ArticlePDF Available

Abstract and Figures

As a copious source of gamma rays, a nearby galactic gamma ray burst (GRB) can be a threat to life. Using recent determinations of the rate of GRBs, their luminosity function, and properties of their host galaxies, we estimate the probability that a life-threatening (lethal) GRB would take place. Amongst the different kinds of GRBs, long ones are most dangerous. There is a very good chance (but no certainty) that at least one lethal GRB took place during the past 5 gigayears close enough to Earth as to significantly damage life. There is a 50% chance that such a lethal GRB took place during the last 500×10^{6} years, causing one of the major mass extinction events. Assuming that a similar level of radiation would be lethal to life on other exoplanets hosting life, we explore the potential effects of GRBs to life elsewhere in the Galaxy and the Universe. We find that the probability of a lethal GRB is much larger in the inner Milky Way (95% within a radius of 4 kpc from the galactic center), making it inhospitable to life. Only at the outskirts of the Milky Way, at more than 10 kpc from the galactic center, does this probability drop below 50%. When considering the Universe as a whole, the safest environments for life (similar to the one on Earth) are the lowest density regions in the outskirts of large galaxies, and life can exist in only ≈10% of galaxies. Remarkably, a cosmological constant is essential for such systems to exist. Furthermore, because of both the higher GRB rate and galaxies being smaller, life as it exists on Earth could not take place at z>0.5. Early life forms must have been much more resilient to radiation.
Content may be subject to copyright.
Draft version September 10, 2014
Preprint typeset using L
A
T
E
X style emulateapj v. 5/2/11
ON THE ROLE OF GRBS ON LIFE EXTINCTION IN THE UNIVERSE
Tsvi Piran1and Raul Jimenez2,3
Draft version September 10, 2014
ABSTRACT
As a copious source of gamma-rays, a nearby Galactic Gamma-Ray Burst (GRB) can be a threat
to life. Using recent determinations of the rate of GRBs, their luminosity function and properties of
their host galaxies, we estimate the probability that a life-threatening (lethal) GRB would take place.
Amongst the different kinds of GRBs, long ones are most dangerous. There is a very good chance (but
no certainty) that at least one lethal GRB took place during the past 5 Gyr close enough to Earth as
to significantly damage life. There is a 50% chance that such a lethal GRB took place during the last
500 Myr causing one of the major mass extinction events. Assuming that a similar level of radiation
would be lethal to life on other exoplanets hosting life, we explore the potential effects of GRBs to life
elsewhere in the Galaxy and the Universe. We find that the probability of a lethal GRB is much larger
in the inner Milky Way (95% within a radius of 4 kpc from the galactic center), making it inhospitable
to life. Only at the outskirts of the Milky Way, at more than 10 kpc from the galactic center, this
probability drops below 50%. When considering the Universe as a whole, the safest environments for
life (similar to the one on Earth) are the lowest density regions in the outskirts of large galaxies and
life can exist in only 10% of galaxies. Remarkably, a cosmological constant is essential for such
systems to exist. Furthermore, because of both the higher GRB rate and galaxies being smaller, life
as it exists on Earth could not take place at z > 0.5. Early life forms must have been much more
resilient to radiation.
Subject headings: galaxies:evolution — galaxies: statistics — galaxies: stellar content — gamma-ray
burst: general
1. INTRODUCTION
Gamma Ray bursts (GRBs), short and intense bursts
of γ-rays, are the brightest explosions known. The co-
pious flux of γ-ray photons with energies above 100keV
from a galactic GRB could destroy the ozone layer mak-
ing them potentially damaging to life on Earth. This has
led to the suggestion4(Thorsett 1995; Dar & De Rujula
2001; Scalo & Wheeler 2002; Melott et al. 2004; Thomas
et al. 2005a,b) that events of massive life extinction were
caused by galactic GRBs. This issue depends of course
on the rate of galactic GRBs in the Earth neighborhood.
Once it was realized that long GRBs are preferentially
located at low-metallicity environments it was claimed
(Stanek et al. 2006) that nearby Galactic GRB are rare
and GRBs are unlikely to play any role in life extinc-
tion on Earth (see however, (Melott 2006) who claims
that metallicity won’t protect life on Earth from GRBs).
Given the recent significant progress in quantifying the
main ingredients that determine whether GRBs have any
effect on Earth: their rate, luminosity function and de-
pendence on metallicity it is therefore timely to re-asses
this issue, extending the discussion to GRBs effects on
life in the whole Milky Way and in the whole Universe.
GRBs are traditionally divided in two groups accord-
ing to their duration: long (>2s) GRBs (LGRBs) and
short (<2s) GRBs (sGRBs). This division follows to a
1Racah Institute of Physics, The Hebrew University,
Jerusalem 91904, Israel; tsvi.piran@huji.ac.il
3ICREA & ICC, University of Barcelona, Marti i Franques 1,
Barcelona 08024, Spain; raul.jimenez@icc.ub.edu
4Institute for Applied Computational Science, Harvard Uni-
versity, MA 02138, USA.
4See (Ruderman 1974) for an earlier discussion of nearby Su-
pernovae as the cause of life extinction.
large extend5the origin of these events. LGRBs are asso-
ciated with the death of massive stars (see e.g. Woosley
& Bloom 2006, for a review) while sGRBs have a differ-
ent origin, most likely compact binary mergers (Eichler
et al. 1989). Recently, it was realized that there is a third
group characterized by low luminosity (L104648 erg
s1) and denoted llGRBs. These events are also asso-
ciated with the death of massive stars, but they origi-
nate from a different physical mechanism (Bromberg et
al. 2011). A fourth type of a related explosion - giant
SGR flares might also relevant. Such a flare took place
in the Milky Way on 27 Dec 2004, releasing 4×1046
ergs (Palmer et al. 2005). This flare, that was sufficiently
powerful to disturb the Earth magnetosphere, is the only
known object outside the solar system to have a direct
clear impact on Earth. Giant SGR flares are different
phenomenon than GRBs but as their rates could be as
high as once per thirty years in the Galaxy we explore
their possible role as well.
Wanderman & Piran (2010) have recently recon-
structed, in a model independent way, the rate of LGRBs
as a function of redshift and their luminosity function.
One of their most interesting findings is that the LGRB
rate is not reproduced by the star formation rate of the
global galaxy population. This discrepancy is statisti-
cally highly significant, particularly at low (<3) red-
shifts, which is relevant here. This is, at first, surpris-
ing as there is ample evidence that long duration GRBs
originate from the collapse of very massive stars and one
would expect that LGRB follow the SFR. Jimenez &
5We note in passing that some GRBs that are shorter than
2s do arise from collapsing massive stars Bromberg et al. (2013).
However this is unimportant for this work.
arXiv:1409.2506v1 [astro-ph.HE] 8 Sep 2014
2
Piran (2013) have shown that the LGRB rate and the
galaxy derived SFR agree for a special class of galaxies:
low mass (stellar mass <1010 M) and low metallicity
(
<1/10 solar). This is, of course, done in a statisti-
cal sense and does not exclude that few outliers to this
trend exist. But it is clear that the LGRB host popula-
tion is a special subclass of the general galaxy population.
These results are in agreement with earlier observations
that indicate that LGRBs take place in dwarf (Natarajan
et al. 1997), low metallicity (Fynbo et al. 2003) galax-
ies. They are also consistent with direct observations of
LGRBs host metallicities (e.g. Savaglio 2013; Levesque
2014; Cucchiara et al. 2014) and with the findings of
Fruchter et al. (2006) who have shown that the local SFR
in the vicinity of LGRBs is much higher than expected
if they simply follow the SFR (see also Svensson et al.
2010).
Short GRBs have very different host environments and
they clearly arise from different progenitors (see e.g.
Nakar 2007; Berger 2013, for reviews). They are sig-
nificantly weaker than LGRBs and as such are observed
to much shorter distances than LGRB. sGRBs are be-
lieved to originate in compact binary mergers (Eichler
et al. 1989) but a direct proof for that is still lacking. As
sGRBs are weaker, fewer GRBs have been observed than
LGRBs. However their current overall rate is about five
times larger than the rate of LGRBs. In the following we
use a recent determination of the sGRBs global rate and
luminosity function by Wanderman & Piran (2014), (see
Cohen & Piran 1995; Ando 2004; Guetta & Piran 2005,
2006; Nakar et al. 2006; Guetta & Stella 2009; Coward
et al. 2012; Siellez et al. 2013, for earlier work).
llGRBs are significantly weaker with energies of
104749erg (as well as smoother and softer) than both
LGRBs and sGRBs. Like LGRBs they are associated
with the death of massive stars but they arise due to a dif-
ferent physical mechanism (Bromberg et al. 2011). While
less than half a dozen llGRBs have been observed so far
they are more numerous than both LGRBs or sGRBs
(Soderberg et al. 2006). Because of their low luminosi-
ties they are observed only up to relatively short (but
still cosmological) distances.
We use the very recent determination of GRB rates
and luminosity function to estimate the flux of Galactic
GRBs on Earth and compare it with the flux needed
to destroy the ozone layer. Given that LGRBs are the
most powerful and hence most dangerous, and given their
dependence on metallicity we begin with an exposition
of the Milky Way metallicity distribution. We continue
estimating the life threatening effect of LGRBs, turning
later, using the same formalism to sGRBs, llGRBs and
giant SGR flares. We conclude summarizing the results
and their implication to life extinction on Earth. We also
explore the implications to life extinction on exoplanets
elsewhere in the Milky Way and in the whole Universe.
2. THE MILKY WAY METALLICITY DISTRIBUTION
LGRB rate estimates derive the expected rates of
LGRBs per unit volume per unit time. When trans-
lating this volumetric rates to event rate per galaxy and
more specifically to the rate within the Milky Way, one
has to consider the type of galaxies in which the events
take place. Our earlier analysis (Jimenez & Piran 2013)
shows that LGRB hosts are dwarf low metallicity galax-
Figure 1. The percentage of stars as a function of metallicity in
the Milky Way disk with ages 1 <Gyr <5 (solid orange line) and
with ages <1 Gyr (solid black line) as obtained by Casagrande
et al. (2011). The distribution of LGRBs metallicity as obtained
by Jimenez & Piran (2013) from matching the RGB global rate
to the global star formation rate of galaxies (solid green line) and
that from direct metallicity determinations of LGRBs (dashed line)
(Savaglio 2013) and Cucchiara et al. (2014) from DLA (solid red
line). The overlap between the LGRB and Milky Way stars distri-
butions is only at the few % level.
ies that are very different from the Milky Way. There
are outliers and some LGRBs has been found in higher
metallicity galaxies (Savaglio 2013; Levesque 2014).
Casagrande et al. (2011, and references therein) de-
termine the ages and metallicities of stars in the Milky
Way disk. Fig. 1 depicts the percentage distribution of
stars in the Milky Way for ages <1 Gyr (solid black
line) and stars older than 1 Gyr but younger than 5 Gyr
(solid orange line). Stars that are older than the Sun
and that therefore trace the chemical conditions of the
star forming gas at earlier epochs are not relevant for the
question of life destruction on Earth. In the same plot we
also show (solid green line) the percentage distribution of
LGRB hosts derived from Jimenez & Piran (2013) using
the mass metallicity relation from Panter et al. (2008).
Note that due to the metallicity bias for the LGRB host
galaxies, there is very little overlap with the distribution
of stars in the Milky Way disk. In fact they only overlap
at the 10% level.
Also shown in Fig. 1 are the distributions of LGRB
hosts with direct metallicity determinations (dashed blue
lines) as compiled by Savaglio (2013) and those of GRB
hosts metallicities derived from Damped Lymanαmea-
surements (red line) as reported by Cucchiara et al.
(2014). The percentage of overlap of direct hosts metal-
licities with those of stars in the Milky Way is 10%. We
conclude that the metallicity bias will reduce the prob-
ability for LGRB within the last 5 Gyrs in the Milky
Way by a percentage between 5% (from the metallic-
ity determination by Jimenez & Piran (2013)) and 10%
(from direct metallicity determinations (e.g. Savaglio
2013; Levesque 2014; Cucchiara et al. 2014)), resulting
in a reduction factor between 10 and 20 as compared to
the volumetric rate of LGRBs. In what follows we will
assume a conservative 10% value for a metallicity bias
for LGRB above solar.
3. LIFE THREATENING GRBS IN THE MILKY WAY
3
Following Wanderman & Piran (2010, 2014) we write
the current (z= 0) luminosity function as:
φ(L) = n0(L/L)ˆαLmin < L < L
(L/L)ˆ
βL< L < Lmax.(1)
The parameters of the luminosity functions6are given
in table 3 and the functions are shown in Fig. 2. This
luminosity and rate are the isotropic equivalent (namely
disregarding the poorly constrained beaming), which are
the quantities needed for our estimates here. In the fol-
lowing we need the total energy and not the peak lumi-
nosity. A good but rough estimate is obtained by assum-
ing a typical duration of 20s (1s) for LGRBs (sGRBs).
Multiplying by the average (half) of the peak flux we
obtain ELGRB = 10Land EsGRB = 0.5L. In what fol-
lows we adopt the cosmological volume occupied by a
Milky Way type galaxy as 107Gpc3(see e.g. Panter et
al. (2007) Fig. 3 where we use 6×1010 Mas the stellar
mass of the Milky Way (McMillan 2011)).
Assuming that GRBs follow the stellar distribution,
they are distributed in the exponential disk of the
Milky Way with a radial density profile given by ρ
exp(r/rd), with rd= 2.15 ±0.14 kpc (a number that,
surprisingly, has only been accurately determined re-
cently (Bovy & Rix 2013)). Using this density profile
we calculate p[d, R], the fraction of the Galaxy within a
distance dfrom a position R(see Fig. 2). The expected
number of GRBs, with a fluence exceeding Fat a loca-
tion at distance Rfrom the Galactic center is:
hNi=ZLmax
Lmin
φ(L)p[d(E, F), R]dL. (2)
To estimate the effect of a GRB on life on Earth we
need to know what the dangerous radiation doses are.
Ruderman (1974), who considered at the time the ef-
fect of a nearby SNe on Earth, realized that the most
damaging effect would be the depletion of the Earth pro-
tective Ozone layer for a period of months. This would
happen via formation of stratospheric nitric oxide that
destroys the Ozone. The Ozone depletion would lead
to enhancement of UBV solar radiation that, in turn,
would be harmful to life. Note that the UBV fluence on
the surface of the ocean will destroy surface marine life
(as described in detail in Thomas et al. 2005b) among
them plankton, which will deprive (marine) life of their
main nutrient. In 1995, after it was realized that GRBs
are cosmological and their rate was estimated, Thorsett
(1995) applied these ideas to Galactic GRBs. A decade
later Thomas et al. (2005a,b) carried out the most exten-
sive, to date, calculation of the effects of the gamma-ray
flux on the Earth atmosphere. They find that a fluence
of 10kJ/m2will cause a depletion of -68% of the ozone
layer on a time scale of a month. Fluences of 100kJ/m2
and 1000kJ/m2will cause depletions of -91% and -98%
respectively. One has to realize that these are average
quantities. The exact amount of depletion depends on
the direction of the GRB as well as on the season when
the GRB takes place and may vary from one latitude to
6The luminosity function defined here, φ(L), is per dL/L. As
such it differs from that given in (Wanderman & Piran 2010, 2014)
that is per dlog10 (L). The power law indices are marked byˆ to
denote this difference. Clearly, ˆα=α+ 1 and ˆ
β=β+ 1.
Figure 2. The fraction of stars in the Galaxy within a distance
dform Earth for an exponential disc with scale-length of 2.15 kpc
(left y-axis) as a function of energy of a life-extinction GRB for
different locations of the life harbouring planet (2.15,4,8.5 and
16kpc). Also plotted (right y-axis) are the luminosity functions as
a function of energy for LGRB and sGRB.
another. Following Thomas et al. (2005a,b) we estimate
that a fluence of 10kJ/m2will cause some damage to
life, while 1000kJ/m2will wipe out nearly the whole at-
mosphere causing a catastrophic life extinction event; we
consider F= 100kJ/m2as our canonical life threatening
fluence. We don’t consider here other sources of damage,
such as cosmic rays associated with the GRBs that could
lead to enhanced radioactivity in the atmosphere (Dar &
De Rujula 2001).
Integrating over the luminosity functions in eq. 2 we
estimate hNi, for both long and short GRBs. These val-
ues are listed in Table. 2. To estimate the significance
of these numbers taking into account the errors in the
luminosity function, burst duration and the Milky Way
disk scale length, we carry out a Monte Carlo simulation
of 1000 realizations for both long and short GRBs. We
calculate the distribution of hNiand the overall proba-
bility of more than one life threatening GRB taking place
within the last 5 Gyr, 1 Gyr and 500Myr.
Inspection of Fig. 2 reveals that the maximal danger
arises from weak but not extremely weak events, namely
those around 0.01L. Lower luminosity bursts are more
abundant but their covering fraction of the Galaxy is
too small. Higher luminosity bursts can destroy life on
a large fraction of the Galaxy but those are extremely
rare. From the point of view of computational certainty
these results are reassuring as the confidence in our de-
termination of the rate of events around Lis good. This
is also important from another point of view. Spatially
GRBs are concentrated within regions of the highest SFR
(Fruchter et al. 2006; Svensson et al. 2010). The domi-
nance of strong GRBs whose radius of influence is a few
kpc implies that we can ignore this spatial inhomogeneity
and the approximation that the distribution of LGRBs
follow the distribution of matter in the galaxy holds.
We find that the probability of a LGRB, in the past 5
Gyr, with fluence 100kJ/m2on Earth to be higher than
90% and in the last 0.5 Gyr this probability is 50%. It
is somewhat surprising that this result (50% chance of a
biospherically important event in a half Gyr) is so similar
to the original calculation in Thorsett (1995). At lower
4
Table 1
Parameters of the LGRBs and sGRBs luminosity functions from Wanderman & Piran (2010, 2014). Note that the upper and lower limits
are not well determined but this is unimportant for our estimates here.
n0ˆαˆ
β LLmin Lmax
Gpc3yr1ergs s1ergs s1ergs s1
LGRB 0.15+0.7
0.81.2+0.2
0.12.4+0.3
0.61052.5±0.21049 1054
sGRB 0.04+0.023
0.019 1.9±0.12 3.0+1
0.81052.3±0.25×1049 1053
Figure 3. The probability distribution function, p, of the average
number of lethal LGRBs (top panel) and sGRBs (bottom panel)
that irradiated Earth in the past Gyr with enough flux to cause
severe life extinction (100 kJ/m2). For LGRBs we show the case
where we applied a 10% metallicity bias.
fluence, 10kJ/m2, these probabilities are higher than
99.8% (95%) for 5 Gyr (0.5 Gyr) and thus nearly cer-
tain. However, the chances of a truly catastrophic event
with a fluence of 1000kJ/m2, are at most 25% thus mak-
ing it unlikely. These probabilities are of course much
larger (see Table. 2) if we ignore suppression of GRBs in
the Milky Way due to large metallicity.
sGRBs are weaker and as such, even though their rate
is larger than the rate of LGRBs (and particularly so
in the Milky way, because of the metallicity bias) their
life threatening effect is negligible as can be seen from
Table 2. As llGRBs are even weaker their effect is com-
pletely negligible. For completeness we mention that a
giant SGR flare would have to be within 12 pc from
Earth to produce a 100kJ/m2fluence. This is compa-
Figure 4. The probability, hNi, of having on average more than
one lethal GRB in the past Gyr for an exoplanet at a distance r
from the centre of the Milky Way. The grey line shows the fraction
of mass in the Milky encompassed within a radius r. The dashed
line is for LGRB assuming no metallicity correction.
Table 2
Probability, in %, of at least one GRB having occurred in the
past time twith enough flux to produce significant life extinction.
For LGRB we show in parenthesis the probability when we use a
10% metallicity bias. We consider three cases of the GRB fluence
on Earth (10,100 and 1000 kJ/m2).
t < 5 Gyr t < 1 Gyr t < 0.5 Gyr
10kJ/m2
LGRBs 99.8 (99.95) 98.7 (99.90) 95 (99.80)
sGRBs 80 37 22
llGRBs <1<1<1
100kJ/m2
LGRBs 90 (99.8) 60 (96) 50 (90)
sGRBs 14 3 2
llGRBs <1<1<1
1000kJ/m2
LGRBs 25 (80) 7 (40) 4 (25)
sGRBs 1022×103103
llGRBs 0 0 0
rable to the distances between stars in the solar neigh-
bourhood. Consequently giant SGR flares are unlikely
to cause any significant damage to life.
4. GRBS AND LIFE IN THE GALAXY
We turn now to explore the possible threat caused by
GRBs to life elsewhere in the Milky Way, turning to the
whole Universe in the next section. Clearly to do so
one must assume the lethal radiation dose that will be
threatening to life elsewhere. While life can take nu-
merous other forms and could be much more resilient
5
to radiation than on earth, we make here the conserva-
tive assumption that life is rather similar to the one on
Earth. This common assumption is the basis for searches
of Earth like exoplanets as places that harbour life. Un-
der this assumption, we explore what is the likelihood
that a nearby GRB results in a dose of 100 as well as 10
and 1000 kJ/m2in various regions of the Milky Way.
The stellar density is significantly larger towards the
center of the Galaxy and hence the threat to life on
most exoplanets, that reside in this region, are much
larger. Fig. 4 depicts the probability of having one life
threatening event within the last71 Gyr as a function
of the distance rof an exoplanet from the Galactic cen-
ter. Also shown is the fraction of the stellar population
of the Milky Way within this radius. A lethal GRBs,
for 100kJ/m2, would be more likely than 95% up to a
distance of 2 kpc from the Galactic center in which 25%
of the MW stars reside. When considering F= 10 and
1000kJ/m2we find 12 and 0.5 kpc respectively. In agree-
ment with the specific estimates for Earth, events around
the Solar distance from the Galactic could be significant
but rare and only at a distance >10kpc the threat from
GRBs becomes small. Therefore, life can be preserved
with certainty only in the outskirts of our Galaxy. Over-
all GRBs would destroy life on 40%, 90% and 5% of the
Milky Way exoplanets for F= 100,10 and 1000kJ/m2
respectively.
Finally, given the LGRBs luminosity function there are
practically no lethal events with a distance larger than
30kpc. This implies that nearby small satellite galaxies
with a large SFR, like the LMC, are too far to influence
life in the Milky Way. The fact that the local group
is such a low density region containing only two large
galaxies (Andromeda and the Milky Way) and with the
nearest cluster of galaxies, Virgo, at 16 Mpc, i.e. much
farther away than the typical inter-galactic distance of
1 Mpc, seems to provide the required environment to
preserve life on Earth. There is no threat from nearby
extragalactic bursts.
5. GRBS AND LIFE IN THE UNIVERSE
Before concluding we turn now to consider the condi-
tions elsewhere in the Universe. We already mentioned
that the local neighbourhood of the Milky Way has a
lower density of star forming dwarf galaxies making the
Milky Way a more friendly neighbourhood for life. We
can take our calculation one step further and compute
the effective volume in the Universe protected from GRB
explosions for life proliferation. This happens for galax-
ies that produce enough metals so that their metallicity
is at least 1/3 solar and their stellar disks are larger than
4 kpc. Using the mass-metallicity relation in Panter et
al. (2008, their Fig. 6) such galaxies must have stellar
masses larger than 1010M. This corresponds to a co-
moving abundance of 103galaxies per Mpc3(see Fig. 3
of Panter et al. (2007)). This is a factor 10 less than the
abundance of most common galaxies. Galaxies friendly
to harbor and preserve life will preferably inhabit low
density regions in voids and filaments of the cosmic web.
Turning to earlier epochs we may wonder whether life
7We use 1 Gyr as a round number to estimate life extinctions
that could have cause a massive extinction that terminated life and
thus made it unlikely that we find signs of life today.
could have existed in the earlier universe? We recall that
the age of the Universe at z=1 is about 6 Gyr so in
principle there was enough time for life to evolve even
before this redshift; here we note that the LGRB rate is
significantly larger in the past making the GRB threat
much more significant. Furthermore, galaxies at high-z
are smaller than current ones by a factor of 24 in radius
and as such have less room for isolated safe regions like
the outskirts of the Milky Way. We conclude that it is
impossible to harbor life at z > 0.5 as LGRBs will always
be sufficiently nearby to life-harboring planets and thus
cause life extinctions. It seems the survival of life, as
we know it on Earth, was only a recent phenomenon in
the history of the Universe caused by the growth of large
galaxies. Life forms that might have existed earlier or
that exist today in other regions of the Universe that are
much more susceptible to significant GRB bombardment
must have been much more resilient to radiation than life
on Earth.
6. CONCLUSIONS
We have used the latest determination of GRB rates
and luminosities to estimate the likelihood of them be-
ing the source of life extinction on Earth. Using also the
latest determinations of metallicity of stars in the Milky
Way and those of LGRB hosts, we concluded that the
likelihood of a GRB producing life extinction on Earth
is high. Taking the same lethal dose for extraterrestrial
life as for life on Earth we have found that GRBs and in
particular LGRBs are life threatening in a large part of
the Milky Way as well as in many other locations in the
Universe. The safest environments to preserve life are
the outskirts of large galaxies in low density regions (so
that these galaxies don’t have “dangerous” low metal-
licity dwarf satellites). It is curious to point out that
a cosmological constant is essential for the Universe to
grow large galaxies and also preserve low density regions
at late times z < 0.5.
TP thanks the Institut Lagrange de Paris for hospital-
ity while this work was being completed. This research
was supported by the ERC grant GRBs, by the ISF I-
Core center of excellence and by an Israel-China grant.
RJ thanks the Royal Society and the ICIC at Imperial
College for financial support and hospitality while this
work was being completed. We thank Chris Flynn and
Luca Casagrande for discussions on the age-metallicity
relation of stars in the Milky Way.
REFERENCES
Ando S., 2004, Journal Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics, 6, 7
Berger E., 2013, arXiv, arXiv:1311.2603
Bovy, J., & Rix, H.-W. 2013, ApJ, 779, 115
Bromberg, O., Nakar, E., & Piran, T. 2011, ApJ, 739, L55
Bromberg O., Nakar E., Piran T., Sari R., 2013, ApJ, 764, 179
Casagrande L., Sch¨onrich R., Asplund M., Cassisi S., Ram´ırez I.,
Mel´endez J., Bensby T., Feltzing S., 2011, A&A, 530, A138
Cohen E., Piran T., 1995, ApJ, 444, L25
Coward D. M. et al., 2012, MNRAS, 425, 2668
Cucchiara, A., Fumagalli, M., Rafelski, M., et al. 2014,
arXiv:1408.3578
Dar A., De Rujula A., 2001, astro, arXiv:astro-ph/0110162
Eichler D., Livio M., Piran T., Schramm D. N., 1989, Nature,
340, 126
Fruchter A. S., et al., 2006, Natur, 441, 463
Fynbo, J. P. U., Jakobsson, P., M¨oller, P., et al. 2003, A&A, 406,
L63
6
Guetta D., Piran T., 2005, A&A, 435, 421
Guetta D., Piran T., 2006, A&A, 453, 823
Guetta D., Stella L., 2009, A&A, 498, 329
Jimenez R., Piran T., 2013, ApJ, 773, 126
Levesque, E. M. 2014, PASP, 126, 1
McMillan, P. J. 2011, MNRAS, 414, 2446
Melott, A. L., Lieberman, B. S., Laird, C. M., et al. 2004,
International Journal of Astrobiology, 3, 55
Melott A. L., 2006, astro, arXiv:astro-ph/0604440
Nakar E., Gal-Yam A., Fox D. B., 2006, ApJ, 650, 281
Nakar E., 2007, PhR, 442, 166
Natarajan, P., Bloom, J. S., Sigurdsson, S., et al. 1997, New
Astronomy, 2, 471
Palmer, D. M., Barthelmy, S., Gehrels, N., et al. 2005, Nature,
434, 1107
Panter, B., Jimenez, R., Heavens, A. F., & Charlot, S. 2007,
MNRAS, 378, 1550
Panter B., Jimenez R., Heavens A. F., Charlot S., 2008, MNRAS,
391, 1117
Ruderman M. A., 1974, Sci, 184, 1079
Savaglio, S. 2013, EAS Publications Series, 61, 381
Scalo, J., & Wheeler, J. C. 2002, ApJ, 566, 723
Siellez K., Boer M., Gendre B., 2013
Soderberg, A. M., Kulkarni, S. R., Nakar, E., et al. 2006, Nature,
442, 1014
Stanek K. Z., et al., 2006, AcA, 56, 333
Svensson K. M., Levan A. J., Tanvir N. R., Fruchter A. S.,
Strolger L.-G., 2010, MNRAS, 405, 57
Thomas, B. C., Jackman, C. H., Melott, A. L., et al. 2005, ApJ,
622, L153
Thomas B. C., et al., 2005, ApJ, 634, 509
Thorsett S. E., 1995, ApJ, 444, L53
Wanderman D., Piran T., 2010, MNRAS, 406, 1944
Wanderman D., Piran T., 2014, arXiv, arXiv:1405.5878
Woosley S. E., Bloom J. S., 2006, ARA&A, 44, 507
... In this work we will show that this is highly likely, as events which could lead to life being completely eradicated are rare. To establish this we break from the usual study in the literature [2,3,4,5,6] of the possible paths to ending human life, and broaden the analysis to consider those astrophysical events which could rather remove all life by analysing the most resilient of species -tardigrades. ...
... Hence for an increase of 100˝C in the ocean temperatures, we would need a GRB within about 13.8 pc; again, this is an upper limit. The rate of occurrence of short GRBs per volume in the universe is 0.04 Gpc´3 yr´1, and long GRBs is 0.15 Gpc´3 yr´1 [6]. We will restrict these occurrences to within galactic discs of stars, therefore we divide this by the product of the comoving number density of galaxies (« 10 7 Gpc´3) and the volume occupied of the galactic disc (10 11 pc 3 ), we find that the rate is around 21 0´1 0 pc´3 Gyr´1, and hence the probability of a GRB within the a distance at which it would sterilise a planet, aligned such that one of the beams hit Closer to the galactic centre, the stellar density is higher, and thus the likelihood of encountering a nearby supernova increases. ...
Preprint
Much attention has been given in the literature to the effects of astrophysical events on human and land-based life. However, little has been discussed on the resilience of life itself. Here we instead explore the statistics of events that completely sterilise an Earth-like planet with planet radii in the range 0.51.5REarth0.5-1.5 R_{Earth} and temperatures of 300  K\sim 300 \; \text{K}, eradicating all forms of life. We consider the relative likelihood of complete global sterilisation events from three astrophysical sources -- supernovae, gamma-ray bursts, large asteroid impacts, and passing-by stars. To assess such probabilities we consider what cataclysmic event could lead to the annihilation of not just human life, but also extremophiles, through the boiling of all water in Earth's oceans. Surprisingly we find that although human life is somewhat fragile to nearby events, the resilience of Ecdysozoa such as \emph{Milnesium tardigradum} renders global sterilisation an unlikely event.
... Melott and Thomas (Melott and Thomas, 2011) reviewed a wide range of events and concluded that supernovae, short duration hard spectrum gamma--ray bursts (SHGRBs), and long duration soft spectrum gamma--ray bursts (LSGRBs) (respectively) are the most likely astrophysical events to pose serious threats to life on Earth over a few 100 million year time scales. Piran and Jimenez (2014) arrive at similar conclusions for LSGRBs. While the exact frequency and intensity is not yet known, recent evidence indicates that extreme solar events may be more damaging and more frequent than previously thought (Melott and Thomas, 2012;Thomas et al., 2013). ...
Preprint
Two atmospheric responses to simulated astrophysical ionizing radiation events significant to life on Earth are production of odd-nitrogen species, especially NO2, and subsequent depletion of stratospheric ozone. Ozone depletion increases incident short-wavelength ultraviolet radiation (UVB, 280-315 nm) and longer ( > 600 nm) wavelengths of photosynthetically available radiation (PAR, 400 -700 nm). On the other hand, the NO2 haze decreases atmospheric transmission in the long-wavelength UVA (315-400 nm) and short wavelength PAR. Here we use the results of previous simulations of incident spectral irradiance following an ionizing radiation event to predict changes in Terran productivity focusing on photosynthesis of marine phytoplankton. The prediction is based on a spectral model of photosynthetic response developed for the dominant genera in central regions of the ocean (Synechococcus and Prochlorococcus), and remote-sensing based observations of spectral water transparency, temperature, wind speed and mixed layer depth. Predicted productivity declined after a simulated ionizing event, but the effect integrated over the water column was small. For integrations taking into account the full depth range of PAR transmission (down to 0.1% of utilizable PAR), the decrease was at most 2-3% (depending on strain), with larger effects (5-7%) for integrations just to the depth of the surface mixed layer. The deeper integrations were most affected by the decreased utilizable PAR at depth due to the NO2 haze, whereas shallower integrations were most affected by the increased surface UV.
... However, the emergence of life may be sensitive to additional factors that were not included in our formulation, such as the existence of a moon to stabilize the climate on an Earth-like planet [40], the existence of asteroid belts [41], the orbital structure of the host planetary system (e.g. the existence of nearby giant planets or orbital eccentricity), the effects of a binary star companion [42], the location of the planetary system within the host galaxy [43], and the detailed properties of the host galaxy (e.g. galaxy type [15] or metallicity [44]), including the environmental effects of quasars, γ-ray bursts [45] or the hot gas in clusters of galaxies. These additional factors are highly uncertain and complicated to model and were ignored for simplicity in our analysis. ...
Preprint
Is life most likely to emerge at the present cosmic time near a star like the Sun? We address this question by calculating the relative formation probability per unit time of habitable Earth-like planets within a fixed comoving volume of the Universe, dP(t)/dt, starting from the first stars and continuing to the distant cosmic future. We conservatively restrict our attention to the context of "life as we know it" and the standard cosmological model, LCDM. We find that unless habitability around low mass stars is suppressed, life is most likely to exist near 0.1 solar-mass stars ten trillion years from now. Spectroscopic searches for biosignatures in the atmospheres of transiting Earth-mass planets around low mass stars will determine whether present-day life is indeed premature or typical from a cosmic perspective.
... 15 Life extinctions could also be caused by gamma-ray bursts. This could suppress the probability of very small and negative values of ρ v [62]. ...
Preprint
We investigate inflation in a multi-dimensional landscape with a hierarchy of energy scales, motivated by the string theory, where the energy scale of Kahler moduli is usually assumed to be much lower than that of complex structure moduli and dilaton field. We argue that in such a landscape, the dynamics of slow-roll inflation is governed by the low-energy potential, while the initial condition for inflation are determined by tunneling through high-energy barriers. We then use the scale factor cutoff measure to calculate the probability distribution for the number of inflationary e-folds and the amplitude of density fluctuations Q, assuming that the low-energy landscape is described by a random Gaussian potential with a correlation length much smaller than MplM_{\rm pl}. We find that the distribution for Q has a unique shape and a preferred domain, which depends on the parameters of the low-energy landscape. We discuss some observational implications of this distribution and the constraints it imposes on the landscape parameters.
... With a sizable sample of confirmed local events, better estimates on rates will follow, and thus more accurate predictions for LIGO/VIRGO detections. Additionally, it has already been estimated that GRBs, in general, leave only ~10% of galaxies hospitable for life and only after z<0.5 26,27 . A larger local population of sGRBs would substantially lower this rate and bring it closer to z=0. ...
Preprint
The recent coincident detection of gravitational waves (GW) from a binary neutron star merger with aLIGO/Virgo and short-lived gamma-ray emission with Fermi/GBM (called GW 170817) is a milestone for the establishment of multi-messenger astronomy. Merging neutron stars (NS) represent the standard scenario for short-duration (< 2 sec) gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) which are produced in a collimated, relativistically expanding jet with an opening angle of a few degrees and a bulk Lorentz factor of 300-1000. While the present aLIGO detection is consistent with predictions, the measured faint gamma-ray emission from GW 170817A, if associated to the merger event at a distance of 40 Mpc, is about 1000x less luminous than known short-duration GRBs (sGRBs). Hence, the presence of this sGRB in the local Universe is either a very rare event, or points to a dramatic ignorance of the emission properties of sGRBs outside their narrow jets. Here we show that the majority of previously detected faint sGRBs are local, at redshift smaller than 0.1, seen off-axis. In contrast, the brighter sGRBs are seen on-axis, and therefore out to larger distances, consistent with the measured redshift distribution. Examining the observer-frame parameter space of all Fermi/GBM sGRBs shows that the sGRB associated with GW 170817A is extreme in its combination of flux, spectral softness and temporal structure. We identify a group of similar GRBs, one of which has been associated to a bright galaxy at 75 Mpc. We incorporate off-axis emission in the estimate of the rates of sGRBs, and predict that the majority of future GW-detections of NS-NS mergers will be accompanied by faint gamma-ray emission, contrary to previous thinking. The much more frequent off-axis emission of sGRBs also implies a much higher deadly rate of gamma-rays for extraterrestrial life in the Universe.
... The general characteristics of the [2010] combined show primary energies from 100 MeV up to one TeV; Atri and Melott includes primary energies from 300 MeV up to one PeV (three orders of magnitude higher than the other tables). One PeV is far beyond the range necessary for SPE events, but does assure that the high energy tail will be included, which is important for hard, major GLE producing events as well as making possible the modeling of effects of nearby supernovae, gamma-ray bursts or other highenergy astrophysical events [Melott and Thomas, 2011;Piran and Jimenez, 2014]. As noted earlier, the two tables agree well in their region of overlap. ...
Preprint
Solar energetic particles ionize the atmosphere, leading to production of nitrogen oxides. It has been suggested that some such events are visible as layers of nitrate in ice cores, yielding archives of energetic, high fluence solar proton events (SPEs). There has been controversy, due to slowness of transport for these species down from the upper stratosphere; past numerical simulations based on an analytic calculation have shown very little ionization below the mid stratosphere. These simulations suffer from deficiencies: they consider only soft SPEs and narrow energy ranges; spectral fits are poorly chosen; with few exceptions secondary particles in air showers are ignored. Using improved simulations that follow development of the proton-induced air shower, we find consistency with recent experiments showing substantial excess ionization down to 5 km. We compute nitrate available from the 23 February 1956 SPE, which had a high fluence, hard spectrum, and well-resolved associated nitrate peak in a Greenland ice core. For the first time, we find this event can account for ice core data with timely (~ 2 months) transport downward between 46 km and the surface, thus indicating an archive of high fluence, hard spectrum SPE covering the last several millennia. We discuss interpretations of this result, as well as the lack of a clearly-defined nitrate spike associated with the soft-spectrum 3-4 August 1972 SPE. We suggest that hard-spectrum SPEs, especially in the 6 months of polar winter, are detectable in ice cores, and that more work needs to be done to investigate this.
Article
Supernovae (SNe) may have affected Earth's atmosphere during Late Quaternary (50 ka-present) time and be detectible in cosmogenic isotopic records. Supernova remnants (SNRs) at distances < 2.3 kpc provide a revised chronology of SNe and predicted hard photons received by Earth. Calculated fluences assume X-ray and γ isotropic emissions of 4 × 1049 erg within 2 y. Such are compatible with high energy observations of extragalactic SNe. Earlier values may be unrealistically small given current knowledge. The radiation events associated with nearby SNR are compared to dated records of terrestrial environmental changes. Eight SNe may have produced hard photon fluences of 1–6 × 1024 erg on the terrestrial disc; they were at distances ≤ .6 kpc. The Vela SN (.29 kpc) produced the highest fluence, at ∼13 ka. Its predicted environmental effects include abruptly elevated atmospheric 14C, reductions in upper atmosphere O3 and CH4, increased solar UVB at Earth's surface, possible cooling of the global climate, selective animal extinctions, increased wildfires, and Pt-group dust deposition. All are recorded in terrestrial records commencing at 12.76 ka and the start of the Younger Dryas cold period. Several thousand years earlier, the Hoinga SN (∼.35 kpc, ∼15 ka) may have caused a single year 30‰ Δ14C rise at 14.32 ka and the Older Dryas cool period. The 14C production dropped to its previous level by 14.23 ka but a subsequent increase occurred 14–13.9 ka and may record the arrival of associated cosmic radiation. Δ14C events at 9.126, 7.209, 2.764, 2.614, 1.175 ka, and .957 ka were apparently global and each have plausible SNe candidates of appropriate distances and ages. The nearest SNe appear to be associated with the largest isotope anomalies.
Article
Full-text available
Gamma-Ray Bursts(GRBs) are the most violent and energetic astrophysical phenomena, which I dare call “the Energy Monsters of the Universe”. Indeed, they show an enormous emitted isotropic energy ranging from ∼3 × 1046 erg (GRB 170817A) to ∼1055 erg (GRB 221009A) and a duration ranging from ≈milliseconds to ∼104 s. In this review—which I agreed to write as a scientist not directly involved in the field of GRBs—I will present the history of GRBs from the time of their discovery by chance until the new era whose beginning was marked by the detection of gravitational waves coming from the merger of two neutron stars. I will discuss the experimental results and their physical interpretation, which is still a source of heated debate within the scientific community. Due to the reasonable length of this review and especially given my limited knowledge, I do not claim to have exhausted the complicated topic of GRBs, but to have contributed in making this subject easy to read for non-experts, providing a critical contribution that is hopefully useful to the whole community.
Preprint
It is often presumed, that life evolves relatively fast on planets with clement conditions, at least in its basic forms, and that extended periods of habitability are subsequently needed for the evolution of higher life forms. Many planets are however expected to be only transiently habitable. On a large set of otherwise suitable planets life will therefore just not have the time to develop on its own to a complexity level as it did arise on earth with the cambrian explosion. The equivalent of a cambrian explosion may however have the chance to unfold on transiently habitable planets if it would be possible to fast forward evolution by 3-4 billion years (with respect to terrestrial timescales). We argue here, that this is indeed possible when seeding the candidate planet with the microbial lifeforms, bacteria and unicellular eukaryotes alike, characterizing earth before the cambrian explosion. An interstellar mission of this kind, denoted the `Genesis project', could be carried out by a relatively low-cost robotic microcraft equipped with a on-board gene laboratory for the in situ synthesis of the microbes. We review here our current understanding of the processes determining the timescales shaping the geo-evolution of an earth-like planet, the prospect of finding Genesis candidate planets and selected issues regarding the mission layout. Discussing the ethical aspects connected with a Genesis mission, which would be expressively not for human benefit, we will also touch the risk that a biosphere incompatibility may arise in the wake of an eventual manned exploration of a second earth.
Article
Full-text available
Miyake et al. (henceforth M12) recently reported, based on 14C data, an extreme cosmic event ca. AD775. Using a simple model, M12 claimed that the event was too strong to be caused by a solar flare within the standard theory. This implied a new paradigm of either an impossibly strong solar flare or a very strong cosmic ray event of unknown origin occurred ca. AD775. We show that the strength of the event was significantly overestimated by M12. Several subsequent works have attempted to find a possible exotic source for such an event, but they are all based on incorrect estimates by M12. We revisit this event with analysis of new datasets and consistent theoretical modelling. We verified the experimental result for the AD775 event using independent datasets including 10Be series and newly measured 14C annual data. We surveyed available historical chronicles for astronomical observations for the AD770s to identify potential sightings of aurorae or supernovae. We interpreted the 14C measurements using an appropriate carbon cycle model. We show that: (1) The reality of the AD775 event is confirmed by new measurements of 14C; (2) by using an inappropriate carbon cycle model, M12 strongly overestimated the event's strength; (3) The revised magnitude of the event is consistent with different independent datasets (14C, 10Be, 36Cl) and can be associated with a strong, but not inexplicably strong, SEP event (or a sequence of events), and provides the first evidence for an event of this magnitude (the fluence >30 MeV was about 4.5*10^{10} /cm2) in multiple datasets; (4) This is in agreement with increased auroral activity identified in historical chronicles. This point to the likely solar origin of the event, which is the greatest solar event on a multi-millennial time scale, placing a strong observational constraint on the theory of explosive energy releases on the Sun and cool stars.
Article
Full-text available
Atmospheric 14C production is a potential window into the energy of solar proton and other cosmic ray events. It was previously concluded that results from AD 774-775 are orders of magnitude greater than known solar events. We find that the coronal mass ejection energy based on 14C production is much smaller than claimed, but still substantially larger than the maximum historical Carrington Event of 1859. Such an event would cause great damage to modern technology, and in view of recent confirmation of superflares on solar-type stars, this issue merits attention.
Article
Full-text available
Over the past decade, long-duration γ-ray bursts (GRBs)-including the subclass of X-ray flashes (XRFs)-have been revealed to be a rare variety of type Ibc supernova. Although all these events result from the death of massive stars, the electromagnetic luminosities of GRBs and XRFs exceed those of ordinary type Ibc supernovae by many orders of magnitude. The essential physical process that causes a dying star to produce a GRB or XRF, and not just a supernova, is still unknown. Here we report radio and X-ray observations of XRF 060218 (associated with supernova SN 2006aj), the second-nearest GRB identified until now. We show that this event is a hundred times less energetic but ten times more common than cosmological GRBs. Moreover, it is distinguished from ordinary type Ibc supernovae by the presence of 1048 erg coupled to mildly relativistic ejecta, along with a central engine (an accretion-fed, rapidly rotating compact source) that produces X-rays for weeks after the explosion. This suggests that the production of relativistic ejecta is the key physical distinction between GRBs or XRFs and ordinary supernovae, while the nature of the central engine (black hole or magnetar) may distinguish typical bursts from low-luminosity, spherical events like XRF 060218.
Article
While there are numerous indications that gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) arise from the deaths of massive stars, the GRB rate does not follow the global cosmic star formation rate and, within their hosts, GRBs are more concentrated in regions of very high star formation. We explain both puzzles here. Using the publicly available VESPA database of the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) Data Release 7 spectra, we explore a multi-parameter space in galaxy properties such as stellar mass, metallicity, and dust to find the subset of galaxies that reproduces the GRB rate recently obtained by Wanderman & Piran. We find that only galaxies with present stellar masses below <1010M ☉ and low metallicity reproduce the observed GRB rate. This is consistent with direct observations of GRB hosts and provides an independent confirmation of the nature of GRB hosts. Because of the significantly larger sample of SDSS galaxies, we compute their correlation function and show that they are anti-biased with respect to dark matter: they are in filaments and voids. Using recent observations of massive stars in local dwarfs we show how the fact that GRB host galaxies are dwarfs can explain the observation that GRBs are more concentrated in regions of high star formation than are supernovae. Finally, we explain these results using new theoretical advances in the field of star formation.
Article
Gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) are traditionally divided into long and short according to their durations (2 s). It was generally believed that this reflects a different physical origin: collapsars (long) and non-collapsars (short). We have recently shown that the duration distribution of collapsars is flat, namely, independent of the duration, at short durations. Using this model for the distribution of Collapsars we determine the duration distribution of non-Collapsars and estimate the probability that a burst with a given duration (and hardness) is a Collapsar or not. We find that this probability depends strongly on the spectral window of the observing detector. While the commonly used limit of 2 s is conservative and suitable for BATSE bursts, 40% of Swift's bursts shorter than 2 s are Collapsars and the division 0.8 s is more suitable for Swift. We find that the duration overlap of the two populations is very large. On the one hand there is a non-negligible fraction of non-Collapsars longer than 10 s, while on the other hand even bursts shorter than 0.5 s in the Swift sample have a non-negligible probability to be Collapsars. Our results enable the construction of non-Collapsar samples while controlling the Collapsar contamination. They also highlight that no firm conclusions can be drawn based on a single burst and they have numerous implications concerning previous studies of non-Collapsar properties that were based on the current significantly contaminated Swift samples of localized short GRBs. Specifically (1) all known short bursts with z > 1 are most likely Collapsars; (2) the only short burst with a clear jet break is most likely a Collapsar, indicating our lack of knowledge concerning non-Collapsar beaming; and (3) the existence of non-Collapsars with durations up to 10 s imposes new challenges to non-Collapsar models.
Article
We present and apply rigorous dynamical modeling with which we infer unprecedented constraints on the stellar and dark matter mass distribution within our Milky Way (MW), based on large sets of phase-space data on individual stars. Specifically, we model the dynamics of 16,269 G-type dwarfs from SEGUE, which sample 5 kpc < RGC < 12 kpc and 0.3 kpc |Z| 3 kpc. We independently fit a parameterized MW potential and a three-integral, action-based distribution function (DF) to the phase-space data of 43 separate abundance-selected sub-populations (MAPs), accounting for the complex selection effects affecting the data. We robustly measure the total surface density within 1.1 kpc of the mid-plane to 5% over 4.5 kpc < RGC < 9 kpc. Using metal-poor MAPs with small radial scale lengths as dynamical tracers probes 4.5 kpc RGC 7 kpc, while MAPs with longer radial scale lengths sample 7 kpc RGC 9 kpc. We measure the mass-weighted Galactic disk scale length to be Rd = 2.15 ± 0.14 kpc, in agreement with the photometrically inferred spatial distribution of stellar mass. We thereby measure dynamically the mass of the Galactic stellar disk to unprecedented accuracy: M * = 4.6 ± 0.3 + 3.0 (R 0/ kpc – 8) × 1010M ☉ and a total local surface density of of which 38 ± 4 M ☉ pc–2 is contributed by stars and stellar remnants. By combining our surface density measurements with the terminal velocity curve, we find that the MW's disk is maximal in the sense that V c, disk/V c, total = 0.83 ± 0.04 at R = 2.2 Rd. We also constrain for the first time the radial profile of the dark halo at such small Galactocentric radii, finding that ρDM(r; ≈R 0)∝1/r α with α < 1.53 at 95% confidence. Our results show that action-based DF modeling of complex stellar data sets is now a feasible approach that will be fruitful for interpreting Gaia data.
Article
Low-luminosity gamma-ray bursts (ll-GRBs) constitute a subclass of GRBs that play a central role in the GRB-supernova connection. While ll-GRBs differ from typical long GRBs (LGRBs) in many aspects, they also share some common features. Therefore, the question whether the gamma-ray emission of ll-GRBs and LGRBs has a common origin is of great interest. Here we address this question by testing whether ll-GRBs, like LGRBs according to the Collapsar model, can be generated by relativistic jets that punch holes in the envelopes of their progenitor stars. The Collapsar model predicts that the durations of most observed bursts will be comparable to, or longer than, the time it takes the jets to break out of the star. We calculate the jet breakout times of ll-GRBs and compare them to the observed durations. We find that there is a significant excess of ll-GRBs with durations that are much shorter than the jet breakout time and that these are inconsistent with the Collapsar model. We conclude that the processes that dominate the gamma-ray emission of ll-GRBs and of LGRBs are most likely fundamentally different.
Article
It is pointed out here that neutron-star collisions should synthesize neutron-rich heavy elements, thought to be formed by rapid neutron capture (the r-process). Furthermore, these collisions should produce neutrino bursts and resultant bursts of gamma rays; the latter should comprise a subclass of observable gamma-ray bursts. It is argued that observed r-process abundances and gamma-ray burst rates predict rates for these collisions that are both significant and consistent with other estimates.
Article
Due to their extreme luminosities, gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) can be detected in hostile regions of galaxies, nearby and at very high redshift, making them important cosmological probes. The investigation of galaxies hosting long-duration GRBs (whose progenitor is a massive star) demonstrated their connection to star formation. Still, the link to the total galaxy population is controversial, mainly because of the small-number statistics: ~ 1,100 are the GRBs detected so far, ~ 280 those with measured redshift, and ~ 70 the hosts studied in detail. These are typically low-redshift (z < 1.5), low luminosity, metal poor, and star-forming galaxes. On the other hand, at 1.5< z <4, massive, metal rich and dusty, interacting galaxies are not uncommon. The most distant population (z > 4) is poorly explored, but the deep limits reached point towards very small and star-forming objects, similar to the low-z population. This `back to the future' behavior is a natural consequence of the connection of long GRBs to star formation in young regions of the universe.
Article
If the optical transient to gamma-ray burst (GRB) 970508 is indeed associated with the 8 May burst and is connected with the z = 0.835 absorption system reported by Metzger et al. (1997) [Nature, 387, 879], then either the GRB originated from an intrinsically very faint galaxy (L ≲ 0.01L∗) or it occurred at a large distance from a host galaxy (≳25 h70-1kpc); a large offset of GRBs from galaxies would tend to favour the merging neutron star-neutron star (NS-NS) model (Mészáros & Rees, 1993 [ApJ, 405, 278]; Narayan et al., 1997 [ApJL, 395, 83]). Here we show that the properties of a suspected host galaxy, particularly its intrinsic brightness and comoving distance from the transient, can be constrained indirectly using the Mg II absorption features detected in the spectrum of the optical transient (Metzger et al., 1997 [IAUC, 6676]) by examining the galaxies in the vicinity of the optical transient from ground-based and Hubble Space Telescope (HST) images. This is an independent test of the brightness of GRB host galaxies irrespective of distances implied from logN-logP distributions. The spectral lines most likely arise from absorption by very underluminous galaxies; in which case the optical transient has revealed the presence of a population of intermediate-redshift dwarf galaxies.