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Can the European Union’s Market Liberalism Ensure Energy Security in a Time of ‘Economic Nationalism’?

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Abstract

The EU’s higher profile in energy policy matters is arguably due to the increased importance of market liberalisation as a policy objective over the last twenty years. Given the EU’s own competences in the internal market and competition policy, the European Commission has accordingly been able to play a more active role in energy policy-making. Moreover it has been active in extending this approach to its energy relations with its neighbours as manifest in the Energy Charter Treaty, the European Energy Community Treaty and bilateral agreements with third countries. The European Commission has been keen to assert the centrality of market liberalisation to its future energy policy and energy diplomacy, notwithstanding the changes that have taken place in energy markets. Given that there appears to be an increased interest in ‘national champions’ amongst both energy exporting countries and at least some EU member states, how far can the EU sustain a strategy of market liberalisation? The article will place current policy dilemmas (and the EU’s role) in the context of a shifting energy policy agenda – essentially from a supply security ‘economic nationalism’ to market liberalism and back again. It then considers how EU policy is adapting to these circumstances and assesses the effectiveness of this response.
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Can the European Union’s Market
Liberalism Ensure Energy Security in
a Time of ‘Economic Nationalism’?
Francis McGowan
Abstract
The EU’s higher profile in energy policy matters is arguably due to the increased importance of market
liberalisation as a policy objective over the last twenty years. Given the EU’s own competences in the internal
market and competition policy, the European Commission has accordingly been able to play a more active
role in energy policy-making. Moreover it has been active in extending this approach to its energy relations
with its neighbours as manifest in the Energy Charter Treaty, the European Energy Community Treaty and
bilateral agreements with third countries. The European Commission has been keen to assert the centrality
of market liberalisation to its future energy policy and energy diplomacy, notwithstanding the changes that
have taken place in energy markets. Given that there appears to be an increased interest in ‘national
champions’ amongst both energy exporting countries and at least some EU member states, how far can the
EU sustain a strategy of market liberalisation? The article will place current policy dilemmas (and the EU’s
role) in the context of a shifting energy policy agenda essentially from a supply security ‘economic
nationalism’ to market liberalism and back again. It then considers how EU policy is adapting to these
circumstances and assesses the effectiveness of this response.
THIS ARTICLE EXPLORES ONE OF THE CENTRAL DILEMMAS FACING THE EUROPEAN UNION
(EU) as it develops a common energy policy: how far can a market-led approach to energy
deliver security of supply at a time when concerns over sovereignty and policies of
‘economic nationalism’ appear to be in the ascendant? The dilemma is manifest externally
and internally. Attempts to pursue an energy diplomacy based on opening up access to
suppliers' markets and liberalising investment conditions have had mixed results as
governments and firms in producing countries have sought to maintain or extend control
over their energy assets. Inside the EU, some member states remain resistant to the idea of a
full liberalisation of market conditions, apparently preferring to support their ‘national
champions’. There is a dynamic between the internal and external aspects of both positions.
For proponents of full liberalisation, greater access to the markets of exporting countries is
both a logical extension of the internal market and a pre-requisite for its full achievement.
Defenders of the status quo argue that maintaining powerful integrated incumbents
provides, amongst other things, the best basis for negotiations with third countries and for
ensuring secure supply.
In each respect, supporters of, and sceptics towards, full liberalisation invoke ‘energy
security’ to justify their stance. This reappearance of security as an energy policy priority has
been a relatively recent phenomenon. As increasing global demand has pushed up prices
The author is grateful to comments from Anke Schmidt-Felzmann, Alasdair Young and two referees on earlier
drafts. The usual disclaimer applies.
ISSN 1815-347X online McGowan, F. (2008). ‘Can the European Union’s Market Liberalism Ensure Energy
Security in a Time of “Economic Nationalism”’, Journal of Contemporary European Research, Vol. 4, No. 2, pp.
90-106.
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and short term disruptions have raised questions about the reliability and motivations of
suppliers, policy-makers in the EU and elsewhere are once again worrying about the
availability of energy resources in the short, medium and longer terms. These concerns echo
the debates of the 1970s when disruption to energy supplies was last a high profile policy
issue. While by no means a carbon copy of circumstances in the 1970s, the current market
and political conditions have rendered energy salient in a way not seen since that decade. It
is in this context that the European Union launched a new attempt to develop an ‘Energy
Policy for Europe’ in early 2007 (European Commission 2007a; European Council 2007a). This
initiative has been equally concerned with ‘climate change’ as another major, possibly
existential, challenge for energy policy, but it is ‘energy security’ that has given the policy
debate a particular immediacy and profile.
1
As part of that policy, the Commission has stressed and the Council has endorsed the central
importance of market liberalisation as a means to the end of ensuring supply security.
2
Moreover it has sought to project the principle of open markets beyond its borders by
negotiating agreements with neighbours and other countries involved in the production
and transmission of energy for consumption in the Union. The emphasis is not surprising,
given the prevailing orthodoxy of economic liberalism in energy policy in recent years.
However, it is unclear how well the EU’s advocacy of market liberalisation in its energy policy
and energy diplomacy sits with the ‘new’ energy policy environment. The revival of energy
security has been accompanied by a concern with sovereignty on energy matters in both
producing and consuming countries.
There appears to be an increased interest in ‘national champions’ amongst both energy
exporting and consuming countries, the latter including a number of EU member states.
Such a shift in energy policy arguably challenges the EU's emphasis on liberalisation and with
it the strategy adopted by the EU in its external energy relations. While recent developments
suggest that the European Commission wants to adopt a tougher stance in negotiations
with third countries, it remains to be seen whether this policy can be sustained given internal
differences on the direction of policy to pursue and the degree to which the EU is united in
its dealings with energy exporters.
The article begins by placing current developments in the context of changes in the overall
pattern of energy policy development in recent decades, in particular the rise of liberalisation
as a means and, according to some, an end of energy policy. It then turns to the evolution of
EU energy policy, reviewing both the overall development of policy and the external
dimension. The article highlights the growing importance of market liberalisation as a
principle of both internal energy policy making and the conduct of energy diplomacy, noting
how this principle is seen as a way of ensuring greater supply security. It then reviews how
far this approach can be pursued given recent changes in the broader energy policy context
– principally the revival of concern with energy security and of economic nationalism. It also
considers the implications of these changes for the EU's internal and external energy policies.
Given that the issues under discussion are ongoing, any conclusion is tentative. Nonetheless,
it appears that, while there is a clear logic between the internal and external aspects of EU
energy policy, the pursuit of that logic is likely to remain compromised by the traditional
obstacle to the development of collective energy policy responses, namely, national
sovereignty. In both supplier countries and a number of member states, concerns about
sovereignty appear likely to prevail over the full liberalisation of investment and market
1
While there is no doubting the seriousness of the climate change issue and there are clearly trade-offs
between addressing this issue, pursuing market liberalisation and ensuring energy security, this article will
focus on the interaction between the latter two objectives.
2
Supply security has a variety of meanings in energy policy discussions. It can refer to short term
availabilities affected by system stability and usually regarded as a function of infrastructure investment,
operation and protection. Another short term manifestation relates to the risk of supply disruptions which is
addressed by maintaining emergency stocks of fuels. A longer term dimension of supply security is that of
dependency upon external supplies and suppliers of energy.
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conditions. Moreover, the EU’s ability to assert the latter objectives will depend on both the
specific nature of its relationship with each partner and the coherence of its own position.
In analysing this issue, the article focuses on the evolution of EU energy policy both in the
last few years and over the longer run, highlighting the way in which questions of market
liberalisation have come to influence both the overall orientation of EU energy policy and its
attempts at energy diplomacy. The logic of market liberalisation – understood as attempts to
encourage competition and market access on the one hand and to limit the scope for unfair
discrimination or subsidies and the abuse of market power on the other – has been pursued
in EU energy policy for at least twenty years. The way in which such logic applies varies from
sector to sector, but the Commission’s promotion of it has been comprehensive and has
intensified over time.
It should also be noted that the issues discussed in this paper are more controversial within
the context of some sectors than in others. This reflects market structures and the degree of
EU dependence on different sources of energy. Of particular importance is natural gas, the
characteristics of which highlight two of the most sensitive issues in energy policy; (1) a
commodity which is largely produced outside the EU and where access to upstream
activities is generally limited, and (2) an energy resource which has been traditionally
transmitted, distributed and supplied on a monopolistic and integrated basis, a structure
which the EU is seeking to liberalise. In its analysis of recent developments, the article focuses
primarily on this sector.
3
Finally, a word about terminology; as already stated above, this article focuses on the process
of market liberalisation in the energy sector and the limits to that process. In this regard the
article deals with a variety of activities mainly on the part of governments designed to
maintain or extend sovereignty over particular assets (whether resources or firms). These
actions have been commonly referred to as instances of ‘economic nationalism’, ‘resource
nationalism’ or ‘energy nationalism’ and the terms have become a feature of recent media
reporting and speeches by politicians and officials in recent years. As such they could be
considered to be inappropriate for academic discourse. Yet the concept of economic
nationalism has a long legacy in academic debate as well as in wider usage (Johnson 1967;
Burnell 1986; Levi-Faur 1997). Academically the term has been deployed (positively and
negatively) to refer to state activism in defence of the national interest.
4
For the purposes of
this article we use these phrases to refer to such practices in order to capture the ways in
which governments have reacted against liberalisation, or have attempted to contain its
scope and not to cast judgement on whether such measures are economically sound.
The Changing Debate on Energy Policy: Shifting Priorities Between Markets and
Sovereignty
The context in which EU energy policy has developed is shaped by broader debates on
energy policy itself. The priorities of energy policy, whether officially defined or informally
pursued, have embraced a wide variety of concerns over the years. Considerations of
inflation control, employment protection, balance of payments management, regional
development, technological innovation and poverty alleviation have all informed national
policies towards the energy sector at different times. However, the central objective of
energy policy has traditionally been that of ensuring adequate supplies of energy resources.
In the last two decades this objective has been accompanied by increased attention to
improving the functioning of energy markets, mainly through liberalisation and privatisation,
3
While gas is clearly the main focus of policy and of this paper, the issue of upstream investment access also
applies to the oil sector. The issue of network ownership is also relevant in the electricity sector.
4
In recent years some academics, critical of the conventional meaning of economic nationalism, have
sought to reappropriate the term to refer to a much wider range of economic policies which could be
interpreted as ‘nationalist’ see the collection edited by Helleiner and Pickel
(2005). Ironically they did so
more or less at the same time as the term (in its older sense) re-emerged into public discourse.
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and addressing the environmental consequences of energy production and consumption
(McGowan 1990).
The relative importance of supply security, market liberalisation and environmental
protection has shifted over time. For much of the post war period, particularly after the oil
shocks of the 1970s, energy policy tended to prioritise supply security and was largely
government-led, embracing long range planning and investment and public ownership and
intervention. At the heart of this policy was a concern to maintain a high degree of national
sovereignty over the energy sectors. In the 1980s and 1990s, as energy supplies appeared
abundant and prices fell substantially, policy became less concerned with supply issues and
gave greater emphasis to market forces and private initiative. This shift was as much a
reflection of broader ideological changes (Lawson 1982) as it was a response to energy
market conditions, but it had important consequences for the way in which energy
investment and policy decisions were taken. As energy came to be regarded as ‘just another
commodity’ and amenable to the logic of market forces, a more short-term perspective
prevailed at the expense of long-term considerations of energy availability.
In the last few years, however, the context has changed again with the re-emergence of
concerns about the security of energy supply. Rising energy prices, particularly since 2006,
have reflected a rapidly changing supply-demand balance. Consumption has increased
rapidly on the back of continued growth within the industrialized world and rapid growth in
the emerging economies, particularly China and India. The likelihood of this higher demand
being sustained over the longer term has focused attention upon the evolution of the supply
side, particularly the availability of energy. For some the location of available resources is also
an important issue given the apparent increasing concentration of reserves in a diminishing
cluster of countries and regions. These concerns with supply security have given energy
policy a more strategic, even geopolitical, twist.
5
Despite these changes, a number of policy
makers and advisers remain committed to energy market liberalisation as the key not only to
a competitive economy overall, but also to improving supply security.
6
EU Energy Policy: From Supply Security to Market Liberalisation
The commitment to a market based energy policy appears to be particularly strong within
the European Union. The European Commission and, for the most part, EU member states
maintain the stance that open energy markets are a precondition for the pursuit of other
energy policy objectives. Whether or not this is the case, it does appear that market
liberalisation has been important in developing EU level policies for the energy sector.
Throughout the history of the EU there have been a number of attempts to develop a
‘Common Energy Policy’ (CEP). For example, the original European Coal and Steel
Community (ECSC) and Euratom treaties were designed, amongst other things, to foster a
cooperative approach to the handling of the traditional backbone of energy supply (coal)
and the ‘fuel of the future’ (nuclear power). As it transpired, neither was particularly effective
and attempts within the European Economic Community (EEC) to coordinate a CEP were
largely inconclusive. While the 1970s energy crises led to a number of attempts to relaunch
such a policy, the debates amongst member states tended to expose their differences rather
than to foster closer cooperation and for many years, the CEP amounted to relatively little.
That is not to say that there were no achievements in the area of energy policy; numerous
Council meetings secured agreement on such issues as financial programmes to foster new
energy technologies, restrictions on the use of oil and gas in power production,
requirements on the storage of oil stocks for emergencies, dialogues with third countries on
energy matters and a regular set of indicative ‘objectives’ for energy policy. However, it could
5
The growing importance of the security dimension in energy policy is covered by Yergin (2006) and
Monaghan (2006).
6
Roller et al. (2007) offer an economic analysis of these trade-offs. Helm (2007) highlights how the EU needs
to take into account higher energy prices in reconciling other energy policy objectives.
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not be argued that these measures superseded or constrained national energy policies to
any great extent (SPRU-RIIA 1989).
The Community’s failure to act collectively in this area was perhaps not surprising given the
centrality of energy to national sovereignty in that period, and given the fact that both
economic integration and the conduct of external relations were at a relatively early stage of
development. From the 1980s onwards, however, the Commission became more effective at
proposing common initiatives and the EU’s member states became more willing to agree
joint measures. These measures tended to be framed on the basis of other policy objectives,
reflecting the way in which national energy debates had also been redefined in that period.
The more general shift towards economic liberalism facilitated the involvement of the EU
given the centrality of such principles in European integration, particularly in the wake of the
Single Market initiative in the mid 1980s.
7
Energy was not part of the original package
proposed in the Cockfield Report on ‘Completing the Internal Market’, but the latter's success
prompted the Commission to make a number of proposals for an ‘Internal Energy Market’ in
1988 (European Commission 1988). Achieving such a market has been a drawn out process;
for example the liberalisation of the gas and electricity sectors has proved to be an affair
which even today is not yet complete. Even so, applying the principles of the internal market
and competition policy to the energy sector has had important effects, not the least of which
was to reopen and to redefine the overall European energy policy debate.
A central part of that redefinition was to reconcile the principles of supply security and
market liberalisation. Critics of the latter tended to argue that greater competition would
undermine the long term investment horizons which had traditionally characterized energy
policy decisions. In response, the Commission has argued that liberalisation was not only
compatible with supply security but would reinforce it. In the 1988 proposals the
Commission claimed that an internal energy market would reinforce rather than undermine
supply security by allowing greater interconnection and increase the availability of
emergency resources in the event of a crisis. Following up the issue in a 1990 working paper,
the Commission stressed the compatibility of supply security and internal market: the
removal of obstacles to energy trade would "allow more efficient exploitation of the
Community's energy resources" and reduce "reliance on external resources of energy"
(European Commission 1990: 4). While the paper recognised that commercial decisions
might "need to be supplemented for strategic reasons to obtain an acceptable security of
supply at the Community level" (European Commission 1990: 5), it also noted that national
policy measures such as extensive aid or long term contracts risked undermining the
creation of a single energy market. In order to avoid this possibility, the paper stressed the
need to establish Community-wide criteria for reconciling supply security policies with
competition and internal market rules (i.e. the development of a Community-level approach
to energy policy) (European Commission 1990: 14).
For much of the 1990s, in any case, the relative significance of supply security diminished,
without wholly disappearing from the agenda, and concerns over the environmental
consequences of energy use increased. This reordering of priorities was perhaps not
surprising because as the salience of climate change, as a policy issue, increased on the one
hand, on the other, energy prices remained at very low levels compared with the 1970s. The
latter conditions made it relatively easy to argue for market-led energy policy measures.
Over the course of the 1990s, therefore, the Commission made a series of proposals for a CEP
(particularly around the time of the Amsterdam Treaty) which outlined a variety of measures
ranging from support for new energy technologies to closer cooperation with external
energy suppliers, but also continued to emphasise the importance of market liberalisation
(European Commission 1995a, 1995b, 1997).
7
In fact, energy market liberalisation had been discussed within the parameters of EU energy policy before -
the 1968 guidelines for energy gave considerable emphasis to integrating Community energy market
(European Commission 1968). However these proposals were not followed up and were superseded by
supply security considerations during the energy crises of the 1970s and early 1980s.
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EU Energy Policy: Reviving Security, Deepening Liberalisation?
While individual initiatives on energy policy have been negotiated and agreed at the EU level
over the last two decades, agreement on an overarching policy framework remained
elusive.
8
The ascent of the issue to the top of the EU's policy agenda in the last two years is
due to many factors (with climate change the most significant) but the re-emergence of
supply security concerns has also been an important catalyst. These concerns did not
reappear over night and there was always a recognition in EU proposals that future sources
of energy supplies remained a long term issue. Indeed the Commission produced a Green
Paper on energy supply security in 2000 (European Commission 2000). However it does
appear that the debate entered a new phase at the beginning of 2006. The trigger was the
apparent disruption of gas supplies to the EU as a result of a dispute between Russia and
Ukraine over gas prices at that time.
9
The responsibility for the disruption is contested
though it does not appear to have been a direct show of strength by Russia as was reported
in much of the media at the time.
10
However, the dispute, along with subsequent reductions
in supply due to a fiercely cold winter in Russia and Eastern Europe, appeared to feed a sense
of vulnerability about an increasing reliance on a small range of suppliers as the EU became
more and more dependent on energy imports.
The strands of this new energy policy were proposed by the Commission at the start of 2006,
revised at the start of 2007 and approved in principle by the heads of state of the EU27 in
spring 2007 (European Commission 2006a, 2007a; European Council 2007a). The agreed
policy included an EU wide commitment to a 20% reduction on 1990 levels of greenhouse
gases regardless of international agreements. To meet this objective the member states
agreed to a 2020 target of increasing the share of renewable energy to 20% of overall energy
supply as well as an improvement in energy efficiency by 20%. As regards security of supply
the proposals stressed the importance not only of achieving a better energy balance
(something which arguably the combination of improved energy efficiency and increased
renewables would facilitate) and improving network integration, but also of developing
better relations with energy suppliers from outside the EU. While various mechanisms
designed to achieve these objectives were envisioned, they were not independent of market
liberalisation, which continued to remain central to the overall policy objectives. The
Commission's proposals make clear that not only would market integration deliver
competitiveness but it would also help to (1) meet sustainability objectives by enabling the
"effective application of economic instruments" and promoting competition from cleaner
sources of energy and (2) increase security of supply by giving incentives to invest in new
capacity, promoting diversity and enhancing interdependence among member states. By
contrast, it claims, existing practices which distorted the internal market would work against
achieving energy security and a sustainable low-carbon future (European Commission 2007a:
6-7).
As noted, the Commission's proposals were largely accepted by EU Heads of State at their
2007 Spring Summit. There were, however, various aspects of the programme which proved
contentious. Amongst the most divisive of issues were the proposals for extending the
internal market in the electricity and gas sectors. Attempts to increase competition in these
sectors had been at the heart of the Commission's attempts to liberalise the energy sector
since the late 1980s. However, securing member state agreement had been extremely time-
consuming and, in the Commission's view, of limited success. A Commission investigation of
8
However, it is worth noting that an explicit chapter on Energy Policy was included in both the
Constitutional and Reform Treaties.
9
Energy issues were already attracting greater attention - as reflected in the British government's initiative at
the informal Hampton Court summit on 27 October 2005 under the UK Presidency of the European Council
and French government proposals earlier that year - but the events of early 2006 appear to have
concentrated minds.
10
Stern (2006) argues that far from being a sudden show of strength by the Russian authorities, the dispute
with Ukraine over gas supply, transit and prices had been ongoing for a number of years. However he
recognises that while Gazprom's actions may have been largely driven by economic considerations the
perception of the crisis was very different.
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the lack of competition in these markets highlighted the market power of incumbent
vertically integrated utilities in a number of member states (European Commission 2006d).
While the Commission's 2007 proposals envisaged a number of measures to increase
competition and effective regulation, the most contentious was the requirement that
vertically integrated gas and electricity utilities should be ‘unbundled’ into separately owned
companies responsible for the functions of production and transmission (European
Commission 2007b, 2007c). The Commission argues that the present ‘unbundling’ of these
functions, whereby existing firms separate the different functions into subsidiaries with
different management and accounting systems, has not been sufficient to allow new firms to
enter the market or to prevent incumbent firms from exploiting their integrated structures.
By requiring full ownership unbundling, or by establishing a highly regulated system of
functional separation, the Commission hopes that competition would increase throughout
Europe’s energy markets. Needless to say, most of the companies which would be affected
by the Commission’s proposal opposed such divestment. These companies were also
supported by their governments, with France and Germany leading a substantial minority of
member states in rejecting the Commission's plans. Amongst the arguments raised against
the proposal was its impact on supply security; breaking up national energy champions
would weaken their bargaining power vis-à-vis external suppliers. It is clear that for some
parts of the EU energy economy, the relationship between greater competition and greater
security was not wholly accepted.
The EU's Energy Diplomacy: Market Rules?
As the dispute over unbundling indicates, there is a clear relationship between the EU's
internal policy development (such as market liberalisation) and its external energy relations.
Indeed, while the EU's past and present attempts at energy policy have been internally
focused, there remains an important strand of EU energy policy which is externally
orientated. Given the high degree of dependence on external sources of supply, it is not
surprising that energy diplomacy should be an element of the strategy.
11
Moreover, as in
other parts of the EU's energy policy, it is possible to detect the growing influence of market
liberalisation. However, the scope for such a market driven approach is not as great as might
be thought. Given the EU's competence in external trade relations and its bargaining power
as a major economic bloc in the world economy, it could be expected that the EU would
have developed an effective energy diplomacy. In practice, the development of such a
policy has been limited due to the particular nature of energy markets. The application of
international trade rules to energy has been much debated but scarcely pursued (not least
because many of the major energy exporting countries were not members of the
GATT/WTO). Suppliers and consumers have mostly preferred to conduct energy commerce
outside of such frameworks (WTO 1998; Selivanova 2007).
In any case, the EU's attempts to develop a common front, vis-à-vis external energy suppliers,
has been mixed. One of the reasons why earlier attempts to develop a common energy
policy were unsuccessful was the diversity of national interests regarding relations with
supplier countries and the determination of member states to defend those interests. The
failure of the then nine member states to present a united front during the 1970s energy
crises (or indeed of the "eight" to support the Netherlands when it faced a boycott of oil
supplies by Arab exporters in 1973) only underlined the persistence of ‘national’ over
‘Community’ concerns (Lucas 1977; Lieber 1980). Subsequent attempts to develop an energy
diplomacy were less ambitious and took the form of a series of dialogues with major energy
suppliers, notably oil exporting nations in the Middle East and the Gulf. Such dialogues were
designed to encourage economic development and diversification in exchange for a
stabilisation of supplies. In the 1980s and 1990s the Commission presided over a wide range
11
Imports accounted for slightly more than 50% of energy needs in 2005 and this is expected to rise to 70%
by 2030 on current trends.
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of international programmes designed to foster cooperation on energy matters, mostly in
the realms of training and research on technical issues of energy technologies and policy
analysis (European Commission 1995c). Such cooperative initiatives have remained an
important part of the EU's external energy relations, but increasingly the overall thrust of
energy diplomacy has been couched in terms of market access with the aim of opening up
trade and investment opportunities in energy exporting countries. Therefore, just as market
liberalisation emerged as a core element of the intra-EU energy policy agenda in the 1990s,
so too did it become a more important component of EU relations with external energy
supplier states (European Commission 1997: 2). Moreover the EU's growing effectiveness in
trade policy strengthened its willingness to adopt a more active energy diplomacy.
With renewed concerns over supply security, the diplomatic dimension of energy policy has
become more important. This is reflected in the fact that energy has become an important
part of external relations (van der Linde 2007). As an indication of its significance, in 2006
Commission President Barroso called for all summits with third countries to prioritise energy
matters (Barroso 2006). The overall thrust of policy was expressed in a joint document
prepared by the European Council and Commission in June 2006. Stressing that "(w)ell-
functioning world markets are the best way of ensuring safe and affordable energy supplies"
the document proposed that the EU should extend its energy market "to include its
neighbours within a common regulatory area with shared trade, transit and environmental
rules" while more widely "the EU should advocate reciprocity in market opening and respect
for market rules: non discrimination, competition, transparency and enforcement" (European
Council 2006a: 2). At the multilateral level the report called for the integration of "the EU's
energy objectives…into its multilateral trade policy", a proposal subsequently reinforced by
the Trade Commissioner (Hagry 2006). A similar emphasis on markets was apparent in the
Commission's follow-up work. The 2007 Energy Policy proposals make very clear the
importance that the EU "speaks with one voice" on international energy matters and argues
that it use its established role in trade to secure commitments from energy suppliers for the
liberalisation of trading, investment and access conditions (European Commission 2007a: 17-
18).
The most important target of the EU's external energy policy are its neighbours or near
neighbours, many of whom are suppliers of energy to the EU or host the infrastructure which
delivers key resources to the Union. A key component of this policy is the EU’s determination
to provide clear legal frameworks premised on market access, in effect bringing the logic of
the internal market and international trade rules to the energy sector across much of Eurasia
and the Mediterranean. The EU's approach is a mix of regional and bilateral agreements, the
former setting out a mixture of general principles and obligations, the latter consolidating
these objectives and commitments according to the specific characteristics of the partner
and the EU's relationship with them.
One of the first expressions of the EU's ‘liberal’ energy diplomacy was the European Energy
Charter, later the Energy Charter Treaty (European Commission 1991, 1993; Energy Charter
Treaty Secretariat 2002). Originally mooted by Dutch Prime Minister, Ruud Luubers, as a post
cold war equivalent of the ECSC which would bring together the countries of Eastern and
Western Europe through closer energy relations, the European Energy Charter was signed in
1991. It set out a framework for cooperation which was to span the whole of Europe on the
basis of principles of open markets, non discrimination and access for foreign investment
inter alia. It also stressed the need for an international agreement to provide a common set
of rules and dispute settlement procedures which would be based on GATT/WTO principles
and rules. Negotiations on the Energy Charter Treaty began in 1992 and the Treaty was
signed in 1994, entering into force in 1998 and subsequently followed up by negotiations on
various protocols, including one on transit (i.e. access to networks in countries between the
seller and buyer of energy). However, while signed and ratified by most of the governments
of Europe, the Treaty remains to be ratified by some of the most important energy players in
the region, notably the Russian government (Haghighi 2007).
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The Energy Community Treaty which entered into force in 2006 (European Commission
2006b) effectively applies the EU energy acquis, particularly the internal market provisions, to
the Western Balkans and it may be extended to other near neighbours such as Moldova,
Turkey and Ukraine. While the Treaty provides the non-EU parties with access to EU energy
markets, the core intention of the agreement is to establish a single framework for energy
markets in both the EU and those countries that are, or may become, candidates for EU
membership. Parties to the Treaty are in the process of agreeing national ‘road maps’ which
are intended to bring their energy policies into line with this goal.
The Commission has indicated that it is keen to extend the provisions of the Energy
Community Treaty to reforming countries in other strategic regions, notably around the
Black and Caspian Seas. In the interim, however, it has established separate frameworks for
engaging these regions in an energy policy dialogue. The ‘Baku Initiative’ of 2004 involves
countries from these regions, as well as from Central Asia, in a joint effort to foster regional
energy markets and develop new infrastructure with the longer term aims of bringing about
the convergence of energy policies and the creation of a larger energy market (European
Commission 2006c).
With regard to its neighbours to the south of the Mediterranean, the EU has been seeking to
develop a similar framework for its energy relations. Since the 1995 Euro-Mediterranean
Conference, member states and the countries of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA)
have been trying to agree a framework for enhancing energy cooperation. As part of the
‘Barcelona Process’, the Commission has used these discussions to foster reform in the
energy producing and transit countries of MENA as a means to provide ‘security of
investment’ (European Commission 1996).
12
Initial proposals to extend the Energy Charter
Treaty framework to the region have given way to a range of other projects, the most recent
of which was a 2007 agreement on a five year ‘Priority Action Plan’ to bring about the
convergence of market conditions and energy policies as a prelude to creating a Common
Euro-Mediterranean Energy Market (European Council 2007b).
Such regional frameworks, along with more general programmes such as the European
Neighbourhood Policy, are potentially important in framing the terms of the EU's energy
relations with its near neighbours, particularly where the agreements entail binding
commitments and dispute settlement procedures. However, the EU has also put
considerable effort into securing bilateral agreements with individual energy supplier or
transit countries. Indeed it has sought to substantiate the broad principles of regional
agreements with more detailed agreements on a bilateral basis. So far such bilateral
agreements have been negotiated with Azerbaijan, Morocco, Ukraine and Jordan. It has also
been courting suppliers such as Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan (European Commission
2007d).
However, the major prize for EU energy diplomacy would be an agreement with Russia to
place energy relations on a surer footing. Russia supplies 20% of the EU’s oil needs and 40%
of its gas needs. For a number of years the EU sought to persuade the Russian government
to ratify the Energy Charter Treaty and its Transit Protocol. The Russians, arguably correctly,
saw this proposal as a potential threat to the market position of the country's incumbent
energy companies, notably Gazprom, and have so far been unwilling to sign up (Haghighi
2007). Instead, the main framework for EU-Russian energy relations has been an ‘Energy
Dialogue’ (European Commission 2004). Established in 2000, this has been the venue for
some quite difficult discussions on energy matters over the last few years and hopes of a
12
When the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership was launched there were also hopes that the Energy Charter
framework would be extended to relations with energy suppliers in the Mediterranean.
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Volume 4 • Issue 2 99
more wide ranging agreement to open up energy markets have yet to bear fruit (Johnson
2005; Gomart 2007).
The Return of Security and Sovereignty in Energy Policy
The Russian response to the EU's calls for more liberalisation is perhaps the strongest
example of the limits to the EU's strategy. Given the way that market liberalisation has come
to influence EU energy policy overall, its increased prominence in energy diplomacy is
understandable. The Commission and many energy consuming states claim that such an
approach is the best guarantee of supply security because it removes obstacles to market
access and investment. However, it is not at all clear that such a view prevails elsewhere,
particularly amongst the major energy exporting countries. For many of these countries, and
arguably some energy consuming countries as well, the return of energy security as a core
concern has also revived interest in national sovereignty over energy resources.
13
The last few years have seen a backlash against the terms on which foreign investors secured
energy assets in the developing world and former socialist states. Governments in those
countries have sought to revisit what they consider to be unfair agreements, often
renationalising the assets or asserting greater control over their development. In addition,
energy firms from those countries have, in some cases, been keen to develop their presence
in ‘downstream’ energy markets, even selling direct to final consumers, as a way of securing
more of the economic benefits from their assets. These moves by governments to assert
greater sovereignty over what are often the key sources of export and fiscal revenue have
been characterised as the principal example of a revived ‘economic/resource nationalism’.
Arguably this revival has been a contributory factor to the rising energy prices and supply
security concerns. It is, however, debateable whether higher energy prices and tighter
energy markets have prompted governments to seek greater control and economic rents, or
whether governments' interventions have themselves contributed to higher prices and
supply side constraints.
While signs of such energy nationalism’ are apparent in Sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America
and parts of Central Asia, the most important developments for the EU have been those
taking place in Russia and Algeria. Taken together they account for around 60% of the EU’s
gas imports (Russia 42% and Algeria 18%). In both cases, the national governments maintain
close relations with the principal national energy companies through partial or complete
state ownership and those relationships have been deployed in recent years to strengthen
control over national energy resources at the expense of foreign involvement in ‘upstream’
activities such as exploration and production.
Partially state-owned Gazprom has been able to rely on the support of the Russian
authorities in securing a stronger position within the Russian oil and gas markets, in some
cases revisiting the terms on which foreign participation in new energy projects had
previously been agreed. Over the last few years a number of Russian projects in which
companies such as BP and Shell had secured highly advantageous terms began to encounter
serious regulatory problems. In the case of Shell, only after it reduced its major shareholding
in the Sakhalin II gas project were the regulatory difficulties resolved (Ostrovsky 2006).
Over the same period, Algerian relations with foreign investors in its energy sector have also
been revised (though with less of the highly public tensions which have accompanied the
Russian cases). In 2006 the Algerian government reversed a planned liberalisation of its
investment regime for oil and gas, reinstating the principle of majority Algerian ownership in
new projects (Hoyos 2006). In 2007 the state owned oil and gas company Sonatrach
rescinded an agreement with the Spanish companies Gas Natural and Repsol for the
13
The changes are particularly apparent in the oil sector (see Hoyos 2007).
100
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development of a major oil and gas project on the grounds of delays and cost overruns
(England 2008a, 2008b).
At the same time as consolidating their control over domestic gas production, both
companies have also been able to take advantage of their market power vis-à-vis consuming
countries to gain a greater downstream presence in many parts of the EU. In recent years
energy companies such as Sonatrach and Gazprom have been able to establish or acquire
supply companies in a number of EU member states, enabling them to sell directly to
consumers. In the case of Gazprom, for example, the company has been able to acquire
distribution and transmission companies and has established supplier subsidiaries in a
number of member states (Locatelli 2008). Sonatrach has also acquired stakes in many
European energy companies and established its own marketing companies to sell direct to
final customers, often in the face of opposition from existing suppliers in those markets (see
Crawford and England 2008). Furthermore, in a further sign that it wants to see the state
owned company diversify downstream, the Algerian government has indicated that granting
future exploration rights for foreign investors would be dependent on obtaining overseas
energy assets (England 2008a, 2008b).
The EU's Response: Reciprocity and its Limits
Such activism has crystallised concerns in some member states and the European
Commission that the balance of power between suppliers and consumers has become
seriously skewed to the EU's disadvantage. There is the potential for third country energy
suppliers to penetrate EU downstream markets at the same time as EU firms were facing
more upstream restrictions. To compound the fears of a shift in the balance of power, there
has been a growth in concern about the possibility of supplier companies (notably Sonatrach
and Gazprom) developing closer links, possibly leading to the creation of a gas supplier
cartel equivalent to OPEC.
14
Overlapping with these worries was a wider concern about state owned enterprises in
investing in ‘strategic’ industries within the EU. While some of these concerns were directed
to the increasing prominence of so-called Sovereign Wealth Funds government owned
investment vehicles which often draw upon the fiscal gains from high commodity prices
(Whyte and Barysch 2007) they were also directed at the presence of state owned energy
firms as investors in EU energy utilities. There was a worry in some member states that such
investors might use their ownership position in pursuit of wider political objectives rather
than immediate economic returns.
15
The response of the European Commission to these developments has been to back up its
call for market opening agreements with a more active use of its competition and internal
market powers. In the first instance it has used the competition provisions of the Treaty to
tackle the more restrictive elements of agreements between energy producers in third
countries and their utility customers within the EU. In the second it is aiming to use its
internal market reforms to impose limits on the way energy suppliers from third countries
can operate inside the EU, making full access conditional on a reciprocal opening up of home
markets.
Signs of a more aggressive approach towards energy exporters have been apparent in the
approach adopted by the Commission's competition authorities in recent years. For many
14
Fears of such a cartel have been widely debated since 2006 and were highlighted by organisations such as
NATO (Buckley et al 2006). Others are more skeptical about the possibilities of such an arrangement given
the nature of the international gas trade (see Finon 2007; Darbouche 2007).
15
According to President Barroso, while generally the EU welcomed foreign investment, in the energy sector
"we should be open but we should not be naive. We want to have a mechanism which if needed can be
activated to protect the internal market from foreign designs whose motives are not purely commercial."
(Hagry 2007).
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Volume 4 • Issue 2 101
years gas exporters and their partners within the EU have agreed to a number of restrictions
on the marketing of contracted gas, in particular limits on the scope for gas buyers to resell
outside of their supply zone. The Commission considered such restrictions to be against
European competition rules and launched investigations in 2000. Between 2003 and 2007, all
of the major exporters and their EU based customers have agreed to remove any restrictions
on the sale of such gas and profit sharing (Wäktare 2007). So far, however, it has not applied
its competition powers more widely against what some would consider the anticompetitive
behaviour of some suppliers (Milligan 2007).
Instead, the Commission has sought to use its reform of EU gas and electricity markets to
tackle the structure of exporting companies' operations and potentially to obtain some
reciprocity in terms of investment and possibly market access conditions. As noted, the main
objective of the EU's legislation was to ensure a fully competitive internal market for
electricity and gas. The reforms involve amendments to existing rules on market
liberalisation to increase the degree of separation between companies involved in importing
or producing gas and electricity on the one hand and transmitting, distributing and
supplying it on the other. However, such changes would not only apply to the utilities based
inside the EU; companies from third countries which produced or supplied energy to EU
markets would also not be able to own transmission systems within the Union. In addition,
the Commission's proposals require that third country operators would not be able to own
such assets unless there was an agreement between that country and the EU which covered
a wider range of energy market issues. In effect the Commission's proposal implies greater
reciprocity of market access in exchange for involvement by energy suppliers in downstream
markets within the EU (ab Iago 2007a).
These requirements, commonly referred to as the ‘Gazprom clause’, have proven to be very
controversial and have been criticised by both third country suppliers and their
governments.
16
However, it is not clear whether the proposed measures will be translated
into legislation. As noted, the directives in which these provisions are included have been
heavily criticised by a number of EU energy companies and their governments. Needless to
say, those energy utilities which are not fully unbundled have been the most hostile to the
Commission’s proposals in this area. They and their governments have been seeking to water
down the unbundling provisions since the principle was mooted by the Commission (ab
Iago 2007b). While their opposition is premised on the impact on their own operations, any
changes they were able to secure might also impact upon what is expected of third country
operators. The question of a reciprocity clause would probably be addressed separately.
Indeed, while the vertically integrated incumbents tend to defend their market power as
necessary to negotiate on equal terms with exporters such as Gazprom, their relationships
with such suppliers are generally good, with many of them having recently renewed long
term supply contracts with the exporters and some (such as E.ON) have still closer linkages
through minority shareholdings. The Chair of one utility has been reported as claiming the
threat to EU energy supplies does not come from companies such as Gazprom but from the
European Commission on the grounds that its various energy proposals are discouraging
future investment (Milne 2007).
In a sense therefore the Commission’s attempts to liberalise both internally and externally,
face a significant challenge from within its borders as well as from outside. Indeed,
throughout the liberalisation process it has encountered an alliance of companies and
governments which has constrained and shaped the pace of reform. The parameters of that
alliance have changed with market developments but it remains a problem as governments
have sought to promote and protect the interests of their national energy champions.
Aside from the unbundling issue the main manifestation of the tension between the
Commission and some states has been over the issue of corporate restructuring. While the
16
See for example the critical response of Vladimir Putin at the time of the EU Russia Summit (Bruls 2007) and
from the CEO of Gazprom (ab Iago 2008).
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Commission has generally sought to encourage the development of Europe-wide utilities
which would compete for consumers across many member states, it has been faced with a
number of member states seeking to shape such reorganisation to the advantage of their
national firms. In some respects, such as where mergers between national firms have
escaped the scrutiny of the EU Merger Regulation, the Commission has been unable to act.
In other cases, however, it has sought with mixed results to prevent national authorities from
blocking takeover attempts either through a ‘golden share’
17
or the manipulation of
corporate governance and other rules. In such cases, the member states justify their actions
as necessary to defend their strategic interests in maintaining energy supply. While the
Commission has sought to act against these restrictions where they conflict with Internal
Market principles, the process is drawn out and uncertain. In the meantime, such
manifestations of ‘energy nationalism’ inside as well as outside the EU might be regarded as
compromising the Commission’s attempts to liberalise energy markets at home and abroad.
Conclusion
This article has attempted to show how liberalisation has become an important principle of
not only the EU’s internal energy policy but also its energy diplomacy. In both respects,
moreover, the pursuit of market opening has been seen as important for ensuring the
security of energy supplies. The policy has had some successes, particularly with countries
which aspire to join the EU (and where arguably the EU has a stronger bargaining position).
Yet it is not clear how far this strategy can be pursued with those energy suppliers who are
unlikely to be candidates for membership. In these cases, the EU’s limited bargaining power
is further constrained by the revival of sovereignty and security concerns inside and outside
the EU. With ‘economic nationalism’ apparent in the policies of not only many energy
exporters but also some member states, a strategy of relying on liberalisation may not be as
effective as it is claimed. In effect, there appears to be a mismatch between, on the one
hand, an ostensible commitment to internal and external liberal strategies led by EU
authorities and, on the other, conduct inside and outside the Union where governments
support and protect incumbent firms. There are signs that aspects of this policy are
changing, most notably in terms of the willingness of the Commission to push a policy of
‘reciprocity’ in the treatment of market access and investment in the energy sector.
However, even this strategy depends upon member states agreeing to internal reforms
which are opposed by a significant minority.
Clearly the processes of internal and external liberalisation are intertwined. As the Joint
Council-Commission proposals stressed "(e)xternal energy relations cannot be separated
artificially from the wider question of what sort of energy policy the EU and its Member
States want…A more fully developed internal policy is a pre-condition for delivering the EU’s
external energy interests, and for better judging what leverage the EU is able to bring to bear
in its external relations for furthering these interests" (European Council 2006a: 1). One could
add that a limited internal policy is likely to be matched at the external level.
In other areas of policy (such as telecoms or airlines) the EU has been arguably quite effective
in using internal liberalisation as a driver for external liberalisation. Moreover the area of
trade policy has been the area of external relations where the EU has been most effective.
However, it is clear that energy is different from other external trade policies as regards the
nature and flows of the traded goods and the regimes governing them. In these
circumstances it appears difficult for the EU to conduct a common energy diplomacy when
many member states not only maintain policies at odds with the overall orientation of
market liberalisation but also seem to prefer to work with their national champions to
arrange future energy supplies with external suppliers. For the time being it appears that
sovereignty remains the prevailing principle for a number of member states. As long as this is
17
A golden share provides a state with a ‘non-financial’ stake in a company (usually considered important to
national interest) which provides it with a veto over a possible merger of that company.
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Volume 4 • Issue 2 103
the case the EU’s energy policy, in its internal and external forms, will exist more in principle
than in practice.
***
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... For example, in the UK, the energy market privatization in the 1990s provided increased net efficiency gains, doubled labour productivity, increased government revenues (sales and taxes) and offered better prices for consumers (Domah and Pollitt, 2001). Finally, the liberalized energy market policy is shown to achieve some success particularly for the new EU member states, on costs reduction and competition (McGowan, 2008). ...
... The argument for this conclusion is that despite numerous and major targets and objectives in the internal market domain, the environment priority needed hefty attention from policymakers to respond to the problems in that domain. Substantial support is found by the results of this research for the supporters of liberalisation (Cambini and Rondi, 2010;Domah and Pollitt, 2001;Joskow, 2008;McGowan, 2008;Pollitt, 2012). Despite rather little attention towards affordability measures, the development of the internal market allowed major funding programs (e.g. the support for renewable energy sources, nuclear research) and higher prices for pollution (the EU Emissions Trading System, the National Emissions Ceiling Directive, the Industrial Emissions Directive), without an explosion in electricity prices. ...
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... First, the literature on energy geopolitics and energy security in the EU has mostly focused on the case of natural gas, where relations between the EU and Russia, a major supplier, have been highly contested (Haukkala 2014). Contributions have paid particular attention to the EU's external governance and various related tensions between commercial and geopolitical objectives (McGowan 2008;Goldthau and Sitter 2014), between the EU and its member states and among member states (Schmidt-Felzmann 2011). However, this literature has rarely addressed the implications of the EU's climate priorities and policies for its position in the geopolitics of energy. ...
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Robert Lieber is Professor of Political Science at the University of California, Davis. A version of this paper was presented at the Core Seminar on "The Security of Western Europe in the 1980s," at the Woodrow Wilson Center, International Security Studies Program, Smithsonian Institution. For comments, the author wishes to thank Benjamin J. Cohen, Samuel Wells, and Kenneth Oye. Research upon which this article is based was supported in part by a Rockefeller International Relations Fellowship. 1. Interview with the author, Paris, 17 May, 1979. 2. Nationally televised address, 20 September, 1978. The text can be found in Le Monde, 22 September, 1978. 3. See, e.g., Stanley Hoffmann, Decline or Renewal? France Since the 1930s (NY: Viking, 1974), p. viii; Edward Morse, Foreign Policy and Interdependence in Gaullist France (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1973), pp. xi-xii; and on the consequences for France in the energy realm, Robert J. Lieber, "Energy Policies of the Fifth Republic: Autonomy versus Constraint," in Stanley Hoffmann and William G. Andrews (eds.), The Fifth Republic at Twenty (NY: State University of New York Press, 1980), forthcoming. 4. This is the essence of energy security: the ability to obtain reliable supplies at affordable prices. For a more detailed discussion and definition, see David Deese, "Energy: Economics, Politics, and Security," International Security, Vol. 4 No. 3, Winter 1979/80. 5. One pessimistic series of figures for the Eighth National Plan also suggests that unemployment could increase beyond its present record post-war levels to 1.8 million in 1983. Figures reported in detail by Alain Vernay in Le Figaro, 2 March, 1979, p. 2, and contained in a series of alternate forecasts prepared by INSEE (Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes économiques). 6. Les chiffres clés de l'énergie, Paris: Ministère de l'Industrie, 1979, p. 31. 7. France's 1980 oil import bill has been estimated by André Giraud at 100 billion francs, or 46 billion francs above pre-Iran crisis figures. (Le Monde, 22 December, 1979) 8. Televised interview, Paris, 14 December, 1977. French Embassy Press and Information Division, New York, 77/164. 9. Les chiffres clés de l'énergie, 1979, p. 31. 10. Precise calculations depend on differences in dates and measures used (e.g., stocks, comparisons with prior years, and actual versus anticipated deliveries). From December 1973 through March 1974, France had 7 percent less petroleum available than during the same months of the previous year. Europe and Japan on a whole averaged a reduction of approximately 6.7 percent, and the U.S. 7.4 percent. See Romano Prodi and Alberto Clô, "Europe," in Daedalus, Fall 1975, p. 101. On the oil company role, see Robert Stobaugh, "The Oil Companies in the Crisis," in Raymond Vernon (ed.), The Oil Crisis (New York: Norton, 1976), pp. 179-202. For French and European response in the 1973-74 crisis, see Robert J. Lieber, Oil and the Middle East War: Europe in the Energy Crisis (Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard Center for International Affairs, 1976.) In the second crisis, for the first six months of 1979, the EC shortfall was estimated at over 6 percent (Brussels: E.C. Commission. Energy Directorate. "Community Energy Policy." 7 March, 1979.) 11. OECD Economic Outlook (Paris). No. 25, July 1979, table 37, p. 75. Part of the reduction in the balance of payments deficit was due to international factors, in that the terms of trade for OPEC oil declined by 10.5 percent from 1977 to 1978. IMF Survey, September 17, 1979. 12. OECD Economic Outlook, December, 1979, p. 7. 13. Les chiffres clés de l'énergie, 1979, p. 31. 14. "The Middle East After The Shah—Implications for Oil Prices and Supplies," Chatham House Conference (London, Royal Institute of International Affairs, 20 June, 1979). Note that information available in December 1979 suggested that world oil supplies for the year had actually increased 5½-6 percent, and that demand pressure stemmed largely from stockbuilding (Interviews with IEA officials, Paris, 19-20 December, 1979). However, the stockbuilding itself reflects a response to the Iranian crisis and to supply anxieties. 15. National Foreign Assessment Center, Central Intelligence Agency, "The World Oil Market...
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Les stratégies gazières de la Russie et de sa principale société Gazprom sur le marché européen sont une réponse aux incertitudes (volumes, prix) créées par la libéralisation du marché gazier de l'Union européenne. La politique d'acquisition d'actifs menée depuis la fin des années 1980, la multiplication des réseaux d'exportation, mais aussi la volonté de maintenir des contrats à long terme tout en profitant de nouvelles opportunités contractuelles en sont des illustrations. Mais les stratégies industrielles et commerciales que peut développer Gazprom ne sont pas exemptes d'enjeux plus géopolitiques. Elles ont pour toile de fond la volonté de Vladimir Poutine de mettre les hydrocarbures au service de sa politique économique et étrangère notamment en se dotant de grandes entreprises internationalisées et majoritairement détenues par l'État russe.
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This article explores issues of energy supply security from the perspective of the EU–Russian energy relationship and of competing foreign energy policy paradigms. Using approaches developed by Peter Rutland within the context of Russia's energy policy towards the CIS and the three pillars of EU energy policy as a starting point, the article concludes that the overall EU–Russian energy relationship can be best explained through a framework of mutual interest and dependency: that is, the EU is becoming increasingly, but not totally, dependent on Russian energy, particularly gas; and Russia is becoming increasingly, but not totally, dependent on European markets. Nevertheless, other paradigms continue to yield useful insights in relation to individual components of the EU–Russian energy relationship.
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