-
tion did not affect the results. In contrast to earlier
studies on the topic, work participation was approxi-
mated in the current study by taking simultaneously into
account the rate of different ill-health-related and
Table 3 Comparison of work participation (%) between partial and full sick leave group
Work participation (%)
n (pairs)
Difference in differences
Mean (95% CI) F-statistic p Value
All* 1660 9.8 (5.9 to 13.7) 60.8 0.0001
Males489 12.4 (6.9 to 17.9) 28.1 0.002
Females1171 7.2 (3.1 to 11.4) 34.0 0.0001
1634 years* 209 8.5 (0.5 to 16.6) 9.5 0.002
3544 years* 422 6.7 (0.7 to 12.6) 9.8 0.002
4554 years* 708 11.1 (6.3 to 15.9) 30.3 0.0001
5565 years* 321 12.9 (6.5 to 19.4) 12.2 0.001
Musculoskeletal diseases598 6.3 (1.5 to 11.2) 6.0 0.015
Mental disorders621 18.9 (14.2 to 23.5) 59.9 0.0001
Traumas131 0.3 (9.3 to 9.9) 0.0 0.99
Tumours109 12.5 (1.8 to 23.2) 5.9 0.016
Other diagnostic categories201 11.1 (3.3 to 18.9) 7.6 0.006
(GLM repeated measures design) in the PS-matched subsample.
*Age, sex, income, diagnosis, occupational group, insurance district.
Age, income, diagnosis, occupational group, insurance district.
Age, sex, income, occupational group, insurance district.
PS, propensity score.
Kausto J, et al.BMJ Open 2014;4:e006685. doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2014-006685 7
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unemployment-related benets. We operationalised work
participation as proportion of time within a year of not
receiving ill-health-related or unemployment benets.
Hence, we had a relatively comprehensive indicator of
the availability of the participants for the labour market.
Results in relation to earlier findings
The overall results of this study are congruent with earlier
ndings, indicating positive effects of partial sick leave on
RTW and work retention.
5712
We found that partial sick
leave had a positive effect on future work participation
especially in mental disorders, but the results of the ana-
lyses in the subgroup suggested that the overall effect in
the total sample might be underestimated.
Our ndings on the usefulness of partial sick leave in
mental disorders, though not directly comparable, are
congruent with a study showing the benecial effects of
partial sick leave on RTW in mental disorders after 60 days
of full sick leave,
10
but differ from an earlier study report-
ing no effect.
9
The literature suggests that returning and
continuing at work may be more challenging for those
with mental disorders than those with somatic problems
(eg, musculoskeletal diseases).
2325
In addition, the
outow from disability benets due to recovery has been
lower among those with mental disorders than with muscu-
loskeletal diseases.
4
However, in our previous study we
found an effect of partial sick leave on work disability
pension in both diagnostic categories, the effect tending
to be larger in mental disorders than in musculoskeletal
diseases.
12
The diagnostic groups of musculoskeletal dis-
eases and mental disorders may differ in the degree of
comparability of the partial and full sick leave groups with
regard to the background characteristics, severity of the
health problem and remaining work ability, number of
sickness absences as well as in transition to rehabilitation
and unemployment. When the exchangeability of the
groups was increased with PS matching, a benecial effect
on work participation was detected also in persons with
musculoskeletal diseases and those with tumours.
Sickness absence is known to increase with age.
26
In
addition, it has been found that RTW after long-term sick-
ness absence is less likely at higher ages.
27 28
Partial sick
leave was found to be most frequently used and also most
effective among middle-aged and older workers. It may
well be that work arrangements associated with partial
sick leave are more easily implemented by employees in a
more established or stable work situation.
CONCLUSIONS
The overall results of the effectiveness of partial sick
leave on work participation suggest that the new legisla-
tion on partial sickness benet introduced in 2007 has
the potential to increase work participation of the
working population with long-term sickness absence in
Finland. A positive effect was seen especially in mental
disorders. In the futureif applied in a larger scale
partial sick leave may turn out to be an effective tool in
reducing temporary and permanent withdrawal of
workers from the labour market due to health reasons.
Contributors JK, SS, EV-J, LJV and AK designed the study. All authors were
involved in data collection. JK, SS and AK conducted the analyses, all
contributed to the interpretation of the results and JK, SS and EV-J drafted
the manuscript. All authors accepted the final version of the manuscript.
Funding The study received financial support from the Social Insurance
Institution of Finland (grant no: 67/26/2011).
Competing interests None.
Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.
Data sharing statement No additional data are available.
Open Access This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with
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quasi-experiment in Finland
sickness benefit on work participation: a
Effectiveness of new legislation on partial
Koskinen and Svetlana Solovieva
Johanna Kausto, Eira Viikari-Juntura, Lauri J Virta, Raija Gould, Aki
doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2014-006685
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... Policy-level measures to prevent SA and disability retirement include legislation on part-time SA and the employer's obligation to report prolonged SA to OHS. Longitudinal studies have found part-time SA to be associated with a smaller decline in labour market participation than full-time SA [15][16][17][18][19] and the practice of reporting prolonged SA cases to OHS has been linked to increased rates of continuing to work despite illness [20]. In addition, a recent study of public sector employees showed that the use of 'return-to-work' coordinators, while increasing SA, significantly reduced disability retirement [21]. ...
... Previous studies have shown that work modification measures [24][25][26][27][28][29] and gradual and tailored return to work [44] may increase work participation despite illness. In Finland, alternative duty work may complement the earlier effective policy-level measures that have been used in the Finnish public sector to prevent and shorten SA, including the partial sickness absence policy [15][16][17][18][19], the policy that obligates employers to report prolonged SA and OHS to contact the employee and evaluate work ability during SA [20], and the use of 'returnto-work' coordinators [21], It has been suggested that combining different measures to support work ability is particularly beneficial [26,45,46]. Alternative duty work might serve as an important part of measures to support work ability. ...
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Purpose Alternative duty work is a procedure that enables an employee with a short-term disability to perform modified duties as an alternative to sickness absence. We examined whether the implementation of an alternative duty policy was associated with reduced sickness absence in the Finnish public sector. Methods Two city administrations (A and D) that implemented an alternative duty work policy to their employees ( n = 5341 and n = 7538) served as our intervention cities, and two city administrations (B and C) that did not implement the policy represented the reference cities ( n = 6976 and n = 6720). The outcomes were the number of annual days, all episodes, and short-term ( < 10 days) episodes during the 2 years before versus the 2 years after the intervention year. We applied repeated measures negative binomial regression analyses, using the generalized estimating equations method and the difference-in-difference analysis to compare the intervention and control cities (adjusted for sex, age, type of job contract, occupational class). Results During the five-year study period, the number of sickness absence days and episodes increased in both the intervention and control cities. Covariate-adjusted analysis of relative risk showed that the overall increase in post- versus pre-intervention sickness absence days was smaller in intervention City A, RR = 1.14 (95% CI = 1.09–1.21) than in control cities B and C, RR = 1.19 (95% CI =1.14–1.24), group × time interaction p < 0.02. In intervention City D, we found a corresponding result regarding all sickness absence episodes and short-term sickness absence episodes but not days. Conclusions This follow-up suggests that implementing an alternative duty work policy may marginally decrease employees’ sickness absences.
... That is, workers who are able to utilize PTSL have different personal or workplace characteristics to workers on full-time sick leave (FTSL), and therefore different probabilities of successful RTW. For example, studies have shown that those on PTSL and FTSL differ with regards to age, gender, education, diagnosis, manual or office work, and being in the private or public sector [17][18][19][20][21]. Selection effects make direct comparisons between the groups difficult. ...
... Others have used propensity score matching between those on PTSL and FTSL to account for selection effects, and have largely found positive impacts of PTSL on work-related outcomes [18,20,53]. Kausto et al. [17] also adjusted for potential confounding in multivariate analyses and found that PTSL led to reduced future disability. ...
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Background Part-time sick leave (PTSL) where sick-listed individuals work a percentage corresponding to their remaining work capabilities is often used to promote return to work. The effects of PTSL are uncertain due to participant selection on personal and social factors, which are not easily captured by evaluations that primarily rely on register-data. More knowledge of health-related, workplace and personal characteristics that influence the propensity to utilize PTSL is needed. The objective of the present study was to explore whether individuals on PTSL and full-time sick leave (FTSL) differ in terms of self-reported health, workplace resources and psychological resilience while also considering known sociodemographic factors that influence PTSL selection. Methods The study utilized a cross-sectional sample of 661 workers sick listed for 8 weeks with a 50–100% sick-listing degree. Differences between those on PTSL and FTSL with regard to current self-reported health, previous long-term sick leave, workplace adjustment latitude, psychosocial work environment, work autonomy, coping with work demands, and psychological resilience were examined and adjusted for known selection factors (age, education, gender, sector, diagnosis, and physical work) using logistic regression. Results An inverse U-shaped curvilinear association between self-reported health and PTSL was identified. Those on PTSL also reported greater workplace adjustment latitude and better psychosocial work environment than those on FTSL. These differences persisted after adjusting for previously known selection factors. Furthermore, the PTSL group reported more work autonomy and poorer coping with work demands, but these differences were more uncertain after adjustment. The groups did not differ in terms of previous long-term sick leave or psychological resilience. Conclusion The present study found differences between those on PTSL and FTSL with regards to self-reported health, workplace adjustment latitude and psychosocial work environment that were independent of differences identified in previous research. These results are important for future evaluations of the effect of PTSL on RTW, suggesting more attention should be paid to self-reported health status and workplace characteristics that are not captured using register data.
... Previous studies have consistently shown that the use of part-time sick leave and graded return to work lead to increased work participation. [3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12] The use of part-time sick leave nevertheless also leads to increased use of partial disability retirement, 9 13 that is, a more permanent withdrawal from full-time ...
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Objectives The share of the overall working careers that is spent receiving disability benefits is unclear. We examined trends in full-time equivalent working life expectancy (FTE-WLE) among those with and without receiving a permanent full or partial disability pension in Finland, where certain amounts of work are allowed while receiving these pensions. Design Longitudinal register-based study. Setting Finnish population. Participants Nationally representative 70% samples of the working-age population. Outcome Using the Sullivan method, we examined annual FTE-WLE at age 45, truncated at age 63, in 2005–2018 by disability pension status. Full-time equivalent work participation was based on combined information on annual employment days and work income. Results Compared with those with no disability pension, disability pensioners had a larger relative (full and partial pensioners of both genders) and absolute (male partial pensioners) increase in the FTE-WLE between 2005 and 2018. In 2018, the FTE-WLE of both male and female full disability pensioners was around 3.5 months, being 6 months at its highest in musculoskeletal diseases. The FTE-WLE of partial disability pensioners was around 6.5 and 8 years among men and women, respectively, being around half of the corresponding expectancies of non-pensioners. The FTE-WLE of partial disability pensioners was considerable in musculoskeletal diseases and mental disorders and even higher in other diseases. Full disability pensioners spent a disproportionately large time in manual work, increasingly in the private sector, and partial pensioners in the public sector with lower non-manual and manual work, increasingly with the former. At the population level, the share of the FTE-WLE that is spent receiving a disability pension remained relatively small. Conclusions Increased work participation while receiving a disability pension is likely to have had important implications for prolonging individual working careers but only minor contribution to the length of working lives at the population level.
... [10][11][12][13][14][15][16] Quasi-experimental study designs have advanced understanding of the influence of disability insurance provider policies on the durations of work disability. [16][17][18][19] The contributions of this literature have led to important reforms to workplace and disability insurer practices in many jurisdictions. However, there has been less attention focused on describing the experiences of workers disabled by a work-related injury or illness over longer follow-up periods or adequately powered comparisons between the experiences of workers' compensation claimants with long wage replacement durations compared with claimants with shorter durations. ...
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Purpose The substantial economic burden of work-related injury and illness, borne by workers, employers and social security programmes, is primarily attributed to the durations of work disability among workers whose recovery requires a period of absence from work, with the majority of costs arising from the minority of workers with the longest duration absences. The objective of the Ontario Life After Workplace Injury Study is to describe the long-term health and labour market outcomes of workers disabled by work injury or illness after they are no longer receiving benefits or services from the work disability insurance authority. Participants Workers disabled by a work-related injury or illness were recruited from a sample frame of disability benefit claimants with oversampling of claimants with longer benefit durations. Characteristics of workers, their employers and claimant benefits were obtained from baseline administrative data. Interviews completed at 18 months post injury (T1) and to be completed at 36 months (T2) measure return-to-work and work status; income; physical and mental health; case manager and healthcare provider interactions and employer accommodations supporting return-to-work and sociodemographic characteristics. Of eligible claimants, 40% (1132) participated in the T1 interview, with 96% consenting to participate in the T2 interview. Findings to date Preliminary descriptive analyses of T1 data have been completed. The median age was 50 years and 56% were male. At 18 months following injury, 61% were employed by their at-injury employer, 16% had changed employment and 23% were not working. Past-year prescription opioid use was prevalent (34%), as was past-year cannabis use (31%). Longer duration claimants had poorer function, recovery and health and more adverse labour market outcomes. Future plans Multivariate analyses to identify modifiable predictors of adverse health and labour market outcomes and a follow-up survey of 96% of participants consenting to follow-up at 36 months are planned.
... In Finland, the application for the partial sickness allowance is made jointly by the employer and the employee and granted by the social insurance agency (Viikari-Juntura et al., 2019). Both worker and employer agree to the scheme on a voluntary basis, and they sign a fixed-term work contract that covers the graded sick leave (Kausto et al., 2014). Finland is however characterised by a strong institutional role for occupational health services (OHS). ...
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Objective: To provide a review of current knowledge about interventions aimed to facilitate young adults to return to work following work-related injuries. Methods: A systematic review of published literature from the year 2010 and onwards was conducted to identify studies examining return to work interventions for young adults (aged 19-29) following work-related injuries using PubMed and Web of Science. Two reviewers conducted the screening process and assessed the study quality using the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute assessment tool for Observational Cohort and Cross-Sectional studies. Due to wide heterogeneity and small number of studies retained post-screening, a descriptive summary analysis of the included studies was conducted. Results: No studies were identified that focused exclusively on interventions for young adults. However, two studies, in which an age category of young adults was available, were included and assessed for quality. The study populations were primarily suffering from work-related injuries in the lower back or lower limbs. Both studies revealed that return to work interventions using a case manager coordinating and providing consultation, advice, and risk management to multidisciplinary teams was associated with lower sick leave days. Conclusions: Despite the emerging evidence that young adults have higher rates of work-related injuries compared to older colleagues, information concerning work-related injuries and return to work interventions specifically targeting young workers is still lacking. Further research is therefore needed to develop and evaluate return to work interventions for the population of young adults.
Technical Report
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This Policy Brief adresses the following key points: 1. Income compensation during sickness varies greatly between Member States and over the past two decades has been the subject of important reforms, mostly aiming at enhancing the financial sustainability of these schemes. 2. The overall reform trend has been towards shortening the duration of benefits and reducing replacement rates. 3. This was especially the case during the recession and mostly in central and eastern European countries. Sickness benefits are among the social protection schemes which are more likely to be the subject of austerity reforms during economic downturns. 4. New ‘quick return to work’ policies have only rarely been matched by innovative strategies, including follow-up benefits or suitable rehabilitation provisions. These policies should be approached with caution, and always be adapted to the work context and the type of illness. 5. ‘Presenteeism’ has become a significant social and economic challenge that should be acknowledged by domestic policymakers and social partners. 6. In the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, public authorities should remove waiting periods and eligibility conditions for the self-employed and provide them with a replacement rate comparable to that of employees. Similar measures are needed for nonstandard workers.
Article
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Purpose: This paper aims to answer the question whether combining sick leave with some hours of work can help employees diagnosed with a mental disorder (MD) increase their probability of returning to work. Given the available data, this paper analyzes the impact of part-time sick leave (PTSL) on the probability of fully recovering lost work capacity for employees diagnosed with an MD. Methods: The effects of PTSL on the probability of fully recovering lost work capacity are estimated by a discrete choice one-factor model using data on a nationally representative sample extracted from the register of the National Agency of Social Insurance in Sweden and supplemented with information from questionnaires. All individuals in the sample were 20-64 years old and started a sickness spell of at least 15 days between 1 and 16 February 2001. We selected all employed individuals diagnosed with an MD, with a final sample of 629 individuals. Results: The results show that PTSL is associated with a low likelihood of full recovery, yet the timing of the assignment is important. PTSL's effect is relatively low (0.015) when it is assigned in the beginning of the spell but relatively high (0.387), and statistically significant, when assigned after 60 days of full-time sick leave (FTSL). This suggests efficiency improvements from assigning employees with an MD diagnosis, when possible, to PTSL. Conclusions: The employment gains will be enhanced if employees with an MD diagnosis are encouraged to return to work part-time after 60 days or more of FTSL.
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In observational studies, investigators have no control over the treatment assignment. The treated and non-treated (that is, control) groups may have large differences on their observed covariates, and these differences can lead to biased estimates of treatment effects. Even traditional covariance analysis adjustments may be inadequate to eliminate this bias. The propensity score, defined as the conditional probability of being treated given the covariates, can be used to balance the covariates in the two groups, and therefore reduce this bias. In order to estimate the propensity score, one must model the distribution of the treatment indicator variable given the observed covariates. Once estimated the propensity score can be used to reduce bias through matching, stratification (subclassification), regression adjustment, or some combination of all three. In this tutorial we discuss the uses of propensity score methods for bias reduction, give references to the literature and illustrate the uses through applied examples. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Article
In observational studies, investigators have no control over the treatment assignment. The treated and non-treated (that is, control) groups may have large differences on their observed covariates, and these differences can lead to biased estimates of treatment effects. Even traditional covariance analysis adjustments may be inadequate to eliminate this bias. The propensity score, defined as the conditional probability of being treated given the covariates, can be used to balance the covariates in the two groups, and therefore reduce this bias. In order to estimate the propensity score, one must model the distribution of the treatment indicator variable given the observed covariates. Once estimated the propensity score can be used to reduce bias through matching, stratification (subclassification), regression adjustment, or some combination of all three. In this tutorial we discuss the uses of propensity score methods for bias reduction, give references to the literature and illustrate the uses through applied examples.
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Study Design. A cluster-randomized controlled trial. Objective. To evaluate the effects of two strategies to increase the use of active sick leave (ASL) among patients with low back pain (LBP) on improved return to work and quality of life. Summary of Background Data. Active sick leave is an option provided by the Norwegian National Insurance Administration that enables employees to return to modified duties at the workplace with 100% of normal wages. A proactive implementation strategy increased the use of ASL for LBP patients from 11.5% to 17.7% compared with a passive intervention and a control group (P = 0.006). Methods. Sixty-five municipalities were randomly assigned to a passive intervention, a proactive intervention, or a control group. The interventions, which were designed to improve the use of ASL, were targeted at patients on sick leave for LBP for more than 16 days (n = 6179), their general practitioners, employers, and local insurance officers. The main outcome measures were the average number of days off work, the proportion of patients returning to work within 1 year, and self-reported quality of life while on sick leave. Results. The median number of days on sick leave was similar in the proactive intervention group (70 days), the passive intervention group (68 days), and the control group (71 days) (P = 0.8). The proportion of patients returning to work before 50 weeks was also similar in the proactive (89%), passive (89.5%), and control groups (89.1%). Response rates for the questionnaires that were sent to patients were low (38%), and no significant differences were observed across the three groups for quality of life or patient satisfaction. Conclusions. It is not likely that efforts to increase the use of ASL will result in measurable economic benefits or improved health outcomes at the population level. The benefits of ASL for individual patients with LBP are not known.
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This article investigates the effects of transitions between employment and unemployment on health. It also addresses the question of whether or not the widespread use of temporary employment has altered the positive health effects of employment. Drawing on data from the German Socio-Economic Panel for the period 1995–2010, we apply difference-in-differences propensity score matching to identify the direct causal effects of unemployment and reemployment on psychological and physical health. This combination of two approaches towards causal inference controls for both unobserved fixed effects and observable differences in a flexible semi-parametric specification. Our sample includes persons between the ages of 16–54 who have at least experienced one respective employment transition (treatment groups) or are continuously employed or unemployed (control groups). The results show that only psychological but not physical health is causally affected by the respective employment transitions. Specifically, the effects of unemployment and reemployment are of similar size, highlighting the importance of reemployment in compensating unemployment's negative impact on psychological health. In contrast, health selection and confounding seem to be important determinants of the cross-sectional association between unemployment and physical health. Carrying out separate analyses for permanent and temporary workers, we shed new light on the health effects of temporary employment. It has been argued that the rise of temporary employment has introduced a new inequality in the world of work, blurring the line between employment and unemployment. However, contrary to our expectations we find that both employment transitions have effects of a similar size for permanent and temporary workers. In sum, our results highlight two points. First, longitudinal research is needed to properly evaluate the health effects of unemployment, reemployment, and temporary employment. Second, compared to temporary employment, unemployment is still the greater threat to individuals' psychological health.
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Can a work-first strategy control moral hazard problems in temporary disability insurance, and accelerate recovery? Based on empirical analysis of Norwegian data, we show that it can. Activation requirements not only bring down benefit claims, they also reduce the likelihood that long-term sickness absence leads to inactivity. Our findings show that absentees who are assigned graded (partial) absence certificates by their physician have shorter absences and higher subsequent employment rates than they would have had on regular sick leave. We conclude that the activation strategies that in recent years have permeated European and US welfare policy may fruitfully be carried over to sick leave insurance for temporary disabled workers.
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Randomization of treatment assignment in experiments generates treatment groups with approximately balanced baseline covariates. However, in observational studies, where treatment assignment is not random, patients in the active treatment and control groups often differ on crucial covariates that are related to outcomes. These covariate imbalances can lead to biased treatment effect estimates. The propensity score is the probability that a patient with particular baseline characteristics is assigned to active treatment rather than control. Though propensity scores are unknown in observational studies, by matching or subclassifying patients on estimated propensity scores, we can design observational studies that parallel randomized experiments, with approximate balance on observed covariates. Observational study designs based on estimated propensity scores can generate approximately unbiased treatment effect estimates. Critically, propensity score designs should be created without access to outcomes, mirroring the separation of study design and outcome analysis in randomized experiments. This paper describes the potential outcomes framework for causal inference and best practices for designing observational studies with propensity scores. We discuss the use of propensity scores in two studies assessing the effectiveness and risks of antifibrinolytic drugs during cardiac surgery.Full English text available from: www.revespcardiol.org
Article
Part-time sick leave (PTSL) allows employees on full-time sick leave (FTSL) to resume work at reduced hours. When the partly absent employee's health improves, working hours are increased until the employee is able to work regular hours. Studies have found that PTSL is an effective instrument for reducing sick leave durations for employees with musculoskeletal disorders and for employees on sick leave in general. This is the first published article to document how PTSL affects sick leave durations for employees with mental disorders. The aim is to estimate the effect of PTSL on the duration until returning to regular working hours for employees with mental disorders. We compare this effect to that of PTSL for employees with non-mental disorders ('other disorders'). We use combined survey and register data about 226 employees on long-term sick leave with mental disorders and 638 employees with other disorders. These data contain information about type of disorder, PTSL and FTSL (full-time sick leave) durations, and various background characteristics. We use a mixed proportional hazard regression model that allows us to control for unobserved differences between employees on PTSL and those on FTSL. Our analyses show that PTSL has no effect on the duration until returning to regular working hours for employees with mental disorders. Furthermore, looking at specific disorders such as depression and stress-related conditions, we find no significant effects of PTSL. In contrast, in line with previous research, we find that PTSL significantly reduces the duration until returning to regular working hours for employees with other disorders. The analyses also illustrate the importance of controlling for unobserved differences between employees on PTSL and those on FTSL. Without this control, PTSL significantly reduces the duration until returning to regular working hours. When we control for unobserved characteristics, this effect decreases, and for employees with mental disorders the effect vanishes entirely. The lack of an effect of PTSL for employees with mental disorders needs replication in other studies. If subsequent studies confirm our findings, one should not necessarily conclude that PTSL is an ineffective intervention: PTSL may play a role in combination with other workplace interventions and in combination with person-centred interventions. The study is limited by self-reported data about disorders and a relatively small number of employees with mental disorders. Our findings suggest that while PTSL reduces sick leave durations for employees with other disorders, it does not affect sick leave durations for employees with mental disorders. These results may indicate that PTSL by itself is insufficient for promoting the return to work of employees with mental disorders. FUTURE RESEARCH: Future studies could benefit from larger data sets with disorder information based on medical assessments. In addition to quantitative effect studies, future studies could focus on qualitative workplace mechanisms that may counteract the potential positive effects of PTSL for employees on sick leave with mental disorders.