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Proceedings of SHEE 2009, 11 – 12 Dec’09, Engineering Wing, DDE, Annamalai University
EY03
STUDY ON ENERGY CRISIS AND THE FUTURE OF FOSSIL
FUELS
V. Manieniyan1, M.Thambidurai2 and R.Selvakumar3
1Lecturer in Mechanical Engg, Directorate of Distance Education,
Annamalai University,
2Lecturer in Mechanical Engg, Directorate of Distance Education,
Annamalai University,
3Senior Lecturer in Mechanical Engg, Directorate of Distance Education,
Annamalai University, Annamalainagar – 608 002, Email:
manieniyan_au@yahoo.co.in
ABSTRACT
The steady increase in energy consumption coupled with environmental
pollution has promoted research activities in alternative and renewable energy
fuels. Many countries in the world are continuously developing materials and
methods for effectively utilizing the alternative fuel resources available in their
region. Alternative fuels, also known as non-conventional or advanced fuels, are
any materials or substances that can be used as fuels, other than conventional
fuels. Conventional fuels include: fossil fuels (petroleum (oil), coal, propane, and
natural gas), and nuclear materials such as uranium. Some well known
alternative fuels include biodiesel, bio alcohol (methanol, ethanol), chemically
stored electricity (batteries and fuel cells), hydrogen, non-fossil methane, non-
fossil natural gas, vegetable oil and other biomass sources.
INTRODUCTION
The world is gradually marching towards a severe energy crisis, what with
an ever-increasing demand of energy overstepping its supply. We have always
known that the energy we use every day is not unlimited, yet we take it for
granted. Oil, gas, power, even water has limited availability. Yet, we have not
taken enough precautions to deal with a possible energy crisis. When I say ‘we’, I
am not referring to the governments but to all of us, the common people.
Oil and gas have already become too expensive, and with each passing day, they
are moving towards being extinct. Some ignorant people think that energy crisis is
a myth. They fail to see the big picture. There have been three major energy crises
so far – the 1973 oil crisis, the 1979 energy crisis, and the 1990 oil-price hike,
apart from several regional crisis. Prices have been rapidly increasing for the last
five years, thanks to the ever-increasing demand and the increasing shortage of
energy resources.
CAUSES OF ENERGY CRISIS
Market failure is possible when monopoly manipulation of markets
occurs. A crisis can develop due to industrial actions like union organized strikes
and government embargoes. The cause may be over-consumption, aging
infrastructure, choke point disruption or bottlenecks at oil refineries and port
facilities that restrict fuel supply. An emergency may emerge during unusually
cold winters due to increased consumption of energy. Pipeline failures and other
accidents may cause minor interruptions to energy supplies. A crisis could
possibly emerge after infrastructure damage from severe weather. Attacks by
terrorists or militia on important infrastructure are a possible problem for energy
Proceedings of SHEE 2009, 11 – 12 Dec’09, Engineering Wing, DDE, Annamalai University
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consumers, with a successful strike on a Middle East facility potentially causing
global shortages. Political events, for example, when governments change due to
regime change, monarchy collapse, military occupation, and coup may disrupt oil
and gas production and create shortages.
ENVIRONMENTAL & SOCIAL PROBLEMS
When oil and coal is burnt they emit huge amounts of carbon dioxide and
other harmful gases, which have a negative effect on the environment, like sulfur
dioxide. Carbon dioxide traps in the sunlight as it only lets light in, it does not
allow it to leave the atmosphere which causes temperatures to rise. If temperatures
are too hot it is terrible for children and elderly people who find it hard to cope
with hot conditions. To stop the green house effect we must find alternative
transport. Did you know that for every liter of petrol used 3 kilograms of carbon
dioxide is released into the air. If you multiply that that by the average amount of
petrol a car uses in a lifetime and multiply that by the number of cars that have
been on the streets you have a lot of Carbon dioxide in the air.(Fig 1)
Fig 1: Carbon-di-oxide emission
Coal and Oil also let off sulfur dioxide which mixes with the moisture and clouds
in the air and forms sulfuric acid. The sulfuric acid is known as acid rain as when
it falls it causes forests, vegetation and crops to die, which upsets the equilibrium
of many ecosystems. Acid rain occurs in Australia but is not as bad as in Europe
where some of the most beautiful forests in the world are dying as a result of acid
rain. With these effects in mind and the fact that fossil fuels are predicted to run
out within the next 40-50 years it is essential that we find alternative and
renewable energy sources. I will now give you some information about the three
main renewable resources which may be the answer to our energy crisis.
FACTORS INCREASING DEMAND FOR ALTERNATIVE FUELS
In 2007, there were 1.8 million alternative fuel vehicles sold in the United States,
indicating an increasing popularity of alternative fuels. There is growing
perceived economic and political need for the development of alternative fuel
sources. This is due to general environmental, economic, and geopolitical
concerns of sustainability.
The major environmental concern, according to an IPCC report, is that
"Most of the observed increase in globally averaged temperatures since the mid-
20th century is due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas
concentrations". Since burning fossil fuels is known to increase greenhouse gas
concentrations in the atmosphere, they are a likely contributor to global warming.
Other concerns which have fueled demand revolve around the concept of peak oil,
which predicts rising fuel costs as production rates of petroleum enter a terminal
decline. According to the Hubbert peak theory, when the production levels peak,
Proceedings of SHEE 2009, 11 – 12 Dec’09, Engineering Wing, DDE, Annamalai University
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demand for oil will exceed supply and without proper mitigation this gap will
continue to grow as production drops, which could cause a major energy crisis.
Lastly, the majority of the known petroleum reserves are located in the Middle
East. There is general concern that worldwide fuel shortages could intensify the
unrest that exists in the region, leading to further conflict and war. In an attempt to
increase demand for alternative fuels in the US, the IRS began allowing taxpayers
to claim a special tax credit for using alternative fuels, known as the Alternative
Fuel Vehicle Refueling Property Credit. The definition used for alternative fuel
under this credit is: Any fuel containing at least 85 percent of one or more of
ethanol, natural gas, compressed natural gas, liquefied natural gas, liquefied
petroleum gas, or hydrogen; or any mixture which consists of two or more of
biodiesel, diesel fuel, or kerosene, and at least 20% of which consists of biodiesel.
The production of alternative fuels can have widespread effects. For example, the
production of corn-based ethanol has created an increased demand for the feed
stock, causing rising prices in almost everything made from corn. However, in a
competitive free market, an increased supply of ethanol reduces the demand for
conventional fuels, and thus lowers fuel prices. The ethanol industry enables
agricultural surpluses to be used to mitigate shortages. A more rapid decline of
peak fossil fuels was previously anticipated in the fig 2 below, which force us to
move towards the alternative for fossil fuels.
Fig 2: Peak fossil fuels
ALTERNATIVE FOSSIL FUELS
Hydrogen is a colorless, odorless gas that accounts for 75% of the entire
universe's mass. Hydrogen is found on Earth only in combination with other
elements such as oxygen, carbon, and nitrogen. To use hydrogen, it must be
separated from these other elements, then it can be used for a variety of things.
The most inspiring and exciting use for this element would be for use as a fuel.
Changing to hydrogen is a formidable task that many individuals and companies
will be afraid to make. Even though this is a huge undertaking to switch totally
from gas to hydrogen, there are things that are out now that will make the switch
easier. One of them is a conversion kit wich converts your gas car to a hydrogen.
There also a few fueling stations scattered across California today. Also BMW has
taken major interest in the possibility and already has a prototype hydrogen
powered car. Although the change will be tough some of the benefits will be great.
For example it is much more environmentally friendly to burn hydrogen than to
burn gasoline. This will cut down on pollution as well as health problems that
asthmatic people face from living near polluted areas. Another advantage to
switching to hydrogen would be the availability of the resource. Hydrogen makes
up 70% of the earth’s mass, most of it in water, and is very easy collect. Once the
water is collected, it is a simple matter of running electricity through it to separate
Proceedings of SHEE 2009, 11 – 12 Dec’09, Engineering Wing, DDE, Annamalai University
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the elements. One last major advantage is the fact that it would be cheaper to
refine than gasoline. This means that it would be cheaper for the consumer. With
gas prices so high, a new and cheap fuel is in high demand.
Ethanol is a clear liquid with an agreeable odor that can be made from
natural products and is diluted with gasoline to provide a cleaner, more natural
fuel source. It is a renewable fuel because it's made from plants. About 30% of all
gasoline consumed the U.S. is blended with ethanol. There are three major types
of ethanol: E95, E85, and E10. E95 is pure ethanol before it is denatured. Most
vehicles cannot use this, so it must be mixed with gasoline first. E85 is the leading
alternative fuel source in the U.S. It's a mixture of 85% ethanol and 15% gasoline.
E10 is a combination of 10% ethanol and 90% gasoline and is the most common
form currently used. Ethanol has both economical and environmental benefits. It
moderates the price of gasoline to consumers because it takes some of the work
away from the petroleum refining industry. It also creates many jobs because there
are many steps in producing it. For example, many farmers are needed to grow the
crops, and taxi drivers use the fuel to run their taxis. Ethanol also improves rural
development because farmers must grow crops to make the fuel. Also, because
ethanol is a natural product, it reduces air pollution so fewer toxins are released
into the air. Therefore, smog problems in many major cities can be eliminated.
Although ethanol can form explosive vapors in fuel tanks, it is safer than gasoline
because its slow evaporation speed keeps alcohol concentration low and therefore
non-explosive.
Methanol, also known as wood alcohol, is an alternative fuel that can be
produced from any carbon-based source. Examples of carbon-based sources are:
natural gas, coal, wood wastes, and seaweed. Methanol is not commonly used
because automakers are no longer making vehicles that run on methanol. Global
methanol production capacity is about 12 billion gallons per year. Using methanol
as an alternative fuel source is good because it produces lower emissions, yields
higher performance, and has a lower risk of flammability than gasoline. It can also
be manufactured from a wide variety of substances since many things are carbon-
based. Because the use of methanol creates better performance and acceleration, it
is used as the fuel for Indy race cars, monster trucks, and model vehicles.
Natural gas is mostly methane, but other hydrocarbons do exist. These
hydrocarbons include pentane, ethane, propane, and butane with the compliment
of some other trace elements. The hydrocarbons are what give natural gas its high
combustion property and methane the clean burning property. When natural gas is
refined to a gaseous state, the hydrocarbons and impurities are removed and
methane is essentially burned. However, when natural gas is used as a liquid to
fuel engines, the hydrocarbons are needed for a good combustion to occur. Thus,
natural gas has become an important fuel source when used both ways. Natural
gas' largest advantage is it chemical composition; it is basically methane (CH4).
Because methane only has one carbon in its composition, it produces very low
carbon emissions. With the other hydrocarbons only have the number of carbon
molecules ranging from 1-4, when they burn; the same holds true. In addition, the
blue flame that results from burning the flame is from the molecules completing a
perfect combustion, because of their chemical structure. Natural gas' second
largest advantage is conveniency. The gas is pumped directly into the consumer
Proceedings of SHEE 2009, 11 – 12 Dec’09, Engineering Wing, DDE, Annamalai University
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home with a network that is as efficient as delivering electricity. This network
cannot be easily damaged by weather or conditions. Secondly, natural gas is in
abundance in the US, thus the need to import from foreign countries is minimal.
Because of this abundance, natural gas is cheaper than oil to burn.
CONCLUSION
We are currently in an energy crisis. Fossil fuels are the lifeblood of our
society and for many others around the world. Our supply has a finite end, which
is why we are willing to go to war for it and make friends with those we really
hate. Our foreign aid has a legitimate purpose. Even with our newfound friends,
fossil fuels will run out and the use of them will soon take the lives of many
people. These are important reasons to find other means of getting the energy we
need to continue our society as we know it. Alternative forms of energy are
currently under development even though most of them are only in their initial
stages. With increased government and public support, we may be able to speed
up the development of these technologies and help free ourselves from the usage
of fossil fuels. Oil companies will have to be dealt with because with the future
shortages of fossil fuels, they would stand to reap enormous profits. To prevent
this, oil and other energy resource providing companies should be encouraged to
develop these technologies for the sake of ethics if not for long-term profit gains
when all fossil fuel resources are exhausted
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