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Urban fl ood risk and hydrology
Urban fl ood risk and hydrology
Urban fl ood risk and hydrology
Urban fl ood risk and hydrology
László Mrekva, Zsuzsanna Engi and Gábor Tóth
László Mrekva, Zsuzsanna Engi and Gábor Tóth
with 5 fi gures and 1 table
with 5 fi gures and 1 table
Abstract.
Abstract.
Urban fl oods have large impacts particularly in terms of economic and social losses. Flood
Urban fl oods have large impacts particularly in terms of economic and social losses. Flood
risk is commonly thought of as being a combination of the probability and the consequences of fl ood-
risk is commonly thought of as being a combination of the probability and the consequences of fl ood-
ing. To analyse fl ooding requires a basic understanding of the hydrology of cities. The paper provides
ing. To analyse fl ooding requires a basic understanding of the hydrology of cities. The paper provides
an overview of the consequences of urbanisation on the hydrology of towns and cities, try to describe
an overview of the consequences of urbanisation on the hydrology of towns and cities, try to describe
the urban hydrological cycle and the processes within the cycle that result in fl ooding. We would like to
the urban hydrological cycle and the processes within the cycle that result in fl ooding. We would like to
introduce the process of urban fl ood risk management. The central concept of this paper is to represent
introduce the process of urban fl ood risk management. The central concept of this paper is to represent
how we can manage collectively the different aspects of the urban fl ood risk, and to demonstrate the
how we can manage collectively the different aspects of the urban fl ood risk, and to demonstrate the
successful management with them.
successful management with them.
Keywords:
Keywords:
urban hydrology, land use, fl ood risk
urban hydrology, land use, fl ood risk
1
1
Introduction
Introduction
A continuous and fast urbanization threatens the balance of the European environment, soci-
A continuous and fast urbanization threatens the balance of the European environment, soci-
ety and economic, poses in the Copenhagen offi cial statement of the European Environmental
ety and economic, poses in the Copenhagen offi cial statement of the European Environmental
Agency. At fi rst during the human history more people live in small and big cities, than on rural
Agency. At fi rst during the human history more people live in small and big cities, than on rural
areas. Europe is one of the most urbanized continents in the world. About 75 % of its popula-
areas. Europe is one of the most urbanized continents in the world. About 75 % of its popula-
tion live in urban areas; onto 2020 this proportion will be increase 80 %. Come about this there
tion live in urban areas; onto 2020 this proportion will be increase 80 %. Come about this there
is a growing demand regarding the land use in the cities and in their surroundings. The expan-
is a growing demand regarding the land use in the cities and in their surroundings. The expan-
sion of the cities modifi es the landscape, and there is a never earlier effect on the quality of the
sion of the cities modifi es the landscape, and there is a never earlier effect on the quality of the
life of the people and their environment. The city planning and the management get a higher
life of the people and their environment. The city planning and the management get a higher
position in the political agenda.
position in the political agenda.
Therewith the increase of the numbers of the urban households there is an increasing
Therewith the increase of the numbers of the urban households there is an increasing
energy and water utilization as well as the waste production.
energy and water utilization as well as the waste production.
Accordindg to the offi cial statement of the European Environmental Agency on the
Accordindg to the offi cial statement of the European Environmental Agency on the
enlargement of the cities the urban land use had a negative effect on more than quarter part of
enlargement of the cities the urban land use had a negative effect on more than quarter part of
the European Union between 1990 and 2000. This mainly happened on the former agricultural
the European Union between 1990 and 2000. This mainly happened on the former agricultural
regions, which led to the loss of different ecosystem provisions like the food production, the
regions, which led to the loss of different ecosystem provisions like the food production, the
fl ood defence and the biological diversity (EEA Briefi ng 2006/4).
fl ood defence and the biological diversity (EEA Briefi ng 2006/4).
One of the most important elements of the today’s successful water management is that
One of the most important elements of the today’s successful water management is that
we quite realize the fact, that we have to prepare ourselves for the incidence of different type
we quite realize the fact, that we have to prepare ourselves for the incidence of different type
of fl oods in the future and that the damages caused by fl oods may be changing.
of fl oods in the future and that the damages caused by fl oods may be changing.
For this reason we have to defi ne our objectives concerning the fl oodrisk management, and
For this reason we have to defi ne our objectives concerning the fl oodrisk management, and
they have to be based on the local and regional circumstances. From the point of view of the
they have to be based on the local and regional circumstances. From the point of view of the
city dwellers one of the most important fundamental principles of the successful urban fl ood
city dwellers one of the most important fundamental principles of the successful urban fl ood
Zeitschrift für Geomorphologie, Supplementary Issue Fast Track Article
Published online April 2012
©2012 Gebrüder Borntraeger Verlagsbuchhandlung, Stuttgart, Germany www.borntraeger-cramer.de
DOI: 10.1127/0372-8854/2012/S-00083 0372-8854/12/S-00083 $ 0.00
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László Mrekva, Zsuzsanna Engi and Gábor Tóth
László Mrekva, Zsuzsanna Engi and Gábor Tóth
management is that we have to know the characteristics
management is that we have to know the characteristics
of the different inundations and the
of the different inundations and the
successful preventive measures against them. The undermentioned characteristics are known
successful preventive measures against them. The undermentioned characteristics are known
onto our present day cities:
onto our present day cities:
•
•
concentrated population,
concentrated population,
•
•
huge, impermeable surfaces and building operations,
huge, impermeable surfaces and building operations,
•
•
solid and liquid waste accumulation without treatment,
solid and liquid waste accumulation without treatment,
•
•
clogged drainage systems,
clogged drainage systems,
•
•
intensive economic activity,
intensive economic activity,
•
•
extremely valuable infrastructure and property,
extremely valuable infrastructure and property,
•
•
fl ats without hygiene and sanitation,
fl ats without hygiene and sanitation,
•
•
regional changes around the cities.
regional changes around the cities.
The town of today is not able to fulfi l the claims the following from the above problems.
The town of today is not able to fulfi l the claims the following from the above problems.
There are existing periodical, transitive solutions, but the most important tasks in front of us
There are existing periodical, transitive solutions, but the most important tasks in front of us
are:
are:
•
•
the regulation of the quantity of urban fl oods,
the regulation of the quantity of urban fl oods,
•
•
he treatment of their quality, and the
he treatment of their quality, and the
•
•
release of the waste water treatment plants throughout the existing sewer systems.
release of the waste water treatment plants throughout the existing sewer systems.
The aims of the sustainable urban fl ood management system are to store and purify urban
The aims of the sustainable urban fl ood management system are to store and purify urban
run-offs. The central concept is if that the water management can be feasible on the developed
run-offs. The central concept is if that the water management can be feasible on the developed
areas. The characteristics of the existing sewer systems strive for to minimize the effects due to
areas. The characteristics of the existing sewer systems strive for to minimize the effects due to
the development and contribute to the evolution of the optimal hydrological circumstances.
the development and contribute to the evolution of the optimal hydrological circumstances.
2
2
What is risk?
What is risk?
Considering, that in the future we have to prepare ourselves for the occurring of different type
Considering, that in the future we have to prepare ourselves for the occurring of different type
of fl oods and the damages caused by fl oods could be altering, this is why in the different coun-
of fl oods and the damages caused by fl oods could be altering, this is why in the different coun-
tries and regions we have to defi ne the objectives of the fl ood risk conception by ourselves and
tries and regions we have to defi ne the objectives of the fl ood risk conception by ourselves and
this conception has to be based on the local and regional circumstances. As a basic principle
this conception has to be based on the local and regional circumstances. As a basic principle
appearing in the EU COM (2004, 427 p.) submissions on the Flood Risk Management and in
appearing in the EU COM (2004, 427 p.) submissions on the Flood Risk Management and in
the Sustainable Flood Control Action Programme of ICPDR the fact, which we have to change
the Sustainable Flood Control Action Programme of ICPDR the fact, which we have to change
over from fl ood defence to fl ood risk management adapt the river basin approach build on the
over from fl ood defence to fl ood risk management adapt the river basin approach build on the
activities of the authorities and stakeholders.
activities of the authorities and stakeholders.
The many inconsistent and ambiguous meanings attached to “risk” lead to widespread con-
The many inconsistent and ambiguous meanings attached to “risk” lead to widespread con-
fusion and also mean that very different approaches to risk management are taken in different
fusion and also mean that very different approaches to risk management are taken in different
fi elds, here are some examples:
fi elds, here are some examples:
•
•
The ISO 31000 (2009) /ISO Guide 73 defi nition of risk is the 'effect of uncertainty on
The ISO 31000 (2009) /ISO Guide 73 defi nition of risk is the 'effect of uncertainty on
objectives'. In this defi nition, uncertainties include events (which may or not happen)
objectives'. In this defi nition, uncertainties include events (which may or not happen)
and uncertainties caused by a lack of information or ambiguity. This defi nition also
and uncertainties caused by a lack of information or ambiguity. This defi nition also
includes both negative and positive impacts on objectives.
includes both negative and positive impacts on objectives.
•
•
Another defi nition is that risks are future problems that can be avoided or mitigated,
Another defi nition is that risks are future problems that can be avoided or mitigated,
rather than current ones that must be immediately addressed.
rather than current ones that must be immediately addressed.
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Urban fl ood risk and hydrology
Urban fl ood risk and hydrology
•
•
Risk can be seen as relating to the Probability of uncertain future events. For example,
Risk can be seen as relating to the Probability of uncertain future events. For example,
according to Factor Analysis of Information Risk, risk is: the probable frequency and
according to Factor Analysis of Information Risk, risk is: the probable frequency and
probable magnitude of future loss. In computer science this defi nition is used by The
probable magnitude of future loss. In computer science this defi nition is used by The
Open Group.
Open Group.
•
•
OHSAS (Occupational Health & Safety Advisory Services) defi nes risk as the product
OHSAS (Occupational Health & Safety Advisory Services) defi nes risk as the product
of the probability of a hazard resulting in an adverse event, times the severity of the
of the probability of a hazard resulting in an adverse event, times the severity of the
event.
event.
•
•
In information security risk is defi ned as "the potential that a given threat will exploit
In information security risk is defi ned as "the potential that a given threat will exploit
vulnerabilities of an asset or group of assets and thereby cause harm to the organiza-
vulnerabilities of an asset or group of assets and thereby cause harm to the organiza-
tion".
tion".
•
•
Financial risk is often defi ned as the unexpected variability or volatility of returns
Financial risk is often defi ned as the unexpected variability or volatility of returns
and thus includes both potential worse-than-expected as well as better-than-expected
and thus includes both potential worse-than-expected as well as better-than-expected
returns. References to negative risk below should be read as applying to positive impacts
returns. References to negative risk below should be read as applying to positive impacts
or opportunity (e.g., for "loss" read "loss or gain") unless the context precludes this
or opportunity (e.g., for "loss" read "loss or gain") unless the context precludes this
interpretation.
interpretation.
•
•
The related term "hazard" is used to mean something that could cause harm
The related term "hazard" is used to mean something that could cause harm
(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ris
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ris
k).
).
or
or
•
•
Risk is the probability of damage causation of accidental events.
Risk is the probability of damage causation of accidental events.
(www.mimi.hu/gazdasag/kockazat.htm
www.mimi.hu/gazdasag/kockazat.htm
l).
).
•
•
Risk is quantity determination of the probability of the loss
Risk is quantity determination of the probability of the loss
(http://www.investorwords.co
http://www.investorwords.co
m).
).
•
•
The fl ood risk increases where risk is defi ned as the probability of occurrence multi-
The fl ood risk increases where risk is defi ned as the probability of occurrence multi-
plied by its impact. (Best practices on fl ood prevention, protection and mitigation).
plied by its impact. (Best practices on fl ood prevention, protection and mitigation).
•
•
Flood risk means the combination of the probability of a fl ood event and of the
Flood risk means the combination of the probability of a fl ood event and of the
potential adverse consequences for human health, the environment, cultural heritage
potential adverse consequences for human health, the environment, cultural heritage
and economic activity associated with a fl ood event (directive 2007/60/ec of the euro-
and economic activity associated with a fl ood event (directive 2007/60/ec of the euro-
pean parliament and of the council).
pean parliament and of the council).
In generally, risk assessment is the procedure where we evaluate risk arose from the exist-
In generally, risk assessment is the procedure where we evaluate risk arose from the exist-
ing threatens, and having an effect on health and safety. Risk assessment is not unlike accurate
ing threatens, and having an effect on health and safety. Risk assessment is not unlike accurate
overview that in a given dangerous situation what can be injured and what can be threaten
overview that in a given dangerous situation what can be injured and what can be threaten
the security. The aims of the risk assessment are the identifi cation of the risk, the averting its
the security. The aims of the risk assessment are the identifi cation of the risk, the averting its
deleterious effects or rather its reduction to a smallest extent with ranked measures. The risk
deleterious effects or rather its reduction to a smallest extent with ranked measures. The risk
assessment is a message for the decision makers. Flood is an inevitable phenomenon. At the
assessment is a message for the decision makers. Flood is an inevitable phenomenon. At the
same time the different human activities and the climate change are contribute to the grow-
same time the different human activities and the climate change are contribute to the grow-
ing of its probability and to the growing of its dangerous effects. The damages caused by the
ing of its probability and to the growing of its dangerous effects. The damages caused by the
fl oods can be altering in the different countries and regions. Those catastrophic fl oods, which
fl oods can be altering in the different countries and regions. Those catastrophic fl oods, which
were occurred during the last years worldwide demonstrated, that there is no existing total
were occurred during the last years worldwide demonstrated, that there is no existing total
defence against fl oods.
defence against fl oods.
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László Mrekva, Zsuzsanna Engi and Gábor Tóth
László Mrekva, Zsuzsanna Engi and Gábor Tóth
3
3
The reasons and effects of urban fl ood
The reasons and effects of urban fl ood
For that reason to understand the urban fl ood risk completely it is crucial to take in the different
For that reason to understand the urban fl ood risk completely it is crucial to take in the different
components of the risk. Frequently – superfi cially consider – we defi ne the risk, as an occur-
components of the risk. Frequently – superfi cially consider – we defi ne the risk, as an occur-
rence of an extreme event or danger, which is the cause of the natural forces or the combina-
rence of an extreme event or danger, which is the cause of the natural forces or the combina-
tion of natural/and human forces (e.g., fl ood, drought, earthquake, landslide etc.). Although the
tion of natural/and human forces (e.g., fl ood, drought, earthquake, landslide etc.). Although the
primary precondition of risk framing is the occurrence of such kind of dangerous situations,
primary precondition of risk framing is the occurrence of such kind of dangerous situations,
and these situations are also the components of the risk framing. The second component in
and these situations are also the components of the risk framing. The second component in
the risk framing is the fact that somebody or something is in danger, namely it turn into vulner-
the risk framing is the fact that somebody or something is in danger, namely it turn into vulner-
able. This widely accepted defi nition makes the column of the risk explicit. Risk is one kind of
able. This widely accepted defi nition makes the column of the risk explicit. Risk is one kind of
probability of the damage, which is based on the next three components: danger, vulnerability
probability of the damage, which is based on the next three components: danger, vulnerability
and exposure, even if among one is increasing or decreasing, then the risk is also increasing or
and exposure, even if among one is increasing or decreasing, then the risk is also increasing or
decreasing in compliance with it.
decreasing in compliance with it.
3.1
3.1
Explanation of the urban fl ood risk
Explanation of the urban fl ood risk
Floods are the results of the combination of the hydrological and meteorological extremities.
Floods are the results of the combination of the hydrological and meteorological extremities.
Over and above in many cases fl oods are infl uenced by the human factor. Although these infl u-
Over and above in many cases fl oods are infl uenced by the human factor. Although these infl u-
ences are very different from each other, they are still increasing the fl ood risk, emphasized the
ences are very different from each other, they are still increasing the fl ood risk, emphasized the
fl ood peaks. Thereby, in the built environment we have to look on them like the consequences
fl ood peaks. Thereby, in the built environment we have to look on them like the consequences
of natural and man-made factors. In the next table (Table 1.) there is a certain kind of summary
of natural and man-made factors. In the next table (Table 1.) there is a certain kind of summary
on the factors which can contribute to the fl ood.
on the factors which can contribute to the fl ood.
3.2
3.2
The effects of the urban fl oods
The effects of the urban fl oods
The effects of urban fl oods can be seen – direct and indirect way – in the economic losses.
The effects of urban fl oods can be seen – direct and indirect way – in the economic losses.
A number of urban characteristics (listed in foreword) are well known mainly in the low and
A number of urban characteristics (listed in foreword) are well known mainly in the low and
medium income countries.
medium income countries.
3.2.1
3.2.1
Exposure
Exposure
Exposure gives only the answer on the question, whether human properties are under a threat
Exposure gives only the answer on the question, whether human properties are under a threat
by fl ood or not. One of the main elements of the increasing of the urban fl ood damages is the
by fl ood or not. One of the main elements of the increasing of the urban fl ood damages is the
increasing of the population. The fast and non-planned expansion of the cities generates that
increasing of the population. The fast and non-planned expansion of the cities generates that
the population is threatened more and more by potential fl oods.
the population is threatened more and more by potential fl oods.
While in year 1800 only 1 per cent of the population of the Earth lived in cities, due to
While in year 1800 only 1 per cent of the population of the Earth lived in cities, due to
the industrial revolution, the developed conurbations attracted more and more crowd. There-
the industrial revolution, the developed conurbations attracted more and more crowd. There-
fore onto 1970 this ratio reached the 30 per cent and around the millennium it was 50 per cent
fore onto 1970 this ratio reached the 30 per cent and around the millennium it was 50 per cent
(GAYER-LIGETVÁRI
GAYER-LIGETVÁRI
2007). According to the predictions onto 2030 as it is to be expected more
2007). According to the predictions onto 2030 as it is to be expected more
than 2/3 of the population will to live in cities (see also on Figure 1).
than 2/3 of the population will to live in cities (see also on Figure 1).
The developing countries are getting larger and larger. There is a strong migration from the
The developing countries are getting larger and larger. There is a strong migration from the
rural regions to the cities. The main characteristics of this migration are
rural regions to the cities. The main characteristics of this migration are
23
23
Urban fl ood risk and hydrology
Urban fl ood risk and hydrology
Table 1. Factors bringing fl ood (based on WMO/GWP Associated programme on fl ood management,
Table 1. Factors bringing fl ood (based on WMO/GWP Associated programme on fl ood management,
urban fl ood risk management, A tool for integrated fl ood management, associated programme on fl ood
urban fl ood risk management, A tool for integrated fl ood management, associated programme on fl ood
management, March 2008).
management, March 2008).
Meteorological factors
Meteorological factors
Hydrologycal factors
Hydrologycal factors
Human factors
Human factors
•
•
rainfall
rainfall
•
•
cyclonic storms,
cyclonic storms,
•
•
small-sized storms,
small-sized storms,
•
•
temperature,
temperature,
•
•
snowfall and melting.
snowfall and melting.
•
•
the moisture content of
the moisture content of
the soil,
the soil,
•
•
ground water level
ground water level
•
•
quantity of the natural
quantity of the natural
surface infi ltration,
surface infi ltration,
•
•
the cross-section of a
the cross-section of a
bed and the roughness,
bed and the roughness,
•
•
concerted run-off from
concerted run-off from
the different parts of the
the different parts of the
river basin.
river basin.
•
•
the changing of the land
the changing of the land
use due to the urbaniza-
use due to the urbaniza-
tion (increase run-off),
tion (increase run-off),
•
•
the use of the fl oodplains
the use of the fl oodplains
(restrain the natural fl ow-
(restrain the natural fl ow-
ing),
ing),
•
•
the unprofessional and
the unprofessional and
the non-sustained infra-
the non-sustained infra-
structure,
structure,
•
•
the rainfall on the upper
the rainfall on the upper
part of the river basin
part of the river basin
contribute to the fl ood
contribute to the fl ood
peaks,
peaks,
•
•
the effects of the climate
the effects of the climate
change onto the extent
change onto the extent
and frequency of fl oods,
and frequency of fl oods,
•
•
urban microclimate may
urban microclimate may
bring precipitation.
bring precipitation.
Fig. 1. The number of the population settling down in the cities on the world (source: United Nations,
Fig. 1. The number of the population settling down in the cities on the world (source: United Nations,
World Urbanization Prospects: The 2005 Revision (2006) and
World Urbanization Prospects: The 2005 Revision (2006) and
CARL HAUB
CARL HAUB
(2007): World Population Data
(2007): World Population Data
Sheet.)
Sheet.)
24
24
László Mrekva, Zsuzsanna Engi and Gábor Tóth
László Mrekva, Zsuzsanna Engi and Gábor Tóth
•
•
the extremity,
the extremity,
•
•
the “no control”,
the “no control”,
•
•
industrial growth, as well as
industrial growth, as well as
•
•
infrastructural developing.
infrastructural developing.
This type of urban growing is endangering the fl ood plains; diminish the natural run off
This type of urban growing is endangering the fl ood plains; diminish the natural run off
process on them. Due to the economic development the fi nancial concerns are increasing more
process on them. Due to the economic development the fi nancial concerns are increasing more
than the society itself. In the developing countries due to the proper measures the cities and the
than the society itself. In the developing countries due to the proper measures the cities and the
population are not endangered by the fl oods. However, it is not necessary for the cities to assist
population are not endangered by the fl oods. However, it is not necessary for the cities to assist
to the increasing of the fl ood risk, even if during the process of the country planning and land
to the increasing of the fl ood risk, even if during the process of the country planning and land
use they are taking the fl ood risk into consideration.
use they are taking the fl ood risk into consideration.
3.2.2
3.2.2
Vulnerability
Vulnerability
The vulnerability is one of the most crucial components of the risk, determine whether we are
The vulnerability is one of the most crucial components of the risk, determine whether we are
exposure to a risk ending with catastrophe or not. There are three main types of the vulner-
exposure to a risk ending with catastrophe or not. There are three main types of the vulner-
ability:
ability:
1. the physical vulnerability of people and infrastructure,
1. the physical vulnerability of people and infrastructure,
2. the unfavourable organizational and economic conditions, and
2. the unfavourable organizational and economic conditions, and
3. the conformation and responsibility.
3. the conformation and responsibility.
The physical vulnerability of people and the infrastructure
The physical vulnerability of people and the infrastructure
Risk creation is going together with the urban development, but while higher income stakes
Risk creation is going together with the urban development, but while higher income stakes
are able to tolerate this kind of risk, till then the lower ones have to confront with the risk. The
are able to tolerate this kind of risk, till then the lower ones have to confront with the risk. The
physical vulnerability of people and infrastructure shows an increasing tendency as a result of
physical vulnerability of people and infrastructure shows an increasing tendency as a result of
the dense concentration of the potentially dangerous infrastructures and materials (e.g., bridges,
the dense concentration of the potentially dangerous infrastructures and materials (e.g., bridges,
solid and liquid waste, chemicals, electrical instruments etc.).
solid and liquid waste, chemicals, electrical instruments etc.).
The unfavourable organizational and economic conditions
The unfavourable organizational and economic conditions
The everyday city dwellers are not able to work together effectively. When they fi nd themselves
The everyday city dwellers are not able to work together effectively. When they fi nd themselves
face to face with the diffi culties they are requiring support (fi nancial and institutional) from the
face to face with the diffi culties they are requiring support (fi nancial and institutional) from the
State. The absence of the proper institutional structure leads to a chaotic circumstances during
State. The absence of the proper institutional structure leads to a chaotic circumstances during
“hard times”. The prerequisite of the social consciousness is to know about the danger. There-
“hard times”. The prerequisite of the social consciousness is to know about the danger. There-
fore it is essential to inform all the stakeholders in an up-to-date way.
fore it is essential to inform all the stakeholders in an up-to-date way.
The conformation and responsibility
The conformation and responsibility
Everybody who derives benefi t from the river (both in a direct or indirect way) has a personal
Everybody who derives benefi t from the river (both in a direct or indirect way) has a personal
responsibility on the rational water use and on every kind of activities which can have infl uence
responsibility on the rational water use and on every kind of activities which can have infl uence
onto the fl ood risk.
onto the fl ood risk.
25
25
Urban fl ood risk and hydrology
Urban fl ood risk and hydrology
3.2.2.1
3.2.2.1
The reduction of the vulnerability
The reduction of the vulnerability
The reduction of the physical vulnerability of people and the infrastructure:
The reduction of the physical vulnerability of people and the infrastructure:
•
•
assuring the fundamental requirements (aliment, medical supplies etc.),
assuring the fundamental requirements (aliment, medical supplies etc.),
•
•
emergency place of refuge,
emergency place of refuge,
•
•
evacuation plans and equipment,
evacuation plans and equipment,
•
•
building rules.
building rules.
The reduction of the unfavourable organizational and economic conditions:
The reduction of the unfavourable organizational and economic conditions:
•
•
political support,
political support,
•
•
institutional participation,
institutional participation,
•
•
support of the community based organizations (e.g., voluntary fi re-fi ghter brigades),
support of the community based organizations (e.g., voluntary fi re-fi ghter brigades),
•
•
support of the economic development,
support of the economic development,
•
•
diversifi ed sources of income,
diversifi ed sources of income,
•
•
fl ood insurance.
fl ood insurance.
The reduction of the conformation and responsibility:
The reduction of the conformation and responsibility:
•
•
knowledge development,
knowledge development,
•
•
increasing of the social consciousness,
increasing of the social consciousness,
•
•
alarm systems.
alarm systems.
3.3
3.3
Institutional requirements
Institutional requirements
3.3.1
3.3.1
Existing shortcomings
Existing shortcomings
In generally the principal undermentioned shortcomings can be listed regarding the urban
In generally the principal undermentioned shortcomings can be listed regarding the urban
fl oods:
fl oods:
•
•
lack of a comprehensive risk management,
lack of a comprehensive risk management,
•
•
insuffi cient communication between the different institutions,
insuffi cient communication between the different institutions,
•
•
inadequate information sharing,
inadequate information sharing,
•
•
incomplete investment decisions,
incomplete investment decisions,
•
•
lack of public participation.
lack of public participation.
3.3.2
3.3.2
Institutional arrangements
Institutional arrangements
The centre of the urban fl oodrisk management is the city itself. The clue of the success or
The centre of the urban fl oodrisk management is the city itself. The clue of the success or
failure of the urban fl oodrisk management is the carrying out the law. Basically there are three
failure of the urban fl oodrisk management is the carrying out the law. Basically there are three
main elements that are determining the enforcement.
main elements that are determining the enforcement.
The fi rst is the institutional structure, which makes the designation of the tasks and respon-
The fi rst is the institutional structure, which makes the designation of the tasks and respon-
sibilities between the different institutions possible. The shift of the responsibilities inside or
sibilities between the different institutions possible. The shift of the responsibilities inside or
between the institutions is keep from the effi cient fl oodrisk management.
between the institutions is keep from the effi cient fl oodrisk management.
The local authorities have to be cooperating with the competent river basin authorities
The local authorities have to be cooperating with the competent river basin authorities
and other international institutions in the evaluation process of the hydrometeorological
and other international institutions in the evaluation process of the hydrometeorological
risks. It is very important to designate the tasks between the responsible institutions for the
risks. It is very important to designate the tasks between the responsible institutions for the
26
26
László Mrekva, Zsuzsanna Engi and Gábor Tóth
László Mrekva, Zsuzsanna Engi and Gábor Tóth
successful cooperation. It is fundamental in the successful risk management that the inter-
successful cooperation. It is fundamental in the successful risk management that the inter-
ested institutions are joining their forces not only at local level but beyond their administra-
ested institutions are joining their forces not only at local level but beyond their administra-
tive borders. It is a basic principle in the conception of the integrated fl ood management.
tive borders. It is a basic principle in the conception of the integrated fl ood management.
The second basic element is the composition of the urban fl ood management policies
The second basic element is the composition of the urban fl ood management policies
and plans. Here it is important to highlight again, that these kinds of plans have to give clear
and plans. Here it is important to highlight again, that these kinds of plans have to give clear
and all-embracing orders.
and all-embracing orders.
At the end the last element is the process of execution of the plans, and at the same time
At the end the last element is the process of execution of the plans, and at the same time
this is the last potent measure. The success of the execution is depending on the quality of
this is the last potent measure. The success of the execution is depending on the quality of
the plans, and the ability of the cities to execute the plans from the point of view of fi nance
the plans, and the ability of the cities to execute the plans from the point of view of fi nance
and organization.
and organization.
These basic principles strongly support the effi ciency and sustainability of the activities
These basic principles strongly support the effi ciency and sustainability of the activities
of the local governments.
of the local governments.
3.3.3
3.3.3
Participation in the planning process of the measures
Participation in the planning process of the measures
Every principle which reinforces the base of the urban fl ood management is based on the par-
Every principle which reinforces the base of the urban fl ood management is based on the par-
ticipation of stakeholders. In a traditional way the fl ood management is a top to down occur-
ticipation of stakeholders. In a traditional way the fl ood management is a top to down occur-
ring decision making. Following the hierarchy of the administrative systems we can experience
ring decision making. Following the hierarchy of the administrative systems we can experience
that in the process of fl ood defence the planning of the measures happened without the con-
that in the process of fl ood defence the planning of the measures happened without the con-
siderable communities and the stakeholders. In many cases it produced non sustainable meas-
siderable communities and the stakeholders. In many cases it produced non sustainable meas-
ures, and did not meet the relevant interests. These basic shortcomings can be eliminated by
ures, and did not meet the relevant interests. These basic shortcomings can be eliminated by
the integration of the public participation into the process of the urban fl ood management. In
the integration of the public participation into the process of the urban fl ood management. In
this context the decision making can be defi ned as the combination of top-to-down and down-
this context the decision making can be defi ned as the combination of top-to-down and down-
to-top approaches, and this opens the door to the participation, which is based on the equality
to-top approaches, and this opens the door to the participation, which is based on the equality
of the law. To this, we need a due foresight to identify the interested parties. The urban fl ood
of the law. To this, we need a due foresight to identify the interested parties. The urban fl ood
management contains the below mentioned relevant stakes:
management contains the below mentioned relevant stakes:
•
•
responsible self-governing authorities,
responsible self-governing authorities,
•
•
those urban communities who are interested in or not interested in the execution of
those urban communities who are interested in or not interested in the execution of
the different measures,
the different measures,
•
•
river basin authorities and organizations,
river basin authorities and organizations,
•
•
regional developmental agencies,
regional developmental agencies,
•
•
academic institutions,
academic institutions,
•
•
the private sector, and
the private sector, and
•
•
the NGOs.
the NGOs.
Ensuring the public participation is in harmony with the three main goals. First of
Ensuring the public participation is in harmony with the three main goals. First of
all, brings together the knowledge of the different perspectives, in this way they can under-
all, brings together the knowledge of the different perspectives, in this way they can under-
stand the essence of fl ood risk. Secondly, the interested parties have a chance to express their
stand the essence of fl ood risk. Secondly, the interested parties have a chance to express their
requirements and promoted their claims during the decision making. Finally, based on the
requirements and promoted their claims during the decision making. Finally, based on the
fi rst two aims by means of the public participation the interested parties will be with regard
fi rst two aims by means of the public participation the interested parties will be with regard
to the identifi cation and execution of the fl ood management measures, which measures are
to the identifi cation and execution of the fl ood management measures, which measures are
effective and sustainable because the majority of the stakes are supported them.
effective and sustainable because the majority of the stakes are supported them.
27
27
Urban fl ood risk and hydrology
Urban fl ood risk and hydrology
4
4
Urban hydrology
Urban hydrology
4.1
4.1
Urban storm water management
Urban storm water management
In the cities the direct consequence of the development of the impermeable, covered sur-
In the cities the direct consequence of the development of the impermeable, covered sur-
faces are the greater surface run-off and the shorter time saturation. Actually the impermeable,
faces are the greater surface run-off and the shorter time saturation. Actually the impermeable,
covered surfaces are facilitate the fl ows into the recipient in a rapid way, while the permeable
covered surfaces are facilitate the fl ows into the recipient in a rapid way, while the permeable
surfaces can be store it, and hours, days, weeks later let the water towards the under layers (see
surfaces can be store it, and hours, days, weeks later let the water towards the under layers (see
also on Fig. 2.).
also on Fig. 2.).
The building of the impermeable surfaces modifi es the surrounding soil construction by
The building of the impermeable surfaces modifi es the surrounding soil construction by
way of the mechanical compaction, and eliminates the subaerial soil layer, which is an essential
way of the mechanical compaction, and eliminates the subaerial soil layer, which is an essential
porous storage space, between the subsoil and the atmosphere.
porous storage space, between the subsoil and the atmosphere.
The increased rate of the impermeabled surfaces accelerate the time of concentration and
The increased rate of the impermeabled surfaces accelerate the time of concentration and
the surface run-off of the rainwater on the urban areas, while due to the decreasing infi ltration
the surface run-off of the rainwater on the urban areas, while due to the decreasing infi ltration
the accumulated water quantity is increasing
the accumulated water quantity is increasing
(CSAPÁK
CSAPÁK
2009) (see also on Fig. 3).
2009) (see also on Fig. 3).
The aims of the traditional storm water management on the urban areas are:
The aims of the traditional storm water management on the urban areas are:
•
•
carry off the discharging quantity of water as fast as possible, and
carry off the discharging quantity of water as fast as possible, and
•
•
collect the excess run-off in a retention basins to decrease the developing peak fl ood
collect the excess run-off in a retention basins to decrease the developing peak fl ood
discharges.
discharges.
Fig. 2. Comparison of the amount of surface runoff “before” and “after” construction (source:
Fig. 2. Comparison of the amount of surface runoff “before” and “after” construction (source:
http://www.nccleanwater.org/involvement/kids/slobber.php).
http://www.nccleanwater.org/involvement/kids/slobber.php).
28
28
László Mrekva, Zsuzsanna Engi and Gábor Tóth
László Mrekva, Zsuzsanna Engi and Gábor Tóth
4.2
4.2
Urban hydrological cycle
Urban hydrological cycle
Hydrology is the science that describes the occurrence and behaviour of water above, over and
Hydrology is the science that describes the occurrence and behaviour of water above, over and
through the Earth. The continuous movement of water is called the hydrological cycle, because
through the Earth. The continuous movement of water is called the hydrological cycle, because
the amount of water remains fairly constant over time. The hydrological cycle is driven by the
the amount of water remains fairly constant over time. The hydrological cycle is driven by the
solar energy and gravitation that cause continuous interrelated processes such as evaporation
solar energy and gravitation that cause continuous interrelated processes such as evaporation
and transpiration, condensation, precipitation, infi ltration and run off (see also on Fig. 4.).
and transpiration, condensation, precipitation, infi ltration and run off (see also on Fig. 4.).
In contrast to the global hydrological cycle, in urban areas there is in practice almost never a
In contrast to the global hydrological cycle, in urban areas there is in practice almost never a
closed hydrological cycle. Many cities depend on water resources from surrounding rural areas
closed hydrological cycle. Many cities depend on water resources from surrounding rural areas
and discharge their wastewater into the sea or rivers outside the city, so that the urban water
and discharge their wastewater into the sea or rivers outside the city, so that the urban water
cycle is being closed. In urban areas, fi ve interrelated types of water can be determined: ground-
cycle is being closed. In urban areas, fi ve interrelated types of water can be determined: ground-
water, surface water, storm water, drinking water and waste water (Urban Flood Management
water, surface water, storm water, drinking water and waste water (Urban Flood Management
Published by CRC Press/Balkema). The urbanization always greatly modify the landscape, the
Published by CRC Press/Balkema). The urbanization always greatly modify the landscape, the
result of this continuous circulation is the hydrological cycle.
result of this continuous circulation is the hydrological cycle.
The increasing rate of the urbanization and land use changes raise the questions to how
The increasing rate of the urbanization and land use changes raise the questions to how
this can affect rainfall run off process and how this turn can infl uence the occurrence of fl ood
this can affect rainfall run off process and how this turn can infl uence the occurrence of fl ood
events and fl ood risk overall. The hydrological cycle through the above mentioned interrelated
events and fl ood risk overall. The hydrological cycle through the above mentioned interrelated
processes regulates e.g., the transport of pollutants, water chemistry, pattern of nutrient fl uxes,
processes regulates e.g., the transport of pollutants, water chemistry, pattern of nutrient fl uxes,
erosion, surface and groundwater levels etc. Due to the urbanization we can discover some
erosion, surface and groundwater levels etc. Due to the urbanization we can discover some
main changes in the water cycle:
main changes in the water cycle:
Fig. 3. The effect urbanization volume and rates of surface run-off (source: Drainage Manual, Roads and
Fig. 3. The effect urbanization volume and rates of surface run-off (source: Drainage Manual, Roads and
Transportation Association of Canada 1982).
Transportation Association of Canada 1982).
29
29
Urban fl ood risk and hydrology
Urban fl ood risk and hydrology
•
•
due to the impermeable surfaces the interception of precipitation is reduced,
due to the impermeable surfaces the interception of precipitation is reduced,
•
•
precipitation is usually higher than in the county,
precipitation is usually higher than in the county,
•
•
the evapotranspiration is much lower,
the evapotranspiration is much lower,
•
•
the surface run-off is growing (quantitatively more and more frequent),
the surface run-off is growing (quantitatively more and more frequent),
•
•
the infi ltration is decreasing,
the infi ltration is decreasing,
•
•
water storage is much lower.
water storage is much lower.
Urban development signifi cantly increases the amount of storm water and the frequency
Urban development signifi cantly increases the amount of storm water and the frequency
of extreme hydrological events experienced by the city’s catchments. The increased runoff
of extreme hydrological events experienced by the city’s catchments. The increased runoff
causes more intense local fl ooding, while droughts during dry weather are deeper and longer.
causes more intense local fl ooding, while droughts during dry weather are deeper and longer.
These changes impact strongly water habitats: increased discharges erode stream beds and
These changes impact strongly water habitats: increased discharges erode stream beds and
banks, export high concentrations of pollution into the rivers, wetlands and reservoirs, destabi-
banks, export high concentrations of pollution into the rivers, wetlands and reservoirs, destabi-
lize ecological processes, handicap ecological stability of ecosystems. All these not only reduce
lize ecological processes, handicap ecological stability of ecosystems. All these not only reduce
aesthetic values of the city, but also restrict provision of ecosystem services and cause water-
aesthetic values of the city, but also restrict provision of ecosystem services and cause water-
related problems to the urban population, related to fl ood risk, water supply, drainage, waste-
related problems to the urban population, related to fl ood risk, water supply, drainage, waste-
water collection and management (http://www.aquatic.unesco.lodz.pl).
water collection and management (http://www.aquatic.unesco.lodz.pl).
Fig. 4. The hydrological cycle (
Fig. 4. The hydrological cycle (
TRENBERTH
TRENBERTH
et al. 2006a).
et al. 2006a).
30
30
László Mrekva, Zsuzsanna Engi and Gábor Tóth
László Mrekva, Zsuzsanna Engi and Gábor Tóth
5
5
A short overview about the Hungarian conditions regarding fl oodrisk
A short overview about the Hungarian conditions regarding fl oodrisk
The protection of important cities, towns, villages etc. led to the creation of an extensive sys-
The protection of important cities, towns, villages etc. led to the creation of an extensive sys-
tem of fl ood defence structures not only in Europe but in Hungary. Flooding is considered
tem of fl ood defence structures not only in Europe but in Hungary. Flooding is considered
a high risk in Europe especially in Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and
a high risk in Europe especially in Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovakia and
Slovenia. More than seven per cent of the total area of the Danube River Basin is considered
Slovenia. More than seven per cent of the total area of the Danube River Basin is considered
as a fl ood plain. Six per cent of the total population of the Danube River Basin lives at loca-
as a fl ood plain. Six per cent of the total population of the Danube River Basin lives at loca-
tions below the fl ood levels. In Hungary about 25 % of the population live on the fl oodplain
tions below the fl ood levels. In Hungary about 25 % of the population live on the fl oodplain
of the River Danube and its tributaries. In line with the EU Flood directive and with the aim of
of the River Danube and its tributaries. In line with the EU Flood directive and with the aim of
decreasing fl ood risk Hungary will elaborate new regulations. The aims of the new regulations
decreasing fl ood risk Hungary will elaborate new regulations. The aims of the new regulations
are among other things:
are among other things:
•
•
to increase fl ood safety,
to increase fl ood safety,
•
•
primary arrangement of raw data,
primary arrangement of raw data,
•
•
statistical analysis of fl ood characteristics,
statistical analysis of fl ood characteristics,
•
•
evaluation of the discharge capacity of the high-water bed and fl oodplain,
evaluation of the discharge capacity of the high-water bed and fl oodplain,
•
•
hydraulic model creation,
hydraulic model creation,
•
•
determination of the potential fl oods,
determination of the potential fl oods,
•
•
fl oodrisk mapping etc.
fl oodrisk mapping etc.
Offi cial fl ood hazard maps are currently available in Hungary. The offi cial national maps
Offi cial fl ood hazard maps are currently available in Hungary. The offi cial national maps
are produced for fl oodplain inundation areas of 1/100 and 1/1000-year frequency. These
are produced for fl oodplain inundation areas of 1/100 and 1/1000-year frequency. These
maps can be reached mostly in paper format, and some in digital. Hungary is using a vari-
maps can be reached mostly in paper format, and some in digital. Hungary is using a vari-
ety of scales for fl ood hazard mapping, ranging from a rather small scale of 1:1,000,000 to
ety of scales for fl ood hazard mapping, ranging from a rather small scale of 1:1,000,000 to
a large scale of 1:5,000 or even 1:500. Hungary has national or regional coverage of fl ood
a large scale of 1:5,000 or even 1:500. Hungary has national or regional coverage of fl ood
hazard maps and of course provincial maps are available. Fig. 5 shows the risk profi le of
hazard maps and of course provincial maps are available. Fig. 5 shows the risk profi le of
Hungary.
Hungary.
6
6
Conclusions and recommendations
Conclusions and recommendations
The complexity of the developing process of the fl ood risks insists on to understand the
The complexity of the developing process of the fl ood risks insists on to understand the
numerous components and typology of the fl ood risks and those factors which can eliminate
numerous components and typology of the fl ood risks and those factors which can eliminate
them. It is essential to give answer onto the following problems while develop and execute our
them. It is essential to give answer onto the following problems while develop and execute our
measures:
measures:
•
•
The urban fl ood risk is more than the fl ood, the risk is originated from the combina-
The urban fl ood risk is more than the fl ood, the risk is originated from the combina-
tion of the components, and includes the danger, the exposure and the vulnerabil-
tion of the components, and includes the danger, the exposure and the vulnerabil-
ity. Identifi cation of these components makes easier to understand the fl ood risk,
ity. Identifi cation of these components makes easier to understand the fl ood risk,
because emphasizes that only the combination of natural and human factors generate
because emphasizes that only the combination of natural and human factors generate
fl ood risk.
fl ood risk.
•
•
Public participation is essential in the process of fl ood risk assessment, as well as in
Public participation is essential in the process of fl ood risk assessment, as well as in
the planning process of the execution of fl ood risk assessment measures. The public
the planning process of the execution of fl ood risk assessment measures. The public
participation is crucial in the successful fl ood risk assessment planning.
participation is crucial in the successful fl ood risk assessment planning.
31
31
Urban fl ood risk and hydrology
Urban fl ood risk and hydrology
•
•
The fl ood management measures have to be planned beyond the administrative and
The fl ood management measures have to be planned beyond the administrative and
sectoral boundaries. The institutional relations between the interested authorities con-
sectoral boundaries. The institutional relations between the interested authorities con-
tribute to the planning based on the cooperation.
tribute to the planning based on the cooperation.
•
•
Successful urban fl ood risk management can be achieve when includes the structural
Successful urban fl ood risk management can be achieve when includes the structural
and non-structural measures, the spatial and organizational arrangements, as well as the
and non-structural measures, the spatial and organizational arrangements, as well as the
combination of these.
combination of these.
•
•
To recognize the essential elements of the sustainable urban planning is the most hope-
To recognize the essential elements of the sustainable urban planning is the most hope-
ful strategy in the long-distance and successful risk assessment. The viewpoints of
ful strategy in the long-distance and successful risk assessment. The viewpoints of
fl ood are inseparable from urban planning.
fl ood are inseparable from urban planning.
•
•
The evaluation of the monitoring of the executed measures facilitates to identify the
The evaluation of the monitoring of the executed measures facilitates to identify the
best practices and help to continuously develop our fl oodrisk management plans.
best practices and help to continuously develop our fl oodrisk management plans.
Fig. 5. Risk profi le of Hungary (source: http://www.preventionweb.net/english/countries/statistics/
Fig. 5. Risk profi le of Hungary (source: http://www.preventionweb.net/english/countries/statistics/
risk.php?iso=hun).
risk.php?iso=hun).
32
32
László Mrekva, Zsuzsanna Engi and Gábor Tóth
László Mrekva, Zsuzsanna Engi and Gábor Tóth
7
7
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5, associated programme on fl ood management, World Meteorological
, associated programme on fl ood management, World Meteorological
Organization, Geneve (27 January 2009), http://www.apfm.info/pdf/ifm_economic_aspects.pdf
Organization, Geneve (27 January 2009), http://www.apfm.info/pdf/ifm_economic_aspects.pdf
WMO/GWP (2008): Associated programme on fl ood management, urban fl ood risk management. –
WMO/GWP (2008): Associated programme on fl ood management, urban fl ood risk management. –
A tool for integrated fl ood management, March 2008.
A tool for integrated fl ood management, March 2008.
WMO/GWP (2009): Associated programme on fl ood management, risk sharing in fl ood management. –
WMO/GWP (2009): Associated programme on fl ood management, risk sharing in fl ood management. –
A tool for integrated fl ood management, August 2009.
A tool for integrated fl ood management, August 2009.
33/2006/Ek Közös Álláspont a Tanács által 2006. november 23-án elfogadva az árvízi kockázatok
33/2006/Ek Közös Álláspont a Tanács által 2006. november 23-án elfogadva az árvízi kockázatok
felmérésér
felmérésér
ől és kezelésér
l és kezelésér
ől; Az Európai Unió Hivatalos Lapja, 2006.12.19
l; Az Európai Unió Hivatalos Lapja, 2006.12.19
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Urban fl ood risk and hydrology
Urban fl ood risk and hydrology
Addresses of the authors:
Addresses of the authors:
László
László
Mrekva, Lower-Danube-Valley Directorate for Water, 6500 Baja, Hungary, mrekva@gmail.com
Mrekva, Lower-Danube-Valley Directorate for Water, 6500 Baja, Hungary, mrekva@gmail.com
Zsuzsanna Engi, West-transdanubian Water Directorate, Vörösmarty u. 2., 9700 Szombathely, Hungary,
Zsuzsanna Engi, West-transdanubian Water Directorate, Vörösmarty u. 2., 9700 Szombathely, Hungary,
engi.zsuzsanna@nyuduvizig.hu
Gábor Tóth, University of West Hungary, Faculty of Science, Department of Physical Geography,
Gábor Tóth, University of West Hungary, Faculty of Science, Department of Physical Geography,
Károlyi G. tér 4, 9700 Szombathely, Hungary, tothg@ttk.nyme.hu
Károlyi G. tér 4, 9700 Szombathely, Hungary, tothg@ttk.nyme.hu
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László Mrekva, Zsuzsanna Engi and Gábor Tóth
László Mrekva, Zsuzsanna Engi and Gábor Tóth