Article

ORIENT ACADEMIC FORUM Study on the Construction of Security Early Warning Model for Coal Industry Investment and Financial Based on Logistic Model

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Abstract

Coal industry plays a more important role in the local economic development. Recently, coal enterprises in China have many security problems in the process of investing and financing. So strengthening China coal energy investment and financial security construction and forewarning the security statement, then taking the relevant countermeasures to control risk, ensuring well-balanced working of coal energy market and demand of power have positive theoretical and practical meanings. This paper mainly studies the coal industry investment and financial risks early warning research. We study the investment and finance risks sources in three aspects, including the financing situation of the coal industry, investment conditions and the macroeconomic environment. We picking up three main component factors as independent variables to construct Logistic Model to accurately predict investment and financial risks in the coal industry and accuracy are 71.4%. Finally the relevant countermeasures are proposed. 1 Background Coal energy has a long history of exploitation and use in China, Because of relatively rich reserve and china's energy structure, Coal will occupy the main position in the energy production and consumption in china. At present there Contains considerable security risks in the process of financing and investment for China's coal enterprises, there are a large funding gap in the coal corporate finance and investment, As a result of the development of financial markets, financial products and investment products are diversifying, while the whole world economic is uncertainty, the energy sector financial risks have increased quickly, so strengthening China coal energy investment and financial risks construction and forewarning the risk state, then taking the relevant countermeasures to control risk, ensuring well-balanced working of coal energy market and demand of power have positive theoretical and practical meanings.

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