ArticlePDF AvailableLiterature Review

Setting the Stage for Habitable Planets

MDPI
Life
Authors:

Abstract and Figures

Our understanding of the processes that are relevant to the formation and maintenance of habitable planetary systems is advancing at a rapid pace, both from observation and theory. The present review focuses on recent research that bears on this topic and includes discussions of processes occurring in astrophysical, geophysical and climatic contexts, as well as the temporal evolution of planetary habitability. Special attention is given to recent observations of exoplanets and their host stars and the theories proposed to explain the observed trends. Recent theories about the early evolution of the Solar System and how they relate to its habitability are also summarized. Unresolved issues requiring additional research are pointed out, and a framework is provided for estimating the number of habitable planets in the Universe.
Content may be subject to copyright.
Life 2014, 4, 35-65; doi:10.3390/life4010035
life
ISSN 2075-1729
www.mdpi.com/journal/life
Review
Setting the Stage for Habitable Planets
Guillermo Gonzalez
Department of Physics and Astronomy, Ball State University, Muncie, IN 47306, USA;
E-Mail: ggonzalez@bsu.edu; Tel.: +1-765-285-4719; Fax: +1-765-285-5674
Received: 25 October 2013; in revised form: 10 February 2014 / Accepted: 17 February 2014 /
Published: 21 February 2014
Abstract: Our understanding of the processes that are relevant to the formation and
maintenance of habitable planetary systems is advancing at a rapid pace, both from
observation and theory. The present review focuses on recent research that bears on this
topic and includes discussions of processes occurring in astrophysical, geophysical and
climatic contexts, as well as the temporal evolution of planetary habitability. Special
attention is given to recent observations of exoplanets and their host stars and the theories
proposed to explain the observed trends. Recent theories about the early evolution of the
Solar System and how they relate to its habitability are also summarized. Unresolved
issues requiring additional research are pointed out, and a framework is provided for
estimating the number of habitable planets in the Universe.
Keywords: habitable zone; planetary dynamics; extrasolar planets
1. Introduction
The circumstellar habitable zone (CHZ) has served as a unifying concept in astrobiology for several
decades, but the broader astrophysical context of habitability (e.g., the origin and distribution of the
elements that go into forming planets) requires that we also consider galactic-scale habitability
(galactic habitable zone (GHZ)) and cosmic-scale habitability (cosmic habitable age (CHA)) [1].
However, these divisions of habitability are somewhat arbitrary, and some processes relevant to
habitability cannot be easily confined to just one type of zone. In particular, the steps leading to the
formation of a habitable planet encompass all of cosmic history when the astrophysical sources of the
elements that go into making it are considered. While we make extensive use of these habitable zone
divisions in the present review, we will also point out their inadequacies.
OPEN ACCESS
Life 2014, 4 36
It is important to clearly define what we mean by the term “habitable planet”. Some will object
that the word “planet” is too restrictive. In principle, a habitable environment might be located on a
non-planetary body. Perhaps the term “habitable body” would be preferred, which could include such
possibly habitable objects as dwarf planets and moons. However, the possibility of a habitable
environment apart from the surface or near the surface of a rocky (terrestrial) planet remains highly
speculative, and we already know that a terrestrial planet can be habitable (e.g., Earth). However, we
do include discussion in the present review of the possibility of habitable moons, since such bodies are
still “planet-like”, even though they are not technically planets.
Second, the word “habitable” can take on a number of meanings. As employed in the present
review, habitability refers to the capability of starting life and sustaining it. A habitable planet could
include an environment capable of supporting only one or two extremophile species in low abundance
or a lush and diverse biosphere. The word “life” can also take on a number of meanings. Sometimes,
life is divided into “simple” and “complex” or “single-celled” and “animal”, with corresponding estimates
of the CHZ boundaries for each type of life that can originate and be sustained [2]. Even alternative
kinds of chemistry upon which life might be based are sometimes considered, but such explorations
are highly speculative and have not produced viable instances. In the present review, we will therefore
restrict the discussions to carbon- and water-based life residing on the surface or near-surface of a
terrestrial-type planet. We focus on the habitability requirements for complex metazoan life (given its
greater sensitivity to astrophysical, geophysical and climatological factors).
The conditions required for the continued existence of life on a planet are probably different
and less specific than the conditions required for its origin. For example, some origin-of-life
scenarios require dry land to be present and go through dry-wet cycles, something not possible on a
“water world” [3]. A planet that fails to be in the required “window” for the origin of life early in its
history could later be within the CHZ, but lack life [4]. Contrariwise, a planet that was once habitable
can go through a sterilization phase; it could return to a habitable state, but lack life. These cases serve
to remind us that a planet can be habitable, while at the same time being uninhabited. Therefore, to
determine if a planet is habitable at some specific time, it is necessary to follow its detailed evolution
from the time of its formation.
Following [5,6], it is helpful to define four classes of potentially habitable planets. Class I habitats
maintain liquid water on the surface and are exposed to light form the host star. Earth is an example of
a Class I habitat. A Class II habitat begins with surface water, but loses it within a few billion years.
Mars and Venus are in Class II. Class III habitats have a subsurface water ocean that interacts with the
silicate interior. Europa is an example of this class. Class IV habitats have liquid water above an ice
layer, separating the liquid water from the silicate core. Ganymede and Callisto are probably examples
of a Class IV habitat. In the present review, we will only consider Class I habitats, as this is the most
likely class to be potentially habitable.
The field of astrobiology has developed at an ever-increasing pace in the last decade, and it
continues to attract researchers with diverse backgrounds. This is needed, as astrobiology covers
highly diverse topics, ranging from biology to cosmology. It is very difficult to present a complete
review of astrobiology. Even within the “narrow” focus of the present short review on the conditions
required for planetary habitability, it is not possible to cover all the relevant research. Given this, I will
Life 2014, 4 37
limit the review to those recent studies that are most likely to have the greatest influence on future
research in this area.
The present review is organized as follows. We begin by discussing the CHZ, GHZ and CHA
concepts as they relate to setting the preconditions for the formation of habitable planets. This is
followed by reviews of the latest observational and theoretical research on exoplanets and the early
history of the Solar System. We close with a suggested framework for estimating the number of
habitable planets in the Universe.
2. The CHZ, GHZ and CHA Concepts and Habitable Planet Formation
2.1. The Circumstellar Habitable Zone (CHZ)
In the most basic version, the CHZ is defined assuming an energy balance between a terrestrial
planet and its host star. A terrestrial-type planet within the CHZ of its host star is considered
potentially habitable if it can maintain liquid water on its surface. More often, the circumstellar
continuously habitable zone (CCHZ) is considered, which is the region of continuous habitability over
at least a few billions of years. Recent studies of the CCHZ and CHZ build on the seminal work of
James Kasting and collaborators of 20 years ago [7]. They calculated a set of CHZ models for the Sun
and stars of other stellar spectral types. They differed from earlier models primarily by including the
carbonate silicate feedback cycle and a more accurate treatment of energy transport in the atmosphere.
Kasting et al. [7] defined the inner boundary of the CHZ in multiple ways. One is based on the
“moist greenhouse”. In this process, water gets into the stratosphere, where it is dissociated by solar
UV radiation, and the H atoms are lost from the top of the atmosphere. A second definition for the
inner boundary is based on the runaway greenhouse effect. They calculated the outer boundary
according to the maximum possible CO2 greenhouse or the increase of planetary albedo, due to the
formation of CO2 clouds. The inner and outer boundaries were also estimated from the observed states
of Venus and Mars, respectively. Their most restrictive case has inner and outer boundaries of
0.95 and 1.37 AUs, respectively.
Many papers on the CHZ have been published since 1993. Several efforts have focused on improving
the modeling of radiative processes in a planet’s atmosphere. For example, [6,8] have found, contrary
to prior work, that the formation of CO2 clouds near the outer boundary of the CHZ produces little to
no additional greenhouse warming. In addition, Forget [6] showed that the greenhouse warming
contributed by gas-phase CO2 was probably overestimated by Kasting et al. [7]. Both these corrections
lead to a smaller outer radius for the CHZ than had been previously calculated. Shields et al. [9] find
that ice and snow albedo feedback is dependent upon the host star’s spectrum and leads to a greater
climate sensitivity to changes in the host star for hotter stars; this results in an increase in the inner
radius of the CHZ around F and G stars. Kopparapu et al. [10,11] employed cloud-free 1D climate
models for F to M spectral types and found that the inner edge radius is increased relative to previous
calculations; for the Solar System, they find that the moist greenhouse inner edge is only 0.01 AU
inside the Earth’s orbit! Not surprisingly, a continuing source of uncertainty in the calculations of CHZ
boundaries (as well as climate sensitivity research for Earth) concerns the treatment of clouds.
Life 2014, 4 38
The star in a planetary system supplies the energy needed to maintain liquid water on the surface of
a terrestrial planet in the CHZ, and this is the only role it plays in most studies of the CHZ. However, it
has other important effects on the terrestrial planets that are likely important for habitability.
These include its gravitational influences, UV radiation, particle radiation and the stellar wind and
irradiance variations.
Another constraint on the boundaries of the CHZ comes about when the positive and negative
effects of the UV radiation from the host star are included [12]. The inner boundary of the “UV-CHZ”
is set by the maximum UV flux that DNA can tolerate, and the outer boundary is set by the minimum
required UV flux for biochemical reactions. Guo et al. [13] find that only stars between about 0.6 and
1.9 Ms will be within both the traditional CHZ and the UV-CHZ.
Particle radiation escaping from a star is produced in its chromosphere and corona and can greatly
increase during coronal mass ejection (CME) events, which are often associated with flares. Ionizing
radiation (particles and short wavelength electromagnetic radiation) can damage the ozone UV shield
on a planet with an oxygen-rich atmosphere [14]. In the Solar System, the solar wind modulates the
cosmic ray flux (from beyond the Solar System) and affects their flux at the Earth [15]. There is some
evidence for a link between cosmic ray flux and climate, but it remains controversial [16]. Recently, a
spike in the atmospheric C-14 level was found to have occurred in AD 774-775; it has been attributed
to a very strong solar proton event (more intense than any similar event measured during the satellite
era or from paleo records going back several thousand years) and should have had moderate ozone
depletion [17]. It corresponded to a fluence of protons with energy > 30 MeV near 5 × 1010 cm2 [18].
Stronger solar flares and related phenomena of increasing magnitude occur with decreasing frequency,
but radionuclide evidence from lunar rocks indicates an upper limit on their magnitude up to a
timescale of a Myr (megayear) [19].
Very large transient increases in the radiation from Sun-like stars, termed superflares, have been
suspected for nearly 20 years, but high quality statistics have only become available in the last few
years from observations made with Kepler. The distribution of the superflare occurrence rate with
energy follows a power law form similar to that observed for solar flares, and the occurrence rate for
flares with energy in the rate 1034 to 1035 erg (107 erg = 1 Joule) is estimated to be once in 800 to
5000 years, and the strongest flares observed are about a million times as energetic as the strongest
observed solar flare [20]; the most energetic solar flare to occur during the satellite era produced about
1032 erg [21]. Stars that rotate more slowly produce superflares less frequently than fast rotators, but
they are comparable in energy [22]. It had already been known for some time that the gradual slowing
of the rotation of a sun-like star as it ages corresponds with the decline of its activity. A recent
surprising discovery is the occurrence of superflares in some early F and A stars (with typical energies
of 1035 and 1036 erg, respectively) [23].
Compared to the quiescent luminosity of a star, flares in K and M dwarfs are relatively more
energetic than flares in G dwarfs. This is relevant to habitability, because the location of the traditional
CHZ is determined by the quiescent luminosity of a star. Therefore, a planet in the CHZ of an M dwarf
will be subjected to a much greater flux of intermittent ionizing radiation than a planet in the CHZ of a
G dwarf. Both the particle and electromagnetic ionizing radiation can damage the ozone layer of an
Earth-like atmosphere, and a portion of the energy from the X-ray and gamma ray photons can be
redistributed to biologically damaging UV radiation that reaches the surface of a planet [24]. In addition,
Life 2014, 4 39
Sun-like stars that have more frequent flares also have larger irradiance variations on multiple
timescales [25], likely causing larger climate variations.
Ionizing radiation and stellar winds can remove the atmosphere from an Earth-like planet in
the CHZ of a low mass star, but the timescale for its loss depends on several factors, including the
masses of the planet and its atmosphere, its distance from the host star and the strength of its magnetic
field [26]. The strength of a terrestrial planet’s magnetic field, in turn, depends on several factors,
including the presence of liquid iron in its core and its rotation period [27]. The rotation of a planet in
the CHZ of an M dwarf will be slowed due to the action of the tides from its host star, leading to a
weakening of its magnetic field on relatively short timescales and, hence, more rapid loss of its water
and part of its atmosphere [27,28].
A planet orbiting a low mass star can become tidally locked on relatively short timescales [29]. As a
planet approaches rotational synchronization, it also undergoes “tilt erosion”, which results in a very
low obliquity for the planet’s rotation axis [29]. This effectively eliminates seasonal variations on the
planet and makes it more likely that its water will be locked up on its night side. This poses a number
of potential problems for the habitability of the planet. For example, if the temperature at any location
on the planet (such as its night side and/or at high elevation) is permanently below the freezing point of
water, then the water becomes trapped there (an “ice trap”), resulting in a dry world [30]. Simulations
of tidally-locked terrestrial-type planets have shown that a thick CO2 atmosphere can avoid freezing
temperatures on the night side [31]; of course, such a planet would not support animal life, which
requires a low-CO2, high-O2 atmosphere. Moreover, planet formation models indicate that terrestrial
planets formed in the CHZ of M dwarf stars might be deficient in volatiles [32]. Earth avoids the
potential catastrophe of cold traps, due to its short rotation period, relatively thick atmosphere and
oceans and modest obliquity angle; if Earth’s obliquity angle were close to zero degrees, for example,
it would be in danger of having cold traps at its poles. Excessive tidal heating, like the case of Io in our
Solar System, can cause a planet approaching rotational synchronization to lose most of its hydrogen
and, thus, water; such planets have been dubbed “Tidal Venuses” [33]. Tidal locking can also create
new climate instabilities not previously considered [34].
More researchers are beginning to tackle the question of exomoon habitability, that is, the
habitability of a moon that orbits a Jovian planet within the CHZ of its host star [35–37]. Such a world
faces a number of severe challenges to its habitability. First, it is likely that Ganymede is near the
maximum mass for a moon that forms around a Jovian planet like Jupiter. Models of in situ formation
of moons show, however, that more massive planets are accompanied by more massive moons, and
that Mars-size to Earth-size moons could form around Jovian planets near the upper end of their mass
range (~13 Jupiter masses) [35]. Such massive Jovian planets are uncommon. Second, a moon will
undergo rotational synchronization relatively quickly, resulting in slower rotation compared to Earth;
it would likely have a weaker magnetic field. It could be protected by the host planet’s magnetic field,
but it would then experience high particle radiation levels [37]. Third, a moon orbiting a Jovian planet
in the CHZ would likely have been brought there by its migrating host, having formed farther from the
host star, beyond the “frost-line”; its composition would likely reflect that of the large icy moons in the
outer Solar System. If the Jovian planet migration is due to torque from the protoplanetary disk,
any accompanying moons are likely to survive its trek to the CHZ [38]. However, if a planet’s journey
to the CHZ is the result of planet-planet scattering, which is more likely for the more massive Jovian
Life 2014, 4 40
planets, then its moons are unlikely to survive [39]. In both cases, the probability of a moon remaining
with its Jovian planet host is smaller if the moon is farther from the planet. Fourth, for certain
combinations of planet-moon parameters, the tidal heating a moon experiences can be severe, as Io in
our Solar System well illustrates. Fifth, the gravitational focusing effect of the Jovian planet host will
make impacts on its moons both more frequent and more energetic than they otherwise would be.
A largely unexplored effect on the location of the outer boundary of the CHZ is the radial
dependence of the asteroid and comet impact rates on a terrestrial planet. The asteroid impact rate on
Mars from meteorites impacting with energies greater than a megaton is estimated to be about five
times that on Earth, determined from crater counts [40]. This should not be surprising, given Mars’
proximity to the asteroid belt. Indeed, [41] have performed simulations of asteroid and comet impacts
on the terrestrial planets, finding that Mars receives many more impacts than Earth, despite its smaller
size; they also find that fewer comets impact Mars, but the numbers are comparable when the planets’
different sizes are taken into account. Of course, the asteroid impact threat on planets in the CHZs of
exoplanetary systems will depend on the properties of the asteroid belts in those systems; Martin and
Livio [42] argue that the formation of an asteroid belt in a planetary system is most sensitive to the
location of the snow line and whether giant planets in the system undergo a large amount of migration.
The details of the formation of the asteroid belt in the Solar System are reviewed in Section 3.3 below.
The above discussion of the CHZ is relevant to the case of planets orbiting a single star. The
observed fraction of stars in binary and higher order multiple star systems in the solar neighborhood is
about 46% [43], which is smaller than previous estimates, such as those of Duquennoy and
Mayor [44]. Ragvadan et al. [43] also show that metal-poor stars are more likely to be accompanied by
stellar companions than solar-metallicity stars. The situation for planetary habitability changes
considerably when binary and multiple stars are considered. Both dynamical and radiation fluxes need
to be taken into account. The two types of planetary orbits usually considered in binary systems are
P-type (the planet orbits both binary components) and S-type (the planet orbits one binary component).
Several studies have explored planetary habitability in both types of binaries primarily through
numerical means [45–49] and also analytically [50].
2.2. The Galactic Habitable Zone (GHZ)
Gonzalez et al. [51] and Lineweaver [52] introduced the galactic habitable zone (GHZ) concept.
The GHZ describes the regions of the Milky Way most likely to contain habitable planetary systems.
Two classes of processes set its boundaries: the formation of Earth-like planets and threats to life.
Another possible way to describe these processes is the following: setting the initial conditions for the
formation of a habitable planetary system and the ability of a planetary system to sustain (complex)
life over several billions of years. Gonzalez et al. examined the first class within the context of galactic
chemical evolution. The second class includes gamma ray bursts, supernovae, comet showers and
encounters with interstellar clouds [1,53,54]. Lineweaver [55] provided a more quantitative treatment
of the GHZ from numerical galactic chemical evolution models, which they used to study the effects
of metallicity on the formation of Earth-like planets and the distribution of supernovae.
Gonzalez et al. [51] assumed that the typical mass of a terrestrial planet scales with metallicity
raised to the 1.5 power. Lineweaver [52] assumed, instead, that the probability of forming an
Life 2014, 4 41
Earth-like planet is linearly proportional to metallicity and drops to zero for a metallicity value of 1/10
solar. Lineweaver [52] also assumed that the probability of destroying Earths from the destabilizing
effects of migrating giant planets increases linearly with the incidence of hot Jupiters. All these
assumptions need to be revisited in the light of recent exoplanet observations and theoretical work.
Empirical constraints on the dependencies of terrestrial and giant planet incidences on host star
metallicity will be discussed in Section 3.1, and simulations of planetary system formation and
evolution will be discussed in Section 3.2.
The dependence of planet formation on metallicity translates into a variation of planet formation
with location and time in the Milky Way Galaxy (and the broader Universe). For example, the Milky
Way, like other spiral galaxies, exhibits a radial disk metallicity gradient in the sense that the outer
disk is more metal-poor than the inner disk. Thus, planets should form more easily in the inner galaxy.
While this is an extrapolation based partly on local observations, there is some empirical support for
this claim [56]. In addition, the metallicity of the disk gas has been increasing since the Milky Way
formed. This implies that the rate of planet formation should be increasing with time. These trends
help to define the present day GHZ and its evolution.
Metallicity varies with time and location in the Milky Way Galaxy. The galaxy is often subdivided
into the halo, bulge and disk, each component characterized by the distribution, dynamics and nature
of its matter content. While occupying the largest volume, the halo contains only old metal-poor stars.
The bulge has the highest density of stars, which range in metallicity from about one-thirtieth solar to
about three times solar [57]. Most of the bulge stars are within a few kiloparsecs (kpc) of the galactic
center and have large orbital inclinations relative to the disk.
As a result of the continuing star formation in the thin disk, the metallicity of the gas, and thus of
the stars that form from it, has steadily increased. The observational signature of the metallicity
evolution is termed the age-metallicity relation (AMR). The rate of star formation is not spatially
uniform in the disk. Star formation has preceded more quickly in the inner disk of the galaxy, the
observational evidence of which is the radial metallicity gradient, α.
Within the context of defining the boundaries of the GHZ, α is the most important spatial
metallicity trend in the galaxy. Many estimates of α have been published over the past two decades
using a variety of chemical abundance tracers. The disk metallicity tracers can be divided into two
groups: “zero-age” and old objects. The zero-age objects include H II regions, B stars, Classical Cepheids
(“Cepheids” from here on), young dwarf stars and young open clusters. As the name implies, zero-age
objects were formed very recently, and hence, their compositions should be representative of their
local environment. They are no more than a few hundred Myr old. Old tracers include K giants, old
dwarf stars, old open clusters and planetary nebulae. These objects are a few Gyr (gigayears) to 12 Gyr
in age. The advantage of employing zero-age objects to determine the value of α is that they have not had
much time to wander far in radial position since their birth. We can denote the present value of α as α0.
The reliability of chemical abundance determination depends on both the type of object and on the
element being studied. Chemical abundances can be determined reliably for a wide range of elements
for Cepheids, K giants and Sun-like stars (whether in the field or in open clusters). In particular, the
abundant metals, Si and Fe (and somewhat less precisely, O), can be measured reliably in these stars;
reliable O abundances have also been determined for B stars. These types of objects also tend to be
more uniform in their properties. In contrast, relatively few elements are measurable in the spectra of
Life 2014, 4 42
H II regions and planetary nebulae, but O is one of them. Moreover, the methods employed to derive
nebular abundances are based on assumptions that are not as well justified as those that make use of
line formation in stellar atmospheres. In particular, H II regions can have abundance, density and
temperature variations that are not well modeled; the correction for condensation onto grains is not
always well known, and dust reddening must be corrected for [58]. The estimate of α0 for O using H II
regions is 0.043 dex·kpc1 [59].
Cepheids and open clusters have another advantage over other tracers: their distances can be
measured accurately over a large fraction of the galaxy’s radial extent. This is important because α0 is
best determined when the span in the mean galactocentric radius, Rm, is greatest. Open clusters have
the additional advantage that their ages can be accurately determined, permitting analysis of α for a
range of ages. The average value of α from recent studies of open clusters is about 0.06 dex·kpc1
(see Lemasle et al. [60] for a summary of recent measurements). Empirical determinations of the time
derivative of α remain very uncertain, but its absolute value is probably less than 0.01 dex·kpc1 Gyr1.
Recent determinations of α0 using Cepheids observed over the range Rm = 4 to 17 kpc have converged
on a value near 0.07 dex·kpc1 [60,61].
The present metallicity of the solar neighborhood had been, until recently, a difficult number to pin
down. Unless a sample is carefully prepared to contain only young objects, it can be contaminated by
old objects visiting the solar neighborhood from distant regions of the galaxy. Recently, abundances of
several elements have been carefully determined with high accuracy in a sample of 29 early B stars in
the solar neighborhood, finding Si and Fe abundances nearly identical to those of the present
Sun [62]. These results also imply that the interstellar medium (ISM) out of which the B stars
formed must have been homogeneous and well-mixed. Consistent with the findings of Nieva and
Przybilla [62], Nittler [63], who employed measurements of isotope ratios in presolar grains, argued
that supernova ejecta do not produce more than one percent inhomogeneity in the interstellar medium.
The close agreement between the present solar abundances and the B star abundances, however, is
only a coincidence. The original metallicity of the Sun was higher than the currently measured value
by about 0.04 dex, due to the effects of atomic diffusion in its atmosphere. Furthermore, the metallicity
of the ISM is steadily increasing, due to galactic chemical evolution (GCE). A rate of increase of
[Fe/H] of 0.017 dex·Gyr1 has been determined from detailed spectroscopic observations of nearby F
and G dwarf stars [64]. In order to account for the relatively high initial metallicity of the 4.6 Gyr old
Sun compared to the present local ISM, Nieva and Przybilla [62] estimate that the Sun has migrated
outward in the galaxy by about five to 6 kpc since it formed; they also cite as evidence for the solar
migration the C/O ratio in the Sun compared to nearby B stars. In other words, a metallicity similar to
that of the present local ISM was reached at a location well inside the present solar position in the
Milky Way disk when the Sun formed.
There is little doubt that the inner regions of the Milky Way are populated by far more Jovian
planets per unit volume than the solar neighborhood, both from the higher densities and the higher
metallicities of the stars there. The number of terrestrial planets per unit volume should also increase
towards the galactic center, but not as much as giants. Thus, stars in the inner galaxy should be relatively
richer in Jovian planets compared to terrestrial planets, and the converse would be true for the outer
regions. This expected trend should have significant consequences for the GHZ, since Jovian planets
have multiple important effects on the habitability of a planetary system (see Sections 3.2 and 3.3).
Life 2014, 4 43
The galactic parameters summarized above are important constraints on GCE models. A well-calibrated
GCE model can be used to determine the metallicity of stars forming at any location and time in the
Milky Way. It can also be used to model aspects of the Milky Way not directly observable in the
distant past, such as the evolution of the supernova rate. Gowanlock et al. [65] present what is
essentially an updated version of Lineweaver et al.’s [55] exploration of the GHZ for the Milky Way
using more detailed GCE modeling, including Monte Carlo methods. While Gowanlock et al. [65]
leave out several important processes likely relevant to galactic-scale habitability (e.g., Oort cloud
comet perturbations [54,66], nuclear outbursts, encounters with interstellar clouds [67]), their approach
is the one required to make progress in modeling the complex chemo-dynamical processes that will be
adopted to define the GHZ.
The next step is the application of the GHZ concept to other nearby galaxies, including galaxies
very different from the Milky Way. Carigi et al. [68] were the first to explore the GHZ in M31, the
Andromeda Galaxy. They employed a GCE model to follow the evolution of the metallicity and the
supernova rate in its disk and halo; they excluded the bulge given its high stellar density. Suthar and
McKay [69] explored the GHZ for two elliptical galaxies, M32 and M87, but they only considered the
effects of metallicity.
Empirical approaches to learning about galactic-scale habitability factors are also possible. In particular,
many studies have sought a link between Earth’s geological records and astrophysical processes
occurring beyond the Solar System. Some reported to have found evidence of or influences from
supernovae [70,71], the passages of the Solar System through spiral arms [72] or through interstellar
clouds [67] and even the effects of gamma ray bursts [73]. However, these kinds of studies have also
been subject to frequent criticisms (e.g., [74–76]). Continued research in this area is certainly warranted.
2.3. The Cosmic Habitable Age (CHA)
The broadest framework for discussing habitability is the CHA [1,52]. This is also the least
explored habitable zone concept. It is not a spatial zone, but rather, a temporal zone of habitability over
the course of the evolution of the Universe. Given that the Universe has changed so dramatically since
its origin, the question naturally arises why we observe ourselves to be living during this particular time
as opposed to some other time. Clearly, chemically-based life is not possible in the very early Universe
before atoms formed or in the distant future, after all the stars burn out. Other considerations indicate
that the boundaries of the CHA are much narrower than these extreme limits.
Progress in refining the CHA will come primarily from improvements in our understanding of the
evolution of the cosmic star formation rate. The star formation rate of a galaxy depends, primarily, on
the gas abundance. Star formation, in turn, determines the evolution of the supernova rate and gas
phase metallicity in galaxies. However, the relationships are not straightforward, as these processes
feedback on the star formation rate [77–79].
If all galaxies were just like the Milky Way, then the GHZ could just be applied to other galaxies.
However, they are not; there is great variation in their properties. Galaxies differ in their Hubble types
(elliptical, spiral or irregular), environment (isolated, group member or cluster member), metallicities,
luminosities, masses and star formation rates. Some of these properties correlate with each other and
evolve over time.
Life 2014, 4 44
Habitable planet formation is most likely to occur over some range of metallicities. A galaxy’s
average metallicity increases over the history of the Universe, resulting in more probable formation of
planets around each new star. The overall cosmic star formation rate has been decreasing over the
history of the Universe, though local effects, such as collisions between galaxies, can temporarily
enhance their star formation rates. Since an important class of astrophysical threat to life on a planet
depends on the star formation rate, it is likely that the Universe overall is becoming safer.
Large surveys of galaxies over a range of redshift (e.g., [80,81]) are resulting in advances in our
understanding of the relationships among these galactic properties. For example, the mass-metallicity
relation, which describes the positive correlation between the total stellar mass of a galaxy and either
the gas-phase or stellar metallicity, is now well-established from observations [82]; this means that low
mass (and, therefore, low luminosity) galaxies are metal-poor and, hence, unlikely to contain habitable
planetary systems. While there have not been any fundamental changes in understanding how they
apply to the CHA since this topic was last reviewed in 2005 [1], it deserves to be revisited soon.
3. Learning from Exoplanets and the Solar System
3.1. Observed Trends among Exoplanets
Most exoplanet detections to date have come from two methods: Doppler and photometric transits.
The Doppler surveys primarily target nearby field stars. The Doppler method has resulted in the
detection of about 532 planets in 400 systems. The transit surveys primarily target distant stars. By far
the most successful transit survey to date is NASA’s space-based Kepler mission, which has detected
just over 3538 exoplanet candidates as of November, 2013 [83]; sadly, its primary mission ended in
2013, due to hardware failure. Kepler has detected planets smaller in size than Earth. The similar
CoRoT (COnvection ROtation and planetary Transits) mission has detected about 500 candidate
transiting planets [84]. The major advantage of the nearby star surveys is that the distances to the stars
are accurately known. Only when an exoplanet has been detected with both methods, its size and mass
and, therefore, its density can be determined. This has been done with a few nearby stars and several
dozen exoplanets discovered with Kepler.
Following the discoveries of the first few exoplanets (using the Doppler method), it quickly became
apparent that exoplanetary systems do not resemble the Solar System; this is also true when detection
biases are taken into account. Most systems either have planets in very short period orbits
(“hot Jupiters”) or planets in longer period eccentric orbits. For approximately the first 10 years, only
massive planets (~0.5 < Mp < 12 MJ) could be detected (termed “Jovian” planets, after Jupiter).
The incidence of Jovian-mass planets has been found to rise steeply with increasing orbital period [85].
Refinements to the Doppler method (and also the gravitational microlensing method) have led to
discoveries of many planets between the mass of Earth and Neptune (“super Earths”), as well as an
abundance of Neptune mass planets. Among nearby solar-type stars, the incidence of planets of all
detectable masses with periods less than 100 days is at least 50%; the planet mass histogram for
periods less than 100 days peaks at a few tens of Earth masses and drops sharply for masses above
40 Earth masses [85].
Life 2014, 4 45
The Kepler data permit the most accurate estimate of the incidence of Earth-size planets to be made.
The data are most complete for orbital periods less than about 200 days; for these, the incidence of
planets between one and two Earth radii and receiving between 0.25 and four times the stellar light
insolation that Earth receives from the Sun is found to be 11% ± 4% of Sun-like stars [86].
Extrapolation of this estimate to orbital periods comparable to that of the Earth (around a solar analog
star) has also been done [86]. However, extrapolation is always risky, and it is even more risky here.
This is very likely to be an over-estimate of the incidence of habitable Earth-like planets, given that it
is based on generous ranges of stellar insolation and planet size. A range of one to two Earth radii
might not seem very broad, but this corresponds to a mass range of roughly one to 10 Earth masses.
Figure 1 shows the dataset upon which this estimate is based. Note that only one planet within the
green box in the figure is comparable in size to the Earth. Another recent analysis of the Kepler data
finds that 16.5% of main sequence FGK stars have at least one planet between 0.8 and 1.25 Earth radii
and periods less than 85 days [87].
Figure 1. Figure 4 from [86] based on Kepler observations of small planets. The green box
contains the planets most similar in size and received stellar insolation to Earth.
Other important trends include the mass and radius distributions of planets. The incidence of planets
rises steeply with decreasing mass in the Doppler samples of nearby stars, and it rises steeply with
decreasing radius in the Kepler transit survey sample; below ~2.8 Earth radii, the Kepler planet size
distribution levels off [88]. When both the mass and radius are measured for an exoplanet, it is
possible to say something about its composition. Figure 2 shows that the most likely compositions for
the well-characterized exoplanets spans the range from metallic to gas giants, including a number of
highly extended gas giants. This figure also illustrates the high sensitivity of planet mass on radius for
a rocky planet composition.
The eccentricity distribution of Doppler-detected planets more massive than Saturn and with orbits
beyond 1 AU peaks near 0.2, but it has a long tail extending close to 1.0 [89]. An up-to-date
eccentricity distribution is shown in Figure 3; its median value is 0.18, and increasing the minimum
orbital period plotted from 20 to several hundred days increases the median slightly to about 0.22.
For reference, Jupiter and Saturn have orbital eccentricities of 0.048 and 0.053, respectively.
Life 2014, 4 46
Figure 2. Figure 3 from [88] showing the radii and masses of well-characterized
exoplanets as red open circles. Modeled mass-radius curves for various pure compositions
are shown as blue curves. Solar System planets are shown as green triangles. Figure courtesy
of Andrew W. Howard.
Figure 3. Eccentricity distribution of 394 exoplanets with orbital periods greater than
20 days from the vetted data in the Exoplanet Orbit Database. The median value of the
distribution is 0.18.
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
60
50
40
30
20
10
Orbital Eccentricity
Distribution
exoplanets.org | 11/28/2013
Life 2014, 4 47
Many multiple planet systems have been discovered, both among the nearby star Doppler samples
and the Kepler sample. About one-third of the ~1200 candidate planets discovered with Kepler during
the first four months of observations were found to be members of multiple planet systems [90].
One of the somewhat surprising discoveries among both the nearby and Kepler samples is the
existence of systems having two or more planets in or near mean motion resonances (meaning that
orbital period pairs form simple ratios of small integers, such as 2:1). However, dynamicists had
known that this was a theoretical possibility amongst planets prior to the discovery of the first such
system (around the star, GJ 876).
Short-period planets tend to have very circular orbits, which presumably have been circularized by
tidal interactions with the host stars [91]. Other star-planet dynamical interactions leading to changes
in the rotation periods of the host stars have been inferred from the observed deficit of planets around
fast-rotating stars in the Kepler sample [92] and smaller projected rotation velocities (vsini) among
nearby stars, with Doppler-detected planets compared to stars without planets [93].
The correlation between the host star’s metallicity and the presence of Doppler-detected giant
planets was the first important star-planet relation to be discovered [94]. This trend has since been
confirmed independently by several research groups [95,96]. The incidence of giant planets rises
steeply for dwarf stars that are more metal-rich than the Sun; a power-law equation describes the
relative frequency of Jovian-mass planets:
=10
󰇟
󰇠 (1)
where C ~ 0.02–0.04 and α = 1.26–2.94 [97]. Assuming α = 2.94, if a star has [Fe/H] = 0.20, then it is
almost four times more likely to host a Jovian planet compared to a star with solar metallicity.
Stars forming today in the disk of the Milky Way three kiloparsecs inside the solar circle have this
value of [Fe/H]. From these considerations, we can infer that the incidence of giant planets must be a
steep function of galactocentric distance. However, the functional form of the metallicity dependence
is still poorly constrained for planet hosts more metal-poor than the Sun; the data are consistent with
either a continued power-law drop-off of incidence below solar metallicity or a constant incidence in
this region [98]. The lower limit on [Fe/H] for hosting a Jovian planet appears to be close to 0.5.
A similar trend is not seen for Neptune-mass and smaller planets; their relative frequency appears to be
independent of [Fe/H] [85,99].
More complex relations between the host star and planet properties have recently emerged from
careful study of the nearby star Doppler data. However, one should be cautious in accepting these
findings, as the planetary orbital parameters and even the inventory are still being updated. Dawson
and Murray-Clay [100] have shown that giant planets orbiting stars more metal-poor than the Sun and
having semi-major axes less than 1 AU and greater than 0.1 AU (“valley giants”) tend to have more
circular orbits than more metal-rich stars with giant planets. They also show that the incidence of hot
Jupiters is greater around more metal-rich stars.
The incidence of Doppler-detected planets also appears to depend on the mass of the host star.
Although the statistics are still weak, the current data indicate a positive correlation between planet
incidence and host star mass, such that the incidence of giant planets climbs from about 2% for
0.4 Msun stars to about 6% for 1.4 Msun stars [101].
Life 2014, 4 48
3.2. Exoplanets Theory
It quickly became apparent following the discovery of the first exoplanet around a sun-like star
(51 Pegasi) that exoplanetary systems are generally not like the Solar System and that additional
processes not previously thought to be important in the Solar System must be invoked to explain the
new observed trends. To account for the hot Jupiters, like 51 Pegasi, for example, several researchers
soon proposed various migration mechanisms. Migration seems to be the only way to get a Jovian
planet, which presumably formed just beyond the “snow line” several AUs from the host star, to be
found within 1 AU of it (Jupiter orbits 5.2 AU from the Sun). In addition, it became necessary to
consider processes that result in Jovian planets having highly eccentric orbits, something unknown in
the Solar System.
Planet migration remains an active, though difficult, area of research. Multiple migration
mechanisms have been proposed, including gravitational interactions with the proto-planetary disk
(either both the gas and planetesimal components or individually) [102,103], the Kozai mechanism,
due to a distant stellar companion causing the orbit of a Jovian planet to become highly eccentric,
which then becomes smaller and more circular via tidal forces from the host star [104], the Kozai
mechanism, due to another planet [105], planet-planet scattering [106] and secular chaos [107].
Migration shapes the architecture of a planetary system either during the earliest stages of planet
formation when gas and some solids are still present and/or later stages of planetary evolution after the
disk gas has been lost. In the earliest stages of the formation of a planetary system, only gas and some
solids in the form of grains are present in the disk. Then, grains begin to coalesce to form larger
bodies; the bulk of the disk mass, however, is still in the form of gas. The three types of migration due
to gravitational interactions between the gas disk and a planet are Type I, II and III [108]. Type I
migration occurs when a planet with a small mass in relation to the disk it is imbedded within induces
a spiral density wave in the disk, which, in turn, causes the planet to lose angular momentum and move
closer to the star. A more massive planet has a greater effect on the disk and opens up a gap, allowing
the planet and gap to migrate on the longer accretion timescale of the disk; the radial motion of the
planet is coupled to the radial motion of the gas. This Type II migration is thought to be responsible for
the “hot Jupiters”. Type III, or runaway, migration depends on gas flow in the planet’s vicinity, and
movement can be very rapid either inward or outward. Migration can also occur when a planet
interacts with the remnant planetesimal disk after the gas has been lost from the system.
Observational tests of particular planet migration mechanisms have involved using simulations of
synthetic planetary systems that are then compared to observed exoplanet distributions (e.g., [102,109]).
In other words, planet migration has to be included as part of an integrated self-consistent planetary
system formation and evolution model, one which does not lend itself to a simple analytical treatment.
The simulations typically include Monte Carlo methods and N-body dynamics. The models have had
partial success, especially in reproducing the observed exoplanet mass and period distributions.
For example, [110] correctly predicted the minimum in the planet mass distribution near 40 Earth
masses for short period planets. Still, caution is urged here, as the parameters for individual systems
are still being updated as new data are acquired.
One of the rare direct tests of a specific planet migration mechanism is given by [100]. They discovered
that Jovian planets with orbital radii between 0.1 and 1 AU tend to have more eccentric orbits around
Life 2014, 4 49
metal-rich stars compared to metal-poor stars and interpret this as evidence that planet-planet
scattering is more likely to occur in the metal-rich systems. This follows because metal-rich systems
are more likely to form multiple Jovian planets that can then interact with and alter their orbits.
The mechanisms that cause planets to migrate and that increase the eccentricities of Jovian planets
are related. In addition to playing a role in migration, planet-planet scattering was also proposed
early on to explain the high average eccentricities of Jovian planets discovered with the Doppler
method [111]. In addition, the Kozai mechanism is central to both migration and eccentricity pumping.
It was recently shown that exoplanets around stars with wide binary companions tend to have higher
eccentricities than exoplanets around single stars, and simulations show that the perturbing effects of
the stellar companions are likely the cause of this observed difference [112]. This follows because the
orbit of a distant stellar companion continuously changes, due to the changing galactic tide and
impulses from nearby passing stars. Such perturbations can dramatically alter the architecture of a
planetary system, even several Gyrs after its formation. This would be an interesting phenomenon to
explore at different locations in the Milky Way, given the radial variation in both the strength of the
galactic tides and the density of stars and interstellar clouds. It might be the case that the incidence of
wide binary pairs increases with increasing distance from the galactic center.
The eccentricities of the Jovian planets in a system are relevant to the habitability of any terrestrial
planets in that system. First, the variations in eccentricity of a terrestrial planet and its long-term
dynamical stability depend on the eccentricities, masses and locations of the Jovian planets in a
system [113]. The terrestrial planets in a planetary system containing at least one Jovian planet that is
also a member of a binary star system are also influenced by the Kozai mechanism [114]. Terrestrial
planets with larger eccentricities will experience greater climate changes, resulting in lower
habitability [115]. Of course, other factors must also be considered when simulating the evolution of
climate on a terrestrial planet, including obliquity variations, rotation period and the mass and
composition of the atmosphere.
A migrating Jovian planet is likely to be a major influence on the final composition of the terrestrial
planets in a planetary system. In the absence of planet migration, the condensation temperature
sequence for solids in the protoplanetary disk determines the major compositional trends in a forming
planetary system. It not only determines the divide between terrestrial and Jovian planets, but also the
compositional differences among the terrestrial planets and among the Jovian planets. The inner
planets form from refractory minerals in solids composed mainly of O, Al, Ca and Ti, while solids in
the outer disk consist mainly of ices with O, Mg, Si and Fe as the major components. The formation of
the Jovian planets is especially sensitive to the original metallicity of the gas (as noted above).
The initial C/O and Mg/Si ratios are also important in determining the composition of the
solids [116]. Jovian planet migration has the effect of redistributing solid material throughout the disk.
As it migrates inward through the terrestrial planet region, material in its path either migrates along
with the Jovian planet or is scattered to the outer regions of the disk. Simulations of terrestrial planet
formation in the presence of Type II Jovian planet migration reveal two important results [116]. First,
migration increases the fraction of terrestrial planets with a bulk composition similar to that of the
Earth (mostly O, Mg, Si and Fe). Second, migration greatly increases the amount of water incorporated
into the terrestrial planets, very likely resulting in water worlds.
Life 2014, 4 50
In the absence of Jovian planet migration, the delivery of water to the terrestrial planet region from
the outer disk has been found to be sensitive to the eccentricity of the Jovian planet. More eccentric
Jovian planet orbits lead to a reduced water delivery to the terrestrial planets [117]. The results of these
kinds of simulations are already very suggestive, but additional simulations of water delivery to
terrestrial planets in systems with different architectures are required.
3.3. The Solar System
Consideration of these new planetary system-shaping processes has caused a revolution in our
understanding of the formation and early evolution of our Solar System. With an improved
understanding of the formation of the Solar System, the only known inhabited planetary system, and
also the processes that form and shape exoplanetary systems, we are getting closer to understanding
how a habitable planetary system forms.
It is beginning to look like some of the same mechanisms proposed to account for the observed
trends among exoplanets also operated in the Solar System, albeit to a somewhat lesser degree. Since
the Solar System remains the only system for which we have a complete census of the planets and a
very rich census of its small bodies, it is a uniquely important source of the kind of data needed to
constrain planet formation and evolution models.
The standard historical “nebular” model of the formation of the Solar System begins with the early
Sun surrounded by a protoplanetary gas and dust disk, having gravitationally collapsed within a much
larger interstellar molecular cloud [118]. Within this picture, the solids began condensing as small
grains that coalesced to form larger solids, accumulating in the disk mid-plane. Initially, most of the
mass in the disk consisted of H and He and various volatile compounds, such as water vapor and
carbon monoxide. The temperature and surface mass density of the disk both decline with increasing
distance from the central Sun. A very important concept is the “snow” or “frost” line, beyond which
volatiles (mostly water) condensed and remained in the solid state (as ices). In the early Solar System,
the snow line was between the orbits of Mars and Jupiter. Within the context of the core accretion
gas-capture model [119,120], the dichotomy between the terrestrial and Jovian planets is easily
explained. Jupiter formed just beyond the snow line, where the surface density of solids, mostly ices,
was greatest, while the terrestrial planets formed within the snow line where solids consisted of the far
less abundant refractory materials; simulations show that the terrestrial planets could have formed
from a narrow annulus of material between 0.7 and 1.0 AU from the Sun [121]. Apart from a few
details, such as the formation of the Moon, perhaps requiring late-time collisions, and the properties of
the asteroid belt, this was considered a complete framework for understanding the formation and early
evolution of the Solar System prior to the first exoplanet discovery. However, with the realization that
giant planet migration must be a common phenomenon in exoplanetary systems and the application of
the same general protoplanetary disk simulations to exoplanetary systems and the Solar System, it
soon became apparent that even the Solar System was not immune to planetary migration. In addition,
the existence of mean motion resonances among planets in some exoplanetary systems led dynamicists
to reconsider their role in shaping the architecture of the Solar System.
It was in light of these developments that Tsiganis et al. and Gomes et al. [122,123] proposed the
original version of the “Nice” model (Nice I), wherein Jupiter underwent inward migration and Saturn,
Life 2014, 4 51
Uranus and Neptune underwent slow outward migration, due to gravitational scattering interactions
with the remnant planetesimal disk following the clearing of the gas in the protoplanetary disk.
Eventually, Jupiter and Saturn passed through their mutual 2:1 mean motion resonance. This caused a
dynamical instability, leading to the rapid outward scattering of Uranus and Neptune (actually
exchanging their original order in the Solar System!) to their current locations, where they stabilized
and circularized. Migration ceased when most of the planetesimals in the Jovian planets’ zones were
cleared. The motivation for proposing the Nice model included explaining the timing and magnitude of
the Late Heavy Bombardment and the distributions of the asteroids and Kuiper Belt objects.
The Nice model was later revised and updated to account for other aspects of the Solar System,
including additional aspects of the distribution of the main belt asteroids, the Trojan asteroids
(which have the same orbit as Jupiter), the dynamical survival of the terrestrial planets and the
capture of the irregular satellites by Jupiter [124–126]. This newer, Nice II, model is often called the
“jumping-Jupiter” model, because the orbital period ratio between Jupiter and Saturn does not
gradually pass through the 2:1 resonance, but rather jumps from less than two to greater than 2.3. The
initial conditions of the Nice II model are established at the end of the gas disk phase, wherein the four
Jovian planets have a compact multi-resonant configuration [127]. This gives the Nice II model a more
natural initial condition than the Nice I model, which had ad hoc initial conditions. The capture of
the Trojans and the irregular satellites both require that Jupiter had a close encounter with an ice
giant [128]. This restructuring of the architecture of the outer planets resulted in Jupiter migrating
inward by only a few tenths of an AU (due to its much larger mass than the other planets) and Saturn
migrating outward by about 2 AU. This also opens up the possibility that the Solar System originally
had a fifth ice giant, one that was lost from the Solar System when it had a close encounter with
Jupiter, but the current simulations are also compatible without an extra initial outer planet.
Even with its great explanatory power, the Nice model is not able to account for some aspects of the
inner Solar System. In particular, the simultaneous existence of a low mass outer terrestrial planet
(Mars) and a massive terrestrial planet near 1 AU (Earth) along with an asteroid belt between two and
4 AU requires that the solid material in the early protoplanetary disk must have been truncated beyond
1 AU and then partially replenished. “The Grand tack” scenario was proposed to account for these
features, envisioned as having taken place while the protoplanetary disk was still gas rich and the outer
planets were still forming [129,130]. In this scenario, Jupiter would have undergone inward Type II
migration to about 1.5 AU from the Sun, while Saturn was still forming, locally truncating the
planetesimal portion of the disk beyond 1 AU. That Jupiter might have undergone such a large
migration is surprising, but we have to remember that many Jovian planets have been observed around
stars with orbital radii between one and 2 AU. Jupiter’s inward migration would have continued until
Saturn reached a mass near its final value and migrated inward faster than Jupiter, eventually reaching
the 3:2 resonance. At this point, the two planets would have migrated outward until the disk gas was
lost. The planetesimals originally in the asteroid belt region were swept clean by the first inward migration
of Jupiter, but then it was replenished during Jupiter’s outward migration with a much smaller
population of bodies from reservoirs in the inner and outer regions of the Solar System. This naturally
explains the presence of primitive volatile-rich and anhydrous parent bodies in the same narrow region
of the Solar System. Given the effects of the Nice model and the Grand Tack scenario on the asteroids
Life 2014, 4 52
and other small bodies in the Solar System, it is easy to see that the asteroid belt could have been very
different had the outer planets followed even modestly different histories.
In spite of the successes of the Nice model and the Grand Tack scenario (Grand Tack provides the
initial conditions for Nice, so they should be considered together as one model), they suffer from some
weaknesses. A number of parameters are ad hoc, and various free parameters are adjusted to try to
match the specific properties of the Solar System rather than starting from the first principles.
Examples include the mass of the initial embryos, the ratio of embryo to planetesimal mass, the
accretion of the giant planets and details of the migration of the outer planets. Nevertheless, progress
seems to be steady in this area.
Despite the dances of the Jovian planets, the orbits of the terrestrial planets in the Solar System
have remained relatively circular. Perhaps it is this feature that most separates the Solar System from
the typical exoplanet system. Long-term stability and low eccentricity of the Earth’s orbit are
important requirements for long-term habitability, made possible by the low eccentricities of the orbits
of the Jovian planets [113]. The relative masses and positions of Jupiter and Saturn and the presence of
other terrestrial planets are also relevant to the eccentricity of Earth’s orbit. Had Saturn been more than
about twice its actual mass, or if Saturn were closer to a major mean motion resonance or if Venus
were absent, Earth’s eccentricity would have been significantly larger [131,132]. Higher mass values
for Saturn would cause large increases in the eccentricity of the orbit of Mars, possibly causing it to
cross Earth’s orbit.
The stability of Earth’s obliquity is important for the maintenance of a stable climate. Laskar et al. [133]
showed that the torque from the Moon on the Earth’s equatorial bulge causes the precession frequency
of its rotation axis (currently 50 arc sec/year) to be much larger than the highest secular frequency of
the tilt of Earth’s orbit plane (26 arc sec/year), which results from perturbations from the outer planets.
Had these two frequencies been closer to being in resonance, the obliquity of Earth’s rotation axis
would undergo large and chaotic fluctuations; this would have been the case if Earth lacked a large
Moon (but had the same rotation period) or if it rotated more slowly. Not only the amplitude, but also
the rate of the obliquity variations are important for the habitability of the Earth.
How likely is it for a system like the Earth and Moon to form in the protoplanetary disk?
The currently favored theory for the formation of the Moon requires a massive embryo to impact the
proto-Earth embryo [134,135]; these new works show that the impact involved two bodies closer in
mass to each other than had been assumed in prior work. Based on simulations with a large number of
combinations of the mass of the obliquity of the planet and the mass of the satellite, Brasser et al. [136]
find that about 2% of Earth-size terrestrial planets should form a system like our Earth-Moon system
(this work also presents an informative summary of the ways the Moon likely makes Earth more
habitable). Waltham [137] has noticed how close the Earth-Moon system came to being in the chaotic
zone; a small decrease in the Earth-Moon angular momentum or a small increase in the Moon’s mass
would have caused the obliquity to be chaotic. In other words, the Moon is near its maximum mass
while still avoiding chaotic obliquity variations. Waltham originally interpreted this as an anthropic
selection effect on a stable obliquity and long day length. Later, Waltham [138,139] added anthropic
selection for slow obliquity change as a better explanation as to why the Earth-Moon system has such
a low precession frequency compared to higher, more probable values. Furthermore, the slowest
obliquity variations are likely in planetary systems wherein the two most massive Jovian planets are
Life 2014, 4 53
spaced relatively farther apart, implying that the separation of Jupiter and Saturn were anthropically
selected and, thus, may not be typical of Jovian planet separations around other Sun-like stars.
Water content is another very important requirement for habitability (neither too much nor too little).
In addition to direct dynamical influences on the terrestrial planets, the Jovian planets also influenced
the delivery of water to them. The Earth formed in a region of the early Solar System that was very
dry, as evidenced by the enstatite chondrite meteorites (representative of the source bodies in the
terrestrial planet region) [140]. Yet, Earth’s water content is today estimated to be significantly greater
than its formation at 1 AU would imply. The leading theories for the origin of Earth’s water and other
volatiles involve their delivery to Earth from more volatile-rich regions of the Solar System. Water
delivery to Earth from comets, once a popular idea, can only account for about 10% of its crustal water
inventory [140]. In the classical, pre-Grand Tack scenario, consensus delivery of volatiles from the
bodies in the outer asteroid belt, perturbed by Jupiter (with a more circular orbit than present), would
have been too efficient, while an orbit for Jupiter with an eccentricity comparable to the present one
would have left the Earth too dry [141]. The delivery of volatiles to Earth form the outer asteroid belt
region within the context of the Grand Tack scenario, however, is consistent with the measured
geochemical constraints [142]. The timing of the accretion of water and other volatiles by the Earth is
such that it would have occurred while it was still growing in size, but accelerating towards the final
stages for its formation.
Some advances are also being made in understanding the Solar System’s birth environment, though
much confusion remains. The two main empirical sources of data on the very early history of the Solar
System are the products of short-lived radionuclides (SLRs) in meteorites and “dynamical fossils”.
Observations of nearby star forming regions also give us insights into the early history of the Solar
System. Two SLRs with a long history of debate are Al-26 and Fe-60, which are believed to have
been delivered to the nascent Solar System from external sources involving stellar nucleosynthesis.
Various sources have been proposed, including mass loss from “super”-asymptotic giant branch stars
with initial masses between seven and 11 solar masses [143], ejecta from a massive star supernova
after the protoplanetary disk is formed [144], ejecta from a massive star supernova that triggers the
cloud core to begin to collapse [145] and winds from Wolf–Rayet stars [146]. Several of the proposed
SLR sources are estimated to be very improbable events, leading one research group to propose that
the SLRs in the early Solar System came from stars formed two generations prior to it [147]. However,
anthropic reasoning reminds us that a low probability for a given scenario need not disqualify it from
consideration if it was a necessary step in making the Solar System habitable. A rather surprising
constraint comes from recent observations of externally polluted white dwarfs, which implies that the
Solar System’s initial endowment of Al-26 might not have been unusual [148]. Finally, a recent reduced
estimate from meteorite measurements for the initial amount of Fe-60 in the early Solar System
implies that a supernova need not be invoked after all [149].
Dynamical fossils in the Solar System include the inner Oort cloud comets, Kuiper Belt objects and
the unique object, Sedna; in addition, the cutoff in the Solar System planets at about 30 AU constrains
the closest encounter with a star in the birth cluster. Pfalzner [150] reviewed the recent literature on
this topic and considered the constraints these dynamical fossils (along with SLRs) place on the Solar
System’s birth cluster, finding that it most likely contained at least 1000 stars, but less than several
tens of thousands of stars. Combining the SLRs constraints with their own dynamical simulations,
Life 2014, 4 54
Parker et al. [151] found that about 1% of the G dwarfs in their simulations are single, unperturbed and
enriched in Al-26. Overall, the dynamical constraints are more informative, and future advances in this
area are likely to come from the study of other objects like Sedna.
In summary, our understanding of Earth’s formation has changed dramatically in recent years.
The Jovian planets in the Solar System have had a complex history, and they (especially Jupiter and
Saturn) have influenced the formation and evolution of the Earth and the other terrestrial planets in
ways that are relevant to their habitability. With a modestly different set of initial conditions and
historical trajectory, as exemplified in exoplanetary systems, the Solar System would have had
markedly different Jovian and terrestrial planet architectures.
4. A Framework for Estimating the Number of Habitable Planets in the Universe
Astrobiology has become a very broad field, with specialists bringing along diverse knowledge and
skills. At the same time, more bridges are being built, connecting previously disparate disciplines.
Perhaps more so than in any other area of science, astrobiology encourages, even demands,
cross-disciplinary interaction. This must happen if progress in astrobiology is going to continue.
This has already been going on for a few decades in the field of Earth systems science, which seeks to
understand Earth as a collection of highly interacting systems, including the biosphere, atmosphere,
cryosphere, interior and nearby space environment. Long-term climate modeling for the purpose of
understanding the evolution of the CHZ has been a major application of Earth systems science.
Examples of cross-disciplinary collaborations are increasing. They include climate modeling and
geophysics, astrophysics and climate modeling and astrophysics and geophysics. These collaborations
have been discovered to be necessary, because the historical boundaries between disciplines do not
allow an astrobiology researcher to use the tools outside his area of specialty to answer some problems
in astrobiology. As the region of interest widens from Earth’s surface outward to the rest of the
Universe, the input from astrophysics becomes ever more important, but the other disciplines will
always prove to be indispensable. In other words, the cross-disciplinary collaborations, once established,
must remain.
The ultimate question that most astrobiologists are seeking to answer is something like, “What is
the probability that there are other planets with life?” The answer must incorporate the complete
history of the Universe, including galaxy, star and planet formation and evolution. It is becoming clear
that cosmology is not irrelevant to the formation and continued existence of habitable planets.
The most basic elemental ingredients of planetary systems come from stars. Stars form and die in a
galactic context, and galaxies form, interact and evolve in a cosmological context.
At every scale, stochastic processes shape planetary systems, and they must be modeled with
Monte Carlo methods. Processes with stochastic aspects occurring on the surface of a planet include
volcanic eruptions, tectonics and climate. Asteroid and comet impacts can be triggered by planetary
perturbations and nearby stellar and giant molecular cloud encounters. The location and timing of
specific supernovae and gamma ray bursts cannot be predicted. Encounters between galaxies can
trigger star formation, threatening already-formed planets and spawning new ones.
In addition, numerical simulations are required to follow the long-term evolution of the orbits of
planets around a star and the orbits of stars in a galaxy. Even with numerical simulations, however, the
Life 2014, 4 55
historical orbits of the planets in the Solar System cannot be traced back accurately more than
50 million years ago [152], and the orbit of the Sun in the galaxy cannot be traced back to its point of
origin. For individual planets in a planetary system or stars in a galaxy, the orbits must be interpreted
in a probabilistic sense. For these reasons, large numbers of stars and planets must be simulated and
the results interpreted statistically.
The rise of interdisciplinary research in astrobiology is also revealing the complex interrelationships
among the various habitability factors. For example, in the Solar System, the properties of Jupiter are
relevant to the asteroid and comet impact rates on the terrestrial planets, the compositions of the
terrestrial planets, the long-term orbital dynamics of the terrestrial planets and the obliquity stability of
some terrestrial planets. The host star is the primary gravitational influence on the planets and affects
every aspect of the dynamics of every body in a system, as well as tidal influences on the inner planets.
Its electromagnetic spectrum has various effects on the atmospheres of the planets, and its particle
radiation can influence atmospheric chemistry. Change one aspect of a habitable planetary system to
make it non-habitable, and it might not be possible to make it habitable again with a single change to a
different parameter. These aspects of a habitable environment are illustrated in Figure 3 of [1].
The considerations outlined above prevent us from estimating the probability of habitable planet
formation using only analytic methods or by treating a planet in orbit around a star in isolation from
the rest of the Universe. Presently, simulations of habitable planet formation are being done at two
scales: the CHZ and GHZ. Several important recent studies at each scale were summarized in the
present review. Possible processes that fall in the gap between the CHZ and GHZ include shrinkages
of the astrosphere around a planetary system due to temporary increases in the local interstellar matter
density following passages through interstellar clouds [153,154], variations in the local cosmic ray flux
causing climate change on terrestrial planets [155] and the properties of a planetary system’s birth
environment (setting its initial conditions). These processes are better treated in a simulation that
merges the CHZ and GHZ.
The next natural step is to unify the CHZ and GHZ within a single framework. The simulations
would begin in the early history of a particular galaxy having particular properties. The galaxy would
need to contain a large number of stars, as well as gas and dust. The chemo-dynamical evolution of the
galaxy would be followed numerically, updating the star formation rate, gas and dust distributions, and
the dynamics of every star at each time step. For each newly formed star, the simulation would estimate
the properties of planets that form around it from its proto-planetary disk, taking into account the
initial metallicity, the birth environment (e.g., loose or dense star cluster, galactic tides) and internal
interactions within the system. Analytical approximations to detailed numerical simulations will need
to be employed, especially in the early stages of planet formation, to keep the calculations tractable.
Once the details are worked out for a spiral galaxy in isolation, then it can be placed in a broader
context. For example, whether a galaxy belongs to a rich cluster or to a sparse group of galaxies will
determine how often it undergoes close encounters with its neighbors. Beyond that scale, cosmological
considerations can be brought to bear on the CHA and simulate the habitability of galaxies over tens of
billions of years.
Life 2014, 4 56
5. Conclusions
Progress in our understanding of the formation and evolution of habitable planetary systems has
been remarkably rapid in recent years. Exoplanet research, in particular, is in a very healthy state, with
observation and theory playing mutually supportive roles. At the same time, exoplanet research has
motivated new research on the Solar System, leading to a revolution in our understanding of its
formation and early evolution. Lessons learned include the following:
It is likely that Jovian planet migration occurred in the early Solar System and influenced the
formation and evolution of the terrestrial planets.
The traditional definition of the CHZ, based on the radiant energy from the host star, is outdated
and should be replaced with a definition that also includes such considerations as planetary
impact rate, orbital dynamical stability and episodic reductions in the size of the astrosphere. Since
these processes are partly stochastic, however, they do not lend themselves to analytic treatment.
A planetary system cannot be isolated from its broader galactic context when considering its
formation and evolution in relation to habitability. A broader and more complete understanding
of habitability requires merging the CHZ and GHZ concepts.
Even distant stellar companions can influence the dynamical stability of a planetary system
several Gyrs after it formed.
Habitability factors are often interconnected in a complex web, and some factors can have
multiple distinct effects on the habitability of a planetary system. Jupiter and Saturn’s influence
on the habitability of the Solar System is a prime example.
Acknowledgments
The author thanks Sarah Maddison for the invitation to write and submit this review,
Andrew Howard and Erik Petigura for permission to use their figures and the anonymous reviewers for
their helpful comments.
Conflicts of Interest
The author declares no conflict of interest.
References
1. Gonzalez, G. Habitable zones in the Universe. Orig. Life Evol. Biosph. 2005, 35, 555–606.
2. Bounama, C.; von Bloh, W.; Franck, S. How rare is complex life in the Milky Way?
Astrobiology 2007, 7, 745–756.
3. Lathe, R. Tidal chain reaction and the origin of replicating biopolymers. Int. J. Astrobiol. 2005,
4, 19–31.
4. Lineweaver, C.H.; Chopra, A. The habitability of our Earth and other earths: Astrophysical,
geochemical, geophysical, and biological limits on planet habitability. Annu. Rev. Earth
Planet. Sci. 2012, 40, 597–623.
Life 2014, 4 57
5. Lammer, H.; Bredehöft, J.H.; Coustenis, A.; Khodachenko, M.L.; Kaltenegger, L.; Grasset, O.;
Prieur, D.; Raulin, F.; Ehrenfreund, P.; Yamauchi, M.; et al. What makes a planet habitable?
Astron. Astrophys. Rev.2009, 17, 181–249.
6. Forget, F. On the probability of habitable planets. Int. J. Astrobiol. 2013, 12, 177–185.
7. Kasting, J.F.; Whitmire, D.P.; Reynolds, R.T. Habitable zones around main sequence stars.
Icarus 1993, 101, 108–128.
8. Kitzmann, D.; Patzer, A.B.C.; Rauer, H. Clouds in the atmospheres of extrasolar planets.
IV. On the scattering greenhouse effect of CO2 ice particles: Numerical radiative transfer studies.
Astron. Astrophys. 2013, 557, doi: 10.1051/0004-6361/201220025.
9. Shields, A.L.; Meadows, V.S.; Bitz, C.M.; Pierrehumbert, R.T.; Joshi, M.M.; Robinson, T.D.
The effect of host star spectral energy distribution and ice-albedo feedback on the climate of
extrasolar planets. Astrobiology 2013, 13, 715–739.
10. Kopparapu, R.K.; Ramirez, R.; Kasting, J.F.; Eymet, V.; Robinson, T.D.; Mahadevan, S.;
Terrien, R.C.; Domagal-Goldman, S.; Meadows, V.; Deshpande, R. Habitable zones around
main-sequence stars: New estimates. Astrophys. J. 2013, 765, doi:10.1088/0004-637X/765/2/131.
11. Kopparapu, R.K.; Ramirez, R.; Kasting, J.F.; Eymet, V.; Robinson, T.D.; Mahadevan, S.;
Terrien, R.C.; Domagal-Goldman, S.; Meadows, V.; Deshpande, R. Erratum: “Habitable
zones around main-sequence stars: New estimates”. Astrophys. J. 2013, 770, doi:10.1088/
0004-637X/770/1/82.
12. Buccino, A.P.; Lemarchand, G.A.; Mauas, P.J.D. Ultraviolet radiation constraints around the
circumstellar habitable zones. Icarus 2006, 183, 491–503.
13. Guo, J.; Zhang, F.; Zhang, X.; Han, Z. Habitable zones and UV habitable zones around host
stars. Astrophys. Space Sci. 2010, 325, 25–30.
14. Melott, A.L.; Thomas, B.C. Astrophysical ionizing radiation and Earth: A brief review and
census of intermittent intense sources. Astrobiology 2011, 11, 343–361.
15. Potgieter, M. Solar modulation of cosmic rays. Living Rev. Sol. Phys. 2013, 10,
doi:10.12942/lrsp-2013-3.
16. Kirkby, J. Cosmic rays and climate. Surv. Geophys. 2007, 28, 333–375.
17. Thomas, B.C.; Melott, A.L.; Arkenberg, K.R.; Snyder, B.R. Terrestrial effects of possible
astrophysical sources of an AD 774-775 increase in 14C production. Geophys. Res. Lett. 2013, 40,
1237–1240.
18. Usoskin, I.G.; Kromer, B.; Ludlow, F.; Beer, J.; Friedrich, M.; Kovaltsov, G.A.; Solanki, S.K.;
Wacker, L. The AD775 cosmic event revisited: The Sun is to blame. Astron. Astrophys. 2013,
552, doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201321080.
19. Kovaltsov, G.A.; Usoskin, I.G. Occurrence probability of large solar energetic particle events:
Assessment from data on cosmogenic radionuclides in lunar rocks. Solar Physics 2014, 289,
211–220.
20. Shibayama, T.; Maehara, H.; Notsu, S.; Notsu, Y.; Nagao, T.; Honda, S.; Ishii, T.T.; Nogami, D.;
Shibata, K. Superflares on solar-type stars observed with Kepler. I. Statistical properties of
superflares. Astrophys. J. Suppl. Ser. 2013, 209, doi:10.1088/0067-0049/209/1/5.
Life 2014, 4 58
21. Shibata, K.; Isobe, H.; Hillier, A.; Choudhuri, A.R.; Maehara, H.; Ishii, T.T.; Shibayama, T.;
Notsu, S.; Notsu, Y.; Nagao, T.; et al. Can superflares occur on our Sun? Available online:
http://pasj.asj.or.jp/v65/n3/650049/650049-frame.html (accessed on 25 October 2013).
22. Notsu, Y.; Shibayama, T.; Maehara, H.; Notsu, S.; Nagao, T.; Honda, S.; Ishii, T.T.; Nogami, D.;
Shibata, K. Superflares on solar-type stars observed with Kepler II. Photometric variability of
superflare-generating stars: A signature of stellar rotation and starspots. Astrophys. J. 2013, 771,
doi:10.1088/0004-637X/771/2/127.
23. Balona, L.A. Kepler observations of flaring in A-F type stars. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 2012,
423, 3420–3429.
24. Smith, D.S.; Scalo, J.; Wheeler, J.C. Importance of biologically active aurora-like ultraviolet
emission: Stochastic irradiation of Earth and Mars by flares and explosions. Orig. Life Evol. Biosph.
2004, 34, 513–532.
25. Shapiro, A.I.; Schmutz, W.; Cessateur, G.; Rozanov, E. The place of the Sun among the sun-like
stars. Astron. Astrophys. 2013, 552, Article 114.
26. Zendejas, J.; Segura, A.; Raga, A.C. Atmospheric mass loss by stellar wind from planets around
main sequence M stars. Icarus 2010, 210, 539–544.
27. Zuluaga, J.I.; Cuartas, P.A. The role of rotation in the evolution of dynamo-generated magnetic
fields in super earths. Icarus 2012, 217, 88–102.
28. Lammer, H.; Selsis, F.; Chassefière, E.; Breuer, D.; Grießmeier, J.-M.; Kulikov, Y.N.;
Erkaev, N.V.; Khodachenko, M.L.; Biernat, H.K.; Leblanc, F.; et al. Geophysical and
atmospheric evolution of habitable planets. Astrobiology 2010, 10, 45–68.
29. Heller, R.; Barnes, R.; Leconte, J. Habitability of extrasolar planets and tidal spin evolution.
Orig. Life Evol. Biosph. 2011, 41, 539–543.
30. Menou, K. Water-trapped worlds. Astrophys. J. 2013, 774, doi:10.1088/0004-637X/774/1/51.
31. Joshi, M.M.; Haberle, R.M.; Reynolds, R.T. Simulations of the atmospheres of synchronously
rotating terrestrial planets orbiting M dwarfs: Conditions for atmospheric collapse and the
implications for habitability. Icarus 1997, 129, 450–465.
32. Raymond, S.N.; Scalo, J.; Meadows, V.S. A decreased probability of habitable planet formation
around low-mass stars. Astrophys. J. 2007, 669, 606–614.
33. Barnes, R.; Mullins, K.; Goldblatt, C.; Meadows, V.S.; Kasting, J.F.; Heller, R. Tidal venuses:
Triggering a climate catastrophe via tidal heating. Astrobiology 2013, 13, 225–250.
34. Kite, E.S.; Gaidos, E.; Manga, M. Climate instability on tidally locked exoplanets. Astrophys. J.
2011, 743, doi:10.1088/0004-637X/743/1/41.
35. Heller, R.; Barnes, R. Exomoon habitability constrained by illumination and tidal heating.
Astrobiology 2013, 13, 18–46.
36. Forgan, D.; Kipping, D. Dynamical effects on the habitable zone for earth-like exomoons.
Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 2013, 432, 2994–3004.
37. Heller, R.; Zuluaga, J.I. Magnetic shielding of exomoons beyond the circumplanetary habitable
edge. Astrophys. J. Lett. 2013, 776, doi:10.1088/2041-8205/776/2/L33.
38. Namouni, F. The fate of moons of close-in giant exoplanets. Astrophys. J. Lett. 2010, 719,
L145–L147.
Life 2014, 4 59
39. Gong, Y.-X.; Zhou, J.-L.; Xie, J.-W.; Wu, X.-M. The effect of planet-planet scattering on the
survival of exomoons. Astrophys. J. Lett. 2013, 769, doi:10.1088/2041-8205/769/1/L14.
40. Bruckman, W.; Ruiz, A.; Ramos, E. Earth and Mars crater size frequency distribution and impact
rates: Theoretical and observational analysis. Available online: http://arxiv.org/abs/1212.3273
(accessed on 25 October 2013).
41. Horner, J.; Mousis, O.; Petit, J.M.; Jones, B.W. Differences between the impact regimes of the
terrestrial planets: Implications for primordial D:H ratios. Planet. Space Sci. 2009, 57, 1338–1345.
42. Martin, R.G.; Livio, M. On the formation and evolution of asteroid belts and their potential
significance for life. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 2013, 428, L11–L15.
43. Raghavan, D.; McAlister, H.A.; Henry, T.J.; Latham, D.W.; Marcy, G.W.; Mason, B.D.;
Gies, D.R.; White, R.J.; ten Brummelaar, T.A. A survey of stellar families: Multiplicity of
solar-type stars. Astrophys. J. Suppl. Ser. 2010, 190, 1–42.
44. Duquennoy, A.; Mayor, M. Multiplicity among solar-type stars in the solar neighbourhood.
II—distribution of the orbital elements in an unbiased sample. Astron. Astrophys. 1991, 248,
485–524.
45. Cuntz, M. S-type and P-type habitability in stellar binary systems: A comprehensive approach.
I. Method and applications. Astrophys. J. 2013, 780, doi:10.1088/0004-637X/780/1/14.
46. Forgan, D. Assessing circumbinary habitable zones using latitudinal energy balance modelling.
Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 2013, 437, 1352–1361.
47. Haghighipour, N.; Kaltenegger, L. Calculating the habitable zone of binary star systems.
II. P-type binaries. Astrophys. J. 2013, 777, doi:10.1088/0004-637X/777/2/166.
48. Kaltenegger, L.; Haghighipour, N. Calculating the habitable zone of binary star systems.
I. S-type binaries. Astrophys. J. 2013, 777, doi:10.1088/0004-637X/777/2/165.
49. Eggl, S.; Pilat-Lohinger, E.; Funk, B.; Georgakarakos, N.; Haghighipour, N. Circumstellar habitable
zones of binary-star systems in the solar neighbourhood. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 2013, 428,
3104–3113.
50. Eggl, S.; Pilat-Lohinger, E.; Georgakarakos, N.; Gyergyovits, M.; Funk, B. An analytic method
to determine habitable zones for S-type planetary orbits in binary star systems. Astrophys. J.
2012, 752, doi:10.1088/0004-637X/752/1/74.
51. Gonzalez, G.; Brownlee, D.; Ward, P. The Galactic habitable zone: Galactic chemical evolution.
Icarus 2001, 152, 185–200.
52. Lineweaver, C.H. An estimate of the age distribution of terrestrial planets in the Universe:
Quantifying metallicity as a selection effect. Icarus 2001, 151, 307–313.
53. Gonzalez, G. The Galactic Habitable Zone. In Astrophysics of Life; Livio, M., Reid, I.N.,
Sparks, W.B., Eds.; Cambridge University Press: Cambridge, UK, 2005; pp. 89–97.
54. Masi, M.; Secco, L.; Gonzalez, G. Effects of the planar galactic tides and stellar mass on comet
cloud dynamics. Open Astron. J. 2009, 2, 74–89.
55. Lineweaver, C.H.; Fenner, Y.; Gibson, B.K. The Galactic habitable zone and the age distribution
of complex life in the Milky Way. Science 2004, 303, 59–62.
56. Yasui, C.; Kobayashi, N.; Tokunaga, A.T.; Saito, M.; Tokoku, C. The lifetime of protoplanetary
disks in a low-metallicity environment. Astrophys. J. 2009, 705, 54–63.
Life 2014, 4 60
57. Fulbright, J.P.; McWilliam, A.; Rich, R.M. Abundances of baade’s window giants from Keck
HIRES spectra. I. Stellar parameters and [Fe/H] values. Astrophys. J. 2006, 636, 821–841.
58. Stasińska, G.; Tenorio-Tagle, G.; Rodríguez, M.; Henney, W.J. Enrichment of the interstellar
medium by metal-rich droplets and the abundance bias in H II regions. Astron. Astrophys. 2007,
471, 193–204.
59. Maciel, W.J.; Quireza, C.; Costa, R.D.D. Time variation of radial gradients in the Galactic disk:
Electron temperatures and abundances. Astron. Astrophys. 2007, 463, L13–L16.
60. Lemasle, B.; François, P.; Genovali, K.; Kovtyukh, V.V.; Bono, G.; Inno, L.; Laney, C.D.;
Kaper, L.; Bergemann, M.; Fabrizio, M.; et al. Galactic abundance gradients from cepheids:
α and heavy elements in the outer disk. Astron. Astrophys. 2013, 558, doi:10.1051/0004-6361/
201322115.
61. Luck, R.E.; Lambert, D.L. The distribution of the elements in the Galactic disk.
III. A reconsideration of cepheids from l = 30° to 250°. Astron. J. 2011, 142, doi:10.1088/
0004-6256/142/4/136
62. Nieva, M.-F.; Przybilla, N. Present-day cosmic abundances. A comprehensive study of nearby
early B-type stars and implications for stellar and Galactic evolution and interstellar dust models.
Astron. Astrophys. 2012, 539, doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201118158.
63. Nittler, L.R. Constraints on heterogeneous Galactic chemical evolution from meteoritic stardust.
Astrophys. J. 2005, 618, 281–296.
64. Fuhrmann, K. Nearby stars of the Galactic disc and halo—V. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 2011,
414, 2893–2922.
65. Gowanlock, M.G.; Patton, D.R.; McConnell, S.M. A model of habitability within the Milky Way
Galaxy. Astrobiology 2011, 11, 855–873.
66. Gardner, E.; Nurmi, P.; Flynn, C.; Mikkola, S. The effect of the solar motion on the flux of
long-period comets. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 2011, 411, 947–954.
67. Kataoka, R.; Ebisuzaki, T.; Miyahara, H.; Maruyama, S. Snowball Earth events driven by
starbursts of the Milky Way galaxy. New Astron. 2013, 21, 50–62.
68. Carigi, L.; García-Rojas, J.; Meneses-Goytia, S. Chemical evolution and the galactic habitable
zone of M31. Rev. Mex. Astron. Astrofis. 2013, 49, 253–273.
69. Suthar, F.; McKay, C.P. The Galactic habitable zone in elliptical galaxies. Int. J. Astrobiol. 2012,
11, 157–161.
70. Svensmark, H. Evidence of nearby supernovae affecting life on Earth. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc.
2012, 423, 1234–1253.
71. Knie, K.; Korschinek, G.; Faestermann, T.; Dorfi, E.A.; Rugel, G.; Wallner, A. 60Fe anomaly in
a deep-sea manganese crust and implications for a nearby supernova source. Phys. Rev. Lett.
2004, 93, doi:10.1103/PhysRevLett.93.171103.
72. Filipović, M.D.; Horner, J.; Crawford, E.J.; Tothill, N.F.H.; White, G.L. Mass extinction and the
structure of the Milky Way. Serbian Astron. J. 2013, 187, 43–52.
73. Domainko, W.; Bailer-Jones, C.A.L.; Feng, F. A history of the gamma-ray burst flux at the Earth
from Galactic globular clusters. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 2013, 432, 258–263.
Life 2014, 4 61
74. Basu, S.; Stuart, F.M.; Schnabel, C.; Klemm, V. Galactic-cosmic-ray-produced He3 in a
ferromanganese crust: Any supernova Fe60 excess on Earth? Phys. Rev. Lett. 2007, 98,
doi:10.1103/PhysRevLett.98.141103.
75. Feng, F.; Bailer-Jones, C.A.L. Assessing the Influence of Astronomical Phenomena on the
Earth’s Biosphere. In Proceedings of the European Planetary Science Congress 2012, Madrid,
Spain, 23–28 September 2012; p. 175.
76. Sloan, T.; Wolfendale, A.W. Cosmic rays and climate change over the past 1000 million years.
New Astron. 2013, 25, 45–49.
77. Haas, M.R.; Schaye, J.; Booth, C.M.; Dalla Vecchia, C.; Springel, V.; Theuns, T.; Wiersma, R.P.C.
Physical properties of simulated galaxy populations at z = 2—II. Effects of cosmology,
reionization and ISM physics. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 2013, 435, 2955–2967.
78. Haas, M.R.; Schaye, J.; Booth, C.M.; Dalla Vecchia, C.; Springel, V.; Theuns, T.; Wiersma, R.P.C.
Physical properties of simulated galaxy populations at z = 2—I. Effect of metal-line cooling and
feedback from star formation and AGN. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 2013, 435, 2931–2954.
79. Yates, R.M.; Henriques, B.; Thomas, P.A.; Kauffmann, G.; Johansson, J.; White, S.D.M.
Modelling element abundances in semi-analytic models of galaxy formation. Mon. Not. R.
Astron. Soc. 2013, 435, 3500–3520.
80. Lara-López, M.A.; Hopkins, A.M.; López-Sánchez, A.R.; Brough, S.; Colless, M.;
Bland-Hawthorn, J.; Driver, S.; Foster, C.; Liske, J.; Loveday, J.; et al. Galaxy and mass
assembly (GAMA): The connection between metals, specific SFR and H I gas in galaxies:
The Z-SSFR relation. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 2013, 433, L35–L39.
81. Lara-López, M.A.; Hopkins, A.M.; López-Sánchez, A.R.; Brough, S.; Gunawardhana, M.L.P.;
Colless, M.; Robotham, A.S.G.; Bauer, A.E.; Bland-Hawthorn, J.; Cluver, M.; et al. Galaxy And
Mass Assembly (GAMA): A deeper view of the mass, metallicity and SFR relationships.
Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 2013, 434, 451–470.
82. Foster, C.; Hopkins, A.M.; Gunawardhana, M.; Lara-López, M.A.; Sharp, R.G.; Steele, O.;
Taylor, E.N.; Driver, S.P.; Baldry, I.K.; Bamford, S.P.; et al. Galaxy And Mass Assembly (GAMA):
The mass-metallicity relationship. Astron. Astrophys. 2012, 547, doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201220050.
83. Kepler web site lising planet count. Available online: http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/kepler/
main/index.html#.UpZM52SG2WZ (accessed on 25 October 2013).
84. Moutou, C.; Deleuil, M.; Guillot, T.; Baglin, A.; Bordé, P.; Bouchy, F.; Cabrera, J.; Csizmadia, S.;
Deeg, H.J. Corot: Harvest of the exoplanet program. Icarus 2013, 226, 1625–1634.
85. Mayor, M.; Marmier, M.; Lovis, C.; Udry, S.; Ségransan, D.; Pepe, F.; Benz, W.; Bertaux, J.-L.;
Bouchy, F.; Dumusque, X.; et al. The HARPS search for southern extra-solar planets XXXIV.
Occurrence, mass distribution and orbital properties of super-earths and neptune-mass planets.
2011, arXiv:1109.2497.
86. Petigura, E.A.; Howard, A.W.; Marcy, G.W. Prevalence of earth-size planets orbiting sun-like
stars. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 2013, 110, 19273–19278.
87. Fressin, F.; Torres, G.; Charbonneau, D.; Bryson, S.T.; Christiansen, J.; Dressing, C.D.;
Jenkins, J.M.; Walkowicz, L.M.; Batalha, N.M. The false positive rate of Kepler and the
occurrence of planets. Astrophys. J. 2013, 766, doi:10.1088/0004-637X/766/2/81.
88. Howard, A.W. Observed properties of extrasolar planets. Science 2013, 340, 572–576.
Life 2014, 4 62
89. Marmier, M.; Ségransan, D.; Udry, S.; Mayor, M.; Pepe, F.; Queloz, D.; Lovis, C.; Naef, D.;
Santos, N.C.; Alonso, R.; et al. The CORALIE survey for southern extrasolar planets.
XVII. New and updated long period and massive planets. Astron. Astrophys. 2013, 551,
doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201219639.
90. Lissauer, J.J.; Ragozzine, D.; Fabrycky, D.C.; Steffen, J.H.; Ford, E.B.; Jenkins, J.M.; Shporer, A.;
Holman, M.J.; Rowe, J.F.; Quintana, E.V.; et al. Architecture and dynamics of Kepler’s
candidate multiple transiting planet systems. Astrophys. J. Suppl. Ser. 2011, 197, doi:10.1088/
0067-0049/197/1/8.
91. Quinn, S.N.; White, R.J.; Latham, D.W.; Buchhave, L.A.; Torres, G.; Stefanik, R.P.; Berlind, P.;
Bieryla, A.; Calkins, M.C.; Esquerdo, G.A.; et al. HD 285507b: An eccentric hot Jupiter in the Hyades
open cluster. Available online: http://arxiv.org/abs/1310.7328 (accessed on 25 October 2013).
92. McQuillan, A.; Mazeh, T.; Aigrain, S. Stellar rotation periods of the Kepler objects of
interest: A dearth of close-in planets around fast rotators. Astrophys. J. Lett. 2013, 775,
doi:10.1088/2041-8205/775/1/L11.
93. Gonzalez, G. Parent stars of extrasolar planets—XII. Additional evidence for trends with v sin i,
condensation temperature and chromospheric activity. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 2011, 416,
L80–L83.
94. Gonzalez, G. The stellar metallicity-giant planet connection. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 1997,
285, 403–412.
95. Santos, N.C.; Israelian, G.; Mayor, M. Spectroscopic [Fe/H] for 98 extra-solar planet-host stars:
Exploring the probability of planet formation. Astron. Astrophys. 2004, 415, 1153–1166.
96. Fischer, D.A.; Valenti, J. The planet-metallicity correlation. Astrophys. J. 2005, 622, 1102–1117.
97. Neves, V.; Bonfils, X.; Santos, N.C.; Delfosse, X.; Forveille, T.; Allard, F.; Udry, S. Metallicity
of M dwarfs. III. Planet-metallicity and planet-stellar mass correlations of the harps gto m dwarf
sample. Astron. Astrophys. 2013, 551, doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201220574.
98. Mortier, A.; Santos, N.C.; Sousa, S.; Israelian, G.; Mayor, M.; Udry, S. On the functional form of
the metallicity-giant planet correlation. Astron. Astrophys. 2013, 551, doi:10.1051/0004-6361/
201220707.
99. Sousa, S.G.; Santos, N.C.; Israelian, G.; Mayor, M.; Udry, S. Spectroscopic stellar parameters for
582 FGK stars in the HARPS volume-limited sample. Revising the metallicity-planet correlation.
Astron. Astrophys. 2011, 533, doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201117699.
100. Dawson, R.I.; Murray-Clay, R.A. Giant planets orbiting metal-rich stars show signatures of
planet-planet interactions. Astrophys. J. Lett. 2013, 767, doi:10.1088/2041-8205/767/2/L24.
101. Gaidos, E.; Fischer, D.A.; Mann, A.W.; Howard, A.W. An understanding of the shoulder of
giants: Jovian planets around late K dwarf stars and the trend with stellar mass. Astrophys. J.
2013, 771, doi:10.1088/0004-637X/771/1/18.
102. Ida, S.; Lin, D.N.C. Toward a deterministic model of planetary formation. IV. Effects of type I
migration. Astrophys. J. 2008, 673, 487–501.
103. Bromley, B.C.; Kenyon, S.J. Migration of planets embedded in a circumstellar disk. Astrophys. J.
2011, 735, doi:10.1088/0004-637X/735/1/29.
104. Naoz, S.; Farr, W.M.; Rasio, F.A. On the formation of hot Jupiters in stellar binaries.
Astrophys. J. Lett. 2012, 754, doi:10.1088/2041-8205/754/2/L36.
Life 2014, 4 63
105. Naoz, S.; Farr, W.M.; Lithwick, Y.; Rasio, F.A.; Teyssandier, J. Hot Jupiters from secular
planet-planet interactions. Nature 2011, 473, 187–189.
106. Nagasawa, M.; Ida, S. Orbital distributions of close-in planets and distant planets formed by
scattering and dynamical tides. Astrophys. J. 2011, 742, doi:10.1088/0004-637X/742/2/72.
107. Wu, Y.; Lithwick, Y. Secular chaos and the production of hot Jupiters. Astrophys. J. 2011, 735,
doi:10.1088/0004-637X/735/2/109.
108. Kley, W.; Nelson, R.P. Planet-disk interaction and orbital evolution. Annu. Rev. Astron. Astrophys.
2012, 50, 211–249.
109. Alibert, Y.; Carron, F.; Fortier, A.; Pfyffer, S.; Benz, W.; Mordasini, C.; Swoboda, D.
Theoretical models of planetary system formation: Mass vs. semi-major axis. Astron. Astrophys.
2013, 558, doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201321690.
110. Mordasini, C.; Alibert, Y.; Benz, W.; Naef, D. Extrasolar planet population synthesis. II.
Statistical comparison with observations. Astron. Astrophys. 2009, 501, 1161–1184.
111. Rasio, F.A.; Ford, E.B. Dynamical instabilities and the formation of extrasolar planetary systems.
Science 1996, 274, 954–956.
112. Kaib, N.A.; Raymond, S.N.; Duncan, M. Planetary system disruption by Galactic perturbations
to wide binary stars. Nature 2013, 493, 381–384.
113. Spiegel, D.S.; Raymond, S.N.; Dressing, C.D.; Scharf, C.A.; Mitchell, J.L. Generalized
Milankovitch cycles and long-term climatic habitability. Astrophys. J. 2010, 721, 1308–1318.
114. Kita, R.; Rasio, F.; Takeda, G. Pervasive orbital eccentricities dictate the habitability of
extrasolar earths. Astrobiology 2010, 10, 733–741.
115. Dressing, C.D.; Spiegel, D.S.; Scharf, C.A.; Menou, K.; Raymond, S.N. Habitable climates:
The influence of eccentricity. Astrophys. J. 2010, 721, 1295–1307.
116. Carter-Bond, J.C.; O’Brien, D.P.; Raymond, S.N. The compositional diversity of extrasolar
terrestrial planets. II. Migration simulations. Astrophys. J. 2012, 760, doi:10.1088/0004-637X/
760/1/44.
117. Raymond, S.N. The search for other Earths: Limits on the giant planet orbits that allow habitable
terrestrial planets to form. Astrophys. J. Lett. 2006, 643, L131–L134.
118. Cameron, A.G.W. Origin of the solar system. Annu. Rev. Astron. Astrophys. 1988, 26, 441–472.
119. Podolak, M.; Hubbard, W.B.; Pollack, J.B.; Lunine, J.I. Gaseous Accretion and the Formation of
Giant Planets. In Protostars and Planets III; Levy, E.H., Ed.; University of Arizona Press:
Tucson, AZ, USA, 1993; pp. 1109–1147.
120. Wuchterl, G.; Guillot, T.; Lissauer, J.J. Giant planet formation. In Protostars Planets IV;
Mannings, V., Boss, A.P., Russell, S.S., Eds.; University of Arizona Press: Tucson, AZ, USA,
2000; pp. 1081–1109.
121. Hansen, B.M.S. Formation of the terrestrial planets from a narrow annulus. Astrophys. J. 2009,
703, 1131–1140.
122. Tsiganis, K.; Gomes, R.; Morbidelli, A.; Levison, H.F. Origin of the orbital architecture of the
giant planets of the Solar System. Nature 2005, 435, 459–461.
123. Gomes, R.; Levison, H.F.; Tsiganis, K.; Morbidelli, A. Origin of the cataclysmic late heavy
bombardment period of the terrestrial planets. Nature 2005, 435, 466–469.
Life 2014, 4 64
124. Morbidelli, A.; Brasser, R.; Gomes, R.; Levison, H.F.; Tsiganis, K. Evidence from the asteroid
belt for a violent past evolution of Jupiter’s orbit. Astron. J. 2010, 140, 1391–1401.
125. Agnor, C.B.; Lin, D.N.C. On the migration of Jupiter and Saturn: Constraints from
linear models of secular resonant coupling with the terrestrial planets. Astrophys. J. 2012, 745,
doi:10.1088/0004-637X/745/2/143.
126. Nesvorný, D.; Vokrouhlický, D.; Morbidelli, A. Capture of irregular satellites during planetary
encounters. Astron. J. 2007, 133, 1962–1976.
127. Morbidelli, A.; Crida, A. The dynamics of Jupiter and Saturn in the gaseous protoplanetary disk.
Icarus 2007, 191, 158–171.
128. Nesvorný, D.; Vokrouhlický, D.; Morbidelli, A. Capture of Trojans by jumping Jupiter.
Astrophys. J. 2013, 768, doi:10.1088/0004-637X/768/1/45.
129. Walsh, K.J.; Morbidelli, A.; Raymond, S.N.; O’Brien, D.P.; Mandell, A.M. A low mass for Mars
from Jupiter’s early gas-driven migration. Nature 2011, 475, 206–209.
130. Walsh, K.J.; Morbidelli, A.; Raymond, S.N.; O’Brien, D.P.; Mandell, A.M. Populating the
asteroid belt from two parent source regions due to the migration of giant planets—“The Grand
Tack”. Meteorit. Planet. Sci. 2012, 47, 1941–1947.
131. Pilat-Lohinger, E.; Robutel, P.; Süli, Á.; Freistetter, F. On the stability of earth-like planets in
multi-planet systems. Celest. Mech. Dyn. Astron. 2008, 102, 83–95.
132. Pilat-Lohinger, E.; Süli, Á.; Robutel, P.; Freistetter, F. The influence of giant planets near a mean
motion resonance on Earth-like planets in the habitable zone of sun-like stars. Astrophys. J. 2008,
681, 1639–1645.
133. Laskar, J.; Joutel, F.; Robutel, P. Stabilization of the Earth’s obliquity by the Moon. Nature
1993, 361, 615–617.
134. Canup, R.M. Forming a moon with an Earth-like composition via a giant impact. Science 2012,
338, 1052–1055.
135. Ćuk, M.; Stewart, S.T. Making the moon from a fast-spinning Earth: A giant impact followed by
resonant despinning. Science 2012, 338, 1047–1052.
136. Brasser, R.; Ida, S.; Kokubo, E. A dynamical study on the habitability of terrestrial exoplanets—I.
Tidally evolved planet-satellite pairs. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 2013, 428, 1673–1685.
137. Waltham, D. Anthropic selection for the Moon’s mass. Astrobiology 2004, 4, 460–468.
138. Waltham, D. Half a billion years of good weather: Gaia or good luck? Astron. Geophys. 2007,
48, 22–23.
139. Waltham, D. Testing anthropic selection: A climate change example. Astrobiology 2011, 11,
105–114.
140. Morbidelli, A.; Lunine, J.I.; O’Brien, D.P.; Raymond, S.N.; Walsh, K.J. Building terrestrial
planets. Annu. Rev. Earth Planet. Sci. 2012, 40, 251–275.
141. Raymond, S.N.; O’Brien, D.P.; Morbidelli, A.; Kaib, N.A. Building the terrestrial planets:
Constrained accretion in the inner Solar System. Icarus 2009, 203, 644–662.
142. O’Brien, D.P.; Walsh, K.J.; Morbidelli, A.; Raymond, S.N.; Mandell, A.M.; Bond, J.C.
Early giant planet migration in the Solar System: Geochemical and cosmochemical implications
for terrestrial planet formation. Bull. Am. Astron. Soc. 2010, 42, 948.
Life 2014, 4 65
143. Lugaro, M.; Doherty, C.L.; Karakas, A.I.; Maddison, S.T.; Liffman, K.; García-Hernández, D.A.;
Siess, L.; Lattanzio, J.C. Short-lived radioactivity in the early Solar System: The super-AGB star
hypothesis. Meteorit. Planet. Sci. 2012, 47, 1998–2012.
144. Ouellette, N.; Desch, S.J.; Hester, J.J. Injection of supernova dust in nearby protoplanetary disks.
Astrophys. J. 2010, 711, 597–612.
145. Boss, A.P.; Keiser, S.A. Triggering collapse of the presolar dense cloud core and injecting
short-lived radioisotopes with a shock wave. II. Varied shock wave and cloud core parameters.
Astrophys. J. 2013, 770, doi:10.1088/0004-637X/770/1/51.
146. Arnould, M.; Goriely, S.; Meynet, G. The production of short-lived radionuclides by new
non-rotating and rotating Wolf-Rayet model stars. Astron. Astrophys. 2006, 453, 653–659.
147. Gounelle, M.; Meynet, G. Solar System genealogy revealed by extinct short-lived radionuclides
in meteorites. Astron. Astrophys. 2012, 545, doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201219031.
148. Jura, M.; Xu, S.; Young, E.D. 26Al in the early Solar System: Not so unusual after all.
Astrophys. J. Lett. 2013, 775, doi:10.1088/2041-8205/775/2/L41.
149. Tang, H.; Dauphas, N. Abundance, distribution, and origin of 60Fe in the solar protoplanetary
disk. Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 2012, 359, 248–263.
150. Pfalzner, S. Early evolution of the birth cluster of the Solar System. Astron. Astrophys. 2013,
549, doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201218792.
151. Parker, R.J.; Church, R.P.; Davies, M.B.; Meyer, M.R. Supernova enrichment and dynamical
histories of solar-type stars in clusters. Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 2013, 437, 946–958.
152. Laskar, J.; Fienga, A.; Gastineau, M.; Manche, H. La2010: A new orbital solution for the long-term
motion of the Earth. Astron. Astrophys. 2011, 532, doi:10.1051/0004-6361/201116836.
153. Smith, D.S.; Scalo, J.M. Habitable zones exposed: Astrosphere collapse frequency as a function
of stellar mass. Astrobiology 2009, 9, 673–681.
154. Cohen, O.; Drake, J.J.; Kóta, J. The cosmic-ray intensity near the archean Earth. Astrophys. J.
2012, 760, doi:10.1088/0004-637X/760/1/85.
155. Svensmark, H. Cosmoclimatology: A new theory emerges. Astron. Geophys. 2007, 48, 18–11.
© 2014 by the author; licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article
distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution license
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/).
... 36 The latest edition of this narrative enlists the discovery that exotic dark matter may predominate in the universe: "It is interesting to consider how far we have moved from our Earth-centered view," write Stephen Schneider and Thomas Arny. They claim that our cosmic location is not special, despite recent evidence otherwise that they ignore (Gonzalez 2014;Wei and Wu 2018). 37 They continue: "And now we are realizing that the kind of matter that makes up everything we know is just a minor kind of matter in the universe. ...
... 36 (Keas 2019). 37 (Gonzalez 2014;Wei and Wu 2018). 38 (Schneider and Arny 2018). ...
Article
Full-text available
Many people assume that there has been ceaseless conflict between science and Christianity. I argue that the real conflict has been between scientism and religion. Scientism is the view that only the sciences generate knowledge or rational belief. Scientism, as typically articulated, entails the opinion that reliable belief about divinity (theological realism) is impossible. I debunk four historic science–Christianity conflict myths and show how they have promoted scientism. These four science–religion myths function as part of a larger warfare narrative about science and Christianity. This misleading warfare thesis often comes packaged with an alternative anti-theistic “myth” in the anthropological sense—in this case, a worldview-shaping narrative that awakens the imagination to interpret the world in scientistic and non-theistic ways. I call this the scientistic warfare myth and explore its major flaws.
... No other significant periodicities emerged after removing this peak, confirming a stable rotation period for K2-18. This stable rotation period is crucial for understanding its atmospheric dynamics and potential for habitability (Gonzalez 2014). ...
Preprint
Full-text available
Planetary systems orbiting M dwarf host stars are promising targets for atmospheric characterisation of low-mass exoplanets. Accurate characterisation of M dwarf hosts is important for detailed understanding of the planetary properties and physical processes, including potential habitability. Recent studies have identified several candidate Hycean planets orbiting nearby M dwarfs as promising targets in the search for habitability and life on exoplanets. In this study, we characterise two such M dwarf host stars, K2-18 and TOI-732. Using archival photometric and spectroscopic observations, we estimate their effective temperatures (Teff_{\mathrm{eff}}) and metallicities through high-resolution spectral analyses and ages through gyrochronology. We assess the stellar activity of the targets by analysing activity-sensitive chromospheric lines and X-ray luminosities. Additionally, we predict activity cycles based on measured rotation periods and utilise photometric data to estimate the current stellar activity phase. We find K2-18 to be 2.9-3.1 Gyr old with Teff_{\mathrm{eff}} = 3645±\pm52 K and metallicity of [Fe/H] = 0.10±\pm0.12 dex, and TOI-732 to be older (6.7-8.6 Gyr), cooler (3213±\pm92 K), and more metal-rich ([Fe/H] = 0.22±\pm0.13 dex). Both stars exhibit relatively low activity making them favourable for atmospheric observations of their planets. The predicted activity cycle and analysis of available high-precision photometry for K2-18 suggest that it might have been near an activity minimum during recent JWST observations, though some residual activity may be expected at such minima. We predict potential activity levels for both targets to aid future observations, and highlight the importance of accurate characterisation of M dwarf host stars for exoplanet characterisation.
... This classical HZ concept is fundamental to assessment of the potential for liquid water on planetary surfaces. Many additional habitability factors must be considered, see the reviews by Lammer et al. (2009), Dartnell (2011), Forget (2013, France et al. (2014), Güdel et al. (2014), and Gonzalez (2014). For example, habitability within the habitable zone is strongly constrained by stellar UV radiation, winds, and catastrophic events such as nearby SNe, asteroid impacts as well as other planetary dynamical issues. ...
Article
Planetary systems orbiting M dwarf host stars are promising targets for atmospheric characterisation of low-mass exoplanets. Accurate characterisation of M dwarf hosts is important for detailed understanding of the planetary properties and physical processes, including potential habitability. Recent studies have identified several candidate Hycean planets orbiting nearby M dwarfs as promising targets in the search for habitability and life on exoplanets. In this study, we characterise two such M dwarf host stars, K2-18 and TOI-732. Using archival photometric and spectroscopic observations, we estimate their effective temperatures (Teff) and metallicities through high-resolution spectral analyses and ages through gyrochronology. We assess the stellar activity of the targets by analysing activity-sensitive chromospheric lines and X-ray luminosities. Additionally, we predict activity cycles based on measured rotation periods and utilise photometric data to estimate the current stellar activity phase. We find K2-18 to be 2.9-3.1 Gyr old with Teff = 3645±52 K and metallicity of [Fe/H] = 0.10±0.12 dex, and TOI-732 to be older (6.7-8.6 Gyr), cooler (3213±92 K), and more metal-rich ([Fe/H] = 0.22±0.13 dex). Both stars exhibit relatively low activity making them favourable for atmospheric observations of their planets. The predicted activity cycle and analysis of available high-precision photometry for K2-18 suggest that it might have been near an activity minimum during recent JWST observations, though some residual activity may be expected at such minima. We predict potential activity levels for both targets to aid future observations, and highlight the importance of accurate characterisation of M dwarf host stars for exoplanet characterisation.
Article
The study of cosmology, galaxy formation and exoplanetary systems has now advanced to a stage where a cosmic inventory of terrestrial planets may be attempted. By coupling semi-analytic models of galaxy formation to a recipe that relates the occurrence of planets to the mass and metallicity of their host stars, we trace the population of terrestrial planets around both solar-mass (FGK type) and lower-mass (M dwarf) stars throughout all of cosmic history. We find that the mean age of terrestrial planets in the local Universe is 8±18\pm1 Gyr and that the typical planet of this type is located in a spheroid-dominated galaxy with total stellar mass about twice that of the Milky Way. We estimate that hot Jupiters have depleted the population of terrestrial planets around FGK stars at redshift z=0 by no more than 10%\approx 10\%, and predict that 1/3\approx 1/3 of the terrestrial planets in the local Universe are orbiting stars in a metallicity range for which such planets have yet to be been detected. When looking at the inventory of planets throughout the whole observable Universe (i.e. in all galaxies on our past light cone) we argue for a total of 2×1019\approx 2\times 10^{19} and 7×1020\approx 7\times 10^{20} terrestrial planets around FGK and M stars, respectively. Due to the hierarchical formation of galaxies and lookback-time effects, the average terrestrial planet on our past light cone has an age of just 1.7±0.21.7\pm 0.2 Gyr and is sitting in a galaxy with a stellar mass a factor of 2\approx 2 lower than that of the Milky Way. These results are discussed in the context of cosmic habitability, the Copernican principle and the prospects of searches for extraterrestrial intelligence at cosmological distances.
Article
Full-text available
Context. Galactic abundance gradients set strong constraints to chemo-dynamical evolutionary models of the Milky Way. Given the period-luminosity relations that provide accurate distances and the large number of spectral lines, Cepheids are excellent tracers of the present-day abundance gradients. Aims. We want to measure the Galactic abundance gradient of several chemical elements. While the slope of the Cepheid iron gradient did not vary much from the very first studies, the gradients of the other elements are not that well constrained. In this paper we focus on the inner and outer regions of the Galactic thin disk. Methods. We use high-resolution spectra (FEROS, ESPADONS, NARVAL) to measure the abundances of several light (Na, Al), a (Mg, Si, S, Ca), and heavy elements (Y, Zr, La, Ce, Nd, Eu) in a sample of 65 Milky Way Cepheids. Combining these results with accurate distances from period-Wesenheit relations in the near-infrared enables us to determine the abundance gradients in the Milky Way. Results. Our results are in good agreement with previous studies on either Cepheids or other tracers. In particular, we confirm an upward shift of +/- 0.2 dex for the Mg abundances, as has recently been reported. We also confirm the existence of a gradient for all the heavy elements studied in the context of a local thermodynamic equilibrium analysis. However, for Y, Nd, and especially La, we find lower abundances for Cepheids in the outer disk than reported in previous studies, leading to steeper gradients. This effect can be explained by the differences in the line lists used by different groups. Conclusions. Our data do not support a flattening of the gradients in the outer disk, in agreement with recent Cepheid studies and chemo-dynamical simulations. This is in contrast to the open cluster observations but remains compatible with a picture where the transition zone between the inner disk and the outer disk would move outward with time.
Article
Full-text available
Prerequisites for complex life are not uniformly distributed in our Galaxy. These prerequisites include: Enough heavy elements to form terrestrial planets, sufficient time for biological evolution and an environment free of life-extinguishing supernovae. We have modelled the evolution of the Milky Way to trace the distribution in space and time of these prerequisites. We identify the Galactic Habitable Zone (GHZ) as an annular region between 7 and 9 kiloparsecs from the galactic centre that widens with time and is composed of stars that formed between 8 and 4 billion years ago. This zone of habitability is small in the sense that it encompasses less than 10% of the stars ever formed in the Milky Way. We obtain an age distribution for the stars in the GHZ and thus an age distribution for the complex life that may inhabit our Galaxy. We find that 3/4 of the stars in the GHZ are older than the Earth and that their mean age is 1 Gyr older than the Earth. I will discuss ways in which the luminosity and spectrum of electromagnetic radiation can affect the molecular evolution that we believe led to biogenesis.
Article
Full-text available
Nearby gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) are likely to have represented a significant threat to life on the Earth. Recent observations suggest that a significant source of such bursts is compact binary mergers in globular clusters. This link between globular clusters and GRBs offers the possibility to find time intervals in the past with higher probabilities of a nearby burst, by tracing globular cluster orbits back in time. Here we show that the expected flux from such bursts is not flat over the past 550 Myr but rather exhibits three broad peaks, at 70, 180 and 340 Myr ago. The main source for nearby GRBs for all three time intervals is the globular cluster 47 Tuc, a consequence of its large mass and high stellar encounter rate, as well as the fact that it is one of the globular clusters that come quite close to the Sun. Mass extinction events indeed coincide with all three time intervals found in this study, although a chance coincidence is quite likely. Nevertheless, the identified time intervals can be used as a guide to search for specific signatures of GRBs in the geological record around these times.
Article
Full-text available
The fossil record suggests that biodiversity has varied considerably over Phanerozoic eon (past 550 Myr). Some claim the presence of a periodic component in this variation [8,9], which could be caused by some astronomical mechanism related to Sun's orbit through the Galaxy [3-5]. The periodic component supposedly arises from the (quasi)-periodic motion of the Sun about the Galactic plane and/or through the spiral arms. However, many researchers have pointed out that methods used to analyze the data and even the data themselves are problematic [1, 6, 10]. In order to assess the plausibility of the Sun's orbit modulating biodiversity, we have first studied the stability of its periodic motion. Second, assuming that the extinction rate is proportional to the local stellar density (implying some non-specific extinction mechanism), we assess how well different dynamical models of the solar orbit can explain the fossil record. For the first task, we test the sensitivity of the periodicity of the solar orbit to initial conditions and parameters of the Galactic potential model, in order to test claims that the solar orbit could produce periodic extinctions at all. We adopt the Galactic potential model of [4] and the logarithmic spiral arm model of [11] with a pattern speed given in [7] (Figure 1). We then produce a large sample of orbits by perturbing the initial conditions. We find that a strict periodic orbit arises only when there is an exact circular orbit, or at specific values of the initial conditions which give rise to a resonance between the perpendicular and azimuthal motions. The periods of these two kinds of orbits are determined primarily by the initial radius, R(t = 0), and initial angular velocity. ˙phi(t = 0), if we fix the other model parameters. However, we do find that about 90% of orbits have plane-crossing aperiodicities less than 10% (Figure 2). So while a strict periodicity is unlikely, a quasi-periodicity is likely. Second, to assess the influence of the time-varying local stellar environment on the extinction rate, we calculate the likelihood of the extinction record (Figure 3) for each of these dynamical models, over the past 550 Myr (see [2] for the general model). We compare these likelihoods to that of alternative hypotheses, such as a uniform extinction rate. The results in Table 1 show that the evidence (likelihood averaged over other model parameters) of the various dynamical models are no higher than that of the uniform model, i.e. the data are no better explained by a dynamical model. This suggests that the local stellar density has a limited overall impact on the long-term variation of the terrestrial extinction rate. This work continues.
Book
This volume, based on a meeting held at the Space Telescope Science Institute, lays the astrophysical groundwork for locating habitable places in the Universe. Written by leading scientists in the field, it covers a range of topics relevant to the search for life in the universe, including extrasolar planet searches and properties; the history of the solar system; star and planet formation; the habitability of planets and search strategies. © Cambridge University Press 2005 and Cambridge University Press, 2009.
Article
A one-dimensional climate model is used to estimate the width of the habitable zone (HZ) around our Sun and around other main sequence stars. Our basic premise is that we are dealing with Earth-like planets with CO2/H2O/N2 atmospheres and that habitability requires the presence of liquid water on the planet's surface. The inner edge of the HZ is determined in our model by loss of water via photolysis and hydrogen escape. The outer edge of the HZ is determined by the formation of CO2 clouds, which cool a planet's surface by increasing its albedo and by lowering the convective lapse rate. Conservative estimates for these distances in our own Solar System are 0.95 and 1.37 AU, respectively; the actual width of the present HZ could be much greater. Between these two limits, climate stability is ensured by a feedback mechanism in which atmospheric CO2 concentrations vary inversely with planetary surface temperature. The width of the HZ is slightly greater for planets that are larger than Earth and for planets which have higher N2 partial pressures. The HZ evolves outward in time because the Sun increases in luminosity as it ages. A conservative estimate for the width of the 4.6-Gyr continuously habitable zone (CHZ) is 0.95 to 1.15 AU.
Article
We critically examine a scenario for the enrichment of the interstellar medium (ISM) in which supernova ejecta follow a long (108 yr) journey before falling back onto the galactic disk in the form of metal-rich “droplets”, These droplets do not become fully mixed with the interstellar medium until they become photoionized in H ii regions. We investigate the hypothesis that the photoionization of these highly metallic droplets can explain the observed “abundance discrepancy factors” (ADFs), which are found when comparing abundances derived from recombination lines and from collisionally excited lines, both in Galactic and extragalactic H ii regions. We derive bounds of 1013-1015 cm on the droplet sizes inside H ii regions in order that (1) they should not have already been detected by direct imaging of nearby nebulae, and (2) they should not be too swiftly destroyed by diffusion in the ionized gas. From photoionization modelling we find that, if this inhomogeneous enrichment scenario holds, then the recombination lines strongly overestimate the metallicities of the fully mixed H ii regions. The abundances derived from collisionally excited lines also suffer some bias, although to a much lesser extent. In the absence of any recipe for correcting these biases, we recommend the discarding of all objects showing large ADFs from studies of galactic chemical evolution. These biases must also be kept in mind when comparing the galactic abundance gradients for elements derived from recombination lines with those derived from collisionally excited lines. Finally, we propose a set of observations that could be undertaken to test our scenario and improve our understanding of element mixing in the ISM.
Article
Optical flares on early F- and A-type stars have never been observed with certainty. Inspection of several thousands of these stars in the Kepler public archives resulted in the discovery of flares in 25 G-type and 27 F-type stars. Because A-type stars are thought not to be active, the detection of flares on 19 A-type stars from a sample of nearly 2000 A stars is particularly noteworthy. The flares have relative intensities in the range 1-100 parts per thousand and typical durations of a few minutes to several hours. The mean interval between flares varies between 1 and 120 days. We estimate the typical energy of flares to be around 1035 erg in the F-type stars and about 1036 erg in the A-type stars. Nearly all these stars vary at a low level with a period which is most likely the rotational period of the star. Comparison of the relative flare intensities with those in cool red stars observed by Kepler shows that flares in these stars, and certainly in the A-type stars, cannot easily be ascribed to cool flare-star companions. The huge energy released in the flares is difficult to understand. This is especially the case for A-type stars since these stars are thought to have very weak magnetic fields. The flare energy may possibly originate in magnetic reconnection of field lines between the primary star and a companion.
Article
The asteroid belt is found today in a dramatically different state than that immediately following its formation. It is estimated that it has been depleted in total mass by a factor of at least 1000 since its formation, and that the asteroids' orbits evolved from having near-zero eccentricity and inclination to the complex distributions we find today. The asteroid belt also hosts a wide range of compositions, with the inner regions dominated by S-type and other water-poor asteroids and the outer regions dominated by C-type and other primitive asteroids. We discuss a model of early inner solar system evolution whereby the gas-driven migration of Jupiter and Saturn brings them inwards to 1.5 AU, truncating the disk of planetesimals in the terrestrial planet region, before migrating outwards toward their current locations. This model, informally titled "The Grand Tack," examines the planetary dynamics of the solar system bodies during the final million years of the gaseous solar nebula lifetime—a few million years (Myr) after the formation of the first solids, but 20-80 Myr before the final accretion of Earth, and approximately 400-600 Myr before the Late Heavy Bombardment of the inner solar system. The Grand Tack attempts to solve some outstanding problems for terrestrial planet formation, by reproducing the size of Mars, but also has important implications for the asteroid population. The migration of Jupiter causes a very early depletion of the asteroid belt region, and this region is then repopulated from two distinct source regions, one inside the formation region of Jupiter and one between and beyond the giant planets. The scattered material reforms the asteroid belt, producing a population the appropriate mass, orbits, and with overlapping distributions of material from each parent source region.