Article

Developing a Two-Stage Stochastic Programming Model for CO2 Disposal Planning under Uncertainty

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Abstract

It is difficult to clearly estimate CO2 emissions because CO2 is emitted from various sources according to changing environments. Any approach relating to CO2 disposal has to deal with the presence of such uncertainty in CO2 disposal demand. A two-stage stochastic programming model is developed for planning CO2 emissions disposal networks by taking into account this uncertainty. The proposed CO2 disposal network model allows us to determine where and how much captured CO2 can be held for storage, and where to sequester the given amount of CO2 among multiple potential candidates for the purpose of minimizing the total cost of handling in the face of uncertainty in CO2 sequestration demand. The proposed model is applied to a case study that examines the robustness of the model in terms of handling changing environments in the context of CO2 emissions and disposal targets in Korea. The results gained aid in determining policy to plan the budget for the disposal of CO2.

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... Different factors influence reliability of carbon supply chains planning. Regarding the storage site, uncertainties are related to permeability, capacity and porosity of reservoirs [27][28][29]. In addition to these, uncertainties are present inside a supply chain due to the fluctuation of carbon dioxide sources, variability of construction and operation costs, capture technology and unpredictable events [29][30][31]. ...
... Regarding the storage site, uncertainties are related to permeability, capacity and porosity of reservoirs [27][28][29]. In addition to these, uncertainties are present inside a supply chain due to the fluctuation of carbon dioxide sources, variability of construction and operation costs, capture technology and unpredictable events [29][30][31]. In addition, external factors, such as carbon policy, technology, engineering performance and market forces can influence the design of these systems [32]. ...
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... Two-stage stochastic optimization models are used in a wide array of transportation planning problems, including disaster response Barbarosoǧlu and Arda (2004), supply chain management Marufuzzaman et al. (2014), pavement maintenance and rehabilitation Ameri et al. (2019), and CO 2 disposal planning Han et al. (2012). Capacity, supply, demand, technology advancement, and budget represent some of the widely used stochastic parameters in such studies. ...
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This paper investigates inland port infrastructure investment planning under uncertain commodity demand conditions. A two-stage stochastic optimization is developed to model the impact of demand uncertainty on infrastructure planning and transportation decisions. The two-stage stochastic model minimizes the total expected costs, including the capacity expansion investment costs associated with handling equipment and storage, and the expected transportation costs. To solve the problem, an accelerated Benders decomposition algorithm is implemented. The Arkansas section of the McCllean-Kerr Arkansas River Navigation System (MKARNS) is used as a testing ground for the model. Results show that commodity volume and, as expected, the percent of that volume that moves via waterways (in ton-miles) increases with increasing investment in port infrastructure. The model is able to identify a cluster of ports that should receive investment in port capacity under any investment scenario. The use of a stochastic approach is justified by calculating the value of the stochastic solution (VSS).
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This book comes out from the materials I used to refer while doing my research on the optimization issues in logistics. I brought together some of these materials to form a guidance material on the fundamentals of the optimization concepts along with my own studies on the application of optimization methods. This book consists of two parts and six chapters. The first part of the book, which consists of three chapters, is about introduction to optimization with typical base problems and algorithms for solving problems. The second part of this book consists of three my own researches on the application of optimization methods. Each chapter of this book is independent of each other. I hope you will find this book useful, informative, beneficial and appropriate for your needs. Turkay Yildiz, M.A., Ph.D.
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This model is due to the second author [4] and was presented briefly at the Symposium on Combinatorial Problems held at Princeton University, April 1960, sponsored by SIAM and IBM. The problem treated is: (1) A salesman is required to visit each of n cities, indexed by 1, … , n . He leaves from a “base city” indexed by 0, visits each of the n other cities exactly once, and returns to city 0. During his travels he must return to 0 exactly t times, including his final return (here t may be allowed to vary), and he must visit no more than p cities in one tour. (By a tour we mean a succession of visits to cities without stopping at city 0.) It is required to find such an itinerary which minimizes the total distance traveled by the salesman. Note that if t is fixed, then for the problem to have a solution we must have tp ≧ n . For t = 1, p ≧ n , we have the standard traveling salesman problem. Let d ij ( i ≠ j = 0, 1, … , n ) be the distance covered in traveling from city i to city j . The following integer programming problem will be shown to be equivalent to (1): (2) Minimize the linear form ∑ 0≦ i ≠ j ≦ n ∑ d ij x ij over the set determined by the relations ∑ n i =0 i ≠ j x ij = 1 ( j = 1, … , n ) ∑ n j =0 j ≠ i x ij = 1 ( i = 1, … , n ) u i - u j + px ij ≦ p - 1 (1 ≦ i ≠ j ≦ n ) where the x ij are non-negative integers and the u i ( i = 1, …, n ) are arbitrary real numbers. (We shall see that it is permissible to restrict the u i to be non-negative integers as well.) If t is fixed it is necessary to add the additional relation: ∑ n u =1 x i 0 = t Note that the constraints require that x ij = 0 or 1, so that a natural correspondence between these two problems exists if the x ij are interpreted as follows: The salesman proceeds from city i to city j if and only if x ij = 1. Under this correspondence the form to be minimized in (2) is the total distance to be traveled by the salesman in (1), so the burden of proof is to show that the two feasible sets correspond; i.e., a feasible solution to (2) has x ij which do define a legitimate itinerary in (1), and, conversely a legitimate itinerary in (1) defines x ij , which, together with appropriate u i , satisfy the constraints of (2). Consider a feasible solution to (2). The number of returns to city 0 is given by ∑ n i =1 x i 0 . The constraints of the form ∑ x ij = 1, all x ij non-negative integers, represent the conditions that each city (other than zero) is visited exactly once. The u i play a role similar to node potentials in a network and the inequalities involving them serve to eliminate tours that do not begin and end at city 0 and tours that visit more than p cities. Consider any x r 0 r 1 = 1 ( r 1 ≠ 0). There exists a unique r 2 such that x r 1 r 2 = 1. Unless r 2 = 0, there is a unique r 3 with x r 2 r 3 = 1. We proceed in this fashion until some r j = 0. This must happen since the alternative is that at some point we reach an r k = r j , j + 1 < k . Since none of the r 's are zero we have u r i - u r i + 1 + px r i r i + 1 ≦ p - 1 or u r i - u r i + 1 ≦ - 1. Summing from i = j to k - 1, we have u r j - u r k = 0 ≦ j + 1 - k , which is a contradiction. Thus all tours include city 0. It remains to observe that no tours is of length greater than p . Suppose such a tour exists, x 0 r 1 , x r 1 r 2 , … , x r p r p +1 = 1 with all r i ≠ 0. Then, as before, u r 1 - u r p +1 ≦ - p or u r p +1 - u r 1 ≧ p . But we have u r p +1 - u r 1 + px r p +1 r 1 ≦ p - 1 or u r p +1 - u r 1 ≦ p (1 - x r p +1 r 1 ) - 1 ≦ p - 1, which is a contradiction. Conversely, if the x ij correspond to a legitimate itinerary, it is clear that the u i can be adjusted so that u i = j if city i is the j th city visited in the tour which includes city i , for we then have u i - u j = - 1 if x ij = 1, and always u i - u j ≦ p - 1. The above integer program involves n ² + n constraints (if t is not fixed) in n ² + 2 n variables. Since the inequality form of constraint is fundamental for integer programming calculations, one may eliminate 2 n variables, say the x i 0 and x 0 j , by means of the equation constraints and produce an equivalent problem with n ² + n inequalities and n ² variables. The currently known integer programming procedures are sufficiently regular in their behavior to cast doubt on the heuristic value of machine experiments with our model. However, it seems appropriate to report the results of the five machine experiments we have conducted so far. The solution procedure used was the all-integer algorithm of R. E. Gomory [3] without the ranking procedure he describes. The first three experiments were simple model verification tests on a four-city standard traveling salesman problem with distance matrix [ 20 23 4 30 7 27 25 5 25 3 21 26 ] The first experiment was with a model, now obsolete, using roughly twice as many constraints and variables as the current model (for this problem, 28 constraints in 21 variables). The machine was halted after 4000 pivot steps had failed to produce a solution. The second experiment used the earlier model with the x i 0 and x 0 j eliminated, resulting in a 28-constraint, 15-variable problem. Here the machine produced the optimal solution in 41 pivot steps. The third experiment used the current formulation with the x i 0 and x 0 j eliminated, yielding 13 constraints and 9 variables. The optimal solution was reached in 7 pivot steps. The fourth and fifth experiments were used on a standard ten-city problem, due to Barachet, solved by Dantzig, Johnson and Fulkerson [1]. The current formulation was used, yielding 91 constraints in 81 variables. The fifth problem differed from the fourth only in that the ordering of the rows was altered to attempt to introduce more favorable pivot choices. In each case the machine was stopped after over 250 pivot steps had failed to produce the solution. In each case the last 100 pivot steps had failed to change the value of the objective function. It seems hopeful that more efficient integer programming procedures now under development will yield a satisfactory algorithmic solution to the traveling salesman problem, when applied to this model. In any case, the model serves to illustrate how problems of this sort may be succinctly formulated in integer programming terms.
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This paper presents linear models of the most common components in the value chain for capture and storage. The optimal investment planning of new gas power plants traditionally includes the cost of fuel versus sales of electricity and heat from the plant. If a new power plant also causes additional investments in gas infrastructure, these should be included in the optimization. With the increasing focus on global emissions, yet another aspect is introduced in the form of technology and infrastructure for capture, transport, and storage of . To be able to include all these aspects in the planning of new power plants, linear models for capture and storage are formulated consistent with current models for gas, electricity, and heat infrastructures. This paper presents models for the following infrastructure: source, combined cycle gas turbine producing electricity, heat and exhaust, capture plant, pipeline, liquefaction plant, storage, ship transport, injection pump, and demand/market.
Developing a deterministic mathematical model of carbon capture and storage networks
  • J H Han
  • J H Ryu
  • I B Lee
Han, J. H. ; Ryu, J. H. ; Lee, I. B. Developing a deterministic mathematical model of carbon capture and storage networks. Unpublished work.