BookPDF Available

European IWRM - research. Outline analysis of projects' contribution for the purpose of selecting topics for synthesis - A discussion starter to the European IWRM platform

January 2005

Project: NEWATER

Authors:

Michiel Blind

Deltares

J.G. Timmerman

Waterframes

Content uploaded by J.G. Timmerman

Content may be subject to copyright.

EUROPEAN IWRM – RESEARCH

OUTLINE ANALYSIS OF PROJECTS’

CONTRIBUTION FOR THE

PURPOSE OF SELECTING TOPICS

FOR SYNTHESIS

A discussion starter to the European

IWRM platform

Report No 3 of the NeWater project -

New Approaches to Adaptive Water Management under Uncertainty

www.newater.info

Title

Purpose Documentation of the stepwise development of the

conceptual framework ….

Filename NW IWRM research analysis v0.80.doc

Authors Michiel Blind, RIZA, The Netherlands

Fred Hattermann, PIK, Germany

Jos Timmerman, RIZA, The Netherlands

Bea Sikorska, RIZA, The Netherlands

Document history None

Current version. 0.7

Changes to previous version.

Date 10 August 2005

Status Draft

Target readership Participants of the IWRM platform meeting

General readership NeWater

Correct reference Not yet available

Editor of report No 3

Michiel Blind, RIZA, The Netherlands

Editor of NeWater report series

Claudia Pahl-Wostl

Institute for Environmental Systems Research

University of Osnabrück, Germany

NeWater work block 5, August 2005

Prepared under contract from the European Commission

Contract no 511179 (GOCE)

Integrated Project in

PRIORITY 6.3 Global Change and Ecosystems

in the 6th EU framework programme

Supported by

Harmoni-CA

www.harmoni-ca.info

Acknowledgement

The editor wishes to thank all experts who have made the effort to provide their views and

project results based on the questionnaire. It is acknowledged that this was rather difficult;

though not time consuming, due to the broadness of themes and limited definitions.

The editor also thanks Cornelia Nouen and Tony Allan for the useful information on the EU-

INCO Review of Waster research 1994-2005.

Special thanks are due to Claudia Pahl-Wostl and Joern Moeltgen for their critical review.

Finally, the editor thanks the contributing authors, Fred Hattermann, Jos Timmerman and

Bea Sikorska, without whom the available information could not have been organized and

put to paper.

General Notice

The information presented in this report has been collected with much care. The majority of

information is retrieved from databases and the NeWater project proposal. Information on

relevant products, relevant literature and opinions of experts have been based on

questionnaires and further inquiries. This information, received from approximately 20

persons has been included literally, without detailed review of appropriateness of this

information.

It should therefore be clear that this report is what it pretends to be: a discussion starter to

the European IWRM platform, in a draft version.

iii

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Acknowledgement.....................................................................................................................i

General Notice ..........................................................................................................................i

1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................1

1.1 NeWater – Integrated project on Adaptive Water Management ................................1

1.2 The European IWRM platform...................................................................................2

1.3 Purpose of this document and the IWRM platform meeting ......................................4

1.4 Approach & reading guide .........................................................................................4

2 Summary analysis.............................................................................................................5

3 Analysis per issue.............................................................................................................7

3.1 Issue 1: IWRM & Adaptive Water Management Regimes, including methods for

changing regimes. ................................................................................................................7

3.2 Issue 2: Vulnerability and exposure to shocks and stresses in river basins..............9

3.3 Issue 3: Governance, institutions and participation, including transboundary issues

3.4 Issue 4: Integration IWRM and spatial planning ......................................................14

3.5 Issue 5: Methods of managing buffering capacity....................................................16

3.6 Issue 6: Advanced monitoring systems for adaptive management..........................17

3.7 Issue 7: Understanding consequences of climate hazards and climate change .....18

3.8 Issue 8: Resolving conflicts between water quantity, water quality and ecosystems

3.9 Issue 9: Social dimensions of IWRM: poverty alleviation, gender and health..........21

3.10 Issue 10: Resilience and adaptive capacity to complex water systems...............22

3.11 Issue 11: Coping with uncertainty and risk management.....................................24

3.12 Issue 12 Scenarios and future forces for IWRM...................................................25

4 Reported additional issues..............................................................................................27

5 Related initiatives............................................................................................................28

5.1 EU-INCO Review of Waster research 1994-2005 ...................................................28

5.2 Water Framework Directive: Research needs.........................................................30

5.3 Harmoni-CA synthesis.............................................................................................36

ANNEX I. Contacts............................................................................................................37

Participants Stockholm.......................................................................................................37

Persons unable to attend....................................................................................................38

ANNEX II. Brief description of projects ..............................................................................39

A participatory approach for soil and water conservation planning (no acronym)..............39

ADVISOR (acronym) ..........................................................................................................39

ALARM (acronym)..............................................................................................................40

AMMA (acronym)................................................................................................................40

AQUADAPT (acronym).......................................................................................................41

AQUALIBRIUM (acronym)..................................................................................................41

ARAL-KUM (acronym)........................................................................................................41

ATLANTIS (acronym) .........................................................................................................42

CAESAR (acronym)............................................................................................................42

CATCHMENT2COAST (acronym)......................................................................................43

CABRI VOLGA (acronym)..................................................................................................43

CIRMAN-ARAL (acronym)..................................................................................................44

CLIMED (acronym).............................................................................................................44

COLASU (acronym)............................................................................................................44

DEAD SEA (acronym) ........................................................................................................44

DSS-DROUGHT (acronym)................................................................................................45

ENSEMBLES (acronym).....................................................................................................45

EUROCAT (acronym).........................................................................................................46

EUROLAKES (acronym).....................................................................................................46

EURO-LIMPACS (acronym)...............................................................................................46

EUROWATER (acronym)...................................................................................................47

EUROWET (acronym)........................................................................................................47

EUWARENESS (acronym).................................................................................................47

FIRMA (acronym) ...............................................................................................................48

FLOODSITE (acronym)......................................................................................................48

FLUMAGIS (acronym)........................................................................................................49

GLOWA ELBE (acronym)...................................................................................................49

GMES (acronym)................................................................................................................50

GOUVERNE (acronym).....................................................................................................50

HARMONI-CA (acronym) ...................................................................................................50

HARMONIRIB (acronym)....................................................................................................51

HARMONIT (acronym) .......................................................................................................52

HARMONICOP (acronym)..................................................................................................52

HARMONIQUA (acronym)..................................................................................................52

INTERACTION (acronym)..................................................................................................52

IRMA-SPONGE (acronym).................................................................................................53

IWRM.NET (acronym) ........................................................................................................53

IWRMS (acronym)..............................................................................................................53

LAND WATER MED (Acronym)..........................................................................................54

MANTRA EAST (acronym).................................................................................................54

MEDIDTATE (acronym)......................................................................................................54

MEDIS (acronym)...............................................................................................................55

MEDCOASTLAND-NET (acronym)....................................................................................55

MEDWATER POLICY (acronym) .......................................................................................56

MED-CORE (acronym).......................................................................................................56

MELMARINA (acronym) .....................................................................................................56

MERIT (acronym) ...............................................................................................................57

MITCH (acronym)...............................................................................................................57

MULINO (acronym).............................................................................................................57

NEGOWAT (acronym)........................................................................................................58

NOSTRUM DSS (acronym)................................................................................................58

PEGASE (acronym)............................................................................................................58

OPTIMA (acronym).............................................................................................................59

POLICY RESEARCH TO IDENTIFY CONDITIONS FOR OPTIMAL FUNCTIONING OF

THE SENEGAL…(no acronym)..........................................................................................59

PRUDENCE (acronym) ......................................................................................................60

RIVER DIALOGUE (acronym)............................................................................................60

RIVERTWIN (acronym) ......................................................................................................60

RURBIFARM (acronym).....................................................................................................61

SIRCH (acronym) ...............................................................................................................61

SLIM (acronym)..................................................................................................................61

SMART (acronym)..............................................................................................................61

SPICE (acronym)................................................................................................................62

SUSTAIN WATER (acronym).............................................................................................63

SWIMMED (acronym).........................................................................................................63

SWURVE (acronym) /.........................................................................................................63

TISZA RIVER (acronym) ....................................................................................................64

TWINBAS (acronym)..........................................................................................................64

TRABOREMA (acronym)....................................................................................................65

TRANSCAT (acronym).......................................................................................................66

TWOLE (acronym)..............................................................................................................66

VERBANO (acronym).........................................................................................................66

WADI (acronym).................................................................................................................67

WAGE (acronym)................................................................................................................67

WATERSTRATEGYMAN (acronym) ..................................................................................67

WERRD (acronym).............................................................................................................68

ANNEX III. Projects considered during the INCO initiative.................................................69

ANNEX IV. Index keywords vs projects...........................................................................72

1 Introduction

1.1 NeWater – Integrated project on Adaptive Water Management

Main source: NeWater Brochure.

Rational

The complexity of current water resource management poses many challenges. Water

managers need to solve a range of interrelated water dilemmas, such as balancing water

quantity and quality, flooding, drought, maintaining biodiversity and ecological functions and

services, in a context where human beliefs, actions and values play a central role.

Furthermore, the growing uncertainties of global climate change and the long-term

implications of management actions make the problems even more difficult.

NeWater addresses some of the present and future challenges of water management. The

project recognizes the value of highly integrated solutions and advocates integrated water

resource management (IWRM) concepts. However, NeWater is based on the hypothesis that

IWRM cannot be realized unless current water management regimes undergo a transition

towards more adaptive water management.

Objectives

The major goal is the development of a conceptual and methodological framework for the

transition of prevailing water management regimes to adaptive ones. Based on this

framework specific approaches and tools will be tested, branded and further developed for

practical applications in various river basins.

Scientific Challenge

NeWater identifies key elements of current water management regimes and investigates

their interdependence. Research is focused on transformation processes of these elements

in the transition to adaptive integrated water resources management. Key IWRM areas

where NeWater is expected to deliver break-through results include:

• Governance in water management - methods to arrive at polycentric, horizontal broad

stakeholder participation in IWRM

• Sectoral integration - integration of IWRM and spatial planning; integration with climate

change adaptation strategies, cross-sectoral optimisation and cost-benefit analysis

• Scales of analysis in IWRM - methods to resolve water resource use conflicts;

transboundary issues

• Information management - multi stakeholder dialogue, multi-agent systems modelling;

novel monitoring systems for decision systems in water management

• Infrastructure - innovative methods for river basin buffering capacity; role of storage in

adaptation to climate variability and climate extremes

• Finances and risk mitigation strategies in water management - new instruments, role

of public-private arrangements in risk-sharing

• Stakeholder participation - promoting new ways of bridging science, policy and

implementation

Case Studies

The new methods of adaptive management are developed and tested in a number of case

studies in Europe (Elbe, Guadiana, Rhine and Tisza), in Central Asia (Amudarya) and in

Africa (Nile and Orange). The participation of stake-holders in the basins will play a crucial

role in guaranteeing that the methods developed meet their demands and take into account

concerns and expertise in the basins.

Project Structure

To achieve the development of concepts and tools that guide an integrated analysis and

support a stepwise process of change in water management, the NeWater project is

structured into six work blocks. It also adopts a management structure that allows effective

exchange between innovative research on integrated water management concepts and

practical applications and testing in selected river basins through a participatory process. The

overall structure is visualized in Figure 1: NeWater Project Structure.

Figure 1: NeWater Project Structure

1.2 The European IWRM platform

Main source: Description of Work NeWater

NeWater includes international and thematic platforms, as is depicted in Figure 1: NeWater

Project Structure. Two main platforms can be distinguished, the European IWRM Expert

platform and the Global IWRM research to application platform.

The purpose of the platforms in general is to reach or contribute to the following NeWater

objectives:

Objective A: To initiate an world-wide research to application platform for effective scientific

and cross policy cooperation in dealing with the high complexity and limited

predictability of integrated water resources management on a river basin scale

that contributes to constructive dialogues with the Global Water Partnership

(GWP), World Water Council (WWC), International Union for the Conservation

of Nature (IUCN) and other efforts. (NeWater objective 17)

Objective B. To share experience and innovations in dialogues, publications and action, to

further the European Research Area and to support the implementation of the

Water Framework Directive and EU Water Initiative. (NeWater objective 16)

Objective C. To assess current practice in IWRM and draw lessons for the transfer of new

scientific methodologies for IWRM practitioners. (NeWater objective 18)

The European IWRM platform mainly focuses on the last objectives, and through those

activities supports objectives 17 and 16. It has as key task to link the NeWater project to

relevant past and ongoing EU projects, with the aim to provide an efficient mechanism

5International Expert- and Thematic Platforms

Guidance &

Tools

Key Drivers and

Vulnerabilities

Transition to

ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT

in River Basins

Case Studies in River Basins

6NeWater Project Coordination Platform

NeWater Project Coordination Platform

International Expert- & Thematic Platforms

5International Expert- and Thematic Platforms

Guidance &

Tools

Key Drivers and

Vulnerabilities

Transition to

ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT

in River Basins

Case Studies in River Basins

6NeWater Project Coordination Platform

NeWater Project Coordination Platform

International Expert- & Thematic Platforms

through which NeWater would be able to capitalise on existing results and achievements of

these projects, minimize redundancies, and therefore further substantiate its added value to

the European Research Area (ERA). NeWater dedicates a part of its budget to activate this

platform through regular meetings and other forms of information exchange. This platform

will also substantially contribute to overall ERA objectives of establishing a (virtual)

collaborative network of EU institutions with a focus on a particular theme of EU concern

(water).

The proposed tasks carried out under the umbrella of the European IWRM platform are:

Task 1 European IWRM projects knowledge exchange forum: The platform will

bring together experts from former and ongoing EU projects relevant to

NeWater. It will facilitate the direct exchange of results of from NeWater &

from the scientific community outside the project. Platform members will be

leaders of relevant project clusters and network. A key focus of the platform

will be to consolidate and integrate activities from relevant EU networks to the

implementation process of the Water Framework Directive. (NeWater task

5.1.1)

Task 2 European IWRM projects conference forum: The platform will organise

sessions at (project) conferences, electronic conferences and dedicated

workshops on particular IWRM issues. The platform sessions will focus on

specific topics. These topics will be discussed from the viewpoint of science,

consultancy and operational water management, to ensure applicability of the

scientific findings from relevant EU FP5 projects and to direct scientific

developments within the NeWater project.

Based on the outcomes of these sessions and the intermediate results from

the NeWater project, additional topics will be determined for the platform.

Session will include targeted presentations from different EU FP5 and other

projects and discussions between participants. Selected platform members

may be invited to draft a position paper as an input to a session. (NeWater

task 5.1.2)

Task 3 European IWRM projects knowledge dissemination forum: The main

findings from the sessions will be summarised in session reports that will be

disseminated to the larger IWRM community, possibly for discussion in a

larger electronic conference. Next to this, results of the sessions will be

submitted as papers for publication in scientific journals as appropriate. In

addition selected platform members can be invited to write thematic synthesis

paper on topics relevant to NeWater. Results from the platform will be made

available through the project website for discussion and application in the

wider IWRM community. (NeWater task 5.1.3)

The proposed deliverables produced under the umbrella of the European IWRM platform are:

D 1 Synthesis papers from sessions at (project) conferences and dedicated

(electronic) workshops on selected IWRM themes (Application of models in

operational water management; Institutional arrangements and participatory

processes; Transboundary regimes, others) (NeWater deliverable (5.1.1)

D 2 Thematic sessions of the European IWRM expert platform to build and

capitalizing on the results from previous and ongoing relevant EU projects,

especially from the 5th Framework program (NeWater deliverable (5.1.2)

1.3 Purpose of this document and the IWRM platform meeting

This document servers as input to the first meeting of the European IWRM platform on the

23rd of August, during the World Water Week 2005 in Stockholm.

The purpose of this first meeting is to establish the platform, to discuss a whole range of

IWRM issues, and to determine and decide on the way forward.

More specifically, the objectives of the document and meeting are:

1) To learn about and capitalize on past and ongoing European research on IWRM.

2) To learn and discuss the relationship between IWRM and Adaptive Water

Management

3) To identify relevant other initiatives concerning ‘integration of IWRM research’

and identification of research gaps, and discuss collaborative actions with these

initiatives.

4) To identify candidate IWRM issues for detailed synthesis. In relation, identify key

people to lead the development of these synthesis papers, and determine how

the underlying document should be elaborated.

5) To discuss and possibly decide on input(s) to the 4th World Water Forum in

Mexico, March 2006, where EU supported research on IWRM and research

applications need to be presented as broad as possible.

To facilitate these discussions, the current document provides a huge amount of relevant

information. It also provides a first clue on opinions of scientist regarding a number of IWRM

issues.

1.4 Approach & reading guide

The summary analysis contains the overall results of the questionnaire. This questionnaire

contained questions regarding the maturity of IWRM issues. The issues provided were

directly related to issues addressed in NeWater, but the possibility was given to provide

additional topics.

Chapter 3 ‘Analysis per issue’ provides and discusses the maturity information on selected

IWRM issues received via the questionnaire. The questionnaire allowed linking specific

products of particular projects to the IWRM issues. The chapter provides readers definitions

and deliverables concerning these particular topics. Several relevant publications on topics

are included, based on inputs from respondents and by no means provide a complete

overview of relevant (project) publications.

Chapter 4 ‘Reported additional issues’ provides the results on the question if the

questionnaire covered all relevant issues. Chapter 5 introduces three other initiatives that

aim at synthesizing available knowledge: (1) EU-INCO review of water research 1994-2005,

(2) The WFD implementation Gap analysis and (3) Harmoni-CA concerted action synthesis

proposals.

Annexes

ANNEX I provides the available contact details of the persons that have been invited for the

first European IWRM platform meeting.

ANNEX II provides abstract information on a range of European and few national projects,

which are relevant to the IWRM community. In general the information has been retrieved

from www.cordis.lu, www.harmoni-ca.info or the project's website.

ANNEX III presents the list of projects, which are included in the review of INCO research.

ANNEX IV is the result of a key-word match of ANNEX II. Keywords are based on the issues

addressed within NeWater. This indexation is not yet fully context based, but provides

another entry point to all projects included in the annexes.

2 Summary analysis

The summary analysis contains the overall results of the questionnaire. This questionnaire

contained questions regarding the maturity of IWRM issues. The issues provided were

directly related to issues addressed in NeWater, but the possibility was given to provide

additional topics.

The next figure (Figure 2) presents the results of the questionnaire, which was returned by

17 respondents. In between brackets the number of respondents who had no opinion on a

specific issue is shown.

Figure 2 Results from the questionnaire

From the perspective of NeWater it is comforting to know that many respondents agree that

key issues in IWRM, addressed in NeWater are not yet fully matured. But it should be noted

that several respondents are (in)directly linked to the project.

On the other hand it is also clear that on many issues specialists’ opinion is that much is

already available and matured to practical use. For several topics the detailed analysis per

issue actually shows that much is available, since respondents have brought forward

numerous products and papers. But, the relevance of the products that were brought forward

is disputable, since the identified issues were very broadly defined. From the specific point of

view of NeWater, the identified issues are brought forward specifically with respect to

‘adaptive management’ and uncertainty, and this particular aspect has yet to be elaborated

within the individual work packages.

It should also be noted that the results of this exercise have a lottery component. It is clear

that when looking into more projects and addressing many more project managers, the load

or relevant European projects and publications on IWRM issues will increase. However,

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

IWRM & Adaptive Water Management Regimes (17/4)

Vulnerability and exposure to shocks and stresses

in river basins (17/2)

Governance, institutions and participation (17/1)

Integration IWRM and Spatial planning (17/1)

Methods of managing buffering capacity (17/2)

Advanced monitoring systems

for adaptive management (17/2)

Understanding consequences of climate hazards

and climate change (17/1)

Resolving conflicts between water quantity,

water quality and ecosystems (17/2)

Social dimensions of IWRM:

poverty alleviation, gender and health (17/6)

Resilience and adaptive capacity to complex

water systems (17/3)

Coping with uncertainty and risk management (17/1)

Immature Matured in 2-3 years Mature

despite its preliminary character the analysis shows that key topics addressed in NeWater

transcend the themes traditionally addressed by European Water Management Research.

The conclusion on availability of much relevant EU research is supported by the simple key-

word matching presented in ANNEX IV. Indexing the short abstracts of the projects in the

annex with key terms of the NeWater-IWRM issues has produced this annex. The results are

summarized as follows: Keyword Projects

Adaptive 1

Climate 17

Gender 1

Governance 4

Health 6

Institution 8

Integration 30

Monitoring 14

Participation 11

Planning 22

Resilience 1

Risk 11

Scenario 19

Spatial 5

Sustainability 11

Transboundary 5

Uncertainty 7

Vulnerability 3

Though this key word search was not very much context based it is relatively trustworthy,

given the fact that the summaries of projects are short and very much to the point. It should

be noted that there are many other European projects that have so far not been included.

The purpose of the NeWater IWRM platform is to facilitate synthesis, for the benefit of the

European IWRM science and policy communities, and if possible to support the NeWater

research efforts and make sure that available knowledge is integrated. The results presented

above provide a first indication on what topics synthesis of European Work may be beneficial

to highlight achievements, success and failure in the transfer between research and

application and identify knowledge gaps.

But, more topics have been identified which may also require a closer analysis and should be

included in the discussions concerning selecting topics. Information on these topics is

included in 4.

3 Analysis per issue

Chapter 3 ‘Analysis per issue’ provides and discusses the maturity information on selected

IWRM issues received via the questionnaire. The questionnaire allowed linking specific

products of particular projects to the IWRM issues. The chapter provides readers definitions

and deliverables concerning these particular topics. Several relevant publications on topics

are included, based on inputs from respondents and by no means provide a complete

overview of relevant (project) publications.

Please note “General Notice”, page i.

3.1 Issue 1: IWRM & Adaptive Water Management Regimes, including

methods for changing regimes.

3.1.1 Definition / Elaboration

Adaptive management deals with the ability of current management regimes to cope with

uncertainties arising from global change. The topic investigates how different strategies,

policies and practices can be integrated to make management regimes more flexible and

responsive to endogenously generated (e.g. population growth) and exogenously imposed

(e.g. impacts of global climatic change) short- and long-term changes.

3.1.2 NeWater intended deliverables

Work package 1.1 deliverables:

• Report on review of IWRM concepts and success in transferring them into practice

• Report and scientific paper on the role of management paradigms in IWRM

• Report and scientific paper on review of type and role of uncertainties in IWRM

• Report and scientific papers adaptive management framework and analysis of adaptive

management regimes

• Report on experience and guidance how to manage an interdisciplinary research process

3.1.3 .Contributions from completed research

Aquadapt (Paul Jeffrey, Cranfield Univ.)

• Deliverables of WP 3 “Governance and Administration” and WP6 “Analysis of co-

evolutionary dynamics”, See project web site (www.aquadapt.net)

EuroWater (Erik Mosterd, Tech Univ Delft)

• PARTLY: F. N. Correia (ed.) 1998, Water Resources Management in Europe:

Institutions, Issues and Dilemmas, Rotterdam, Balkema, 2 volumes.Mostert, E.

(1998): 'River Basin Management in the European Union: How it is done and how

it should be done', European Water Management, 1(3), 26-35.

Euwareness (Stefan Kuks, Univ. Twente)

• Bressers, Hans, and Stefan Kuks (eds.) (2004). Integrated Governance and

Water Basin Management. Conditions for Regime Change and Sustainability.

Dordrecht/Boston/London: Springer (Kluwer Academic Publishers).

• Kuks, Stefan M.M. (2004). Water Governance and Institutional Change. University

of Twente: dissertation.

FIRMA (Nigel Gilbert, Surry; Claudia Pahl-Wostl)

• Participatory assessment of flexible management strategies in water supply

systems. Methodological development participatory agent based simulation.

Deliverables are on the webpage.

Tisza River (Istvan Zsuffa, Vituki)

• distributed/lumped rainfall-runoff models, WQ and hydrodynamic models

developed for the Tisza river basin; analyses of regime change scenarios (land

use, climate) with the help of these models

Water 21 (Erik Mosterd, Tech Univ Delft)

• PARTLY: Mostert, E. (ed.) (1999): River basin management and planning;

Institutional structures, approaches and results in five European countries and six

international basins, Delft, RBA Centre.

3.1.4 Contributions from ongoing research

GLOWA (Frank Wechsung, PIK)

• Conflict analysis, Modelling system for impact analysis; Evaluation of

management alternatives

HarmoniCoP (Claudia Pahl Wostl, USF)

• Social learning as such is part of managing change. Scientific report and papers

available Autumn 2005. Recommendations for practitioners not yet. Will be

continued in the context of NeWater.

HarmoniQuA Public participation (Hans Jorgen Hendriksen, GEUS)

• Guidance-monitoring-reporting software (MoST) for QA of modelling processes

for seven domains (available in ½-1 year). Only minimum PP (information /

consultation)

3.1.5 Other relevant (upcoming) (overview) articles

Döll, P., 2002. Impact of climate change and variability on irrigation requirements: A global

perspective. Climatic Change 54(3), 269-293.

Global Water Partnership Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) (2000). Integrated Water

Resources Management. Global Water Partnership. Stockholm, Sweden.

Jeffrey P. & M. Gearey integrated water resources management: lost on the road from

ambition to realisation, Prepared for the WATERMATEX conference, Nov 2004 in

Beijing, organized by the IWA special group on “Systems analysis and Integrated

Assessment”.

Pahl-Wostl, C. (2005). The Implications of Complexity for Integrated Resources

Management. Environmental Modelling and Software. Key Note Paper in Pahl-Wostl,

C., Schmidt, S. and Jakeman, T., (Eds.) iEMSs 2004 International Congress:

"Complexity and Integrated Resources Management". International Environmental

Modelling and Software Society, Osnabrück, Germany, June 2004.

Pahl-Wostl, Sendzimir, (2205, in preparation), The relationship between IWRM and Adaptive

Management, NeWater product.

Pahl-Wostl, C. 2002. Towards Sustainability in the Water Sector - The Importance of Human

Actors and Processes of Social Learning. Aquatic Sciences: 64, 394-411.

Pahl-Wostl, C, Downing, T., Kabat, P., Magnuszewski, P., Meigh, J., Schlueter, M.,

Sendzimir, J., and Werners, S. Transitions to Adaptive Water Management: The

NeWater Project. Submitted to Water Policy

Pahl-Wostl, C. The implications of complexity for integrated resources management.

Environmental Modelling and Software, in press. Tillman,D.E., Larsen,T., Pahl-

Wostl,C., and Gujer,W. 2005. Simulation for strategy development in water supply

systems. Hydroinformatics. 7/1

3.1.6 Maturity analysis

RESPONS Immature Mature Matured in 2-3

years No

opinion

IWRM & Adaptive Water Management Regimes 9 4 4

Though the concept of IWRM is not new, both to researchers and to practitioners, the

NeWater introspection of IWRM & Adaptive Water Management is new. This is supported by

the opinion of the respondents, who in general believe this issue is immature.

Within NeWater, this issue first of all has a strong scientific-conceptual component, and effort

is ongoing to prepare more conceptual oriented publications.

Given the relatively limited number of respondents it is difficult to draw clear conclusions

based on the contributions from other projects and the amount of overview articles. Support

to the WP can mainly be found in projects concerning governance. Obviously, when applying

IWRM / adaptive management many more sub-concepts and tools are relevant, thus

products listed in any other chapter are potentially all useful to actual implementation of

IWRM.

Whereas IWRM is common to most of the projects in the annexes, keyword indexation only

revealed Aquadapt as a project which has addressed adaptive management.

3.2 Issue 2: Vulnerability and exposure to shocks and stresses in river

basins

3.2.1 Definition / Elaboration

In the DPSIR framework vulnerability represents the characteristics of actors or elements of

the system (their State) that exposes them to stresses and shocks (or Pressures, which are

related to Driving forces) and conditions the nature and extent of Impacts. Vulnerability

integrates ultimately at the scale of the social actors in a system, based on their use of

natural resources, infrastructure and economic services. In one sense, vulnerability can be

reduced to a set of damage functions that link hazards and impacts (such as the depth-

damage curves for floods). However, understanding social vulnerability recognises that

different actors are vulnerable in different ways and to differing degrees.

3.2.2 NeWater intended deliverables

Work package 2.1 deliverables:

• Framework and baseline vulnerability assessment (month 12). The first report of

the WP will present a consensus working framework for vulnerability assessment

and the rapid appraisal of vulnerability in each case study.

• Improved methods for vulnerability assessment (month 35). The expanded toolkit

of indicator-based methods and multi-agent models will be described and

compared in a monograph.

3.2.3 .Contributions from completed research

Tisza River (Istvan Zsuffa, Vituki)

• Model based flood and pollution spill scenario analyses

Water 21 (Erik Mosterd, Tech Univ Delft)

• PARTLY: Mostert, E. (ed.) (1999): River basin management and planning;

Institutional structures, approaches and results in five European countries and six

international basins, Delft, RBA Centre.

3.2.4 Contributions from ongoing research

Floodsite (Tom Brabben/Patrick Samuels, HR Wallingford)

• The project deals with this issue.

FlumaGIS (Joern Moeltgen, USF)

• Partly adressed within FlumaGIS

GLOWA (Frank Wechsung, PIK)

• Conflict analysis, Modelling system for impact analysis; Evaluation of

management alternatives

TWOLE and VERBANO (Soncini, Politechnical Univeristy of Milan)

• Prototype DSS running. Release beta in 2 years

3.2.5 Other relevant (upcoming) (overview) articles

Downing, T.E., Aerts, J., Klein, R., Ionescu, C., Hinkel, J., Mata, L., Soussan, J., Martin, N.,

Ziervogel, G., Bharwani, S., Purkey, D. and Moss, S. (2006) Integrating social

vulnerability into water management. Climatic Change (in preparation, for special

issue edited by P. Kabat, J. Alcamo R, Schulze and P. Gleick).

Kundzewicz, W.Z., Budhakooncharoen, S., Bronstert, A., Hoff, H., Lettenmaier, D., Menzel,

L., Schulze, R., 2002. Coping with variability and change: Floods and droughts.

Natural Resources Forum 26, 263-274

Pahl-Wostl, C. and Ridder, D. Mega Cities, Climate Change and Water - Increased

Vulnerability of the Poor. Submitted to Climate Change

3.2.6 Maturity analysis

RESPONS Immature Mature Matured in 2-3

years No

opinion

Vulnerability and exposure to shocks and

stresses in river basins 5 4 6 2

Opinions on vulnerability vary significantly. Supposedly, this is an effect of the wide use of

the term vulnerability, which within NeWater is addressed ultimately as social vulnerability,

and takes furthermore an integrative approach. Apparently, much ongoing work is working on

(aspects) of vulnerability assessment, providing opportunities for project collaboration.

The keyword indexation of projects’ abstracts indicates that Floodsite, Swurve and Twinbas

have major ‘vulnerability’ research components.

3.3 Issue 3: Governance, institutions and participation, including

transboundary issues

3.3.1 Definition / Elaboration

Governance styles differ in their ability to cope with global change, and in particular, extreme

events such as droughts and floods. Complex aspects in this respect are differences in

governance and institutions across national boundaries and how proposed management

strategies resulting from these –often very different- institutional arrangements can conflict to

the point of inefficiency. Citizen and stakeholder participation can enhance efforts to analyse

and formulate management actions and policy. It entails among others the reasons why

stakeholder and citizen participation sometimes is a risk and sometimes offers opportunities,

and the role of formal and informal participatory settings in the adaptive management of river

basins. This topic also addresses the role of information and data sharing.

3.3.2 NeWater intended deliverables

Work package 1.2 deliverables:

• Report on a comparative analysis of governance structure in the NeWater basins

(month 6).

• Report on the applicability of different participatory methods to analyse local

institutions.

• Report and scientific paper on an actor and rule-based methodology to analyse

institutional change for a transition to adaptive management

• Report and scientific paper on the role of the financial sector in managing risks

from extreme events.

• Report on the assessment of policy criteria / extreme events and analysing and

trading off new structures and attached new policies regarding extreme events.

• Report and scientific paper on governance styles and institutional changes to

support adaptive water management with specific emphasis on extreme events

(contributing tasks - all)

Work package 1.3 deliverables:

• “State-of-the-art” report on the two transboundary aspects information and

institutional resource regimes (Month 10)

• Common research agenda for each case study developed in common with the

case study partners (Month 11)

• Report on innovative approaches for trans-boundary water management to meet

the

• Requirements for adaptive management.

3.3.3 .Contributions from completed research

Aquadapt (Paul Jeffrey, Cranfield Univ.)

• Deliverables of WP 3, See project web site (www.aquadapt.net)

EuroWater (Erik Mosterd, Tech Univ Delft)

• F. N. Correia (ed.) 1998, Water Resources Management in Europe: Institutions,

Issues and Dilemmas, Rotterdam, Balkema, 2 volumes.Mostert, E. (1998): 'River

Basin Management in the European Union: How it is done and how it should be

done', European Water Management, 1(3), 26-35.

Euwareness (Stefan Kuks, Univ. Twente)

• Bressers, Hans, and Stefan Kuks (eds.) (2004). Integrated Governance and

Water Basin Management. Conditions for Regime Change and Sustainability.

Dordrecht/Boston/London: Springer (Kluwer Academic Publishers).

• Kuks, Stefan M.M. (2004). Water Governance and Institutional Change. University

of Twente: dissertation.

MANTRA-East (Stalnacke, NIVA)

• The project has dealt with this issue.

MERIT (Hans Jorgen Hendriksen, GEUS)

• Guidelines in use of bayesian networks for active involvement (available soon)

SIRCH (Tom Downing, SEI)

• The project has dealt with this issue.

Water 21 (Erik Mosterd, Tech Univ Delft)

• Mostert, E. (ed.) (1999): River basin management and planning; Institutional

structures, approaches and results in five European countries and six

international basins, Delft, RBA Centre.

3.3.4 Contributions from ongoing research

Floodsite (Tom Brabben/Patrick Samuels, HR Wallingford)

• Indirect use of longterm planning framework by 2009

FlumaGIS (Joern Moeltgen, USF)

• An interactive software tool (prototypical component) allows co-operative

planning. Planning measures can be virtually implemented and measure effects

analysed. Beside a 2D-visualisation environment, a 3D- environment, based on a

workbench technology, supplies a visualisation environment that enable a joint

exploration of planning scenarios and their impacts for planners, stakeholders and

other affected actors.

GLOWA (Frank Wechsung, PIK)

• The project and the model system is transboundary

HarmoniCoP (Claudia Pahl Wostl, USF)

• Scientific report and papers available Autumn 2005. Handbook for practitioners on

participatory methods and role of social learning will be available October 2005

HarmoniQuA Public participation (Hans Jorgen Hendriksen, GEUS)

• Guidance-monitoring-reporting software (MoST) for QA of modelling processes

for seven domains (available in ½-1 year). Only minimum PP (information /

consultation)

TWOLE and VERBANO (Soncini, Politechnical Univeristy of Milan)

• Prototype running. Release beta in 2 years

3.3.5 Other relevant (upcoming) (overview) articles

All WP 1.3 partners: “State-of-the-art” report on the two transboundary aspects information

and institutional resource regimes (Month 10, D 1.3.1)

All www.harmonicop.info (methodology and country reports)

Arnstein, S. (1969): 'A ladder of citizen participation in the USA', Journal of the American

Institute of Planners, 8(3), 216-224.

Bressers, J.T.A. and S.M.M. Kuks, Integrated governance and water basin management,

Dordrecht (Kluwer Academic), 2004.

Bressers, J.Th.A., O’Toole, L.J. & Richardson, J.J. (Eds.), Networks for water policy. A

comparative perspective, London (Frank Cass), 1995.

Dicke, W.M.. (2001). Bridges and Watersheds. A narrative analysis of water management in

the Netherlands, England and Wales. Amsterdam: Aksant

Dieperink, C. (2002), The clean up of the Rhine as a successful international effort, in: Ismail

Al Baz, Volkmar Hartje and Waltina Scheumann (eds.), Co-operation on

transboundary rivers, Nomos Verlagsgesellschaf, Baden-Baden, pp. 67-82.

Dworak, T., Kranz, N. (2005) Die EU-Wasserrahmenrichtlinie als Ansatz für ein integriertes

Flussgebietsmanagement in Neubert, S.; W. Scheuman, A. van Edig und W. Huppert

(Hrsg.) Integriertes Wasserresourcenmanagement, Baden-Baden: Nomos

Verlagsgesellschaft.

Dworak, T., Interwies, E. (2004) Linking Transboundary River Management to Water

Security: the Example of Flooding in Europe, in: The Forum - Magazine of the

Bellagio Forum for Sustainable Development, 11th edition, June 2004, Pages: 12-14

Gayer, J. (2000): Participatory Processes in Water Management (PPWM); Proceedings of

the Satellite Conference to the World Conference on Science (Budapest, Hungary 28-

30 June 1999), Paris, UNESCO.

Gooch, G.D. and D. Huitema, Improving Governance Through Deliberative Democracy –

Initiating Informed Public Participation in Water Governance Policy Processes, paper

to the Water Week, Stockholm, 15-21 August 2004.

GWP (2005): Toolbox Integrated Water Resources Management, Global Water Partnership.

Huitema, D. and S.M.M. Kuks (2004), The transition of local regimes in the Netherlands. The

IJsselmeer and the Regge, in: Kuks, S.M.M. (ed.), Water governance and institutional

change, Enschede (Twente University Press), pp. 179- 218.

Kuks, S.M.M. (ed.), Water governance and institutional change, Enschede (Twente

University Press), 2004.

Kranz N., Interwies, E., Vorwerk A. (2005) Review on transboundary regimes: The Amudarya

basin, input to the Deliverable 1.3.1 of the NeWater Project

Kranz N., Interwies E., Vidaurre R. (2005) Review on transboundary regimes: The Orange

Basin, input to Deliverable 1.3.1 of the NeWater Project

Kranz N., Interwies, E., Vorwerk A. (2005) Governance, institutions and participation in the

Orange Basin – South Africa and Lesotho, input to Deliverable 1.2.1of the NeWater

Project.Roe, E.M. and M.J.G. van Eeten, “Threshold-Based Resource Management:

A Framework for Comprehensive Ecosystem Management,” in: Environmental

Management, vol. 27, no.2, pp. 195-214., 2001

Denizen-Dick, R. (1997): 'Farmer participation in irrigation; 20 years of experience and

lessons for the future', Irrigation and Drainage Systems, 11(2), 103-118.

Mostert, E., et al. (2000): 'River basin management and planning', in E. Mostert (ed.), River

Basin Management; Proceedings of the International Workshop on River Basin

Management (The Hague, 27-29 October 1999), Paris, Unesco, pp. 24-55.

Mostert, E.; “River basin planning and management: institutional structures, approaches and

results in five EU countries and six international basins.” In: Implementing the EU

water framework directive, proceedings seminar 3, Brussels, 29 and 30 May 2001,

WWF, Brussels, Belgium, 2001, p. 27-34.

Mostert, E. (2003): 'The Challenge of Public Participation', Water Policy, 5(2), 179-197.

Rees, J. A. (1997): Regulation and Private Participation in the Water and Sanitation Sector,

Global Water Partnership. (www.gwpforum.org)

Renn, O. and T. Webler (eds) (1995), Fairness and competence in citizen participation :

evaluating models for environmental discourse, Dordrecht; Boston, Kluwer Academic,

pp. 17-33.

Ridder, D. (ed.) (2005): Learning Together To Manage Together; Improving Participation in

Water Management, In preparation.

Special issue of the Regional Environmental Change journal: The need for participatory

processes and its implications for water management information. fall 2005 (in press)

Timmerman, J.G., H.W.A. Behrens, F. Bernardini, D. Daler, P. Ross, K.J.M. van Ruiten and

R.C. Ward (eds.), Information to support sustainable water management. From local

to global levels, Lelystad (RIZA), 2004.

Timmerman, J.G. and S. Langaas (eds.), 2004. Environmental information in European

transboundary water management. IWA publishing, London UK.Webster, M., 2003.

Communicating Climate Change Uncertainty to Policy-Makers and the Public.

Climatic Change 61(1-2), 1-8

Tippet, J, Searle, B., Pahl-Wostl, C. and Rees, Y. (2005). Social Learning in Public

Participation in River Basin Management. Environmental Science & Policy, 8(3), 287-

299.

3.3.6 Maturity analysis

RESPONS Immature Mature Matured in 2-3

years No

opinion

Governance, institutions and participation,

including transboundary issues 5 6 5 1

The opinions on the maturity of this topic are quite evenly distributed. Since so much has

been or is produced in research (see contributions from research) some maturity must have

been achieved by now. But, within the context of adaptive management, no results have yet

been reported.

The keyword indexation shows that an large amount of projects deal with governance,

institutions, participation and transboundary issues

3.4 Issue 4: Integration IWRM and spatial planning

3.4.1 Definition / Elaboration

Integration of IWRM and spatial planning deals with the transition towards a better integration

of IWRM and spatial planning as required for an integrated and more flexible approach to

handle variability in water availability (droughts and floods). It addresses adaptation

strategies for flood prevention and drought mitigation as well as for achieving Water

Framework Directive goals in river basins across countries or regions that share a basin in

order to see where upstream adaptations are both complementary to proposed downstream

adaptations, or conflict and thus inefficient

3.4.2 NeWater intended deliverables

Work package 1.4 deliverables:

• Report - Framework for integration of spatial planning and IWRM at 3 scale levels

• Prototype - Modification and extension of the WATERWISE-model and testing in

a regional pilot with stakeholders

• Prototype - Extension of a national cascade model: processes between the scale

levels

3.4.3 .Contributions from completed research

Aquadapt (Paul 2Jeffrey, Cranfield Univ.)

• Deliverables of WP1 “Strategic decision support tools for catchment planning” &

WP4, “Evidence for co-evolutionary dynamics in Spain” See project web site

(www.aquadapt.net)

Euwareness (Stefan Kuks, Univ. Twente)

• Bressers, Hans, and Stefan Kuks (eds.) (2004). Integrated Governance and

Water Basin Management. Conditions for Regime Change and Sustainability.

Dordrecht/Boston/London: Springer (Kluwer Academic Publishers).

• Kuks, Stefan M.M. (2004). Water Governance and Institutional Change. University

of Twente: dissertation.

Euwareness (Stefan Kuks, Univ. Twente)

• PARTLY: F. N. Correia (ed.) 1998, Water Resources Management in Europe:

Institutions, Issues and Dilemmas, Rotterdam, Balkema, 2 volumes.Mostert, E.

(1998): 'River Basin Management in the European Union: How it is done and how

it should be done', European Water Management, 1(3), 26-35.

MULINO and follow-ups in Nostrum-Dss and Transcat (Carlo Guipponi, University of Milan)

• mDSS integrates GIS data in the planning process supported by Multi-criteria

analysis methods

Tisza River (Istvan Zsuffa, Vituki)

• distributed rainfall-runoff models, WQ and hydrodynamic models GIS-based

database

Water 21 (Erik Mosterd, Tech Univ Delft)

• Mostert, E. (ed.) (1999): River basin management and planning; Institutional

structures, approaches and results in five European countries and six

international basins, Delft, RBA Centre.

3.4.4 Contributions from ongoing research

Floodsite (Tom Brabben/Patrick Samuels, HR Wallingford)

• ndirect use of longterm planning framework by 2009

FlumaGIS (Joern Moeltgen, USF)

• FLUMAGIS addresses land use in its functionality. Since land use changes have

effects on water balance, runoff dynamic and matter fluxes within the different

scale levels, it is applied for the implementation of specific numerical models.

Furthermore, several GI-services support geo-spatial analysis. Reports (in

german) and also software modules are existing. Further information on

www.flumagis.de

GLOWA (Frank Wechsung, PIK)

• Partly: Land use scenarios under global change

HarmoniQuA Public participation (Hans Jorgen Hendriksen, GEUS)

• Guidance-monitoring-reporting software (MoST) for QA of modelling processes

for seven domains (available in ½-1 year). Only minimum PP (information /

consultation)

TWOLE and VERBANO (Soncini, Politechnical Univeristy of Milan)

• Prototype running. Release beta in 2 years

WFD Article 5 project (Yann Laurens, Seine-Normandie Water Agency)

• Seine Normandy Basin Baseline scenario in WFD Art. 5 report

3.4.5 .Other relevant (upcoming) (overview) articles

Döll, P., 2002. Impact of climate change and variability on irrigation requirements: A global

perspective. Climatic Change 54(3), 269-293.

3.4.6 Maturity analysis

RESPONS Immature Mature Matured in 2-3

years No

opinion

Integration IWRM and Spatial planning 3 5 8 1

The respondents’ opinion points towards maturity of Integration IWRM and Spatial planning for

practical application in a few years. Contributions from research to this topic range from analysis and

approaches, to very practical GIS based application supporting planning.

3.5 Issue 5: Methods of managing buffering capacity

3.5.1 Definition / Elaboration

New methods for managing buffering capacity investigates different approaches to enhance

the natural and artificial storage capacity of basins. The provision and management of

storage capacity within a basin is one possibility to reduce uncertainties in water supply, and

buffer natural as well as anthropogenic variability (climatic and demand variability), in

particular extreme events.

3.5.2 NeWater intended deliverables

Work package 1.5 deliverables:

• Report - Criteria to define and assess basin-scale buffering capacity.

• Case study basins database.

• Prototype - Catchment scale domain models.

• Stakeholders survey on management scenarios.

• Prototype - Rainfall simulation toolbox.

• Report - Methods to use the domain models in an adaptive management

perspective.

3.5.3 .Contributions from completed research

MANTRA-East (Stalnacke, NIVA)

• Stålnacke, P. 2005. Time scale in nutrient fate: examples from Eastern Europe In:

Proceedings of International Workshop on ‘Where Do Fertilisers Go?’ ISPRA,

Italy, 28-29 June 2005

Tisza River (Istvan Zsuffa, Vituki)

• model-based analysis of the impact of lateral flood retention reservoirs along the

Tisza

3.5.4 Contributions from ongoing research

GLOWA (Frank Wechsung, PIK)

• Water management system

TWOLE and VERBANO (Soncini, Politechnical Univeristy of Milan)

• Prototype running. Release beta in 2 years

3.5.5 Other relevant (upcoming) (overview) articles

Grimvall, A., Stålnacke, P., Tonderski, A., 2000. Time scales of nutrient losses from land to

sea — a European perspective. Ecological Engineering 14(4), 363-371

3.5.6 Maturity analysis

RESPONS Immature Mature Matured in 2-3

years No

opinion

Methods of managing buffering capacity 1 8 6 2

The general opinion is that managing buffering capacity is a pretty matured science, and can

effectively be used in practice.

It is however also clear that from a broad perspective many computer-based tools similar to

the tools presented in the deliverable section are available. However, if these are applicable

in a NeWater setting is unclear.

3.6 Issue 6: Advanced monitoring systems for adaptive management

3.6.1 Definition / Elaboration

This topic addresses information needs for implementing and sustaining adaptive

management strategies and identify alternative information sources in particular for data-poor

regions. An integrative conceptual and methodological framework will be developed to

understand the importance and interdependence of societal, cultural, economic, institutional,

environmental and technological factors in the transition towards water management regimes

that are more adaptive.

3.6.2 NeWater intended deliverables

Work package 1.6 deliverables:

• Report - Critical review on existing monitoring systems

• Report on data requirements and data sources for supporting adaptive

management

• Report on data and information sources and methodologies

• A functional prototype of a GIS based monitoring and information system for

IWRM

• Guidelines to advanced monitoring systems to support adaptive water

management in river basins

3.6.3 .Contributions from completed research

Euwareness (Stefan Kuks, Univ. Twente)

• PARTLY: F. N. Correia (ed.) 1998, Water Resources Management in Europe:

Institutions, Issues and Dilemmas, Rotterdam, Balkema, 2 volumes.Mostert, E.

(1998): 'River Basin Management in the European Union: How it is done and how

it should be done', European Water Management, 1(3), 26-35.

3.6.4 Contributions from ongoing research

3.6.5 Other relevant (upcoming) (overview) articles

UNECE TFMA, 2000. Guidelines on monitoring and assessment of transboundary rivers.

UNECE Task Force on Monitoring and Assessment. RIZA, Lelystad, The

Netherlands. 88 pp. http://www.iwac-unece.org.

UNECE TFMA, 2000. Guidelines on monitoring and assessment of transboundary

groundwater. UNECE Task Force on Monitoring and Assessment. RIZA, Lelystad,

The Netherlands. 64 pp. http://www.iwac-unece.org.

UNECE WGMA, 2002. Guidelines on monitoring and assessment of transboundary and

international lakes. Part A: Strategy document. UNECE Working Group on Monitoring

and Assessment. Finnish Environment Institute, Helsinki, Finland. 33 pp.

http://www.iwac-unece.org.

3.6.6 Maturity analysis

RESPONS Immature Mature Matured in 2-3

years No

opinion

Advanced monitoring systems for adaptive

management 6 3 6 2

The respondents opinion varies from mature to immature, with a slight balance towards

immature/mature in2-3 years.

Though much knowledge is available in the literature on monitoring design (personal

experience from the editor), it is clear that IWRM / adaptive, management may require other

monitoring strategies, covering more domains than are covered traditionally.

3.7 Issue 7: Understanding consequences of climate hazards and climate

change

3.7.1 Definition / Elaboration

Small changes in climate variability can be significantly amplified through the hydrological

cycle and have major implications for water resource management. On a longer time frame,

climate change is predicted to have a major impact on water resources, including profound

effects on the magnitudes, frequencies, intensities of rainfall, on its seasonal and

geographical distribution and on inter-annual variability of precipitation. This information has

to be combined with driving forces like:·

• Demographic trends (population, age group distribution)·

• Economic trends (income, income gap)·

• Technology trends (high or low diffusion rates of technology)·

• Land use and land cover change ·

• Consumption patterns – type and intensity of world trade·

• Policy trends and sectoral developments including privatisation, regulation and the

European Water Framework Directive

3.7.2 NeWater intended deliverables

Work package 2.2 deliverables:

• Report: Template for rapid appraisal and review of best practice for incorporating

changing climatic hazards into IWRM

• Report: Techniques for regional scale scenarios of climate change, including

downscaling techniques for catchment scale estimations of water and energy

balance components.

• Report/Database: Analysis of precipitation time series for selected river basins,

based on weather types and circulation patterns

• Prototype: Coupled catchment-scale water model and climate ensembles

• Report. Estimation of water balance uncertainties based on climate ensembles.

3.7.3 .Contributions from completed research

Aquadapt (Paul Jeffrey, Cranfield Univ.)

• Deliverables of WPs 1 & 4, See project web site (www.aquadapt.net)

MITCH (Tom Brabben/Patrick Samuels, HR Wallingford)

• The project has dealt with this issue.

SIRCH (Tom Downing, SEI)

• The project has dealt with this issue.

Tisza River (Istvan Zsuffa, Vituki)

• distributed/ lumped rainfall-runoff models, hydrodynamic river models; climate

change scenario analyses

3.7.4 Contributions from ongoing research

Ensembles (Chris Hewitt, Met Office)

• In 3 years – probabilistic high spatial resolution (20km) regional climate scenarios

for Europe and some site-specific climate scenarios, along with probabilistic

assessments of long-term climate change impacts and impacts at season to

decadal timescales

Floodsite (Tom Brabben/Patrick Samuels, HR Wallingford)

• Indirect use of longterm planning framework by 2009

GLOWA (Frank Wechsung, PIK)

• 100 realizations of climate change scenario

3.7.5 .Other relevant (upcoming) (overview) articles

Kundzewicz, W.Z., Budhakooncharoen, S., Bronstert, A., Hoff, H., Lettenmaier, D., Menzel,

L., Schulze, R., 2002. Coping with variability and change: Floods and droughts.

Natural Recourses Forum 26, 263-274

3.7.6 Maturity analysis

RESPONS Immature Mature Matured in 2-3

years No

opinion

Understanding consequences of climate

hazards and climate change 6 6 4 1

The respondents replies to this issue are balanced. Where some find the field matured, the

same number of respondents find the issue still immature.

Looking at the ongoing and completed research projects, and the long list of projects dealing

with ‘climate‘ (see project index) the potential contribution from past and ongoing projects

could contribute to the issue within the NeWater. perspective.

3.8 Issue 8: Resolving conflicts between water quantity, water quality and

ecosystems

3.8.1 Definition / Elaboration

Understanding of the implications of global change on river basins with respect to both water

quantity and water quality is required to develop new approaches for adaptive management

in order reach policy goals, for example of the WFD. Water quality is determined by the

nutrient driving sources, water transport/pathways within the catchment and nutrient delivery

to surface water systems.

3.8.2 NeWater intended deliverables

Work package 2.3 deliverables:

• Report: Baseline assessment of each basin

• Report: Water quality fingerprint methods and examples.

• Report: Environmental flows and ecosystem services

• Report: (Modelling) toolkit on environmental services in as related to water

management

• Report/database: Contact list of experts providing support services

3.8.3 .Contributions from completed research

Euwareness (Stefan Kuks, Univ. Twente)

• F. N. Correia (ed.) 1998, Water Resources Management in Europe: Institutions,

Issues and Dilemmas, Rotterdam, Balkema, 2 volumes.Mostert, E. (1998): 'River

Basin Management in the European Union: How it is done and how it should be

done', European Water Management, 1(3), 26-35.

MERIT (Hans Jorgen Hendriksen, GEUS)

• Guidelines in use of bayesian networks for active involvement (available soon)

MULINO and follow-ups in Nostrum-Dss and Transcat (Carlo Guipponi, University of Milan)

• The use of mDSS can contribute

Tisza River (Istvan Zsuffa, Vituki)

• Ecological wetland models, ecosystem studies on riparian wetlands

Water 21 (Erik Mosterd, Tech Univ Delft)

• Mostert, E. (ed.) (1999): River basin management and planning; Institutional

structures, approaches and results in five European countries and six

international basins, Delft, RBA Centre.

3.8.4 Contributions from ongoing research

Floodsite (Tom Brabben/Patrick Samuels, HR Wallingford)

• Indirect use of longterm planning framework by 2009

GLOWA (Frank Wechsung, PIK)

• Included in model setup

HarmoniRIB (Michiel Blind, RIZA)

• HarmoniRiB provides case studies including quality, quantity and ecology as proof

of concept for HarmoniRiB uncertainty guidelines and tools.

TWOLE and VERBANO (Soncini, Politechnical Univeristy of Milan)

Prototype running. Release beta in 2 years

3.8.5 Other relevant (upcoming) (overview) articles

Dyson, M., G. Bergkamp, and J. Scanlon (eds.), 2003. Flow. The essentials of environmental

flows. IUCN, Gland, Switzerland and Cambridge, UK.

Pahl-Wostl, C. (2005). The Implications of Complexity for Integrated Resources

Management. Environmental Modelling and Software. Key Note Paper in Pahl-Wostl,

C., Schmidt, S. and Jakeman, T., (Eds.) iEMSs 2004 International Congress:

"Complexity and Integrated Resources Management". International Environmental

Modelling and Software Society, Osnabrück, Germany, June 2004.

3.8.6 Maturity analysis

RESPONS Immature Mature Matured in 2-3

years No

opinion

Resolving conflicts between water quantity,

water quality and ecosystems 6 2 7 2

Most respondents believe that methods to conflicts between quantity, quality and eco-

systems will be matured in 2-3 years. This more or less coincides with the implementation of

the WFD, to be more specific by 2009 River Basin Management Plans will have been drafted

in which is dealt with these conflicts.

3.9 Issue 9: Social dimensions of IWRM: poverty alleviation, gender and

health

3.9.1 Definition / Elaboration

Most of the target basins of the EU Water Initiative are in the regions like Africa, where

poverty, gender and health are three key issues that need to be understood to be able to link

IWRM within river basins to wider social and development agendas. Poverty is a complex

phenomenon with different characteristics in different places. The joint agency paper

(including the EU) on Poverty Reduction and Environmental Security (2002) identified three

key dimensions to poverty reduction: livelihoods, health and vulnerability. This framework

provides a basis for the analysis of the relationship between water management and poverty

reduction, with different actions in water management addressing different dimensions of

poverty. Integrating poverty reduction in IRWM can consequently be analysed within this

framework.

3.9.2 NeWater intended deliverables

Work package 2.4 deliverables:

• Report: Rapid appraisal of poverty, gender and health issues in case studies (part

of WP 2.1 baseline vulnerability).

• Report: Specification of mechanisms for dialogue processes on poverty, gender

and health in river basins planning.

• Report: Integration of poverty reduction goals, targets and indicators into IWRM

processes.

• Report: Generic tools for assessment of poverty, gender and health issues and

mechanisms for dialogue processes in river basins.

3.9.3 .Contributions from completed research

Aquadapt (Paul Jeffrey, Cranfield Univ.)

• Deliverables of WP 2,”Socio-cultural determinants of water utilisation”, See

project web site (www.aquadapt.net)

Euwareness (Stefan Kuks, Univ. Twente)

• F. N. Correia (ed.) 1998, Water Resources Management in Europe: Institutions,

Issues and Dilemmas, Rotterdam, Balkema, 2 volumes.Mostert, E. (1998): 'River

Basin Management in the European Union: How it is done and how it should be

done', European Water Management, 1(3), 26-35.

Water 21 (Erik Mosterd, Tech Univ Delft)

• Mostert, E. (ed.) (1999): River basin management and planning; Institutional

structures, approaches and results in five European countries and six

international basins, Delft, RBA Centre.

3.9.4 Contributions from ongoing research

Floodsite (Tom Brabben/Patrick Samuels, HR Wallingford)

• ndirect use of longterm planning framework by 2009

GLOWA (Frank Wechsung, PIK)

• Y/N: more socio-economy related

TWOLE and VERBANO (Soncini, Politechnical Univeristy of Milan)

• Prototype running. Release beta in 2 years

3.9.5 Other relevant (upcoming) (overview) articles

Gooch, G.D. and P. Stålnacke (eds.), 2005. Integrated Transboundary Water Management in

Theory and Practice Experiences from the New EU Eastern borders. IWA publishing,

London, UK. (in press)

Global Water Partnership Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) (2000). Integrated Water

Resources Management. Global Water Partnership. Stockholm, Sweden.

Kabat, P., M.E.Hellmuth R.E.S., Veraart, J.A.,Ed. (2002). Coping with Impacts of Climate

Variability and Climate Change in Water Management: A Scoping Paper.

Wageningen.

IPPC, (2001b). Climate Change 2001: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contributions of

Working Group II to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on

Climate Change. I. P. o. C. Change). Cambridge, Cambridge University Press

3.9.6 Maturity analysis

RESPONS Immature Mature Matured in 2-3

years No

opinion

Social dimensions of IWRM: poverty alleviation,

gender and health 5 1 5 6

Many respondents have no opinion on this issue. This is not surprising given the target

countries of this issue, and the European character of respondents who were addressed.

The general view of the other respondents is that this issue will be matured earliest in 2-3

years.

The key-word search on (separately) “poverty”, “gender” and “health” did result in

respectively 0, 1 and 6 hits of projects were these terms were used in the abstract.

3.10 Issue 10: Resilience and adaptive capacity to complex water systems

3.10.1 Definition / Elaboration

A river system’s capacity to learn from and adaptively respond to stress, its adaptive

capacity, emerges from interactions between biophysical and social factors that also

influence the river basin’s resilience and vulnerability.

3.10.2 NeWater intended deliverables

Work package 2.5 deliverables:

• Report: Conceptual framework, appraisal protocol (including a questionnaire and

methodology for surveying literature), rapid appraisal of baseline, and review of

barriers and bridges to integrating concepts of resilience, vulnerability and

adaptive capacity within the IWRM management culture.

• Database: Bibliography and website describing theoretical and methodological

advances in understanding and managing river basin adaptive capacity and

resilience.

• Prototype: Formal systems dynamics and agent-based models of interacting

factors that influence the resilience and adaptive capacity of specific elements

and the river basin as a whole.

• Prototype: Simulation game (based on the concept of a management flight

simulator) for exploring how water management decisions influence resilience and

adaptive capacity and how they in turn affect vulnerability of the river basin in the

short and long term.

• Report: Final report summarising findings on how adaptive capacity, vulnerability

and resilience change as functions of interacting factors in river basins.

3.10.3 .Contributions from completed research

Aquadapt (Paul Jeffrey, Cranfield Univ.)

• Deliverables of 2, 3, 4 & 6, See project web site (www.aquadapt.net)

Euwareness (Stefan Kuks, Univ. Twente)

• Bressers, Hans, and Stefan Kuks (eds.) (2004). Integrated Governance and

Water Basin Management. Conditions for Regime Change and Sustainability.

Dordrecht/Boston/London: Springer (Kluwer Academic Publishers).

• Kuks, Stefan M.M. (2004). Water Governance and Institutional Change. University

of Twente: dissertation.

MITCH (Tom Brabben/Patrick Samuels, HR Wallingford)

• The project has dealt with this issue.

SIRCH (Tom Downing, SEI)

• The project has dealt with this issue.

3.10.4 Contributions from ongoing research

GLOWA (Frank Wechsung, PIK)

• In technical terms like reservoir and water use management and optimisation

HarmoniQuA Public participation (Hans Jorgen Hendriksen, GEUS)

• Guidance-monitoring-reporting software (MoST) for QA of modelling processes

for seven domains (available in ½-1 year). Only minimum PP (information /

consultation)

3.10.5 Other relevant (upcoming) (overview) articles