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MARINE ECONOMIC POTENTIAL ASSESSMENT FOR RUSSIAN ARCTIC COASTAL REGIONS

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Abstract

Methodology of analysis of the socio-economic situation in the Arctic coastal regions using the indicator system of the marine economic potential assessment is presented. On the basis of the methodology, the comparative assessment of the socio-economic condition of the Arctic coastal regions of the Russian Federation on 01.01.2006 and 01.01.2011 is made. The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Community's Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013) under Grant Agreement No. 287844 for the project "Towards COast to COastNETworks of marine protected areas (from the shore to the high and deep sea), coupled with sea-based wind energy potential" (COCONET).
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In paper we discussed the results of studies on the scientific support for the strategic planning of Northern sea route development as a transport corridor between Europe and South-East Asia in the conditions of climate changes in the Arctic. Methodical basis are game theory, mathematical modeling of climate change, risk management. For high-latitudes we took into account the iceberg risks. For preliminary discussion and data exchange we use https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Valery_Abramov2/?ev=hdr_xprf. Research carried out with the financial support of the Ministry of education and science of Russia in the framework of the state budget order 2014/166.
Article
For elaboration of strategy and spatial planning of sustainable coastal regions development it’s very important to know a real potential of development of the region. As parameter, which is comprehensively characterized marine economic, political and military power of the coastal region, it is possible to use the marine economy potential with comprehensive estimations of socio-economic, political, environment and military profits (damages) from coastal planning decisions. Some results, including the European and Russian coastal regions are presented.
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