The Himalaya is the youngest, loftiest and most dynamic yet most delicate mountain
ecosystems in the world. Though it has enormous biological, ecological, geo-hydrological,
socio-cultural and aesthetic significance, it is being depleted at an alarming pace. The
eastern Himalaya noticeably differs from the western Himalaya in terms of terrain, climate
as well as floral and faunal community composition. Sikkim, one of the smallest States of
India, is situated at the western extremities of the Eastern Himalaya. The Khangchendzonga
Biosphere Reserve (BR) in Sikkim Himalaya falls among the most important protected areas
in the eastern Himalaya. There have been no surveys or studies dealing with the aspects such
as the distribution, abundance and ecology of mammals, particularly carnivores and their
prey populations (Ungulates) in Khangchendzonga NP and BR. Similarly, there is no
information on distribution, relative abundance, and ecology of Galliformes (prey for
carnivores) of Khangchendzonga BR. In the context of highly diverse yet highly fragile
ecological features of eastern Himalaya, this major information gap can be proved as the
major hindrance in the way of proper conservation and better management in current as well
as in future scenario. From the foregoing, it is evident that development of baseline
information on the distribution and relative abundance of carnivores, their prey, and wildlife
habitats in Khangchendzonga BR is extremely crucial for the monitoring of the selected
species/taxa. This would help in detecting the significant changes by comparing with
baseline data and help plan suitable management interventions.
The Khangchendzonga BR is located in Sikkim, between 27o 30’ to 27o 55’ N and 88o 02’ to
88o 37’ E and covering North Sikkim, West Sikkim and a small portion of South Sikkim
district. It is the highest protected area in the country and the third highest in the world. The
Khangchendzonga BR covers an area of 2619.92 km2, 36.92% of the land area of Sikkim. The
entire landscape is enormously rich in biodiversity, highly important as hydrological,
environmental and recreational resources and also represents a unique amalgamation of
different cultures of several ethnic communities along with their traditional livelihood
practices. Using Geographic Information System (GIS) tools, physiographic features such as
elevation, aspect, slope and drainage along with land cover maps were prepared for
Khangchendzonga BR. Six distinct land cover classes were categorized as mixed subtropical
forest (2%), mixed temperate forest (25%), subalpine forest (23%), alpine zone (6%) as forest
classes and rock and snow cover (44%) as non-forest class. For simplicity, the area of
Khangchendzonga National Park (NP) has been divided into seven watersheds or river
subsystems (Figure 2.1B) namely Lhonak (15%), Zemu (23%), Lachen (5%), Rangyong
(36%), Rangit (6%), Prek (8%) and Churong (7%). A total of 73 glacial lakes occur within
the BR covering an area of about 3.34 km2. The intensive field work of the present study was
majorly carried out in Prek chu (chu=river) catchment area.
The study period extended from 1st February 2008 till 31st January 2013. All field activities
were carried out in the form of field expeditions - camping in different areas of the intensive
study area. Different conventional field methods such as scan sampling, trail sampling, dung
count and vegetation sampling were used to achieve the objectives. Camera traps were also
used for the first time in Sikkim to investigate the distribution and abundance of carnivores,
ungulates and galliformes.
Occurrence of 42 species (19 carnivores, 8 Ungulates, 2 Primates, 7 Rodents, 4 Lagomorphs,
1 Insectivore and 1 Chiropteran) of mammals belonging to 7 orders and 16 families in the
Khangchendzonga BR out of which we confirm the presence of 40 species through visual
encounters, photo-captures, signs and trails, and the rest two based on the information from
the locals was recorded. A total of 21 photo-captures (6 right and 15 left flanks) were
recorded, the SECR models estimated densities as 4.25±2.55 individuals/100 km² for
Maximum-likelihood estimation and 4.77±1.81 individuals/100 km² for Bayesian with
Markov-Chain Monte Carlo simulations (MCMC). The number of leopard cat individuals
identified was 13 using right flank, the SECR models estimated densities as 17±5.33
individuals/100 km² for Maximum-likelihood estimation, hazard rate model was selected
based on minimum AICc value and 17.52±5.52 individuals/100 km² for Bayesian with
MCMC. A total of 23 photo-captures (20 right and 15 left flanks) were recorded, the SECR
models estimated densities as 9.75±5.80 individuals/100 km² for Maximum-likelihood
estimation, and 10.67±3.71 individuals/100 km² for Bayesian with MCMC simulations.
Overall photo-capture rates (photographs/100days) were calculated for each carnivore
species present in Prek chu catchment of Khangchendzonga BR. Details of their relative
abundance in different habitats in terms of photo-capture rates are also calculated. In the
alpine zone maximum photo-capture rate was observed for red fox (8.16±2.85) followed by
stone marten (2.11±1.49) and snow leopard (0.85±0.35). In sub-alpine zone maximum photocapture
rate was recorded in case of Himalayan yellow throated marten (3.5±0.8) followed
by Asiatic golden cat (0.43±0.13). In case of temperate zone maximum photo-capture rate
was observed again for Himalayan yellow throated marten (8.51±2.38) followed by leopard
cat (2.86±0.87), Himalayan masked palm civet (1.9±0.78) and large Indian civet (1.47±0.66),
respectively. During scan sampling encounter of 71 blue sheep clusters of 883 blue sheep
were encountered. The overall density (#/km2) of blue sheep in Prek chu catchment of KBR
was 5.25. Occupancy and abundance results derived from the Royle-Nichols heterogeneity
model analyses for different ungulate species present in Prek chu catchment area of KBR
depicted detection probability corrected density (#/100km2) for goral, serow, barking deer
and blue sheep were 21.44±6.48, 8.71±3.94, 16.93±5.56 and 498.67±211.60 respectively.
Blood pheasant was the most visually encountered galliformes, overall density of blood
pheasant in the study area was estimated at 13.64±2.78 individuals/km2. Himalayan monal
was visually encountered on 21 occasions and its density was estimated at 1.38±0.45
individuals/km2. Snow partridge was sighted on 33 occasions, it was mostly found in groups
ranging from 1 to 15 individuals. During the study period, kalij was sighted on 32 occasions.
Satyr tragopan was visually encountered 23 times of during the study period with an overall
density of 1.02±0.52 individuals/km². Photo-capture rate (#/100 days) were used to estimate
the relative abundance of small mammals such as rodents and pika recorded in the study
area. Overall photo-capture rate (2.53±1.19) for pika was highest followed by rats (2.27±
0.95). Spatial distribution pattern of carnivores depicted specific distribution for some
species such as snow leopard and red fox which were confined in the alpine zone of the Prek
chu catchment as well as continuous distribution for some species such as yellow throated
marten which were present in temperate and subalpine habitats. Blue sheep distribution was
strictly confined within the rocky areas, alpine and krummholdz vegetation of Prek chu
catchment area. Distribution of musk deer was confined in krummholdz and subalpine
vegetation; spatial distribution pattern of serow depicted that the species was widely
distributed in the Prek chu catchment area. Both subalpine as well as temperate forests were
well occupied by serow. Spatial distribution of goral in Pek chu catchment of Khangchendzonga BR depicted similar pattern to serow distribution. Barking deer was distributed only in the temperate forests of the intensive study area. Spatial distribution patterns of wild pig and Himalayan tahr in Prek chu catchment area were depicted on the basis of photo-captures and lone sightings of each species. All the snow partridge evidences
were found at the alpine zone, evidences of Himalayan monal were also encountered chiefly
in the alpine zone. Blood pheasant evidences were recorded in sub-alpine, krummholdz and
alpine zone. Satyr tragopan evidences were found mainly in the transition zone of temperate
and sub-alpine habitats. Presence of kalij was encountered in the temperate zone. Evidences
of hill partridge were distributed in temperate and subalpine zone.
Ungulates significantly differ with each other in their use of different elevation categories
(Kruskal-Wallis χ2=261.11, df=4, p=0.00). It was found that barking deer (n=27) used lower
elevations (2000m- 2500m) and goral (n=95) used both lower and middle altitudes (2000m-
3500m). Serow (n=57) used a wide range of altitude classes (2500m-4000m), whereas the
musk deer (n=16) and blue sheep (n=130) both used exclusively high altitude category
(>4000m). Occupancy modelling results showed that higher elevation and less tree/shrub
cover and the alpine habitat, these three sampling variables significantly affected the
presence of blue sheep at a camera site. Higher elevation and krummholdz habitat, these two
sampling variables significantly affected the presence of musk deer. Results of occupancy
modelling showed that detection probability of both serow and goral were negatively related
with human presence at camera site. Denser tree cover, higher elevation and warmer aspect
were determined as the best predictors for the occupancy of serow. Denser tree cover,
warmer aspect and distant sites from regularly used tourist trails were the best predictors for
the occupancy of goral. Steep slopes, high tree cover, cooler aspects, absence of trekking
trails and broadleaved forests significantly affected the presence of barking deer at a camera
site. In contrast to the results of barking deer, only broadleaved forests significantly affected
the presence of wild boar at a camera site. Kalij and hill partridge being temperate species
were present in wet-temperate habitat. Snow partridge was present only in alpine-scrub
habitat. Satyr tragopan used wet-temperate, fir-birch-Rhododendron and Rhododendronscrub
habitats according to their availability. Blood pheasant and monal both used alpine,
Rhododendron scrub and subalpine habitats but blood pheasant preferred fir-birch-
Rhododendron dominated subalpine habitat whereas monal showed preference for Juniper
and Rhododendron dwarf scrub habitat. The field data on micro-habitat characters were
analyzed for three different zones—temperate, subalpine-krummholdtz and alpine.
In snow leopard scats frequency of occurrence of pika was highest (0.56±0.09) followed by
blue sheep (0.42±0.09), rodent (0.30±0.08) and cattle (0.28±0.08). In red fox scat, frequency
of occurrence of pika was highest (0.58±0.06) followed by rodent (0.54±0.06), beetles
(0.33±0.06) and blue sheep (0.25±0.05). Among all dhole scats, rodent was the most
frequently found prey item (32%), followed by serow (27%) and Himalayan tahr (22%).
Small mammals (rodents and pika) comprised 82% of the mammalian prey consumed by the
leopard cats. Murids were the most dominant prey items occurring in 89.2% of the scats
followed by pikas (21.62%) and birds (10.81%). Frequency of occurrence of pika was highest
(0.64±0.11) in Himalayan yellow-throated marten and beech marten scats followed by rodent
(0.47±0.12), beetles (0. 10±0.06) and langur (0.07±0.06). In weasel(s) scats, the frequency of
occurrence of pika was highest (0.75±0.12) followed by rodent (0.27±0.13) and blue sheep
(0.12±0.09).
To carry out presence only species distribution modelling, GIS data-layers for nine Eco-
Geographic Variables believed to possibly influence distribution of carnivores, ungulates and
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galliformes in KBR were generated. McArthur’s broken-stick model was followed to select
the number of factors to be used in preparing the habitat suitability (HS) model. Geometric
mean algorithm was used for the computation of habitat suitability index. The predictive
power and accuracy of HS models was evaluated by a Jack-knifed 10-fold cross-validation
procedure. All these six ungulates exhibited high global marginality values (0.85 to 1.2),
indicating that they occupied a relatively small portion of the set of environmental conditions
available in Khangchendzonga BR. The HS map of blue sheep identified two main zones as
favourable habitats—one in the northern part and another in the South-Western part of
Khangchendzonga BR. Total area of suitable habitats for blue sheep as calculated from this
HS map was 502.35 km2 and area of medium suitable habitats (with 30 to 60 % probability of
species occurrence) was greater than the areas of less and highly suitable habitats. The HS
map of musk deer identified a single favourable patch at the Southwestern part of
Khangchendzonga BR. Among the total predicted suitable area of 860.99 km2, this HS map
clearly depicted that most of the habitats were less suitable (10-30% chance of species
occurrence) for musk deer and only 57.27 km2 area was highly favourable for musk deer. HS
map for serow showed a continuous distribution throughout the lower temperate to upper
subalpine forests of KBR. Particularly the subalpine forests of Khangchendzonga BR were
predicted as medium to highly suitable (163.9 km2) for occurrence of serow. HS map for
goral predicted a vast area of 1150.69 km2 (43% of the entire area of BR) as suitable for
goral in Khangchendzonga BR. HS maps for both barking deer and wild pig showed the
lower temperate forests as the only suitable habitat (510.41km2 for barking deer and 463.42
km2 for wild pig). All the six galliformes exhibited high global marginality values (0.64 to
1.13), indicating that they occupied a relatively small portion of the set of environmental
conditions (defined by the EGVs) available in Khangchendzonga BR.
The HS map of snow partridge identified the alpine habitats and the HS map of Himalayan
monal identified the high altitude, alpine and subalpine areas as favourable habitats mostly
at the Southwestern part of Khangchendzonga BR. HS map for blood pheasant showed a
continuous distribution throughout the mid temperate to upper subalpine forests and alpine
areas of Khangchendzonga BR. HS map for blood pheasant depicted total 650.84 km2 area as
suitable habitat and 116.88 km2 area as highly favourable. HS map for Satyr tragopan
predicted an area of 773.77 km2 as suitable habitat in Khangchendzonga BR.
HS maps for both kalij and hill partridge showed the lower temperate forests as the only
suitable habitat. All the nine carnivores showed high marginality values (0.84-1.85) which
indicated about the preference for specified habitats or food resources. On the other hand,
yellow-throated marten and Asiatic black bear were generalist in distribution as indicated by
their specialization indices. The specific specialization values for snow leopard, large Indian
civet and masked palm civet were very low thus indicating about their very specialist nature
of distribution. The HS map of snow leopard identified the alpine habitats of Southwestern
part of Khangchendzonga BR. Total area of suitable habitats for snow leopard as calculated
from this HS map was 1250.59 km2 and area of highly suitable habitats (with 60 to 100 %
probability of species occurrence) was 138.65 km2 situated in the alpine zone or above.
The HS map of red fox identified the high altitude, alpine and subalpine areas as favourable
habitats mostly at the Southwestern part and at Zema valley of northern part of
Khangchendzonga BR. HS map for stone marten showed a continuous distribution
throughout upper subalpine forests and alpine areas of Khangchendzonga BR.
HS maps of Asiatic black bear and yellow-throated marten depicted wide distributions for
these two species. Highly suitable area (322.45 km2) for yellow-throated marten was highest
among the carnivores of Khangchendzonga BR. The lower temperate habitats at the
Biosphere Reserve part were predicted as suitable for thee lesser carnivores such as leopard
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cat, large Indian civet and masked palm civet. For all these three carnivores, predicted
highly suitable areas were very less in comparison with the predicted total suitable area.
For snow leopard population, to detect 5% annual decline with 70% power, 1000 effective
camera days/ year would be the minimum sampling effort required for 13 years and to detect
10 % annual decline with 70 % power, 800 effective camera days/ year were required for 7
years. For blue sheep, power to detect annual population declines of up to 10% per year
changed little when survey effort was increased from 21 surveys/year to 24 surveys/year or
more. To detect annual 5% decline in blue sheep population with 70% power; 33 scans/year
would be required for 10 consecutive years. However, to detect 10% annual decline with the
same power level of 70%; only 9 scans/year would be required. For goral population, to
detect 5% annual decline with 70% power, 390 effective camera days/year were the minimum
sampling effort required for 9 years and to detect 10 % annual decline with 70 % power, 260
effective camera days/year would be required for 7 years. For barking deer population, to
detect 5% annual decline with 70% power, 500 effective camera days/year would be the
minimum required sampling effort for 10 years, however, 10 % annual decline with the same
power level can be detected with 400 effective camera days/year for 8 years. For blood
pheasant, power to detect annual population declines of up to 10% per year changed little
when survey effort was increased from 80 surveys/year to 100 surveys/year or more. To
detect annual 5% decline in blood pheasant population with 70% power; at least 100
surveys/year would be required for 10 consecutive years. However, to detect 10% annual
decline with the same power level of 70%; only 40 surveys/year would be required.
In the alpine zone, the grids where the Important Habitat Index is 60-100, are situated in the
Southwestern part of Khangchendzonga BR. The trans-Himalayan habitats of Zanak, Rasum
and Dolma along with the Green lake area were depicted as the most important habitats for
threatened carnivores and their prey in Northern part of Khangchendzonga BR. In the
subalpine and temperate forest, most important habitats for threatened carnivores and their
prey are situated mainly along the junction of BR and National Park. Most of these grids are
situated in the BR part connecting or buffering the villages situated just outside the
Khangchendzonga BR boundary and hence are also very important for regular monitoring.
The transition zone of subalpine and alpine area such as dwarf Rhododendron vegetations of
Dzongri, Thansing, upper Yambong, Panchpokhri and Thepala are most important habitats
for the threatened carnivores and their prey.
The present study generated baseline information on distribution, abundance, habitat use and
co-existence of carnivores and their prey at spatial scale. However, major ecological issues
such as diet overlap and niche breadth at dietary scale among these species is yet to be
studied in Eastern Himalayan landscape. Such study also can help to elucidate the impact of
pack animal grazing on ungulates inside the National Park. The response of these ungulates
to anthropogenic factors such as extractive disturbances due to eco-tourism is yet to be
studied. In the trans-Himalayan part of the Khangchendzonga BR, more intensive camera
trapping is necessary to get the complete scenario of mammal assemblage there. Future
endeavours to study these remaining aspects can definitely help the managers to delineate a
thorough and effective management plan for the conservation of carnivores and their prey
ensuring their long term survival in Khangchendzonga landscape.